Mortality prediction by serum melatonin levels of patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage.

OBJECTIVE: In one study, higher serum melatonin levels have been reported at diagnosis of spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) in non-surviving than in surviving patients. Now, we carried out this study with the aims to explore whether blood melatonin concentrations in the first 7 days of ICH are different in survivor and non-survivor patients and whether are useful in the prediction of mortality. METHODS: Six Spanish hospitals participated in this observational study of patients with severe supratentorial ICH (defining severe as Glasgow Coma Scale < 9). We determined serum melatonin levels during the first, fourth, and eighth day of severe ICH. RESULTS: Surviving (n = 64) compared to non-surviving (n = 53) patients showed lower serum melatonin levels during the first (p < 0.001), fourth (p < 0.001), and eighth day (p < 0.001) of severe ICH. We found in multiple logistic regression analysis an association between serum melatonin levels and 30-day mortality (odds ratio = 8.932; 95% CI = 2.442-32.665; p = 0.001) controlling for midline shift, ICH score, early evacuation of ICH, and glycemia. We found an AUC (95% CI) for the mortality prediction of 0.90 (0.83-0.95; p < 0.001), 0.94 (0.87-0.98; p < 0.001), and 0.90 (0.81-0.96; p < 0.001) by serum melatonin concentrations during the first, fourth, and eighth day. CONCLUSIONS: In our current study, it appears that novel findings of serum melatonin levels recollected at any moment during the first 7 days of a severe ICH were higher in non-survivor than in survivor patients and could help in mortality prediction.

High serum levels of TAC and early mortality in patients with spontaneous intracerebral haemorrhage.

OBJECTIVE: Oxidation contributes to secondary brain injury after spontaneous intracerebral haemorrhage (SIH). One study found lower levels of total antioxidant capacity (TAC) in the blood in patients with SIH than in healthy subjects. However, there are no data on blood TAC levels and survival in patients with SIH. Therefore, the objective of our study was to determine if an association exists between serum TAC levels and mortality in patients with SIH. METHODS: We included patients with severe supratentorial SIH. We considered severe when Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) < 9. Patients from 6 Spanish hospitals were included in this observational and prospective study. Serum TAC levels at days 1, 4 and 8 of SIH were determined. Thirty-day mortality was our end-point study. RESULTS: Non-surviving patients compared with surviving patients showed higher serum TAC levels at day 1 (p < 0.001), 4 (p < 0.001) and 8 (p = 0.001). An area under the curve was found for the prediction of 30-day mortality by serum TAC levels of 0.92 (95% CI = 0.85-96%; p < 0.001). Multiple logistic regression analysis showed an association of serum TAC levels with 30-day mortality (odds ratio = 16.513; 95% CI = 2.548-107.015; p = 0.003) controlling for midline shift, glycemia, early evacuation of SIH, intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH) score, age and volume of SIH. CONCLUSIONS: The new findings of this study are that serum TAC levels are higher in non-surviving than in surviving patients, and that they are associated with mortality and could be used to predict mortality.

High Serum Levels of Caspase-3 and Early Mortality in Patients with Severe Spontaneous Intracerebral Hemorrhage.

BACKGROUND: Apoptotic cell death leads to secondary brain injury after spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (SIH). There is an association between serum caspase-3 levels and late mortality (at 6 months) in patients with SIH in basal ganglia. The new objective of this study was to determine whether there exists an association between serum caspase-3 levels and early mortality (at 30 days) in patients with SIH at different sites and not only in basal ganglia. METHODS: Patients with severe supratentorial SIH (defined as Glasgow Coma Scale < 9) admitted in 6 Spanish hospitals were included in this observational and prospective study. Patients with SIH due to aneurysm, arteriovenous malformation, and anticoagulant or fibrinolytic treatment were excluded. Serum caspase-3 levels at days 1, 4, and 8 of SIH were determined. Thirty-day mortality was the end-point study. RESULTS: Non-surviving (n = 53) showed higher serum caspase-3 levels at days 1 (p < 0.001), 4 (p < 0.001), and 8 (p < 0.001) than survivor patients (n = 64). Multiple logistic regression analysis showed an association of serum caspase-3 levels > 0.167 ng/mL with 30-day mortality (Odds Ratio = 47.007; 95% CI = 4.838-456.727; p = 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The new findings of our study are that serum caspase-3 levels are associated with early mortality in patients with severe supratentorial SIH at different sites and that those levels during the first week of SIH are higher in non-survivors than in survivors.

