Outcomes and clinicopathologic characteristics associated with disseminated tumor cells in bone marrow after neoadjuvant chemotherapy in high-risk early stage breast cancer: the I-SPY SURMOUNT study.

PURPOSE: Disseminated tumor cells (DTCs) expressing epithelial markers in the bone marrow are associated with recurrence and death, but little is known about risk factors predicting their occurrence. We detected EPCAM+/CD45- cells in bone marrow from early stage breast cancer patients after neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) in the I-SPY 2 Trial and examined clinicopathologic factors and outcomes. METHODS: Patients who signed consent for SURMOUNT, a sub-study of the I-SPY 2 Trial (NCT01042379), had bone marrow collected after NAC at the time of surgery. EPCAM+CD45- cells in 4 mLs of bone marrow aspirate were enumerated using immunomagnetic enrichment/flow cytometry (IE/FC). Patients with > 4.16 EPCAM+CD45- cells per mL of bone marrow were classified as DTC-positive. Tumor response was assessed using the residual cancer burden (RCB), a standardized approach to quantitate the extent of residual invasive cancer present in the breast and the axillary lymph nodes after NAC. Association of DTC-positivity with clinicopathologic variables and survival was examined. RESULTS: A total of 73 patients were enrolled, 51 of whom had successful EPCAM+CD45- cell enumeration. Twenty-four of 51 (47.1%) were DTC-positive. The DTC-positivity rate was similar across receptor subtypes, but DTC-positive patients were significantly younger (p = 0.0239) and had larger pretreatment tumors compared to DTC-negative patients (p = 0.0319). Twenty of 51 (39.2%) achieved a pathologic complete response (pCR). While DTC-positivity was not associated with achieving pCR, it was significantly associated with higher RCB class (RCB-II/III, 62.5% vs. RCB-0/I; 33.3%; Chi-squared p = 0.0373). No significant correlation was observed between DTC-positivity and distant recurrence-free survival (p = 0.38, median follow-up = 3.2 years). CONCLUSION: DTC-positivity at surgery after NAC was higher in younger patients, those with larger tumors, and those with residual disease at surgery.

Cell-free DNA Concentration as a Biomarker of Response and Recurrence in HER2-Negative Breast Cancer Receiving Neoadjuvant Chemotherapy.

PURPOSE: We previously demonstrated the clinical significance of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) in patients with HER2-negative breast cancer receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC). Here, we compared its predictive and prognostic value with cell-free DNA (cfDNA) concentration measured in the same samples from the same patients. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: 145 patients with hormone receptor (HR)-positive/HER2-negative and 138 triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) with ctDNA data from a previous study were included in the analysis. Associations of serial cfDNA concentration with residual cancer burden (RCB) and distant recurrence-free survival (DRFS) were examined. RESULTS: In TNBC, we observed a modest negative correlation between cfDNA concentration 3 weeks after treatment initiation and RCB, but none of the other timepoints showed significant correlation. In contrast, ctDNA was significantly positively correlated with RCB at all timepoints (all R > 0.3 and P < 0.05). In the HR-positive/HER2-negative group, cfDNA concentration did not associate with response to NAC, but survival analysis showed that high cfDNA shedders at pretreatment had a significantly worse DRFS than low shedders (hazard ratio, 2.12; P = 0.037). In TNBC, the difference in survival between high versus low cfDNA shedders at all timepoints was not statistically significant. In contrast, as previously reported, ctDNA at all timepoints was significantly correlated with DRFS in both subtypes. CONCLUSIONS: In TNBC, cfDNA concentrations during therapy were not strongly correlated with response or prognosis. In the HR-positive/HER2-negative group, pretreatment cfDNA concentration was prognostic for DRFS. Overall, the predictive and prognostic value of cfDNA concentration was more limited than that of ctDNA.

Clinical significance and biology of circulating tumor DNA in high-risk early-stage HER2-negative breast cancer receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy.

Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) analysis may improve early-stage breast cancer treatment via non-invasive tumor burden assessment. To investigate subtype-specific differences in the clinical significance and biology of ctDNA shedding, we perform serial personalized ctDNA analysis in hormone receptor (HR)-positive/HER2-negative breast cancer and triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC) patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) in the I-SPY2 trial. ctDNA positivity rates before, during, and after NAC are higher in TNBC than in HR-positive/HER2-negative breast cancer patients. Early clearance of ctDNA 3 weeks after treatment initiation predicts a favorable response to NAC in TNBC only. Whereas ctDNA positivity associates with reduced distant recurrence-free survival in both subtypes. Conversely, ctDNA negativity after NAC correlates with improved outcomes, even in patients with extensive residual cancer. Pretreatment tumor mRNA profiling reveals associations between ctDNA shedding and cell cycle and immune-associated signaling. On the basis of these findings, the I-SPY2 trial will prospectively test ctDNA for utility in redirecting therapy to improve response and prognosis.

Redefining breast cancer subtypes to guide treatment prioritization and maximize response: Predictive biomarkers across 10 cancer therapies.

Using pre-treatment gene expression, protein/phosphoprotein, and clinical data from the I-SPY2 neoadjuvant platform trial (NCT01042379), we create alternative breast cancer subtypes incorporating tumor biology beyond clinical hormone receptor (HR) and human epidermal growth factor receptor-2 (HER2) status to better predict drug responses. We assess the predictive performance of mechanism-of-action biomarkers from ∼990 patients treated with 10 regimens targeting diverse biology. We explore >11 subtyping schemas and identify treatment-subtype pairs maximizing the pathologic complete response (pCR) rate over the population. The best performing schemas incorporate Immune, DNA repair, and HER2/Luminal phenotypes. Subsequent treatment allocation increases the overall pCR rate to 63% from 51% using HR/HER2-based treatment selection. pCR gains from reclassification and improved patient selection are highest in HR+ subsets (>15%). As new treatments are introduced, the subtyping schema determines the minimum response needed to show efficacy. This data platform provides an unprecedented resource and supports the usage of response-based subtypes to guide future treatment prioritization.

