Findings from the KNOW-CKD Study indicate that higher systolic blood pressure time in target range is associated with a lower risk of chronic kidney disease progression.

Time-in-target range (TTR) of systolic blood pressure (SBP) is determined by the proportion of time during which SBP remains within a defined optimal range. TTR has emerged as a useful metric for assessing SBP control over time. However, it is uncertain if SBP-TTR can predict the progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD). Here, we investigated the association between SBP-TTR during the first year of enrollment and CKD progression among 1758 participants from the KNOW-CKD (KoreaN Cohort Study for Outcomes in Patients With Chronic Kidney Disease). Baseline median estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was 51.7 ml/min per 1.73 m2. Participants were categorized into four SBP-TTR groups (0%, 1-50%, 51-99%, and 100%). The primary outcome was CKD progression defined as 50% or more decline in eGFR from baseline measurement or the initiation of kidney replacement therapy. During the follow-up period (9212 person-years over a median 5.4 years), the composite outcome occurred in 710 participants. In the multivariate cause-specific hazard model, a one-standard deviation increase in SBP-TTR was associated with an 11% lower risk of the composite outcome with hazard ratio, 0.89 (95% confidence interval, 0.82-0.97). Additionally, compared to patients with SBP-TTR 0%, the respective hazard ratios for those with SBP-TTR 1-50%, 51-99%, and 100% were 0.85 (0.68-1.07), 0.76 (0.60-0.96), and 0.72 (0.55-0.94), and the respective corresponding slopes of eGFR decline were -3.17 (-3.66 to -2.69), -3.02 (-3.35 to -2.68), -2.62 (-2.89 to - 2.36), and -2.33 (-2.62 to -2.04) ml/min/1.73 m2. Thus, higher SBP-TTR was associated with a decreased risk of CKD progression in patients with CKD.

Plasma Levels of Polyunsaturated Fatty Acids and Adverse Kidney Outcomes.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Many studies have reported polyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFA) as significant predictors of cardiovascular disease, but little is known about the relationship between PUFA levels and chronic kidney disease (CKD). This study explored this relationship among individuals with and without CKD. STUDY DESIGN: Prospective observational cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: 73,419 participants without CKD (cohort 1) and 6,735 participants with CKD (cohort 2) in the UK Biobank Study, with PUFA levels measured between 2007 and 2010. EXPOSURE: Percentage of plasma PUFA, omega-3 fatty acid (FA), omega-6 FA, docosahexaenoic acid (DHA), and linoleic acid relative to total FA. OUTCOME: Incident CKD for cohort 1 and incident kidney failure requiring replacement therapy (KFRT) for cohort 2. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Cox proportional hazards regression analyses, including a cause-specific competing risk model. RESULTS: In cohort 1, individuals with higher quartiles of plasma PUFA levels had healthier lifestyles and fewer comorbidities. During 841,007 person-years of follow-up (median 11.9 years), incident CKD occurred in 4.5% of participants (incidence rate, 39.1 per 10,000 person-years). For incident CKD in cohort 1, the adjusted cause-specific hazard ratios for quartiles 2, 3, and 4 were 0.83 (95% CI, 0.75-0.92), 0.85 (95% CI, 0.76-0.96), 0.71 (95% CI, 0.62-0.82), respectively, compared with quartile 1. This inverse relationship was consistently observed for all PUFA types. In cohort 2, although total PUFA levels were not associated with KFRT, higher PUFA subtype levels of DHA were associated with a lower risk of KFRT. LIMITATIONS: Observational design and limited generalizability to individuals with higher disease severity; no data on eicosapentaenoic acid. CONCLUSIONS: Among individuals without CKD, higher plasma PUFA levels and all 4 PUFA components were associated with a lower risk of incident CKD. In individuals with CKD, only the omega-3 component of PUFA, DHA, was associated with a lower risk of KFRT. PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY: Low amounts of polyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFA) in the blood are suspected of increasing the chances of heart disease, but it is not known whether the PUFA relates to kidney disease occurrence. In a large group without kidney disease in the United Kingdom, people with higher levels of PUFA in their blood tended to have a lower risk of developing kidney disease compared to those with lower PUFA levels. This relationship was consistently observed for all PUFA types. However, in the group with kidney disease, only higher levels of docosahexaenoic acid, a subtype of PUFAs, were associated with a lower risk of developing severe kidney problems that required kidney replacement therapy. These findings suggest that higher levels of PUFA, found in certain healthy fats, might protect against the development of kidney disease in the general population. As kidney function declines, only the docosahexaenoic acid, a subtype of PUFA, appears to be associated with preserved kidney function.

