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INTRODUCTION: Routine laboratory screening is based on the detection of WNV specific IgM and IgG in blood and cerebrospinal fluid. Confirmation is then classically applied by real time RT-PCR (rRT-PCR) in Cerebrospinal fluid (CSF), which often gives negative results due to too short virorachia and late sampling. rRT-PCR was applied-for the first time for routine diagnosis purpose-on urine samples. METHODS: During 2018 outbreak in Tunisia, 107 patients presented WNV neurologic symptoms and were positive for WNV serology. Of them, 95 patients were sampled for urine and 35 were sampled for CSF. Qualitative rRT-PCR was performed on both type of samples. RESULTS: WNV RNA was detected in 50.5% of urine samples (48/95) and in 2.8% of CSF samples (1/35). WNV RNA was detectable from day 1 to day 41 from symptom onset, however, positive urine rate was 53.1% during the first 10 days from symptom onset. The proportions of urine-positive and urine-negative samples, based on day of collection, showed no statistical difference (p > 0.005). Cycle threshold (Ct) values ranged from 12 to 39, with no correlation with the day of collection. The lowest Ct value was detected for urine sampled on day 5 after symptom onset. A statistically significant difference was found between age groups of confirmed and non confirmed cases (p < 0.001). DISCUSSION/CONCLUSION: Our study reported the use of rRT-PCR on urine samples as a confirmatory diagnostic tool for WNV "probable cases" during an outbreak. Our findings underlined the reliability and the rapidity of this confirmatory tool, even late, and showed its superiority on CSF investigation.
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Febre do Nilo Ocidental , Vírus do Nilo Ocidental , Humanos , RNA Viral/genética , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Reação em Cadeia da Polimerase Via Transcriptase Reversa , Febre do Nilo Ocidental/diagnóstico , Febre do Nilo Ocidental/epidemiologia , Vírus do Nilo Ocidental/genéticaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The outbreak of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) continues to constitute an international public health concern. Few data are available on the duration and prognostic factors of the disease. We aimed to study the recovery time among a Tunisian cohort of COVID-19 confirmed patients and identify the prognostic factors. METHODS: A retrospective, nationwide study was conducted from March 2 to May 8, 2020, recruiting all patients who were diagnosed with COVID-19, by RT-PCR methods, in Tunisia. Data were collected via phone call interview. Kaplan-Meir Methods and Cox proportional hazards regression models were, respectively, used to study the recovery time and estimate its prognostic factors. RESULTS: One thousand and thirty patients with COVID-19 (aged 43.2 ± 18.2 years, 526 female (51.1%)) were enrolled. Among them 141 (14.8%) were healthcare professionals. Out of 173 patients (17.8%) admitted to the hospital, 47 were admitted in an intensive care unit. Among 827 patients who didn't require specialized care, 55.5% were self-isolated at home, while the rest were in specialized centers. Six hundred and two patients were symptomatic. A total of 634 (61.6%) patients have recovered and 45 (4.4%) patients died. The median duration of illness was estimated to be 31 days (95% CI: [29-32]). Older age (HR = 0.66, CI:[0.46-0.96], P = 0.031) and symptoms (HR = 0.61, CI:[0.43-0.81], P = 0.021) were independently associated with a delay in recovery time. Being a healthcare professional (HR = 1.52, CI: [1.10-2.08], P = 0.011) and patients in home isolation compared to isolation centers (HR = 2.99, CI: [1.85-4.83], P < 10¯3) were independently associated with faster recovery time. CONCLUSION: The duration of illness was estimated to be 1 month. However, this long estimated duration of illness may not equate to infectiousness. A particular attention must to be paid to elderly and symptomatic patients with closer monitoring.
