Incorporation of Serial 12-Lead Electrocardiogram With Machine Learning to Augment the Out-of-Hospital Diagnosis of Non-ST Elevation Acute Coronary Syndrome.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: Ischemic electrocardiogram (ECG) changes are subtle and transient in patients with suspected non-ST-segment elevation (NSTE)-acute coronary syndrome. However, the out-of-hospital ECG is not routinely used during subsequent evaluation at the emergency department. Therefore, we sought to compare the diagnostic performance of out-of-hospital and ED ECG and evaluate the incremental gain of artificial intelligence-augmented ECG analysis. METHODS: This prospective observational cohort study recruited patients with out-of-hospital chest pain. We retrieved out-of-hospital-ECG obtained by paramedics in the field and the first ED ECG obtained by nurses during inhospital evaluation. Two independent and blinded reviewers interpreted ECG dyads in mixed order per practice recommendations. Using 179 morphological ECG features, we trained, cross-validated, and tested a random forest classifier to augment non ST-elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS) diagnosis. RESULTS: Our sample included 2,122 patients (age 59 [16]; 53% women; 44% Black, 13.5% confirmed acute coronary syndrome). The rate of diagnostic ST elevation and ST depression were 5.9% and 16.2% on out-of-hospital-ECG and 6.1% and 12.4% on ED ECG, with ∼40% of changes seen on out-of-hospital-ECG persisting and ∼60% resolving. Using expert interpretation of out-of-hospital-ECG alone gave poor baseline performance with area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUC), sensitivity, and negative predictive values of 0.69, 0.50, and 0.92. Using expert interpretation of serial ECG changes enhanced this performance (AUC 0.80, sensitivity 0.61, and specificity 0.93). Interestingly, augmenting the out-of-hospital-ECG alone with artificial intelligence algorithms boosted its performance (AUC 0.83, sensitivity 0.75, and specificity 0.95), yielding a net reclassification improvement of 29.5% against expert ECG interpretation. CONCLUSION: In this study, 60% of diagnostic ST changes resolved prior to hospital arrival, making the ED ECG suboptimal for the inhospital evaluation of NSTE-ACS. Using serial ECG changes or incorporating artificial intelligence-augmented analyses would allow correctly reclassifying one in 4 patients with suspected NSTE-ACS.

Your neighborhood matters: A machine-learning approach to the geospatial and social determinants of health in 9-1-1 activated chest pain.

Healthcare disparities in the initial management of patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) exist. Yet, the complexity of interactions between demographic, social, economic, and geospatial determinants of health hinders incorporating such predictors in existing risk stratification models. We sought to explore a machine-learning-based approach to study the complex interactions between the geospatial and social determinants of health to explain disparities in ACS likelihood in an urban community. This study identified consecutive patients transported by Pittsburgh emergency medical service for a chief complaint of chest pain or ACS-equivalent symptoms. We extracted demographics, clinical data, and location coordinates from electronic health records. Median income was based on US census data by zip code. A random forest (RF) classifier and a regularized logistic regression model were used to identify the most important predictors of ACS likelihood. Our final sample included 2400 patients (age 59 ± 17 years, 47% Females, 41% Blacks, 15.8% adjudicated ACS). In our RF model (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.71 ± 0.03) age, prior revascularization, income, distance from hospital, and residential neighborhood were the most important predictors of ACS likelihood. In regularized regression (akaike information criterion = 1843, bayesian information criterion = 1912, χ2 = 193, df = 10, p < 0.001), residential neighborhood remained a significant and independent predictor of ACS likelihood. Findings from our study suggest that residential neighborhood constitutes an upstream factor to explain the observed healthcare disparity in ACS risk prediction, independent from known demographic, social, and economic determinants of health, which can inform future work on ACS prevention, in-hospital care, and patient discharge.

The prognostic value of HEART score in patients with cocaine associated chest pain: An age-and-sex matched cohort study.