Glomerular crescents are associated with the risk of type 2 diabetic kidney disease progression: a retrospective cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Diabetic kidney disease (DKD) stands as the predominant cause of chronic kidney disease and end-stage kidney disease. Its diverse range of manifestations complicates the treatment approach for patients. Although kidney biopsy is considered the gold standard for diagnosis, it lacks precision in predicting the progression of kidney dysfunction. Herein, we addressed whether the presence of glomerular crescents is linked to the outcomes in patients with biopsy-confirmed type 2 DKD. METHODS: We performed a retrospective evaluation, involving 327 patients diagnosed with biopsy-confirmed DKD in the context of type 2 diabetes, excluding cases with other glomerular diseases, from nine tertiary hospitals. Hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated using a Cox regression model to assess the risk of kidney disease progression, defined as either ≥ 50% decrease in estimated glomerular filtration rates or the development of end-stage kidney disease, based on the presence of glomerular crescents. RESULTS: Out of the 327 patients selected, ten patients had glomerular crescents observed in their biopsied tissues. Over the follow-up period (median of 19 months, with a maximum of 18 years), the crescent group exhibited a higher risk of kidney disease progression than the no crescent group, with an adjusted HR of 2.82 (1.32-6.06) (P = 0.008). The presence of heavy proteinuria was associated with an increased risk of developing glomerular crescents. CONCLUSION: The presence of glomerular crescents is indeed linked to the progression of type 2 DKD. Therefore, it is important to determine whether there is an additional immune-mediated glomerulonephritis requiring immunomodulation, and it may be prudent to monitor the histology and repeat a biopsy.

The 2021 KDIGO blood pressure target and the progression of chronic kidney disease: Findings from KNOW-CKD.

BACKGROUND: The 2021 Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) clinical practice guideline for the management of blood pressure (BP) in chronic kidney disease (CKD) recommends a target systolic BP of <120 mmHg as this target can provide cardiovascular benefits. However, it remains unclear whether implementing the new BP target could improve kidney outcomes. METHODS: The association between the 2021 KDIGO BP target and CKD progression was examined and compared with the 2012 KDIGO BP target among 1724 participants included in the KoreaN Cohort Study for Outcomes in Patients With CKD. The main exposure was the BP status categorized according to the 2012 or 2021 KDIGO guideline: (1) controlled within the 2021 target, (2) controlled within the 2012 target only, and (3) above both targets. The primary outcome was a composite kidney outcome of ≥50% decline in the estimated glomerular filtration rate from baseline or the initiation of kidney replacement therapy during the follow-up period. RESULTS: Composite kidney outcomes occurred in 650 (37.7%) participants during the 8078 person-years of follow-up (median, 4.9 years). The incidence rates of this outcome were 55, 66.5, and 116.4 per 1000 person-years in BP controlled within the 2021 and 2012 KDIGO targets, and BP above both targets, respectively. In the multivariable cause-specific hazard model, hazard ratios for the composite outcome were 0.76 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.60-0.95) for BP controlled within the 2021 target and 1.36 (95% CI, 1.13-1.64) for BP above both targets, compared with BP controlled within 2012 target only. CONCLUSION: The newly lowered BP target by the 2021 KDIGO guideline was associated with improved kidney outcome compared with BP target by the 2012 KDIGO guideline.

Association of Plant Protein Intake With Risk of Incident CKD: A UK Biobank Study.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Data suggest that various dietary interventions slow kidney disease progression and improve clinical outcomes for those with chronic kidney disease (CKD). However, the association between plant protein intake and incident CKD has been uncertain. STUDY DESIGN: Prospective cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: 117,809 participants who completed at least 1 dietary questionnaire and had an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) ≥ 60mL/min/1.73m2, a urinary albumin-creatinine ratio (UACR)<30mg/g, and no history of CKD. EXPOSURE: Daily plant protein intake in g/kg/day. OUTCOME: Incident CKD based on the International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision (ICD-10) or the Office of Population Censuses and Surveys Classification of Interventions and Procedures, version 4 (OPCS-4) codes. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: A cause-specific proportional hazards analysis incorporating competing risks that treated death occurring before incident CKD as a competing event. RESULTS: During a median follow-up period of 9.9 years, incident CKD occurred in 3,745 participants (3.2%; incidence rate, 3.2 per 1,000 person-years). In a multivariable model, the adjusted hazard ratio (AHR) for the second, third, and highest quartiles of plant protein intake was 0.90 (95% CI, 0.82-0.99), 0.83 (95% CI, 0.75-0.92), and 0.82 (95% CI, 0.73-0.93), respectively, compared with the lowest quartile. Modeled as a continuous variable, the AHR per 0.1g/kg/day plant protein intake increase was 0.96 (95% CI, 0.93-0.99). This beneficial association was also consistent in secondary analyses for which CKD was defined based on codes or 2 consecutive measures of eGFR<60mL/min/1.73m2 or UACR>30mg/g. Various sensitivity analyses demonstrated consistent findings. LIMITATIONS: Potential incomplete dietary assessments; limited generalizability due to the characteristics of participants in the UK Biobank Study. CONCLUSIONS: In this large, prospective cohort study, greater dietary plant protein intake was associated with a lower risk of incident CKD. Further interventional studies demonstrating the kidney-protective benefits of plant protein intake are warranted. PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY: Plant-based diets confer various health benefits, including lowering the risk of cardiovascular disease and certain cancers. However, the relationship between plant protein intake and the risk of chronic kidney disease (CKD) remains unclear. Our study investigated the association between plant protein intake and the development of CKD. Using the UK Biobank Study data, we found that participants with a higher plant protein intake had a lower risk of developing CKD. Our finding suggests that a higher dietary intake of plant-based protein may be beneficial for kidney health and provides insight into dietary interventions to prevent CKD in primary care settings.

