Work-family conflict, financial issues and their association with self-reported health complaints among ready-made garment workers in Bangladesh: a cross-sectional study.

OBJECTIVES: This study aims to quantify the degree of work-family conflict (WFC) and financial issues among ready-made garment (RMG) workers in Bangladesh and to investigate their potential associations with self-reported health outcomes. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional survey among 1118 RMG workers in labor colonies in Dhaka, Bangladesh, in February and March 2021. Descriptive analyses were performed to characterize WFC (i.e., family life disturbing the job or facing problems in family due to the job) and financial issues (i.e., savings, debt, financial obligations, financial support). We ran multivariable Poisson regression models to examine possible associations between WFC and financial issues and workers' health (self-reported general health and 10 specific health complaints). RESULTS: We found low levels of WFC, low levels of savings, moderate levels of debt, and high levels of financial obligations: virtually all workers agreed they had to keep their job to financially support their spouse, children or other relatives. Only about a third of workers expected they would be able to receive financial support in case of a job loss. Work-family conflict was positively associated with poor health but not consistently with specific symptoms. Financial support was negatively associated, whereas being indebted was weakly positively associated with poor health. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest low levels of WFC among RMG workers but high levels of financial obligations. Work-family conflict was positively associated with poor health, but not consistently with specific symptoms. Being indebted was weakly positively associated with poor health. Future prospective studies are needed to confirm these findings.

Social stressors and social resources at work and their association with self-reported health complaints among ready-made garment workers in Bangladesh: a cross-sectional study.

BACKGROUND: Bangladesh is one of the world's largest garment exporters. Physical working conditions of garment workers are precarious and known to largely affect their health. Research on garment workers' psychosocial working conditions, however, is scarce. We aimed to quantify psychosocial working conditions of garment workers and possible associations with workers' health. METHODS: We conducted a cross-sectional survey among 1,118 ready-made garment (RMG) workers in labor colonies in Dhaka, Bangladesh, in February 2021. Descriptive analyses were performed to characterize social stressors (e.g., being bullied at work, poor leadership) and social resources at work (e.g., receiving support at work, vertical trust between management and employees, beneficial leadership) and workers' health (self-reported overall health and 10 specific health complaints). To examine links of social stressors and social resources with self-reported health outcomes we ran multivariable Poisson regression models yielding prevalence ratios (PR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). RESULTS: We found low to moderate levels of workplace bullying and high levels of poor leadership (i.e., supervisors not caring about workers' problems). We also found high levels of social support, vertical trust and beneficial leadership (i.e., supervisors taking decisions free of bias). Garment workers frequently suffered from health complaints, first and foremost headache (68.3%), cold (55.3%), and back pain (50.7%). Health outcomes were poorer among workers who reported to be bullied at work versus not bullied (e.g., PR 1.55 [95% CI 1.32-1.92] for poor self-reported health when bullied by colleagues) and health was better among those reporting to feel supported versus unsupported (e.g., PR 0.61 [0.52-0.71] for poor self-reported health when supported by supervisor). Perceived vertical trust between workers and management was weakly associated with better health. Leadership behavior did not display a consistent pattern. CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that working conditions of RMG workers are rather good (e.g., characterized by low levels of bullying and high levels of support, vertical trust and beneficial leadership). The majority of workers reported good or very good health, although health complaints were frequently mentioned, first and foremost headache, cold, and back pain. Associations between psychosocial working conditions and health indicate worse working conditions being associated with poorer health.

Randomised trial showed that rapid rehydration of severely malnourished children with dehydrating diarrhoea was as safe and effective as slow rehydration.

AIM: This study evaluated the effectiveness and safety of rapid and slow rehydration in children aged 6-60 months with dehydrating diarrhoea and severe malnutrition. METHODS: A randomised controlled trial was conducted from July 2011 to March 2014 at the International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research Bangladesh. We included children with weight for age and, or, weight for length Z-scores of less than -3 or with bipedal oedema and acute diarrhoea with severe dehydration. The children received intravenous fluid at different rates: 105 rapidly over six hours and 103 slowly over the 12 hours recommended by the World Health Organization. RESULTS: All the children were successfully rehydrated. The admittance weights were similar for the slow and rapid groups: 8.4 kg and 8.3 kg. After 24 hours, the mean percentage weight gain was 8.5% and 9.0%, respectively. This confirmed that most of the children had been suffering from severe dehydration on admission. The respective proportions of children who received unscheduled intravenous fluid were 18% and 17%. None developed fluid overload or heart failure and most recovered normal renal function after rehydration. CONCLUSION: Rapid rehydration saved time, was as safe as slow rehydration and was a better option for dehydrating diarrhoea and severe malnutrition.

Comparison of echocardiographic parameters with cardiac magnetic resonance imaging in the assessment of right ventricular function.

