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1.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 29(1): 1-9, 2023 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36573642

RESUMO

During the 10th outbreak of Ebola virus disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, the Institut National de Recherche Biomédicale strategically positioned 13 decentralized field laboratories with dedicated equipment to quickly detect cases as the outbreak evolved. The laboratories were operated by national staff, who quickly handed over competencies and skills to local persons to successfully manage future outbreaks. Laboratories analyzed ≈230,000 Ebola diagnostic samples under stringent biosafety measures, documentation, and database management. Field laboratories diversified their activities (diagnosis, chemistry and hematology, survivor follow-up, and genomic sequencing) and shipped 127,993 samples from the field to a biorepository in Kinshasa under good conditions. Deploying decentralized and well-equipped laboratories run by local personnel in at-risk countries for Ebola virus disease outbreaks is an efficient response; all activities are quickly conducted in the field.


Assuntos
Ebolavirus , Doença pelo Vírus Ebola , Humanos , Doença pelo Vírus Ebola/diagnóstico , Doença pelo Vírus Ebola/epidemiologia , Doença pelo Vírus Ebola/prevenção & controle , Ebolavirus/genética , Laboratórios , República Democrática do Congo/epidemiologia , Surtos de Doenças
2.
J Infect Dis ; 226(3): 420-430, 2022 08 26.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32614451

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Hepatitis C virus (HCV) screening is critical to HCV elimination efforts. Simplified diagnostics are required for low-resource settings and difficult-to-reach populations. This retrospective study assessed performance of rapid diagnostic tests (RDTs) for detection of HCV antibodies. METHODS: Two lots of 13 RDTs were evaluated at 3 laboratories using archived plasma samples from 4 countries (Nigeria, Georgia, Cambodia, and Belgium). HCV status was determined using 3 reference tests according to a composite algorithm. Sensitivity and specificity were evaluated in HIV-infected and HIV-uninfected populations. Operational characteristics were also assessed. RESULTS: In total, 1710 samples met inclusion criteria. In HIV-uninfected samples (n = 384), the majority of RDTs had sensitivity ≥98% in 1 or both lots and most RDTs had specificity ≥99%. In HIV-infected samples (n = 264), specificity remained high but sensitivity was markedly lower than in HIV-uninfected samples; only 1 RDT reached >95%. The majority of HIV-infected samples for which sensitivity was low did not have detectable HCV viral load/core antigen. Interreader variability, lot-to-lot variability, and rate of invalid runs were low for all RDTs (<2%). CONCLUSIONS: HCV RDTs should be evaluated in the intended target population, as sensitivity can be impacted by population factors such as HIV status. CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION: NCT04033887.


Assuntos
Infecções por HIV , Hepatite C , Humanos , Hepacivirus , Testes Diagnósticos de Rotina , Laboratórios , Estudos Retrospectivos , Hepatite C/complicações , Hepatite C/diagnóstico , Anticorpos Anti-Hepatite C , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia
3.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 28(2): 420-424, 2022 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35076001

RESUMO

After a pilot study, we tested 443 cadavers using OraQuick Ebola rapid diagnostic tests during surveillance after the 10th Ebola outbreak in the Democratic Republic of the Congo. No false negative and 2% false-positive results were reported. Quickly returning results and engaging the community enabled timely public health actions.


Assuntos
Ebolavirus , Doença pelo Vírus Ebola , República Democrática do Congo/epidemiologia , Testes Diagnósticos de Rotina , Surtos de Doenças , Doença pelo Vírus Ebola/diagnóstico , Doença pelo Vírus Ebola/epidemiologia , Humanos , Projetos Piloto
5.
N Engl J Med ; 374(1): 33-42, 2016 Jan 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26735992

