Overview of Noninvasive Prenatal Testing (NIPT) for the Detection of Fetal Chromosome Abnormalities; Differences in Laboratory Methods and Scope of Testing.

Although nearly all noninvasive prenatal testing is currently based on analyzing circulating maternal cell-free DNA, the technical methods usedvary considerably. We review the different methods. Based on validation trials and clinical experience, there are mostly relatively small differences in screening performance for trisomies 21, 18, and 13 in singleton pregnancies. Recent reports show low no-call rates for all methods, diminishing its importance when choosing a laboratory. However, method can be an important consideration for twin pregnancies, screening for sex chromosome abnormalities, microdeletion syndromes, triploidy, molar pregnancies, rare autosomal trisomies, and segmental imbalances, and detecting maternal chromosome abnormalities.

Cholelithiasis is an additional pre-pregnancy clinical risk factor for preeclampsia.

PURPOSE: To investigate additional potential clinical risk factors for preeclampsia. METHODS: This is a nested case-control study of preeclampsia and unaffected pregnancies. Cases were either from a prenatal screening database or from a national network of clinicians, and controls were from the same prenatal source. Preeclampsia was defined by international criteria which were endorsed by the Ukraine Ministry of Health. Questionnaires were used to record a range of pregnancy related factors, personal history of health conditions and family history, followed by a telephone interview to collect more details. RESULTS: There were 103 cases, 56 from the prenatal database and 47 from the clinicians, and 480 controls from the database. The two types of case did not differ in terms of age, weight, BMI or parity. Known risk factors were more common in cases than controls. In addition there was a 17-fold higher prevalence of cholelithiasis in cases compared with controls (29.1% versus 1.7%), a highly statistically significant difference (P < 0.0001). There was also an 8.8-fold increase among the mothers of cases and controls (P < 0.0001), and if either the patient or her mother had the disease the increase was 6.4-fold (P < 0.0001). Including the father or sibling did not increase the relative risk. CONCLUSION: Cholelithiasis is a clinical risk factor for preeclampsia which has not previously been reported. If confirmed by additional studies it may have utility in routine prenatal screening and provide insight into the pathogenesis of preeclampsia.

Consequences of imprecision in fetal fraction estimation on performance of cell-free DNA screening for Down syndrome.

BACKGROUND: There is a significant variability in reported fetal fraction (FF), a common cause for no-calls in cell-free (cf)DNA based non-invasive prenatal screening. We examine the effect of imprecision in FF measurement on the performance of cfDNA screening for Down syndrome, when low FF samples are classified as no-calls. METHODS: A model for the reported FF was constructed from the FF measurement precision and the underlying true FF. The model was used to predict singleton Down syndrome detection rates (DRs) for various FF cut-offs and underlying discriminatory powers of the test. RESULTS: Increasing the FF cut-off led to slightly increased apparent DR, when no-calls are excluded, and an associated larger decrease in effective DR, when no-calls are included. These effects were smaller for tests with higher discriminatory power and larger as maternal weight increased. CONCLUSIONS: Most no-calls due to a low reported FF have a true FF above the cut-off. The discriminatory power of a test limits its effective DR and FF precision determines the tradeoff between apparent and effective DR when low FF is used to discard samples. Tests with high discriminatory power do not benefit from current FF measurements.

Modified multiple marker aneuploidy screening as a primary screening test for preeclampsia.

