Machine learning for atrial fibrillation risk prediction in patients with sleep apnea and coronary artery disease.

Background: Patients with sleep apnea (SA) and coronary artery disease (CAD) are at higher risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) than the general population. Our objectives were: to evaluate the role of CAD and SA in determining AF risk through cluster and survival analysis, and to develop a risk model for predicting AF. Methods: Electronic medical record (EMR) database from 22,302 individuals including 10,202 individuals with AF, CAD, and SA, and 12,100 individuals without these diseases were analyzed using K-means clustering technique; k-nearest neighbor (kNN) algorithm and survival analysis. Age, sex, and diseases developed for each individual during 9 years were used for cluster and survival analysis. Results: The risk models for AF, CAD, and SA were identified with high accuracy and sensitivity (0.98). Cluster analysis showed that CAD and high blood pressure (HBP) are the most prevalent diseases in the AF group, HBP is the most prevalent disease in CAD; and HBP and CAD are the most prevalent diseases in the SA group. Survival analysis demonstrated that individuals with HBP, CAD, and SA had a 1.5-fold increased risk of developing AF [hazard ratio (HR): 1.49, 95% CI: 1.18-1.87, p = 0.0041; HR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.09-1.96, p = 0.01; HR: 1.54, 95% CI: 1.22-1.94, p = 0.0039, respectively] and individuals with chronic kidney disease (CKD) developed AF approximately 50% earlier than patients without these comorbidities in a period of 7 years (HR: 3.36, 95% CI: 1.46-7.73, p = 0.0023). Comorbidities that contributed to develop AF earlier in females compared to males in the group of 50-64 years were HBP (HR: 3.75 95% CI: 1.08-13, p = 0.04) CAD and SA in the group of 60-75 years were (HR: 2.4 95% CI: 1.18-4.86, p = 0.02; HR: 2.51, 95% CI: 1.14-5.52, p = 0.02, respectively). Conclusion: Machine learning based algorithms demonstrated that CAD, SA, HBP, and CKD are significant risk factors for developing AF in a Latin-American population.

Bayesian Multi-Targets Strategy to Track Apis mellifera Movements at Colony Level.

Interactive movements of bees facilitate the division and organization of collective tasks, notably when they need to face internal or external environmental challenges. Here, we present a Bayesian and computational approach to track the movement of several honey bee, Apis mellifera, workers at colony level. We applied algorithms that combined tracking and Kernel Density Estimation (KDE), allowing measurements of entropy and Probability Distribution Function (PDF) of the motion of tracked organisms. We placed approximately 200 recently emerged and labeled bees inside an experimental colony, which consists of a mated queen, approximately 1000 bees, and a naturally occurring beehive background. Before release, labeled bees were fed for one hour with uncontaminated diets or diets containing a commercial mixture of synthetic fungicides (thiophanate-methyl and chlorothalonil). The colonies were filmed (12 min) at the 1st hour, 5th and 10th days after the bees' release. Our results revealed that the algorithm tracked the labeled bees with great accuracy. Pesticide-contaminated colonies showed anticipated collective activities in peripheral hive areas, far from the brood area, and exhibited reduced swarm entropy and energy values when compared to uncontaminated colonies. Collectively, our approach opens novel possibilities to quantify and predict potential alterations mediated by pollutants (e.g., pesticides) at the bee colony-level.

Dependence between cognitive impairment and metabolic syndrome applied to a Brazilian elderly dataset.

Globally, the proportion of elderly individuals in the population has increased substantially in the last few decades. However, the risk factors that should be managed in advance to ensure a natural process of mental decline due to aging remain unknown. In this study, a dataset consisting of a Brazilian elderly sample was modelled using a Bayesian Network (BN) approach to uncover connections between cognitive performance measures and potential influence factors. Regarding its structure (a Directed Acyclic Graph), it was investigated the probabilistic dependence mechanism between two variables of medical interest: the suspected risk factor known as Metabolic Syndrome (MetS) and the indicator of mental decline referred to as Cognitive Impairment (CI). In this investigation, the concept known in the context of a BN as D-separation has been employed. Results of the conducted study revealed that the dependence between MetS and Cognitive Variables (CI and its direct determinants) in fact exists and depends on both Body Mass Index (BMI) and age.

Identification of Directed Interactions in Kinematic Data during Running.

The knowledge of motion dynamics during running activity is crucial to enhance the development of rehabilitation techniques and injury prevention programs. Recent studies investigated the interaction between joints, using several analysis techniques, as cross-correlation, sensitivity analysis, among others. However, the direction of the joints pairing is still not understood. This paper proposes a study of the influence direction pattern in healthy runners by using kinematic data together with partial directed coherence, a frequency approach of Granger causality. The analysis was divided into three anatomical planes, sagittal, frontal, and transverse, and using data from ankle, knee, hip, and trunk segments. Results indicate a predominance of proximal to distal influence during running, reflecting a centralized anatomic source of movements. These findings highlight the necessity of managing proximal joints movements, in addition to motor control and core (trunk and hip) strengthening training to lumbar spine, knee, and ankle injuries prevention and rehabilitation.