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PTE is a neurological disorder characterized by recurrent and spontaneous epileptic seizures. PTE is a major public health problem occurring in 2-50% of TBI patients. Identifying PTE biomarkers is crucial for the development of effective treatments. Functional neuroimaging studies in patients with epilepsy and in epileptic rodents have observed that abnormal functional brain activity plays a role in the development of epilepsy. Network representations of complex systems ease quantitative analysis of heterogeneous interactions within a unified mathematical framework. In this work, graph theory was used to study resting state functional magnetic resonance imaging (rs-fMRI) and reveal functional connectivity abnormalities that are associated with seizure development in traumatic brain injury (TBI) patients. We examined rs-fMRI of 75 TBI patients from Epilepsy Bioinformatics Study for Antiepileptogenic Therapy (EpiBioS4Rx) which aims to identify validated Post-traumatic epilepsy (PTE) biomarkers and antiepileptogenic therapies using multimodal and longitudinal data acquired from 14 international sites. The dataset includes 28 subjects who had at least one late seizure after TBI and 47 subjects who had no seizures within 2 years post-injury. Each subject's neural functional network was investigated by computing the correlation between the low frequency time series of 116 regions of interest (ROIs). Each subject's functional organization was represented as a network consisting of nodes, brain regions, and edges that show the relationship between the nodes. Then, several graph measures concerning the integration and the segregation of the functional brain networks were extracted in order to highlight changes in functional connectivity between the two TBI groups. Results showed that the late seizure-affected group had a compromised balance between integration and segregation and presents functional networks that are hyperconnected, hyperintegrated but at the same time hyposegregated compared with seizure-free patients. Moreover, TBI subjects who developed late seizures had more low betweenness hubs.
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Lesões Encefálicas Traumáticas , Epilepsia Pós-Traumática , Epilepsia , Humanos , Lesões Encefálicas Traumáticas/complicações , Lesões Encefálicas Traumáticas/diagnóstico por imagem , Epilepsia Pós-Traumática/diagnóstico por imagem , Epilepsia Pós-Traumática/etiologia , Encéfalo/diagnóstico por imagem , Biomarcadores , Convulsões/diagnóstico por imagem , Imageamento por Ressonância MagnéticaRESUMO
Herein, a robust and reproducible eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) approach is presented, which allows prediction of developmental toxicity, a challenging human-health endpoint in toxicology. The application of XAI as an alternative method is of the utmost importance with developmental toxicity being one of the most animal-intensive areas of regulatory toxicology. In this work, the established CAESAR (Computer Assisted Evaluation of industrial chemical Substances According to Regulations) training set made of 234 chemicals for model learning is employed. Two test sets, including as a whole 585 chemicals, were instead used for validation and generalization purposes. The proposed framework favorably compares with the state-of-the-art approaches in terms of accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity, thus resulting in a reliable support system for developmental toxicity ensuring informativeness, uncertainty estimation, generalization, and transparency. Based on the eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGB) algorithm, our predictive model provides easy interpretative keys based on specific molecular descriptors and structural alerts enabling one to distinguish toxic and nontoxic chemicals. Inspired by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) principles for the validation of Quantitative Structure-Activity Relationships (QSARs) for regulatory purposes, the results are summarized in a standard report in portable document format, enclosing also details concerned with a density-based model applicability domain and SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) explainability, the latter particularly useful to better understand the effective roles played by molecular features. Notably, our model has been implemented in TIRESIA (Toxicology Intelligence and Regulatory Evaluations for Scientific and Industry Applications), a free of charge web platform available at http://tiresia.uniba.it.
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Algoritmos , Inteligência Artificial , Animais , Humanos , Relação Quantitativa Estrutura-AtividadeRESUMO
Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most common cancers worldwide, and the number of cases is constantly increasing. Early and accurate HCC diagnosis is crucial to improving the effectiveness of treatment. The aim of the study is to develop a supervised learning framework based on hierarchical community detection and artificial intelligence in order to classify patients and controls using publicly available microarray data. With our methodology, we identified 20 gene communities that discriminated between healthy and cancerous samples, with an accuracy exceeding 90%. We validated the performance of these communities on an independent dataset, and with two of them, we reached an accuracy exceeding 80%. Then, we focused on two communities, selected because they were enriched with relevant biological functions, and on these we applied an explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) approach to analyze the contribution of each gene to the classification task. In conclusion, the proposed framework provides an effective methodological and quantitative tool helping to find gene communities, which may uncover pivotal mechanisms responsible for HCC and thus discover new biomarkers.
