Machine learning algorithms to estimate 10-Year survival in patients with bone metastases due to prostate cancer: toward a disease-specific survival estimation tool.

BACKGROUND: Prognostic indicators, treatments, and survival estimates vary by cancer type. Therefore, disease-specific models are needed to estimate patient survival. Our primary aim was to develop models to estimate survival duration after treatment for skeletal-related events (SREs) (symptomatic bone metastasis, including impending or actual pathologic fractures) in men with metastatic bone disease due to prostate cancer. Such disease-specific models could be added to the PATHFx clinical-decision support tool, which is available worldwide, free of charge. Our secondary aim was to determine disease-specific factors that should be included in an international cancer registry. METHODS: We analyzed records of 438 men with metastatic prostate cancer who sustained SREs that required treatment with radiotherapy or surgery from 1989-2017. We developed and validated 6 models for 1-, 2-, 3-, 4-, 5-, and 10-year survival after treatment. Model performance was evaluated using calibration analysis, Brier scores, area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC), and decision curve analysis to determine the models' clinical utility. We characterized the magnitude and direction of model features. RESULTS: The models exhibited acceptable calibration, accuracy (Brier scores < 0.20), and classification ability (AUCs > 0.73). Decision curve analysis determined that all 6 models were suitable for clinical use. The order of feature importance was distinct for each model. In all models, 3 factors were positively associated with survival duration: younger age at metastasis diagnosis, proximal prostate-specific antigen (PSA) < 10 ng/mL, and slow-rising alkaline phosphatase velocity (APV). CONCLUSIONS: We developed models that estimate survival duration in patients with metastatic bone disease due to prostate cancer. These models require external validation but should meanwhile be included in the PATHFx tool. PSA and APV data should be recorded in an international cancer registry.

Update on First-Line Combination Treatment Approaches in Metastatic Clear-Cell Renal Cell Carcinoma.

OPINION STATEMENT: The treatment for metastatic renal cell carcinoma (mRCC) has significantly evolved in recent years with a deeper understanding of the molecular make-up of the disease and the clinical development of therapies with novel mechanisms of action. While some patients with more indolent disease may benefit from local therapy such as metastasectomy or cytoreductive nephrectomy, others may safely embark on an active surveillance program or be offered targeted therapy. Yet, a combination regimen including an ICI is the most effective regimen and should be considered in most mRCC cases. Ongoing studies will help determine which factors can be further used to optimize treatment selection and personalize disease management.

A Rare Case of Extranodal Natural Killer/T-cell Lymphoma, Nasal Type Associated With Hemophagocytic Lymphohistiocytosis in a Patient With Recurrent Sinusitis.

We present a rare case of hemophagocytic lymphohistiocytosis (HLH) secondary to nasal-type extranodal natural killer/T-cell lymphoma (ENKL). Nasal-type ENKL is a rare subtype of non-Hodgkin's lymphoma usually associated with Epstein-Barr virus (EBV). The patient was a 19-year-old woman who presented with facial numbness, diminished hearing, and dysgeusia. She was febrile with palatal necrosis, loss of gag reflex, and cranial nerve palsies. Labs revealed neutropenia. Broad-spectrum antimicrobials, including amphotericin, were started. Given concern for invasive fungal disease, she underwent surgical debridement, which revealed inflamed fibrous tissue and extensive necrosis. Pathology showed no fungal elements or malignancy. Lack of clinical improvement and worsening palatal necrosis prompted additional debridement. Histology identified an atypical CD3+/CD56+ cellular infiltrate. Bone marrow biopsy showed prominent hemophagocytosis, but no malignancy. She met the criteria for HLH and high-dose dexamethasone was started. Her fevers resolved. Additional labs and nasal tissue sampling with EBV-encoded RNA staining were recommended. Flow cytometry was negative, but histology revealed ENKL nasal-type, with positive EBV-encoded RNA in situ hybridization. Plasma EBV DNA level was 11,518 IU/mL. The M-SMILE (dexamethasone, methotrexate, ifosfamide, l-asparaginase, and etoposide) regimen was initiated; one cycle led to marked improvement. EBV level returned to zero. Subsequent radiation and chemotherapy, followed by autologous stem cell transplant consolidation, led to complete remission. We conclude that ENKL may mimic invasive sinusitis clinically. Fibrinoid necrosis in vessels and surrounding tissues often leads to diagnostic delay. It is important to have a high degree of clinical suspicion for malignancy in cases of HLH and sinusitis unresponsive to appropriate therapy. Obtaining proper tissue, communication with the pathologist, and prompt initiation of therapy are crucial.