High Serum DNA and RNA Oxidative Damage in Non-surviving Patients with Spontaneous Intracerebral Hemorrhage.

PURPOSE: One study found higher leukocytes 8-hydroxy-2'-deoxyguanosine (8-OHdG) levels in patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) than in healthy subjects due to the oxidation of guanosine from deoxyribonucleic acid (DNA). The objective of this study was to determine whether there is an association between oxidative damage of serum DNA and ribonucleic acid (RNA) and mortality in patients with ICH. METHODS: In this observational and prospective study, patients with severe supratentorial ICH (defined as Glasgow Coma Scale < 9) were included from six Intensive Care Units of Spanish hospitals. At the time of severe ICH diagnosis, concentrations in serum of malondialdehyde (as lipid peroxidation biomarker) and of the three oxidized guanine species (OGS) (8-hydroxyguanosine from RNA, 8-hydroxyguanine from DNA or RNA, and 8-OHdG from DNA) were determined. Thirty-day mortality was considered the end-point study. RESULTS: Serum levels of OGS (p < 0.001) and malondialdehyde (p = 0.002) were higher in non-surviving (n = 46) than in surviving patients (n = 54). There was an association of serum OGS levels with serum malondialdehyde levels (rho = 0.36; p = 0.001) and 30-day mortality (OR = 1.568; 95% CI 1.183-2.078; p = 0.002). CONCLUSIONS: The novel and most important finding of our study was that serum OGS levels in ICH patients are associated with mortality.

Association Between DNA and RNA Oxidative Damage and Mortality of Patients with Traumatic Brain Injury.

BACKGROUND: The hyperoxidative state in traumatic brain injury (TBI) could produce oxidative damage on the ribonucleic acid (RNA) and deoxyribonucleic acid (DNA). Oxidative damage to nucleic acids in TBI patients has been studied, and higher concentrations of 8-OHdG were found in postmortem brain samples of subjects who died following TBI than in subjects who died from sudden cardiac death. Thus, the objective of this study was to determine whether there is an association between serum DNA and RNA oxidative damage and mortality in TBI patients. METHODS: We included patients with severe isolated TBI defined as a lower score than 9 points in the Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) and lower than 9 points in non-cranial aspects in the Injury Severity Score. We determined serum concentrations of the three oxidized guanine species (OGS) (8-OHdG from DNA, 8-hydroxyguanosine from RNA, and 8-hydroxyguanine from DNA or RNA) and malondialdehyde (to estimate lipid peroxidation) on the day of TBI. Mortality at 30 days was the end-point study. RESULTS: We found higher serum concentrations of OGS (p < 0.001) and malondialdehyde (p < 0.001) in non-surviving (n = 34) than in surviving patients (n = 90), an association between serum OGS levels and 30-day mortality after control for CGS, age, and computed tomography findings (OR = 1.397; 95% CI = 1.137-1.716; p = 0.001), and a positive correlation between serum levels of OGS and malondialdehyde (rho = 0.24; p = 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: To our knowledge, our study is the largest series reporting data on DNA oxidative damage in TBI patients and is the first reporting DNA and RNA oxidative damage in TBI patients associating lipid peroxidation and mortality.

Mortality prediction of ischemic stroke patients without thrombectomy by blood total antioxidant capacity.

