Species composition, geographical distribution and seasonal abundance of the Anopheles maculipennis complex along the Upper Rhine, Germany.

Between May and September 2016, mosquitoes were collected on a biweekly basis at 55 locations with CO2-baited encephalitis vector surveillance traps along the Upper Rhine, Germany, to evaluate the species composition, geographical distribution and abundance of the Anopheles maculipennis complex, some members of this complex being considered vectors of historical malaria in Germany. A total of 2115 Anopheles maculipennis complex specimens were collected during the season, of which a sample of 1252 individuals was determined to species level by amplification of species-specific internal transcribed spacer 2 (ITS2) sequences. A total of 856 individuals of Anopheles daciae (68.37%), 394 Anopheles messeae (31.47%) and 2 Anopheles maculipennis s.s. (0.16%) were recorded. The number and proportion of A. daciae was remarkably higher in the northern meandering zone of the Upper Rhine (843 specimens, 79.90%), than in the more canalised southern furcation zone where A. messeae with 183 collected specimens represented 92.89% of 197 classified individuals. The average number of collected A. maculipennis s.l. individuals per trapping site was 38.45, equalling 0.64% of the total mosquito collection. Despite an increase in imported malaria cases, this comparatively low abundance of A. maculipennis s.l. may indicate a low risk of endemic malaria transmission by members of the A. maculipennis complex today. The proportionally dominance of A. daciae suggests that this species could be suspected the main historical vector of malaria in the Upper Rhine region. Sequence analyses of the ITS2 fragment revealed intraindividual polymorphisms within 3 of 5 diagnostic nucleotides in all specimens of A. daciae, raising the question if additional loci should be considered, to gain further insight into the taxonomical relation to A. messeae.

Standard urotherapy as first-line intervention for daytime incontinence: a meta-analysis.

According to the International Children's Continence Society (ICCS) guidelines for the treatment of daytime urinary incontinence (DUI) in children and adolescents, the first-line intervention for all types of DUI is standard urotherapy (SU). Despite this recommendation there is still no meta-analysis available on the effectiveness of SU. The aim of this study is to provide a meta-analytic evaluation of the intervention. This meta-analysis is based on Odds Ratios (OR) and consists of 26 patient samples out of 19 studies (N = 1609), collected from well-established medical databases. Remission rates after SU are compared to spontaneous remission rates, which are matched to the individual follow-up period. The meta-analysis shows that SU is an effective treatment of DUI. Compared to a spontaneous remission rate of 15.40% per year, urotherapy increases the probability to recover by a factor of 7.27 (6.57 if corrected for publication bias). After exclusion of three outlying samples this effect can be generalized for all types of SU and all patient populations. Moderator analyses cannot identify variables which significantly influence the variance of effect sizes. However, RCTs seem to be associated with lower effects, even when the control group is not considered for effect size calculation. Based on the present meta-analysis, SU is an effective intervention for treating DUI in children and adolescents. Of 100 patients in 1 year, approximately 56 patients (54 if corrected for publication bias) remit after being treated with SU, while only 15 out of 100 remit spontaneously. However, to further quantify the effect size of SU in comparison to spontaneous remission rates and other treatments, additional RCTs are still needed.

Evaluation of a structured expert elicitation estimating the proportion of illness acquired by foodborne transmission for nine enteric pathogens in Australia.

Estimates of the proportion of illness transmitted by food for different enteric pathogens are essential for foodborne burden-of-disease studies. Owing to insufficient scientific data, a formal synthesis of expert opinion, an expert elicitation, is commonly used to produce such estimates. Eleven experts participated in an elicitation to estimate the proportion of illnesses due to food in Australia for nine pathogens over three rounds: first, based on their own knowledge alone; second, after being provided with systematic reviews of the literature and Australian data; and finally, at a workshop where experts reflected on the evidence. Estimates changed significantly across the three rounds (P = 0·002) as measured by analysis of variance. Following the workshop in round 3, estimates showed smoother distributions with significantly less variation for several pathogens. When estimates were combined to provide combined distributions for each pathogen, the width of these combined distributions reflected experts' perceptions of the availability of evidence, with narrower intervals for pathogens for which evidence was judged to be strongest. Our findings show that the choice of expert elicitation process can significantly influence final estimates. Our structured process - and the workshop in particular - produced robust estimates and distributions appropriate for inclusion in burden-of-disease studies.

Distribution of individual members of the mosquito Anopheles maculipennis complex in Germany identified by newly developed real-time PCR assays.