Neuroendocrine Carcinoma as a Cause of Humoral Hypercalcemia of Malignancy: A Case of a Patient With Elevated Parathyroid Hormone-Related Protein.

Humoral hypercalcemia of malignancy (HHM) is a paraneoplastic syndrome caused by elevations in parathyroid hormone-related protein (PTH-rP). HHM often presents in patients with squamous cell carcinomas of the lung, head, and neck, as well as breast, ovarian, renal, and bladder carcinomas. HHM associated with neuroendocrine carcinoma (NEC) is rarely observed. Here, we report a case of NEC-associated HHM refractory to standard calcium-reducing therapies but improved with the off-label addition of cinacalcet. A 31-year-old male with metastatic NEC presented to the emergency department (ED) with symptoms of nausea, emesis, constipation, and progressive weakness. He was being treated via a clinical trial at a tertiary referral center after failing standard therapies. He had recently been admitted at an outside facility for hypercalcemia, which had been managed with denosumab (120 mg subcutaneously) over the previous four weeks. He was admitted from the ED with a serum calcium of 14.6 mg/dL, potassium of 2.9 mmol/L, and phosphate of 1.2 mg/dL; ionized calcium was elevated at 8.0 mg/dL. Despite hydration and aggressive electrolyte replacement, his calcium increased to 15.5 mg/dL. Further laboratory evaluation revealed parathyroid hormone (PTH) of 6 pg/mL (10-65 pg/mL), 25-hydroxyvitamin D of 25 ng/mL (25-80 ng/mL), 1,25-dihydroxyvitamin D of 513 pg/mL (18-64 pg/mL), and PTH-rP of 25 pmol/L (<2.5 pmol/L), consistent with HHM. Calcitonin was avoided due to a prior hypersensitivity reaction. He received prednisone 10 mg daily and pamidronate 90 mg IV, and his calcium improved to 11.5 mg/dL. He was discharged and investigational therapy was resumed. This therapy failed, and he did not qualify for additional cancer therapy due to refractory hypercalcemia. He was started on cinacalcet, and his calcium decreased enough to permit further cancer treatment. He had multiple hospitalizations with fluctuating calcium levels and ultimately died several months later after sustaining a subarachnoid hemorrhage from a fall. In conclusion, we report a rare case of HHM associated with NEC. While many cases of HHM are effectively managed with hydration, calcitonin, antiresorptive therapies, and glucocorticoids, some are refractory. Our patient was refractory and differed from most patients with HHM in at least two ways. As mentioned previously, NEC causing HHM is quite uncommon (~2% of cases); it is unclear, but this malignancy might predispose to refractory hypercalcemia. Our patient's elevated vitamin D may also have made his HHM more resistant to treatment. Ultimately, while not first line, cinacalcet was an effective treatment in our patient. This provides additional evidence that cinacalcet may be considered for refractory hypercalcemia secondary to malignancy.

Diagnostic Accuracy of Ultrasound in Predicting Extrathyroidal Extension and Its Relation to Body Mass Index in a North American Population.