Uric Acid and Risk of Cardiovascular Disease and Mortality: A Longitudinal Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to examine the association of serum uric acid levels with incident cardiovascular disease and mortality in Korean adults without gout. METHODS: This large longitudinal cohort study included adults aged > 19 years who had serum uric acid levels measured at least once at the National Health Insurance Service Ilsan Hospital from January 1, 2006 to December 31, 2015. Longitudinal data on person-level cardiovascular disease and cardiovascular mortality were linked to the National Health Insurance Service claims database and National Death Index. RESULTS: Among a total of 92,454 study participants with a median follow-up of 4.7 years, 7,670 (8.3%) composite events of cardiovascular disease or cardiovascular mortality were observed. Multivariable Cox proportional-hazards models revealed that each 1 mg/dL increment in uric acid level was associated with a 6% higher risk of composite outcomes. Compared with that for the uric acid level category of 4.0 to < 5.0 mg/dL, adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) for uric acid level categories of 5.0 to < 6.0, 6.0 to < 7.0, and ≥ 7.0 mg/dL were 1.10 (1.04-1.18), 1.20 (1.11-1.30), and 1.36 (1.25-1.47), respectively. In the secondary analyses for cardiovascular disease or cardiovascular mortality examined separately, a higher uric acid level was similarly associated with a higher risk of each adverse outcome. These associations were generally consistent across clinically relevant subgroups. CONCLUSION: A graded association was noted between serum uric acid levels and cardiovascular risk, suggesting that higher uric acid levels may adversely affect cardiovascular health and survival in individuals without gout.

Coronary Artery Calcification Score and the Progression of Chronic Kidney Disease.

BACKGROUND: An elevated coronary artery calcification score (CACS) is associated with increased cardiovascular disease risk in patients with CKD. However, the relationship between CACS and CKD progression has not been elucidated. METHODS: We studied 1936 participants with CKD (stages G1-G5 without kidney replacement therapy) enrolled in the KoreaN Cohort Study for Outcome in Patients With CKD. The main predictor was Agatston CACS categories at baseline (0 AU, 1-100 AU, and >100 AU). The primary outcome was CKD progression, defined as a ≥50% decline in eGFR or the onset of kidney failure with replacement therapy. RESULTS: During 8130 person-years of follow-up, the primary outcome occurred in 584 (30.2%) patients. In the adjusted cause-specific hazard model, CACS of 1-100 AU (hazard ratio [HR], 1.29; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.04 to 1.61) and CACS >100 AU (HR, 1.42; 95% CI, 1.10 to 1.82) were associated with a significantly higher risk of the primary outcome. The HR associated with per 1-SD log of CACS was 1.13 (95% CI, 1.03 to 1.24). When nonfatal cardiovascular events were treated as a time-varying covariate, CACS of 1-100 AU (HR, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.07 to 1.60) and CACS >100 AU (HR, 1.46; 95% CI, 1.16 to 1.85) were also associated with a higher risk of CKD progression. The association was stronger in older patients, in those with type 2 diabetes, and in those not using antiplatelet drugs. Furthermore, patients with higher CACS had a significantly larger eGFR decline rate. CONCLUSION: Our findings suggest that a high CACS is associated with significantly increased risk of adverse kidney outcomes and CKD progression.

Colchicine use and the risk of CKD progression: a multicentre nested case-control study.