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: In the wake of the recent outbreak of Ebola virus disease (EVD) in several African countries, the World Health Organization prioritized the evaluation of treatment with convalescent plasma derived from patients who have recovered from the disease. We evaluated the safety and efficacy of convalescent plasma for the treatment of EVD in Guinea. METHODS: In this nonrandomized, comparative study, 99 patients of various ages (including pregnant women) with confirmed EVD received two consecutive transfusions of 200 to 250 ml of ABO-compatible convalescent plasma, with each unit of plasma obtained from a separate convalescent donor. The transfusions were initiated on the day of diagnosis or up to 2 days later. The level of neutralizing antibodies against Ebola virus in the plasma was unknown at the time of administration. The control group was 418 patients who had been treated at the same center during the previous 5 months. The primary outcome was the risk of death during the period from 3 to 16 days after diagnosis with adjustments for age and the baseline cycle-threshold value on polymerase-chain-reaction assay; patients who had died before day 3 were excluded. The clinically important difference was defined as an absolute reduction in mortality of 20 percentage points in the convalescent-plasma group as compared with the control group. RESULTS: A total of 84 patients who were treated with plasma were included in the primary analysis. At baseline, the convalescent-plasma group had slightly higher cycle-threshold values and a shorter duration of symptoms than did the control group, along with a higher frequency of eye redness and difficulty in swallowing. From day 3 to day 16 after diagnosis, the risk of death was 31% in the convalescent-plasma group and 38% in the control group (risk difference, -7 percentage points; 95% confidence interval [CI], -18 to 4). The difference was reduced after adjustment for age and cycle-threshold value (adjusted risk difference, -3 percentage points; 95% CI, -13 to 8). No serious adverse reactions associated with the use of convalescent plasma were observed. CONCLUSIONS: The transfusion of up to 500 ml of convalescent plasma with unknown levels of neutralizing antibodies in 84 patients with confirmed EVD was not associated with a significant improvement in survival. (Funded by the European Union's Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation Program and others; ClinicalTrials.gov number, NCT02342171.).


Assuntos
Transfusão de Componentes Sanguíneos , Doença pelo Vírus Ebola/terapia , Plasma , Adolescente , Adulto , Anticorpos Neutralizantes/sangue , Transfusão de Componentes Sanguíneos/efeitos adversos , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Convalescença , Ebolavirus/imunologia , Feminino , Guiné , Doença pelo Vírus Ebola/mortalidade , Humanos , Lactente , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Razão de Chances , Plasma/imunologia , Gravidez , Adulto Jovem
6.
BMC Infect Dis ; 17(1): 674, 2017 10 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-29020943

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: A recently published Ugandan study on tuberculosis (TB) diagnosis in HIV-positive patients with presumptive smear-negative TB, which showed that out of 90 patients who started TB treatment, 20% (18/90) had a positive Xpert MTB/RIF (Xpert) test, 24% (22/90) had a negative Xpert test, and 56% (50/90) were started without Xpert testing. Although Xpert testing was available, clinicians did not use it systematically. Here we aim to show more objectively the process of clinical decision-making. First, we estimated that pre-test probability of TB, or the prevalence of TB in smear-negative HIV infected patients with signs of presumptive TB in Uganda, was 17%. Second, we argue that the treatment threshold, the probability of disease at which the utility of treating and not treating is the same, and above which treatment should be started, should be determined. In Uganda, the treatment threshold was not yet formally established. In Rwanda, the calculated treatment threshold was 12%. Hence, one could argue that the threshold was reached without even considering additional tests. Still, Xpert testing can be useful when the probability of disease is above the treatment threshold, but only when a negative Xpert result can lower the probability of disease enough to cross the treatment threshold. This occurs when the pre-test probability is lower than the test-treat threshold, the probability of disease at which the utility of testing and the utility of treating without testing is the same. We estimated that the test-treatment threshold was 28%. Finally, to show the effect of the presence or absence of arguments on the probability of TB, we use confirming and excluding power, and a log10 odds scale to combine arguments. CONCLUSION: If the pre-test probability is above the test-treat threshold, empirical treatment is justified, because even a negative Xpert will not lower the post-test probability below the treatment threshold. However, Xpert testing for the diagnosis of TB should be performed in patients for whom the probability of TB was lower than the test-treat threshold. Especially in resource constrained settings clinicians should be encouraged to take clinical decisions and use scarce resources rationally.


Assuntos
Bioensaio/métodos , Tuberculose/diagnóstico , Infecções Oportunistas Relacionadas com a AIDS/microbiologia , Bioensaio/estatística & dados numéricos , Tomada de Decisões , Soropositividade para HIV , Humanos , Prevalência , Probabilidade , Ruanda/epidemiologia , Tuberculose/tratamento farmacológico , Tuberculose/epidemiologia , Uganda/epidemiologia
7.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 22(12)2016 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27869610

RESUMO

By using data from a 2015 clinical trial on Ebola convalescent-phase plasma in Guinea, we assessed the prevalence of electrolyte and metabolic abnormalities at admission and their predictive value to stratify patients into risk groups. Patients underwent testing with a point-of-care device. We used logistic regression to construct a prognostic model and summarized the predictive value with the area under the receiver operating curve. Abnormalities were common among patients, particularly hypokalemia, hypocalcemia, hyponatremia, raised creatinine, high anion gap, and anemia. Besides age and PCR cycle threshold value, renal dysfunction, low calcium levels, and low hemoglobin levels were independently associated with increased risk for death. A prognostic model using all 5 factors was highly discriminatory (area under the receiver operating curve 0.95; 95% CI 0.90-0.99) and enabled the definition of risk criteria to guide targeted care. Most patients had a very low (<5%) or very high (>80%) risk for death.


