Associations between meteorological variables and acute stroke hospital admissions in the west of Scotland.

BACKGROUND: We combined a large clinical stroke registry with the UK Met Office database to assess the association between meteorological variables and specific clinical subtypes of acute stroke. METHODS: We used negative binomial regression and Poisson regression techniques to explore the effect of meteorological values to hospital with acute stroke. Differential effects of atmospheric conditions upon stroke subtypes were also investigated. RESULTS: Data from 6389 patients with acute stroke were examined. The mean age (SD) was 71.2 (13.0) years. About 5723 (90%) patients suffered ischaemic stroke of which 1943 (34%) were lacunar. Six hundred and sixty-six patients (10%) had haemorrhagic stroke. Every 1 degrees C increase in mean temperature during the preceding 24 h was associated with a 2.1% increase in ischaemic stroke admissions (P = 0.004). A fall in atmospheric pressure over the preceding 48 h was associated with increased rate of haemorrhagic stroke admissions (P = 0.045). Higher maximum daily temperature gave a greater increase in lacunar stroke admissions than in other ischaemic strokes (P = 0.035). CONCLUSION: We report a measurable effect of atmospheric conditions upon stroke incidence in a temperate climate.

The association of post-stroke neurological improvement with risk of subsequent deterioration due to stroke events.

We sought to simultaneously confirm that substantial recovery at day 1 and day 7 after acute ischaemic stroke onset is associated with subsequent neurological deterioration in patients of the Acute Stroke Therapy by Inhibition of Neutrophils randomized clinical trial. Substantial recovery was assessed by improvement in the National Institutes of Health Stroke Score (NIHSS). Neurological deterioration was defined as any stroke event or NIHSS worsening from recovery assessment to day 90. After adjusting for age, t-PA and day 1 NIHSS, there was a non-significant tendency of substantial (pre-specified as 75%) recovery at day 1 to be associated with later deterioration [odds ratio (OR) 2.47; 95% CI, 0.95-6.50]. The corresponding OR for substantial (pre-defined as 65%) recovery at day 7 was 1.84 (0.85-3.96). Other thresholds for recovery were significantly associated with later deterioration: >50%, 80%, 90% and 100% for day 1 and >50%, 60%, 70%, 90% and 100% for day 7. The effect of recovery at day 1 was more important than that of later recovery. This study confirms the association between recovery and subsequent neurological deterioration and is the first to indicate the greater importance of acute recovery at day 1 in comparison with later recovery.

Statin administration prior to ischaemic stroke onset and survival: exploratory evidence from matched treatment-control study.

In addition to their lipid-lowering effects, it has been speculated that statins may also have beneficial effects on cerebral circulation and brain parenchyma during ischaemic stroke and reperfusion. We hypothesized that patients who had taken statins prior to stroke onset may have a better survival rate at 1 month and during the follow-up period. We retrospectively studied consecutive ischaemic stroke patients admitted to an acute stroke unit and at least a month's follow-up. From these, we included those patients who, at admission, had reported the use of a statin prior to the stroke onset in the statin group (n = 205). Each patient in the statin group was matched with two patients who reported no statin use (n = 410). Using logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards models, we adjusted for variables that significantly differed between treatment groups or that independently predicted mortality. After adjusting for those variables, statin use was associated with reduced mortality at 1 month [odds ratio 0.24; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.09-0.67] and during the follow-up period (hazard ratio 0.57; 95% CI 0.35-0.93). The use of statins prior to stroke onset is associated with improved stroke survival within this cohort study with matched controls.

Pneumonia and urinary tract infection after acute ischaemic stroke: a tertiary analysis of the GAIN International trial.

The third most common stroke complication is infection. We studied the rates of aspiration pneumonia and urinary tract infection (UTI), their risk factors and their effect on outcome in the 1455 Glycine Antagonist (Gavestinel) in Neuroprotection (GAIN) International patients with ischaemic stroke. Forward stepwise logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards modelling identified baseline factors that predicted events and the independent effect of events up to day 7 on poor stroke outcome at 3 months in patients alive at day 7, after correcting for prognostic factors. Higher baseline National Institute of Health Stroke Scale (NIHSS) and age, male gender, history of diabetes and stroke subtype predicted pneumonia, which occurred in 13.6% of patients. Female gender and higher baseline NIHSS and age predicted UTI, which occurred in 17.2% of patients. Pneumonia was associated with poor outcome by mortality (hazard ratio, 2.2; 95% confidence interval, 1.5-3.3), Barthel index (<60) (odds ratio, 3.8; 2.2-6.7), NIHSS (4.9; 1.7-14) and Rankin scale (>/=2) (3.4; 1.4-8.3). UTI was associated with Barthel index (1.9; 1.2-2.9), NIHSS (2.2; 1.2-4.0) and Rankin scale (3.1; 1.6-4.9). Pneumonia and UTI are independently associated with stroke poor outcome. Patients with identified risk factors must be closely monitored for infection.