Predictive values of time-dense SARS-CoV-2 wastewater analysis in university campus buildings.

Wastewater-based SARS-CoV-2 surveillance on college campuses has the ability to detect individual clinical COVID-19 cases at the building-level. High concordance of wastewater results and clinical cases has been observed when calculated over a time window of four days or longer and in settings with high incidence of infection. At Duke University, twice a week clinical surveillance of all resident undergraduates was carried out in the spring 2021 semester. We conducted simultaneous wastewater surveillance with daily frequency on selected residence halls to assess wastewater as an early warning tool during times of low transmission with the hope of scaling down clinical test frequency. We evaluated the temporal relationship of the two time-dense data sets, wastewater and clinical, and sought a strategy to achieve the highest wastewater predictive values using the shortest time window to enable timely intervention. There were 11 days with clinical cases in the residence halls (80-120 occupants) under wastewater surveillance with 5 instances of a single clinical case and 3 instances of two clinical cases which also corresponded to a positive wastewater SARS-CoV-2 signal. While the majority (71%) of our wastewater samples were negative for SARS-CoV-2, 29% resulted in at least one positive PCR signal, some of which did not correlate with an identified clinical case. Using a criteria of two consecutive days of positive wastewater signals, we obtained a positive predictive value (PPV) of 75% and a negative predictive value of 87% using a short 2 day time window for agreement. A conventional concordance over a much longer 4 day time window resulted in PPV of only 60%. Our data indicated that daily wastewater collection and using a criteria of two consecutive days of positive wastewater signals was the most predictive approach to timely early warning of COVID-19 cases at the building level.

Disruption of the Opal Stop Codon Attenuates Chikungunya Virus-Induced Arthritis and Pathology.

Chikungunya virus (CHIKV) is a mosquito-borne alphavirus responsible for several significant outbreaks of debilitating acute and chronic arthritis and arthralgia over the past decade. These include a recent outbreak in the Caribbean islands and the Americas that caused more than 1 million cases of viral arthralgia. Despite the major impact of CHIKV on global health, viral determinants that promote CHIKV-induced disease are incompletely understood. Most CHIKV strains contain a conserved opal stop codon at the end of the viral nsP3 gene. However, CHIKV strains that encode an arginine codon in place of the opal stop codon have been described, and deep-sequencing analysis of a CHIKV isolate from the Caribbean identified both arginine and opal variants within this strain. Therefore, we hypothesized that the introduction of the arginine mutation in place of the opal termination codon may influence CHIKV virulence. We tested this by introducing the arginine mutation into a well-characterized infectious clone of a CHIKV strain from Sri Lanka and designated this virus Opal524R. This mutation did not impair viral replication kinetics in vitro or in vivo Despite this, the Opal524R virus induced significantly less swelling, inflammation, and damage within the feet and ankles of infected mice. Further, we observed delayed induction of proinflammatory cytokines and chemokines, as well as reduced CD4+ T cell and NK cell recruitment compared to those in the parental strain. Therefore, the opal termination codon plays an important role in CHIKV pathogenesis, independently of effects on viral replication.IMPORTANCE Chikungunya virus (CHIKV) is a mosquito-borne alphavirus that causes significant outbreaks of viral arthralgia. Studies with CHIKV and other alphaviruses demonstrated that the opal termination codon within nsP3 is highly conserved. However, some strains of CHIKV and other alphaviruses contain mutations in the opal termination codon. These mutations alter the virulence of related alphaviruses in mammalian and mosquito hosts. Here, we report that a clinical isolate of a CHIKV strain from the recent outbreak in the Caribbean islands contains a mixture of viruses encoding either the opal termination codon or an arginine mutation. Mutating the opal stop codon to an arginine residue attenuates CHIKV-induced disease in a mouse model. Compared to infection with the opal-containing parental virus, infection with the arginine mutant causes limited swelling and inflammation, as well as dampened recruitment of immune mediators of pathology, including CD4+ T cells and NK cells. We propose that the opal termination codon plays an essential role in the induction of severe CHIKV disease.