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We estimated excess mortality in Chilean cities during the COVID-19 pandemic and its association with city-level factors. We used mortality, and social and built environment data from the SALURBAL study for 21 Chilean cities, composed of 81 municipalities or "comunas", grouped in 4 macroregions. We estimated excess mortality by comparing deaths from January 2020 up to June 2021 vs 2016-2019, using a generalized additive model. We estimated a total of 21,699 (95%CI 21,693 to 21,704) excess deaths across the 21 cities. Overall relative excess mortality was highest in the Metropolitan (Santiago) and the North regions (28.9% and 22.2%, respectively), followed by the South and Center regions (17.6% and 14.1%). At the city-level, the highest relative excess mortality was found in the Northern cities of Calama and Iquique (around 40%). Cities with higher residential overcrowding had higher excess mortality. In Santiago, capital of Chile, municipalities with higher educational attainment had lower relative excess mortality. These results provide insight into the heterogeneous impact of COVID-19 in Chile, which has served as a magnifier of preexisting urban health inequalities, exhibiting different impacts between and within cities. Delving into these findings could help prioritize strategies addressed to prevent deaths in more vulnerable communities.
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COVID-19 , Humanos , Chile/epidemiologia , Cidades , Mortalidade , Pandemias , Saúde da População Urbana , Meio Social , Ambiente ConstruídoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Understanding how urban environments influence people's health, especially as individuals age, can help identify ways to improve health in the rapidly urbanizing and rapidly aging populations. OBJECTIVES: To investigate the association between age and self-reported health (SRH) in adults living in Latin-American cities and whether gender and city-level socioeconomic characteristics modify this association. METHODS: Cross-sectional analyses of 71,541 adults aged 25-97 years, from 114 cities in 6 countries (Argentina, Brazil, Colombia, Chile, El Salvador, and Guatemala), as part of the Salud Urbana en America Latina (SALURBAL) Project. We used individual-level age, gender, education, and self-reported health (SRH) data from harmonized health surveys. As proxies for socioeconomic environment we used a city-level socioeconomic index (SEI) calculated from census data, and gross domestic product (GDP) per-capita. Multilevel Poisson models with a robust variance were used to estimate relative risks (RR), with individuals nested in cities and binary SRH (poor SHR vs. good SRH) as the outcome. We examined effect modification by gender and city-level socioeconomic indicators. RESULTS: Overall, 31.4% of the sample reported poor SRH. After adjusting for individual-level education, men had a lower risk of poor SRH (RR = 0.76; CI 0.73-0.78) compared to women, and gender modified the association between age and poor SRH (p-value of interaction < 0.001). In gender stratified models, the association between older age and poor SRH was more pronounced in men than in women, and in those aged 25-65 than among those 65+ (RR/10 years = 1.38 vs. 1.10 for men, and RR/10 years = 1.29 vs. 1.02 for women). Living in cities with higher SEI or higher GDP per-capita was associated with a lower risk of poor SRH. GDP per-capita modified the association between age (25-65) and SRH in men and women, with SEI the interaction was less clear. CONCLUSIONS: Across cities in Latin America, aging impact on health is significant among middle-aged adults, and among men. In both genders, cities with lower SEI or lower GDP per-capita were associated with poor SRH. More research is needed to better understand gender inequalities and how city socioeconomic environments, represented by different indicators, modify exposures and vulnerabilities associated with aging.
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Envelhecimento , Hispânico ou Latino , Adulto , Cidades , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Humanos , América Latina , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Autorrelato , Fatores SocioeconômicosRESUMO
BACKGROUND: During the COVID-19 pandemic, reductions in healthcare utilization are reported in different contexts. Nevertheless, studies have not explored specifically gender disparities in access to healthcare in the context of COVID-19. METHODS: To evaluate gender disparities in access to medical in Chile we conducted an interrupted time series analysis using segmented regression. The outcome variable was the number of weekly confirmed cases of a set of oncologic and cardiovascular time-sensitive conditions at a national level. The series contained data from weeks 1 to 39 for 2017 to 2020. The intervention period started at week 12. We selected this period because preventive interventions, such as school closures or teleworking, were implemented at this point. We estimated the level effect using a dummy variable indicating the intervention period and slope effect using a continuous variable from weeks 12 to 39. To test heterogeneity by gender and age group, we conducted a stratified analysis. RESULTS: We observed a sizable reduction in access to care with a slowly recovery for oncologic (level effect 0.323; 95% CI 0.291-0.359; slope effect 1.022; 95% CI 1.016-1.028) and cardiovascular diseases (level effect 0.586; 95% CI 0.564-0.609; slope effect 1.009; 95% CI 1.007-1.011). Greater reduction occurred in women compared to men, particularly marked on myocardial infarction (level effect 0.595; 95% CI 0.566-0.627 versus 0.532; 95% CI 0.502-0.564) and colorectal cancer (level effect 0.295; 95% CI 0.248-0.35 versus 0.19; 95% CI 0.159-0.228). Compared to men, a greater absolute reduction was observed in women for oncologic diseases, excluding sex-specific cancer, (1352; 95% CI 743-1961) and cardiovascular diseases (1268; 95% CI 946-1590). CONCLUSION: We confirmed a large drop in new diagnoses for time-sensitive conditions during the COVID-19 pandemic in Chile. This reduction was greater for women. Our findings should alert policy-makers about the urgent need to integrate a gender perspective into the pandemic response.