BACKGROUND: Abnormal levels of maternal biochemical markers used in multiple marker aneuploidy screening have been associated with adverse pregnancy outcomes. This study aims to assess if a combination of maternal characteristics and biochemical markers in the first and second trimesters can be used to screen for preeclampsia (PE). The secondary aim was to assess this combination in identifying pregnancies at risk for gestational hypertension and preterm birth. METHODS: This case-control study used information on maternal characteristics and residual blood samples from pregnant women who have undergone multiple marker aneuploidy screening. The median multiple of the median (MoM) of first and second trimester biochemical markers in cases (women with PE, gestational hypertension and preterm birth) and controls were compared. Biochemical markers included pregnancy-associated plasma protein A (PAPP-A), placental growth factor (PlGF), human chorionic gonadotropin (hCG), alpha feto-protein (AFP), unconjugated estriol (uE3) and Inhibin A. Logistic regression analysis was used to estimate screening performance using different marker combinations. Screening performance was defined as detection rate (DR) and false positive rate (FPR). Preterm and early-onset preeclampsia PE were defined as women with PE who delivered at < 37 and < 34 weeks of gestation, respectively. RESULTS: There were 147 pregnancies with PE (81 term, 49 preterm and 17 early-onset), 295 with gestational hypertension, and 166 preterm birth. Compared to controls, PE cases had significantly lower median MoM of PAPP-A (0.77 vs 1.10, p < 0.0001), PlGF (0.76 vs 1.01, p < 0.0001) and free-ß hCG (0.81 vs. 0.98, p < 0.001) in the first trimester along with PAPP-A (0.82 vs 0.99, p < 0.01) and PlGF (0.75 vs 1.02, p < 0.0001) in the second trimester. The lowest first trimester PAPP-A, PlGF and free ß-hCG were seen in those with preterm and early-onset PE. At a 20% FPR, 67% of preterm and 76% of early-onset PE cases can be predicted using a combination of maternal characteristics with PAPP-A and PlGF in the first trimester. The corresponding DR was 58% for gestational hypertension and 36% for preterm birth cases. CONCLUSIONS: Maternal characteristics with first trimester PAPP-A and PlGF measured for aneuploidy screening provided reasonable accuracy in identifying women at risk of developing early onset PE, allowing triage of high-risk women for further investigation and risk-reducing therapy. This combination was less accurate in predicting women who have gestational hypertension or preterm birth.

Cost of providing cell-free DNA screening for Down syndrome in Finland using different strategies.

OBJECTIVES: A financial analysis is carried out to assess costs and benefits of providing cell-free DNA screening in Finland, using different strategies. METHODS: Three cell-free DNA screening strategies are considered: Primary, all women; Secondary, those with positive Combined test; and Contingent, the 10-30% with the highest Combined test risks. Three costs are estimated: additional cost for 10,000 pregnancies compared with the Combined test; 'marginal' cost of avoiding a Down syndrome birth which occurs in a pregnancy that would have been false-negative using the Combined test; and marginal cost of preventing the iatrogenic loss of a non-Down syndrome birth which occurs in a pregnancy that would have been false-positive. RESULTS: Primary cell-free DNA will require additional funds of €250,000. The marginal cost per Down syndrome birth avoided is considerably less than the lifetime medical and indirect cost; the marginal cost per unaffected iatrogenic fetal loss prevented is higher than one benefit measure but lower than another. If the ultrasound component of the Combined test is retained, as would be in Finland, the additional funds required rise to €992,000. Secondary cell-free DNA is cost-saving as is a Contingent strategy with 10% selected but whilst when 20-30% costs rise they are much less than for the Primary strategy and are cost-beneficial. CONCLUSIONS: When considering the place of cell-free DNA screening it is important to make explicit the additional and marginal costs of different screening strategies and the associated benefits. Under most assumptions the balance is favorable for Contingent screening.

Maternal age in the epidemiology of common autosomal trisomies.

The birth prevalence rate of each common autosomal trisomy generally increases with advancing maternal age and there is a substantial fetal loss rate between late first trimester and term. The literature is reviewed in order to provide the best estimates of these rates, taking account where possible of biases due to prenatal diagnosis and selective termination of pregnancy. There is an almost exponential increase in Down syndrome birth prevalence between ages 15 and 45 but at older ages the curve flattens. There is no evidence of the claimed relatively high birth prevalence at extremely low ages. Gestation-specific intra-uterine fetal loss rates are estimated by follow-up of women declining termination of pregnancy after prenatal diagnosis, comparison of observed rates with those expected from birth prevalence and comparison of age-specific curves developed for prenatal diagnosis and birth. Down syndrome fetal loss rates reduce with gestation and increase with maternal age. Edwards and Patau syndrome birth prevalence is approximately 1/8 and 1/13 that of Down syndrome overall, although the ratio differs according to maternal age, particularly for Patau syndrome where it reduces steadily from 1/9 to 1/19. Fetal loss rates are higher for Edwards and Patau syndromes than for Down syndrome.

Review of epidemiological factors (other than maternal age) that determine the prevalence of common autosomal trisomies.