Owing to their role as vectors of malaria parasites, species of the Anopheles maculipennis complex (Diptera: Culicidae) Meigen were intensively studied in the past, but with the disappearance of malaria in Germany in the middle of the last century, the interest in this field of research declined. A comprehensive ecological analysis of the current species distribution for Germany is lacking. Between 2010 and 2013, a total of 1445 mosquitoes of the An. maculipennis complex were collected at 72 different sites in Germany. The samples comprise 722 single individuals as well as 723 individuals in 90 pools of up to 25 mosquitoes. All samples were analysed with newly developed species-specific qPCR assays for the identification of the four German species using nucleotide differences within the internal transcribed spacer 2 (ITS2) ribosomal DNA. All gathered data were used for species distribution modelling. The overall prevalence of An. messeae s.l. was highest with 98.89% of all pools; An. daciae with 6.93% of all individuals and An. messeae s.s. with 69.53%. The prevalence of the other two species was relatively low: An. maculipennis s.s. with 13.30% of all individuals (6.67% of all pools) and An. atroparvus with 1.80% of all individuals (1.11% of all pools).

[Prerequisites for a successful lung cancer screening program]. / Voraussetzungen für ein erfolgreiches Lungenkrebsscreeningprogramm.

The American national lung cancer screening trial (NLST) has provided the first confirmation of a reduction in lung cancer mortality by using low-dose multislice computed tomography (MSCT). Preliminary evaluations of smaller European trials could not confirm such a reduction. The final evaluation of the larger Dutch-Belgian NELSON trial and five other European trials are expected within the next 1-2 years. The results of the completed rounds of screening in all these studies indicate that the margin between a positive and a negative benefit-to-harm balance will be narrow. In such a scenario it will be crucial to optimize the definition of the target population for screening as a high-risk group for lung cancer, the quality of screening in terms of high sensitivity and specificity as well as high quality treatment and an effective ongoing control of program quality. Not all healthcare systems are suitable to fulfill these prerequisites.

Occupational exposure to endocrine disruptors and lymphoma risk in a multi-centric European study.

BACKGROUND: Incidence rates of lymphoma are usually higher in men than in women, and oestrogens may protect against lymphoma. METHODS: We evaluated occupational exposure to endocrine disrupting chemicals (EDCs) among 2457 controls and 2178 incident lymphoma cases and subtypes from the European Epilymph study. RESULTS: Over 30 years of exposure to EDCs compared to no exposure was associated with a 24% increased risk of mature B-cell neoplasms (P-trend=0.02). Associations were observed among men, but not women. CONCLUSIONS: Prolonged occupational exposure to endocrine disruptors seems to be moderately associated with some lymphoma subtypes.

Genetic variants in DNA repair genes as potential predictive markers for oxaliplatin chemotherapy in colorectal cancer.

Oxaliplatin-based chemotherapy exerts its effects through generating DNA damage. Hence, genetic variants in DNA repair pathways could modulate treatment response. We used a prospective cohort of 623 colorectal cancer patients with stage II-IV disease treated with adjuvant/palliative chemotherapy to comprehensively investigate 1727 genetic variants in the DNA repair pathways as potential predictive markers for oxaliplatin treatment. Single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNP) associations with overall survival and recurrence-free survival were assessed using a Cox regression model. Pathway analysis was performed using the gamma method. Patients carrying variant alleles of rs3783819 (MNAT1) and rs1043953 (XPC) experienced a longer overall survival after treatment with oxaliplatin than patients who did not carry the variant allele, while the opposite association was found in patients who were not treated with oxaliplatin (false discovery rate-adjusted P-values for heterogeneity 0.0047 and 0.0237, respectively). The nucleotide excision repair (NER) pathway was found to be most likely associated with overall survival in patients who received oxaliplatin (P-value=0.002). Our data show that genetic variants in the NER pathway are potentially predictive of treatment response to oxaliplatin.

[Implementing an Organised Colorectal Cancer Screening Programme in Germany: Opportunities and Challenges]. / Einführung eines organisierten Darmkrebs-Screenings in Deutschland: Chancen und Herausforderungen.