Assuntos
Eletrólitos/metabolismo , Metabolismo Energético , Doença pelo Vírus Ebola/metabolismo , Adulto , Biomarcadores , Ensaios Clínicos como Assunto , Eletrólitos/sangue , Feminino , Guiné , Doença pelo Vírus Ebola/diagnóstico , Doença pelo Vírus Ebola/mortalidade , Doença pelo Vírus Ebola/terapia , Humanos , Masculino , Plasma , Sistemas Automatizados de Assistência Junto ao Leito , Gravidez , Prognóstico , Curva ROC , Índice de Gravidade de Doença , Adulto Jovem
8.
Clin Trials ; 13(1): 13-21, 2016 Feb.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-26768570

RESUMO

The Ebola virus disease outbreak in 2014-2015 led to a huge caseload with a high case fatality rate. No specific treatments were available beyond supportive care for conditions such as dehydration and shock. Evaluation of treatment with convalescent plasma from Ebola survivors was identified as a priority. We evaluated this intervention in an emergency setting, where randomization was unacceptable. The original trial design was an open-label study comparing patients receiving convalescent plasma and supportive care to patients receiving supportive care alone. The comparison group comprised patients recruited at the start of the trial before convalescent plasma became available, as well as patients presenting during the trial for whom there was insufficient blood group-compatible plasma or no staffing capacity to provide additional transfusions. However, during the trial, convalescent plasma was available to treat all new patients. The design was changed to use a comparator group comprising patients previously treated at the same Ebola treatment center prior to the start of the trial. In the analysis, it was planned to adjust for any differences in prognostic variables between intervention and comparison groups, specifically baseline polymerase chain reaction cycle threshold and age. In addition, adjustment was planned for other potential confounders, identified in the analysis, such as patient presenting symptoms and time to treatment seeking. Because plasma treatment started up to 3 days after diagnosis and we could not define a similar time-point for the comparator group, patients who died before the third day after confirmation of diagnosis were excluded from both intervention and comparison groups in a per-protocol analysis. Some patients received additional experimental treatments soon after plasma treatment, and these were excluded. We also analyzed mortality including all patients from the time of confirmed diagnosis, irrespective of whether those in the trial series actually received plasma, as an intention-to-treat analysis. Per-protocol and intention-to-treat approaches gave similar conclusions. An important caveat in the interpretation of the findings is that it is unlikely that all potential sources of confounding, such as any variation in supportive care over time, were eliminated. Protocols and electronic data capture systems have now been extensively field-tested for emergency evaluation of treatment with convalescent plasma. Ongoing studies seek to quantify the level of neutralizing antibodies in different plasma donations to determine whether this influences the response and survival of treated patients.


Assuntos
Transfusão de Componentes Sanguíneos , Ensaios Clínicos como Assunto/métodos , Convalescença , Doença pelo Vírus Ebola/terapia , Plasma , Projetos de Pesquisa , Protocolos Clínicos , Terapia Combinada , Surtos de Doenças , Guiné/epidemiologia , Doença pelo Vírus Ebola/epidemiologia , Humanos , Análise de Intenção de Tratamento
10.
JAMA Netw Open ; 6(6): e2319726, 2023 Jun 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37351882