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COVID-19/diagnóstico , Adolescente , Adulto , Fatores Etários , Idoso , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/mortalidade , COVID-19/virologia , Criança , Surtos de Doenças , Feminino , Hospitalização/estatística & dados numéricos , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prognóstico , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , RNA Viral/metabolismo , Estudos Retrospectivos , SARS-CoV-2/genética , SARS-CoV-2/isolamento & purificação , Taxa de Sobrevida , Tunísia/epidemiologia , Adulto JovemRESUMO
BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to characterize the transmission chains and clusters of COVID-19 infection in Tunisia. METHODS: All cases were confirmed by Reverse Transcriptase Polymerase Chain Reaction of a nasopharyngeal specimen. Contact tracing is undertaken for all confirmed cases in order to identify close contacts that will be systematically screened and quarantined. Transmission chains were identified based on field investigation, contact tracing, results of screening tests and by assessing all probable mode of transmission and interactions. RESULTS: As of May 18, 2020, 656 cases out of a total of 1043 confirmed cases of Coronavirus disease 2019 belong to 127 transmission chains identified during the epidemic (mean age 42.36 years, Standard deviation 19.56 and sex ratio 0.86). The virus transmission is the most concentrated in the governorate of Tunis (31.5%), Ariana (10.2%) and Ben Arous (10.2%). Virus transmission occurred 50 times (9.72% of secondary transmission events) between two different governorates. A maximum of seven generations of secondary infection was identified, whereas 62% of these secondary infections belong the first generation. A total of 11 "super spreader" cases were identified in this investigation. Four large clusters have been identified. The evolution of secondary cases highlighted two peaks: one in 2nd April and a second in 16 th April whereas imported cases caused local transmission of virus during the early phase of the epidemic. CONCLUSION: Correct contact tracing and early active case finding is useful to identify transmission chains and source of infection in order to contain the widespread transmission in the community.
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COVID-19/transmissão , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , COVID-19/diagnóstico , COVID-19/virologia , Análise por Conglomerados , Busca de Comunicante , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Nasofaringe/virologia , RNA Viral/análise , RNA Viral/metabolismo , Reação em Cadeia da Polimerase Via Transcriptase Reversa , SARS-CoV-2/genética , SARS-CoV-2/isolamento & purificação , Tunísia , Adulto JovemRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Describing transmission dynamics of the outbreak and impact of intervention measures are critical to planning responses to future outbreaks and providing timely information to guide policy makers decision. We estimate serial interval (SI) and temporal reproduction number (Rt) of SARS-CoV-2 in Tunisia. METHODS: We collected data of investigations and contact tracing between March 1, 2020 and May 5, 2020 as well as illness onset data during the period February 29-May 5, 2020 from National Observatory of New and Emerging Diseases of Tunisia. Maximum likelihood (ML) approach is used to estimate dynamics of Rt. RESULTS: Four hundred ninety-one of infector-infectee pairs were involved, with 14.46% reported pre-symptomatic transmission. SI follows Gamma distribution with mean 5.30 days [95% Confidence Interval (CI) 4.66-5.95] and standard deviation 0.26 [95% CI 0.23-0.30]. Also, we estimated large changes in Rt in response to the combined lockdown interventions. The Rt moves from 3.18 [95% Credible Interval (CrI) 2.73-3.69] to 1.77 [95% CrI 1.49-2.08] with curfew prevention measure, and under the epidemic threshold (0.89 [95% CrI 0.84-0.94]) by national lockdown measure. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, our findings highlight contribution of interventions to interrupt transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in Tunisia.
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COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/transmissão , Modelos Estatísticos , Pandemias , Quarentena/métodos , SARS-CoV-2 , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , COVID-19/virologia , Busca de Comunicante , Humanos , Incidência , Projetos de Pesquisa , Tunísia/epidemiologiaRESUMO
Background In Tunisia, the information system on medical causes of death is based on the use of standard death certificate model based on international model recommended by the World Organization started in January 2001. However, this system is still burdened with a major death causes of under-registration. Only specific surveys on mortality have FAR generate reliable mortality indicators. Objectives to study the use of verbal autopsy in order to assess cancer mortality among Tunisian women in reproductive age (WRA) . Methods A retrospective national RAMOS survey (Reproductive Age Mortality Study). This survey was conducted in 2010 and included all deaths of women aged 15-49 years which occurred in 2008 and were due to cancer. Data were collected from civil status records and information gathered from families and from health institution's registers. For all deaths of women aged 15-49 years, the detailed circumstances and the sequence of events leading to death were grouped on a folder called "clinical record of verbal autopsy" .Then; all folders were submitted to the independent expert. Results During the study period, 1729 deaths among women of reproductive age (WRA) were the subject of a verbal autopsy against only 708 recorded by the National death information system (NDIS). Cancer is the leading cause of death among WRA .The specific rate of cancer mortality is 17.83 per 100 000 WRA against only 7.91 per 100 000 WRA estimated by the NDIS. Breast cancer is the leading cause with 35% of all cancers and specific death rate of 6.3 per 100,000 WRA against 2.48 per 100,000 WRA recorded by the NDIS. Conclusion Verbal autopsies Verbal autopsy remains an interesting method for measuring cancer mortality in women of a reproductive age especially in countries with a defective national death information system.
