Drug-eluting beads versus conventional chemoembolization for the treatment of unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Solid demonstrations of superior efficacy of drug-eluting beads transarterial chemoembolization with respect to conventional chemoembolization in hepatocellular carcinoma patients are lacking. The aim of the study was to compare these two techniques in two large cohorts of unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma patients. METHODS: A single center series of 249 early/intermediate hepatocellular carcinoma patients who underwent "on demand" chemoembolization in the period 2007-2011 was analyzed. Overall survival, time to progression, tumor response rate, and safety were compared between 104 patients who underwent conventional chemoembolization and 145 who underwent drug-eluting beads chemoembolization. Time-to-event data were analyzed using the Cox univariate and multivariate regression. RESULTS: The two cohorts resulted balanced for liver function and tumor stages. Objective response rate was 85.3% after conventional and 74.8% after drug-eluting beads chemoembolization (P = 0.039), and median time to progression was 17 (95% confidence interval: 14-21) versus 11 months (9-12), respectively (P < 0.001). Treatment regimen was the sole independent predictor of progression at multivariate analysis (hazard ratio = 2.01; 1.45-2.80; P < 0.001). Median survival was 39 (32-47) and 32 (24-39) months in the two groups, respectively (hazard ratio = 1.33; 0.94-1.87; P = 0.10), but conventional chemoembolization was significantly associated with a survival advantage in patients with bilobar neoplasia, portal hypertension and alpha fetoprotein above normal limits. No significant differences in severe adverse events were found. CONCLUSION: In a large series of Western hepatocellular carcinoma patients, drug-eluting beads chemoembolization with 100-300 µm particles did not seem to improve survival in comparison with conventional chemoembolization, which in turn provided better tumor responses and time to progression.

Yttrium-90 radioembolization for intermediate-advanced hepatocellular carcinoma: a phase 2 study.

UNLABELLED: Yttrium-90 radioembolization (Y90RE) is a novel approach to radiation therapy for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), never tested in phase 2 studies. Fifty-two patients with intermediate (n.17) to advanced (n.35) HCC were prospectively recruited to assess, as the primary endpoint, efficacy of Y90RE on time-to-progression (TTP). Secondary endpoints were tumor response, safety, and overall survival (OS). All patients were Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) score 0-1, Child-Pugh class A-B7. Y90RE treatments aimed at a lobar delivery of 120 Gy. Retrospective dosimetric correlations were conducted and related to response. Fifty-eight treatments were performed on 52 patients. The median follow-up was 36 months. The median TTP was 11 months with no significant difference between portal vein thrombosis (PVT) versus no PVT (7 versus 13 months). The median OS was 15 months (95% confidence interval [CI], 12-18 months) with a nonsignificant trend in favor of non-PVT versus PVT patients (18 versus 13 months). Five complete responses occurred (9.6%), and the 2 year-progression rate was 62%. Objective response was 40.4%, whereas the disease control rate (78.8%) significantly affected survival (responders versus nonresponders: 18.4% versus 9.1%; P = 0.009). Tumor response significantly correlated with absorbed dose in target lesions (r = 0.60, 95% CI, 0.41-0.74, P < 0.001) and a threshold of 500 Gy predicted response (area under the curve, 0.78). Mortality at 30-90 days was 0%-3.8%. Various grades of reduction in liver function occurred within 6 months in 36.5% of patients, with no differences among stages. On multivariate analysis, tumor response was the sole variable affecting TTP (P < 0.001) and the second affecting survival (after Child-Pugh class). CONCLUSION: Y90RE is an effective treatment in intermediate to advanced HCC, particularly in the case of PVT. Further prospective evaluations comparing Y90RE with conventional treatments are warranted.

Accuracy and prognostic value of sentinel lymph node biopsy in head and neck melanomas.

