Prediction of hospital mortality among critically ill patients in a single centre in Asia: comparison of artificial neural networks and logistic regression-based model.

INTRODUCTION: This study compared the performance of the artificial neural network (ANN) model with the Acute Physiologic and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II and IV models for predicting hospital mortality among critically ill patients in Hong Kong. METHODS: This retrospective analysis included all patients admitted to the intensive care unit of Pamela Youde Nethersole Eastern Hospital from January 2010 to December 2019. The ANN model was constructed using parameters identical to the APACHE IV model. Discrimination performance was assessed using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC); calibration performance was evaluated using the Brier score and Hosmer-Lemeshow statistic. RESULTS: In total, 14 503 patients were included, with 10% in the validation set and 90% in the ANN model development set. The ANN model (AUROC=0.88, 95% confidence interval [CI]=0.86-0.90, Brier score=0.10; P in Hosmer-Lemeshow test=0.37) outperformed the APACHE II model (AUROC=0.85, 95% CI=0.80-0.85, Brier score=0.14; P<0.001 for both comparisons of AUROCs and Brier scores) but showed performance similar to the APACHE IV model (AUROC=0.87, 95% CI=0.85-0.89, Brier score=0.11; P=0.34 for comparison of AUROCs, and P=0.05 for comparison of Brier scores). The ANN model demonstrated better calibration than the APACHE II and APACHE IV models. CONCLUSION: Our ANN model outperformed the APACHE II model but was similar to the APACHE IV model in terms of predicting hospital mortality in Hong Kong. Artificial neural networks are valuable tools that can enhance real-time prognostic prediction.

Evaluation of bronchial challenge test results for use in assessment of paediatric eczema: a retrospective series.

BACKGROUND: Atopic dermatitis (AD), asthma, and allergic rhinitis are associated diseases involved in the atopic march. The bronchial challenge test (BCT) is a tool that evaluates airway hyperresponsiveness in patients with asthma. This study aimed to evaluate whether a positive BCT result is useful in assessment of paediatric AD. METHODS: This retrospective case series included 284 patients with AD who had BCT results. Clinical information and laboratory parameters were reviewed, including AD severity (using the SCORing Atopic Dermatitis [SCORAD]), skin hydration, and transepidermal water loss. RESULTS: Of the 284 patients who had BCT, 106 had positive BCT results and 178 had negative BCT results. A positive BCT result was associated with a history of asthma (P<0.0005), sibling with asthma (P=0.048), serum immunoglobulin E (P=0.045), eosinophil count (P=0.017), and sensitisation to food allergens in the skin prick test (P=0.027). There was no association between a positive BCT result and personal allergic rhinitis, parental atopy, sibling allergic rhinitis or AD, skin prick response to dust mites, objective SCORAD score, skin hydration, transepidermal water loss, exposure to smoking, incense burning, cat or dog ownership, or AD treatment aspects (eg, food avoidance and traditional Chinese medicine). Logistic regression showed significant associations of a positive BCT result with a history of asthma (adjusted odds ratio=4.05; 95% confidence interval=1.92-8.55; P<0.0005) and sibling atopy (adjusted odds ratio=2.25; 95% confidence interval=1.03-4.92; P=0.042). CONCLUSIONS: In patients with paediatric AD, a positive BCT result was independently and positively associated with personal history of asthma and sibling history of atopy, but not with any other clinical parameters.

Correlation of population mortality of COVID-19 and testing coverage: a comparison among 36 OECD countries.

Although testing is widely regarded as critical to fighting the COVID-19 pandemic, what measure and level of testing best reflects successful infection control remains unresolved. Our aim was to compare the sensitivity of two testing metrics - population testing number and testing coverage - to population mortality outcomes and identify a benchmark for testing adequacy. We aggregated publicly available data through 12 April on testing and outcomes related to COVID-19 across 36 OECD (Organization for Economic Development) countries and Taiwan. Spearman correlation coefficients were calculated between the aforementioned metrics and following outcome measures: deaths per 1 million people, case fatality rate and case proportion of critical illness. Fractional polynomials were used to generate scatter plots to model the relationship between the testing metrics and outcomes. We found that testing coverage, but not population testing number, was highly correlated with population mortality (rs = -0.79, P = 5.975 × 10-9vs. rs = -0.3, P = 0.05) and case fatality rate (rs = -0.67, P = 9.067 × 10-6vs. rs = -0.21, P = 0.20). A testing coverage threshold of 15-45 signified adequate testing: below 15, testing coverage was associated with exponentially increasing population mortality; above 45, increased testing did not yield significant incremental mortality benefit. Taken together, testing coverage was better than population testing number in explaining country performance and can serve as an early and sensitive indicator of testing adequacy and disease burden.