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COVID-19 , Infarto do Miocárdio , Chile/epidemiologia , Feminino , Acessibilidade aos Serviços de Saúde , Humanos , Masculino , Pandemias , SARS-CoV-2RESUMO
OBJECTIVE: Compare the diagnostic properties of five case definitions of suspected COVID-19 that were used or proposed in Chile during the first eight months of the pandemic. METHODS: An analysis was done of the diagnostic properties (sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values) of three case definitions of suspected COVID-19 used in Chile between March and October 2020, as well as two alternative proposed definitions. The sample was 2,019 people with known results for the polymerase chain reaction (PCR) test for SARS-CoV-2. Stepwise logistic regression was used to develop criterion 5, optimizing sensitivity and specificity values. Multifactor logistic regression was used to explore the association between demographic variables, symptoms and signs, and PCR positivity. Different positivity scenarios were analyzed and ROC curves were compared. RESULTS: The presence of anosmia (OR = 8.00; CI95%: 5.34-11.99), fever (OR = 2.15; CI95%: 1.28-3.59), and having been in close contact with a person sick with COVID-19 (OR = 2.89; CI95%: 2.16-3.87) were associated with a positive PCR result. According to the analysis of the ROC curve, criterion 5 had the highest capacity for discrimination, although there were no significant differences with the other four criteria. CONCLUSIONS: Criterion 5-based on anosmia, close contact with people with COVID-19, and fever as sufficient unique elements-was the most sensitive in identifying suspected cases of COVID-19, a key aspect in controlling the spread of the pandemic.
OBJETIVO: Comparar as características diagnósticas de cinco critérios das definições de caso suspeito de COVID-19 usados ou propostos no Chile nos oito primeiros meses de pandemia. MÉTODOS: Foram avaliadas as características diagnósticas (sensibilidade, especificidade e valores preditivos positivo e negativo) de três critérios das definições de caso suspeito de COVID-19 usados no Chile entre março e outubro de 2020 e de duas alternativas propostas para definição de caso. A amostra do estudo consistiu 2 019 pessoas com resultados conhecidos no exame de reação em cadeia da polimerase (PCR) para SARS-CoV-2. Para elaborar o critério 5, uma regressão logística com método stepwise foi realizada otimizando os valores de sensibilidade e especificidade. A associação entre variáveis demográficas, sintomas e sinais e resultado positivo no exame de PCR foi testada em um modelo de regressão logística multifatorial. Situações diferentes de resultado positivo foram testadas com uma análise comparativa das curvas ROC. RESULTADOS: Presença de anosmia (OR 8,00; IC95% 5,3411,99), febre (OR 2,15; IC95% 1,283,59) e contato próximo anterior com uma pessoa com COVID-19 (OR 2,89; IC95% 2,163,87) foram associados a um resultado positivo no exame de PCR. De acordo com a análise das curvas ROC, o critério 5 demonstrou maior capacidade discriminatória, apesar de não existir diferença significativa com os outros quatro critérios. CONCLUSÃO: O critério 5 presença de anosmia, febre e contato próximo com uma pessoa com COVID-19 como elementos únicos e suficientes demonstrou maior sensibilidade para identificar casos suspeitos de COVID-19, o que é fundamental para controlar a disseminação da pandemia.
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INTRODUCTION: Infant mortality depends on the economic, social, and cultural level of development of the place of residence. OBJECTIVE: To describe the infant mortality rates (IMR) and the late infant mortality rates (LIMR) of the Metropolitan Region (MR) communes and to evaluate their trend between 2005 and 2014. MATERIAL AND METHOD: Ecological study that describes the rates of the 52 communes of the MR. For the analysis, the IMR and LIMR were elaborated for each year and com mune and were compared using population attributable risk (PAR), attributable risk percent (AR%), and rate ratio (RR). Trends were analyzed through the Prais-Winsten model. A value p < 0.05 was considered a statistically significant trend. RESULTS: The commune 'Independencia' presented the hig hest IMR and LIMR with 12.7 and 4.05 per 1000 live births respectively, 1.75 and 2.05 times more compared with the IMR and LIMR of the MR. The commune 'Las Condes' and 'Vitacura' presented the lowest IMR and LIMR respectively. The IMR trend regarding 2005 increased in Lo Barnechea, Lo Espejo, and Recoleta, and decreased in Las Condes, Macul, Pudahuel and San Bernardo. The LIMR decreased in Peñalolén, Puente Alto, Las Condes, Providencia, San Bernardo, Macul, Pudahuel, Tala- gante, Pedro Aguirre Cerda, and Quilicura, and increased in Peñaflor. CONCLUSION: The regional IMR and LIMR hide the slight increase in rates and the persistence of heterogeneity among communes. This forces us to explore the causes of these inequities through future analytical studies.
