A Phase 2 Randomized Trial of Survodutide in MASH and Fibrosis.

BACKGROUND: Dual agonism of glucagon receptor and glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor may be more effective than GLP-1 receptor agonism alone for treating metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH). The efficacy and safety of survodutide (a dual agonist of glucagon receptor and GLP-1 receptor) in persons with MASH and liver fibrosis are unclear. METHODS: In this 48-week, phase 2 trial, we randomly assigned adults with biopsy-confirmed MASH and fibrosis stage F1 through F3 in a 1:1:1:1 ratio to receive once-weekly subcutaneous injections of survodutide at a dose of 2.4, 4.8, or 6.0 mg or placebo. The trial had two phases: a 24-week rapid-dose-escalation phase, followed by a 24-week maintenance phase. The primary end point was histologic improvement (reduction) in MASH with no worsening of fibrosis. Secondary end points included a decrease in liver fat content by at least 30% and biopsy-assessed improvement (reduction) in fibrosis by at least one stage. RESULTS: A total of 293 randomly assigned participants received at least one dose of survodutide or placebo. Improvement in MASH with no worsening of fibrosis occurred in 47% of the participants in the survodutide 2.4-mg group, 62% of those in the 4.8-mg group, and 43% of those in the 6.0-mg group, as compared with 14% of those in the placebo group (P<0.001 for the quadratic dose-response curve as best-fitting model). A decrease in liver fat content by at least 30% occurred in 63% of the participants in the survodutide 2.4-mg group, 67% of those in the 4.8-mg group, 57% of those in the 6.0-mg group, and 14% of those in the placebo group; improvement in fibrosis by at least one stage occurred in 34%, 36%, 34%, and 22%, respectively. Adverse events that were more frequent with survodutide than with placebo included nausea (66% vs. 23%), diarrhea (49% vs. 23%), and vomiting (41% vs. 4%); serious adverse events occurred in 8% with survodutide and 7% with placebo. CONCLUSIONS: Survodutide was superior to placebo with respect to improvement in MASH without worsening of fibrosis, warranting further investigation in phase 3 trials. (Funded by Boehringer Ingelheim; 1404-0043 ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT04771273; EudraCT number, 2020-002723-11.).

A Phase 3, Randomized, Controlled Trial of Resmetirom in NASH with Liver Fibrosis.

BACKGROUND: Nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is a progressive liver disease with no approved treatment. Resmetirom is an oral, liver-directed, thyroid hormone receptor beta-selective agonist in development for the treatment of NASH with liver fibrosis. METHODS: We are conducting an ongoing phase 3 trial involving adults with biopsy-confirmed NASH and a fibrosis stage of F1B, F2, or F3 (stages range from F0 [no fibrosis] to F4 [cirrhosis]). Patients were randomly assigned in a 1:1:1 ratio to receive once-daily resmetirom at a dose of 80 mg or 100 mg or placebo. The two primary end points at week 52 were NASH resolution (including a reduction in the nonalcoholic fatty liver disease [NAFLD] activity score by ≥2 points; scores range from 0 to 8, with higher scores indicating more severe disease) with no worsening of fibrosis, and an improvement (reduction) in fibrosis by at least one stage with no worsening of the NAFLD activity score. RESULTS: Overall, 966 patients formed the primary analysis population (322 in the 80-mg resmetirom group, 323 in the 100-mg resmetirom group, and 321 in the placebo group). NASH resolution with no worsening of fibrosis was achieved in 25.9% of the patients in the 80-mg resmetirom group and 29.9% of those in the 100-mg resmetirom group, as compared with 9.7% of those in the placebo group (P<0.001 for both comparisons with placebo). Fibrosis improvement by at least one stage with no worsening of the NAFLD activity score was achieved in 24.2% of the patients in the 80-mg resmetirom group and 25.9% of those in the 100-mg resmetirom group, as compared with 14.2% of those in the placebo group (P<0.001 for both comparisons with placebo). The change in low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels from baseline to week 24 was -13.6% in the 80-mg resmetirom group and -16.3% in the 100-mg resmetirom group, as compared with 0.1% in the placebo group (P<0.001 for both comparisons with placebo). Diarrhea and nausea were more frequent with resmetirom than with placebo. The incidence of serious adverse events was similar across trial groups: 10.9% in the 80-mg resmetirom group, 12.7% in the 100-mg resmetirom group, and 11.5% in the placebo group. CONCLUSIONS: Both the 80-mg dose and the 100-mg dose of resmetirom were superior to placebo with respect to NASH resolution and improvement in liver fibrosis by at least one stage. (Funded by Madrigal Pharmaceuticals; MAESTRO-NASH ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT03900429.).

Randomized, Controlled Trial of the FGF21 Analogue Pegozafermin in NASH.