OBJECTIVES: Despite the preclinical evidence on protective effects of colchicine against kidney fibrosis, whether colchicine could delay the progression of chronic kidney disease (CKD) in humans remains unknown. This study examined the association between long-term colchicine use and risk of adverse kidney outcome in patients with CKD who were treated for hyperuricaemia or chronic gout. METHODS: We conducted a multicentre, nested, case-control study in three Korean hospitals. Patients were aged ≥19 years; had CKD G3-G4; and used drugs including colchicine, allopurinol and febuxostat for hyperuricaemia or chronic gout during the period from April 2000 to October 2020. Patients with CKD progression, which was defined as ≥40% decrease from the baseline estimated glomerular filtration rate or the onset of kidney failure with replacement therapy, were matched to controls based on follow-up time, age and sex. RESULTS: Overall, 3085 patients with CKD progression were matched to 11 715 control patients. Multivariate conditional logistic regression analysis showed that patients with ≥90 cumulative daily colchicine doses were associated with a lower risk of CKD progression [adjusted odds ratio (AOR), 0.77; 95% CI: 0.61, 0.96] than non-users. In the sensitivity analysis with matched CKD stages, the AOR was 0.77 (95% CI: 0.62, 0.97). This association was more pronounced in patients without diabetes or hypertension, and in patients with CKD G3. CONCLUSION: Colchicine use is associated with a lower risk of adverse kidney outcomes in CKD patients with hyperuricaemia, or chronic gout.

Association of blood pressure with cardiovascular outcome and mortality: results from the KNOW-CKD study.

BACKGROUND: Optimal blood pressure (BP) control is a major therapeutic strategy to reduce adverse cardiovascular events (CVEs) and mortality in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). We studied the association of BP with adverse cardiovascular outcome and all-cause death in patients with CKD. METHODS: Among 2238 participants from the KoreaN cohort study for Outcome in patients With CKD (KNOW-CKD), 2226 patients with baseline BP measurements were enrolled. The main predictor was systolic BP (SBP) categorized by five levels: <110, 110-119, 120-129, 130-139 and ≥140 mmHg. The primary endpoint was a composite outcome of all-cause death or incident CVEs. We primarily used marginal structural models (MSMs) using averaged and the most recent time-updated SBPs. RESULTS: During the follow-up of 10 233.79 person-years (median 4.60 years), the primary composite outcome occurred in 240 (10.8%) participants, with a corresponding incidence rate of 23.5 [95% confidence interval (CI) 20.7-26.6]/1000 patient-years. MSMs with averaged SBP showed a U-shaped relationship with the primary outcome. Compared with time-updated SBP of 110-119 mmHg, hazard ratios (95% CI) for <110, 120-129, 130-139 and ≥140 mmHg were 2.47 (1.48-4.11), 1.29 (0.80-2.08), 2.15 (1.26-3.69) and 2.19 (1.19-4.01), respectively. MSMs with the most recent SBP also showed similar findings. CONCLUSIONS: In Korean patients with CKD, there was a U-shaped association of SBP with the risk of adverse clinical outcomes. Our findings highlight the importance of BP control and suggest a potential hazard of SBP <110 mmHg.

Sleep apnea is associated with residual kidney function and mortality in patients with peritoneal dialysis: Prospective cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: Fluid overload and sleep apnea (SA) are known risk factors for mortality in dialysis patients. Although incidence and severity of SA were shown higher in peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients than in hemodialysis patients, data regarding the association of SA with body fluid status and mortality are limited. Therefore, the association of SA with body fluid status and mortality were investigated in a prospective cohort with patients undergoing PD. METHODS: The present study included 103 prevalent PD patients who were followed up for median 70 months. At baseline, the subjects underwent in-home polysomnography, bioelectrical impedance analysis, and urea kinetics. Excessive daytime sleepiness and sleep quality were assessed using sleep questionnaires. SA was defined as apnea/hypopnea index higher than 15 events per hour. RESULTS: Sleep apnea was diagnosed in 57 (55.3%) patients (SA group); the subjects had significantly higher extracellular water (10.3 ± 1.4 vs. 9.2 ± 1.8, p = 0.001) and lower residual kidney function (RKF) (3.3 ± 3.3 vs. 5.9 ± 7.2, p = 0.02) compared with subjects in the non-SA group. SA was significantly associated with RKF [odds ratio, 0.84; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.73-0.97] in multivariable logistic regression analysis. In multivariable Cox regression models, SA was a significant predictor of mortality in PD patients (adjusted hazard ratio, 5.74; 95% CI, 1.09-30.31) after adjusting for well-known risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: Sleep apnea was very common in PD patients and significantly associated with lower RKF. SA was also a novel risk predictor of mortality in PD patients.