The birth prevalence of each common autosomal trisomy (21, 18 and 13) increases with advancing maternal age and this is the most important epidemiological risk factor. Prevalence during pregnancy is also dependent on gestational age. Other factors claimed to influence prevalence include paternal age, ethnicity, family history, premature reproductive aging, parity, twinning, smoking, environmental exposures, maternal medical conditions, and predispositions. We review the evidence for these associations since they may provide insights into causal mechanisms. When investigating potential co-factors it is important to adequately allow for maternal age and minimize its confounding contribution. This is well illustrated by reports of an inverse paternal age effect where there is strong correlation between parental ages. Gestational age at diagnosis, availability of prenatal screening, diagnostic testing, and elective termination of affected pregnancies and healthcare disparities also confound the studies on ethnicity, medical conditions, and predispositions or environmental factors. Data from twin zygosity studies demonstrate the importance of differences in fetal viability for affected pregnancies. We conclude that existing epidemiological evidence for most of the co-factors discussed should currently be considered tenuous; history of Down syndrome, albeit biased, may be an exception. The co-factors may yet provide clues to hitherto poorly understood causal pathways.

The origins of aneuploidy research consortium.

The presence of high levels of aneuploidy in oocytes and early embryos and their fate is of considerable scientific and clinical importance. The Origins of Aneuploidy Research Consortium (OARC) was established to promote interdisciplinary communication and collaborative research into this topic. Under the umbrella of OARC, a series of papers has now been published in this Special Issue of Prenatal Diagnosis. Recent studies have transformed the view that aneuploidy is usually attributable to meiotic non-disjunction. The molecular basis for the association between meiotic error and maternal age is becoming understood. The clinical significance of mitotic instability in the earliest cells divisions of the embryo is also becoming clearer. An error in the segregation of one or more whole chromosomes from a parent does not invariably result in a non-viable pregnancy or an abnormal outcome. Epidemiologic data allows an assessment of in utero viability, the effect of maternal age, and secondary factors that may affect aneuploidy prevalence. We advocate careful use of nomenclature and revision of educational materials to more accurately explain the complex and often nuanced mechanisms. OARC plans to hold additional workshops, promote additional publications and offer educational resources.

Cell-free DNA screening for fetal aneuploidy using the rolling circle method: A step towards non invasive prenatal testing simplification.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the efficacy of cell-free (cf)DNA screening for aneuploidy using the automated system based on rolling circle replication. METHODS: A prospective study among women referred for invasive prenatal diagnosis between July 2018 and December 2019. The plasma fraction was extracted within 5 days from blood collection, stored at -20°C and cfDNA measured between January and December 2019. RESULTS: A total of 805 women were recruited; 778 with singleton pregnancies and 27 twins. There were 48 Down syndrome, 25 Edwards syndrome and 3 Patau syndrome cases. Overall, the no-call rate was 2.6% (95% confidence interval 1.6%-3.9%) which reduced from 4.7% to 1.1% after relocation of the system (p < 0.002) to ensure a constant ambient temperature below 25°C. In singletons the Down syndrome detection rate (DR) was 100% (93%-100%) and false-positive rate (FPR) 0.14% (0.00%-0.79%). The Edwards syndrome DR was 96% (80%-100%) and FPR 0.78% (0.29%-1.7%). One false-positive had a confined placental trisomy 18 and the remaining five a z-score requiring sample repetition; all the false-positives occurred before system relocation (p < 0.005). Patau syndrome DR and FPR were 67% (9.4%-99%) and 0.26% (0.03%-0.95%). CONCLUSION: The cfDNA rolling circle method yields similar results to other methods provided that room temperature is adequately controlled.

Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on Excess Perinatal Mortality and Morbidity in Israel.

OBJECTIVE: The 2020 COVID-19 pandemic has been associated with excess mortality and morbidity in adults and teenagers over 14 years of age, but there is still limited evidence on the direct and indirect impact of the pandemic on pregnancy. We aimed to evaluate the effect of the first wave of the COVID-19 pandemic on obstetrical emergency attendance in a low-risk population and the corresponding perinatal outcomes. STUDY DESIGN: This is a single center retrospective cohort study of all singleton births between February 21 and April 30. Prenatal emergency labor ward admission numbers and obstetric outcomes during the peak of the first COVID-19 pandemic of 2020 in Israel were compared with the combined corresponding periods for the years 2017 to 2019. RESULTS: During the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic, the mean number of prenatal emergency labor ward admissions was lower, both by daily count and per woman, in comparison to the combined matching periods in 2017, 2018, and 2019 (48.6 ± 12.2 vs. 57.8 ± 14.4, p < 0.0001 and 1.74 ± 1.1 vs. 1.92 ± 1.2, p < 0.0001, respectively). A significantly (p = 0.0370) higher rate of stillbirth was noted in the study group (0.4%) compared with the control group (0.1%). All study group patients were negative for COVID-19. Gestational age at delivery, rates of premature delivery at <28, 34, and 37 weeks, pregnancy complications, postdate delivery at >40 and 41 weeks, mode of delivery, and numbers of emergency cesarean deliveries were similar in both groups. There was no difference in the intrapartum fetal death rate between the groups. CONCLUSION: The COVID-19 pandemic stay-at-home policy combined with patient fear of contracting the disease in hospital could explain the associated higher rate of stillbirth. This collateral perinatal damage follows a decreased in prenatal emergency labor ward admissions during the first wave of COVID-19 in Israel. KEY POINTS: · Less obstetrical ER attendance is observed during the pandemic.. · There is a parallel increase in stillbirth rate.. · Stillbirth cases tested negative for COVID-19.. · Lockdown and pandemic panic are possible causes..