RESUMO

Importance: The 2022 war in Ukraine severely affected access to health care for patients in the conflict-affected regions and limited options for medical evacuation. Air transport, a common method of medical evacuation in war zones, was unsafe due to the conflict of 2 modernized military forces that were in possession of aircraft and surface-to-air weapons; therefore, Médecins Sans Frontières, in collaboration with the Ukrainian railway company and Ukrainian health agencies, addressed this by initiating medical evacuation via medically customized trains. Objective: To describe the implementation of medical evacuation trains aimed at improving the access to health care for war-affected patients. Design, Setting, and Participants: This case series describes the remodeling of 2 trains used for medical evacuation in a conflict zone during the war in Ukraine. The study was conducted from March 30 to November 30, 2022. One train had minimal adjustments and could be rapidly deployed to address the most pressing humanitarian needs, while the other underwent major structural modifications to provide intensive care capacity. The report details the medical capabilities of the trains, the organization of referrals, and operational challenges encountered. Additionally, it includes a case series on the characteristics of patients transported in the initial 8 months, based on routinely collected programmatic descriptive data of all patients transported by the medical trains. Results: In 8 months, 2481 patients (male-female ratio, 1.07; male, 1136 [46%]; female 1058 [43%]; missing data, 287 [12%]; median age, 63 years [range, 0-98 years]) were evacuated from 11 cities near the Ukrainian conflict frontline to safer areas. Initially, the trains predominantly evacuated trauma patients, but over the course of the war, the patient characteristics changed with more medical and nonacute conditions, and fewer trauma patients. The main reason for entry into the intensive care unit train carriage was for close monitoring and observation, and the main interventions performed were primarily for respiratory failure. Conclusions and Relevance: The findings of this study suggest that medical evacuation in a war zone by converted trains is possible and can improve access to health care for war-affected patients. The presence of intensive care capacity on board allows for transport of more severely ill or injured individuals. However, the target population should not be limited to trauma patients, as health care institutions affected host a much broader population whose needs and urgency for evacuation may change over time.


Assuntos
Aeronaves , Militares , Humanos , Masculino , Feminino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Ucrânia , Unidades de Terapia Intensiva , Cuidados Críticos
11.
PLoS One ; 18(10): e0293077, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37847703

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: No distinctive clinical signs of Ebola virus disease (EVD) have prompted the development of rapid screening tools or called for a new approach to screening suspected Ebola cases. New screening approaches require evidence of clinical benefit and economic efficiency. As of now, no evidence or defined algorithm exists. OBJECTIVE: To evaluate, from a healthcare perspective, the efficiency of incorporating Ebola prediction scores and rapid diagnostic tests into the EVD screening algorithm during an outbreak. METHODS: We collected data on rapid diagnostic tests (RDTs) and prediction scores' accuracy measurements, e.g., sensitivity and specificity, and the cost of case management and RDT screening in EVD suspect cases. The overall cost of healthcare services (PPE, procedure time, and standard-of-care (SOC) costs) per suspected patient and diagnostic confirmation of EVD were calculated. We also collected the EVD prevalence among suspects from the literature. We created an analytical decision model to assess the efficiency of eight screening strategies: 1) Screening suspect cases with the WHO case definition for Ebola suspects, 2) Screening suspect cases with the ECPS at -3 points of cut-off, 3) Screening suspect cases with the ECPS as a joint test, 4) Screening suspect cases with the ECPS as a conditional test, 5) Screening suspect cases with the WHO case definition, then QuickNavi™-Ebola RDT, 6) Screening suspect cases with the ECPS at -3 points of cut-off and QuickNavi™-Ebola RDT, 7) Screening suspect cases with the ECPS as a conditional test and QuickNavi™-Ebola RDT, and 8) Screening suspect cases with the ECPS as a joint test and QuickNavi™-Ebola RDT. We performed a cost-effectiveness analysis to identify an algorithm that minimizes the cost per patient correctly classified. We performed a one-way and probabilistic sensitivity analysis to test the robustness of our findings. RESULTS: Our analysis found dual ECPS as a conditional test with the QuickNavi™-Ebola RDT algorithm to be the most cost-effective screening algorithm for EVD, with an effectiveness of 0.86. The cost-effectiveness ratio was 106.7 USD per patient correctly classified. The following algorithms, the ECPS as a conditional test with an effectiveness of 0.80 and an efficiency of 111.5 USD per patient correctly classified and the ECPS as a joint test with the QuickNavi™-Ebola RDT algorithm with an effectiveness of 0.81 and a cost-effectiveness ratio of 131.5 USD per patient correctly classified. These findings were sensitive to variations in the prevalence of EVD in suspected population and the sensitivity of the QuickNavi™-Ebola RDT. CONCLUSIONS: Findings from this study showed that prediction scores and RDT could improve Ebola screening. The use of the ECPS as a conditional test algorithm and the dual ECPS as a conditional test and then the QuickNavi™-Ebola RDT algorithm are the best screening choices because they are more efficient and lower the number of confirmation tests and overall care costs during an EBOV epidemic.