Low-density lipoprotein cholesterol levels and adverse clinical outcomes in chronic kidney disease: Results from the KNOW-CKD.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The optimal low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) level to prevent cardiovascular disease in chronic kidney disease (CKD) patients remains unknown. This study aimed to explore the association of LDL-C levels with adverse cardiovascular and kidney outcomes in Korean CKD patients and determine the validity of "the lower, the better" strategy for statin intake. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 1886 patients from the KoreaN cohort study for Outcome in patients With CKD (KNOW-CKD) were included. Patients were classified into four LDL-C categories: <70, 70-99, 100-129, and ≥130 mg/dL. The primary outcome was extended major adverse cardiovascular events (eMACEs). Secondary outcomes included all-cause mortality, and CKD progression. During the follow-up period, the primary outcome events occurred in 136 (7.2%) patients (16.9 per 1000 person-years). There was a graded association between LDL-C and the risk of eMACEs. The hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) for LDL-C categories of 70-99, 100-129, and ≥130 mg/dL were 2.06 (1.14-3.73), 2.79 (1.18-6.58), and 4.10 (1.17-14.3), respectively, compared to LDL-C <70 mg/dL. Time-varying analysis showed consistent findings. The predictive performance of LDL-C for eMACEs was affected by kidney function. Higher LDL-C levels were also associated with significantly higher risks of CKD progression. However, LDL-C level was not associated with all-cause mortality. CONCLUSIONS: This study showed a graded relationship between LDL-C and the risk of adverse cardiovascular outcome in CKD patients. The lowest risk was observed with LDL-C <70 mg/dL, suggesting that a lower LDL-C target may be acceptable.

Association between Body Mass Index and Risk of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19): A Nationwide Case-control Study in South Korea.

BACKGROUND: Increased body mass index (BMI) has been associated with a higher risk of severe coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) infections. However, whether obesity is a risk factor for contracting COVID-19 has hardly been investigated so far. METHODS: We examined the association between BMI level and the risk of COVID-19 infection in a nationwide case-control study comprised of 3788 case patients confirmed to have COVID-19 between 24 January and 9 April 2020 and 15 152 controls matched by age and sex, who were aged 20 years or more and underwent National Health Insurance Service (NHIS) health examinations between 2015-2017, using data from the Korean NHIS with linkage to the Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention data. Our primary exposure of interest was BMI level, categorized into 4 groups: <18.5 (underweight), 18.5-22.9 (normal weight), 23-24.9 (overweight), and ≥25 kg/m2 (obese). RESULTS: Of the entire 18 940 study participants, 11 755 (62.1%) were women, and the mean age of the study participants was 53.7 years (standard deviation, 13.8). In multivariable logistic regression models adjusted for sociodemographic, comorbidity, laboratory, and medication data, there was a graded association between higher BMI levels and higher risk of COVID-19 infection. Compared to normal-weight individuals, the adjusted odds ratios in the overweight and obese individuals were 1.13 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.03-1.25) and 1.26 (95% CI, 1.15-1.39), respectively. This association was robust across age and sex subgroups. CONCLUSIONS: Higher BMI levels were associated with a higher risk of contracting COVID-19.

Urinary chloride concentration and progression of chronic kidney disease: results from the KoreaN cohort study for Outcomes in patients With Chronic Kidney Disease.

BACKGROUND: Urinary chloride is regulated by kidney transport channels, and high urinary chloride concentration in the distal tubules can trigger tubuloglomerular feedback. However, little attention has been paid to urinary chloride as a biomarker of clinical outcomes. Here, we studied the relationship between urinary chloride concentration and chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression. METHODS: We included 2086 participants with CKD from the KoreaN cohort study for Outcomes in patients With Chronic Kidney Disease. Patients were categorized into three groups, according to baseline urinary chloride concentration tertiles. The study endpoint was a composite of ≥50% decrease in estimated glomerular filtration rate from baseline values, or end-stage kidney disease. RESULTS: During a median follow-up period of 3.4 years (7452 person-years), 565 participants reached the primary endpoint. There was a higher rate of CKD progression events in the lowest and middle tertiles than in the highest tertile. Compared with the lowest tertile, the highest tertile was associated with 33% [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.49-0.90] lower risk for the primary outcome in a cause-specific hazard model after adjustment for confounding variables. In addition, for every 25 mEq/L increase in urinary chloride concentration, there was 11% (95% CI 0.83-0.96) lower risk for CKD progression. This association was consistent in a time-varying model. Urinary chloride concentration correlated well with tubule function and kidney injury markers, and its predictive performance for CKD progression was comparable to that of these markers. CONCLUSIONS: In this hypothesis-generating study, low urinary chloride concentration was associated with a higher risk for CKD progression.