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Disparidades nos Níveis de Saúde , Mortalidade Infantil/tendências , Saúde da População Urbana/tendências , Chile/epidemiologia , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-NascidoRESUMO
An outbreak of meningococcal disease with a case-fatality rate of 30% and caused by predominantly serogroup W of Neisseria meningitidis began in Chile in 2012. This outbreak required a case-control study to assess determinants and risk factors for infection. We identified confirmed cases during January 2012-March 2013 and selected controls by random sampling of the population, matched for age and sex, resulting in 135 case-patients and 618 controls. Sociodemographic variables, habits, and previous illnesses were studied. Analyses yielded adjusted odds ratios as estimators of the probability of disease development. Results indicated that conditions of social vulnerability, such as low income and overcrowding, as well as familial history of this disease and clinical histories, especially chronic diseases and hospitalization for respiratory conditions, increased the probability of illness. Findings should contribute to direction of intersectoral public policies toward a highly vulnerable social group to enable them to improve their living conditions and health.
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Infecções Meningocócicas/epidemiologia , Infecções Meningocócicas/microbiologia , Neisseria meningitidis , Adolescente , Fatores Etários , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Chile/epidemiologia , Surtos de Doenças , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , Infecções Meningocócicas/prevenção & controle , Neisseria meningitidis/classificação , Razão de Chances , Fatores de Risco , Estações do Ano , Sorogrupo , VacinaçãoRESUMO
Comparability of population surveys across countries is key to appraising trends in population health. Achieving this requires deep understanding of the methods used in these surveys to examine the extent to which the measurements are comparable. In this study, we obtained detailed protocols of 8 nationally representative surveys from 2007-2013 from Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Mexico, the United Kingdom (England and Scotland), and the United States-countries that that differ in economic and inequity indicators. Data were collected on sampling frame, sample selection procedures, recruitment, data collection methods, content of interview and examination modules, and measurement protocols. We also assessed their adherence to the World Health Organization's "STEPwise Approach to Surveillance" framework for population health surveys. The surveys, which included half a million participants, were highly comparable on sampling methodology, survey questions, and anthropometric measurements. Heterogeneity was found for physical activity questionnaires and biological samples collection. The common age range included by the surveys was adults aged 18-64 years. The methods used in these surveys were similar enough to enable comparative analyses of the data across the 7 countries. This comparability is crucial in assessing and comparing national and subgroup population health, and to assisting the transfer of research and policy knowledge across countries.
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Inquéritos Epidemiológicos/métodos , Projetos de Pesquisa , Pesquisa/normas , Adolescente , Adulto , Brasil , Chile , Colômbia , Inglaterra , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , México , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Escócia , Estados Unidos , Adulto JovemRESUMO
Background: Health research on ambient nitrogen dioxide (NO2) is sparse in Latin America, despite the high prevalence of NO2-associated respiratory diseases in the region. This study describes within-city distributions of ambient NO2 concentrations at high spatial resolution and urban characteristics associated with neighborhood ambient NO2 in 326 Latin American cities. Methods: We aggregated estimates of annual surface NO2 at 1 km2 spatial resolution for 2019, population counts, and urban characteristics compiled by the SALURBAL project to the neighborhood level (i.e., census tracts). We described the percent of the urban population living with ambient NO2 levels exceeding WHO Air Quality Guidelines. We used multilevel models to describe associations of neighborhood ambient NO2 concentrations with population and urban characteristics at the neighborhood and city levels. Findings: We examined 47,187 neighborhoods in 326 cities from eight Latin American countries. Of the ≈236 million urban residents observed, 85% lived in neighborhoods with ambient annual NO2 above WHO guidelines. In adjusted models, higher neighborhood-level educational attainment, closer proximity to the city center, and lower neighborhood-level greenness were associated with higher ambient NO2. At the city level, higher vehicle congestion, population size, and population density were associated with higher ambient NO2. Interpretation: Almost nine out of every 10 residents of Latin American cities live with ambient NO2 concentrations above WHO guidelines. Increasing neighborhood greenness and reducing reliance on fossil fuel-powered vehicles warrant further attention as potential actionable urban environmental interventions to reduce population exposure to ambient NO2. Funding: Wellcome Trust, National Institutes of Health, Cotswold Foundation.