It has been previously established that total antioxidant capacity concentrations of blood on the first day of ischemic stroke could predict mortality. Therefore, our study objective was to determine whether total antioxidant capacity concentrations in the blood during the first week of a cerebral infarction could help predict mortality. We included severe and malignant middle cerebral artery infarction patients (affecting 50% or more of the territory in computed tomography and a score of nine or fewer points in the Glasgow Coma Scale). Serum total antioxidant capacity concentrations were determined on days first, fourth, and eighth of the diagnosis of a malignant middle cerebral artery infarction. Higher serum total antioxidant capacity concentrations at first (P < 0.001), fourth (P < 0.001), and eighth (P = 0.003) day were found in non-surviving patients than in surviving ones. Serum total antioxidant capacity concentrations on first, fourth and eighth day of malignant middle cerebral artery infarction had an area under curve (95% Confidence Intervals) for 30-day mortality prediction of 0.86 (0.75-0.93; P < 0.001), 0.87 (0.74-0.95; P < 0.001) and 0.79 (0.64-0.90; P = 0.004)), respectively. Thus, the potential use of serum total antioxidant capacity concentrations at any time during the first 7 days of a severe malignant middle cerebral artery infarction without thrombectomy to predict mortality was the main novel finding of our study.

Serum substance P levels and early mortality of spontaneous intracerebral haemorrhage patients.

INTRODUCTION AND GOAL: Substance P, a neuropeptide of the tachykinin family, is involved in the neuroinflammation of different diseases of the central nervous system. To our knowledge, there is no published data on the level of circulating substance P levels in the prognosis of patients with spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). Therefore, the objectives of this observational and prospective study were to determine whether serum substance P levels in ICH patients were associated with early mortality and whether could be used in the mortality prognostic. MATERIAL AND METHODS: We included patients with severe primary supratentorial ICH (defined as Glasgow Coma Scale < 9) from 6 Intensive Care Units of Spanish hospitals. We determined serum substance P levels at the time of severe ICH diagnosis, at fourth and at eighth day. Thirty-day mortality was considered the end-point study. FINDINGS: Non-surviving (n=53) compared to surviving ICH patients (n=64) showed higher serum substance P levels at day 1 (p<0.001), day 4 (p<0.001) and day 8 (p<0.001). The area under the curve for 30-day mortality prediction by serum substance P levels was of 79% (95% CI = 70-86%; p<0.001). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed a higher 30-day mortality in patients with serum substance P levels>503 pg/mL (Hazard ratio=14.7; 95% CI=6.88-31.55; p<0.001). Multiple logistic regression analysis showed an association between serum substance P levels and 30-day mortality (Odds Ratio=1.006; 95% CI=1.002-1.010; p=0.004) controlling for ICH score, midline shift, glycemia, early evacuation of ICH. CONCLUSIONS: Thus, the novel aspects our study include that serum substance P levels in severe primary ICH patients were higher in non-surviving than in surviving patients, that serum substance P levels were associated with early mortality controlling for other variables, and that serum substance P levels could be used as biomarkers of prognosis.

Non-survivor patients with malignant middle cerebral artery infarction showed persistently high serum malondialdehyde levels.

OBJECTIVE: Previously there have been found higher circulating malondialdehyde levels during the first week of ischemic stroke in patients with worst neurological functional outcome, and at moment of ischemic stroke in non-survivor patients. Thus, the aim of our study was to determine the potential role of serum malondialdehyde levels during the first week of a severe cerebral infarction to mortality prediction. METHODS: This study was observational, prospective, and multicenter. We included patients with a severe malignant middle cerebral artery infarction (MMCAI) defined as patients with computed tomography showing acute infarction in more than of 50% of the territory and Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) lower than 9. We determined serum concentrations of malondialdehyde on days 1, 4 and 8 of MMCAI. RESULTS: Serum malondialdehyde concentrations at days 1 (p < 0.001), 4 (p < 0.001), and 8 (p = 0.001) of MMCAI in non-survivor patients (n = 34) were higher than in survivor patients (n = 34). ROC curve analyses showed that serum malondialdehyde concentrations at days 1, 4, and 8 of MMCAI had an AUC (95% CI) to predict 30-day mortality of 0.77 (0.65-0.86; p < 0.001), 0.82 (0.69-0.91; p < 0.001) and 0.84 (0.70-0.93; p < 0.001) respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The new findings of our study were that serum malondialdehyde levels during the first week of MMCAI could be used as biomarkers to mortality prediction.