INTRODUCTION: The right ventricle (RV) strain measured by speckle tracking (RVS) is an echocardiographic parameter used to assess RV function. We compared RVS to RV fractional area change (FAC%), tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE) and Doppler tissue imaging-derived peak systolic velocity (S') in the assessment of right ventricular (RV) systolic function measured using cardiac magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). METHODS: We enrolled consecutive patients who underwent cardiac MRI between Jan 2012 and Dec 2017 and a transthoracic echocardiogram (TTE) within 1 month of the MRI with no interval event. Baseline clinical characteristics and MRI parameters were extracted from chart review. Echocardiographic parameters were measured prospectively. TTE parameters including RVS, TAPSE, S', and FAC% were tested for accuracy to identify impaired RV EF (EF < 45% & <30%) using receiver operator curves. RESULTS: The study cohort included 500 patients with mean age 55 years ± 18 and peak tricuspid regurgitation velocity 2.7 ± 1.4 m/s. The area under ROC for RVS was 0.69 (95% CI 0.63-0.75) and 0.78 (95% CI 0.70-0.88) to predict RVEF < 45% & RVEF < 30%, respectively. The RV FAC% had second highest accuracy of predicting RVEF among all the TTE parameters tested in study. CONCLUSION: Right ventricular strain is the most accurate echocardiographic method to detect impaired right ventricular systolic function when using MRI as the gold standard.

Day clinic vs. hospital care of pneumonia and severe malnutrition in children under five: a randomised trial.

OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the clinical outcomes and costs of managing pneumonia and severe malnutrition in a day clinic (DC) management model (outpatient) vs. hospital care (inpatient). METHODS: Randomised clinical trial where children aged 2 months to 5 years with pneumonia and severe malnutrition were randomly allocated to DC or inpatient hospital care. We used block randomisation of variable length from 8 to 20 and produced computer-generated random numbers that were assigned to one of the two interventions. Successful management was defined as resolution of clinical signs of pneumonia and being discharged from the model of care (DC or hospital) without need for referral to a hospital (DC), or referral to another hospital. All the children in both DC and hospital received intramuscular ceftriaxone, daily nutrition support and micronutrients. RESULTS: Four hundred and seventy children were randomly assigned to either DC or hospital care. Successful management was achieved for 184 of 235 (78.3%) by DC alone, vs. 201 of 235 (85.5%) by hospital inpatient care [RR (95% CI) = 0.79 (0.65-0.97), P = 0.02]. During 6 months of follow-up, 30/235 (12.8%) in the DC group and 36/235 (15.3%) required readmission to hospital in the hospital care group [RR (95% CI) = 0.89 (0.67-1.18), P = 0.21]. The average overall healthcare and societal cost was 34% lower in DC (US$ 188 ± 11.7) than in hospital (US$ 285 ± 13.6) (P < 0.001), and costs for households were 33% lower. CONCLUSIONS: There was a 7% greater probability of successful management of pneumonia and severe malnutrition when inpatient hospital care rather than the outpatient day clinic care was the initial method of care. However, where timely referral mechanisms were in place, 94% of children with pneumonia and severe malnutrition were successfully managed initially in a day clinic, and costs were substantially lower than with hospital admission.

OBJECTIFS: Evaluer les résultats cliniques et les coûts de la prise en charge de la pneumonie et de la malnutrition sévère dans un modèle de prise en charge en clinique de jour (CJ) (patients ambulatoires) par rapport à des soins hospitaliers (patients hospitalisés). MÉTHODES: Essai clinique randomisé où les enfants âgés de 2 mois à 5 ans avec une pneumonie et une malnutrition sévère ont été répartis de façon aléatoire en CJ ou à des soins hospitaliers. Nous avons utilisé la randomisation par blocs de longueur variable de 8 à 20 et avons généré des nombres aléatoires par ordinateur qui ont été attribués à l'une des deux interventions. Une prise en charge réussie a été définie comme la résolution des signes cliniques de pneumonie et la sortie du modèle de soins (CJ ou hospitalisation) sans nécessiter un transfert à un hôpital (CJ), ni à un autre hôpital. Tous les enfants du bras CJ et du bras soins hospitaliers ont reçu de la ceftriaxone par voie intramusculaire, un soutien nutritionnel quotidien et des micronutriments. RÉSULTATS: 470 enfants ont été assignés aléatoirement soit à des soins en CJ ou hospitaliers. Une prise en charge réussie a été obtenue pour 184 patients sur 235 (78,3%) en CJ seule contre 201 sur 235 (85,5%) en soins hospitaliers [RR (IC95%) = 0,79 (0,65 - 0,97), p = 0,02]. Au cours des six mois de suivi, 30/235 (12,8%) du groupe CJ et 36/235 (15,3%) du groupe soins hospitaliers ont nécessité une réadmission à l'hôpital [RR (IC95%) = 0,89 (0,67 - 1,18), p = 0,21]. Le coût moyen global des soins de santé et pour la société était de 34% plus faible dans le groupe CJ (188 ± 11,7 USD) que dans le groupe soins hospitaliers (285 ± 13,6 USD) (p < 0,001) et les coûts pour les ménages étaient de 33% inférieurs. CONCLUSIONS: La probabilité d'une prise en charge réussie de la pneumonie et de la malnutrition sévère était 7% plus élevée lorsque les soins hospitaliers plutôt que les soins en CJ étaient les moyens initiaux. Cependant, là où des mécanismes de référence rapides étaient en place, 94% des enfants atteints de pneumonie et de malnutrition sévère ont été pris en charge avec succès dans une clinique de jour et les coûts étaient nettement inférieurs à ceux de soins hospitaliers.