Smoking, Smoking Cessation, and Progression of Chronic Kidney Disease: Results From KNOW-CKD Study.

INTRODUCTION: In patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD), studies investigating the association between smoking and deterioration of kidney function are scarce. AIMS AND METHODS: We analyzed data for 1,951 patients with an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) ≥15 mL/min/1.73 m2 enrolled in the KoreaN cohort study for Outcome in patients With Chronic Kidney Disease (KNOW-CKD) from 2011 to 2016. Patients were categorized by smoking load. Primary outcome was a composite of a ≥50% reduction in eGFR, initiation of dialysis, or kidney transplantation. RESULTS: There were 967 never-smokers and 369, 276, and 339 smokers who smoked <15, 15 to 29, ≥30 pack-years, respectively. During a mean follow-up of 3.0 years, the incidence rates (95% confidence interval [CI]) of the primary outcome were 54.3 (46.4-63.5), 46.9 (35.9-61.4), 69.2 (52.9-90.6), and 76.3 (60.7-96.0) events per 1,000 person-yr in never-, <15, 15 to 29, and ≥30 pack-year smokers. In cause-specific hazard model after adjustment of confounding factors, smokers were associated with 1.09 (0.73-1.63), 1.48 (1.00-2.18), and 1.94 (1.35-2.77) fold increased risk (95% CI) of primary outcome in <15, 15-29, and ≥30 pack-year smokers compared with never-smokers. The association of longer smoking duration with higher risk of CKD progression was evident particularly in patients with eGFR < 45 mL/min/1.73 m2 and proteinuria ≥ 1.0 g/g. In contrast, the risk of adverse kidney outcome decreased with longer smoking-free periods among former-smokers. CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest potentially harmful effects of the degree of exposure to smoking on the progression of CKD. IMPLICATIONS: Among patients with CKD, there has been lack of studies on the association between smoking and CKD progression and studies to date have yielded conflicting results. In this prospective cohort study involving Korean CKD patients, smoking was associated with significantly higher risk of worsening kidney function. Furthermore, the risk of adverse kidney outcome was incrementally higher as smoking pack-years were higher. As the duration of smoking cessation increased, the hazard ratios for adverse kidney outcome were attenuated, suggesting that quitting smoking may be a modifiable factor to delay CKD progression.

Association of Longitudinal Trajectories of Systolic BP with Risk of Incident CKD: Results from the Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study.

BACKGROUND: Although hypertension is a well known risk factor for CKD, few studies have evaluated the association between temporal trends of systolic BP and kidney function decline in persons without hypertension. METHODS: We studied whether changes in systolic BP over time could influence incident CKD development in 4643 individuals without CKD and hypertension participating in the Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study, a prospective community-based cohort study. Using group-based trajectory modeling, we categorized three distinct systolic BP trajectories: decreasing, stable, and increasing. The primary outcome was incident CKD development, defined as two consecutive eGFR measurements <60 ml/min per 1.73 m2. RESULTS: Among participants with an increasing systolic BP trajectory, systolic BP increased from 105 to 124 mm Hg. During 31,936 person-years of follow-up (median 7.7 years), 339 participants developed incident CKD. CKD incidence rates were 8.9, 9.6, and 17.8 cases per 1000 person-years in participants with decreasing, stable, and increasing systolic BP trajectories, respectively. In multivariable cause-specific Cox analysis, after adjustment of baseline eGFR, systolic BP, and other confounders, increasing systolic BP trajectory associated with a 1.57-fold higher risk of incident CKD (95% confidence interval, 1.20 to 2.06) compared with a stable trajectory. There was a significant effect modification of baseline systolic BP on the association between systolic BP trajectories and CKD risk (P value for interaction =0.02), and this association was particularly evident in participants with baseline systolic BP <120 mm Hg. In addition, increasing systolic BP trajectory versus a stable trajectory was associated with higher risk of new development of albuminuria. CONCLUSIONS: Increasing systolic BP over time without reaching the hypertension threshold is associated with a significantly increased risk of incident CKD in healthy adults.

Predictive value of mesangial C3 and C4d deposition in IgA nephropathy.