High serum levels of tissue inhibitor of matrix metalloproteinase-1 during the first week of a malignant middle cerebral artery infarction in non-surviving patients.

BACKGROUND: Higher circulating levels of tissue inhibitor of matrix metalloproteinases (TIMP)-1 early after ischemic stroke have been associated with lower survival. The objectives of this study were to determine serum TIMP-1 levels during the first week of a severe cerebral infarction in surviving and non-surviving patients, and whether those levels during the first week could be used as a mortality biomarker for these patients. METHODS: We included patients with severe malignant middle cerebral artery infarction (MMCAI) defined as computer tomography showing ischaemic changes in more than 50% of the middle cerebral artery territory and Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) ≤ 8. We measured serum levels of matrix metalloproteinases (MMP)-9 and TIMP-1. End-point study was 30-day mortality. RESULTS: We found higher TIMP-1 concentrations at days 1 (p < 0.001), 4 (p = 0.001), and 8 (p = 0.03) of MMCAI in non- urviving (n = 34) than in surviving (n = 34) patients. We found lower serum MMP-9 concentrations at day 1 (p = 0.03) of MMCAI and no significant differences at days 4 and 8. ROC curve analysis of TIMP-1 concentrations performed at days 1, 4, and 8 of MMCAI showed an area under curve to predict 30-day mortality of 81% (p < 0.001), 80% (p < 0.001) and 72% (p = 0.07) respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The new findings of our study were that non-surviving MMCAI patients showed higher serum TIMP-1 levels during the first week of MMCAI that surviving patients, and those levels during the first week of MMCAI could be used as mortality biomarkers.

Serum Caspase-3 Levels and Early Mortality of Patients with Malignant Middle Cerebral Artery Infarction.

PURPOSE: Circulating caspase-3 levels at 24 h of ischemic stroke were found to be associated with poorer functional neurological outcome in a previous study. The aim of this study was to determine whether there is an association between serum caspase-3 levels and early mortality in patients with malignant middle cerebral artery infarction (MMCAI). METHODS: We included patients with MMCAI defined as computer tomography showing ischemic changes in more than 50% of the middle cerebral artery territory and Glasgow Coma Scale ≤ 8. Serum caspase-3 levels at days 1, 4, and 8 of MMCAI were determined. RESULTS: Non-surviving MMCAI (n = 34) showed higher serum caspase-3 levels at days 1 (p < 0.001), 4 (p = 0.001), and 8 (p = 0.01) than surviving patients (n = 34). We found that the area under the curve of serum caspase-3 levels for prediction of mortality at 30 days was 88% (95% CI = 78-95%; p < 0.001). Multiple logistic regression showed that serum caspase-3 levels were associated with 30-day mortality (OR = 51.25; 95% CI = 8.30-316.31; p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The novel and more important findings of our study were that high serum caspase-3 levels were associated with mortality in MMCAI patients.

Association between serum levels of caspase-cleaved cytokeratin-18 and early mortality in patients with severe spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage.