BACKGROUND: Debate remains around the accuracy and prognostic implications of sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB) for melanoma arising in the head and neck (HN) areas because several analyses have shown discordances between clinically predicted lymphatic drainage pathways and those identified by lymphoscintigraphy. This study assesses the accuracy and prognostic value of SLNB in this critical anatomic region. METHODS: Retrospective review of a prospectively collected melanoma database identified 331 patients with HN melanomas from January 2000 to December 2012. Primary end points included SLNB result, time to recurrence, site of recurrence, and survival. Multivariate models were constructed for analyses. RESULTS: A sentinel lymph node (SLN) was identified in all 331 patients. There were 59 patients with a positive SLN (17.8%) with a recurrence rate of 88.1% compared with 22.4% in SLN-negative patients (P < 0.0001). The 5-y overall survival was 91.2% for SLN-negative patients and 48.7% for SLN-positive patients (P < 0.0001). Patients with scalp melanoma had thicker lesions and an elevated risk of SLN positivity, recurrence, and death compared with those with other sites. Among the 272 SLN-negative patients, four patients developed regional nodal disease in the same basin and had undergone a previous SLNB procedure for a false-omission rate of 1.45%. Risks for false-negative SLN occurrences included thick and scalp melanomas. Multivariate analysis on prognostic factors affecting relapse-free survival showed positive SLNB status to be the most prognostic clinicopathologic predictor of recurrence (hazard ratio, 20.56; P < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: SLNB for patients with HN melanomas is an accurate procedure and has prognostic value.

Highly tumorigenic lung cancer CD133+ cells display stem-like features and are spared by cisplatin treatment.

The identification of lung tumor-initiating cells and associated markers may be useful for optimization of therapeutic approaches and for predictive and prognostic information in lung cancer patients. CD133, a surface glycoprotein linked to organ-specific stem cells, was described as a marker of cancer-initiating cells in different tumor types. Here, we report that a CD133+, epithelial-specific antigen-positive (CD133+ESA+) population is increased in primary nonsmall cell lung cancer (NSCLC) compared with normal lung tissue and has higher tumorigenic potential in SCID mice and expression of genes involved in stemness, adhesion, motility, and drug efflux than the CD133(-) counterpart. Cisplatin treatment of lung cancer cells in vitro resulted in enrichment of CD133+ fraction both after acute cytotoxic exposure and in cells with stable cisplatin-resistant phenotype. Subpopulations of CD133+ABCG2+ and CD133+CXCR4+ cells were spared by in vivo cisplatin treatment of lung tumor xenografts established from primary tumors. A tendency toward shorter progression-free survival was observed in CD133+ NSCLC patients treated with platinum-containing regimens. Our results indicate that chemoresistant populations with highly tumorigenic and stem-like features are present in lung tumors. The molecular features of these cells may provide the rationale for more specific therapeutic targeting and the definition of predictive factors in clinical management of this lethal disease.

Pure desmoplastic melanoma: a melanoma with distinctive clinical behavior.

OBJECTIVE: The purpose of the study was to evaluate the excision margin necessary for desmoplastic melanoma (DM). BACKGROUND: DM consists of 2 histologic subtypes, pure DM (PDM) and mixed DM (MDM), differing in extent of fibrotic component. We investigated clinical and therapeutic determinants of prognosis in these DM entities. METHODS: We reviewed 118 PDM and 124 MDM treated at our Institute over 25 years. Local relapse, distant metastasis, and survival were studied. RESULTS: Most (91.7%) distant metastases in PDM developed after 1 or more local recurrences; whereas distant metastasis usually (79.6%) occurred as first event in MDM. Overall mortality trends in relation to lesion-thickness-plus-excision-width differed for PDM (P = 0.014) but not MDM (P = 0.185). For PDM, 5-year crude cumulative incidence (CCI) of mortality was higher (40.0%) for thin tumors (≤ 2 mm thick) excised with 1 cm margin than those excised with 2 cm (14.8%); CCI of mortality for PDM > 2 mm thick excised with 2 cm margins (13.4%) was similar to that for thin PDM lesions excised with 2 cm (14.8%). CCI of local recurrence was also greater in PDM excised with 1 cm margins. In MDM, mortality increased with stage but was independent of excision width (CCI: 29.4% for ≤ 2 mm/2 cm, 31.3% for ≤ 2 mm/1 cm, and 48.3% for > 2 mm/2 cm); a similar trend was found for MDM distant metastases. CONCLUSIONS: In PDM, limited excision width is associated with significantly greater local recurrence and mortality; treatment should be excision with 2 cm margins even for thin lesions. MDM behaves similarly to other melanomas; treatment should follow guidelines on melanoma management.

Predicting survival after liver transplantation in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma beyond the Milan criteria: a retrospective, exploratory analysis.

BACKGROUND: Patients undergoing liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma within the Milan criteria (single tumour

Plasma retinol and prognosis of postmenopausal breast cancer patients.