Bubble continuous positive airway pressure for children with severe pneumonia and hypoxaemia in Bangladesh: an open, randomised controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: In developing countries, mortality in children with very severe pneumonia is high, even with the provision of appropriate antibiotics, standard oxygen therapy, and other supportive care. We assessed whether oxygen therapy delivered by bubble continuous positive airway pressure (CPAP) improved outcomes compared with standard low-flow and high-flow oxygen therapies. METHODS: This open, randomised, controlled trial took place in Dhaka Hospital of the International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh. We randomly assigned children younger than 5 years with severe pneumonia and hypoxaemia to receive oxygen therapy by either bubble CPAP (5 L/min starting at a CPAP level of 5 cm H2O), standard low-flow nasal cannula (2 L/min), or high-flow nasal cannula (2 L/kg per min up to the maximum of 12 L/min). Randomisation was done with use of the permuted block methods (block size of 15 patients) and Fisher and Yates tables of random permutations. The primary outcome was treatment failure (ie, clinical failure, intubation and mechanical ventilation, death, or termination of hospital stay against medical advice) after more than 1 h of treatment. Primary and safety analyses were by intention to treat. We did two interim analyses and stopped the trial after the second interim analysis on Aug 3, 2013, as directed by the data safety and monitoring board. This trial is registered at ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT01396759. FINDINGS: Between Aug 4, 2011, and July 17, 2013, 225 eligible children were recruited. We randomly allocated 79 (35%) children to receive oxygen therapy by bubble CPAP, 67 (30%) to low-flow oxygen therapy, and 79 (35%) to high-flow oxygen therapy. Treatment failed for 31 (14%) children, of whom five (6%) had received bubble CPAP, 16 (24%) had received low-flow oxygen therapy, and ten (13%) had received high-flow oxygen therapy. Significantly fewer children in the bubble CPAP group had treatment failure than in the low-flow oxygen therapy group (relative risk [RR] 0·27, 99·7% CI 0·07-0·99; p=0·0026). No difference in treatment failure was noted between patients in the bubble CPAP and those in the high-flow oxygen therapy group (RR 0·50, 99·7% 0·11-2·29; p=0·175). 23 (10%) children died. Three (4%) children died in the bubble CPAP group, ten (15%) children died in the low-flow oxygen therapy group, and ten (13%) children died in the high-flow oxygen therapy group. Children who received oxygen by bubble CPAP had significantly lower rates of death than the children who received oxygen by low-flow oxygen therapy (RR 0·25, 95% CI 0·07-0·89; p=0·022). INTERPRETATION: Oxygen therapy delivered by bubble CPAP improved outcomes in Bangladeshi children with very severe pneumonia and hypoxaemia compared with standard low-flow oxygen therapy. Use of bubble CPAP oxygen therapy could have a large effect in hospitals in developing countries where the only respiratory support for severe childhood pneumonia and hypoxaemia is low-flow oxygen therapy. The trial was stopped early because of higher mortality in the low-flow oxygen group than in the bubble CPAP group, and we acknowledge that the early cessation of the trial reduces the certainty of the findings. Further research is needed to test the feasibility of scaling up bubble CPAP in district hospitals and to improve bubble CPAP delivery technology. FUNDING: International Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh, and Centre for International Child Health, University of Melbourne.

Observational follow-up study on a cohort of children with severe pneumonia after discharge from a day-care clinic in Dhaka, Bangladesh.