Graphene-deposited photonic crystal fibers for continuous refractive index sensing applications.

We present a pilot demonstration of an optical fiber based refractive index (RI) sensor involving the deposition of graphene onto the surface of a segment of a photonic crystal fiber (PCF) in a fiber-based Mach-Zehnder Interferometer (MZI). The fabrication process is relatively simple and only involves the fusion splicing of a PCF between two single mode fibers. The deposition process relies only on the cold transfer of graphene onto the PCF segment, without the need for further physical or chemical treatment. The graphene overlay modified the sensing scheme of the MZI RI sensor, allowing the sensor to overcome limitations to its detectable RI range due to free spectral range issues. This modification also allows for continuous measurements to be obtained without the need for reference values for the range of RIs studied and brings to light the potential for simultaneous dual parameter sensing. The sensor was able to achieve a RI sensitivity of 9.4 dB/RIU for the RIs of 1.33-1.38 and a sensitivity of 17.5 dB/RIU for the RIs of 1.38-1.43. It also displayed good repeatability and the results obtained were consistent with the modeling.

Human leucocyte antigen-Cw6 as a predictor for clinical response to ustekinumab, an interleukin-12/23 blocker, in Chinese patients with psoriasis: a retrospective analysis.

BACKGROUND: Ustekinumab, an interleukin-12/23 inhibitor, is effective in the treatment of psoriasis. A recent Italian study showed more favourable response to ustekinumab in patients with positive human leucocyte antigen (HLA)-Cw6. Nonetheless, there are differences in genetic susceptibility to psoriasis between races, and no studies have specifically assessed the candidate genetic markers in predicting therapy outcome in Chinese patients with psoriasis treated with ustekinumab. OBJECTIVES: To determine whether HLA gene polymorphisms can predict the response to ustekinumab in Chinese patients with psoriasis. METHODS: Sixty-six patients with psoriasis treated with ustekinumab were included in the study, and the effectiveness of ustekinumab therapy was evaluated at weeks 0, 16 and 28 by Psoriasis Area and Severity Index (PASI). RESULTS: More HLA-Cw6-positive patients achieved a PASI 75 response at week 4 compared with HLA-Cw6-negative patients (38% vs. 9%, P = 0·019). Similarly, at week 16, patients carrying the HLA-Cw6 allele showed a higher likelihood of achieving PASI 50, 75 and 90 than Cw6-negative patients, although this was not statistically significant. At week 28, a significantly higher percentage of HLA-Cw6-positive patients maintained PASI 90 response compared with Cw6-negative patients (63% vs. 26%, P = 0·035). Further analysis of other HLA allele polymorphisms did not show significant associations with therapeutic response to ustekinumab. CONCLUSIONS: This pharmacogenetic study provides preliminary data indicating that positive HLA-Cw6 is associated with a good response to ustekinumab treatment in Chinese patients with psoriasis.

A validation study of the Hong Kong version of Montreal Cognitive Assessment (HK-MoCA) in Chinese older adults in Hong Kong.

OBJECTIVE: To validate the Hong Kong version of Montreal Cognitive Assessment (HK-MoCA) in identification of mild cognitive impairment and dementia in Chinese older adults. DESIGN: Cross-sectional study. SETTING: Cognition clinic and memory clinic of a public hospital in Hong Kong. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 272 participants (dementia, n=130; mild cognitive impairment, n=93; normal controls, n=49) aged 60 years or above were assessed using HK-MoCA. The HK-MoCA scores were validated against expert diagnosis according to the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders (4th ed) criteria for dementia and Petersen's criteria for mild cognitive impairment. Statistical analysis was performed using receiver operating characteristic curve and regression analyses. Additionally, comparison was made with the Cantonese version of Mini-Mental State Examination and Global Deterioration Scale. RESULTS: The optimal cutoff score for the HK-MoCA to differentiate cognitive impaired persons (mild cognitive impairment and dementia) from normal controls was 21/22 after adjustment of education level, giving a sensitivity of 0.928, specificity of 0.735, and area under the curve of 0.920. Moreover, the cutoff to detect mild cognitive impairment was 21/22 with a sensitivity of 0.828, specificity of 0.735, and area under the curve of 0.847. Score of the Cantonese version of the Mini-Mental State Examination to detect mild cognitive impairment was 26/27 with a sensitivity of 0.785, specificity of 0.816, and area under the curve of 0.857. At the optimal cutoff of 18/19, HK-MoCA identified dementia from controls with a sensitivity of 0.923, specificity of 0.918, and area under the curve of 0.971. CONCLUSION: The HK-MoCA is a useful cognitive screening instrument for use in Chinese older adults in Hong Kong. A score of less than 22 should prompt further diagnostic assessment. It has comparable sensitivity with the Cantonese version of Mini-Mental State Examination for detection of mild cognitive impairment. It is brief and feasible to conduct in the clinical setting, and can be completed in less than 15 minutes. Thus, HK-MoCA provides an attractive alternative screening instrument to Mini-Mental State Examination which has ceiling effect (ie may fail to detect mild/moderate cognitive impairment in people with high education level or premorbid intelligence) and needs to be purchased due to copyright issues.