BACKGROUND: The role of retinol (vitamin A) in breast cancer prognosis has never been investigated in postmenopausal women. We prospectively assessed the long-term prognostic role of retinol plasma levels in a cohort of postmenopausal breast cancer patients. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We investigated 208 women self-reported as postmenopausal operated on for T(1-2)N(0)M(0) breast cancer who participated in a chemoprevention trial as controls and never received chemotherapy or hormone therapy. Plasma samples were collected 3 months (median) after surgery and assayed within 3 weeks for retinol. Minimum and median potential follow-up were 12 and 15 years, respectively. The main analyses were on all women and on a subgroup ages >or=55 years, assumed too old to be in perimenopause. The main end point was breast cancer death. Breast cancer survival was estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method. The hazard ratios of breast cancer death by retinol level were estimated by Cox models stratified for age, where relevant, and recruitment period, and adjusted for tumor size and histology. RESULTS: At 12 years, patients with low retinol (<2.08 micromol/L, median of distribution) had lower breast cancer survival than those with high retinol (log-rank P = 0.052); the difference was significant for women >or=55 years (log-rank P = 0.006). The adjusted hazard ratios for low versus high retinol were 2.11 (95% confidence interval, 1.08-4.14) for all women and 3.58 (95% confidence interval, 1.50-8.57) for those >or=55 years. CONCLUSIONS: Low plasma retinol strongly predicts poorer prognosis in postmenopausal breast cancer patients. Retinol levels should be determined as part of the prognostic workup.

Pulmonary nodules: volume repeatability at multidetector CT lung cancer screening.

PURPOSE: To assess in vivo volumetric repeatability of an automated software algorithm in pulmonary nodules detected during a lung cancer screening trial. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This study was approved by an institutional review board. Written informed consent was obtained from all participants. Data were collected from the Multicentric Italian Lung Detection project, a randomized controlled lung cancer screening trial. The first 1236 consecutive baseline computed tomographic (CT) studies performed at the Istituto Nazionale Tumori of Milan were evaluated. Among the enrolled participants, those who underwent repeat low-dose CT after 3 months and had at least one indeterminate nodule with a volume of more than 60 mm(3) (diameter of 4.8 mm or greater) were considered. Nonsolid, part-solid, and pleural-based nodules were excluded from this study. A descriptive analysis was performed by calculating means and standard deviations of nodule volumes at three assessment times (at baseline and 3 and 12 months later). The volume measurement repeatability was determined by using the approach described by Bland and Altman. RESULTS: One hundred one subjects (70 men, 31 women; mean age, 58 years) with 233 eligible nodules (mean volume, 98.3 mm(3); range, 5-869 mm(3)) were identified. The 95% confidence interval for difference in measured volumes was in the range of +/-27%. About 70% of measurements had a relative difference in nodule volume of less than 10%. No malignant lesions were registered during the follow-up of these subjects. CONCLUSION: Semiautomatic volumetry is sufficiently accurate and repeatable and may be useful in assisting with lung nodule management in a lung cancer screening program.

Radiation effects on development of HER2-positive breast carcinomas.

PURPOSE: Neither hormone-related nor genetics risk factors have been associated with the development of highly proliferative HER2-positive breast carcinomas. Because the majority of HER2-positive tumors present the amplification of the oncogene, we asked whether genomic instability triggered by irradiation might be involved in the induction of HER2-overexpressing breast carcinomas. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: Sixty-six infiltrating breast carcinomas from patients treated with radiation therapy for Hodgkin's lymphoma or other pediatric solid tumors and a control series of 61 consecutive sporadic breast tumors were analyzed by immunohistochemistry for HER2 expression with HercepTest. A panel of antibodies against estrogen receptor, progesterone receptor, c-kit, cytokeratin 5/6, p53, and ki67 antigen was also used to identify differentiation subsets and molecular characteristics of the analyzed breast carcinomas. RESULTS: Although no differences between the two tumor series were found with respect to HER2 expression scored 2+ and 3+, the percentage of 3+ HER2-positive tumors was significantly higher in patients irradiated during breast maturation compared with patients irradiated after breast maturation (35.3% versus 12.5%, P = 0.046). In the latter group, 52.5% of the breast carcinomas showed basal-like differentiation (estrogen receptor, progesterone receptor, and HER2 negative) versus only 5.9% in the group irradiated during breast development (P < 0.0001). Analysis adjusted for age confirmed the significant increase in basal-like tumor development in patients irradiated within 4 years of menarche, but also showed that the differences between patients irradiated before and after puberty in HER2 3+ tumor frequencies are due to age-related differences in HER2 3+ tumor onset. CONCLUSION: Together, our data indicate that the development of HER2-positive tumors correlates with timing rather than type of carcinogenic hits and provide clear evidence that radiation is a risk factor for breast carcinomas showing basal-like differentiation.