We aimed to determine the relative contribution of each complement (C3 and C4d) deposition to the progression of IgA nephropathy (IgAN). We enrolled a total of 380 patients with biopsy-confirmed IgAN. Mesangial deposition of C3(<2+ vs. ≥2+) and C4d(positive vs. negative) was evaluated by immunofluorescence staining and immunohistochemistry, respectively. Study endpoint was the composite of a 30% decline in eGFR or ESRD. The risk of reaching the primary outcome was significantly higher in patients having C3 ≥ 2+ and C4d(+) than in corresponding counterparts. Adding C3 deposition to clinical data acquired at kidney biopsy modestly increased the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve, net reclassification improvement, and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI); adding C4d increased IDI only. In conclusion, mesangial C3 and C4d deposition was an independent risk factor for progression of IgAN. C3 showed better predictability than C4d, suggesting that lectin pathway alone has limited clinical prognostic value.

Associations of Systolic Blood Pressure With Incident CKD G3-G5: A Cohort Study of South Korean Adults.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Clinical practice guidelines recommend a target blood pressure (BP)<130/80 mm Hg to reduce cardiovascular risk. However, the optimal BP to prevent chronic kidney disease (CKD) is unknown. STUDY DESIGN: Population-based retrospective cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: 10.5 million adults who participated in the National Health Insurance Service National Health Checkup Program in South Korea between 2009 and 2015 and had an estimated glomerular filtration rate (GFR) ≥ 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 at the beginning of follow-up. PREDICTORS: Baseline and time-updated systolic BP (SBP) as a continuous variable and categorized as<110, 110 to 119, 120 to 129, 130 to 139, or≥140 mm Hg. OUTCOME: Incident CKD GFR categories 3 to 5 (CKD G3-G5), defined as de novo development of estimated GFR<60 mL/min/1.73 m2 for at least 2 consecutive assessments confirmed at least 90 days apart. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Cox proportional hazards regression for baseline BP and marginal structural analysis for time-updated BP. RESULTS: During 49,169,311 person-years of follow-up, incident CKD G3-G5 developed in 172,423 (1.64%) individuals with a crude event rate of 3.51 (95% CI, 3.49-3.52) per 1,000 person-years. Compared to a baseline SBP of 120 to 129 mm Hg, HRs for incident CKD G3-G5 for the<110, 110 to 119, 130 to 139, and≥140 mm Hg categories were 0.84 (95% CI, 0.82-0.85), 0.92 (95% CI, 0.91-0.94), 1.11 (95% CI, 1.09-1.12), and 1.30 (95% CI, 1.28-1.31), respectively. For time-updated SBPs, corresponding HRs were 0.57 (95% CI, 0.56-0.59), 0.79 (95% CI, 0.78-0.80), 1.58 (95% CI, 1.55-1.60), and 2.49 (95% CI, 2.45-2.53), respectively. Treated as a continuous exposure, each 10-mm Hg higher SBP was associated with 35% higher risk for incident CKD G3-G5 (95% CI, 1.35-1.36). LIMITATIONS: Use of International Classification of Diseases codes to assess comorbid condition burden; residual confounding, and potential selection bias cannot be excluded. CONCLUSIONS: In this large national cohort study, higher SBPs were associated with higher risk for incident CKD G3-G5. These findings support evaluation of SBP-lowering strategies to reduce the development of CKD.

Icodextrin Versus Glucose Solutions for the Once-Daily Long Dwell in Peritoneal Dialysis: An Enriched Systematic Review and Meta-analysis of Randomized Controlled Trials.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: The efficacy and safety of icodextrin versus glucose-only peritoneal dialysis (PD) regimens is unclear. The aim of this study was to compare once-daily long-dwell icodextrin versus glucose among patients with kidney failure undergoing PD. STUDY DESIGN: Systematic review of randomized controlled trials (RCTs), enriched with unpublished data from investigator-initiated and industry-sponsored studies. SETTING & STUDY POPULATIONS: Individuals with kidney failure receiving regular PD treatment enrolled in clinical trials of dialysate composition. SELECTION CRITERIA FOR STUDIES: Medline, Embase, CENTRAL, Ichushi Web, 10 Chinese databases, clinical trials registries, conference proceedings, and citation lists from inception to November 2018. Further data were obtained from principal investigators and industry clinical study reports. DATA EXTRACTION: 2 independent reviewers selected studies and extracted data using a prespecified extraction instrument. ANALYTIC APPROACH: Qualitative synthesis of demographics, measurement scales, and outcomes. Quantitative synthesis with Mantel-Haenszel risk ratios (RRs), Peto odds ratios (ORs), or (standardized) mean differences (MDs). Risk of bias of included studies at the outcome level was assessed using the Cochrane risk-of-bias tool for RCTs. RESULTS: 19 RCTs that enrolled 1,693 participants were meta-analyzed. Ultrafiltration was improved with icodextrin (medium-term MD, 208.92 [95% CI, 99.69-318.14] mL/24h; high certainty of evidence), reflected also by fewer episodes of fluid overload (RR, 0.43 [95% CI, 0.24-0.78]; high certainty). Icodextrin-containing PD probably decreased mortality risk compared to glucose-only PD (Peto OR, 0.49 [95% CI, 0.24-1.00]; moderate certainty). Despite evidence of lower peritoneal glucose absorption with icodextrin-containing PD (medium-term MD, -40.84 [95% CI, -48.09 to-33.59] g/long dwell; high certainty), this did not directly translate to changes in fasting plasma glucose (-0.50 [95% CI, -1.19 to 0.18] mmol/L; low certainty) and hemoglobin A1c levels (-0.14% [95% CI, -0.34% to 0.05%]; high certainty). Safety outcomes and residual kidney function were similar in both groups; health-related quality-of-life and pain scores were inconclusive. LIMITATIONS: Trial quality was variable. The follow-up period was heterogeneous, with a paucity of assessments over the long term. Mortality results are based on just 32 events and were not corroborated using time-to-event analysis of individual patient data. CONCLUSIONS: Icodextrin for once-daily long-dwell PD has clinical benefit for some patients, including those not meeting ultrafiltration targets and at risk for fluid overload. Future research into patient-centered outcomes and cost-effectiveness associated with icodextrin is needed.

