Predicting short-term mortality in patients with acute exacerbation of chronic heart failure: The EAHFE-3D scale. / Predicción de la mortalidad a muy corto plazo de los pacientes con insuficiencia cardiaca crónica agudizada: escala EAHFE-3D.

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES: Prognostic scales are needed in acute exacerbation of chronic heart failure to detect early mortality. The objective of this study is to create a prognostic scale (scale EAHFE-3D) to stratify the risk of death the very short term. PATIENTS AND METHOD: We used the EAHFE database, a multipurpose, multicenter registry with prospective follow-up currently including 6,597 patients with acute heart failure attended at 34 Spanish Emergency Departments from 2007 to 2014. The following variables were collected: demographic, personal history, data of acute episode and 3-day mortality. The derivation cohort included patients recruited during 2009 and 2011 EAHFE registry spots (n=3,640). The classifying variable was all-cause 3-day mortality. A prognostic scale (3D-EAHFE scale) with the results of the multivariate analysis based on the weight of the OR was created. The 3D-EAHFE scale was validated using the cohort of patients included in 2014 spot (n=2,957). RESULTS: A total of 3,640 patients were used in the derivation cohort and 102 (2.8%) died at 3 days. The final scale contained the following variables (maximum 165 points): age≥75 years (30 points), baseline NYHA III-IV (15 points), systolic blood pressure<110mmHg (20 points), room-air oxygen saturation<90% (30 points), hyponatremia (20 points), inotropic or vasopressor treatment (30 points) and need for noninvasive mechanical ventilation (20 points); with a ROC curve of 0.80 (95% CI 0.76-0.84; P<.001). The validation cohort included 2,957 patients (66 died at 3 days, 2.2%), and the scale obtained a ROC curve of 0.76 (95% CI 0.70-0.82; P<.001). The risk groups consisted of very low risk (0-20 points), low risk (21-40 points), intermediate risk (41-60 points), high risk (61-80 points) and very high risk (>80 points), with a mortality (derivation/validation cohorts) of 0/0.5, 0.8/1.0, 2.9/2.8, 5.5/5.8 and 12.7/22.4%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: EAHFE-3D scale may help to predict the very short term prognosis of patients with acute heart failure in 5 risk groups.

Evolution of the clinical profile of patients with acute heart failure treated in Spanish emergency departments. / Evolución del perfil clínico de los pacientes con insuficiencia cardiaca aguda atendidos en servicios de urgencias españoles.

OBJECTIVE: To analyse the changes in epidemiology, outpatient and emergency department clinical care, and outcomes of patients treated for acute heart failure (AHF) in Spanish hospital emergency departments (HEDs) between 2007 and 2014. METHOD: A multicentre cohort study was conducted that consecutively included patients with AHF diagnosed in 9HEDs during 4 periods (2007, 2009, 2011 and 2014). The study analysed the changes observed in 20 variables corresponding to baseline data, outpatient care and emergency care data and outcome data. RESULTS: A total of 4,845 patients were included. There were significant changes in 13 variables: there was an increase in patients older than 80years (2007/2014: 45.9%/55.4%; P<.001) and a decrease in severe functional dependence (28.2%/19.7%; P<.001). In terms of long-term outpatient care, there was an increased use of beta-blockers (44.6%/57.8%; P=.002) and aldosterone antagonists (26.6%/37.7%; P<.05) among patients with reduced ejection fraction and an increase use of echocardiography (42.8%/56.2%; P=.001). The use of digoxin decreased (25.4%/16.9%; P=.005). In terms of emergency care, there was an increase in requests for troponins (54.6%/61.9%; P<.001), natriuretic peptides (7.8%/48.5%; P<.001) and the use of noninvasive ventilation (3.2%/6.9%; P=.004). Requests for endovenous perfusion drugs decreased (diuretics: 21.3%/10.4%; P<.001; nitrates: 21.3%/17.5%; P=.001; vasopressors: 4.2%/1.5%; P<.001). Finally, discharges directly from the emergency department without hospitalization increased (20.0%/25.9%; P<.001), and emergency department readmissions at 30days decreased (27.3%/17.6%; P=.007). Hospital mortality and mortality at 30days did not change. CONCLUSIONS: Changes in outcomes were detected during a 7-year period in patients with AHF treated in HEDs, with care that was more in line with the clinical guidelines. There are, however, areas for improvement. There was a noteworthy increase in outpatient follow-up without hospitalisation and a reduction in HED readmissions.

Assessment of the knowledge and perception of support of patients with heart failure SOPICA study IN SPAIN.

OBJECTIVE: To understand the perceptions of patients with heart failure (HF) concerning their disease, treatment and support, as well as the specialists who provide care after a decompensation, and to determine whether there is a relationship between the type of specialist involved in the follow-up and the medium-term prognosis. METHODS: A multicentre, prospective cohort study consecutively included patients with acute HF in the emergency department. The patients were interviewed by telephone 91-180days after their emergency department visit. We investigated the relationship between the type of specialist who performed the follow-up and the emergency department visits or hospitalisations using Cox regression models, with progressive adjustment by groups of potential confounders of these relationships. RESULTS: We interviewed 785 patients. Thirty-three percent (95%CI: 30%-36%) considered their disease mild, 64% (60%-67%) required help from third parties for daily activities, 65% (61%-68%) had no recent therapeutic changes, and 69% (67%-72%) received the same treatment in the exacerbations. The perceived support varied significantly depending on the factor under consideration (from greater to lesser: family, hospital, emergency department, health centre, religion and patient associations; p<.05 in all comparisons). Thirty-nine percent (36%-43%) of the patients with decompensations consulted directly with the emergency department, with no prior changes in treatment. At discharge, general practitioners (74%, 71%-77%) and cardiologists (74%, 70%-77%) were the most involved in the follow-up, although the specialty was not related to the prognosis. CONCLUSION: There are various aspects of the perception of patients with HF concerning their disease that are susceptible to future interventions. Patient follow-up involves various specialties, but all achieve similar results in the medium term.

Effects of dietary fibre intake on risk factors for cardiovascular disease in subjects at high risk.

BACKGROUND: Epidemiological studies and feeding trials with supplements suggest that fibre intake is associated with a reduction in cardiovascular risk. However, the effects of changes in dietary fibre on risk factor levels have not been evaluated in free-living individuals. Thus, the effects of changes in dietary fibre intake on cardiovascular risk factors were assessed over 3 months in free-living high-risk subjects. METHODS: 772 high-risk subjects (age 69+/-5 years) were assigned to a low-fat diet or two Mediterranean-style diets. All participants received behavioural and nutritional education, including recommendations for increasing the consumption of vegetables, fruits, and legumes. Changes in food and nutrient intake, body weight, blood pressure, lipid profiles, glucose control and inflammatory markers were evaluated. RESULTS: Most participants increased consumption of vegetable products, but the increase in dietary fibre exhibited wide between-subject variability (6-65 g/day). Body weight, waist circumference, and mean systolic and diastolic blood pressure decreased across quintiles of fibre intake (p<0.005; all). Reductions in fasting glucose and total cholesterol levels, and increments in HDL cholesterol were highest among participants in the upper 20% of fibre intake (p = 0.04 and 0.02 respectively). Plasma concentrations of C-reactive protein, but not those of inflammatory cytokines, decreased in parallel with increasing dietary fibre (p = 0.04). Significant reductions in LDL cholesterol were observed only among participants with the greatest increases in soluble fibre intake (p = 0.04). CONCLUSIONS: Increasing dietary fibre intake with natural foods is associated with reductions in classical and novel cardiovascular risk factors in a high-risk cohort.