RESUMO
The effects of the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events have local, regional, and global consequences for water regimes, causing floods or extreme drought events. Tropical forests are strongly affected by ENSO, and in the case of the Amazon, its territorial extension allows for a wide variation of these effects. The prolongation of drought events in the Amazon basin contributes to an increase in gas and aerosol particle emissions mainly caused by biomass burning, which in turn alter radiative fluxes and evapotranspiration rates, cyclically interfering with the hydrological regime. The ENSO effects on the interactions between aerosol particles and evapotranspiration is a critical aspect to be systematically investigated. Therefore, this study aimed to evaluate the ENSO effect on a site located on the southern portion of the Amazonian region. In addition to quantifying and testing possible differences between aerosols and evapotranspiration under different ENSO classes (El Niño, La Niña and Neutrality), this study also evaluated possible variations in evapotranspiration as a function of the aerosol load. A highly significant difference was found for air temperature, relative humidity and aerosol load between the El Niño and La Niña classes. For evapotranspiration, significant differences were found for the El Niño and La Niña classes and for El Niño and Neutrality classes. Under the Neutrality class, the aerosol load correlated significantly with evapotranspiration, explaining 20% of the phenomenon. Under the El Niño and La Niña classes, no significant linear correlation was found between aerosol load and evapotranspiration. However, the results showed that for the total data set, there is a positive and significant correlation between aerosol and evapotranspiration. It increases with a quadratic fit, i.e., the aerosol favors evapotranspiration rates up to a certain concentration threshold. The results obtained in this study can help to understand the effects of ENSO events on atmospheric conditions in the southern Amazon basin, in addition to elucidating the role of aerosols in feedback to the water cycle in the region.
Assuntos
Aerossóis , El Niño Oscilação Sul , Aerossóis/análise , Brasil , Transpiração Vegetal , Monitoramento AmbientalRESUMO
ABSTRACT OBJECTIVE This study aims to assess covid-19 morbidity, mortality, and severity from 2020 to 2021 in five Brazilian Amazon states with the highest records of wildfires. METHODS A distributed lag non-linear model was applied to estimate the potential exposure risk association with particulate matter smaller than 2.5-µm in diameter (PM2.5). Daily mean temperature, relative humidity, percentual of community mobility, number of hospital beds, days of the week, and holidays were considered in the final models for controlling the confounding factors. RESULTS The states of Para, Mato Grosso, and Amazonas have reported the highest values of overall cases, deaths, and severe cases of covid-19. The worrying growth in the percentual rates in 2020/2021 for the incidence, severity, and mortality were highlighted in Rondônia and Mato Grosso. The growth in 2020/2021 in the estimations of PM2.5 concentrations was higher in Mato Grosso, with an increase of 24.4%, followed by Rondônia (14.9%). CONCLUSION This study establishes an association between wildfire-generated PM2.5 and increasing covid-19 incidence, mortality, and severity within the studied area. The findings showed that the risk of covid-19 morbidity and mortality is nearly two times higher among individuals exposed to high concentrations of PM2.5. The attributable fraction to PM2.5 in the studied area represents an important role in the risk associated with covid-19 in the Brazilian Amazon region.
Assuntos
Incêndios Florestais , Material Particulado , COVID-19RESUMO
OBJETIVO: Analisar a relação entre a exposição ao material particulado fino emitido em queimadas e as internações hospitalares por doenças respiratórias em crianças. MÉTODOS: Estudo descritivo com delineamento ecológico de séries temporais realizado em Manaus de 2002 a 2009. Os dados de internações hospitalares foram obtidos a partir do banco de dados do Sistema Único de Saúde. Os níveis de PM2.5 foram estimados por sensoriamento remoto a partir da espessura ótica de aerossóis no comprimento de onda de 550 nm. Foram utilizadas a correlação de Pearson e a regressão linear múltipla entre as variáveis com intervalo de 95% de confiança. RESULTADOS: A região de Manaus apresentou baixas concentrações de PM2.5, quando comparada com a porção sul da região Amazônica. Os meses de agosto a novembro (período seco) apresentaram os maiores níveis médios de PM2.5 (de 18 a 23 µg/m³) e os maiores números de focos de queimadas detectados. A média do PM2.5 para a estação chuvosa foi de 12 µg/m³, 66% menor que a média da estação seca, 20,6 µg/m³. As maiores taxas de internações ocorreram durante a estação chuvosa, e o mês de abril teve a maior taxa, com 2,51/1.000 crianças. Foi observada associação positiva significativa entre as internações e a umidade relativa (R = 0,126; p = 0,005), enquanto a associação entre internações com PM2.5 mostrou-se negativa e estatisticamente significativa (R = - 0,168; p = 0,003). O R² do modelo final (Internações = 2,19*Umidade - 1,60*PM2.5 - 0,23*Precipitação) explicou em 84% as internações por doenças respiratórias em ...
OBJECTIVE To investigate the effects of fine particulate matter emitted through biomass burning on hospitalizations for respiratory diseases in children living in Manaus, Northern Brazil. METHODS Descriptive study with ecologic time series design carried out in Manaus from 2002 to 2009. Hospital admission data were obtained from the Unified Health System database. PM2.5 levels were estimated using aerosol remote sensing through the measurement of aerosol optical depth at a wavelength of 550 nm. Statistical methods were used in the data analysis, with Pearson correlation and multiple linear regression between variables, with a 95% confidence interval. RESULTS The region of Manaus showed low PM2.5 concentrations when compared to the Southern Amazonian region. Between August and November (dry period in the region), was when the highest mean levels of PM2.5, estimated between 18 to 23 µg/m3, and the largest number of fires were observed. For the rainy season, an average of 12 µg/m3, 66% lower than the dry season measurements (20.6 µg/m3) was observed. The highest rates of hospitalization were observed during the rainy season and April was the month with the highest levels at 2.51/1,000 children. A positive association between hospital admissions and relative humidity (R = 0.126; p-value = 0.005) was observed, while the association between admissions and PM2.5 was negative and statistically significant (R = -0.168; p-value = 0.003). The R 2 of the final model (Hospitalizations = 2.19*Humidity - 1.60*PM2.5 - 0.23*Precipitation) explained 84% of hospitalizations due to respiratory disease in children living in Manaus, considering the independent variables statistically significant (humidity, PM2.5, and precipitation). CONCLUSIONS Hospital admissions for respiratory diseases in children in Manaus, were more related to weather conditions and in ...