Assuntos
Doença pelo Vírus Ebola , Humanos , Doença pelo Vírus Ebola/diagnóstico , Doença pelo Vírus Ebola/epidemiologia , Análise Custo-Benefício , Testes de Diagnóstico Rápido , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Algoritmos , Testes Diagnósticos de Rotina/métodos
12.
EBioMedicine ; 91: 104568, 2023 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37084479

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Ebola virus disease (EVD) outbreaks have emerged in Central and West Africa. EVD diagnosis relies principally on RT-PCR testing with GeneXpert®, which has logistical and cost restrictions at the peripheral level of the health system. Rapid diagnostic tests (RDTs) would offer a valuable alternative at the point-of-care to reduce the turn-around time, if they show good performance characteristics. We evaluated the performance of four EVD RDTs against the reference standard GeneXpert® on stored EVD positive and negative blood samples collected between 2018 and 2021 from outbreaks in eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC). METHODS: We conducted a prospective and observational study in the laboratory on QuickNavi-Ebola™, OraQuick® Ebola Rapid Antigen, Coris® EBOLA Ag K-SeT, and Standard® Q Ebola Zaïre Ag RDTs using left-over archived frozen EDTA whole blood samples. We randomly selected 450 positive and 450 negative samples from the EVD biorepositories in DRC, across a range of GeneXpert® cycle threshold values (Ct-values). RDT results were read by three persons and we considered an RDT result as "positive", when it was flagged as positive by at least two out of the three readers. We estimated the sensitivity and specificity through two independent generalized (logistic) linear mixed models (GLMM). FINDINGS: 476 (53%) of 900 samples had a positive GeneXpert Ebola result when retested. The QuickNavi-Ebola™ showed a sensitivity of 56.8% (95% CI 53.6-60.0) and a specificity of 97.5% (95% CI 96.2-98.4), the OraQuick® Ebola Rapid Antigen test displayed 61.6% (95% CI 57.0-65.9) sensitivity and 98.1% (95% CI 96.2-99.1) specificity, the Coris® EBOLA Ag K-SeT showed 25.0% (95% CI 22.3-27.9) sensitivity and 95.9% (95% CI 94.2-97.1) specificity, and the Standard® Q Ebola Zaïre Ag displayed 21.6% (95% CI 18.1-25.7) sensitivity and 99.1% (95% CI 97.4-99.7) specificity. INTERPRETATION: None of the RDTs evaluated approached the "desired or acceptable levels" for sensitivity set out in the WHO target product profile, while all of the tests met the "desired level" for specificity. Nevertheless, the QuickNavi-Ebola™ and OraQuick® Ebola Rapid Antigen Test demonstrated the most favorable profiles, and may be used as frontline tests for triage of suspected-cases while waiting for RT-qPCR confirmatory testing. FUNDING: Institute of Tropical Medicine Antwerp/EDCTP PEAU-EBOV-RDC project.


Assuntos
Ebolavirus , Doença pelo Vírus Ebola , Humanos , Doença pelo Vírus Ebola/diagnóstico , Doença pelo Vírus Ebola/epidemiologia , República Democrática do Congo/epidemiologia , Ebolavirus/genética , Testes de Diagnóstico Rápido , Estudos Prospectivos , Surtos de Doenças , Sensibilidade e Especificidade
13.
Diagnostics (Basel) ; 12(2)2022 Jan 19.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35204337

RESUMO

Gambiense human African trypanosomiasis (gHAT), also known as gambiense sleeping sickness, is a parasitic infection caused by Trypanosoma brucei gambiense. During the last decades, gHAT incidence has been brought to an all-time low. Newly developed serological tools and drugs for its diagnosis and treatment put the WHO goal of interruption of transmission by 2030 within reach. However, further research is needed to efficiently adapt these new advances to new control strategies. We assessed the serological evolution of cured gHAT patients over a two-year period using four different tests: the rapid diagnostic test (RDT) HAT Sero K-SeT, ELISA/T.b. gambiense, Trypanosoma brucei gambiense inhibition ELISA (iELISA), and the immune trypanolysis test. High seropositive rates were observed in all the tests, although sero-reversion rates were different in each test: ELISA/T.b. gambiense was the test most likely to become negative two years after treatment, whereas RDT HAT Sero-K-SeT was the least likely. iELISA and trypanolysis showed intermediate and comparable probabilities to become negative. Stage 1 patients were also noted to be more likely to become negative than Stage 2 patients in all four serological tests. Our results confirm previous findings that trypanosome-specific antibody concentrations in blood may persist for up to two years, implying that HAT control programs should continue to take the history of past HAT episodes into consideration.