BACKGROUND: Pegozafermin is a long-acting glycopegylated (pegylated with the use of site-specific glycosyltransferases) fibroblast growth factor 21 (FGF21) analogue in development for the treatment of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) and severe hypertriglyceridemia. The efficacy and safety of pegozafermin in patients with biopsy-proven noncirrhotic NASH are not well established. METHODS: In this phase 2b, multicenter, double-blind, 24-week, randomized, placebo-controlled trial, we randomly assigned patients with biopsy-confirmed NASH and stage F2 or F3 (moderate or severe) fibrosis to receive subcutaneous pegozafermin at a dose of 15 mg or 30 mg weekly or 44 mg once every 2 weeks or placebo weekly or every 2 weeks. The two primary end points were an improvement in fibrosis (defined as reduction by ≥1 stage, on a scale from 0 to 4, with higher stages indicating greater severity), with no worsening of NASH, at 24 weeks and NASH resolution without worsening of fibrosis at 24 weeks. Safety was also assessed. RESULTS: Among the 222 patients who underwent randomization, 219 received pegozafermin or placebo. The percentage of patients who met the criteria for fibrosis improvement was 7% in the pooled placebo group, 22% in the 15-mg pegozafermin group (difference vs. placebo, 14 percentage points; 95% confidence interval [CI], -9 to 38), 26% in the 30-mg pegozafermin group (difference, 19 percentage points; 95% CI, 5 to 32; P = 0.009), and 27% in the 44-mg pegozafermin group (difference, 20 percentage points; 95% CI, 5 to 35; P = 0.008). The percentage of patients who met the criteria for NASH resolution was 2% in the placebo group, 37% in the 15-mg pegozafermin group (difference vs. placebo, 35 percentage points; 95% CI, 10 to 59), 23% in the 30-mg pegozafermin group (difference, 21 percentage points; 95% CI, 9 to 33), and 26% in the 44-mg pegozafermin group (difference, 24 percentage points; 95% CI, 10 to 37). The most common adverse events associated with pegozafermin therapy were nausea and diarrhea. CONCLUSIONS: In this phase 2b trial, treatment with pegozafermin led to improvements in fibrosis. These results support the advancement of pegozafermin into phase 3 development. (Funded by 89bio; ENLIVEN ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT04929483.).

A randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial of aldafermin in patients with NASH and compensated cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Aldafermin, an engineered analog of the human hormone FGF19, improves liver histology in patients with noncirrhotic NASH; however, its efficacy and safety in compensated cirrhosis is unknown. No drug has yet to demonstrate benefit in the compensated NASH population. APPROACH AND RESULTS: In this multicenter, double-blind, placebo-controlled, phase 2b trial, 160 patients with compensated NASH cirrhosis were randomized to aldafermin 0.3 mg (n = 7), 1 mg (n = 42), 3 mg (n = 55), or placebo (n = 56) for 48 weeks. The 0.3 mg group was discontinued to limit exposure to suboptimal doses. The primary end point was a change in Enhanced Liver Fibrosis from baseline to week 48. The analyses were performed in the intention-to-treat population. At week 48, the least-squares mean difference in the change in Enhanced Liver Fibrosis was -0.5 (95% CI, -0.7 to -0.2; p = 0.0003) between the 3 mg group and the placebo group. 15%, 21%, and 23% of patients in the placebo, 1 mg, and 3 mg group, respectively, achieved fibrosis improvement ≥ 1 stage; and 13%, 16%, and 20% achieved fibrosis improvement ≥ 1 stage without NASH worsening. Improvement in alanine aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase, neoepitope-specific N-terminal pro-peptide of type III collagen, and liver stiffness favored aldefermin groups over placebo. Diarrhea was the most frequent adverse event, occurring at 26% and 40% in the 1 mg and 3 mg groups, respectively, compared to 18% in the placebo group. Overall, 0%, 2%, and 9% of patients in the placebo, 1 mg, and 3 mg group, respectively, discontinued due to treatment-related adverse events. CONCLUSIONS: Aldafermin 3 mg resulted in a significant reduction in Enhanced Liver Fibrosis in patients with compensated NASH cirrhosis.

A global action agenda for turning the tide on fatty liver disease.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Fatty liver disease is a major public health threat due to its very high prevalence and related morbidity and mortality. Focused and dedicated interventions are urgently needed to target disease prevention, treatment, and care. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We developed an aligned, prioritized action agenda for the global fatty liver disease community of practice. Following a Delphi methodology over 2 rounds, a large panel (R1 n = 344, R2 n = 288) reviewed the action priorities using Qualtrics XM, indicating agreement using a 4-point Likert-scale and providing written feedback. Priorities were revised between rounds, and in R2, panelists also ranked the priorities within 6 domains: epidemiology, treatment and care, models of care, education and awareness, patient and community perspectives, and leadership and public health policy. The consensus fatty liver disease action agenda encompasses 29 priorities. In R2, the mean percentage of "agree" responses was 82.4%, with all individual priorities having at least a super-majority of agreement (> 66.7% "agree"). The highest-ranked action priorities included collaboration between liver specialists and primary care doctors on early diagnosis, action to address the needs of people living with multiple morbidities, and the incorporation of fatty liver disease into relevant non-communicable disease strategies and guidance. CONCLUSIONS: This consensus-driven multidisciplinary fatty liver disease action agenda developed by care providers, clinical researchers, and public health and policy experts provides a path to reduce the prevalence of fatty liver disease and improve health outcomes. To implement this agenda, concerted efforts will be needed at the global, regional, and national levels.