Circulating tumor DNA and magnetic resonance imaging to predict neoadjuvant chemotherapy response and recurrence risk.

We investigated whether serial measurements of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) and functional tumor volume (FTV) by magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) can be combined to improve prediction of pathologic complete response (pCR) and estimation of recurrence risk in early breast cancer patients treated with neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC). We examined correlations between ctDNA and FTV, evaluated the additive value of ctDNA to FTV-based predictors of pCR using area under the curve (AUC) analysis, and analyzed the impact of FTV and ctDNA on distant recurrence-free survival (DRFS) using Cox regressions. The levels of ctDNA (mean tumor molecules/mL plasma) were significantly correlated with FTV at all time points (p < 0.05). Median FTV in ctDNA-positive patients was significantly higher compared to those who were ctDNA-negative (p < 0.05). FTV and ctDNA trajectories in individual patients showed a general decrease during NAC. Exploratory analysis showed that adding ctDNA information early during treatment to FTV-based predictors resulted in numerical but not statistically significant improvements in performance for pCR prediction (e.g., AUC 0.59 vs. 0.69, p = 0.25). In contrast, ctDNA-positivity after NAC provided significant additive value to FTV in identifying patients with increased risk of metastatic recurrence and death (p = 0.004). In this pilot study, we demonstrate that ctDNA and FTV were correlated measures of tumor burden. Our preliminary findings based on a limited cohort suggest that ctDNA at surgery improves FTV as a predictor of metastatic recurrence and death. Validation in larger studies is warranted.

Serial Analysis of Circulating Tumor Cells in Metastatic Breast Cancer Receiving First-Line Chemotherapy.

BACKGROUND: We examined the prognostic significance of circulating tumor cell (CTC) dynamics during treatment in metastatic breast cancer (MBC) patients receiving first-line chemotherapy. METHODS: Serial CTC data from 469 patients (2202 samples) were used to build a novel latent mixture model to identify groups with similar CTC trajectory (tCTC) patterns during the course of treatment. Cox regression was used to estimate hazard ratios for progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) in groups based on baseline CTCs, combined CTC status at baseline to the end of cycle 1, and tCTC. Akaike information criterion was used to select the model that best predicted PFS and OS. RESULTS: Latent mixture modeling revealed 4 distinct tCTC patterns: undetectable CTCs (56.9% ), low (23.7%), intermediate (14.5%), or high (4.9%). Patients with low, intermediate, and high tCTC patterns had statistically significant inferior PFS and OS compared with those with undetectable CTCs (P < .001). Akaike Information Criterion indicated that the tCTC model best predicted PFS and OS compared with baseline CTCs and combined CTC status at baseline to the end of cycle 1 models. Validation studies in an independent cohort of 1856 MBC patients confirmed these findings. Further validation using only a single pretreatment CTC measurement confirmed prognostic performance of the tCTC model. CONCLUSIONS: We identified 4 novel prognostic groups in MBC based on similarities in tCTC patterns during chemotherapy. Prognostic groups included patients with very poor outcome (intermediate + high CTCs, 19.4%) who could benefit from more effective treatment. Our novel prognostic classification approach may be used for fine-tuning of CTC-based risk stratification strategies to guide future prospective clinical trials in MBC.

Synchronous Detection of Circulating Tumor Cells in Blood and Disseminated Tumor Cells in Bone Marrow Predicts Adverse Outcome in Early Breast Cancer.

PURPOSE: We examined the prognostic impact of circulating tumor cells (CTCs) and disseminated tumor cells (DTCs) detected at the time of surgery in 742 untreated patients with early breast cancer. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: DTCs in bone marrow were enumerated using the EPCAM-based immunomagnetic enrichment and flow cytometry (IE/FC) assay. CTCs in blood were enumerated either by IE/FC or CellSearch. Median follow-up was 7.1 years for distant recurrence-free survival (DRFS) and 9.1 years for breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) and overall survival (OS). Cox regressions were used to estimate hazard ratios for DRFS, BCSS, and OS in all patients, as well as in hormone receptor-positive (HR-positive, 87%) and HR-negative (13%) subsets. RESULTS: In multivariate models, CTC positivity by IE/FC was significantly associated with reduced BCSS in both all (n = 288; P = 0.0138) and HR-positive patients (n = 249; P = 0.0454). CTC positivity by CellSearch was significantly associated with reduced DRFS in both all (n = 380; P = 0.0067) and HR-positive patients (n = 328; P = 0.0002). DTC status, by itself, was not prognostic; however, when combined with CTC status by IE/FC (n = 273), double positivity (CTC+/DTC+, 8%) was significantly associated with reduced DRFS (P = 0.0270), BCSS (P = 0.0205), and OS (P = 0.0168). In HR-positive patients, double positivity (9% of 235) was significantly associated with reduced DRFS (P = 0.0285), BCSS (P = 0.0357), and OS (P = 0.0092). CONCLUSIONS: Detection of CTCs in patients with HR-positive early breast cancer was an independent prognostic factor for DRFS (using CellSearch) and BCSS (using IE/FC). Simultaneous detection of DTCs provided additional prognostic power for outcome, including OS.