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Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Humanos , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/diagnóstico , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/genética , Inteligência Artificial , Neoplasias Hepáticas/diagnóstico , Neoplasias Hepáticas/genética , Marcadores Genéticos , Nível de SaúdeRESUMO
The Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has officially spread all over the world since the beginning of 2020. Although huge efforts are addressed by scientists to shed light over the several questions raised by the novel SARS-CoV-2 virus, many aspects need to be clarified, yet. In particular, several studies have pointed out significant variations between countries in per-capita mortality. In this work, we investigated the association between COVID-19 mortality with climate variables and air pollution throughout European countries using the satellite remote sensing images provided by the Sentinel-5p mission. We analyzed data collected for two years of observations and extracted the concentrations of several pollutants; we used these measurements to feed a Random Forest regression. We performed a cross-validation analysis to assess the robustness of the model and compared several regression strategies. Our findings reveal a significant statistical association between air pollution (NO2) and COVID-19 mortality and a significant role played by the socio-demographic features, like the number of nurses or the hospital beds and the gross domestic product per capita.
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Poluentes Atmosféricos , Poluição do Ar , COVID-19 , Poluentes Atmosféricos/análise , Poluição do Ar/análise , Monitoramento Ambiental , Humanos , Aprendizado de Máquina , Dióxido de Nitrogênio , Material Particulado/análise , SARS-CoV-2RESUMO
In recent years, several studies have demonstrated that machine learning and deep learning systems can be very useful to accurately predict brain age. In this work, we propose a novel approach based on complex networks using 1016 T1-weighted MRI brain scans (in the age range 7-64years). We introduce a structural connectivity model of the human brain: MRI scans are divided in rectangular boxes and Pearson's correlation is measured among them in order to obtain a complex network model. Brain connectivity is then characterized through few and easy-to-interpret centrality measures; finally, brain age is predicted by feeding a compact deep neural network. The proposed approach is accurate, robust and computationally efficient, despite the large and heterogeneous dataset used. Age prediction accuracy, in terms of correlation between predicted and actual age r=0.89and Mean Absolute Error MAE =2.19years, compares favorably with results from state-of-the-art approaches. On an independent test set including 262 subjects, whose scans were acquired with different scanners and protocols we found MAE =2.52. The only imaging analysis steps required in the proposed framework are brain extraction and linear registration, hence robust results are obtained with a low computational cost. In addition, the network model provides a novel insight on aging patterns within the brain and specific information about anatomical districts displaying relevant changes with aging.
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Desenvolvimento do Adolescente , Envelhecimento , Transtorno do Espectro Autista/diagnóstico por imagem , Encéfalo/diagnóstico por imagem , Desenvolvimento Infantil , Aprendizado Profundo , Adolescente , Adulto , Transtorno do Espectro Autista/fisiopatologia , Encéfalo/crescimento & desenvolvimento , Encéfalo/fisiologia , Encéfalo/fisiopatologia , Criança , Feminino , Neuroimagem Funcional , Humanos , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Redes Neurais de Computação , Adulto JovemRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Screening programs use mammography as primary diagnostic tool for detecting breast cancer at an early stage. The diagnosis of some lesions, such as microcalcifications, is still difficult today for radiologists. In this paper, we proposed an automatic binary model for discriminating tissue in digital mammograms, as support tool for the radiologists. In particular, we compared the contribution of different methods on the feature selection process in terms of the learning performances and selected features. RESULTS: For each ROI, we extracted textural features on Haar wavelet decompositions and also interest points and corners detected by using Speeded Up Robust Feature (SURF) and Minimum Eigenvalue Algorithm (MinEigenAlg). Then a Random Forest binary classifier is trained on a subset of a sub-set features selected by two different kinds of feature selection techniques, such as filter and embedded methods. We tested the proposed model on 260 ROIs extracted from digital mammograms of the BCDR public database. The best prediction performance for the normal/abnormal and benign/malignant problems reaches a median AUC value of 98.16% and 92.08%, and an accuracy of 97.31% and 88.46%, respectively. The experimental result was comparable with related work performance. CONCLUSIONS: The best performing result obtained with embedded method is more parsimonious than the filter one. The SURF and MinEigen algorithms provide a strong informative content useful for the characterization of microcalcification clusters.