BACKGROUND: Each year in Germany, about 65,000 people are diagnosed with colorectal cancer (CRC) and more than 25,000 people die of the disease. The majority of these cases could be avoided by a more effective screening programme. Recently, a law came into force that offers a great opportunity in this regard. It calls for introducing an organised CRC screening programme in Germany, which includes an invitation system as well as further measures for quality assurance and programme evaluation. To realise this opportunity, challenges of implementation need to be considered. The aim of this review article is to elaborate the challenges of an organised CRC screening in Germany in order to derive the need for action regarding successful implementation. METHODS: This review article is based on a selective literature search, including current guidelines and recommendations. RESULTS AND CONCLUSION: In the context of CRC screening, but also by colonoscopies performed for other indications (e.g., due to symptoms), precancerous lesions (adenomas) are detected and removed in a relevant proportion of the target population, which requires a surveillance examination after 3 or 5 years according to current recommendations. Therefore, an efficient invitation system for CRC screening should be designed to allow for a flexible interval depending on previous findings, which differs from mammography screening with its fixed interval. A prerequisite would be the standardised documentation of all colonoscopies irrespective of the indication, given that a substantial proportion of colonoscopies in Germany are performed outside of the screening program. Still, the work load regarding documentation could be less than for mammography screening. Another challenge in terms of organisation results from the parallel offer of 2 different screening tools (colonoscopy and faecal occult blood test). To realise the potential of an organised CRC screening, it seems important to devote sufficient time and resources for developing an efficient and feasible concept, while there might be interim options to avoid further delay regarding the initial invitation of the target population. Given that expertise from, amongst others, gastroenterology, epidemiology, clinical chemistry and health communication is required, an interdisciplinary approach appears essential.

[Cross stability in conventional shoes by the use of spring steel insoles: a pedobarographic effect study with observational application]. / Querstabilität im Konfektionsschuh durch Federstahleinlagen: Eine pedobarographische Wirkungsstudie mit Anwendungsbeobachtung.

BACKGROUND: From an orthopedic point of view, wearing conventional ready to wear shoes negatively affects the front transverse arch of the human foot by forcing it into an unnatural inverted position. OBJECTIVES: The aim of the present orthopedic application study was to conduct a standardized assessment of the biomechanical effect of a newly developed, longitudinally flexible and cross stable spring steel insole by means of pedobarographic measurements and by means of a supplementary questioning of the participants. MATERIAL AND METHODS: In order to do this a total of 33 healthy adult participants were recruited in summer 2013. The randomized, blinded and controlled main study compared the cross stable insole made from spring steel with a flat, ordinary control insole made from ethylene vinyl acetate by means of pedobarographic in-shoe measurements at the forefoot. Additionally, the subjectively perceived effect of the steel insole with respect to comfort, restricted mobility and pain was assessed in a randomized, blinded and controlled ancillary study, using a cross-over design. RESULTS: Both the plantar peak pressure and the plantar force-time integral were significantly higher with the spring steel insole, especially in the central forefoot. In the subsequent test phase lasting several weeks during which the participants were asked to wear the spring steel insole, they rarely complained about problems and in particular did not report negative effects regarding comfort, restricted mobility and pain compared to the ordinary control insoles. CONCLUSION: The present study was conducted according to high methodological standards and proved for the first time that the tested spring steel insoles have a positive effect on the human forefoot. The cross stability increases the pressure in the median ball area, prevents the unnatural inverted position of the forefoot and thus creating an effect which is comparable to walking barefoot. As the participants did not judge this orthopedic effect of the cross stability as being uncomfortable, such an insole could be used a millionfold as a primary prevention in conventional shoes.

[Active monitoring of cancer clusters: comments from an epidemiological perspective]. / Aktives Monitoring kleinräumiger Krebshäufungen : Anmerkungen aus epidemiologischer Sicht.

Epidemiological cancer registries are responsible for the description of the occurrence of cancers in time and space in the respective Federal State(s). Their work also involves the work-up of suspected or obvious regional clusters of cancer cases. The current sequence of action - (a) to confirm the cluster by a statistical test, (b) to identify specific exposures as potential causes, (c) to potentially conduct etiologic-epidemiological studies to confirm a suspected association - fails because of methodological difficulties. This article outlines a different approach that focuses on (a) the explanation of these methodological limitations and (b) on the current epidemiological knowledge on cancer etiology in order to rule out misunderstandings on potential causes of cancer clusters. Collaboration with professional cancer registries is advised.

[Mosquitoes as vectors for exotic pathogens in Germany]. / Stechmücken als Überträger exotischer Krankheitserreger in Deutschland.