BACKGROUND: Apoptotic changes after cerebral hemorrhage in brain samples of humans have been found. Caspase-cleaved cytokeratin (CCCK)-18 could be detected in the bloodstream during apoptosis. Higher circulating CCCK-18 levels have been associated with 6-month mortality in patients with basal ganglia hemorrhage. The aim of our study was to determine whether there is an association between serum CCCK-18 levels and early mortality of spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (SIH) patients. We performed an observational, prospective and multicentre study. There were included patients with severe SIH defined as Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) lower than 9. We determined serum CCCK-18 levels at the severe SIH diagnosis moment. RESULTS: We found that non-surviving SIH patients (n = 46) showed lower GCS, and higher serum CCCK-18 levels and APACHE-II score than survivor ones (n = 54). In ROC analysis was found that the area under the curve of serum CCCK-18 levels for 30-day mortality prediction was 90% (95% CI 82-95%; p < 0.001). In the multiple logistic regression analysis, we found an association between serum CCCK-18 levels and 30-day mortality (OR 1.034; 95% CI 1.013-1.055; p = 0.002). CONCLUSIONS: The novel finding of our study was that there is an association between high serum CCCK-18 levels and 30-day mortality in severe SIH patients.

High serum levels of caspase-cleaved cytokeratin-18 are associated with malignant middle cerebral artery infarction patient mortality.

BACKGROUND: There have been found apoptotic changes in brain tissue samples from humans after cerebral ischemia. Caspase-cleaved cytokeratin (CCCK)-18 could appears in blood during apoptosis. High circulating levels of CCCK-18 have been associated with a poor prognosis in patients with cerebral process, such as traumatic brain injury and spontaneous cerebral hemorrhage. However, they have not been explored in patients with ischemic stroke. Thus, the aim of this study was to determine whether there is an association between serum CCCK-18 levels and mortality in patients with severe malignant middle cerebral artery infarction (MMCAI). METHODS: This was an observational, prospective and multicentre study. We included patients with severe MMCAI. We considered MMCAI as severe when Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) was lower than 9. We measured serum CCCK-18 levels at the diagnosis moment of the severe MMCAI. RESULTS: We found that non-surviving severe MMCAI patients (n = 33) showed lower GCS and platelet count, and higher serum CCCK-18 levels than survivor ones (n = 33). We found an area under the curve (AUC) of serum CCCK-18 levels to predict 30-day mortality of 82% (95% CI = 71%-91%; p < 0.001). In the multiple logistic regression analysis was found that serum CCCK-18 levels were associated with 30-day mortality (OR = 1.023; 95% CI = 1.010-1.037; p = 0.001) after to control for platelet count and GCS. CONCLUSIONS: To our knowledge, this is the first series reporting data on serum CCCK-18 levels in ischemic stroke patients. The novel findings of our study were that non-surviving severe MMCAI patients had higher serum CCCK-18 levels than surviving patients, and that there is an association between high serum CCCK-18 levels and MMCAI patients mortality.

Serum melatonin levels in survivor and non-survivor patients with traumatic brain injury.

BACKGROUND: Circulating levels of melatonin in patients with traumatic brain injury (TBI) have been determined in a little number of studies with small sample size (highest sample size of 37 patients) and only were reported the comparison of serum melatonin levels between TBI patients and healthy controls. As to we know, the possible association between circulating levels of melatonin levels and mortality of patients with TBI have not been explored; thus, the objective of our current study was to determine whether this association actually exists. METHODS: This multicenter study included 118 severe TBI (Glasgow Coma Scale <9) patients. We measured serum levels of melatonin, malondialdehyde (to assess lipid peroxidation) and total antioxidant capacity (TAC) at day 1 of severe TBI. We used mortality at 30 days as endpoint. RESULTS: We found that non-survivor (n = 33) compared to survivor (n = 85) TBI patients showed higher circulating levels of melatonin (p < 0.001), TAC (p < 0.001) and MDA (p < 0.001). We found that serum melatonin levels predicted 30-day mortality (Odds ratio = 1.334; 95% confidence interval = 1.094-1.627; p = 0.004), after to control for GCS, CT findings and age. We found a correlation between serum levels of melatonin levels and serum levels of TAC (rho = 0.37; p < 0.001) and serum levels of MDA (rho = 0.24; p = 0.008). CONCLUSIONS: As to we know, our study is the largest series providing circulating melatonin levels in patients with severe TBI. The main findings were that non-survivors had higher serum melatonin levels than survivors, and the association between serum levels of melatonin levels and mortality, peroxidation state and antioxidant state.