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Mama , Calcinose/diagnóstico , Aprendizado de Máquina , Algoritmos , Área Sob a Curva , Mama/diagnóstico por imagem , Neoplasias da Mama/diagnóstico , Bases de Dados Factuais , Feminino , Humanos , Mamografia , Curva ROCRESUMO
Functional connectivity analysis techniques have broadly applied to capture phenomenological aspects of the brain, e.g., by identifying characteristic network topologies for healthy and disease-affected populations, by highlighting several areas important for the global efficiency of the brain during some cognitive processing and at rest. However, most of the known methods for quantifying functional coupling between fMRI time series are focused on linear correlation metrics. In this work, we propose a multidimensional framework to extract multiple descriptors of the dynamic interaction among BOLD signals in their phase space. A set of metrics is extracted from the cross recurrence plots of each couple of signals to form a multilayer connectivity matrix in which each layer is related to a specific complex dynamic phenomenon. The proposed framework is used to characterize functional abnormalities during a working memory task in patients with schizophrenia. Some topological descriptors are then extracted from both multilayer connectivity matrices and the most used Pearson-based connectivity networks to perform a binary classification task of normal controls and patients. The results show that the proposed connectivity model outperforms the statistical correlation-based connectivity in accuracy, sensitivity and specificity. Moreover, the statistical analysis of the selected features highlights that several dynamic metrics could better identify disease-related dynamic states in brain activity than the statistical correlation among physiological signals.
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Mapeamento Encefálico/métodos , Encéfalo/fisiopatologia , Cognição/fisiologia , Processamento de Imagem Assistida por Computador/métodos , Modelos Neurológicos , Esquizofrenia/fisiopatologia , Adulto , Feminino , Humanos , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética/métodos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Vias Neurais/fisiopatologia , Adulto JovemRESUMO
In this paper, we investigate the connectivity alterations of the subcortical brain network due to Alzheimer's disease (AD). Mostly, the literature investigated AD connectivity abnormalities at the whole brain level or at the cortex level, while very few studies focused on the sub-network composed only by the subcortical regions, especially using diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI) data. In this work, we examine a mixed cohort including 46 healthy controls (HC) and 40 AD patients from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI) data set. We reconstruct the brain connectome through the use of state of the art tractography algorithms and we propose a method based on graph communicability to enhance the information content of subcortical brain regions in discriminating AD. We develop a classification framework, achieving 77% of area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve in the binary discrimination AD vs. HC only using a 12 × 12 subcortical features matrix. We find some interesting AD-related connectivity patterns highlighting that subcortical regions tend to increase their communicability through cortical regions to compensate the physical connectivity reduction between them due to AD. This study also suggests that AD connectivity alterations mostly regard the inter-connectivity between subcortical and cortical regions rather than the intra-subcortical connectivity.
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BACKGROUND: Extracting fundamental information from data, thus underlining hidden structures or removing noisy information, is one of the most important aims in different scientific fields especially in biological and medical sciences. In this article, we propose an innovative complex network application able to identify salient links for detecting the effect of Alzheimer's disease on brain connectivity. We first build a network model of brain connectivity from structural Magnetic Resonance Imaging (MRI) data, then we study salient networks retrieved from the original ones. RESULTS: Investigating informative power of the salient skeleton features in combination with those of the original networks we obtain an accuracy of [Formula: see text] for the distinction of Alzheimer disease (AD) patients from normal controls (NC). This performance significantly overcomes accuracy of the original network features. Moreover salient networks are able to correctly discriminate normal controls (NC) from AD patients and NC from subjects with mild cognitive impairment that will convert to AD (cMCI). These evaluations, performed on an independent dataset, give an accuracy of [Formula: see text] and [Formula: see text] respectively for NC-AD and NC-cMCI classifications. Therefore, most of the informative content of the original networks is kept after the 92 [Formula: see text] and 82 [Formula: see text] reduction respectively in the number of nodes and links. In addition, the present approach, applied to a publicly available MRI dataset from the Alzheimer Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI), brings out also some interesting aspects related to the topologies and hubs of the networks. CONCLUSIONS: The experimental results demonstrate how salient networks can highlight important brain network characteristics and structural pathological changes, while reducing considerably data complexity and computational requirements.