Efficacy, tolerability and pharmacokinetics of survodutide, a glucagon/glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor dual agonist, in cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Survodutide is a glucagon/glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor dual agonist in development for treatment of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH). We investigated survodutide in people with cirrhosis. METHODS: This multinational, non-randomized, open-label, phase 1 clinical trial initially evaluated a single subcutaneous (s.c.) dose of survodutide 0.3 mg in people with Child-Pugh class A, B or C cirrhosis and healthy individuals with or without overweight/obesity matched for age, sex, and weight; the primary endpoints were the area under the plasma concentration-time curve from 0 to infinity (AUC0-∞) and maximal plasma concentration (Cmax). Subsequently, people with overweight/obesity with or without cirrhosis and Child-Pugh class A or B received once-weekly s.c. doses escalated from 0.3 mg to 6.0 mg over 24 weeks then maintained for 4 weeks; the primary endpoint was drug-related treatment-emergent adverse events, with MASH/cirrhosis-related endpoints explored. RESULTS: In the single-dose cohorts (n = 41), mean AUC0-∞ and Cmax were similar in those with cirrhosis compared with healthy individuals (90% confidence intervals for adjusted geometric mean ratios spanned 1). Drug-related adverse events occurred in 25.0% of healthy individuals and ≤25.0% of those with cirrhosis after single doses, and 82.4% and 87.5%, respectively, of the multiple-dose cohorts (n = 41) over 28 weeks. Liver fat content, liver stiffness, liver volume, body weight, and other hepatic and metabolic disease markers were generally reduced after 28 weeks of survodutide treatment. CONCLUSIONS: Survodutide is generally tolerable in people with compensated or decompensated cirrhosis, does not require pharmacokinetic-related dose adjustment, and may improve liver-related non-invasive tests, supporting its investigation for MASH-related cirrhosis. Clinical trial number; ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT05296733. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: Survodutide is a glucagon receptor/glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor dual agonist in development for treatment of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH), which causes cirrhosis in ∼20% of cases. This trial delineates the pharmacokinetic and safety profile of survodutide in people with compensated or decompensated cirrhosis, and revealed associated reductions in liver fat content, markers of liver fibrosis and body weight. These findings have potential relevance for people with MASH-including those with decompensated cirrhosis, who are usually excluded from clinical trials of investigational drugs. Based on this study, further investigation of survodutide for MASH-related cirrhosis is warranted.

Global survey of stigma among physicians and patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Patients with fatty liver disease may experience stigma from the disease or comorbidities. In this cross-sectional study, we aimed to understand stigma among patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD)/nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) and healthcare providers. METHODS: Members of the Global NASH Council created two surveys about experiences/attitudes toward NAFLD and related diagnostic terms: a 68-item patient and a 41-item provider survey. RESULTS: Surveys were completed by 1,976 patients with NAFLD across 23 countries (51% Middle East/North Africa [MENA], 19% Europe, 17% USA, 8% Southeast Asia, 5% South Asia) and 825 healthcare providers (67% gastroenterologists/hepatologists) across 25 countries (39% MENA, 28% Southeast Asia, 22% USA, 6% South Asia, 3% Europe). Of all patients, 48% ever disclosed having NAFLD/NASH to family/friends; the most commonly used term was "fatty liver" (88% at least sometimes); "metabolic disease" or "MAFLD" were rarely used (never by >84%). Regarding various perceptions of diagnostic terms by patients, there were no substantial differences between "NAFLD", "fatty liver disease (FLD)", "NASH", or "MAFLD". The most popular response was being neither comfortable nor uncomfortable with either term (56%-71%), with slightly greater discomfort with "FLD" among the US and South Asian patients (47-52% uncomfortable). Although 26% of patients reported stigma related to overweight/obesity, only 8% reported a history of stigmatization or discrimination due to NAFLD. Among providers, 38% believed that the term "fatty" was stigmatizing, while 34% believed that "nonalcoholic" was stigmatizing, more commonly in MENA (43%); 42% providers (gastroenterologists/hepatologists 45% vs. 37% other specialties, p = 0.03) believed that the name change to metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (or MASLD) might reduce stigma. Regarding the new nomenclature, the percentage of providers reporting "steatotic liver disease" as stigmatizing was low (14%). CONCLUSIONS: The perception of NAFLD stigma varies among patients, providers, geographic locations and sub-specialties. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: Over the past decades, efforts have been made to change the nomenclature of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) to better align with its underlying pathogenetic pathways and remove any potential stigma associated with the name. Given the paucity of data related to stigma in NAFLD, we undertook this global comprehensive survey to assess stigma in NAFLD among patients and providers from around the world. We found there is a disconnect between physicians and patients related to stigma and related nomenclature. With this knowledge, educational programs can be developed to better target stigma in NAFLD among all stakeholders and to provide a better opportunity for the new nomenclature to address the issues of stigma.

Can Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis Be Surgically Cured?: Liver Histologic Comparison After Metabolic Surgery Versus Usual Care.