Effects of virtual reality on anxiety and pain in adult patients undergoing wound-closure procedures: A pilot randomized controlled trial.

Background: In emergency departments, suturing is a typical procedure for closing lacerated wounds but is invasive and often causes anxiety and pain. Virtual reality (VR) intervention has been reported as a relaxing measure. Objective: The study aims to examine the effects of VR intervention on anxiety, pain, physiological parameters, local anesthesia requirements and satisfaction in Chinese adult patients undergoing wound closure in emergency departments in Hong Kong. Methods: Adult patients who had lacerated wounds and were undergoing wound closure by suturing can communicate in Chinese and were hemodynamically stable were invited for this trial. Eighty patients were randomly assigned to the VR group, which received VR intervention and standard care, or to the control group, which received standard care only. The primary outcome was anxiety, and the secondary outcomes included pain, blood pressure, pulse rate, satisfactory with pain management, service satisfactory, and extra local analgesia requirement. Outcomes were conducted at baseline, during the procedure and 5 min after the procedure. Results: The VR group had a significantly greater reduction in anxiety (p < 0.001), pain (p < 0.001), systolic blood pressure (p < 0.001), diastolic blood pressure (p < 0.001), pulse rate (p = 0.003) and requested less amount of additional local anesthesia (p = 0.025). The satisfactory level with pain management (p = 0.019) and service (p = 0.002) were significantly higher in participants who received VR intervention. In addition, most participants preferred to have VR in the future, and no major adverse events associated with the use of VR were reported. Conclusion: This pilot study provides insight into the use of VR and the direction of future studies. It may effectively improve psychological and physiological outcomes in adult patients during wound-closure procedures in emergency departments.

Confocal microphotoluminescence mapping of coupled and detuned states in photonic molecules.

We study the coupling of cavities defined by the local modulation of the waveguide width using confocal photoluminescence microscopy. We are able to spatially map the profile of the antisymmetric (antibonding) and symmetric (bonding) modes of a pair of strongly coupled cavities (photonic molecule) and follow the coupled cavity system from the strong coupling to the weak coupling regime in the presence of structural disorder. The effect of disorder on this photonic molecule is also investigated numerically with a finite-difference time-domain method and a semi-analytical approach, which enables us to quantify the light localization observed in either cavity as a function of detuning.

Experimental and CFD simulation studies of wall shear stress for different impeller configurations and MBR activated sludge.

Membrane bioreactors (MBRs) have been used successfully in biological wastewater treatment for effective solids-liquid separation. However, a common problem encountered with MBR systems is fouling of the membrane resulting in frequent membrane cleaning and replacement which makes the system less appealing for full-scale applications. It has been widely demonstrated that the filtration performances in MBRs can be improved by understanding the shear stress over the membrane surface. Modern tools such as computational fluid dynamics (CFD) can be used to diagnose and understand the shear stress in an MBR. Nevertheless, proper experimental validation is required to validate CFD simulation. In this work experimental measurements of shear stress induced by impellers at a membrane surface were made with an electrochemical approach and the results were used to validate CFD simulations. As good results were obtained with the CFD model (<9% error), it was extrapolated to include the non-Newtonian behaviour of activated sludge.

The impact of socioeconomic deprivation on congenital hand differences: A retrospective cohort study.