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Doença de Alzheimer/diagnóstico , Doença de Alzheimer/fisiopatologia , Encéfalo/diagnóstico por imagem , Informática Médica/métodos , Idoso , Área Sob a Curva , Encéfalo/patologia , Disfunção Cognitiva , Feminino , Humanos , Interpretação de Imagem Assistida por Computador/métodos , Aprendizado de Máquina , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Modelos Teóricos , Sensibilidade e EspecificidadeRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Hippocampal atrophy is a supportive feature for the diagnosis of probable Alzheimer's disease (AD). However, even for an expert neuroradiologist, tracing the hippocampus and measuring its volume is a time consuming and extremely challenging task. Accordingly, the development of reliable fully-automated segmentation algorithms is of paramount importance. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The present study evaluates (i) the precision and the robustness of the novel Hippocampal Unified Multi-Atlas Network (HUMAN) segmentation algorithm and (ii) its clinical reliability for AD diagnosis. For these purposes, we used a mixed cohort of 456 subjects and their T1 weighted magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) brain scans. The cohort included 145 controls (CTRL), 217 mild cognitive impairment (MCI) subjects and 94 AD patients from Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative (ADNI). For each subject the baseline, repeat, 12 and 24 month follow-up scans were available. RESULTS: HUMAN provides hippocampal volumes with a 3% precision; volume measurements effectively reveal AD, with an area under the curve (AUC) AUC1 = 0.08 ± 0.02. Segmented volumes can also reveal the subtler effects present in MCI subjects, AUC2 = 0.76 ± 0.05. The algorithm is stable and reproducible over time, even for 24 month follow-up scans. CONCLUSIONS: The experimental results demonstrate HUMAN is a precise segmentation algorithm, besides hippocampal volumes, provided by HUMAN, can effectively support the diagnosis of Alzheimer's disease and become a useful tool for other neuroimaging applications.
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Algoritmos , Doença de Alzheimer/diagnóstico , Doença de Alzheimer/patologia , Hipocampo/diagnóstico por imagem , Hipocampo/patologia , Processamento de Imagem Assistida por Computador , Idoso , Doença de Alzheimer/complicações , Doença de Alzheimer/diagnóstico por imagem , Atrofia/complicações , Feminino , Humanos , Aprendizado de Máquina , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética , Masculino , Tamanho do ÓrgãoRESUMO
Accurate and precise nucleic-acid quantification is crucial for clinical and diagnostic decisions, as overestimation or underestimation can lead to misguided treatment of a disease or incorrect labelling of the products. Digital PCR is one of the best tools for absolute nucleic-acid copy-number determination. However, digital PCR needs to be well characterised in terms of accuracy and sources of uncertainty. With droplet digital PCR, discrepancies between the droplet volume assigned by the manufacturer and measured by independent laboratories have already been shown in previous studies. In the present study, we report on the results of an inter-laboratory comparison of different methods for droplet volume determination that is based on optical microscopy imaging and is traceable to the International System of Units. This comparison was conducted on the same DNA material, with the examination of the influence of parameters such as droplet generators, supermixes, operators, inter-cartridge and intra-cartridge variability, and droplet measuring protocol. The mean droplet volume was measured using a QX200™ AutoDG™ Droplet Digital™ PCR system and two QX100™ Droplet Digital™ PCR systems. The data show significant volume differences between these two systems, as well as significant differences in volume when different supermixes are used. We also show that both of these droplet generator systems produce droplets with significantly lower droplet volumes (13.1%, 15.9%, respectively) than stated by the manufacturer and previously measured by other laboratories. This indicates that to ensure precise quantification, the droplet volumes should be assessed for each system.