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Neoplasias da Mama/mortalidade , Causas de Morte , Neoplasias/mortalidade , Adolescente , Adulto , Autopsia/métodos , Neoplasias da Mama/epidemiologia , Feminino , Inquéritos Epidemiológicos , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Neoplasias/epidemiologia , Neoplasias/patologia , Estudos Retrospectivos , Tunísia/epidemiologia , Adulto JovemRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Most assessments of the burden of obesity in nutrition transition contexts rely on body mass index (BMI) only, even though abdominal adiposity might be specifically predictive of adverse health outcomes. In Tunisia, a typical country of the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region, where the burden of obesity is especially high among women, we compared female abdominal vs. overall obesity and its geographic and socio-economic cofactors, both at population and within-subject levels. METHODS: The cross-sectional study used a stratified, three-level, clustered sample of 35- to 70-year-old women (n = 2,964). Overall obesity was BMI = weight/height(2) ≥ 30 kg/m(2) and abdominal obesity waist circumference ≥ 88 cm. We quantified the burden of obesity for overall and abdominal obesity separately and their association with place of residence (urban/rural, the seven regions that compose Tunisia), plus physiological and socio-economic cofactors by logistic regression. We studied the within-subject concordance of the two obesities and estimated the prevalence of subject-level "abdominal-only" obesity (AO) and "overall-only" obesity (OO) and assessed relationships with the cofactors by multinomial logistic regression. RESULTS: Abdominal obesity was much more prevalent (60.4% [57.7-63.0]) than overall obesity (37.0% [34.5-39.6]), due to a high proportion of AO status (25.0% [22.8-27.1]), while the proportion of OO was small (1.6% [1.1-2.2]). We found mostly similar associations between abdominal and overall obesity and all the cofactors except that the regional variability of abdominal obesity was much larger than that of overall obesity. There were no adjusted associations of AO status with urban/rural area of residence (P = 0.21), education (P = 0.97) or household welfare level (P = 0.94) and only non-menopausal women (P = 0.093), lower parity women (P = 0.061) or worker/employees (P = 0.038) were somewhat less likely to be AO. However, there was a large residual adjusted regional variability of AO status (from 16.6% to 34.1%, adjusted P < 0.0001), possibly of genetic, epigenetic, or developmental origins. CONCLUSION: Measures of abdominal adiposity need to be included in population-level appraisals of the burden of obesity, especially among women in the MENA region. The causes of the highly prevalent abdominal-only obesity status among women require further investigation.
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BACKGROUND: Although diabetes is recognized as an emerging disease in African and Middle East, few population-based surveys have been conducted in this region. We performed a national survey to estimate the prevalence of type 2 diabetes (T2D) and to evaluate the relationship between this diagnosis, demographic and socioeconomic variables. METHODS: The study was conducted on a random sample of 6580 households (940 in each region). 7700 subjects adults 35-70 years old were included in the analyses. T2D was assessed on the basis of a questionnaire and fasting blood glucose level according to the WHO criteria. Access to health care and diabetes management were also assessed. RESULTS: Overall, the prevalence of T2D was 15.1%. There were sharp urban vs. rural contrasts, the prevalence of diabetes being twice higher in urban area. However, the ratio urban/rural varied from 3 in the less developed region to 1.6 in the most developed ones. A sharp increase of prevalence of T2D with economic level of the household was observed. For both genders those with a family history of T2D were much more at risk of T2D than those without. Awareness increase with age, economic level and were higher amongst those with family history of T2D. Drugs were supplied by primary health care centers for 57.7% with a difference according to gender, 48.9% for men vs. 66.0% women (p < 0.001) and area, 53.3% on urban area vs. 75.2% on rural one (p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Through its capacity to provide the data on the burden of diabetes in the context of the epidemiological transition that North Africa is facing, this survey will not only be valuable source for health care planners in Tunisia, but will also serve as an important research for the study of diabetes in the region where data is scarce. In this context, NCDs emerge as an intersectoral challenge and their social determinants requiring social, food and environmental health policy.
