Liver fibrosis markers and all cause mortality in people with type 2 diabetes: A population based study (The Ayrshire Diabetes Outcomes Cohort (ADOC) Study).

AIMS: To describe the distribution of the biomarker scores Fibrosis-4 (FIB4), nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) fibrosis score (NFS), and aspartate aminotransferase to platelet ratio index (APRI), and the associations between risk categories and all-cause mortality. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This was a retrospective cohort study of 12 589 patients, with follow-up from January 2012 until November 2021. The cut-off points used to identify low risk were: FIB4 <1.3 if aged <65 years or <2.0 if aged ≥65 years; NFS < -1.455 if aged <65 years or <0.12 if aged ≥ 65 years; APRI <1 (independent of age). High-risk cut-off points were FIB4 >2.67, NFS >0.676 and APRI ≥1 (all independent of age). Multivariable Cox regression analysis was performed to assess the association between liver fibrosis scores and all-cause mortality. RESULTS: The mean ± standard deviation age was 65.2 ± 12.1 years, 54.5% were men and the median (interquartile range) diabetes duration was 5.8 (2.8-9.3) years. The prevalence of high-risk categories was 6.1% for FIB4, 23.5% for NFS and 1.6% for APRI. During a median follow-up of 9.8 years, 3925 patients (31.1%) died, resulting in a crude mortality rate of 40.4 per 1000 person-years. The overall adjusted all-cause mortality hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals [CIs]) in the high- compared with low-fibrosis-risk groups were 3.69 (1.95-2.75) for FIB4, 2.32 (2.88-4.70) for NFS, and 3.92 (2.88-5.34) for APRI. Stratified adjusted all-cause mortality hazard ratios for individuals under 65 years and people over 65 years of age at cohort entry were 3.89 (95% CI 2.99-5.05) and 1.44 (95% CI 1.28-1.61) for FIB4, 2.50 (95% CI 1.89-3.18) and 1.35 (95% CI 1.24-1.48) for NFS and 3.74 (95% CI 2.73-5.14) and 1.64 (95% CI 1.24-2.17) for APRI. CONCLUSIONS: All three fibrosis risk scores were positively associated with all-cause mortality in people with type 2 diabetes, with higher relative risks in younger than older people. Effective interventions are required to minimize excess mortality in people at high risk of liver fibrosis.

Mortality risk remains higher in individuals with type 1 diabetes: A population-based cohort study (the Ayrshire diabetes follow-up cohort [ADOC]).

AIMS: Type 1 diabetes is associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality. Numerous studies have demonstrated that outcomes for diabetes are improved by intensive glycaemic control, blood pressure control, and treatment of dyslipidaemia in addition to cessation of smoking. The aim of this study was to compare mortalities in individuals with type 1 diabetes with that in non-diabetic individuals, and to investigate the effects of age, gender, glycaemic control, socio-economic status, hypertension, ischaemic heart disease (IHD), smoking status, body mass index (BMI) and dyslipidaemia. METHODS: A population-based analysis in Ayrshire and Arran, Scotland included 253 304 non-diabetic individuals and 1324 individuals with type 1 diabetes who were tracked from 2009 to 2014. RESULTS: Patients with type 1 diabetes had higher mortality rates than non-diabetic individuals (HR, 3.20; P < .01), with relative mortality in female individuals with type 1 diabetes being higher than that in males (OR, 2.38 vs 1.52; P < .01). Increasing age (HR, 2.37), smoking (HR, 1.85), IHD (HR, 1.62) and hypertension (HR, 1.21) (all P < .01) increased mortality risk. A hypertensive female with type 1 diabetes and IHD who smoked had an HR of 11.6 compared with a non-smoking, normotensive non-diabetic female without IHD. For a hypertensive male with type 1 diabetes and IHD who smoked, HR was 6.96. BMI > 30 kg/m2 was associated with reduced mortality risk in both non-diabetic (HR, 0.61) and diabetic subjects (HR, 0.40). CONCLUSIONS: This study confirmed that the risk of mortality in individuals with type 1 diabetes remains elevated. Further studies are required to understand how gender affects the disparity in mortality and why obesity appears to be protective.

Gout and diabetes: a common combination.

The aims of this cross-sectional study were to compare metabolic parameters in people with gout and diabetes with gout only and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) only. Fifty General Practices in NHS Ayrshire and Arran (population 340 377) contributed data. The sample was split into three groups, those with both gout and T2DM, those with gout only and those with T2DM only. The prevalence of gout in Ayrshire and Arran was 2.65%. The prevalence of gout in people with type 1 and 2 diabetes was 1.90% (p=0.30) and 10.12% (p<10(-5)), respectively. Patients with both conditions were significantly more likely to be male (p<10(-5)), older (p<10(-5)), have a higher mean body mass index (p<0.001), higher triglycerides (p<10(-4)), lower mean total, high-density lipoprotein- and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (p<10(-5)), lower estimated glomerular filtration rate (p<0.001), neuropathy (p=0.02), lower haemoglobin (p<0.001), to be prescribed more medications (p<10(-5)) and less likely to smoke (p<0.01). There was an association between lower haemoglobin A1c and increased prevalence of gout (p<0.001). 42.4% of patients with gout alone and 36.2% of those with both gout and diabetes had a urate measure. This study defines much more clearly the association between gout and T2DM. Of interest, in terms of lifestyle, both better glycaemic control and smoking are associated with a higher prevalence of gout.

Cancer has overtaken cardiovascular disease as the commonest cause of death in Scottish type 2 diabetes patients: A population-based study (The Ayrshire Diabetes Follow-up Cohort study).

AIMS/INTRODUCTION: The increased mortality risk associated with diabetes is well established. The aim of the present study was to determine the causes of death of people with type 2 diabetes in Ayrshire and Arran, Scotland, between 2009 and 2014, and compare them with the national mortality rates. MATERIALS AND METHODS: The primary causes of death were collated. The causes of death were clustered into nine categories: heart disease, stroke, infection, renal failure, respiratory disorders, cancer, mental health, decompensated diabetes and other. The total rates were compared with national rates using the standardized mortality ratio (SMR), and then individually with heart disease, cerebrovascular disease and cancer. RESULTS: There were 2116 deaths with the SMR, and 145 of those were caused by type 2 diabetes (n = 16,643; 95% confidence interval 139-152; P < 0.01). The SMR was >100 in all age bands, particularly in the younger age bands (P < 0.01). The SMR was consistently higher for women (P < 0.01). The SMR for heart disease was significantly >100 for both sexes in all age bands <65 years (P < 0.05). There was no difference in mortality causes related to the duration of diabetes. The most common cause of death was cancer (27.8%), followed by heart disease (24.1%). The SMR for cancer deaths was significantly elevated in women (120, 95% CI 104-137; P < 0.05). CONCLUSIONS: This study confirmed increased mortality risk in type 2 diabetes patients, and suggests that where cardiovascular risk factors are being treated aggressively, cancer takes on a greater importance in the cause of death. Should greater consideration now be given for cancer as a complication of diabetes?