Compliance, morbidity, mortality, and hospitalization during fortnightly follow-up were evaluated by an observational study on a cohort of children with severe and very severe pneumonia after day-care treatment at an urban clinic. The primary outcome measures were proportions of success (compliance) and failure (non-compliance) of follow-up visits at the day-care clinic. In total, 251 children were followed up, with median (IQR) age of 5.0 (3.0-9.0) months, and their compliance dropped from 92% at the first to 85% at the sixth visit. Cough (28%), fever (20%), and rapid breathing (13%) were common morbidities. Successful follow-up visits were possible in 180 (95.2%) and 56 (90.3%) of the children with severe and very severe pneumonia respectively. Eleven (4.4%) needed hospitalization, and four (1.6%) died. Majority (approximately 90%) of the children could be successfully followed up; some failed to attend their scheduled follow-up visits due to hospitalization and death. The common morbidities indicate the importance of follow-up for detecting medical problems and early treatment, thus reducing risk of death.

Prevalence, clinical predictors, and outcome of hypocalcaemia in severely-malnourished under-five children admitted to an urban hospital in Bangladesh: a case-control study.

Hypocalcaemia is common in severely-malnourished children and is often associated with fatal outcome. There is very limited information on the clinical predicting factors of hypocalcaemia in hospitalized severely-malnourished under-five children. Our objective was to evaluate the prevalence, clinical predicting factors, and outcome of hypocalcaemia in such children. In this case-control study, all severely-malnourished under-five children (n=333) admitted to the Longer Stay Ward (LSW), High Dependency Unit (HDU), and Intensive Care Unit (ICU) of the Dhaka Hospital of icddr,b between April 2011 and April 2012, who also had their total serum calcium estimated, were enrolled. Those who presented with hypocalcaemia (serum calcium <2.12 mmol/L) constituted the cases (n=87), and those admitted without hypocalcaemia (n=246) constituted the control group in our analysis. The prevalence of hypocalcaemia among severely-malnourished under-five children was 26% (87/333). The fatality rate among cases was significantly higher than that in the controls (17% vs 5%; p < 0.001). Using logistic regression analysis, after adjusting for potential confounders, such as vomiting, abdominal distension, and diastolic hypotension, we identified acute watery diarrhoea (AWD) (OR 2.19, 95% CI 1.08-4.43, p = 0.030), convulsion on admission (OR 21.86, 95% CI 2.57-185.86, p = 0.005), and lethargy (OR 2.70, 95% CI 1.633-5.46, p = 0.006) as independent predictors of hypocalcaemia in severely-malnourished children. It is concluded, severely-malnourished children presenting with hypocalcaemia have an increased risk of death than those without hypocalcaemia. AWD, convulsion, and lethargy assessed on admission to hospital are the clinical predictors of hypocalcaemia in such children. Presence of these features in hospitalized children with severe acute malnutrition (SAM) should alert clinicians about the possibility of hypocalcaemia and may help undertake potential preventive measures, such as calcium supplementation, in addition to other aspects of management of such children, especially in the resource-poor settings.

Interstitial lung disease and profound hypoxaemia in a severely-malnourished child with very severe pneumonia and potential lymph-node tuberculosis: an uncommon but serious co-morbidity.

A nine-month old boy was initially admitted at the Acute Respiratory Infection Unit of Dhaka Hospital of icddr,b and soon after transferred to the Intensive Care Unit of the same hospital. The boy had problems of very severe pneumonia (confirmed by radiology), severe hypoxaemia, severe malnutrition, and Down's syndrome. The patient was treated according to the hospital protocol for the management of pneumonia and malnutrition. During the hospital stay, hypoxaemia was persistent with very little improvement of pneumonia; a number of differentials, such as pneumocystis jirovecii pneumonia, lymph-node tuberculosis, were added to the problems. Subsequently, the patient's hypoxaemia improved with the empirical use of antitubercular drugs. However, the patient again developed persistent hypoxaemia and, after unsuccessful treatment for a hospital-acquired pneumonia, the problems further expanded to include interstitial lung disease (ILD). This was confirmed by high-resolution computed tomography, and the patient was treated with prednisolone for 6 months, along with antitubercular drugs. He fully recovered from ILD, hypoxaemia, and pneumonia both clinically and radiologically. Therefore, severely-malnourished children having wet cough and pneumonia with persistent hypoxaemia should be assessed for the possible existence of interstitial lung disease. This may help provide a prompt and appropriate management to reduce morbidity and deaths in such patients.

Pulmonary tuberculosis in severely-malnourished or HIV-infected children with pneumonia: a review.