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DNA/análise , Reação em Cadeia da Polimerase/métodos , Análise de Variância , DNA/genética , Processamento de Imagem Assistida por Computador , Microscopia , Imagem Óptica , Reação em Cadeia da Polimerase/instrumentação , Tamanho da Amostra , SoftwareRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Structural MRI measures for monitoring Alzheimer's Disease (AD) progression are becoming instrumental in the clinical practice, and more so in the context of longitudinal studies. This investigation addresses the impact of four image analysis approaches on the longitudinal performance of the hippocampal volume. METHODS: We present a hippocampal segmentation algorithm and validate it on a gold-standard manual tracing database. We segmented 460 subjects from ADNI, each subject having been scanned twice at baseline, 12-month and 24month follow-up scan (1.5T, T1 MRI). We used the bilateral hippocampal volume v and its variation, measured as the annualized volume change Λ=δv/year(mm(3)/y). Four processing approaches with different complexity are compared to maximize the longitudinal information, and they are tested for cohort discrimination ability. Reference cohorts are Controls vs. Alzheimer's Disease (CTRL/AD) and CTRL vs. Mild Cognitive Impairment who subsequently progressed to AD dementia (CTRL/MCI-co). We discuss the conditions on v and the added value of Λ in discriminating subjects. RESULTS: The age-corrected bilateral annualized atrophy rate (%/year) were: -1.6 (0.6) for CTRL, -2.2 (1.0) for MCI-nc, -3.2 (1.2) for MCI-co and -4.0 (1.5) for AD. Combined (v, Λ) discrimination ability gave an Area under the ROC curve (auc)=0.93 for CTRL vs AD and auc=0.88 for CTRL vs MCI-co. CONCLUSIONS: Longitudinal volume measurements can provide meaningful clinical insight and added value with respect to the baseline provided the analysis procedure embeds the longitudinal information.
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Doença de Alzheimer/diagnóstico , Hipocampo/patologia , Interpretação de Imagem Assistida por Computador/métodos , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Algoritmos , Diagnóstico Precoce , Feminino , Humanos , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-IdadeRESUMO
Identifying accurate biomarkers of cognitive decline is essential for advancing early diagnosis and prevention therapies in Alzheimer's disease. The Alzheimer's disease DREAM Challenge was designed as a computational crowdsourced project to benchmark the current state-of-the-art in predicting cognitive outcomes in Alzheimer's disease based on high dimensional, publicly available genetic and structural imaging data. This meta-analysis failed to identify a meaningful predictor developed from either data modality, suggesting that alternate approaches should be considered for prediction of cognitive performance.
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Doença de Alzheimer/complicações , Transtornos Cognitivos/diagnóstico , Transtornos Cognitivos/etiologia , Doença de Alzheimer/genética , Apolipoproteínas E/genética , Biomarcadores , Transtornos Cognitivos/genética , Biologia Computacional , Bases de Dados Bibliográficas/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Valor Preditivo dos TestesRESUMO
Algorithms for computer-aided diagnosis of dementia based on structural MRI have demonstrated high performance in the literature, but are difficult to compare as different data sets and methodology were used for evaluation. In addition, it is unclear how the algorithms would perform on previously unseen data, and thus, how they would perform in clinical practice when there is no real opportunity to adapt the algorithm to the data at hand. To address these comparability, generalizability and clinical applicability issues, we organized a grand challenge that aimed to objectively compare algorithms based on a clinically representative multi-center data set. Using clinical practice as the starting point, the goal was to reproduce the clinical diagnosis. Therefore, we evaluated algorithms for multi-class classification of three diagnostic groups: patients with probable Alzheimer's disease, patients with mild cognitive impairment and healthy controls. The diagnosis based on clinical criteria was used as reference standard, as it was the best available reference despite its known limitations. For evaluation, a previously unseen test set was used consisting of 354 T1-weighted MRI scans with the diagnoses blinded. Fifteen research teams participated with a total of 29 algorithms. The algorithms were trained on a small training set (n=30) and optionally on data from other sources (e.g., the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative, the Australian Imaging Biomarkers and Lifestyle flagship study of aging). The best performing algorithm yielded an accuracy of 63.0% and an area under the receiver-operating-characteristic curve (AUC) of 78.8%. In general, the best performances were achieved using feature extraction based on voxel-based morphometry or a combination of features that included volume, cortical thickness, shape and intensity. The challenge is open for new submissions via the web-based framework: http://caddementia.grand-challenge.org.
