A (five-)level playing field for mental health conditions?: exploratory analysis of EQ-5D-5L-derived utility values.

PURPOSE: Economic evaluations of mental health interventions often measure health benefit in terms of utility values derived from the EQ-5D. For the five-level version of the EQ-5D, there are two methods of estimating utility [crosswalk and stated preference (5L-SP)]. This paper explores potential impacts for researchers and decision-makers when comparing utility values derived from either method in the specific context of mental health. METHODS: Baseline EQ-5D-5L data from three large randomised controlled trials of interventions for mental health conditions were analysed. Utility values were generated using each method. Mean utility values were compared using a series of t tests on pooled data and subgroups. Scenario analyses explored potential impacts on cost-effectiveness decisions. RESULTS: EQ-5D data were available for 1399 participants. The mean utility value for each trial was approximately 0.08 higher when estimated using the 5L-SP approach compared to crosswalk (p < 0.0001). The difference was greatest among people reporting extreme anxiety/depression (mean utility 5L-SP 0.309, crosswalk 0.084; difference = 0.225; p < 0.0001). Identical improvements in health status were associated with higher costs to gain one QALY with the 5L-SP approach; this is more pronounced when improvements are across all domains compared to improvements on the anxiety/depression domain only. CONCLUSIONS: The two approaches produce significantly different utility values in people with mental health conditions. Resulting differences in cost per QALY estimates suggest that thresholds of cost-effectiveness may also need to be reviewed. Researchers and decision-makers should exercise caution when comparing or synthesising data from trials of mental health interventions using different utility estimation approaches.

Trends and projections in sexually transmitted infections in people aged 45 years and older in England: analysis of national surveillance data.

AIMS: We describe the epidemiology of sexually transmitted infections (STIs) and HIV in people aged ⩾45 years in England and provide future projections about the burden of STIs in this age group. METHODS: Analysis of national surveillance data in England from 2014 to 2019 for chlamydia, gonorrhoea, herpes, syphilis, anogenital warts and HIV was carried out. Time trends were assessed by the Poisson regression and reported using incidence rate ratios (IRRs). Two scenarios were modelled to predict the number of new STI diagnoses and associated costs in 2040. RESULTS: In 2019, there were 37,692 new STI diagnoses in people ⩾45 years in England. Between 2014 and 2019, there was a significant increase in the rate of new STI diagnoses in men (IRR = 1.05, p = .05) and those aged 45-64 years (IRR = 1.04, p = .05). Absolute numbers of new STI diagnoses in men who have sex with men increased by 76% between 2014 and 2019 (IRR = 1.15, p < .001). In adults aged ⩾50 years, the number of episodes of care for HIV increased over time (age = 50-64 years, IRR = 1.10; age = 65+ years, IRR = 1.13; p <.001). The modelled scenarios predicted an increase in STI diagnoses and costs in older people by 2040. CONCLUSION: STI rates in England are increasing in people aged ⩾45 years. The population is ageing and older people will contribute an increasing burden to STI costs if this trend continues. The reasons for this trend are not fully understood and further longitudinal epidemiological research is needed. Sexual health promotion campaigns and healthcare interventions targeted at older people should be prioritised.

Multiple adverse pregnancy outcomes before symptom onset are associated with a worse disease outcome in women with recent-onset inflammatory polyarthritis.