Presentation of pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) as acute pneumonia in severely-malnourished and HIV-positive children has received very little attention, although this is very important in the management of pneumonia in children living in communities where TB is highly endemic. Our aim was to identify confirmed TB in children with acute pneumonia and HIV infection and/or severe acute malnutrition (SAM) (weight-for-length/height or weight-for-age z score <-3 of the WHO median, or presence of nutritional oedema). We conducted a literature search, using PubMed and Web of Science in April 2013 for the period from January 1974 through April 2013. We included only those studies that reported confirmed TB identified by acid fast bacilli (AFB) through smear microscopy, or by culture-positive specimens from children with acute pneumonia and SAM and/or HIV infection. The specimens were collected either from induced sputum (IS), or gastric lavage (GL), or broncho-alveolar lavage (BAL), or percutaneous lung aspirates (LA). Pneumonia was defined as the radiological evidence of lobar or patchy consolidation and/or clinical evidence of severe/ very severe pneumonia according to the WHO criteria of acute respiratory infection. A total of 17 studies met our search criteria but 6 were relevant for our review. Eleven studies were excluded as those did not assess the HIV status of the children or specify the nutritional status of the children with acute pneumonia and TB. We identified only 747 under-five children from the six relevant studies that determined a tubercular aetiology of acute pneumonia in children with SAM and/or positive HIV status. Three studies were reported from South Africa and one each from the Gambia, Ethiopia, and Thailand where 610, 90, 35, and 12 children were enrolled and 64 (10%), 23 (26%), 5 (14%), and 1 (8%) children were identified with active TB respectively, with a total of 93 (12%) children with active TB. Among 610 HIV-infected children in three studies from South Africa and 137 SAM children from other studies, 64 (10%) and 29 (21%) isolates of M. tuberculosis were identified respectively. Children from South Africa were infected with HIV without specification of their nutritional status whereas children from other countries had SAM but without indication of their HIV status. Our review of the existing data suggests that pulmonary tuberculosis may be more common than it is generally suspected in children with acute pneumonia and SAM, or HIV infection. Because of the scarcity of data, there is an urgent need to investigate PTB as one of the potential aetiologies of acute pneumonia in these children in a carefully-conducted larger study, especially outside Africa.

Workplace stressors and their association with hair cortisol concentrations among ready-made garment workers in Bangladesh: A cross-sectional study.

OBJECTIVES: Psychosocial working conditions of ready-made garment (RMG) workers have been associated with poorer self-reported health outcomes. However, no such research has been done with respect to physiological markers that are considered to reflect stress. We consequently aimed to investigate associations of psychosocial working conditions with such a marker, that is, hair cortisol, among RMG workers in Bangladesh. METHODS: We conducted semi-structured face-to-face interviews in labor colonies in the Mirpur area, Dhaka, Bangladesh, in February and March 2021 with individuals identifying as garment workers. The interview inquired after various workplace stressors and resources (i.e., workplace support, workplace bullying, vertical trust, beneficial leadership, work-family conflict, and financial issues including savings, debts, financial obligations, and financial support). In addition, hair samples of 2 cm length were collected from participants. Hair cortisol concentrations (HCC) were determined based on liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry (LC-MS/MS). Linear regression models were run to detect possible associations of workplace stressors and resources with HCC. RESULTS: In total, data of 576 participants were included in the analysis (71.9% female, mean age = 25.9 years). Mean HCC was 4.4 pg/mg (standard deviation = 2.1 pg/mg). The sole variable significantly associated with increased HCC was "having to keep your job to support your children or spouse financially" (ß = 0.28 [95% confidence interval 0.02-0.55]). CONCLUSIONS: The sole workplace stressor significantly associated with increased HCC was the necessity to keep one's job to support children or spouse financially. This observation can, however, barely be disentangled from the fact that one has children/a spouse.

Safety and efficacy of balloon angioplasty compared to stent-based-strategies with pulmonary vein stenosis: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Pulmonary vein stenosis (PVS) is an uncommon but known cause of morbidity and mortality in adults and children and can be managed with percutaneous re-vascularization strategies of pulmonary vein balloon angioplasty (PBA) or pulmonary vein stent implantation (PSI). AIM: To study the safety and efficacy outcomes of PBA vs PSI in all patient categories with PVS. METHODS: We performed a literature search of all studies comparing outcomes of patients evaluated by PBA vs PSI for PVS. We selected all published studies comparing PBA vs PSI for PVS with reported outcomes of restenosis and procedure-related complications in all patient categories. In adults, PVS following atrial fibrillation ablation and in children PVS related to congenital etiology or post-procedural PVS following total or partial anomalous pulmonary venous return repair were included. The patient-centered outcomes were risk of restenosis requiring re-intervention and procedural-related complications. The meta-analysis was performed by computing odds ratios (ORs) using the random effects model based on underlying statistical heterogeneity. RESULTS: Eight observational studies treating 768 severe PVS in 487 patients met our inclusion criteria. The age range of patients was 6 months to 70 years and 67% were males. The primary outcome of the re-stenosis requiring re-intervention occurred in 196 of 325 veins in the PBA group and 111 of 443 veins in the PSI group. Compared to PSI, PBA was associated with a significantly increased risk of re-stenosis (OR 2.91, 95%CI: 1.15-7.37, P = 0.025, I 2 = 79.2%). Secondary outcomes of the procedure-related complications occurred in 7 of 122 patients in the PBA group and 6 of 69 in the PSI group. There were no statistically significant differences in the safety outcomes between the two groups (OR: 0.94, 95%CI: 0.23-3.76, P = 0.929), I 2 = 0.0%). CONCLUSION: Across all patient categories with PVS, PSI is associated with reduced risk of re-intervention and is as safe as PBA and should be considered first-line therapy for PVS.