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Algoritmos , Doença de Alzheimer/diagnóstico , Disfunção Cognitiva/diagnóstico , Diagnóstico por Computador/métodos , Interpretação de Imagem Assistida por Computador/métodos , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética/métodos , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Doença de Alzheimer/classificação , Disfunção Cognitiva/classificação , Diagnóstico por Computador/normas , Feminino , Humanos , Interpretação de Imagem Assistida por Computador/normas , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética/normas , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Sensibilidade e EspecificidadeRESUMO
BACKGROUND: In the framework of the clinical validation of research tools, this investigation presents a validation study of an automatic medial temporal lobe atrophy measure that is applied to a naturalistic population sampled from memory clinic patients across Europe. METHODS: The procedure was developed on 1.5-T magnetic resonance images from the Alzheimer's Disease Neuroimaging Initiative database, and it was validated on an independent data set coming from the DESCRIPA study. All images underwent an automatic processing procedure to assess tissue atrophy that was targeted at the hippocampal region. For each subject, the procedure returns a classification index. Once provided with the clinical assessment at baseline and follow-up, subjects were grouped into cohorts to assess classification performance. Each cohort was divided into converters (co) and nonconverters (nc) depending on the clinical outcome at follow-up visit. RESULTS: We found the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was 0.81 for all co versus nc subjects, and AUC was 0.90 for subjective memory complaint (SMCnc) versus all co subjects. Furthermore, when training on mild cognitive impairment (MCI-nc/MCI-co), the classification performance generally exceeds that found when training on controls versus Alzheimer's disease (CTRL/AD). CONCLUSIONS: Automatic magnetic resonance imaging analysis may assist clinical classification of subjects in a memory clinic setting even when images are not specifically acquired for automatic analysis.
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Doença de Alzheimer/complicações , Processamento de Imagem Assistida por Computador/métodos , Imageamento por Ressonância Magnética , Sintomas Prodrômicos , Lobo Temporal/patologia , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Atrofia/diagnóstico , Disfunção Cognitiva/diagnóstico , Disfunção Cognitiva/etiologia , Bases de Dados Factuais/estatística & dados numéricos , Feminino , Seguimentos , Hipocampo/patologia , Humanos , Masculino , Entrevista Psiquiátrica Padronizada , Reprodutibilidade dos TestesRESUMO
Respiratory system cancer, encompassing lung, trachea and bronchus cancer, constitute a substantial and evolving public health challenge. Since pollution plays a prominent cause in the development of this disease, identifying which substances are most harmful is fundamental for implementing policies aimed at reducing exposure to these substances. We propose an approach based on explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) based on remote sensing data to identify the factors that most influence the prediction of the standard mortality ratio (SMR) for respiratory system cancer in the Italian provinces using environment and socio-economic data. First of all, we identified 10 clusters of provinces through the study of the SMR variogram. Then, a Random Forest regressor is used for learning a compact representation of data. Finally, we used XAI to identify which features were most important in predicting SMR values. Our machine learning analysis shows that NO, income and O3 are the first three relevant features for the mortality of this type of cancer, and provides a guideline on intervention priorities in reducing risk factors.
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Poluição do Ar , Inteligência Artificial , Neoplasias do Sistema Respiratório , Humanos , Itália/epidemiologia , Poluição do Ar/efeitos adversos , Neoplasias do Sistema Respiratório/mortalidade , Fatores de Risco , Aprendizado de Máquina , Exposição Ambiental/efeitos adversosRESUMO
Respiratory malignancies, encompassing cancers affecting the lungs, the trachea, and the bronchi, pose a significant and dynamic public health challenge. Given that air pollution stands as a significant contributor to the onset of these ailments, discerning the most detrimental agents becomes imperative for crafting policies aimed at mitigating exposure. This study advocates for the utilization of explainable artificial intelligence (XAI) methodologies, leveraging remote sensing data, to ascertain the primary influencers on the prediction of standard mortality rates (SMRs) attributable to respiratory cancer across Italian provinces, utilizing both environmental and socioeconomic data. By scrutinizing thirteen distinct machine learning algorithms, we endeavor to pinpoint the most accurate model for categorizing Italian provinces as either above or below the national average SMR value for respiratory cancer. Furthermore, employing XAI techniques, we delineate the salient factors crucial in predicting the two classes of SMR. Through our machine learning scrutiny, we illuminate the environmental and socioeconomic factors pertinent to mortality in this disease category, thereby offering a roadmap for prioritizing interventions aimed at mitigating risk factors.
