RESUMO
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Decision-making on the use of neoadjuvant and adjuvant treatment for patients with bladder cancer undergoing radical cystectomy (RC) currently depends on assessment of clinical and pathological features, which lack sensitivity. Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) has emerged as a possible novel prognostic biomarker in the field. Our aim was to assess whether ctDNA status before RC is predictive of pathological and oncological outcomes. We also evaluated the dynamic changes in ctDNA status after RC in relation to recurrence-free survival (RFS). METHODS: We analyzed data for patients who underwent RC during 2021-2023 for whom prospective tumor-informed ctDNA analyses were conducted before and after RC. RFS was evaluated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Predictors for disease recurrence were assessed using Cox proportional-hazards models. Pathological outcomes associated with detectable ctDNA before RC were assessed in univariable and multivariable regression analyses. KEY FINDINGS AND LIMITATIONS: We included 112 patients in the analysis. Median follow-up was 8 mo (interquartile range 4-13). ctDNA was detected before RC in 59 patients (53%) and was associated with poor RFS (log-rank p < 0.0001). Detectable ctDNA before RC was associated with poor outcomes regardless of clinical stage (
RESUMO
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Despite curative-intent radical cystectomy (RC), patients with muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC) are at high risk of recurrence. Biomarkers are urgently needed to refine prognostication and selection of appropriate perioperative systemic therapies. Our aim was to evaluate the prognostic and predictive value of tumor-informed circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) results in a multicenter cohort of patients with bladder cancer who underwent RC. METHODS: We performed a retrospective analysis of real-world data for a commercial ctDNA test (Signatera; Natera, Austin, TX, USA) performed in 167 patients (852 plasma samples) before RC and during molecular residual disease (MRD; adjuvant decision) and surveillance windows. We assessed the correlation between recurrence and ctDNA status before and after RC using Cox regression analysis. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS: During study-defined postoperative MRD and surveillance windows, detectable ctDNA was associated with shorter disease-free survival (DFS) when compared to undetectable ctDNA (MRD: hazard ratio 6.93; p < 0.001; surveillance: hazard ratio 23.02; p < 0.001). Of note, patients with undetectable ctDNA did not appear to benefit from adjuvant therapy (p = 0.34). Detectable ctDNA in the pre-RC (p = 0.045), MRD (p = 0.002), and surveillance (p < 0.001) windows was the only risk factor independently associated with shorter DFS. Limitations include the retrospective and nonrandomized nature of the study. CONCLUSIONS: ctDNA testing in patients with bladder cancer undergoing RC was prognostic and potentially predictive. Identification of patients at high risk of recurrence may aid in patient counseling and decision-making. PATIENT SUMMARY: We found that outcomes for patients with muscle-invasive bladder cancer are strongly linked to detection of tumor DNA in blood samples. The results show the value of tumor-informed testing for tumor DNA in blood for decisions on the best treatment for each individual patient.