Prediction of permanent pacemaker implantation after transcatheter aortic valve replacement: The role of machine learning.

BACKGROUND: Atrioventricular block requiring permanent pacemaker (PPM) implantation is an important complication of transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR). Application of machine learning could potentially be used to predict pre-procedural risk for PPM. AIM: To apply machine learning to be used to predict pre-procedural risk for PPM. METHODS: A retrospective study of 1200 patients who underwent TAVR (January 2014-December 2017) was performed. 964 patients without prior PPM were included for a 30-d analysis and 657 patients without PPM requirement through 30 d were included for a 1-year analysis. After the exclusion of variables with near-zero variance or ≥ 50% missing data, 167 variables were included in the random forest gradient boosting algorithm (GBM) optimized using 5-fold cross-validations repeated 10 times. The receiver operator curve (ROC) for the GBM model and PPM risk score models were calculated to predict the risk of PPM at 30 d and 1 year. RESULTS: Of 964 patients included in the 30-d analysis without prior PPM, 19.6% required PPM post-TAVR. The mean age of patients was 80.9 ± 8.7 years. 42.1 % were female. Of 657 patients included in the 1-year analysis, the mean age of the patients was 80.7 ± 8.2. Of those, 42.6% of patients were female and 26.7% required PPM at 1-year post-TAVR. The area under ROC to predict 30-d and 1-year risk of PPM for the GBM model (0.66 and 0.72) was superior to that of the PPM risk score (0.55 and 0.54) with a P value < 0.001. CONCLUSION: The GBM model has good discrimination and calibration in identifying patients at high risk of PPM post-TAVR.

Using Artificial Intelligence in Predicting Ischemic Stroke Events After Percutaneous Coronary Intervention.

BACKGROUND: Ischemic stroke (IS) is an uncommon but severe complication in patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Despite significant morbidity and economic cost associated with post PCI IS, a validated risk prediction model is not currently available. AIMS: We aim to develop a machine learning model that predicts IS after PCI. METHODS: We analyzed data from Mayo Clinic CathPCI registry from 2003 to 2018. Baseline clinical and demographic data, electrocardiography (ECG), intra/post-procedural data, and echocardiographic variables were abstracted. A random forest (RF) machine learning model and a logistic regression (LR) model were developed. The receiver operator characteristic (ROC) analysis was used to assess model performance in predicting IS at 6-month, 1-, 2-, and 5-years post-PCI. RESULTS: A total of 17,356 patients were included in the final analysis. The mean age of this cohort was 66.9 ± 12.5 years, and 70.7% were male. Post-PCI IS was noted in 109 patients (.6%) at 6 months, 132 patients (.8%) at 1 year, 175 patients (1%) at 2 years, and 264 patients (1.5%) at 5 years. The area under the curve of the RF model was superior to the LR model in predicting ischemic stroke at 6 months, 1-, 2-, and 5-years. Periprocedural stroke was the strongest predictor of IS post discharge. CONCLUSIONS: The RF model accurately predicts short- and long-term risk of IS and outperforms logistic regression analysis in patients undergoing PCI. Patients with periprocedural stroke may benefit from aggressive management to reduce the future risk of IS.

Effectiveness, safety and economic viability of daycare versus usual hospital care management of severe pneumonia with or without malnutrition in children using the existing health system of Bangladesh: a cluster randomised controlled trial.