Socioeconomic deprivation is an established risk factor for a range of adverse perinatal and infant outcomes. The primary aim of this study was to investigate any association between socioeconomic deprivation and the prevalence of Congenital Hand Differences (CHDs). This retrospective cross-sectional study was undertaken at a single tertiary referral center over a five year period (March 2015 to February 2020). The inclusion criterion was all patients referred for a review at a CHD clinic. As a measure of socioeconomic status, patients were assigned to a deprivation quintile using the Scottish Index of Multiple Deprivation (SIMD): quintile 1 indicates the most deprived area and quintile 5 indicates the least deprived area. CHDs were classified according to the Oberg-Manske-Tonkin (OMT) Classification. During the study period 259 patients were identified. The overall prevalence of CHD was 15 per 100,000 per year, mean referral age was 2.6 years (Standard Deviation: 4 years) and 135 patients (52%) were female. Areas of greater social deprivation had a significantly higher prevalence of CHD (22 per 100,000 per year in quintile 1 vs. 13 per 100,000 per year in quintile 5; p < 0.001), surgery (75% of patients in quintile 1 vs 43% of patients in quintile 5; p = 0.003), and younger referral age (1.5 years in quintile 1 vs 4.4 years in quintile 5; p = 0.003). This study has shown a greater CHD prevalence rate amongst patients from more socially deprived areas. In the most deprived group, the patient referral age was also significantly younger and surgical intervention rate was higher.

Occupational rehabilitation in Hong Kong: current status and future needs.

INTRODUCTION: This paper reviews the development of occupational rehabilitation in Hong Kong, both in terms of the science as well as the service for injured workers. Besides, it also reviews the existing Employees' Compensation Ordinance for work injury to illustrate how the policy could influence the success and development of the discipline. METHODS: Five experienced occupational rehabilitation providers, including 1 occupational medicine specialist, 3 occupational therapists, and 1 physiotherapist critically reviewed the past and current development of occupational rehabilitation in Hong Kong as well as the local contextual factors, which could influence its future development. RESULTS: Since the enactment of the Employees' Compensation Ordinance in the 1950s, there have been progressive improvements in the field of occupational rehabilitation in Hong Kong. Services in the early years were mostly based on the biomedical model, where doctors and patients tended to focus on clinical symptoms and physical pathology when making clinical decisions. Since then, remarkable academic achievements have been made in the field locally, from the validation of clinical instruments for assessment of work capacity, assessment of employment readiness to the evaluation of efficacy of interventional programs for injured workers focusing on work related outcomes. However, there has been a relatively lack of progress in the development of related policies and implementation of related programs for occupational rehabilitation. There is no built in linkage between rehabilitation, compensation and prevention in the current system in Hong Kong, and there is no rehabilitation policy specific to those workers with occupational diseases and injuries. CONCLUSIONS: There are still deficiencies in the development and provision of occupational rehabilitation services in Hong Kong. Incorporation of requirements for occupational rehabilitation at the legislation and policy levels should be seriously considered in the future. Besides, the development of the Occupational Medicine subspecialty in the public hospital system in Hong Kong is considered a facilitator to the future development of occupational rehabilitation in Hong Kong.

Analysis of shear stress and energy consumption in a tubular airlift membrane system.

Application of a two-phase slug flow in side-stream membrane bioreactors (MBRs) has proven to increase the permeate flux and decrease fouling through a better control of the cake layer. Past literature has shown that the hydrodynamics near the membrane surface have an impact on the degree of fouling by imposing high shear stress near the surface of the membrane. Previously, shear stress histograms (SSH) have been introduced to summarize results from an experimental setup developed to investigate the shear stress imposed on the surface of a membrane under different two-phase flow conditions (gas and liquid) by varying the flow of each phase. Bimodal SSHs were observed, with peaks corresponding to the shear induced by the liquid and gas flow respectively. In this contribution, SSHs are modelled using simple empirical relationships. These are used to identify the two-phase flow conditions that optimize fouling control. Furthermore, the total energy consumption of the system was estimated based on the two-phase pressure drop. It was found that low liquid and high gas flow rates (ratio of approx. 4) balanced the peaks and minimized the energy consumption.

Alcohol Consumption and Depression Among University Students and Their Perception of Alcohol Use.