OBJECTIVE: To compare histologic outcomes in patients with fibrotic nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) and obesity after metabolic surgery versus nonsurgical care. BACKGROUND: There are no published data comparing the effects of metabolic surgery versus nonsurgical care on histologic progression of NASH. METHODS: Repeat liver biopsies were performed in patients with body mass index >30 kg/m 2 at a US health system whose baseline liver biopsy between 2004 and 2016 confirmed a histologic diagnosis of NASH including the presence of liver fibrosis, but without cirrhosis. Baseline characteristics of liver histology for patients who underwent simultaneous liver biopsy at the time of metabolic surgery were balanced with a nonsurgical control group using overlap weighting methods. The primary composite endpoint required both resolution of NASH and improvement of at least 1 fibrosis stage in the repeat liver biopsy. RESULTS: A total of 133 patients (42 metabolic surgery and 91 nonsurgical controls) had a repeat liver biopsy with a median interval of 2 years. Overlap weighting provided balance for baseline histologic disease activity, fibrosis stage, and time interval between liver biopsies. In overlap-weighted patients, 50.1% in the surgical and 12.1% in the nonsurgical group met the primary endpoint (odds ratio=7.3; 95% CI, 2.8-19.2, P <0.001). NASH resolution and fibrosis improvement occurred in 68.5% and 64.1% of surgical patients, respectively. Surgical and nonsurgical patients who met the primary endpoint lost more weight than their counterparts who did not meet the primary endpoint [mean weight loss difference in the surgical group: 12.2% (95% CI, 7.3%-17.2%) and in the nonsurgical group: 11.6% (95% CI, 6.2%-16.9%)]. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with fibrotic noncirrhotic NASH, metabolic surgery resulted in simultaneous NASH resolution and fibrosis improvement in half of patients.

A Randomized, Controlled Trial of the Pan-PPAR Agonist Lanifibranor in NASH.

BACKGROUND: Management of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is an unmet clinical need. Lanifibranor is a pan-PPAR (peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor) agonist that modulates key metabolic, inflammatory, and fibrogenic pathways in the pathogenesis of NASH. METHODS: In this phase 2b, double-blind, randomized, placebo-controlled trial, patients with noncirrhotic, highly active NASH were randomly assigned in a 1:1:1 ratio to receive 1200 mg or 800 mg of lanifibranor or placebo once daily for 24 weeks. The primary end point was a decrease of at least 2 points in the SAF-A score (the activity part of the Steatosis, Activity, Fibrosis [SAF] scoring system that incorporates scores for ballooning and inflammation) without worsening of fibrosis; SAF-A scores range from 0 to 4, with higher scores indicating more-severe disease activity. Secondary end points included resolution of NASH and regression of fibrosis. RESULTS: A total of 247 patients underwent randomization, of whom 103 (42%) had type 2 diabetes mellitus and 188 (76%) had significant (moderate) or advanced fibrosis. The percentage of patients who had a decrease of at least 2 points in the SAF-A score without worsening of fibrosis was significantly higher among those who received the 1200-mg dose, but not among those who received the 800-mg dose, of lanifibranor than among those who received placebo (1200-mg dose vs. placebo, 55% vs. 33%, P = 0.007; 800-mg dose vs. placebo, 48% vs. 33%, P = 0.07). The results favored both the 1200-mg and 800-mg doses of lanifibranor over placebo for resolution of NASH without worsening of fibrosis (49% and 39%, respectively, vs. 22%), improvement in fibrosis stage of at least 1 without worsening of NASH (48% and 34%, respectively, vs. 29%), and resolution of NASH plus improvement in fibrosis stage of at least 1 (35% and 25%, respectively, vs. 9%). Liver enzyme levels decreased and the levels of the majority of lipid, inflammatory, and fibrosis biomarkers improved in the lanifibranor groups. The dropout rate for adverse events was less than 5% and was similar across the trial groups. Diarrhea, nausea, peripheral edema, anemia, and weight gain occurred more frequently with lanifibranor than with placebo. CONCLUSIONS: In this phase 2b trial involving patients with active NASH, the percentage of patients who had a decrease of at least 2 points in the SAF-A score without worsening of fibrosis was significantly higher with the 1200-mg dose of lanifibranor than with placebo. These findings support further assessment of lanifibranor in phase 3 trials. (Funded by Inventiva Pharma; NATIVE ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT03008070.).