Serum Levels of Substance P and Mortality in Patients with a Severe Acute Ischemic Stroke.

Substance P (SP), a member of tachykinin family, is involved in the inflammation of the central nervous system and in the appearance of cerebral edema. Higher serum levels of SP have been found in 18 patients with cerebral ischemia compared with healthy controls. The aim of our multi-center study was to analyze the possible association between serum levels of SP and mortality in ischemic stroke patients. We included patients with malignant middle cerebral artery infarction (MMCAI) and a Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) lower than 9. Non-surviving patients at 30 days (n = 31) had higher serum concentrations of SP levels at diagnosis of severe MMCAI than survivors (n = 30) (p < 0.001). We found in multiple regression an association between serum concentrations of SP higher than 362 pg/mL and mortality at 30 days (Odds Ratio = 5.33; 95% confidence interval = 1.541-18.470; p = 0.008) after controlling for age and GCS. Thus, the major novel finding of our study was the association between serum levels of SP and mortality in patients suffering from severe acute ischemic stroke.

Serum caspase-3 levels and mortality are associated in patients with severe traumatic brain injury.

BACKGROUND: Different apoptosis pathways activate caspase-3. In a study involving 27 patients with traumatic brain injury (TBI), higher caspase-3 levels were found in contusion brain tissue resected from non-survivors than from survivors. The objective of this study was to determine whether there is an association in TBI patients between serum caspase-3 levels (thus using an easier, quicker, less expensive and less invasive procedure) and mortality, in a larger series of patients. METHODS: We carried out a prospective, observational and multicenter study in six Spanish Hospital Intensive Care Units including 112 patients with severe TBI. All had Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) scores lower than 9. Patients with an Injury Severity Score (ISS) in non-cranial aspects higher than 9 were excluded. Blood samples were collected on day 1 of TBI to measure serum caspas-3 levels. The endpoint was 30-day mortality. RESULTS: We found that non-surviving patients (n = 31) showed higher (p = 0.003) serum caspase-3 levels compared to survivors (n = 81). Kaplan-Meier survival analysis showed a higher risk of death in TBI patients with serum caspase-3 levels >0.20 ng/mL than in patients with lower concentrations (Hazard Ratio = 3.15; 95% CI = 1.40 to 7.08; P < 0.001). Multiple logistic regression analysis showed that serum caspase-3 levels > 0.20 ng/mL were associated with mortality at 30 days in TBI patients controlling for Marshall CT classification, age and GCS (Odds ratio = 7.99; 95% CI = 2.116 to 36.744; P = 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The association between serum caspase-3 levels and mortality in TBI patients was the major novel finding of our study.

Total antioxidant capacity is associated with mortality of patients with severe traumatic brain injury.