OBJECTIVE: Previous evidence suggests that women with a history of adverse pregnancy outcomes (APOs) may be at greater risk of developing rheumatoid arthritis. Additionally, one study reported that female patients with rheumatoid arthritis with a history of preonset APOs showed a worse 2-year radiographic outcome than did patients with no APOs. The authors' aim was to investigate the relationship between preonset APOs (spontaneous abortion or stillbirth) and disease outcome in women with inflammatory polyarthritis (IP). METHODS: The Norfolk Arthritis Register (NOAR) is a primary-care-based cohort of patients with recent-onset IP; 1586 gravid women who joined NOAR during 1990-2004 were included in this analysis. The authors examined the relationship between patient-reported preonset APOs and disease outcome, measured using the Health Assessment Questionnaire (HAQ) and disease activity score in 28 joints (DAS28(CRP)) (for a subgroup of patients), using linear random effects analysis, adjusted for age and other factors. RESULTS: In a predominantly parous cohort (99%), 397 (25%) women reported ≥1 APO before symptom onset. The rates of APOs in NOAR were comparable to the general population. On average, women with a history of ≥2 APOs had significantly higher HAQ and DAS28 scores over time than women with no APOs (mean difference in HAQ 0.13 (95% CI 0.002 to 0.26); DAS28, 0.56 (95% CI 0.01 to 1.11)). This relationship was more pronounced in women with ≥3 APOs (mean difference in HAQ 0.23 (95% CI 0.02 to 0.43); DAS28, 0.98 (95% CI 0.23 to 1.74)). CONCLUSION: Women with two or more APOs before IP onset had a worse disease outcome than women with no APOs.

The relationship between oral contraceptive use and functional outcome in women with recent-onset inflammatory polyarthritis: results from the Norfolk Arthritis Register.

OBJECTIVE: Use of oral contraceptives (OCs) may prevent the development of rheumatoid arthritis, but the influence of OC use on disease outcome is unresolved. The purpose of this study was to examine functional outcome and OC use in women with inflammatory polyarthritis (IP). METHODS: The Norfolk Arthritis Register (NOAR) is an inception cohort of patients with recent-onset IP. We studied patient-reported history of OC use in 663 women who were born after 1945 and who had not used OCs during followup. OC use during followup was additionally investigated in 265 women who were <50 years old and had not undergone menopause or hysterectomy during followup. All patients were recruited to the NOAR between 1990 and 2004. Functional ability was assessed using the Health Assessment Questionnaire (HAQ), with adjustment for age at symptom onset. RESULTS: The median followup was 4.9 years. In the investigation analyzing OC use before symptom onset, patients who had used OCs before symptom onset had lower HAQ scores throughout followup than patients who had not taken OCs before symptom onset (difference in score at 5-year followup -0.35; 95% confidence interval [95% CI] -0.51, -0.19). Patients who were taking OCs at baseline had lower HAQ scores over time than women who were not taking OCs at baseline but had previously done so (mean difference -0.21; 95% CI -0.40, -0.02). In the investigation analyzing OC use during followup, OC use during followup was associated with lower HAQ scores over time than no OC use during followup (mean difference -0.06; 95% CI -0.16, 0.03); however, this was only significant for women with moderate or severe functional disability at the previous assessment (mean difference -0.23; 95% CI -0.40, -0.07). Further adjustment for potential confounders and exclusion of hormone replacement therapy users had little impact. CONCLUSION: OC use is generally associated with a beneficial functional outcome in IP, and use before and at symptom onset appeared to have the most consistent benefit.

Parity, time since last live birth and long-term functional outcome: a study of women participating in the Norfolk Arthritis Register.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the relationship between pre-symptom onset live births and functional outcome in women with inflammatory polyarthritis (IP). METHODS: 1872 women with no subsequent pregnancies were registered with the Norfolk Arthritis Register between 1990 and 2004 and followed-up for a median of 5 years. Functional disability over time was assessed by Health Assessment Questionnaire (HAQ). The number and calendar year of past live births were recorded. Differences in HAQ score over time by parity and time since last live birth (latency), adjusted for age and symptom duration, were examined using linear random effects models. The results were then adjusted for a number of potential confounders. RESULTS: 1553 women (83%) had ≥1 live births before symptom onset. The median latency was 26 years (IQR 16-35). Parous women had significantly lower HAQ scores over time than nulliparous women (-0.19, 95% CI -0.32 to -0.06). Increasing latency was associated with increasing HAQ score; the mean HAQ score of women with a latency of approximately 32 years was the same as for nulliparous women. This was independent of autoantibody status, socioeconomic status, smoking history and comorbidity. CONCLUSION: Parous women who develop IP have better functional outcome over time than nulliparous women who develop IP. The beneficial effect of parity diminishes with time.

