Can CT-PET and Endoscopic Assessment Post-Neoadjuvant Chemoradiotherapy Predict Residual Disease in Esophageal Cancer?

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study is to assess CT-PET and endoscopic assessment postneoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy (nCRT) in predicting complete pathologic response (pCR) in locally advanced esophageal cancer (LAEC). DESIGN: A prospective cohort study. BACKGROUND: nCRT is increasingly standard of care in LAEC, with pCR a surrogate for excellent outcome. Predicting pCR before surgery, with metabolic imaging and endoscopy, may spare patients' operative intervention. METHODS: One hundred thirty-eight consecutive patients [mean age 61 ±â€Š8, 99 male (72%), 103 (75%) adenocarcinoma] underwent nCRT with CT-PET and endoscopy 4 to 6 weeks later, and surgery subsequently. A complete metabolic response (cMR) was defined as SUVmax of <4. A complete endoscopic response (cER) was no residual mucosal abnormality. The association of pCR with cMR and cER was analyzed. RESULTS: pCR was achieved in 30 patients (22%); 37% SCC and 17% adenocarcinoma. A cMR was evident in 63 (46%), of whom 17 (27%) had a pCR and 17(27%) were ypN+. A cER was observed in 45 (33%). The Spearman correlation for cER and cMR was 0.066 (P = 0.479), for cER and pCR was 0.004 (P = 0.969), and cMR and pCR -0.120 (P = 0.160). The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of cMR was 57%, 57%, 27%, and 82%, respectively, and for combined cMR and cER was 24%, 83%, 28%, and 79%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The prediction of pCR through CT-PET and endoscopy independently or combined is limited by low sensitivity and poor positive predictive value. Protocols to avoid surgery in patients with apparent complete clinical complete based on these criteria should be adopted with considerable caution.

Modern oncological and operative outcomes in oesophageal cancer: the St. James's hospital experience.

BACKGROUND: Oesophageal cancer has a reputation for poor survival, and a relatively high risk of major postoperative morbidity and mortality. Encouragingly, a recent international cancer registry study reports a doubling of survival outcomes in Ireland over the last 20 years. This study focused on both oncologic and operative outcomes in patients treated with curative intent requiring surgery at a high-volume center. METHODS: All patients undergoing surgery or multimodal therapy with curative intent from 2009 to 2018 were studied. All data was recorded prospectively and maintained internally. The period 2009-2013 was compared with 2014-2018 to monitor any change in trends. RESULTS: Four hundred and seventy-five patients (adenocarcinoma 77%, mean age 65; 76% male; 64% neoadjuvant therapy) underwent open surgical resection, 54% via en bloc 2-stage, 19.8% en bloc 3-stage, and 26.5% by a transhiatal approach. New onset atrial fibrillation was the commonest index complication, in 108 (22.7%), 80 (18%) developed suspected pneumonia/respiratory tract infection, 20 (4.2%) an anastomotic leak, and 25 (5.2%) a chyle leak. The 90-day mortality rate was 1.2% and 0.8% at 30 days. The median survival was 77.17 months, with a 5-year survival of 56%. CONCLUSION: Consistent with registry data on population survival for oesophageal cancer, this study highlights markedly improved survival outcomes in patients treated curatively, reflecting international trends, as well as low mortality rates; however, cardiorespiratory complications remain significant.