Degree of Discordance Between FIB-4 and Transient Elastography: An Application of Current Guidelines on General Population Cohort.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: In the American Gastroenterological Association/American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases (AGA/AASLD) Clinical Care Pathway, Fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) is used to stratify patients at risk for metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) as low-, indeterminate-, or high-risk for developing advanced liver fibrosis. We assessed the performance of FIB-4 in a general population. METHODS: Using the 2017 to 2020 National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys dataset, we selected subjects ≥18 years who had FibroScan data. We followed AGA/AASLD guidelines to identify subjects with characteristics that place them at risk for MASLD-associated liver fibrosis. Other causes of liver disease were excluded. Our final cohort had 3741 subjects. We then categorized these subjects based on recommended FIB-4 cutoffs. FibroScan liver stiffness measurement (LSM) served as the outcome measurement. RESULTS: Among the 2776 subjects (74.2%) classified as low risk by FIB-4, 277 subjects (10%) were not classified at low risk by LSM, and 75 subjects (2.7%) were classified as high risk by LSM. Among the 86 subjects classified as high risk by FIB-4, 68 subjects (79.1%) were not at high risk by LSM, and 54 subjects (62.8%) were at low risk by LSM. Subjects misclassified by FIB-4 as low risk were older; had a higher body mass index, waist circumference, glycohemoglobin A1c level, alanine transaminase, aspartate transaminase, diastolic blood pressure, controlled attenuation parameter score, white blood cell count, alkaline phosphatase, and fasting glucose level; but had lower high-density lipoprotein, and albumin level (all P < .05). Misclassified subjects were also more likely to have prediabetes/diabetes. CONCLUSION: Using FIB-4 in the AGA/AASLD guidelines to risk-stratify subjects at risk for MASLD-associated fibrosis results in many subjects being misclassified into the low- and high-risk categories. Therefore, it may be worthwhile considering caution in interpretation and/or alternative strategies.

Cenicriviroc Lacked Efficacy to Treat Liver Fibrosis in Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis: AURORA Phase III Randomized Study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Cenicriviroc (CVC) is a novel, orally administered, chemokine receptor type 2 and 5 antagonist that showed antifibrotic potential in preclinical and phase IIb studies of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). Herein, we report efficacy and safety results from the phase III study. METHODS: The AURORA (A Study for the Efficacy and Safety of CVC for the Treatment of Liver Fibrosis in Adults With NASH) study was a phase III, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled, 2-part study of patients with NASH and stage 2/3 liver fibrosis. Adults, 18-75 years of age, were randomized to CVC 150 mg or placebo once daily for 12 months (part 1) or 60 months (part 2). Liver biopsies were performed at screening, month 12, and early study discontinuation or termination. The primary efficacy endpoint was the proportion of patients with fibrosis improvement ≥1 stage without worsening of steatohepatitis at month 12 relative to screening. Adverse events were assessed throughout the study. RESULTS: A total of 1778 patients were randomized and discontinued (part 1: n = 1293; part 2: n = 485). In part 1, at month 12, a similar proportion of patients receiving CVC or placebo achieved the primary endpoint (22.3% vs 25.5%; odds ratio, 0.84; 95% confidence interval, 0.63-1.10; P = .21) and complete resolution of steatohepatitis without worsening of fibrosis (23.0% vs 27.2%; P = .21). The safety profile was generally comparable across treatment groups. CONCLUSIONS: This study did not demonstrate the efficacy of CVC for treating liver fibrosis assessed by histology in adults with NASH; however, CVC was safe and well tolerated in patients with NASH and liver fibrosis. (ClinicalTrials.gov, Number: NCT03028740).

Machine learning models are superior to noninvasive tests in identifying clinically significant stages of NAFLD and NAFLD-related cirrhosis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: We assessed the performance of machine learning (ML) models in identifying clinically significant NAFLD-associated liver fibrosis and cirrhosis. APPROACH AND RESULTS: We implemented ML models including logistic regression (LR), random forest (RF), and artificial neural network to predict histological stages of fibrosis using 17 demographic/clinical features in 1370 patients with NAFLD who underwent liver biopsy, FibroScan, and labs within a 6-month period at multiple U.S. centers. Histological stages of fibrosis (≥F2, ≥F3, and F4) were predicted using ML, FibroScan liver stiffness measurements, and Fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4). NASH with significant fibrosis (NAS ≥ 4 + ≥F2) was assessed using ML, FibroScan-AST (FAST) score, FIB-4, and NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS). We used 80% of the cohort to train and 20% to test the ML models. For ≥F2, ≥F3, F4, and NASH + NAS ≥ 4 + ≥F2, all ML models, especially RF, had primarily higher accuracy and AUC compared with FibroScan, FIB-4, FAST, and NFS. AUC for RF versus FibroScan and FIB-4 for ≥F2, ≥F3, and F4 were (0.86 vs. 0.81, 0.78), (0.89 vs. 0.83, 0.82), and (0.89 vs. 0.86, 0.85), respectively. AUC for RF versus FAST, FIB-4, and NFS for NASH + NAS ≥ 4 + ≥F2 were (0.80 vs. 0.77, 0.66, 0.63). For NASH + NAS ≥ 4 + ≥F2, all ML models had lower/similar percentages within the indeterminate zone compared with FIB-4 and NFS. Overall, ML models performed better in sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value compared with traditional noninvasive tests. CONCLUSIONS: ML models performed better overall than FibroScan, FIB-4, FAST, and NFS. ML could be an effective tool for identifying clinically significant liver fibrosis and cirrhosis in patients with NAFLD.