Vaccination with autologous tumor-derived heat-shock protein gp96 after liver resection for metastatic colorectal cancer.

PURPOSE: Heat shock proteins (HSP) from tumor cells contain the gp96 polypeptide associated with cancer-specific antigenic peptides. Mice that are immunized with HSP/peptide-complex (HSPPC) derived from cancer tissue reject tumor from which HSPs are purified. We tested in humans whether vaccination with HSPPC-gp96 (Oncophage) from autologous liver metastases of colorectal carcinoma induces cancer-specific T-cell responses in patients rendered disease free by surgery. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: Twenty-nine consecutive patients underwent radical resection of liver metastases [Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer Center (MSKCC) score 1-3 (good prognosis), 18 patients; score 4-5 (bad prognosis), 11 patients] and received autologous tumor-derived HSPPC-96. Two vaccine cycles were administered (four weekly injections followed by four biweekly injections after 8 weeks). Class-I HLA-restricted, anti-colon cancer lines T-cell response was measured by ELISPOT assay on peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) obtained before and after vaccination. Feasibility, safety, and possible clinical benefits were also evaluated. RESULTS: Either a de novo induced or a significant increase of preexisting class I HLA-restricted T-cell-mediated anti-colon cancer response was observed in 15 (52%) of 29 patients. Frequency of CD3+, CD45RA+, and CCR7- T lymphocytes increased in immune responders. No relevant toxicity was observed. As expected, patients with good prognosis had a significantly better clinical outcome than those with poor prognosis [2-year overall survival (OS), 89 versus 64%, P = 0.001; disease-free survival (DFS), 46 versus 18%, P = 0.001]. Patients with immune response had a statistically significant clinical advantage over nonresponding subjects (2-year OS, 100% versus 50%, P = 0.001; DFS, 51% versus 8%, P = 0.0001). Occurrence of immune response led to better tumor-free survival, whatever the predicted prognosis was (hazard ratio, 0.11-0.12 with/without stratification; P = 0.0012-0.0003). CONCLUSIONS: HSPPC-96 vaccination after resection of colorectal liver metastases is safe and elicits a significant increase in CD8+ T-cell response against colon cancer. In this limited number of patients, two-year OS and DFS were significantly improved in subjects with postvaccination antitumor immune response, independently from other clinical prognostic factors.

Relationships between plasma insulin-like growth factor-I and insulin-like growth factor binding protein-3 and second breast cancer risk in a prevention trial of fenretinide.

PURPOSE: High circulating insulin-like growth factor (IGF) -I and/or low IGF-binding protein (IGFBP) -3 levels are associated with increased breast cancer risk in unaffected premenopausal women. We determined whether IGF-I and IGFBP-3 predict second breast cancer risk, and whether their changes during fenretinide explain observed reductions in second breast cancer in women

Study of sunbathing in children: the preliminary evaluation of a prevention program.

AIMS AND BACKGROUND: Sunburn during childhood is associated with an increased risk for developing melanoma in an adult age. The aim of the present study was to define the validity of our educational program in order to teach the positive effects and risks of sun exposure during childhood. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We conducted a population-based, case-control study in primary schools of three towns in Northern Italy (Brescia, Bergamo and Trento) between 2001 and 2002. The study was carried out on 1945 pupils (aged 8-9 years) and included 1309 case children who received an educational program before the summer to increase awareness towards sun exposure and 636 control children who did not. Parents of case and control children were interviewed using a questionnaire about their children's skin characteristics, sun protective behavior and sunburns. The questionnaire was completed twice, before and after the summer, to verify the changes of sun exposure habits. RESULTS: A significant decrease in sunburns was demonstrated in the group of subjects who received the educational program, indicating the validity of our operative procedure (from 14.6% to 10%, P = 4 x 10(-4). CONCLUSIONS: Our educational melanoma program may be important to disseminate in a wider range of children a correct education on sun exposure during childhood.

Fenretinide breast cancer prevention trial: drug and retinol plasma levels in relation to age and disease outcome.