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Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiologia , Adulto , Idoso , Análise por Conglomerados , Estudos Transversais , Coleta de Dados , Países em Desenvolvimento , Feminino , Humanos , Entrevistas como Assunto , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prevalência , População Rural/estatística & dados numéricos , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Inquéritos e Questionários , Tunísia/epidemiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Tunisia has investigated maternal mortality in 2010 to determine maternal mortality ratio (MMR) nationally and regionally, in addition to the indentifying main causes of this mortality. OBJECTIVES: Describe methodology of this study and its principal findings in the region of Tunis and discuss the national maternal mortality strategy. METHODOLOGY: This is a Ramos study (Reproductive Ag Mortality Studies) that consists on identifying maternal deaths from reproductive age group (RAG) women deaths. We started by the a rehearsal and targeting of (RAG) women deaths , then we investigated a next of kin person of the decedent women by verbal autopsy, thereafter we identified maternal deaths to be confidentially investigated to judge the potential avoidability of the death. The study took place in 2010, it was carried out by 5 couples of investigators supervised by a coordinator doctor. RESULTS: A total of 200 deaths of (RAG) women were found in Tunis, 7 deaths among them were maternal deaths, that corresponds to an MMR of 41/100000 live births. The mean age of the deceased women was 35 years. The main causes of maternal deaths were hemorrhage (3/7), thrombo-embolic diseases (2 times for7) and HELLP syndrome (1/7). Four of a total of 4 deaths (3 deaths were not marked), were avoidable. The majority of late women had a satisfying educational level, 4 of 7 had financial autonomy. All of them had pregnancy monitoring, 5 times of 7 in university hospital. All the childbirth were medically assisted, Caesarean section was carried in 6 of 7 cases. Nationally, the MMR was estimated to 44.8/100 000 LB, that to say a decrease of 35% compared to 1993. The decrease was significant for all the regions of the country, except the great Tunis where opposite trend was recorded. This could be more likely related to quality of care rather than socio-economic conditions seeing that social determinants in Tunis are favorable. In fact, the Tunisian maternal mortality strategy had essentially focused on the monitoring system of maternal deaths rather than the quality of care improvement interventions, results were disappointing due to the lack of institutional engagement. The achievement of the OMD5 objectives is compromised, due to socio-economic constraint especially in certain regions, poor governance and lack of engagement of ministry of health in reducing maternal mortality. CONCLUSION: Tunisian maternal mortality strategy should be revised and adapted to regional context, also should includ multisectoral interventions. Priority would be given to quality of care improvement, by launching the experience of care setting accreditation in one hand, and in the other improving partnership between different levels of care.
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Mortalidade Materna/tendências , Adulto , Feminino , Inquéritos Epidemiológicos , Humanos , Tunísia/epidemiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, multiple vaccines to protect against COVID-19 disease have been developed rapidly. Precise estimates of vaccine effectiveness (VE) vary according to studies design, outcomes measured and circulating variants. The aim of this study was to evaluate the anti-covid-19 vaccine effectiveness in Tunisia. METHODS: We conducted a matched case-control study from 2nd to 15th August 2021. Cases and controls were subjects over 60 years of age, selected from the National testing database, regardless vaccine status. A standardized questionnaire was administered for cases and controls to collect information about vaccination status. For cases, vaccination status was defined based on the number of doses received before becoming ill and excludes doses received during the previous two weeks. For matched controls, a reference date based on the case's date of illness onset was defined in order to look at the control's vaccination status before its corresponding case became ill. The odds-ratio was calculated using simple conditional logistic regression. The VE (95 % confidence intervals) was calculated as (1 - odds ratio for vaccination) × 100 %. RESULTS: A sample of 977 matched peers for age and Gender, were included between August 2, and August 15, 2021. The overall vaccine effectiveness (VE) was 70 % [95 % CI 62.8-75.8 %]. Among our sample, 68.1 % of the male population and 56.4 % of the female population were vaccinated with a VE of 73 % [95 % CI 62.9-80.3 %] and 67 % [95 % CI 55.8-75.3 %] respectively, regardless vaccine scheme (complete or incomplete). VE was higher for the age group [60-70 years[ (72.3 % [95 % CI 62.8-79.3 %]). VE was 77.6 % [95 % CI 70.9-82.8 %] to prevent both symptomatic and asymptomatic forms of the disease. Moreover, in prevention from severe forms (treated with oxygen-therapy or admission to an Intensive-care-unit) VE was 86.6 % [95 % CI 75.6-92.7 %] and 98.4 % [95 % CI [79.2-99.8 %] in prevention from COVID-19 deaths with a complete anti-Covid vaccination scheme. CONCLUSION: The results of our study showed that the anti-Covid-19 vaccines used in Tunisia are efficient to prevent both SARS-COV-2 infections and severe forms related to the disease. This study provided important data on the performance of vaccines in real-world settings that guide decisions about vaccine sustained use.