Safety, pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics of obeticholic acid in subjects with fibrosis or cirrhosis from NASH.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Fibrosis stage is a strong predictor of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) outcomes. Two blinded studies evaluated the pharmacokinetics, pharmacodynamics and safety of obeticholic acid (OCA) in subjects with staged NASH fibrosis or cirrhosis. METHODS: Study 747-117 randomized 51 subjects with NASH (fibrosis stages F1-F4) to daily placebo, OCA 10 or OCA 25 mg (1:2:2) for 85 days. Study 747-118 randomized 24 subjects with NASH cirrhosis (F4; Child-Pugh [CP]-A) and normal liver control subjects matched for similar body weight to daily OCA 10 or OCA 25 mg (1:1) for 28 days. Individual and combined study data were analysed. RESULTS: No severe or serious adverse events (AEs) or AEs leading to discontinuation or death occurred. Pruritus was the most frequent AE. Plasma OCA exposure (dose-normalized area under the curve) increased with fibrosis stage but was a relatively poor predictor of hepatic OCA exposure (primary site of action), which remained constant across fibrosis stages F1-F3 and increased 1.8-fold compared with F1 in subjects with cirrhosis due to NASH. Both cohorts showed robust changes in farnesoid X receptor activation markers with OCA treatment and marked decreases in alanine transaminase, aspartate transaminase and gamma-glutamyltransferase. CONCLUSIONS: Despite higher drug exposures in subjects with NASH cirrhosis, short-term daily treatment with OCA 10 or 25 mg was generally safe and well tolerated in subjects with NASH fibrosis or NASH CP-A cirrhosis. Both cohorts experienced improvements in nonhistologic pharmacodynamic markers consistent with previously conducted OCA phase 2 and phase 3 studies in NASH fibrosis.

The prevalence of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD)-related advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis in the United States population utilizing AGILE 3 + and AGILE 4 scores: analysis of the NHANES 2017-2018 cycle.

BACKGROUND: Studies attempted to estimate MASLD-related advanced fibrosis (AF) and cirrhosis (MC) prevalence utilized tests with low positive predictive value (PPV) which overestimates prevalence. AGILE3 + and 4 scores were developed to increase the PPV of both; respectively. In this study, we used these scores to assess the prevalence of AF and MC. METHODS: Participants aged ≥ 18 years with VCTE exam in the NHANES 2017-2018 cycle were included. We excluded pregnant women, patients with excessive alcohol intake, hepatitis B/C, and ALT or AST > 500 IU/L. MASLD was defined with CAP score > 248 dB/m. MASLD subjects with AGILE 3 + score of ≥ 0.68 and AGILE 4 score of ≥ 0.57 were considered to have advanced fibrosis and cirrhosis; respectively. AGILE 3 + of 0.45-0.67 and AGILE 4 of 0.25-0.57 were grey zone, whereas AGILE 3 + < 0.45 and AGILE 4 < 0.25 were considered a rule-out. RESULTS: 1244 subjects were included in the final analysis. The Median age was 53 (51.4-54.6) years, 55.6% were male, median BMI was 33.8 kg/m2 and 41.1% had T2DM. Based on AGILE 3+, 80.3% of the MASLD population were at low risk for AF and 11.5% were in grey zone. The prevalence of AF due to MASLD was 8.1% corresponding to 4.5 million Americans. Based on AGILE 4 score, 96.5% of the MASLD population were at low risk for cirrhosis and 2.4% were in the grey zone. The prevalence of MASLD-cirrhosis was 1.1% corresponding to 610,000 Americans. CONCLUSION: Our results suggest that approximately 4.5 million people in the U.S. have AF and 0.6 million have cirrhosis due to MASLD.

Cardiovascular disease risk in paediatric and young adult non-alcoholic fatty liver disease.

OBJECTIVE: Longitudinal evidence is lacking regarding the long-term risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) in children and young adults with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). DESIGN: This nationwide cohort study included all Swedish children and young adults ≤25 years old with histologically confirmed NAFLD and without underlying cardiovascular disease (CVD) at baseline (1966-2016; n=699). NAFLD was defined from prospectively recorded histopathology, and further categorised as simple steatosis or non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). NAFLD patients were matched to ≤5 population controls without NAFLD or CVD (n=3353). Using Cox proportional hazards modelling, we calculated multivariable-adjusted HRs (aHRs) and 95% CIs for incident MACE (ie, ischaemic heart disease, stroke, congestive heart failure or cardiovascular mortality). In secondary analyses, we also explored rates of incident cardiac arrhythmias. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up of 16.6 years, incident MACE was confirmed in 33 NAFLD patients and 52 controls. NAFLD patients had significantly higher rates of MACE than controls (3.1 vs 0.9/1000 person-years (PY); difference=2.1/1000 PY; aHR=2.33, 95% CI=1.43 to 3.78), including higher rates of ischaemic heart disease (difference=1.4/1000 PY; aHR=3.07, 95% CI 1.62 to 5.83) and congestive heart failure (difference=0.5/1000 PY; aHR=3.89, 95% CI=1.20 to 12.64). Rates of incident MACE outcomes appeared to be further augmented with NASH (aHR=5.27, 95% CI=1.96 to 14.19). In secondary analyses, NAFLD patients also had significantly higher rates of cardiac arrythmias (aHR=3.16, 95% CI=1.49 to 6.68). CONCLUSION: Compared with matched population controls, children and young adults with biopsy-proven NAFLD had significantly higher rates of incident MACE, including ischaemic heart disease and congestive heart failure. Research to better characterise cardiovascular risk in children and young adults with NAFLD should be prioritised.