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BACKGROUND: Health research on ambient nitrogen dioxide (NO2) is sparse in Latin America, despite the high prevalence of NO2-associated respiratory diseases in the region. This study describes within-city distributions of ambient NO2 concentrations at high spatial resolution and urban characteristics associated with neighbourhood ambient NO2 in 326 Latin American cities. METHODS: We aggregated estimates of annual surface NO2 at 1 km2 spatial resolution for 2019, population counts, and urban characteristics compiled by the SALURBAL project to the neighbourhood level (ie, census tracts). We described the percentage of the urban population living with ambient NO2 concentrations exceeding WHO air quality guidelines. We used multilevel models to describe associations of neighbourhood ambient NO2 concentrations with population and urban characteristics at the neighbourhood and city levels. FINDINGS: We examined 47â187 neighbourhoods in 326 cities from eight Latin American countries. Of the roughly 236 million urban residents observed, 85% lived in neighbourhoods with ambient annual NO2 above WHO guidelines. In adjusted models, higher neighbourhood-level educational attainment, closer proximity to the city centre, and lower neighbourhood-level greenness were associated with higher ambient NO2. At the city level, higher vehicle congestion, population size, and population density were associated with higher ambient NO2. INTERPRETATION: Almost nine out of every ten residents of Latin American cities live with ambient NO2 concentrations above WHO guidelines. Increasing neighbourhood greenness and reducing reliance on fossil fuel-powered vehicles warrant further attention as potential actionable urban environmental interventions to reduce population exposure to ambient NO2. FUNDING: Wellcome Trust, National Institutes of Health, Cotswold Foundation.
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Poluentes Atmosféricos , Poluição do Ar , Estados Unidos , Humanos , Cidades , Dióxido de Nitrogênio/análise , América Latina , Poluentes Atmosféricos/análise , Poluição do Ar/análiseRESUMO
The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak has ravaged the world, with numerous cases disproportionally attributed to the United States due to vaccine hesitancy. One vulnerable group that has been affected by vaccine hesitancy is the pediatric population, particularly those in racial and ethnic minority groups. To improve health outcomes and vaccination rates, we must first understand the factors contributing to vaccine hesitancy and its subsequent influence on the pediatric population. The medical community can better tailor public health strategies by analyzing historical and current events contributing to COVID-19 vaccine hesitancy. A comprehensive approach will improve the health of children and society as a whole. [Pediatr Ann. 2022;51(3):e107-e111.].
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COVID-19 , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Vacinas contra COVID-19 , Criança , Minorias Étnicas e Raciais , Etnicidade , Humanos , Grupos Minoritários , Pandemias , Estados Unidos/epidemiologia , Hesitação VacinalRESUMO
We explored how mortality scales with city population size using vital registration and population data from 742 cities in 10 Latin American countries and the United States. We found that more populated cities had lower mortality (sublinear scaling), driven by a sublinear pattern in U.S. cities, while Latin American cities had similar mortality across city sizes. Sexually transmitted infections and homicides showed higher rates in larger cities (superlinear scaling). Tuberculosis mortality behaved sublinearly in U.S. and Mexican cities and superlinearly in other Latin American cities. Other communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional deaths, and deaths due to noncommunicable diseases were generally sublinear in the United States and linear or superlinear in Latin America. Our findings reveal distinct patterns across the Americas, suggesting no universal relation between city size and mortality, pointing to the importance of understanding the processes that explain heterogeneity in scaling behavior or mortality to further advance urban health policies.
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The concept of a so-called urban advantage in health ignores the possibility of heterogeneity in health outcomes across cities. Using a harmonized dataset from the SALURBAL project, we describe variability and predictors of life expectancy and proportionate mortality in 363 cities across nine Latin American countries. Life expectancy differed substantially across cities within the same country. Cause-specific mortality also varied across cities, with some causes of death (unintentional and violent injuries and deaths) showing large variation within countries, whereas other causes of death (communicable, maternal, neonatal and nutritional, cancer, cardiovascular disease and other noncommunicable diseases) varied substantially between countries. In multivariable mixed models, higher levels of education, water access and sanitation and less overcrowding were associated with longer life expectancy, a relatively lower proportion of communicable, maternal, neonatal and nutritional deaths and a higher proportion of deaths from cancer, cardiovascular disease and other noncommunicable diseases. These results highlight considerable heterogeneity in life expectancy and causes of death across cities of Latin America, revealing modifiable factors that could be amenable to urban policies aimed toward improving urban health in Latin America and more generally in other urban environments.
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Expectativa de Vida , Mortalidade , Adulto , Cidades , Feminino , Humanos , América Latina/epidemiologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Adulto JovemRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Social determinants differ between countries, which is not always considered when adapting health policies and interventions to face inequalities in noncommunicable diseases and their risk factors. OBJECTIVES: The study sought to analyze educational inequalities in controlled blood pressure (CBP), obesity, and smoking in study populations from Chile and the United States in 2 periods, both countries with large social inequalities. METHODS: The study used data from the first and fifth waves of the MESA (Multiethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) cohort, and the 2003 and 2009 to 2010 Chilean National Health Survey (CNHS) survey outcome measures. The study compared cardiovascular risk factors prevalence as well as relative index of inequality (RII) and slope index of inequality (SII) between the 2 samples. RESULTS: In the CNHS 67.9% and 52.6% of participants had below primary education in 2003 and 2009 to 2010, respectively, compared with 12.3% and 8.1% in the first and fifth waves of the MESA study, respectively. Smoking prevalence was higher and increased in the CNHS compared with the MESA study, concentrated in better-educated women in both years (RII: 0.34; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.17 to 0.68; and RII: 0.55; 95% CI: 0.34 to 0.89, respectively). In contrast, smoking decreased over time in the MESA study in all socioeconomic strata, although relative inequalities increased in both sexes (for women, RII: 2.32; 95% CI 1.36 to 3.97; for men, RII: 3.34; 95% CI 2.04 to 5.47). CBP prevalence in both periods was higher in the first and fifth waves of the MESA study (69.7% and 80.2%) compared with the 2003 and 2009 to 2010 CNHS samples (34.2% and 52.3%), but only for the MESA study RII, favoring the better educated, was it significant in both periods and sexes. Obesity inequalities for Chilean women decreased slightly between 2003 and 2009 as prevalence grew in the most educated (RII: 2.21 to 1.68; SII: 0.29 to 0.22, respectively); conversely, they increased for both sexes in the MESA study. CONCLUSIONS: The study findings confirm that patterns and trends in prevalence, and absolute and relative inequalities vary by country, suggesting that context and cultural issues matters.