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COVID-19 , Humanos , Feminino , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Tunísia/epidemiologia , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Pandemias , Eficácia de Vacinas , SARS-CoV-2 , Vacinas contra COVID-19RESUMO
OBJECTIVE: To determine the prevalence of metabolic syndrome (MetS) and its components and to evaluate the relationship between this diagnosis and cardiovascular risk factors, demographic and socio-economic variables. DESIGN: A cross-sectional study using a questionnaire including information on sociodemographic and CVD risk factors. Blood pressure, anthropometric indices, fasting glucose and lipid profile were measured. MetS was defined according to the criteria of the National Cholesterol Education Program, Adult Treatment Panel III. SETTING: The whole Tunisian territory; Transition and Health Impact in North Africa (TAHINA) project. SUBJECTS: A total of 4654 individuals (1840 men and 2814 women), aged 35 to 74 years, who participated in the Tunisian national survey. RESULTS: The overall prevalence of MetS was 30·0 %, higher in women (36·1 %) than in men (20·6 %; P < 0·001). In both genders MetS prevalence increased significantly with age (P < 0·001), but this increase was more important in women. Multiple regression analyses showed that the odds for MetS increased significantly with urban area for both men and women (P < 0·05 and P < 0·001, respectively). The multivariate models showed also that the odds for MetS increased significantly with increasing level of education and in those with a family history of CVD for men (both P < 0·05) and after the menopausal transition for women (P < 0·05). CONCLUSIONS: The study highlights the MetS problem in a middle-income developing country. There is an urgent need for a comprehensive, integrated, population-based intervention programme to ameliorate the growing problem of MetS in Tunisians.
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Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Síndrome Metabólica/epidemiologia , Adulto , Idoso , Antropometria , Glicemia/análise , Pressão Sanguínea , Doenças Cardiovasculares/etiologia , Estudos Transversais , Países em Desenvolvimento , Dieta , Feminino , Humanos , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Menopausa , Síndrome Metabólica/sangue , Síndrome Metabólica/complicações , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Análise Multivariada , Prevalência , Fatores de Risco , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Inquéritos e Questionários , Tunísia/epidemiologiaRESUMO
There are limited national population-based studies on HPV genotypes distribution in Tunisia, thus making difficult an assessment of the burden of vaccine-preventable cervical cancer. In this context, we conducted a national survey to determine the HPV prevalence and genotypes distribution and the risk factors for HPV infections in Tunisian women. This is a cross-sectional study performed between December 2012 and December 2014. A liquid-based Pap smear sample was obtained from all women and samples' DNAs were extracted. Only women with betaglobin-positive PCR were further analysed for HPV detection and typing by a nested-PCR of the L1 region followed by next-generation sequencing. A multiple logistic regression model was used for the analysis of associations between the variables. A total of 1517 women were enrolled in this study, and 1229 out of the 1517 cervical samples were positive for the betaglobin control PCR and tested for HPV. Overall HPV infection prevalence was measured to be 7.8% (96/1229), with significant differences between the grand regions, ranging from 2% in the North to 13.1% in Grand Tunis. High-risk HPV genotypes accounted for 5% of the infections. The most prevalent genotypes were HPV 31 (1%), 16 (0.9%), 59 (0.7%). HPV18 was detected only in four cases of the study population. Potential risk factors were living in Grand Tunis region (OR: 7.94 [2.74-22.99]), married status (OR: 2.74 [1.23-6.13]), smoking habit (OR: 2.73 [1.35-5.51]), occupation (OR: 1.81 [1.09-3.01]) and women with multiple sexual partners (OR: 1.91 [1.07-3.39]). These findings underscore the need to evaluate the cost effectiveness of HPV vaccine implementation, contribute to the evidence on the burden of HPV infections, the critical role of sexual behaviour and socioeconomic status, and call for increased support to the preventive program of cervical cancer in Tunisia.
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Alphapapillomavirus , Infecções por Papillomavirus , Vacinas contra Papillomavirus , Neoplasias do Colo do Útero , Humanos , Feminino , Papillomaviridae/genética , Prevalência , Estudos Transversais , Tunísia/epidemiologia , Genótipo , Fatores de RiscoRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: This study was undertaken to investigate the relationship between the Apolipoprotein B/Apolipoprotein A 1 (ApoB/ApoA 1) ratio and various characteristics of the metabolic syndrome (MetS) in a sample of the Tunisian population. METHODS: The study included 330 adults aged 35-74 (172 patients with MetS and 158 controls). Waist circumference (WC), blood pressure (BP), HDL-cholesterol (HDL-C), triglycerides (TG), glucose, insulin, and apolipoprotein concentrations were measured. Homeostasis model assessment (HOMA) was used to assess insulin resistance (IR). MetS was defined by NCEP-ATPIII report. RESULTS: The ApoB/ApoA 1 ratio was significantly higher in patients with MetS versus normal control subjects (p<0.001). Mean values of ApoB/ApoA 1 ratio increased significantly as the numbers of MetS components increased in men (p<0.001) and women (p<0.001). ApoB/ApoA 1 ratio showed statistically significant associations with WC, HDL-C, TG, systolic and diastolic BP, and HOMA-IR. After adjusting for age and gender, the high ApoB/ApoA 1 ratio was significantly associated with the presence of MetS (odds ratio [OR]=6.10), IR (OR=1.88), and with each of the MetS components, including: high WC (OR=2.43), High TG (OR=6.14), and low HDL-C (OR=6.92). CONCLUSIONS: Our findings suggest that the ApoB/ApoA 1 ratio is strongly associated with MetS and its components, as well as with IR.