Hepatic and renal improvements with FXR agonist vonafexor in individuals with suspected fibrotic NASH.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The LIVIFY trial investigated the safety, tolerability, and efficacy of vonafexor, a second-generation, non-bile acid farnesoid X receptor agonist in patients with suspected fibrotic non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). METHODS: This double-blind phase IIa study was conducted in two parts. Patients were randomised (1:1:1:1) to receive placebo, vonafexor 100 mg twice daily (VONA-100BID), vonafexor 200 mg once daily (VONA-200QD), or 400 mg vonafexor QD (VONA-400QD) in Part A (safety run-in, pharmacokinetics/pharmacodynamics) or placebo, vonafexor 100 mg QD (VONA-100QD), or VONA-200QD (1:1:1) in Part B. The primary efficacy endpoint was a reduction in liver fat content (LFC) by MRI-proton density fat fraction, while secondary endpoints included reduced corrected T1 values and liver enzymes, from baseline to Week 12. RESULTS: One hundred and twenty patients were randomised (Part A, n = 24; Part B, n = 96). In Part B, there was a significant reduction in least-square mean (SE) absolute change in LFC from baseline to Week 12 for VONA-100QD (-6.3% [0.9]) and VONA-200QD (-5.4% [0.9]), vs. placebo (-2.3% [0.9], p = 0.002 and 0.012, respectively). A >30% relative LFC reduction was achieved by 50.0% and 39.3% of patients in the VONA-100QD and VONA-200QD arms, respectively, but only in 12.5% in the placebo arm. Reductions in body weight, liver enzymes, and corrected T1 were also observed with vonafexor. Creatinine-based glomerular filtration rate improved in the active arms but not the placebo arm. Mild to moderate generalised pruritus was reported in 6.3%, 9.7%, and 18.2% of participants in the placebo, VONA-100QD, and VONA-200QD arms, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with suspected fibrotic NASH, vonafexor was safe and induced potent liver fat reduction, improvement in liver enzymes, weight loss, and a possible renal benefit. CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER (EUDRACT): 2018-003119-22. GOV IDENTIFIER: NCT03812029. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) has become a leading cause of chronic liver disease worldwide. Affected patients are also at higher risk of developing chronic kidney disease. There are no approved therapies and only few options to treat this population. The phase IIa LIVIFY trial results show that single daily administration of oral vonafexor, an FXR agonist, leads in the short term to a reduction in liver fat, liver enzymes, fibrosis biomarkers, body weight and abdominal circumference, and a possible improvement in kidney function, while possible mild moderate pruritus (a peripheral FXR class effect) and an LDL-cholesterol increase are manageable with lower doses and statins. These results support exploration in longer and larger trials, with the aim of addressing the unmet medical need in NASH.

A global research priority agenda to advance public health responses to fatty liver disease.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: An estimated 38% of adults worldwide have non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). From individual impacts to widespread public health and economic consequences, the implications of this disease are profound. This study aimed to develop an aligned, prioritised fatty liver disease research agenda for the global health community. METHODS: Nine co-chairs drafted initial research priorities, subsequently reviewed by 40 core authors and debated during a three-day in-person meeting. Following a Delphi methodology, over two rounds, a large panel (R1 n = 344, R2 n = 288) reviewed the priorities, via Qualtrics XM, indicating agreement using a four-point Likert-scale and providing written feedback. The core group revised the draft priorities between rounds. In R2, panellists also ranked the priorities within six domains: epidemiology, models of care, treatment and care, education and awareness, patient and community perspectives, and leadership and public health policy. RESULTS: The consensus-built fatty liver disease research agenda encompasses 28 priorities. The mean percentage of 'agree' responses increased from 78.3 in R1 to 81.1 in R2. Five priorities received unanimous combined agreement ('agree' + 'somewhat agree'); the remaining 23 priorities had >90% combined agreement. While all but one of the priorities exhibited at least a super-majority of agreement (>66.7% 'agree'), 13 priorities had <80% 'agree', with greater reliance on 'somewhat agree' to achieve >90% combined agreement. CONCLUSIONS: Adopting this multidisciplinary consensus-built research priorities agenda can deliver a step-change in addressing fatty liver disease, mitigating against its individual and societal harms and proactively altering its natural history through prevention, identification, treatment, and care. This agenda should catalyse the global health community's efforts to advance and accelerate responses to this widespread and fast-growing public health threat. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: An estimated 38% of adults and 13% of children and adolescents worldwide have fatty liver disease, making it the most prevalent liver disease in history. Despite substantial scientific progress in the past three decades, the burden continues to grow, with an urgent need to advance understanding of how to prevent, manage, and treat the disease. Through a global consensus process, a multidisciplinary group agreed on 28 research priorities covering a broad range of themes, from disease burden, treatment, and health system responses to awareness and policy. The findings have relevance for clinical and non-clinical researchers as well as funders working on fatty liver disease and non-communicable diseases more broadly, setting out a prioritised, ranked research agenda for turning the tide on this fast-growing public health threat.

Artificial Intelligence Applications in Hepatology.