Effect of mammographic screening from age 40 years on breast cancer mortality (UK Age trial): final results of a randomised, controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: The appropriate age range for breast cancer screening remains a matter of debate. We aimed to estimate the effect of mammographic screening at ages 40-48 years on breast cancer mortality. METHODS: We did a randomised, controlled trial involving 23 breast screening units across Great Britain. We randomly assigned women aged 39-41 years, using individual randomisation, stratified by general practice, in a 1:2 ratio, to yearly mammographic screening from the year of inclusion in the trial up to and including the calendar year that they reached age 48 years (intervention group), or to standard care of no screening until the invitation to their first National Health Service Breast Screening Programme (NHSBSP) screen at approximately age 50 years (control group). Women in the intervention group were recruited by postal invitation. Women in the control group were unaware of the study. The primary endpoint was mortality from breast cancers (with breast cancer coded as the underlying cause of death) diagnosed during the intervention period, before the participant's first NHSBSP screen. To study the timing of the mortality effect, we analysed the results in different follow-up periods. Women were included in the primary comparison regardless of compliance with randomisation status (intention-to-treat analysis). This Article reports on long-term follow-up analysis. The trial is registered with the ISRCTN registry, ISRCTN24647151. FINDINGS: 160 921 women were recruited between Oct 14, 1990, and Sept 24, 1997. 53 883 women (33·5%) were randomly assigned to the intervention group and 106 953 (66·5%) to the control group. Between randomisation and Feb 28, 2017, women were followed up for a median of 22·8 years (IQR 21·8-24·0). We observed a significant reduction in breast cancer mortality at 10 years of follow-up, with 83 breast cancer deaths in the intervention group versus 219 in the control group (relative rate [RR] 0·75 [95% CI 0·58-0·97]; p=0·029). No significant reduction was observed thereafter, with 126 deaths versus 255 deaths occurring after more than 10 years of follow-up (RR 0·98 [0·79-1·22]; p=0·86). INTERPRETATION: Yearly mammography before age 50 years, commencing at age 40 or 41 years, was associated with a relative reduction in breast cancer mortality, which was attenuated after 10 years, although the absolute reduction remained constant. Reducing the lower age limit for screening from 50 to 40 years could potentially reduce breast cancer mortality. FUNDING: National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme.

Spina bifida screening in the first trimester using ultrasound biparietal diameter measurement adjusted for crown-rump length or abdominal circumference.

OBJECTIVE: Compare the performance of first trimester ultrasound biparietal diameter (BPD) screening for open spina bifida (OSB) when BPD is adjusted for crown-rump length (CRL) or abdominal circumference (AC). METHODS: For 63 OSB and 24 265 unaffected pregnancies, BPD was expressed as multiple of the normal median (MoM) based on CRL and on AC, and as the ratio BPD/AC. Screening performance was assessed by the Mahalanobis distance, the observed detection rate with normal fifth and 10th percentile cut-offs and the area under the receiver-operator characteristic curve (AUC). RESULTS: Mahalanobis distance for BPD MoM was considerably higher when based on AC than on CRL: 1.69 versus 1.14. Screening performance was also higher: using a fifth percentile cut-off, the detection rate was 59% compared with 41%; using a 10th percentile cut-off, the rates were 63% and 51%. Whilst the false-positives rates were slightly higher too-5.3% versus 5.1% and 10.8% versus 9.9%-the AUC was statistically significantly higher: 0.872 (95% CI, 0.816-0.928) compared with 0.735 (95% CI, 0.664-0.806). BPD/AC had intermediate performance. CONCLUSION: The best results are obtained when AC, rather than CRL, is used to express BPD values in MoMs. First trimester OSB screening can detect half to two-thirds of cases.