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Apolipoproteína A-I/sangue , Apolipoproteínas B/sangue , Síndrome Metabólica/sangue , Adulto , Idoso , Feminino , Humanos , Resistência à Insulina , Modelos Logísticos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estatísticas não Paramétricas , TunísiaRESUMO
West Nile Virus (WNV) is an arbovirus transmitted by mosquito bite involving birds as reservoirs, humans and equines as accidental hosts. Eight distinct lineages (WNV-1 to WNV-8) have been identified: WNV-1 and WNV-2 infect humans and animals, and WNV-3 to WNV-8 have been identified only in vectors. WNV has been implicated in neuroinvasives infections, especially meningitis and encephalitis. Tunisia experienced three epidemics in 1997, 2003 and 2012. Serological studies on humans, equines and birds as well as the detection of the virus in the vector favour a fairly frequent circulation in the country. A new epidemic has been observed in Tunisia between August and November 2018. The obtained sequences of the VWN from Tunisia 2018 grouped in a distinct monophyletic group within the Mediterranean subtype in Cluster 1, with a maximum of 2% nucleotide divergence. These sequences were clearly distinct from the Tunisia 1997, which grouped with sequences mainly from USA in Cluster 2. This work reports the genetic characterization of the Tunisia 2018 strain in comparison with the previously identified strains in Tunisia and worldwide. The epidemic virus Tunisia 2018 was genetically close to the Mediterranean basin and Eastern Europe sequences but distinct from the Tunisia 1997 closely related to the American sequences.
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Febre do Nilo Ocidental , Vírus do Nilo Ocidental , Animais , Aves , Surtos de Doenças/veterinária , Doenças dos Cavalos , Cavalos , Humanos , Tunísia/epidemiologia , Febre do Nilo Ocidental/epidemiologia , Febre do Nilo Ocidental/transmissão , Febre do Nilo Ocidental/veterinária , Vírus do Nilo Ocidental/genéticaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Defining the start and assessing the intensity of influenza seasons are essential to ensure timely preventive and control measures and to contribute to the pandemic preparedness. The present study aimed to determine the epidemic and intensity thresholds of influenza season in Tunisia using the moving epidemic method. METHODS: We applied the moving epidemic method (MEM) using the R Language implementation (package "mem"). We have calculated the epidemic and the different intensity thresholds from historical data of the past nine influenza seasons (2009-2010 to 2017-2018) and assessed the impact of the 2009-2010 pandemic year. Data used were the weekly influenza-like illness (ILI) proportions compared with all outpatient acute consultations. The goodness of the model was assessed using a cross validation procedure. RESULTS: The average duration of influenza epidemic during a typical season was 20 weeks and ranged from 11 weeks (2009-2010 season) to 23 weeks (2015-2016 season). The epidemic threshold with the exclusion of the pandemic season was 6.25%. It had a very high sensitivity of 85% and a high specificity of 69%. The different levels of intensity were established as follows: low, if ILI proportion is below 9.74%, medium below 12.05%; high below 13.27%; and very high above this last rate. CONCLUSIONS: This is the first mathematically based study of seasonal threshold of influenza in Tunisia. As in other studies in different countries, the model has shown both good specificity and sensitivity, which allows timely and accurate detection of the start of influenza seasons. The findings will contribute to the development of more efficient measures for influenza prevention and control.