As a result of intensified globalization of international trade and of substantial travel activities, mosquito-borne exotic pathogens are becoming an increasing threat for Europe. In Germany some 50 different mosquito species are known, several of which have vector competence for pathogens. During the last few years a number of zoonotic arboviruses that are pathogenic for humans have been isolated from mosquitoes in Germany including Usutu, Sindbis and Batai viruses. In addition, filarial worms, such as Dirofilaria repens have been repeatedly detected in mosquitoes from the federal state of Brandenburg. Other pathogens, in particular West Nile virus, are expected to emerge sooner or later in Germany as the virus is already circulating in neighboring countries, e.g. France, Austria and the Czech Republic. In upcoming years the risk for arbovirus transmission might increase in Germany due to increased occurrence of new so-called "invasive" mosquito species, such as the Asian bush mosquito Ochlerotatus japonicus or the Asian tiger mosquito Aedes albopictus. These invasive species are characterized by high vector competence for a broad range of pathogens and a preference for human blood meals. For risk assessment, a number of mosquito and pathogen surveillance projects have been initiated in Germany during the last few years; however, mosquito control strategies and plans of action have to be developed and put into place to allow early and efficient action against possible vector-borne epidemics.

Cigarette smoking and risk of Hodgkin lymphoma and its subtypes: a pooled analysis from the International Lymphoma Epidemiology Consortium (InterLymph).

BACKGROUND: The etiology of Hodgkin lymphoma (HL) remains incompletely characterized. Studies of the association between smoking and HL have yielded ambiguous results, possibly due to differences between HL subtypes. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Through the InterLymph Consortium, 12 case-control studies regarding cigarette smoking and HL were identified. Pooled analyses on the association between smoking and HL stratified by tumor histology and Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) status were conducted using random effects models adjusted for confounders. Analyses included 3335 HL cases and 14 278 controls. RESULTS: Overall, 54.5% of cases and 57.4% of controls were ever cigarette smokers. Compared with never smokers, ever smokers had an odds ratio (OR) of HL of 1.10 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.01-1.21]. This increased risk reflected associations with mixed cellularity cHL (OR = 1.60, 95% CI 1.29-1.99) and EBV-positive cHL (OR = 1.81, 95% CI 1.27-2.56) among current smokers, whereas risk of nodular sclerosis (OR = 1.09, 95% CI 0.90-1.32) and EBV-negative HL (OR = 1.02, 95% CI 0.72-1.44) was not increased. CONCLUSION: These results support the notion of etiologic heterogeneity between HL subtypes, highlighting the need for HL stratification in future studies. Even if not relevant to all subtypes, our study emphasizes that cigarette smoking should be added to the few modifiable HL risk factors identified.

Occupational exposure to trichloroethylene and risk of non-Hodgkin lymphoma and its major subtypes: a pooled InterLymph [correction of IinterLlymph] analysis.

OBJECTIVES: We evaluated the association between occupational exposure to trichloroethylene (TCE) and risk of non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL) in a pooled analysis of four international case-control studies. METHODS: Overall, the pooled study population included 3788 NHL cases and 4279 controls. Risk of NHL and its major subtypes associated with TCE exposure was calculated with unconditional logistic regression and polytomous regression analysis, adjusting by age, gender and study. RESULTS: Risk of follicular lymphoma (FL), but not NHL overall or other subtypes, increased by probability (p=0.02) and intensity level (p=0.04), and with the combined analysis of four exposure metrics assumed as independent (p=0.004). After restricting the analysis to the most likely exposed study subjects, risk of NHL overall, FL and chronic lymphocytic leukaemia (CLL) were elevated and increased by duration of exposure (p=0.009, p=0.04 and p=0.01, respectively) and with the combined analysis of duration, frequency and intensity of exposure (p=0.004, p=0.015 and p=0.005, respectively). Although based on small numbers of exposed, risk of all the major NHL subtypes, namely diffuse large B-cell lymphoma, FL and CLL, showed increases in risk ranging 2-3.2-fold in the highest category of exposure intensity. No significant heterogeneity in risk was detected by major NHL subtypes or by study. CONCLUSIONS: Our pooled analysis apparently supports the hypothesis of an increase in risk of specific NHL subtypes associated with occupational exposure to TCE.

[Computed tomography screening for lung cancer]. / CT-Screening für Lungenkrebs.