First-Trimester Abdominal Circumference (Versus Crown Rump Length) Improves Precision in Inter- and Intraobserver Variability.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to evaluate inter- and intraobserver variability of first-trimester biometric measurements and crown-rump length (CRL) and to compare the accuracy and precision of CRL with these biometric measurements used in the interpretation of first-trimester nuchal translucency (NT). METHODS: Women presenting for a first trimester ultrasound were recruited. Both a sonographer, and a maternal fetal medicine specialist individually examined each participant. Each examiner obtained three independent measurements of CRL, a standardized set of biometric measurements (biparietal diameter, occipitofrontal diameter, head circumference, abdominal circumference, humerus length, and femur length), and an NT between 11 0/7 and 13 6/7 weeks of gestation. Biometry-specific expected NT values were calculated using linear and quadratic regression models and were used to convert results into multiples of the median. RESULTS: Fetal biometric measurements, CRL, and NT measurements were obtained in 356 consecutive pregnancies with singleton fetuses. CRL demonstrated the least intra- and interobserver variability as demonstrated by the smallest coefficient of variance. However, abdominal circumference and head circumference were not statistically different from CRL variance. CRL and abdominal circumference showed the smallest standard deviation when calculating multiples of the median for NT interpretation. CONCLUSION: First-trimester abdominal circumference demonstrates the most intra- and interobserver precision for dating and calculating NT multiples of the median, which could potentially be useful with obesity and in any setting with technical limitations of sonography.

Maternal serum screening marker levels in twin pregnancies affected by gestational diabetes.

PURPOSE: To investigate the levels of maternal serum screening markers in the first and second trimester twin pregnancies, which subsequently developed gestational diabetes mellitus (GDM). METHODS: 145 twin pregnancies were recruited in the first trimester. Stored blood samples were retrospectively tested for pregnancy-associated plasma protein (PAPP)-A, human chorionic gonadotrophin (hCG), placental growth factor (PlGF), placental protein (PP)13, α-fetoprotein (aFP) and inhibin A. Values were expressed in multiples of the gestation-specific median (MoMs) in singletons, adjusted for maternal weight and parity, as appropriate. RESULTS: Twenty samples of first and second trimester were available from 11 twins who subsequently developed GDM and 219 samples from unaffected twins. The median PAPP-A level in the affected twins was 3.61 MoM compared with 2.46 MoM in unaffected twins (P < 0.001, Wilcoxon rank sum test, two tailed); significant results were found in both trimesters. The median PP13 was also increased but to a lesser extent. It was only statistically significant overall (P < 0.05) and in second trimester samples (P < 0.02). No other marker differed significantly. Logistic regression found that combining PAPP-A and maternal weight had a 55% detection rate for a 10% false-positive rate. CONCLUSIONS: Early prenatal marker evaluation in twin pregnancies can be also useful for predicting the risk for developing GDM and should be further investigated.

Down's syndrome screening at 11-14 weeks' gestation using prenasal thickness and nasal bone length.

PURPOSE: To perform a multicenter prospective study of ultrasound prenasal thickness (PT), and nasal bone length (NBL) measurement at 11-14 weeks' gestation. METHODS: Ultrasound PT and NBL determination was performed in 504 normal fetuses and 17 fetuses with Down's syndrome (DS). Measurements were made from mid-sagittal 2D images acquired using a standardized technique during nuchal translucency (NT) examination. PT and NBL values were expressed in multiples of the gestation-specific normal median (MoM) and as the PT/NBL ratio. Information on PT and NBL MoMs was also combined using logistic regression. Results were classified as positive according to whether they were greater than the normal 95th centile for PT, PT/NBL and the DS risk from logistic regression equation or below the 5th centile for NBL. RESULTS: The median value in DS cases and unaffected controls were: PT 1.26 and 0.996 MoM; and NBL 0.596 and 0.993 MoM. The proportion of DS fetuses with positive results was 41% for PT, 65% for NBL, and 82% for both the PT/NBL ratio and DS risk from the logistic regression equation. PT/NBL levels did not vary according to gestational age. CONCLUSION: The PT/NBL ratio is a valuable first trimester DS screening marker that can be easily determined concomitant with the NT measurement.

Cell-free DNA analysis for noninvasive examination of trisomy.