The relationship between post-onset pregnancy and functional outcome in women with recent onset inflammatory polyarthritis: results from the Norfolk Arthritis Register.

OBJECTIVE: To examine the influence of post-symptom-onset pregnancy on disease outcome in women with inflammatory polyarthritis (IP). METHODS: A total of 631 women, aged <48 years at symptom onset, were registered with the Norfolk Arthritis Register (NOAR) between 1990 and 2004. Functional disability was assessed using the Stanford Health Assessment Questionnaire (HAQ). Blood was tested for rheumatoid factor (RF) and anti-cyclic citrullinated peptide antibody (ACPA). The date and outcome of all pregnancies were reported during a median follow-up of 7 years. Linear random effects models were used to examine HAQ score over time, by pregnancy status. RESULTS: were then stratified for RF and ACPA status. Results In all, 72 women had a post-onset pregnancy (Po-P) including 45 women who were pregnant at a follow-up assessment. Pregnancy was generally associated with lower HAQ scores over time than non-pregnancy. The 10 ACPA-positive women who had a Po-P had significantly worse subsequent HAQ scores. CONCLUSION: Overall, Po-P is associated with lower HAQ scores, compared to no Po-P. This may reflect a beneficial effect of pregnancy on disease outcome, or that predominantly women with milder disease become pregnant. In women with the worst predicted outcome (APCA positive), Po-P is associated with a worse outcome than no pregnancy.

Cost-effectiveness of structured group psychoeducation versus unstructured group support for bipolar disorder: Results from a multi-centre pragmatic randomised controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Bipolar disorder (BD) costs the English economy an estimated £5.2billion/year, largely through incomplete recovery. This analysis estimated the cost-effectiveness of group psychoeducation (PEd), versus group peer support (PS), for treating BD. METHODS: A 96-week pragmatic randomised controlled trial (RCT), conducted in NHS primary care. The primary analysis compared PEd with PS, using multiple imputed datasets for missing values. An economic model was used to compare PEd with treatment as usual (TAU). The perspective was Health and Personal Social Services. RESULTS: Participants receiving PEd (n=153) used more (costly) health-related resources than PS (n=151) (net cost per person £1098 (95% CI, £252-£1943)), with a quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gain of 0.023 (95% CI, 0.001-0.056). The cost per QALY gained was £47,739. PEd may be cost-effective (versus PS) if decision makers are willing to pay at least £37,500 per QALY gained. PEd costs £10,765 more than PS to avoid one relapse. The economic model indicates that PEd may be cost-effective versus TAU if it reduces the probability of relapse (by 15%) or reduces the probability of and increases time to relapse (by 10%). LIMITATIONS: Participants were generally inconsistent in attending treatment sessions and low numbers had complete cost/QALY data. Factors contributing to pervasive uncertainty of the results are discussed. CONCLUSIONS: This is the first economic evaluation of PEd versus PS in a pragmatic trial. PEd is associated with a modest improvement in health status and higher costs than PS. There is a high level of uncertainty in the data and results.

Genetic mapping by duplication segregation in Salmonella enterica.

MudP and MudQ elements were used to induce duplications in Salmonella enterica by formation of a triple crossover between two transduced fragments and the host chromosome. The large size (36 kb) of MudP and MudQ is a favorable trait for duplication formation, probably because homology length is a limiting factor for the central crossover. Additional requirements are a multiplicity of infection of 2 or higher in the infecting phage suspensions (which reflects the need of two transduced fragments) and an exponentially growing recipient (which reflects the need of a chromosome replication fork). We describe a set of 11 strains of S. enterica, each carrying a chromosomal duplication with known endpoints. The collection covers all the Salmonella chromosome except the terminus. For mapping, a dominant marker (e.g., a transposon insertion in or near the locus to be mapped) is transduced into the 11-strain set. Several transductants from each cross are grown nonselectively, and haploid segregants are scored for the presence of the marker. If all the segregants contain the transduced marker, it maps outside the duplication interval. If the marker is found only in a fraction of the segregants, it maps within the duplicated region.