Lung cancer is by far the most frequent type of cancer worldwide and in particular the most frequent cause of cancer deaths. The most important risk factor is smoking and abstinence is therefore the most effective primary prevention for lung cancer. As even ex-smokers live under elevated lung cancer risk for years and additionally not all smokers are willing to stop smoking or attempts to stop fail, early detection by low-dose multislice computed tomography (MSCT) is a realistic option for secondary prevention. First results from the USA appear supportive for this view but important issues still remain unresolved, such as overdiagnosis, screening interval and how to control the rate of false positive findings. European trials in parallel to the USA National lung screening trial (NLST), including a German trial will also address these issues and will thus be continued. Before the final analysis in several years time routine lung cancer screening with MSCT cannot be recommended and MSCT lung screening can only be performed within the framework of studies.

[The improvement of the transfer into daily life of progressive relaxation after an inpatient psychosomatic rehabilitation]. / Verbesserung des Transfers von Progressiver Relaxation in den Alltag der Patienten nach stationärer psychosomatischer Rehabilitation.

AIM OF THE STUDY: The aim of the current study was the identification of predictors for a successful transfer of progressive relaxation (PR) into clinical and daily life. Furthermore the development of tension-related symptoms dependening of the frequency of continuous practise was detected. METHODS: 411 patients of a psychosomatic rehabilitation clinic attended a 6-h-course of progressive relaxation and were interviewed at 3 different times by a modified version of the "diagnostisches und evaluatives Instrumentarium für Entspannungstraining und Entspannungstherapie (ET-EVA)": at the beginning of therapy (T1), at discharge (T2) and 3 months after discharge by postal service (T3). After 3 months 274 patients (78.3%) sent the completed questionnaires back. The frequency of exercising by at least once a week was defined as successful. To detect the extent of symptom improvement, difference values between the different measuring times and effect sizes were calculated. To identify predictors of the frequency of daily practise, bivariate correlations and linear regression were used. RESULTS: 69.4% of the patients continued the exercises successfully beyond the course. The improved experience of relaxation directly after the program (r=-0.184; p<0.01) had a positive influence on the frequency of practising during hospital stay. 3 months after discharge 50.4% of the participants were practising at least once a week. The frequency of practise during hospital stay (r=0.558; p<0.01) and the experience of relaxation at T3 (r=-0.356; p<0.01) could be identified as predictors of a successful transfer into daily life of progressive relaxation. In the context of the linear regression the effect of the frequency of practise during hospital stay (Beta=0.506; p<0.01) and the experience of relaxation after 3 months (Beta=-0.275; p<0.01) remained significant predictors and explaines 40.9% of the variance. The items of all 6 symptom scales decreased significantly from T1 to T2 (p<0.01) and the feeling of discomfort after 3 months was significantly below the base level of T1 (p<0.01). The patients who practised at least once a week - compared to the not-practising patients - declared significantly less tension-related symptoms at T3 (p<0.01) and could achieve a significantly stronger change of wellbeing and relaxation experience at T2 and T3 (p<0.01). CONCLUSION: 50.4% of the patient implemented the relaxation training in their daily routine. The experienced alteration in terms of self-efficacy plays a meaningful role concerning the frequency of practise in hospital stay and daily routine. In future courses attention should be paid to the initial experience of relaxation. The frequency of practise once a week turned out to be the most effective.

Menstrual and reproductive factors, and hormonal contraception use: associations with non-Hodgkin lymphoma in a pooled analysis of InterLymph case-control studies.

BACKGROUND: The two most common forms of non-Hodgkin lymphoma (NHL) exhibit different sex ratios: diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) occurs more frequently in men and follicular lymphoma (FL) more frequently in women. Looking among women alone, this pooled analysis explores the relationship between reproductive histories and these cancers. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Self-reported reproductive histories from 4263 women with NHL and 5971 women without NHL were pooled across 18 case-control studies (1983-2005) from North America, Europe and Japan. Study-specific odd ratios (ORs) and confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using logistic regression and pooled using random-effects meta-analyses. RESULTS: Associations with reproductive factors were found for FL rather than NHL overall and DLBCL. In particular, the risk of FL decreased with increasing number of pregnancies (pooled OR(trend) = 0.88, 95% CI 0.81-0.96). FL was associated with hormonal contraception (pooled OR = 1.30, 95% CI 1.04-1.63), and risks were increased when use started after the age of 21, was used for <5 years or stopped for >20 years before diagnosis. DLBCL, on the other hand, was not associated with hormonal contraception (pooled OR = 0.87, 95% CI 0.65-1.16). CONCLUSIONS: Hormonal contraception is associated with an increased risk of FL but not of DLBCL or NHL overall.

Gastroenteritis in older people living in the community: results of two Australian surveys.