BACKGROUND: Cell-free DNA (cfDNA) testing for fetal trisomy is highly effective among high-risk women. However, there have been few direct, well-powered studies comparing cfDNA testing with standard screening during the first trimester in routine prenatal populations. METHODS: In this prospective, multicenter, blinded study conducted at 35 international centers, we assigned pregnant women presenting for aneuploidy screening at 10 to 14 weeks of gestation to undergo both standard screening (with measurement of nuchal translucency and biochemical analytes) and cfDNA testing. Participants received the results of standard screening; the results of cfDNA testing were blinded. Determination of the birth outcome was based on diagnostic genetic testing or newborn examination. The primary outcome was the area under the receiver-operating-characteristic curve (AUC) for trisomy 21 (Down's syndrome) with cfDNA testing versus standard screening. We also evaluated cfDNA testing and standard screening to assess the risk of trisomies 18 and 13. RESULTS: Of 18,955 women who were enrolled, results from 15,841 were available for analysis. The mean maternal age was 30.7 years, and the mean gestational age at testing was 12.5 weeks. The AUC for trisomy 21 was 0.999 for cfDNA testing and 0.958 for standard screening (P=0.001). Trisomy 21 was detected in 38 of 38 women (100%; 95% confidence interval [CI], 90.7 to 100) in the cfDNA-testing group, as compared with 30 of 38 women (78.9%; 95% CI, 62.7 to 90.4) in the standard-screening group (P=0.008). False positive rates were 0.06% (95% CI, 0.03 to 0.11) in the cfDNA group and 5.4% (95% CI, 5.1 to 5.8) in the standard-screening group (P<0.001). The positive predictive value for cfDNA testing was 80.9% (95% CI, 66.7 to 90.9), as compared with 3.4% (95% CI, 2.3 to 4.8) for standard screening (P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In this large, routine prenatal-screening population, cfDNA testing for trisomy 21 had higher sensitivity, a lower false positive rate, and higher positive predictive value than did standard screening with the measurement of nuchal translucency and biochemical analytes. (Funded by Ariosa Diagnostics and Perinatal Quality Foundation; NEXT ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT01511458.).

Enhanced First Trimester Aneuploidy Screening with Placental Growth Factor and Alpha Feto-Protein: Detection of Trisomies 18 and 13.

OBJECTIVES: To assess the performance of first trimester combined screening (FTS) when enhanced with placental growth factor and alpha feto-protein in the detection of trisomies 18 and 13. METHODS: A retrospective case-control study. Marker parameters were derived using frozen serum samples. Multivariate Gaussian modelling predicted the detection rate (DR) and false-positive rate (FPR) for trisomies 18 and 13 with FTS and enhanced first trimester screening (eFTS) using the risk of trisomy 21 alone and an additional risk cut-off for trisomy 18, or trisomies 18 or 13. RESULTS: There were 83 trisomy 18, 22 trisomy 13, and 588 controls. The median placental growth factor levels in trisomies 18 and 13 were 0.75 and 0.65 multiple of the median of controls, respectively (both P < 0.0001). There were no statistically significant differences in alpha feto-protein levels. Modelling predicts that using a trisomy 21 risk cut-off alone, at FPR of 3%, eFTS increases the DR for trisomies 18 and 13 by 0.6-0.8% compared with FTS. Additionally using a trisomy 18 risk cut-off, at an extra FPR of 0.2%, eFTS increased the DR by 0.6-0.9% over FTS; using a trisomy 18 or 13 risk cut-off did not further increase detection for FTS or eFTS. The increase in DR was greater at higher FPR. CONCLUSION: eFTS increases the detection of trisomies 18 and 13 to a small extent.

Incorporating thyroid markers in Down syndrome screening protocols.

OBJECTIVE: The article aimed to assess the benefit of incorporating maternal serum thyroid disease marker levels (thyroid-stimulating hormone and free thyroxine) into first trimester Down syndrome screening protocols. METHODS: Statistical modelling was used to predict performance with and without the thyroid markers. Two protocols were considered: the combined test and the contingent cell-free DNA (cfDNA) test, where 15-40% women are selected for cfDNA because of increased risk based on combined test results. Published parameters were used for the combined test, cfDNA and the Down syndrome means for thyroid-stimulating hormone and free thyroxine; other parameters were derived from a series of 5230 women screened for both thyroid disease and Down syndrome. RESULTS: Combined test: For a fixed 85% detection rate, the predicted false positive rate was reduced from 5.3% to 3.6% with the addition of the thyroid markers. Contingent cfDNA test: For a fixed 95% detection rate, the proportion of women selected for cfDNA was reduced from 25.6% to 20.2%. CONCLUSIONS: When screening simultaneously for maternal thyroid disease and Down syndrome, thyroid marker levels should be used in the calculation of Down syndrome risk. The benefit is modest but can be achieved with no additional cost. © 2017 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.