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Determinação da Pressão Arterial/métodos , Pressão Sanguínea/fisiologia , Doenças Cardiovasculares/etnologia , Escolaridade , Etnicidade , Educação de Pacientes como Assunto/normas , Vigilância da População , Idoso , Doenças Cardiovasculares/prevenção & controle , Feminino , Seguimentos , Humanos , Masculino , Prevalência , Medição de Risco/métodos , Fatores Sexuais , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Fatores de Tempo , Estados Unidos/epidemiologiaRESUMO
OBJETIVO: El cáncer de mama constituye la primera causa de muerte oncológica en mujeres chilenas. Las tasas de incidencia solo han sido estimadas según el registro 2003-2007. Nuestro objetivo fue estimar las tasas de incidencia en un período de 10 años en un servicio de salud y caracterizar dicha población. MÉTODO: Se calcularon las tasas de incidencia del período 2006-2015, por método directo, y se analizó la tendencia por Prais-Winsten. Se caracterizó la población según la edad y la etapa al diagnóstico. RESULTADOS: De 2862 casos, la tasa de incidencia estandarizada promedio fue de 66,6 por 100.000 mujeres. En el período hubo una tendencia al alza del diagnóstico de 0,63/100.000 anualmente (p = 0,5; intervalo de confianza del 95%: −1,73 a 2,99). La mayor tasa de incidencia bruta fue en el grupo de 70 y más años (154,8/100.000). El 49% correspondieron a casos diagnosticados de 50 a 69 años. El 56% se diagnosticó precozmente; la etapa I tuvo la más alta tasa (15,8/100.000). CONCLUSIONES: En este estudio, las tasas de incidencia son mayores que las reportadas en informes nacionales previos. El diagnóstico es mayoritariamente en etapas precoces, lo que difiere del resto de los países de la región. Nuestros datos pueden aportar a mejorar las políticas públicas.
OBJECTIVE: Breast cancer is the leading cause of cancer death in Chilean women. Incidence rates have only been estimated based on population records (2003-2007). Our objective was to estimate the incidence rates in a 10-year period in a health service and portray in words this cohort. METHOD: Incidence rates were calculated between 2006-2015 by direct method and trends were analyzed with the Prais-Winsten model. The population was defined according to age and stage at diagnosis. RESULTS: Of a total of 2862 cases, the average incidence rate was 66.6 out of 100,000 women. Between 2006-2015, the trend rose in breast cancer diagnosis of 0.63/100,000 annually (p = 0.5; 95% confidence interval: −1.73, 2.99). The highest crude rate of incidence was in the group aged 70 and over (154.8/100,000). 49% correspond to cases diagnosed between 50 and 69 years. 56% were in early stages, stage I, being the most frequent (15.8/100,000). CONCLUSIONS: On this research the incidence rates were higher than the ones reported on previous national reports. Diagnosis is mostly in early stages which differs from other countries in the region, our data can help improve public health policies.
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Humanos , Feminino , Adolescente , Adulto , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Adulto Jovem , Neoplasias da Mama/epidemiologia , Saúde Pública/estatística & dados numéricos , Chile , Incidência , Estudos Retrospectivos , Distribuição por Idade , Serviços de Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Estadiamento de NeoplasiasRESUMO
RESUMEN Objetivo. Comparar las propiedades diagnósticas de cinco definiciones de caso sospechoso de COVID-19 utilizadas o propuestas en Chile durante los primeros ocho meses de la pandemia. Métodos. Se analizaron las propiedades diagnósticas (sensibilidad, especificidad, y valores predictivos positivo y negativo) de tres definiciones de caso sospechoso de COVID-19 utilizadas en Chile entre marzo y octubre del 2020, y dos propuestas de definición alternativas. La muestra fue de 2 019 personas con resultados conocidos a la prueba de la reacción en cadena de la polimerasa (PCR) para SARS-CoV-2. Para elaborar el criterio 5 se aplicó una regresión logística escalonada (stepwise) optimizando los valores de sensibilidad y especificidad. Se exploró la asociación de variables demográficas, síntomas y signos con la positividad a la PCR mediante regresión logística multifactorial. Se analizaron diferentes escenarios de positividad y se compararon las curvas ROC. Resultados. La presencia de anosmia (OR = 8,00; IC95%: 5,34-11,99) y fiebre (OR = 2,15; IC95%: 1,28-3,59) y el haber tenido contacto estrecho previo con una persona enferma de COVID-19 (OR = 2,89; IC95%: 2,16-3,87) se asociaron con un resultado positivo de la PCR. Según el análisis de las curvas ROC, el criterio 5 tuvo la mayor capacidad de discriminación, aunque sin diferencias significativas con los otros cuatro criterios. Conclusiones. El criterio 5 —basado en la anosmia, el contacto estrecho con personas enfermas de COVID-19 y la fiebre como elementos únicos suficientes— tuvo la mayor sensibilidad para identificar los casos sospechosos de COVID-19, aspecto fundamental para controlar la propagación de la pandemia.