Background: We aimed to define clinical and cost-effectiveness of a Day Care Approach (DCA) alternative to Usual Care (UC, comparison group) within the Bangladesh health system to manage severe childhood pneumonia. Methods: This was a cluster randomised controlled trial in urban Dhaka and rural Bangladesh between November 1, 2015 and March 23, 2019. Children aged 2-59 months with severe pneumonia with or without malnutrition received DCA or UC. The DCA treatment settings comprised of urban primary health care clinics run by NGO under Dhaka South City Corporation and in rural Union health and family welfare centres under the Ministry of Health and Family welfare Services. The UC treatment settings were hospitals in these respective areas. Primary outcome was treatment failure (persistence of pneumonia symptoms, referral or death). We performed both intention-to-treat and per-protocol analysis for treatment failure. Registered at www.ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT02669654. Findings: In total 3211 children were enrolled, 1739 in DCA and 1472 in UC; primary outcome data were available in 1682 and 1357 in DCA and UC, respectively. Treatment failure rate was 9.6% among children in DCA (167 of 1739) and 13.5% in the UC (198 of 1472) (group difference, -3.9 percentage point; 95% confidence interval (CI), -4.8 to -1.5, p = 0.165). Treatment success within the health care systems [DCA plus referral vs. UC plus referral, 1587/1739 (91.3%) vs. 1283/1472 (87.2%), group difference 4.1 percentage point, 95% CI, 3.7 to 4.1, p = 0.160)] was better in DCA. One child each in UC of both urban and rural sites died within day 6 after admission. Average cost of treatment per child was US$94.2 (95% CI, 92.2 to 96.3) and US$184.8 (95% CI, 178.6 to 190.9) for DCA and UC, respectively. Interpretation: In our population of children with severe pneumonia with or without malnutrition, >90% were successfully treated at Day care Clinics at 50% lower cost. A modest investment to upgrade Day care facilities may provide a cost-effective, accessible alternative to hospital management. Funding: UNICEF, Botnar Foundation, UBS Optimus Foundation, and EAGLE Foundation, Switzerland.

Clinical predictors and outcome of hypoxaemia among under-five diarrhoeal children with or without pneumonia in an urban hospital, Dhaka, Bangladesh.

OBJECTIVE: To explore the predictors and outcome of hypoxaemia in children under 5 years of age who were hospitalized for the management of diarrhoea in Dhaka, where comorbidities are common. METHODS: In a prospective cohort study, we enrolled all children <5 years of age admitted to the special care ward (SCW) of the Dhaka Hospital of ICDDR,B from September to December 2007. Those who presented with hypoxaemia (SpO(2) < 90%) constituted the study group, and those without hypoxaemia formed the comparison group. RESULTS: A total of 258 children were enrolled, all had diarrhoea. Of the total, 198 (77%) had pneumonia and 106 (41%) had severe malnutrition (<-3 Z-score of weight for age of the median of the National Centre for Health Statistics), 119 (46%) had hypoxaemia and 138 children did not have hypoxaemia at the time of admission. Children with hypoxaemia had a higher probability of a fatal outcome (21%vs. 4%; P < 0.001). Using logistic regression analysis, the independent predictors of hypoxaemia at the time of presentation were lower chest wall indrawing [OR 6.91, 95% confidence intervals (CI) 3.66-13.08, P < 0.001], nasal flaring (OR 3.22, 95% CI 1.45-7.17, P = 0.004) and severe sepsis (OR 4.48, 95% CI 1.62-12.42, P = 0.004). CONCLUSION: In this seriously ill population of children with diarrhoea and comorbidities, hypoxaemia was associated with high case-fatality rates. Independent clinical predictors of hypoxaemia in this population, identifiable at the time of admission, were lower chest wall indrawing, nasal flaring and the clinical syndrome of severe sepsis.

A follow-up experience of 6 months after treatment of children with severe acute malnutrition in Dhaka, Bangladesh.

AIM: As there is lack of information about what happens to children after recovery from severe acute malnutrition (SAM), we report their relapse, morbidity, mortality and referral during follow-up period. METHODS: From February 2001 to November 2003, 180 children completing acute and nutrition rehabilitation (NR) phases of protocolized management were advised for 6-months follow-up. The mean (SD) age was 12 (5) months, 55% were infants, 53% were male and 68% were breast-fed. RESULTS: The follow-up compliance rate dropped from 91% at first to 49% at tenth visit. The common morbidities following discharge included fever (26%), cough (24%) and diarrhoea (20%). Successful follow-up done in 124 children [68.9% (95% CI 61.8-75.2%)], partial follow-up in 45 [25% (95% CI 19.2-31.8%)], relapse in 32 [17.8% (95% CI 12.9-24%)] and 5 [2.8% (95% CI 1.2-6.3%)] died. CONCLUSION: Our findings highlight need for follow-up as part of overall management of SAM and recommend an effective community follow-up.

Salovum egg yolk containing antisecretory factor as an adjunct therapy in severe cholera in adult males: a pilot study.