Over the past 2 decades, the field of hepatology has witnessed major developments in diagnostic tools, prognostic models, and treatment options making it one of the most complex medical subspecialties. Through artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning, computers are now able to learn from complex and diverse clinical datasets to solve real-world medical problems with performance that surpasses that of physicians in certain areas. AI algorithms are currently being implemented in liver imaging, interpretation of liver histopathology, noninvasive tests, prediction models, and more. In this review, we provide a summary of the state of AI in hepatology and discuss current challenges for large-scale implementation including some ethical aspects. We emphasize to the readers that most AI-based algorithms that are discussed in this review are still considered in early development and their utility and impact on patient outcomes still need to be assessed in future large-scale and inclusive studies. Our vision is that the use of AI in hepatology will enhance physician performance, decrease the burden and time spent on documentation, and reestablish the personalized patient-physician relationship that is of utmost importance for obtaining good outcomes.

MRI-AST (MAST) Score Accurately Predicts Major Adverse Liver Outcome, Hepatocellular Carcinoma, Liver Transplant, and Liver-Related Death.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The MRI-AST (MAST) score accurately identifies patients with at-risk nonalcoholic steatohepatitis, defined as nonalcoholic steatohepatitis with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease activity score ≥4 and fibrosis stage ≥2 at highest risk for disease progression. It is important to determine the robustness of the MAST score in predicting major adverse liver outcomes (MALO), hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), liver transplant, and death. METHODS: This retrospective analysis included patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease from a tertiary care center who underwent magnetic resonance imaging proton density fat fraction, magnetic resonance elastography, and laboratory testing within 6 months from 2013 to 2022. Other causes of chronic liver disease were excluded. Hazard ratios between logit MAST and MALO (ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, or bleeding esophageal varices), liver transplant, HCC, or liver-related death were computed using a Cox proportional hazards regression model. We computed the hazard ratio of MALO or death associated with MAST scores 0.165-0.242 and 0.242-1.000, using MAST scores 0.000-0.165 as the reference group. RESULTS: Among 346 total patients, average age was 58.8 years with 52.9% females and 34.4% with type 2 diabetes. Average alanine aminotransferase was 50.7 IU/L (24.3-60.0 IU/L), aspartate aminotransferase was 38.05 IU/L (22.00-41.00 IU/L), platelets were 242.9 × 109/L (193.8-290.0 × 109/L), proton density fat fraction was 12.90% (5.90%-18.22%), and liver stiffness on magnetic resonance elastography was 2.75 kPa (2.07-2.90 kPa). Median follow-up was 29.5 months. Fourteen had adverse outcomes, including 10 MALO, 1 HCC, 1 liver transplant, and 2 liver-related deaths. The Cox regression of MAST versus adverse event rate had a hazard ratio of 2.01 (95% confidence interval, 1.59-2.54; P < .0001) for each 1 logit unit increases in MAST. The corresponding Harrell concordance statistic (C statistic) was 0.919 (95% confidence interval, 0.865-0.953). The MAST score ranges of 0.165-0.242 and 0.242-1.0, respectively, had adverse event rate hazard ratio of 7.75 (1.40-42.9; P = .0189) and 22.11 (6.59-74.2; P < .0000) relative to MAST 0-0.165. CONCLUSIONS: The MAST score noninvasively identifies at-risk nonalcoholic steatohepatitis and accurately predicts MALO, HCC, liver transplant, and liver-related death.

Disease State Transition Probabilities Across the Spectrum of NAFLD: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Paired Biopsy or Imaging Studies.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: We conducted a meta-analysis to summarize the rates of progression to and regression of nonalcoholic fatty liver (NAFL), nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), and fibrosis in adults with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). METHODS: We searched PubMed/Medline and 4 other databases from 1985 through 2020. We included observational studies and randomized controlled trials in any language that used liver biopsy or imaging to diagnose NAFLD in adults with a follow-up period ≥48 weeks. Rates were calculated as incident cases per 100 person-years and pooled using the random-effects Poisson distribution model. Heterogeneity was assessed using the I2 statistic. RESULTS: We screened 9744 articles and included 54 studies involving 26,738 patients. Among observational studies, 20% of healthy adults developed NAFL (incidence rate, 4.8/100 person-years) while 21% of people with fatty liver had resolution of NAFL (incidence rate, 2.4/100 person-years) after a median of approximately 4.5 years. In addition, 31% of patients developed NASH after 4.7 years (incidence rate, 7.4/100 person-years), whereas in 29% of those with NASH, resolution occurred after a median of 3.5 years (incidence rate, 5.1/100 person-years). Time to progress by 1 fibrosis stage was 9.9, 10.3, 13.3, and 22.2 years for F0, F1, F2, and F3, respectively. Time to regress by 1 stage was 21.3, 12.5, 20.4, and 40.0 years for F4, F3, F2, and F1, respectively. Rates estimated from randomized controlled trials were higher than those from observational studies. CONCLUSIONS: In our meta-analysis, progression to NASH was more common than regression from NASH. Rates of fibrosis progression were similar across baseline stage, but patients with advanced fibrosis were more likely to regress than those with mild fibrosis.