14.
Int J Infect Dis ; 122: 647-655, 2022 Sep.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35809857

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Following an outbreak of cases of vesicular-pustular rash with fever, evocative of human monkeypox, in Bas-Uélé province, Democratic Republic of Congo, surveillance was strengthened. METHODS: Households with at least one active generalized vesicular-pustular rash case were visited, and contact and clinical history information were collected from all household members. Whenever possible, skin lesions were screened by polymerase chain reaction for the monkeypox virus, followed by the varicella-zoster virus, when negative for the former. RESULTS: Polymerase chain reaction results were obtained for 77 suspected cases, distributed in 138 households, of which 27.3% were positive for monkeypox, 58.4% positive for chickenpox, and 14.3% negative for both. Confirmed monkeypox cases presented more often with monomorphic skin lesions on the palms of the hands and on the soles of the feet. Integrating these three features into the case definition raised the specificity to 85% but would miss 50% of true monkeypox cases. A predictive model fit on patient demographics and symptoms had 97% specificity and 80% sensitivity but only 80% and 33% in predicting out-of-sample cases. CONCLUSION: Few discriminating features were identified and the performance of clinical case definitions was suboptimal. Rapid field diagnostics are needed to optimize worldwide early detection and surveillance of monkeypox.


Assuntos
Varicela , Exantema , Mpox , Varicela/diagnóstico , Varicela/epidemiologia , República Democrática do Congo/epidemiologia , Humanos , Mpox/diagnóstico , Mpox/epidemiologia , Monkeypox virus/genética
15.
BMJ Glob Health ; 7(12)2022 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36455989

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Long-lasting insecticidal nets (LLINs) are one of the key interventions in the global fight against malaria. Since 2014, mass distribution campaigns of LLINs aim for universal access by all citizens of Burundi. In this context, we assess the impact of LLINs mass distribution campaigns on malaria incidence, focusing on the endemic highland health districts. We also explored the possible correlation between observed trends in malaria incidence with any variations in climate conditions. METHODS: Malaria cases for 2011-2019 were obtained from the National Health Information System. We developed a generalised additive model based on a time series of routinely collected data with malaria incidence as the response variable and timing of LLIN distribution as an explanatory variable to investigate the duration and magnitude of the LLIN effect on malaria incidence. We added a seasonal and continuous-time component as further explanatory variables, and health district as a random effect to account for random natural variation in malaria cases between districts. RESULTS: Malaria transmission in Burundian highlands was clearly seasonal and increased non-linearly over the study period. Further, a fast and steep decline of malaria incidence was noted during the first year after mass LLIN distribution (p<0.0001). In years 2 and 3 after distribution, malaria cases started to rise again to levels higher than before the control intervention. CONCLUSION: This study highlights that LLINs did reduce the incidence in the first year after a mass distribution campaign, but in the context of Burundi, LLINs lost their impact after only 1 year.


Assuntos
Sistemas de Informação em Saúde , Inseticidas , Malária , Humanos , Burundi/epidemiologia , Malária/epidemiologia , Malária/prevenção & controle , Fatores de Tempo
16.
PLoS One ; 17(12): e0278678, 2022.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36525443