Detection of extrathyroidal extension (ETE) in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC) influences treatment plan and surgical aggressiveness. Ultrasound (US) is the long-standing preoperative imaging method of choice. Recent literature from Asia suggests US accuracy to be influenced by patient characteristics, such as body mass index (BMI). Here, we examine the effect of BMI on the accuracy of US at a North American tertiary referral center. A total of 204 PTC-confirmed patients were retrospectively read by a radiologist blinded to surgical pathology findings. The radiologist recorded multiple sonographic features, including ETE, loss of echogenic capsule, nodule vascularity, capsular abutment, and bulging of contour. When considering all patients, the ultrasonographic feature with the best overall performance was loss of echogenic capsule (diagnostic odds ratio (DOR) = 4.48, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.86-10.78). Sub-group analysis by patient BMI found that area under the curve (AUC) for sonographic features was greater in non-obese BMI patients (0.71 ± 0.06) when compared with obese patients (0.43 ± 0.05; p = 0.001). Overall, US diagnostic performance was significantly better in non-obese (DOR = 3.70, 95%CI = 1.53-8.94) patients when compared to those who were obese (DOR = 1.12, 95%CI = 0.62-2.03; p = 0.03). Loss of the echogenic capsule did not differ between the two cohorts with respect to DOR (p = 0.51), specificity (p = 0.52), or sensitivity (p = 0.09). Our work suggests that the diagnostic value of ETE detection by US is impaired in obese patients. Considering that loss of the echogenic capsule did not differ with respect to diagnostic performance, specificity, nor sensitivity between non-obese and obese patients, it could be considered the most important predictor of US-determined ETE.

A comparison of match outcomes between traditional medical degree and dual-degree applicants.

BACKGROUND: Dual degrees combining and MD with another professional degree (MPH, MBA, or PhD) are becoming more common in an attempt to increase an applicant's competitivity for a residency. OBJECTIVE: This study was designed to assess differences in MD-only and dual degree MD applicants with respect to applicant characteristics and match outcomes. METHODS: Utilizing the voluntarily-reported publicly available 2017-2019 Texas STAR database, we assessed applicants from 115 medical schools. Texas STAR indicates that over this time period, there were 18,224 responses for a response rate of 43.8%. Comparisons were made between groups using student's t-test and chi-squared analysis. RESULTS: Compared to MD only students, MD/MPH applicants had a higher propensity towards primary care specialties. MD/PhD applicants did not differ versus MD only applicants in their selection of primary care specialties, or of competitive specialties. MD/MBA applicants chose more competitive specialties and less primary care specialties. Despite all these differences, match rates were not different comparing MD only and dual-degree students. CONCLUSIONS: Despite the growing popularity of combined MD programs, such programs do not appear to increase applicant match competitivity.

TP53 Gain-of-Function Mutations in Circulating Tumor DNA in Men With Metastatic Castration-Resistant Prostate Cancer.

BACKGROUND: Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA), which can be assessed by liquid biopsy, can provide valuable genomic information that may affect treatment response in prostate cancer. The aim of this study was to characterize TP53 mutations and treatment history in prostate cancer. PATIENTS AND METHODS: This study included 143 patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer who had undergone ctDNA sequencing via Guardant360 testing. The presence or absence of TP53 mutations was analyzed along with treatment history for this group. TP53 mutations were further classified as gain of function (GOF) or not GOF, and analyzed with prior therapies. RESULTS: Chi-square analysis was performed for treatment history and TP53 status (further specified as all TP53 mutations or only TP53 GOF mutations). There were no associations between prior receipt of abiraterone/enzalutamide therapy and all TP53 mutations, or between docetaxel therapy and all TP53 mutations. However, TP53 GOF mutations had a positive association with prior abiraterone/enzalutamide therapy (P = .047). There was no association of TP53 GOF mutations with prior docetaxel therapy. The most frequent alterations co-occurring with all TP53 mutations were in AR, BRAF, EGFR, MYC, and PIK3CA. Common coalterations with TP53 GOF mutations included AR, BRAF, EGFR, RB1, NF1, and PIK3CA. There was an association of RB1 mutations with TP53 GOF mutations, versus RB1 mutations and no TP53 GOF mutations (P = .0036). CONCLUSION: TP53 GOF mutations may provide a valuable pathway to delineate metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer TP53 mutations into therapeutic categories. Association with disease progression while receiving abiraterone/enzalutamide therapy was apparent in this study; however, further studies are needed to elaborate the therapeutic and prognostic implications.