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Monitoramento Epidemiológico , Influenza Humana/epidemiologia , Pandemias/estatística & dados numéricos , Projetos de Pesquisa , Estações do Ano , Adolescente , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Conceitos Matemáticos , Vigilância de Evento Sentinela , Tunísia/epidemiologiaRESUMO
Implementation of Human Papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination should be considered a key cervical cancer prevention strategy in Tunisia, where Pap smear screening is not efficient. This study aims to estimate the prevalence and to identify risk factors associated with HPV infection among women from Grand Tunis, Tunisia. We conducted a cross-sectional study, between December 2012 and May 2013. Eligible women for this study were those aged 18-65 years, sexually active, who sought medical attention at their primary health care centre or clinic in Grand Tunis, Tunisia and who gave written consent. A liquid-based Pap smear sample was obtained from all women using a cervical brush. Only women with betaglobin positive test were further analysed for HPV detection and typing. A nested-PCR of the L1 region was performed followed by reverse line blot hybridization to facilitate the specific detection of 31 HPV genotypes. Multiple logistic regression modeling was used for the analysis of associations between variables with some considered possible confounders after checking for interactions. A total of 391 women were enrolled in this study and 325 out of the 391 cervical samples were positive for the betaglobin test. Overall HPV prevalence was 13.2% [9.8%-17.5%], with the following most prevalent HPV genotypes: HPV6 (40%), HPV40 (14%), HPV16 (12%), HPV52 (9%), HPV31 and HPV59 (7%), followed by HPV68 (4%). Mean age of HPV positive women was 40.7±0.92 years. Independently associated risk factors of HPV infection were smoking (OR:2.8 [0.8-9.6]), low income (OR:9.6 [1.4-63.4), bad housing type (OR:2.5 [1-6.8]), partner with multiple sexual relationship (OR:4.5 [0.9-22.9]) and single women (widowed, divorced, separated, never married) (OR:6.9 [1.1-42.2]). This study provides the first national-based estimate of HPV prevalence in Tunisia. Our findings contribute to the evidence on the current burden of HPV infection, the critical role of sexual behaviour and socioeconomic status and call for increased support for the screening program in Tunisia to prevent cervical cancer. These results allow us to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of vaccine program implementation in Tunisia in future.
Assuntos
Colo do Útero/virologia , Papillomaviridae/genética , Papillomaviridae/isolamento & purificação , Infecções por Papillomavirus/epidemiologia , Adulto , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Genótipo , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Infecções por Papillomavirus/prevenção & controle , Vacinas contra Papillomavirus/uso terapêutico , Projetos Piloto , Prevalência , Fatores de Risco , Parceiros Sexuais , Fatores Socioeconômicos , Tunísia/epidemiologiaRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: To assess the Cardiovascular risk factors trend in community based surveys. METHOD: Two population surveys were conducted in 1996-97 and 2000-01 in the Ariana region among 7608 adults 35-70 years aged. The surveys were based on: 1--a questionnary, 2--an anthropometrical and physical examination, 3--a biological investigation, and 4--an ECG registration for the second cohort. RESULTS: Relative to the first survey, the prevalence of hypertension, diabetes, hypercholesterolemia didn't change significantly while borderline cholesterol increased on both genders, tobacco smoking decreased and ex-smokers increased on men. In both genders, hypertension and diabetes prevalence is low before 50 years but it increased after this age. Risk factors association is common: about 35% have more than two risk factors. This association is more common on women and diabetes-hypertension is the most frequent. CONCLUSION: These two surveys integrated in a global surveillance program has contributed to assess the CVDs burden and to identify priorities and intervention relevant to epidemiological region context.
Assuntos
Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Doenças Cardiovasculares/etiologia , Adulto , Idoso , Feminino , Inquéritos Epidemiológicos , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Fatores de Risco , Tunísia/epidemiologiaRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: A cross-sectional population survey was carried out in the Ariana region in 2000-01. The aim of this study is to report the prevalence of CHD as indicated by ECG Minnesota coding. METHOD: A randomly selected sample included 1837 adults 40-70 years. Data on socio-economic status, demographic, medical history, health behaviour, clinical and biological investigations were recorded. Risk factors (hypertension, dyslipedemia, obesity, diabetes) are defined according to WHO criterias. Standard supine 12 lead ECGs were recorded. All ECGs are red and classified according to the Minnesota codes criteria on CHD probable, CHD possible and on Major abnormalities and minor abnormalities. RESULTS: CHD prevalence was higher on women. Major abnormalities are more common on women (20.6% vs 13%), while minor abnormalities prevalence was higher on men (15.5% vs 7.5%) (p<0.0001). The prevalence increased with age in both genders. CONCLUSION: This study tested how feasible is the population approach on CVDs surveillance. It highlighted the burden of cardiovascular diseases and support that women are at risk as men are. The value of ECG findings must be integrated in the cardiovascular diseases surveillance to identify high risk population.