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The control of Ebola virus disease (EVD) outbreaks relies on rapid diagnosis and prompt action, a daunting task in limited-resource contexts. This study develops prediction scores that can help healthcare workers improve their decision-making at the triage-point of EVD suspect-cases during EVD outbreaks. METHODS: We computed accuracy measurements of EVD predictors to assess their diagnosing ability compared with the reference standard GeneXpert® results, during the eastern DRC EVD outbreak. We developed predictive scores using the Spiegelhalter-Knill-Jones approach and constructed a clinical prediction score (CPS) and an extended clinical prediction score (ECPS). We plotted the receiver operating characteristic curves (ROCs), estimated the area under the ROC (AUROC) to assess the performance of scores, and computed net benefits (NB) to assess the clinical utility (decision-making ability) of the scores at a given cut-off. We performed decision curve analysis (DCA) to compare, at a range of threshold probabilities, prediction scores' decision-making ability and to quantify the number of unnecessary isolation. RESULTS: The analysis was done on data from 10432 subjects, including 651 EVD cases. The EVD prevalence was 6.2% in the whole dataset, 14.8% in the subgroup of suspects who fitted the WHO Ebola case definition, and 3.2% for the set of suspects who did not fit this case definition. The WHO clinical definition yielded 61.6% sensitivity and 76.4% specificity. Fatigue, difficulty in swallowing, red eyes, gingival bleeding, hematemesis, confusion, hemoptysis, and a history of contact with an EVD case were predictors of EVD. The AUROC for ECPS was 0.88 (95%CI: 0.86-0.89), significantly greater than this for CPS, 0.71 (95%CI: 0.69-0.73) (p < 0.0001). At -1 point of score, the CPS yielded a sensitivity of 85.4% and specificity of 42.3%, and the ECPS yielded sensitivity of 78.8% and specificity of 81.4%. The diagnostic performance of the scores varied in the three disease contexts (the whole, fitting or not fitting the WHO case definition data sets). At 10% of threshold probability, e.g. in disease-adverse context, ECPS gave an NB of 0.033 and a net reduction of unnecessary isolation of 67.1%. Using ECPS as a joint approach to isolate EVD suspects reduces the number of unnecessary isolations by 65.7%. CONCLUSION: The scores developed in our study showed a good performance as EVD case predictors since their use improved the net benefit, i.e., their clinical utility. These rapid and low-cost tools can help in decision-making to isolate EVD-suspicious cases at the triage point during an outbreak. However, these tools still require external validation and cost-effectiveness evaluation before being used on a large scale.


Assuntos
Ebolavirus , Doença pelo Vírus Ebola , Humanos , Doença pelo Vírus Ebola/diagnóstico , Doença pelo Vírus Ebola/epidemiologia , Triagem , Surtos de Doenças , Curva ROC , Prevalência
17.
Viruses ; 14(9)2022 09 02.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36146760

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: In the Netherlands, unrestricted access to direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) halved the incidence of acute hepatitis C virus (HCV) infections among HIV-infected men who have sex with men (MSM). To develop strategies that can further reduce the spread of HCV, it is important to understand the transmission dynamics of HCV. We used phylogenetic analysis of a dense sample of MSM to provide insight into the impact of unrestricted access to DAAs on HCV transmission in the Netherlands and in Belgium. METHODS: We included 89 MSM that were recently infected with HCV genotype 1a in ten Dutch and one Belgian HIV treatment centers. Sequences were generated using next gene sequencing and Sanger sequencing. Maximum likelihood phylogenetic analysis (general time reversible model) was performed on concatenated NS5A and NS5B sequences and a reference set of 389 highly similar control sequences selected from GenBank. A cluster was based on a minimum bootstrap support of 90% and a 3% genetic distance threshold. RESULTS: We found that 78 (88%) of individuals were part of seven major clusters. All clusters included individuals from across the study region, however, different cities were part of different clusters. In three clusters, HIV-negative MSM clustered with sequences from HIV-positive MSM. All clusters that were observed before the introduction of DAAs persisted after unrestricted access to DAAs became available. CONCLUSION: Recently acquired HCV infections among MSM in the Netherlands and Belgium are strongly clustered and therefore highly suitable for targeted prevention strategies, such as contact tracing and partner notification. Importantly, despite an HCV incidence reduction after high DAA uptake and continuously monitoring, HCV transmission persisted in the same clusters.


Assuntos
Infecções por HIV , Hepatite C Crônica , Hepatite C , Minorias Sexuais e de Gênero , Antivirais/uso terapêutico , Infecções por HIV/tratamento farmacológico , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , Hepacivirus/genética , Hepatite C/tratamento farmacológico , Hepatite C/epidemiologia , Hepatite C Crônica/tratamento farmacológico , Homossexualidade Masculina , Humanos , Masculino , Filogenia
18.
Lancet Infect Dis ; 22(6): 891-900, 2022 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35298901