BACKGROUND: Previously, circulating total antioxidant capacity (TAC) in traumatic brain injury (TBI) patients has been scarcely studied and only in studies of small sample size (lower than 55 TBI patients). In one study were found higher serum TAC in non-survivor than in survivor TBI patients; however, an association between circulating TAC and mortality in patients with TBI has not been previously reported. Thus, the objective of this study was to determine whether there is an association between circulating TAC, peroxidation state and mortality in patients with severe TBI. METHODS: This was a multicenter, observational and prospective study was carried out in six Spanish Intensive Care Units. We included patients with severe TBI defined as Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) lower than 9. We excluded patients with Injury Severity Score (ISS) in non-cranial aspects higher than 9. We measured serum TAC on day 1 of TBI. The 30-day mortality was established as endpoint. RESULTS: Non-surviving TBI patients (N = 27) showed higher serum TAC (P < 0.001) than survivor ones (N = 73). Logistic regression analyses showed that serum TAC higher than 2.59 nmol/mL were associated with 30-day mortality controlling for APACHE-II and CT classification (OR = 4.40; 95% CI = 1.14-16.98; P = 0.03), controlling for GCS and age (OR = 5.88; 95% CI = 1.57-22.06; P = 0.009), and controlling for CT classification and admission abnormal pupils (OR = 3.89; 95% CI = 1.30-11.61; P = 0.02). There was an association between serum TAC and malondialdehyde (a biomarker of lipid peroxidation) levels (rho = 0.25; p = 0.01), APACHE-II score (rho = 0.23; p = 0.03) and GCS (rho = -0.21; p = 0.04). CONCLUSIONS: To our knowledge, our series is the largest reporting data on circulating TAC in patients with severe TBI. The most relevant and new findings of our study were that there is an association between circulating TAC and peroxidation state and mortality in patients with severe TBI.

Serum tissue inhibitor of matrix metalloproteinase-1 levels are associated with mortality in patients with malignant middle cerebral artery infarction.

BACKGROUND: In the last years, circulating matrix metalloproteinases (MMP)-9 levels have been associated with functional outcome in ischemic stroke patients. However the prognostic value of circulating levels of tissue inhibitor of matrix metalloproteinases (TIMP)-1 and MMP-10 in functional outcome of ischemic stroke patients has been scarcely studied. In addition, to our knowledge, serum MMP-9, MMP-10 and TIMP-1 levels in patients with malignant middle cerebral artery infarction (MMCAI) for mortality prediction have not been studied, and these were the objectives of this study. METHODS: This was a multicenter, observational and prospective study carried out in six Spanish Intensive Care Units. We included patients with severe MMCAI defined as Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) lower than 9. We measured circulating levels of MMP-9, MMP-10, TIMP-1, in 50 patients with severe MMCAI at diagnosis and in 50 healthy subjects. Endpoint was 30-day mortality. RESULTS: Patients with severe MMCAI showed higher serum levels of MMP-9 (p = 0.001), MMP-10 (p < 0.001), and TIMP-1 (p = 0.02) than healthy subjects. Non-surviving MMCAI patients (n = 26) compared to survivor ones (n = 24) showed higher circulating levels of TIMP-1 (p < 0.001), MMP-10 (p = 0.02) and PAI-1(p = 0.02), and lower MMP-9 levels (p = 0.04). Multiple binomial logistic regression analysis showed that serum TIMP-1 levels > 239 ng/mL are associated with 30-day mortality (OR = 5.82; 95% CI = 1.37-24.73; P = 0.02) controlling for GCS and age. The area under the curve for TIMP-1 as predictor of 30-day mortality was 0.81 (95% CI = 0.67-0.91; P < 0.001). We found an association between circulating levels of TIMP-1 and MMP-10 (rho = 0.45; P = 0.001), plasminogen activator inhibitor (PAI)-1 (rho = 0.53; P < 0.001), and tumor necrosis factor (TNF)-alpha (rho = 0.70; P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: The most relevant and new findings of our study, were that serum TIMP-1 levels in MMCAI patients were associated with mortality, and could be used as a prognostic biomarker of mortality in MMCAI patients.

Serum substance P levels are associated with severity and mortality in patients with severe traumatic brain injury.