Assuntos
Doença das Coronárias/epidemiologia , Adulto , Estudos Transversais , Eletrocardiografia , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Vigilância da População , Prevalência , Tunísia/epidemiologiaRESUMO
The study objective was to assess the prevalence, level of awareness of treatment, and control of hypertension in a general population. We conducted a cross-sectional survey on 1837 adults 40-69 years old. Hypertension and control level are defined according to the WHO/ISH recommendations. HBP is defined as SBP > or = 140 and or DBP > or = 90 mm Hg and the use of blood pressure-lowering medication. Hypertension is controlled by medication if SBP < 140 and DBP < 90 mm Hg. We conduct analysis by socio demographic variable, medical history and CHDs risk factors. 44.3% of adults was hypertensive. The prevalence of hypertension was higher among women (48.2% versus 38.7% on men) and it increases in both genders with age, body mass index. Only 41% of the hypertensive were aware of having hypertension, among them, 74.1% declare that they are treated but only 13.2% were controlled. The study highlights the problem of the hypertension in a developing country. It contributes to identify the huge iceberg of this CVDs risk factor. The national strategy must focus on the population life style and drugs management. The question is how much will be the cost of HBP and CVDs control for a country which has a limited resources.
Assuntos
Hipertensão/diagnóstico , Hipertensão/epidemiologia , Adulto , Idoso , Estudos Transversais , Feminino , Inquéritos Epidemiológicos , Humanos , Hipertensão/tratamento farmacológico , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Prevalência , Tunísia/epidemiologiaRESUMO
OBJECTIVE: We aimed to assess the acute myocardial infarction management in Tunis public hospitals during one year (from March 2000 to February 2001). METHOD: A standard questionnaire was designed to record prospective data on 740 patients with a follow up during 28 days. Multivariate analysis was performed using the logistic regression model with all-factors as well as age, gender, CHD risk factors as predictors of the delay and fatality. 54% of patients were admitted during the first 6 hours after the onset of symptoms. In multivariate analysis, the delay of consultation is significantly correlated with gender (OR = 2.3, p < 0.001), age (OR = 1.02, p < 0.01) and health insurance (OR = 1.5, p < 0.01). 90% of patients consulted in emergency wards. The emergency ambulance transported 19.6% of patients. 48% of patients underwent early revascularisation of thrombolysis, 51% on men vs 31% on women (p < 0.01). The fatality rate was higher on women 14% vs 6.4% on men (p < 0.01) at 5 days and 27.2% vs 13.6% at 28 days. In multivariate analysis, the principal fatality predictive factor was age (RR = 1.08, p < 0.001) and delay (2.56 p < 0.001) and tobacco smoking (RR = 2.83, p < 0.0001). CONCLUSION: This study highlighted the problem of acute myocardial infarction management in public hospitals in Tunisia and it constitutes a baseline to assess different interventions focusing on cardiovascular diseases control and surveillance.
Assuntos
Infarto do Miocárdio/mortalidade , Infarto do Miocárdio/terapia , Fatores Etários , Idoso , Feminino , Hospitais Públicos , Humanos , Seguro Saúde , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Prospectivos , Fatores Sexuais , Inquéritos e Questionários , Fatores de Tempo , Tunísia/epidemiologiaRESUMO
The study objective was to assess the prevalence, level of treatment, and control of hypertension in CHDs patients. We conducted a cross-sectional survey on 1109 patients hospitalised for a first episode of MI in the main hospitals of the District of Tunis during the period 1999-2000. Hypertension and control level are defined according to the JNC recommendations. HBP is defined as SBP > = 140 and or DBP > = 90 mm Hg and the use of blood pressure-lowering medication for the indication of hypertension. Hypertension is controlled by medication if SBP < 140 and DBP < 90 mm Hg. We conduct analysis by socio demographic variables, medical history and CHDs risk factors. 54.9% men and 72.1% women were hypertensive. The prevalence of hypertension increases with age in both genders. The logistic regression have shown that the age-adjusted odds ratios were statically significant for diabetes, obesity, high cholestrolemia and cigarettes smoking. Only 68.9% of the hypertensive were aware of having hypertension, women were more aware than men (84.6% versus 61.7%, p < 0.001). Awareness increase with age and education level. Among hypertensive, 94.4% were treated but only 41.3% were controlled. The study highlights the problem of the hypertension, and contributes to identify the iceberg of this CHDs risk factor. An effort must be done to involve the health personnel for educating patients, the population for changing their life style and manager for enhancing the availability of drugs. The question is how much will be the cost of HBP and CVDs control for a country which has a limited resources.