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The Democratic Republic of the Congo has confronted 13 outbreaks of Ebola virus disease since 1976. Rapid diagnostic tests (RDTs) detecting viral antigens have been developed to circumvent difficulties encountered with RT-PCR for diagnosis in remote low-resource settings, but there is still uncertainty about their performance characteristics and usability during outbreaks. We aimed to assess the field performance of three antigen detection RDTs compared with the gold-standard Cepheid GeneXpert Ebola assay results. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective, multicentre observational study using complete and de-identified databases of five mobile laboratories (managed by the Institut National de Recherche Biomédicale) to assess the performance of three Ebola virus disease RDTs (QuickNavi-Ebola, OraQuick Ebola Rapid Antigen Test, and Coris EBOLA Ag K-SeT rapid test) run on blood samples of patients with suspected Ebola virus disease in direct comparison with the Cepheid GeneXpert Ebola assay reference test during the 2018-20 outbreak in the eastern Democratic Republic of the Congo. We estimated the sensitivity and specificity of each test through generalised linear mixed models against the GeneXpert Ebola assay reference test and corrected for cycle threshold value and random site effects. FINDINGS: 719 (7·9%) of 9157 samples had a positive GeneXpert Ebola assay result. The QuickNavi-Ebola RDT had a sensitivity of 87·4% (95% CI 63·6-96·8) around the mean cycle threshold value and a specificity of 99·6% (99·3-99·8). The OraQuick Ebola Rapid Antigen Test had a sensitivity of 57·4% (95% CI 38·8-75·8) and specificity of 98·3% (97·5-99·0), and the Coris EBOLA Ag K-SeT rapid test had a sensitivity of 38·9% (23·0-63·6) against the GeneXpert Ebola assay reference and specificity of 97·4% (85·3-99·6). The QuickNavi-Ebola RDT showed a robust performance with good sensitivity, particularly with increasing viral loads (ie, low cycle threshold values), and specificity. INTERPRETATION: The three RDTs evaluated did not achieve the desired sensitivity and specificity of the WHO target product profile. Although the RDTs cannot triage and rule out Ebola virus infection among clinical suspects, they can still help to sort people with suspected Ebola virus disease into high-risk and low-risk groups while waiting for GeneXpert Ebola assay reference testing. FUNDING: None. TRANSLATION: For the French translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.


Assuntos
Ebolavirus , Doença pelo Vírus Ebola , República Democrática do Congo/epidemiologia , Testes Diagnósticos de Rotina , Surtos de Doenças , Ebolavirus/genética , Doença pelo Vírus Ebola/diagnóstico , Doença pelo Vírus Ebola/epidemiologia , Humanos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Sensibilidade e Especificidade
19.
Bull World Health Organ ; 89(6): 442-50, 2011 Jun 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-21673860

RESUMO

OBJECTIVE: To appraise the process of development and clinical content of national human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) clinical practice guidelines of countries in the eastern Mediterranean and to formulate recommendations for future guideline development and adaptation. METHODS: Twenty-three countries in the World Health Organization (WHO) Eastern Mediterranean and United Nations Children's Fund Middle East and North Africa regions were invited to submit national HIV clinical practice guidelines for review. The guideline development methodology was assessed using an adaptation of the Appraisal of Guidelines Research and Evaluation (AGREE) instrument and guideline content, using a checklist to evaluate concordance with WHO 2006 generic guidelines. FINDINGS: Twelve countries submitted 20 guidelines developed between 2004 and 2009. Median scores were poor (i.e. < 0.6) for the methodological quality domains of rigour of development, stakeholder involvement and applicability and flexibility. Scores were better for the domains of scope and purpose (median: 0.82, interquartile range, IQR: 0.58-0.89) and clarity and presentation (median: 0.67, IQR: 0.50-0.78). Concerning guideline content, recommended first-line treatment and eligibility criteria for antiretroviral therapy (ART) in adults were in line with WHO recommendations in most guidelines. However, recommendations on antiretroviral prophylaxis for the prevention of vertical HIV transmission, diagnosis and treatment of HIV infection in infants, monitoring patients on ART, treatment failure and co-morbidities were often lacking. CONCLUSION: The large majority of national HIV clinical practice guidelines had methodological weaknesses and content inaccuracies. Countries require assistance with the adaptation process to ensure that guidelines are valid and up to date and accurately reflect WHO global clinical care recommendations for patients with HIV.


Assuntos
Infecções por HIV/tratamento farmacológico , Internacionalidade , Guias de Prática Clínica como Assunto , África do Norte/epidemiologia , Contagem de Linfócito CD4 , Educação , Saúde Global , Infecções por HIV/epidemiologia , Infecções por HIV/prevenção & controle , Humanos , Região do Mediterrâneo/epidemiologia , Oriente Médio/epidemiologia , Inquéritos e Questionários , Nações Unidas , Organização Mundial da Saúde
20.
Trop Med Int Health ; 21(12): 1490-1495, 2016 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27671365
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