INTRODUCTION: Substance P (SP) is a member of the tachykinin family of neuropeptides, which are widely distributed throughout the central nervous system (CNS) and actively involved in inflammatory processes. SP is released early following acute injury to the CNS, promoting a neurogenic inflammatory response characterized by an increase in the permeability of the blood-brain barrier and the development of vasogenic edema. High levels of SP could lead to an exacerbated inflammatory response that could be fatal for patients with traumatic brain injury (TBI). Thus, the main goal of the present study was to determine whether serum SP levels are associated with injury severity and mortality in patients with severe TBI. METHODS: This multicenter, observational, prospective study was carried out in six Spanish intensive care units and included patients with Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) scores ≤ 8. Patients with an Injury Severity Score ≥ 10 in non-cranial aspects were excluded. Blood samples were collected on day 1 of TBI to measure serum SP levels. The endpoint was 30-day mortality. RESULTS: We found higher serum SP levels (P = 0.002) in non-surviving patients (n = 27) than in surviving patients (n = 73). The area under the curve for serum SP levels with regard to predicting 30-day mortality was 0.70 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.60 to 0.79; P < 0.001). Survival analysis showed that patients with serum SP levels >299 pg/ml had higher 30-day mortality than patients with lower levels (hazard ratio = 3.7; 95% CI, 1.75 to 7.94; P < 0.001). Multiple binomial logistic regression analysis showed that serum SP levels >299 pg/ml were associated with 30-day mortality when we controlled for APACHE II score and Marshall computed tomography lesion classification (odds ratio (OR) = 5.97; 95% CI, 1.432 to 24.851; P = 0.01) and for GCS score and age (OR = 5.71; 95% CI, 1.461 to 22.280; P = 0.01). We found a negative association between serum SP levels and GCS score (Spearman's ρ = -0.22; P = 0.03). CONCLUSIONS: We report, for the first time to our knowledge, that serum SP levels were associated with injury severity and mortality in patients with severe TBI. These results open the possibility that SP antagonists may be useful in the treatment of patients with severe TBI.

Association between Serum Soluble CD154 Levels and Mortality in Patients with Malignant Middle Cerebral Artery Infarction.

BACKGROUND: CD154 and its soluble counterpart (sCD154) are proteins of the tumor necrosis factor (TNF) family and exhibit proinflamatory and procoagulant properties. Higher circulating sCD154 levels have been found in ischemic stroke patients than in controls. However, the association between circulating sCD154 levels and mortality in ischemic stroke patients has not been reported, and was the focus of this study. METHODS: This was a multicenter, observational and prospective study carried out in six Spanish Intensive Care Units. We measured serum sCD154 from 50 patients with severe malignant middle cerebral artery infarction (MMCAI), defined as Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) lower than 9, at the moment of the severe MMCAI diagnosis and from 50 healthy controls. The end-point of the study was 30-day mortality. RESULTS: We found higher serum sCD154 levels in patients with severe MMCAI than in healthy controls (p < 0.001). We found higher serum sCD154 levels (p < 0.001) in non-surviving (n = 26) than in surviving MMCAI patients (n = 24). Multiple binomial logistic regression analysis showed that serum sCD154 levels >1.41 ng/mmL were associated with 30-day mortality (OR = 10.25; 95% CI = 2.34-44.95; p = 0.002). CONCLUSIONS: The new more important finding of our study was that serum sCD154 levels in MMCAI patients were associated with mortality.

Serum tissue inhibitor of MMP-1 levels at any moment of the first week of spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage may predict early mortality.

Aim: To determine whether serum levels of MMP-9 and tissue inhibitor of matrix metalloproteinases (TIMP)-1 during the first week after spontaneous intracerebral hemorrhage (SIH) could be used for mortality prediction. Materials & methods: We included 117 patients with severe supratentorial SIH (defined as Glasgow Coma Scale <9). We determined serum concentrations of MMP-9 and TIMP-1 at days 1, 4 and 8 of severe SIH diagnosis. Results: The area under curve of serum TIMP-1 concentrations at days 1, 4 and 8 to predict 30-day mortality of 75% (p < 0.001), 82% (p < 0.001) and 73% (p < 0.001). Conclusion: Thus, the novel findings of our study were that serum levels of TIMP-1 during the first week of SIH may be used for mortality prediction.