ABSTRACT Objective. Compare the diagnostic properties of five case definitions of suspected COVID-19 that were used or proposed in Chile during the first eight months of the pandemic. Methods. An analysis was done of the diagnostic properties (sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values) of three case definitions of suspected COVID-19 used in Chile between March and October 2020, as well as two alternative proposed definitions. The sample was 2,019 people with known results for the polymerase chain reaction (PCR) test for SARS-CoV-2. Stepwise logistic regression was used to develop criterion 5, optimizing sensitivity and specificity values. Multifactor logistic regression was used to explore the association between demographic variables, symptoms and signs, and PCR positivity. Different positivity scenarios were analyzed and ROC curves were compared. Results. The presence of anosmia (OR = 8.00; CI95%: 5.34-11.99), fever (OR = 2.15; CI95%: 1.28-3.59), and having been in close contact with a person sick with COVID-19 (OR = 2.89; CI95%: 2.16-3.87) were associated with a positive PCR result. According to the analysis of the ROC curve, criterion 5 had the highest capacity for discrimination, although there were no significant differences with the other four criteria. Conclusions. Criterion 5—based on anosmia, close contact with people with COVID-19, and fever as sufficient unique elements—was the most sensitive in identifying suspected cases of COVID-19, a key aspect in controlling the spread of the pandemic.
RESUMO Objetivo. Comparar as características diagnósticas de cinco critérios das definições de caso suspeito de COVID-19 usados ou propostos no Chile nos oito primeiros meses de pandemia. Métodos. Foram avaliadas as características diagnósticas (sensibilidade, especificidade e valores preditivos positivo e negativo) de três critérios das definições de caso suspeito de COVID-19 usados no Chile entre março e outubro de 2020 e de duas alternativas propostas para definição de caso. A amostra do estudo consistiu 2 019 pessoas com resultados conhecidos no exame de reação em cadeia da polimerase (PCR) para SARS-CoV-2. Para elaborar o critério 5, uma regressão logística com método stepwise foi realizada otimizando os valores de sensibilidade e especificidade. A associação entre variáveis demográficas, sintomas e sinais e resultado positivo no exame de PCR foi testada em um modelo de regressão logística multifatorial. Situações diferentes de resultado positivo foram testadas com uma análise comparativa das curvas ROC. Resultados. Presença de anosmia (OR 8,00; IC95% 5,34-11,99), febre (OR 2,15; IC95% 1,28-3,59) e contato próximo anterior com uma pessoa com COVID-19 (OR 2,89; IC95% 2,16-3,87) foram associados a um resultado positivo no exame de PCR. De acordo com a análise das curvas ROC, o critério 5 demonstrou maior capacidade discriminatória, apesar de não existir diferença significativa com os outros quatro critérios. Conclusão. O critério 5 - presença de anosmia, febre e contato próximo com uma pessoa com COVID-19 como elementos únicos e suficientes - demonstrou maior sensibilidade para identificar casos suspeitos de COVID-19, o que é fundamental para controlar a disseminação da pandemia.
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Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Adulto , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , COVID-19/diagnóstico , Modelos Logísticos , Chile , Reação em Cadeia da Polimerase , Valor Preditivo dos Testes , Curva ROC , Sensibilidade e EspecificidadeRESUMO
Resumen: Introducción: La mortalidad infantil depende del nivel de desarrollo económico, social y cultural del área de residencia. Objetivo: Describir las tasas de mortalidad infantil (TMI) y mortalidad infantil tardía (TMIT) de las comunas de la Región Metropolitana (RM) y evaluar su tendencia en el perio do 2005-2014. Material y Método: Estudio ecológico que describe las tasas en las 52 comunas de la Región Metropolitana (RM). Para el análisis se construyó la TMI y TMIT para cada año y comuna y se compararon mediante riesgo atribuible poblacional (RAP), Riesgo atribuible porcentual (RAP%) y razón de tasas (RT). Las tendencias se evaluaron con el modelo Prais-Winsten. Se consideró una tendencia estadísticamente significativa un valor p < 0,05. Resultados: La comuna de Independencia mostró la TMI y TMIT más altas con 12,7 y 4,05 por mil RNV respectivamente; 1,75 y 2,05 veces comparado con la TMI y TMIT de la RM. Las tasas más bajas se observaron en Las Condes (TMI) y en Vitacura (TMIT). La tendencia de la TMI respecto al 2005 aumentó en Lo Barnechea, Lo Espejo y Recoleta y disminuyó en Las Condes, Macul, Pudahuel y San Bernardo. La TMIT disminuyó en Peñalolén, Puente Alto, Las Condes, Providencia, San Bernardo, Macul, Pudahuel, Talagante, Pedro Aguirre Cerda y Quilicura y aumentó en Peñaflor. Conclusión: La TMI y la TMIT regional ocultan el leve incremento de las tasas y la persistencia de la heterogeneidad entre las comunas, lo que obliga a explorar las causas de estas inequidades en estudios analíticos a futuro.