Cholera involves stimulation of intestinal secretory process in response to cholera toxin leading to profuse watery diarrhoea that might cause death due to dehydration unless timely rehydration therapy is initiated. Efforts to identify and test potential antisecretory agents are ongoing. Antisecretory factor (AF) is a naturally-occurring protein produced in the human secretory organs, including the intestine, with antisectory properties demonstrated in animal and human models of secretory diarrhoea. Salovum egg yolk powder contains antisecretory proteins in a much higher (500 times) concentration than that of normal hen eggs. This is achieved by feeding hens with specially-processed cereals, capable of inducing antisecretory proteins in the yolk. The aim of the study was to examine the effect of Salovum egg yolk powder containing AF in the treatment of adult cholera patients. In an open, randomized controlled trial (pilot study), 40 adult male patients with severe cholera were studied: 20 received standard treatment (oral rehydration solution, antibiotic, and usual hospital diet) plus Salovum egg yolk powder (study group) and 20 received standard treatment alone (control group). All the patients received tablet doxycycline (300 mg) once immediately after randomization. Written informed consent was obtained from each subject before enrollment. The main outcome measures were stool weight and duration of diarrhoea. The demographic and baseline clinical characteristics of the study patients were comparable between the groups. No significant differences were found in the mean stool weight, g/kg of body-weight during the first 24 hours [study vs control group, mean +/- standard deviation (SD), 218 +/- 119 vs 195 +/- 136], second 24 hours (mean +/- SD, 23 +/- 39 vs 22 +/- 34), and cumulative up to 72 hours (mean +/- SD, 245 +/- 152 vs 218 +/- 169). The duration (hours) of diarrhoea after admission in the hospital was also similar in both the groups (mean +/- SD, 33 +/- 14 vs 32 +/- 10). No adverse effect was observed. Salovum egg powder containing AF as an adjunct therapy in the treatment of severe cholera could not demonstrate any beneficial effect. Further studies with higher doses of Salovum egg yolk powder might be considered in future to establish its antisecretory effect.

Natural history and clinical significance of isolated complete left bundle branch block without associated structural heart disease.

OBJECTIVE: Left bundle branch block (LBBB), which is associated with underlying cardiac disease, is believed to play a role in the pathogenesis of cardiomyopathy through delays in interventricular conduction, leading to dyssynchrony. However, this has not been established in previous studies. It is unclear whether LBBB indicates clinically advanced cardiac disease or is an independent factor responsible for increased mortality and the development of heart failure. We investigated the natural history of isolated LBBB without any associated structural heart disease in order to determine its clinical significance. METHODS: We performed a retrospective chart review on consecutive patients who fulfilled the 12-lead electrocardiographic (ECG) criteria for complete LBBB and had a normal echocardiogram with no evidence of structural heart disease and left or right ventricular systolic dysfunction within three months of the initial ECG between January 1, 2000 and December 31, 2009. We excluded patients with documented coronary artery disease (CAD) at any time, any structural heart disease, or cardiac devices. We evaluated the primary endpoints of mortality and incidence of cardiomyopathy, as well as any heart failure hospitalizations over a 1- and 10-year period. RESULTS: We identified 2522 eligible patients. The mean follow-up duration was 8.4±3.2 years. The one-year mortality rate was 7.8%, with a 10-year mortality rate of 22.0%. The incidence of cardiomyopathy over one year was 3.2% and over 10 years was 9.1%. There was no significant difference in QRS duration between patients who were alive and those that were deceased at 10 years (141+/-18 vs. 141+/-17 ms; p=0.951) and patients with and without cardiomyopathy at 10 years (142±17 vs. 141±17 ms; p=0.532). CONCLUSION: Isolated LBBB occurring without structural heart disease, ventricular dysfunction, or CAD is associated with a low mortality rate and incidence of cardiomyopathy.

Use of Flecainide in Stable Coronary Artery Disease: An Analysis of Its Safety in Both Nonobstructive and Obstructive Coronary Artery Disease.

BACKGROUND: Flecainide is a class IC antiarrhythmic drug that is contraindicated in patients who have a history of myocardial infarction, but its effect on mortality and risk of proarrhythmia in patients with stable obstructive and nonobstructive epicardial coronary artery disease (CAD) has not been assessed. OBJECTIVE: We sought to compare the safety of flecainide administration in patients who had angiographic evidence of either no or minimal CAD versus nonobstructive CAD, and those who underwent nuclear stress testing with perfusion defects versus those without perfusion defects. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective chart review of 348 patients who were treated with flecainide for at least 1 year duration and underwent evaluation for CAD with coronary angiography or myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI) stress testing within 3 months of initiating flecainide. We compared overall mortality and proarrhythmia between varying levels of CAD and perfusion defects. RESULTS: There was a similar 10-year survival between those with no or minimal CAD, nonobstructive CAD, and obstructive CAD (p = 0.6). Additionally, there was no difference in arrhythmia burden, including sustained ventricular tachycardias or frequent premature ventricular contractions (> 5% daily burden; p = 0.25). There was also no increase in mortality among those who had reversible perfusion defects >0% compared with those without, among subjects who underwent MPI (p = 0.14). On subgroup analysis, there was no increased risk in all-cause mortality with any specific coronary artery involvement, or with obstructive multivessel CAD (p = 0.89). CONCLUSION: Flecainide use is not associated with an increase in either all-cause mortality or ventricular arrhythmias in low-risk patients with stable nonobstructive CAD.