OBJECTIVES: To investigate the association between alcohol use and depression among university students in Hong Kong, their stress-coping methods, and their knowledge and perception of the effects of alcohol on health. METHODS: 345 full-time undergraduate students from The University of Hong Kong were invited to complete a questionnaire to assess their alcohol consumption (Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test, CAGE questionnaire), depressive symptoms (Patient Health Questionnaire-9), and stress-coping methods (Coping Orientation to Problems Experienced Inventory), as well as knowledge and perception of alcohol consumption on health. Multiple linear regression was used to determine significant variables associated with depressive symptoms. Multinominal logistic regression was used to determine the effect of such variables on depressive symptom caseness and AUDIT drinking risk groups. RESULTS: 43.2% of respondents were moderate- to high-risk drinkers, but only 23.2% were self-reported as moderate- to high-level drinkers. 57.9% of respondents had mild to severe depressive symptoms. Probable depression was more likely to occur in female students, those with higher general stress, those who do not use social support for stress-coping, and those who smoke. High-risk drinkers were more likely to occur in older students, smokers, those with higher household income, and those with higher general stress levels. Students with higher levels of depressive symptoms and higher risk of alcohol consumption were more likely to use avoidance for stress-coping. 89.5% of students considered alcohol consumption moderately to very harmful to health, but students demonstrated only moderate knowledge levels of alcohol consumption on health. CONCLUSION: Alcohol consumption and depressive symptoms are prevalent among university students in Hong Kong. The use of avoidance for stress-coping is common in those with higher levels of depressive symptoms and higher-risk drinkers. Students tend to avoid seeking help for depressive symptoms and potentially take up drinking as a coping strategy. Context-specific approaches should be used when providing counselling services for student wellbeing in university settings. Further education of university students on knowledge and perception of alcohol consumption on health should be provided.

Interleukin 12 protects from a T helper type 1-mediated autoimmune disease, experimental autoimmune uveitis, through a mechanism involving interferon gamma, nitric oxide, and apoptosis.

Pathogenic effector T cells in experimental autoimmune uveitis (EAU) are T helper type 1-like, and interleukin (IL)-12 is required for their generation and function. Therefore, we expected that IL-12 administration would have disease-enhancing effects. Mice were immunized with a uveitogenic regimen of the retinal antigen interphotoreceptor retinoid-binding protein, treated with IL-12 (100 ng/d for 5 d), and EAU was assessed by histopathology. Unexpectedly, IL-12 treatment failed to enhance EAU in resistant strains and downregulated disease in susceptible strains. Only treatment during the first, but not during the second, week after immunization was consistently protective. High levels of interferon gamma (IFN-gamma) were present in the serum during IL-12 treatment, but subsequent antigen-specific IFN-gamma production in protected mice was diminished, as were IL-5 production, lymph node cell proliferation, and serum antibody levels. Treated mice had fewer cells and evidence of enhanced apoptosis in the draining lymph nodes. Unlike wild-type mice, IFN-gamma-deficient, inducible nitric oxide synthase (iNOS)-deficient, and Bcl-2(lck) transgenic mice were poorly protected by IL-12, whereas IL-10-deficient mice were protected. We conclude that administration of IL-12 aborts disease by curtailing development of uveitogenic effector T cells. The data are compatible with the interpretation that IL-12 induces systemic hyperinduction of IFN-gamma, causing activation of iNOS and production of NO, which mediates protection at least in part by triggering Bcl-2 regulated apoptotic deletion of the antigen-specific T cells as they are being primed.

Investigation of the effect of viscosity on slug flow in airlift tubular membranes in search of a sludge surrogate.

The behaviour of three different liquid-gas slug flows (water, carboxymethyl cellulose and activated sludge) in a vertical tube was studied using a high speed camera (HSC). Experiments were performed using different flow rates and two tube diameters (6.3 and 9.9 mm). The observed difference in behaviour of the ascending gas slugs can be explained by the difference in viscosity of the fluids (Newtonian and non-Newtonian). Moreover, it was observed that the degree of coalescence of gas slugs is lower for non-Newtonian liquids and they behave like a succession of slugs without actually coalescing into a single larger gas slug. Finally, gas slug rising velocities were also extracted, but no subsequent difference in the rising velocities of the different fluids was found.

A suppressive oligodeoxynucleotide inhibits ocular inflammation.

Synthetic oligodeoxynucleotides (ODN) expressing 'suppressive' TTAGGG motifs down-regulate a variety of proinflammatory and T helper type 1 (Th1)-mediated pathological immune responses. The ability of the archetypal suppressive ODN A151 to inhibit ocular inflammation was examined in two murine models: experimental autoimmune uveitis, induced by immunization with a retinal antigen, interphotoreceptor retinoid-binding protein (IRBP) and adoptively transferred ocular inflammation, induced by transferring Th1 cells specific to hen egg lysozyme (HEL) into recipient mice that express HEL in their eyes. A151 treatment suppressed the inflammation in both models. In addition, A151 inhibited IRBP-specific cytokine production and lymphocyte proliferation in mice immunized with IRBP. These findings suggest that suppressive ODN affects both afferent and efferent limbs of the immunopathogenic process and may be of use in the treatment of autoimmune ocular inflammation.