Abstract: Introduction: Infant mortality depends on the economic, social, and cultural level of development of the place of residence. Objective: To describe the infant mortality rates (IMR) and the late infant mortality rates (LIMR) of the Metropolitan Region (MR) communes and to evaluate their trend between 2005 and 2014. Material and Method: Ecological study that describes the rates of the 52 communes of the MR. For the analysis, the IMR and LIMR were elaborated for each year and com mune and were compared using population attributable risk (PAR), attributable risk percent (AR%), and rate ratio (RR). Trends were analyzed through the Prais-Winsten model. A value p < 0.05 was considered a statistically significant trend. Results: The commune 'Independencia' presented the hig hest IMR and LIMR with 12.7 and 4.05 per 1000 live births respectively, 1.75 and 2.05 times more compared with the IMR and LIMR of the MR. The commune 'Las Condes' and 'Vitacura' presented the lowest IMR and LIMR respectively. The IMR trend regarding 2005 increased in Lo Barnechea, Lo Espejo, and Recoleta, and decreased in Las Condes, Macul, Pudahuel and San Bernardo. The LIMR decreased in Peñalolén, Puente Alto, Las Condes, Providencia, San Bernardo, Macul, Pudahuel, Tala- gante, Pedro Aguirre Cerda, and Quilicura, and increased in Peñaflor. Conclusion: The regional IMR and LIMR hide the slight increase in rates and the persistence of heterogeneity among communes. This forces us to explore the causes of these inequities through future analytical studies.
Assuntos
Humanos , Recém-Nascido , Lactente , Mortalidade Infantil/tendências , Saúde da População Urbana/tendências , Disparidades nos Níveis de Saúde , Chile/epidemiologiaRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: Meningococcal disease (MD) is a major global problem because of its case fatality rate and sequels. Since 2012 cases of serogroup W have increased in Chile, with nonspecific clinical presentation, high case fatality rate and serious consequences. OBJECTIVE: To characterize the evolution and outcome of MD cases between January 2012 and March 2013 in Chile. MATERIAL AND METHODS: Case series considering 149 MD cases of 7 regions. A questionnaire was applied and clinical records were reviewed, including individual, agent, clinical course and healthcare process variables. The analysis allowed to obtain estimates of the OR as likelihood of dying. RESULTS: 51.5% was meningococcemia, the case fatality rate reached 27%, prevailing serogroup W (46.6%). Factors that increased the probability of dying: > age, belonging to indigenous people, having lived a stressful event, having diarrhea, impaired consciousness, cardiovascular symptoms, low oxygen saturation and low Glasgow coma scale score. DISCUSSION: The case fatality rate exceeded normal levels and was higher in serogroup W. Increasing in this serogroup, associated to the increased presence of nonspecific symptoms or rapid progression to septicemia, hit a health system accustomed to more classic meningococcal disease presentation, which could partly explain the observed increased fatality rate.
Assuntos
Infecções Meningocócicas/mortalidade , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Chile/epidemiologia , Surtos de Doenças , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Lactente , Masculino , Infecções Meningocócicas/tratamento farmacológico , Infecções Meningocócicas/microbiologia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Razão de Chances , Prognóstico , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Adulto JovemRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Obesity and overweight have been included as a pandemic by the WHO; children are the group where intervention is recommended, given that they can enter physical activity (PA) and psychomotor development (PD) programs at education centres. Chile accounts for high rates of overweight, obesity and sedentary life, together with an absence of preschool PA programs. OBJECTIVE: To relate the nutritional status, the psychomotor development and the quantity and intensity of PA in school routine for 5 year-old preschoolers. METHODS: Pilot, non-experimental, transversal correlational study, including 23 preschoolers aged 5. We assessed three values: nutritional status with score z-IMC, PA with Actigraphy and PD with Da Fonseca Battery. RESULTS: 26% of the children presented with overweight and 52% with obesity. All of them had at least 60 minutes of moderate to vigorous PA (MVPA) during their school-day. 82.6% of the children were in the Normal category for PD and the rest were in the Dispraxia category. A significant inverse relationship was found (p=0,032) between z-IMC and PD. CONCLUSION: The percentage of obese children is notably above international average values and national surveys. 17.4% of children show dispraxia at the psychomotor assessment. Children with higher z-IMC have a lower score in Da Fonseca battery, which could be due to a higher weight in relation to size, and generating a lower PD in the long term. No relationships were detected within the other variables.