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Identifying the origin of a food product holds paramount importance in ensuring food safety, quality, and authenticity. Knowing where a food item comes from provides crucial information about its production methods, handling practices, and potential exposure to contaminants. Machine learning techniques play a pivotal role in this process by enabling the analysis of complex data sets to uncover patterns and associations that can reveal the geographical source of a food item. This study aims to investigate the potential use of explainable artificial intelligence for identifying the food origin. The case of study of Mozzarella di Bufala Campana PDO has been considered by examining the composition of the microbiota in each samples. Three different supervised machine learning algorithms have been compared and the best classifier model is represented by Random Forest with an Area Under the Curve (AUC) value of 0.93 and the top accuracy of 0.87. Machine learning models effectively classify origin, offering innovative ways to authenticate regional products and support local economies. Further research can explore microbiota analysis and extend applicability to diverse food products and contexts for enhanced accuracy and broader impact.
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Alzheimer's disease (AD) is the most common type of dementia with millions of affected patients worldwide. Currently, there is still no cure and AD is often diagnosed long time after onset because there is no clear diagnosis. Thus, it is essential to study the physiology and pathogenesis of AD, investigating the risk factors that could be strongly connected to the disease onset. Despite AD, like other complex diseases, is the result of the combination of several factors, there is emerging agreement that environmental pollution should play a pivotal role in the causes of disease. In this work, we implemented an Artificial Intelligence model to predict AD mortality, expressed as Standardized Mortality Ratio, at Italian provincial level over 5 years. We employed a set of publicly available variables concerning pollution, health, society and economy to feed a Random Forest algorithm. Using methods based on eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) we found that air pollution (mainly O 3 and N O 2 ) contribute the most to AD mortality prediction. These results could help to shed light on the etiology of Alzheimer's disease and to confirm the urgent need to further investigate the relationship between the environment and the disease.
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Doença de Alzheimer , Poluentes Ambientais , Humanos , Inteligência Artificial , Doença de Alzheimer/etiologia , Aprendizado de Máquina , Poluição AmbientalRESUMO
Background: Colorectal cancer (CRC) is a type of tumor caused by the uncontrolled growth of cells in the mucosa lining the last part of the intestine. Emerging evidence underscores an association between CRC and gut microbiome dysbiosis. The high mortality rate of this cancer has made it necessary to develop new early diagnostic methods. Machine learning (ML) techniques can represent a solution to evaluate the interaction between intestinal microbiota and host physiology. Through explained artificial intelligence (XAI) it is possible to evaluate the individual contributions of microbial taxonomic markers for each subject. Our work also implements the Shapley Method Additive Explanations (SHAP) algorithm to identify for each subject which parameters are important in the context of CRC. Results: The proposed study aimed to implement an explainable artificial intelligence framework using both gut microbiota data and demographic information from subjects to classify a cohort of control subjects from those with CRC. Our analysis revealed an association between gut microbiota and this disease. We compared three machine learning algorithms, and the Random Forest (RF) algorithm emerged as the best classifier, with a precision of 0.729 ± 0.038 and an area under the Precision-Recall curve of 0.668 ± 0.016. Additionally, SHAP analysis highlighted the most crucial variables in the model's decision-making, facilitating the identification of specific bacteria linked to CRC. Our results confirmed the role of certain bacteria, such as Fusobacterium, Peptostreptococcus, and Parvimonas, whose abundance appears notably associated with the disease, as well as bacteria whose presence is linked to a non-diseased state. Discussion: These findings emphasizes the potential of leveraging gut microbiota data within an explainable AI framework for CRC classification. The significant association observed aligns with existing knowledge. The precision exhibited by the RF algorithm reinforces its suitability for such classification tasks. The SHAP analysis not only enhanced interpretability but identified specific bacteria crucial in CRC determination. This approach opens avenues for targeted interventions based on microbial signatures. Further exploration is warranted to deepen our understanding of the intricate interplay between microbiota and health, providing insights for refined diagnostic and therapeutic strategies.