OBJECTIVES: To assess, in women participating in a breast cancer prevention trialon fenretinide (4-HPR), the relationship of drug and retinol levels with the risk of second breast malignancy, taking into account age and menopausal status. METHODS: In a multicenter prevention trial, women with early breast cancer were randomly assigned to receive no treatment or 200 mg of 4-HPR/day for 5 years. Blood was collected at baseline and on a yearly basis during intervention from women recruited at the Istituto Tumori (Milan, Italy; 818 and 756 in the 4-HPR and control arm, respectively, who accounted for 53% of the participants in the trial). The plasma concentrations of 4-HPR, its main metabolite N-(4-methoxyphenyl) retinamide, and retinol were assayed by high-performance liquid chromatography. Three age ranges (or=56 years), menopausal status at baseline, and disease outcome at a median follow-up of 97 months were taken into account in the analysis. RESULTS: Baseline retinol levels were significantly lower (P or=46 years versus or= 0.71; P

Prediction of survival in patients with thin melanoma: results from a multi-institution study.

PURPOSE: Cutaneous melanoma incidence is increasing. Most new cases are thin (≤ 1 mm) with favorable prognoses, but survival is nonetheless variable. Our aim was to investigate new prognostic factors and construct a nomogram for predicting survival in individual patients. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Data from 2,243 patients with thin melanoma were retrieved from prospectively maintained databases at six centers. Kaplan-Meier survival and crude cumulative incidences of recurrence were estimated, and competing risks were taken into account. Multivariable Cox regression was used to investigate survival predictors. RESULTS: Median follow-up was 124 months (interquartile range, 106 to 157 months); 12-year overall survival was 85.3% (95% CI, 83.4% to 87.2%). Median times to local, regional, and distant recurrence were 79, 78, and 107 months, respectively. Relapse was significantly related to age, Breslow thickness, mitotic rate (MR), ulceration, lymphovascular invasion (LVI), and regression; incidence was lower and subgroup differences were less marked for distant metastasis than for regional relapse. The worst prognosis categories were age older than 60 years, Breslow thickness more than 0.75 mm, MR ≥ 1, presence of ulceration, presence of LVI, and regression ≥ 50%. Breslow thickness more than 0.75 mm, MR ≥ 1, presence of ulceration, and LVI (all P = .001) were significantly associated with sentinel node positivity. Age, MR, ulceration, LVI, regression, and sentinel node status were independent predictors of survival and were used to construct a nomogram to predict 12-year overall survival. The nomogram was well calibrated and had good discriminative ability (adjusted Harrell C statistic, 0.88). CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest including LVI and regression as new prognostic factors in the melanoma staging system. The nomogram appears useful for risk stratification in clinical management and for recruiting patients to clinical trials.

Where on earth to publish? A sample survey comparing traditional and open access publishing in the oncological field.

BACKGROUND: The paper intends to help scientific authors to make the best choice of journals in which to publish, by describing and comparing journal features in the area of oncology. For this purpose, the authors identified impact factor (IF) ranking, cost options and copyright conditions offered to authors wishing to publish in full open access (OA), subscription-based or hybrid journals. METHODS: Data referring to articles published in 2010 by three Italian research institutions (National Institute of Health - Rome (ISS), Regina Elena National Cancer Institute - Rome (IRE), National Cancer Institute - Milan (INT) in journals (78) managed according to different business models, all listed in the Journal Citation Reports, subject category Oncology, were collected and analysed. The journals surveyed were ranked according to IF, position in quartiles, publication charges, usage rights in published articles, self-archiving conditions in OAI-compliant repositories digital archives. RESULTS: Almost half (34) the journals surveyed were included in the first quartile, thus revealing authors' preference for journals with a high IF. The prevalent journal business model was the hybrid formula (based on subscriptions but also offering a paid OA option) with 51 journals, followed by subscription-based only journals accounting for 22, while just 5 full OA journals were identified. In general, no relationship was found between IF and article publication charges, in terms of correspondence between more expensive fees and higher IF. CONCLUSIONS: The issue of OA journals as compared with traditional subscription-based journals is highly debated among stakeholders: library administrators facing financial restrictions, authors seeking to locate the best outlet for their research, publishers wishing to increase their revenues by offering journals with wider appeal. Against this background, factors such as the quest for alternatives to high-cost business models, investments in setting up institutional repositories hosting the published versions of articles and efforts to overcome copyright barriers and gain free access to scientific literature are all crucial.

The use of polytetrafluoroethylene to facilitate the vascular access in recurrent melanoma to limbs.