We analysed two large national surveys conducted in 2001 and 2008 to examine incidence and outcomes of gastroenteritis in older Australians. A case was someone reporting ≥3 loose stools or ≥1 episode of vomiting in 24 h, excluding non-infectious causes. We compared cases arising in the elderly (≥65 years) and in other adults (20-64 years). Elderly people experienced 0·33 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0·24-0·42] episodes of gastroenteritis/person per year, compared to 0·95 (95% CI 0·74-1·15) in other adults. Elderly cases reported less stomach cramps, fever and myalgia than younger cases, and were more likely to be hospitalized, although this was not statistically significant. In multivariable analysis, gastroenteritis in elderly people was associated with travelling within the state (odds ratio 1·35, 95% CI 1·07-1·71). Elderly people were less concerned about food safety than other adults. Older Australians were less likely to report gastroenteritis and experienced different symptoms and outcomes from other adults.

Antibodies against lytic and latent Kaposi's sarcoma-associated herpes virus antigens and lymphoma in the European EpiLymph case-control study.

BACKGROUND: Kaposi's sarcoma-associated herpes virus is associated with primary effusion lymphoma and multicentric Castleman's disease. METHODS: Seropositivity to lytic and latent Kaposi's sarcoma herpes virus (KSHV) antigens were examined in 2083 lymphomas and 2013 controls from six European countries. RESULTS: Antibodies against KSHV latent and lytic antigens were detectable in 4.5% and 3.4% of controls, respectively, and 3.6% of cases (P>0.05). The KSHV seropositivity was associated with splenic marginal zone lymphoma (SMZL) (odds ratio (OR)=4.11, 95% confidence interval (CI)=1.57-10.83) and multiple myeloma (OR=0.31, 95% CI=0.11-0.85). CONCLUSION: The KSHV is unlikely to contribute importantly to lymphomagenesis among immunocompetent subjects. However, the observed association with SMZL may underline a chronic antigen mechanism in its aetiology.

Symbiont diversity and non-random hybridization among indigenous (Ms) and invasive (B) biotypes of Bemisia tabaci.

The whitefly Bemisia tabaci (Hemiptera: Aleyrodidae) is a worldwide pest and a vector of numerous plant viruses. B. tabaci is composed of dozens of morphologically indistinguishable biotypes and its taxonomic status is still controversial. This phloem-feeder harbours the primary symbiont Portiera aleyrodidarum and potentially six secondary symbionts: Cardinium, Arsenophonus, Hamiltonella, Rickettsia, Wolbachia and Fritschea. In the southwest Indian Ocean, La Réunion hosts two biotypes of this species: B (invasive) and Ms (indigenous). A multiplex PCR was developed to study the symbiont community of B. tabaci on La Réunion. Symbiont community prevalence and composition, host mitochondrial and nuclear genetic diversity, as well as host plant and localization, were described on field populations of La Réunion for B and Ms B. tabaci biotypes and their hybrids. A clear association between symbiotypes and biotypes was shown. Cardinium, Arsenophonus and Rickettsia were found in the Ms biotype (73.6%, 64.2% and 3.3%, respectively). Hamiltonella (exclusively) and Rickettsia were found in the B biotype (78% and 91.2%, respectively). Hybrids harboured all symbiotypes found in Ms and B populations, but with a higher prevalence of Ms symbiotypes than expected under random hybridization. An unexpected majority was Cardinium mono-infected (65.6%), and a striking minority (9%) harboured Cardinium/Arsenophonus. In the hybrids only, genetic diversity was linked to symbiotype. Among the hybrids, significant links were found between symbiotypes and: (i) mitochondrial COI sequences, i.e. maternal origin; and (ii) alleles of nuclear microsatellite loci, specific to either Ms or B parental biotype. Taken together, our results suggest that Cardinium and/or Arsenophonus may manipulate the reproduction of indigenous (Ms) with invasive (B) biotypes of Bemisia tabaci.

Effective reproduction numbers are commonly overestimated early in a disease outbreak.

Reproduction numbers estimated from disease incidence data can give public health authorities valuable information about the progression and likely size of a disease outbreak. Here, we show that methods for estimating effective reproduction numbers commonly give overestimates early in an outbreak. This is due to many factors including the nature of outbreaks that are used for estimation, incorrectly accounting for imported cases and outbreaks arising in subpopulations with higher transmission rates. Awareness of this bias is necessary to correctly interpret estimates from early disease outbreak data.