Age-associated changes in hypothalamic-pituitary-testicular function in middle-aged and older men are modified by weight change and lifestyle factors: longitudinal results from the European Male Ageing Study.

OBJECTIVE: Health and lifestyle factors are associated with variations in serum testosterone levels in ageing men. However, it remains unclear how age-related changes in testosterone may be attenuated by lifestyle modifications. The objective was to investigate the longitudinal relationships between changes in health and lifestyle factors with changes in hormones of the reproductive endocrine axis in ageing men. DESIGN: A longitudinal survey of 2736 community-dwelling men aged 40-79 years at baseline recruited from eight centres across Europe. Follow-up assessment occurred mean (±S.D.) 4.4±0.3 years later. RESULTS: Paired testosterone results were available for 2395 men. Mean (±S.D.) annualised hormone changes were as follows: testosterone -0.1±0.95  nmol/l; free testosterone (FT) -3.83±16.8  pmol/l; sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG) 0.56±2.5  nmol/l and LH 0.08±0.57  U/l. Weight loss was associated with a proportional increase, and weight gain a proportional decrease, in testosterone and SHBG. FT showed a curvilinear relationship to weight change; only those who gained or lost ≥15% of weight showed a significant change (in the same direction as testosterone). Smoking cessation was associated with a greater decline in testosterone than being a non-smoker, which was unrelated to weight change. Changes in number of comorbid conditions or physical activity were not associated with significant alterations in hypothalamic-pituitary-testicular (HPT) axis function. CONCLUSIONS: Body weight and lifestyle factors influence HPT axis function in ageing. Weight loss was associated with a rise, and weight gain a fall, in testosterone, FT and SHBG. Weight management appears to be important in maintaining circulating testosterone in ageing men, and obesity-associated changes in HPT axis hormones are reversible following weight reduction.

Association between socioeconomic status, learned helplessness, and disease outcome in patients with inflammatory polyarthritis.

OBJECTIVE: Independent investigations have shown that socioeconomic status (SES) and learned helplessness (LH) are associated with poor disease outcome in patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA). Our aim was to investigate the cross-sectional relationship between SES, LH, and disease outcome in patients with recent-onset inflammatory polyarthritis (IP), the broader group of conditions of which RA is the major constituent. METHODS: SES was measured using the Index of Multiple Deprivation 2007 for 553 patients consecutively recruited to the Norfolk Arthritis Register. Patients also completed the Rheumatology Attitudes Index, a measure of LH. SES and LH were investigated as predictors of disease outcome (functional disability [Health Assessment Questionnaire (HAQ)] and disease activity [Disease Activity Score in 28 joints]) in a regression analysis, adjusted for age, sex, and symptom duration. The role of LH in the relationship between SES and disease outcome was then investigated. RESULTS: Compared to patients of the highest SES, those of the lowest SES had a significantly worse outcome (median difference in HAQ score 0.42; 95% confidence interval [95% CI] 0.08, 0.75). Compared to patients with normal LH, patients with low LH had a significantly better outcome and patients with high LH had a significantly worse outcome (median difference in HAQ score 1.12; 95% CI 0.82, 1.41). There was a significant likelihood that LH mediated the association between SES and disease outcome (P = 0.04). CONCLUSION: LH is robustly associated with cross-sectional disease outcome in patients with IP, and appears to mediate the relationship between SES and disease outcome. As LH is potentially modifiable, these findings have potential clinical implications.