INTRODUCTION: Melanoma with recurrent loco-regional metastases to limbs often makes difficult a second surgical approach because of the adhesions affecting the vascular access. Our aim was to evaluate whether the placement of a polytetrafluoroethylene (PTFE) membrane around vessels might facilitate a surgical re-approach. PRESENTATION OF CASE: We reported a case of a 64-year-old male with a melanoma on the left foot who developed in transit metastases after LND. While performing the inguinopelvic LND we coated the iliac vessels with PTFE patch to facilitate the vascular access in case of re-intervention for a ILP. In the second surgical approach we made a cutaneous incision in the left iliac region and we proceeded through the subcutaneous tissue until detection of iliac vessels, more clearly visible because of the PTFE patch fixed around vascular walls to minimize adhesions. We removed the PTFE coating and easily performed arteriotomy and venotomy for the completion of the ILP. DISCUSSION: This case report seems to demonstrate the efficacy of a PTFE membrane applied in a patient around iliac vessels during inguinopelvic dissection, to reduce adhesion density. In fact this membrane provided a barrier to adhesions of the iliac vessels, decreasing the risk of vascular injury thereby facilitating a subsequent vascular access. Re-coating of the iliac vessels with PTFE could be preparatory to a better identification of the vascular structures in cases of a surgical re-approach. CONCLUSION: The use of PTFE effectively simplifies the second approach to vessels in event of a melanoma metastasizing to limbs.

miRNA profiling in colorectal cancer highlights miR-1 involvement in MET-dependent proliferation.

Altered expression of miRNAs is associated with development and progression of various human cancers by regulating the translation of oncogenes and tumor suppressor genes. In colorectal cancer, these regulators complement the Vogelstein multistep model of pathogenesis and have the potential of becoming a novel class of tumor biomarkers and therapeutic targets. Using quantitative real-time PCR, we measured the expression of 621 mature miRNAs in 40 colorectal cancers and their paired normal tissues and identified 23 significantly deregulated miRNAs. We subsequently evaluated their association with clinical characteristics of the samples and presence of alterations in the molecular markers of colorectal cancer progression. Expression levels of miR-31 were correlated with CA19-9 and miR-18a, miR-21, and miR-31 were associated with mutations in APC gene. To investigate the downstream regulation of the differentially expressed miRNAs identified, we integrated putative mRNA target predictions with the results of a meta-analysis of seven public gene expression datasets of normal and tumor samples of colorectal cancer patients. Many of the colorectal cancer deregulated miRNAs computationally mapped to targets involved in pathways related to progression. Here one promising candidate pair (miR-1 and MET) was studied and functionally validated. We show that miR-1 can have a tumor suppressor function in colorectal cancer by directly downregulating MET oncogene both at RNA and protein level and that reexpression of miR-1 leads to MET-driven reduction of cell proliferation and motility, identifying the miR-1 downmodulation as one of the events that could enhance colorectal cancer progression.

Plasma testosterone and prognosis of postmenopausal breast cancer patients.

PURPOSE: High endogenous testosterone is associated with increased breast cancer (BC) risk. We designed this study specifically to assess the long-term prognostic role of testosterone in a cohort of postmenopausal BC patients. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We considered 194 postmenopausal women, operated on for early BC (T1-2N0M0), who never received chemotherapy or hormonal therapy, and who participated in a fenretinide BC prevention trial as untreated controls. Blood samples were collected 3 months (median) after surgery; plasma samples, stored at -80 degrees C, were radioimmunoassayed for testosterone. Median follow-up was 14 years. The main end point was any cancer event. Event-free survival was estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method. Hazard ratios (HRs) of events by testosterone level were estimated by the Cox model, adjusting for age, tumor size, and histology. RESULTS: Patients with high testosterone (> or = 0.40 ng/mL, median of distribution) had significantly lower event-free survival than those with low testosterone (log-rank P = .004). The adjusted HR of patients with high versus low testosterone was 2.05 (95% CI, 1.28 to 3.27). High testosterone was also associated with a significantly higher risk of BC events (relapse and second primary) with an adjusted HR of 1.77 (95% CI, 1.06 to 2.96). Eleven second primaries (non-BC) occurred in the high-testosterone group, four in the low-testosterone group. CONCLUSION: High plasma testosterone strongly predicts poorer prognosis in postmenopausal BC patients not administered adjuvant therapy. Testosterone levels should be determined as part of the prognostic work-up.