Health Insurance Status Is Related to Risk of Mortality and Hospitalization in Korean Maintenance Hemodialysis Patients: A Longitudinal Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND: There has been an increasing incidence of hemodialysis (HD) due to old age and comorbid condition such as diabetes. In general, socioeconomic status (SES) is known as one of the most important risk factors for patient mortality and morbidity. Whether low SES is associated with poorer outcome in HD patients is controversial. This study was performed to evaluate the association of health insurance status as a proxy indicator for SES upon mortality and hospitalization in maintenance HD patients. METHODS: We used HD-quality assessment data from the year of 2015 for collecting demographic and clinical data. The subjects were classified into Medical Aid (MA) recipients (low SES) and National Health Insurance (NHI) beneficiary (high SES). We analyzed mortality and hospitalization risk based on health insurance status using Cox proportional hazard model. A total of 35,454 adult HD patients ≥18 years old who received HD treatment more than twice weekly were included in the analysis. RESULTS: The ratio between MA recipient and NHI beneficiary was 76.7 versus 23.3%. The MA recipient group demonstrated younger age and lower proportion of female, diabetes, hypertension, and cerebrovascular accidents compared to the NHI beneficiary group. After adjusting for age, gender, comorbidity, and laboratory parameters, the MA recipient group showed a significantly higher mortality risk compared to the NHI beneficiary group (hazard ratio 1.073 [1.009-1.14], p = 0.025). The MA recipient group was also an independent risk factor for hospitalization after adjusting for age, gender, comorbidities, and laboratory parameters (hazard ratio 1.142 [1.108-1.178], p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Low SES as measured by health insurance status was associated with an increased risk of patient mortality and hospitalization in Korean maintenance HD patients.

Vascular access placement and mortality in elderly incident hemodialysis patients.

BACKGROUND: Arteriovenous fistulas (AVFs) are the preferred vascular access type in most hemodialysis patients. However, the optimal vascular access type in octogenarians and older (≥80 years) hemodialysis patients remains widely debated given their limited life expectancy and lower AVF maturation rates. METHODS: Among incident hemodialysis patients receiving care in a large national dialysis organization during 2007-2011, we examined patterns of vascular access type conversion in 1 year following dialysis initiation in patients <80 versus ≥80 years of age. Among a subcohort of patients ≥80 years of age, we examined the association between vascular access type conversion and mortality using multivariable survival models. RESULTS: In the overall cohort of 100 804 patients, the prevalence of AVF/arteriovenous graft (AVG) as the primary vascular access type increased during the first year of hemodialysis, but plateaued thereafter. Among 8356 patients ≥80 years of age and treated for >1 year, those with initial AVF/AVG use and placement of AVF from a central venous catheter (CVC) had lower mortality compared with patients with persistent CVC use. When the reference group was changed to patients who had AVF placement from a CVC in the first year of dialysis, those with initial AVF use had similar mortality. A longer duration of CVC use was associated with incrementally worse survival. CONCLUSIONS: Among incident hemodialysis patients ≥80 years of age, placement of an AVF from a CVC within the first year of dialysis had similar mortality compared with initial AVF use. Our data suggest that initial CVC use with later placement of an AVF may be an acceptable option among elderly hemodialysis patients.