A comparison of the Full Outline of Unresponsiveness (FOUR) and Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) Scores in Predicting Mortality Among Patients with Reduced Level of Consciousness in Uganda.

BACKGROUND: Reduced level of consciousness (LOC) is a common cause of presentation among acutely ill adults in sub-Saharan Africa and is associated with high rates of mortality. Although the Full Outline of Unresponsiveness (FOUR) score is often used in clinical practice, its utility in predicting mortality has not been assessed in the region. METHODS: We prospectively enrolled adults presenting with reduced LOC to Mbarara Regional Referral Hospital in Uganda. We recorded clinical and laboratory data and performed the FOUR and Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) scores at admission. We used survival analysis, fit Cox proportional hazards regression models to assess the predictive properties of the two scores, and compared their performance using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). RESULTS: We enrolled 359 patients, mean (SD) age was 51 (22.2) years, and 58% (210/359) were male. The median (interquartile range) admission FOUR and GCS scores were 13.0 (3.0-16.0) and 10.0 (3.0-14.0), respectively. Subjects with the FOUR score of 0-11 had a 2.6-fold higher hazard of 30-day mortality (HR 2.6, 95% CI 1.9-3.6, p < 0.001) compared to those with the score of 12-16. Those with the GCS score of 3-8 had a 2.7-fold higher hazard of 30-day mortality (HR 2.7, 95% CI 2.0-3.8, p < 0.001) compared to those with the score of 9-15. The AUROC (95% CI) for the FOUR score and GCS score was 0.68 (0.62-0.73) and 0.67 (0.62-0.73), respectively (p = 0.825). CONCLUSIONS: The FOUR score is comparable to the GCS score in predicting mortality in Uganda. Our findings support the introduction of the FOUR score in guiding the management of patients with reduced LOC in sub-Saharan Africa.

Validation of the Intracerebral Hemorrhage Score in Uganda.

Background and Purpose- Rates of intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) are estimated to be highest globally in sub-Saharan Africa. However, outcomes of ICH are poorly described and standard prognostic markers for ICH have not been validated in the region. Methods- We enrolled consecutive patients with computed tomography-confirmed ICH at a referral hospital in southwestern Uganda. We recorded demographic, clinical, and radiographic features of ICH, and calculated ICH scores. We fit Poisson regression models with robust variance estimation to determine predictors of case fatality at 30 days. Results- We enrolled 73 individuals presenting with computed tomography-confirmed ICH (mean age 60 years, 45% [33/73] female, and 14% [10/73] HIV-positive). The median ICH score was 2 (interquartile range, 1-3; range, 0-5). Case fatality at 30 days was 44% (32/73; 95% CI, 33%-57%). The 30-day case fatality increased with increasing ICH score of 0, 1, and 5 from 17%, 23%, to 100%, respectively. In multivariable-adjusted models, ICH score was associated with case fatality (adjusted relative risk, 1.48; 95% CI, 1.23-1.78), as were HIV infection (adjusted relative risk, 1.92; 95% CI, 1.07-3.43) and female sex (adjusted relative risk, 2.17; 95% CI, 1.32-3.59). The ICH score moderately improved with the addition of a point each for female sex and HIV serostatus (0.81 versus 0.73). Conclusions- ICH score at admission is a strong prognostic indicator of 30-day case fatality in Uganda. Our results support its role in guiding the care of patients presenting with ICH in the region.