Introducción: La OMS ha señalado la obesidad y sobrepeso como pandemia, siendo los niños el grupo donde se recomienda intervenir, al poder incluir programas de actividad física (AF) y desarrollo psicomotor (DP) en los establecimientos educacionales. En Chile existen altos índices de sobrepeso, obesidad y sedentarismo, asociado a la inexistencia de programas preescolares sobre realización de AF. Objetivo: Relacionar el estado nutricional, el desarrollo psicomotor y la cantidad e intensidad de AF en la jornada escolar en preescolares de 5 años. Métodos: Estudio piloto, no experimental, transversal y correlacional, 23 preescolares de 5 años. Se midieron tres aspectos; Estado nutricional con puntaje z-IMC, AF con Actigrafía y DP con la Batería Da Fonseca. Resultados: Un 26% de los niños presentó sobrepeso y un 52% obesidad. Todos realizaron al menos 60 minutos de Actividad Física moderada a vigorosa (AFMV) durante la jornada escolar. El 82,6% de los niños se encontró en la categoría Normal en DP y el resto en la categoría de Dispraxia. Se encontró una relación inversa significativa (p=0,032) entre z-IMC y DP. Conclusión: El porcentaje de niños obesos, supera ampliamente cifras internacionales y encuestas nacionales. En la evaluación psicomotriz, 17,4% de los niños son dispráxicos. Los niños con mayor z-IMC tienen menor puntaje en la batería Da Fonseca, lo que puede ser atribuido a un mayor peso en relación a la estatura, generando a largo plazo un menor DP. No se observaron relaciones entre las demás variables.
Assuntos
Desenvolvimento Infantil , Atividade Motora , Estado Nutricional , Índice de Massa Corporal , Pré-Escolar , Chile , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Destreza Motora , Projetos PilotoRESUMO
Resumen Los escorpiones del género Tityus presentan la mayor distribución mundial, de mayor importancia clínica, epidemiológica y más peligrosa del continente americano. Las toxinas de su veneno producen perturbación severa de los procesos de excitación y conducción del impulso nervioso. Desde el punto de vista histopatológicos se han observado cambios estructurales en diferentes tejidos de ratones, con el veneno de varias especies de Tityus venezolanos. Objetivo: Describir los efectos clínicos e histopatológicos agudos y subagudos del veneno de escorpión (Buthidae: T. breweri) en el miocardio de hámster. Método: Estudio experimental, exploratoria, descriptivo, analítica y correlacional. Se utilizaron hámsteres de ambos sexos del genero Cricetus y se obtuvo el veneno de 26 escorpiones T. breweri, se escogieron 6 hámster al azar, inyectándoles vía intraperitonial (VIP) veneno de Tityus breweri, 3 sacrificados a los 30 minutos y los otros 3 a los 60 minutos, 3 inyectados con agua destilada constituyeron el grupo control. Resultados: La mayoría de los animales expuestos presentaron manifestaciones de tipo colinérgicas y adrenérgicas. Las alteraciones histopatológicas agudas observadas fueron edema interfascicular y congestión vascular, infiltrado linfohistiocítico perivascular. Al transcurrir 12, 24, 48 y 72 horas de exposición del veneno, no se evidenciaron cambios histopatológicos, lo que hace presumir que se activaron los procesos de reparación de los tejidos dañados. Conclusión: el veneno de T. breweri produjo alteración histológicas agudas y subagudas en el tejido miocárdico en los hámsteres sin evidencia de alteración en el grupo control.
Abstract Scorpions of the genus Tityus present the largest distribution of the world, of greater clinical, epidemiological and more dangerous importance of the American continent. The toxins from its venom produce severe disturbance of the excitation and conduction processes of the nerve impulse. From the histopathological point of view structural changes have been observed in different tissues of mice, with the venom of several species of Venezuelan Tityus. Objective: To describe the acute and subacute clinical and histopathological effects of scorpion venom (Buthidae: T. breweri) on the hamster myocardium. Method: Experimental, exploratory, descriptive, analytical and correlational study. Hersters of both sexes of the genus Cricetus were obtained and venom of 26 T. breweri scorpions were obtained, 6 random hamsters were chosen, injecting intravenously (VIP) venom of Tityus breweri, 3 sacrificed at 30 minutes and the other 3 a The 60 minutes, 3 injected with distilled water constituted the control group. Results: Most of the exposed animals presented cholinergic and adrenergic type manifestations. The acute histopathological alterations observed were interfascicular edema and vascular congestion, perivascular lymphohistiocytic infiltrate. At the end of 12, 24, 48 and 72 hours of exposure of the venom, no histopathological changes were evidenced, which suggests that the repair processes of the damaged tissues were activated. Conclusion: T. breweri venom caused acute and subacute histological alterations in myocardial tissue in hamsters with no evidence of alteration in the control group.