INTRODUCTION: HEART score is widely used to stratify patients with chest pain in the emergency department but has never been validated for cocaine-associated chest pain (CACP). We sought to evaluate the performance of HEART score in risk stratifying patients with CACP compared to an age- and sex-matched cohort with non-CACP. METHODS: The parent study was an observational cohort study that enrolled consecutive patients with chest pain. We identified patients with CACP and age/sex matched them to patients with non-CACP in 1:2 fashion. HEART score was calculated retrospectively from charts. The primary outcome was major adverse cardiac events (MACE) within 30 days of indexed encounter. RESULTS: We included 156 patients with CACP and 312 age-and sex-matched patients with non-CACP (n = 468, mean age 51 ± 9, 22% females). There was no difference in rate of MACE between the groups (17.9% vs. 15.7%, p = 0.54). Compared to the non-CACP group, the HEART score had lower classification performance in those with CACP (AUC = 0.68 [0.56-0.80] vs. 0.84 [0.78-0.90], p = 0.022). In CACP group, Troponin score had the highest discriminatory value (AUC = 0.72 [0.60-0.85]) and Risk factors score had the lowest (AUC = 0.47 [0.34-0.59]). In patients deemed low-risk by the HEART score, those with CACP were more likely to experience MACE (14% vs. 4%, OR = 3.7 [1.3-10.7], p = 0.016). CONCLUSION: In patients with CACP, HEART score performs poorly in stratifying risk and is not recommended as a rule out tool to identify those at low risk of MACE.

Performance and limitations of automated ECG interpretation statements in patients with suspected acute coronary syndrome.

BACKGROUND: The 12­lead ECG plays an important role in triaging patients with symptomatic coronary artery disease, making automated ECG interpretation statements of "Acute MI" or "Acute Ischemia" crucial, especially during prehospital transport when access to physician interpretation of the ECG is limited. However, it remains unknown how automated interpretation statements correspond to adjudicated clinical outcomes during hospitalization. We sought to evaluate the diagnostic performance of prehospital automated interpretation statements to four well-defined clinical outcomes of interest: confirmed ST- segment elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI); presence of actionable coronary culprit lesions, myocardial necrosis, or any acute coronary syndrome (ACS). METHODS: An observational cohort study that enrolled consecutive patients with non-traumatic chest pain transported via ambulance. Prehospital ECGs were obtained with the Philips MRX monitor from the medical command center and re-processed using manufacturer-specific diagnostic algorithms to denote the likelihood of >>>Acute MI<<< or >>>Acute Ischemia<<<. Two independent reviewers retrospectively adjudicated the study outcomes and disagreements were resolved by a third reviewer. RESULTS: Our study included 2400 patients (age 59 ± 16, 47% females, 41% Black), with 190 (8%) patients with documented automated diagnostic statements of acute MI or acute ischemia. The sensitivity/specificity of the automated algorithm for detecting confirmed STEMI (n = 143, 6%); presence of actionable coronary culprit lesions (n = 258, 11%), myocardial necrosis (n = 291, 12%), or any ACS (n = 378, 16%) were 62.9%/95.6%; 37.2%/95.6%; 38.5%/96.4%; and 30.7%/96.3%, respectively. CONCLUSION: Although being very specific, automated interpretation statements of acute MI/acute ischemia on prehospital ECGs are not satisfactorily sensitive to exclude symptomatic coronary disease. Patients without these automated interpretation statements should be considered further for significant underlying coronary disease based on the clinical context. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov # NCT04237688.

Novel ECG features and machine learning to optimize culprit lesion detection in patients with suspected acute coronary syndrome.

BACKGROUND: Novel temporal-spatial features of the 12­lead ECG can conceptually optimize culprit lesions' detection beyond that of classical ST amplitude measurements. We sought to develop a data-driven approach for ECG feature selection to build a clinically relevant algorithm for real-time detection of culprit lesion. METHODS: This was a prospective observational cohort study of chest pain patients transported by emergency medical services to three tertiary care hospitals in the US. We obtained raw 10-s, 12­lead ECGs (500 s/s, HeartStart MRx, Philips Healthcare) during prehospital transport and followed patients 30 days after the encounter to adjudicate clinical outcomes. A total of 557 global and lead-specific features of P-QRS-T waveform were harvested from the representative average beats. We used Recursive Feature Elimination and LASSO to identify 35/557, 29/557, and 51/557 most recurrent and important features for LAD, LCX, and RCA culprits, respectively. Using the union of these features, we built a random forest classifier with 10-fold cross-validation to predict the presence or absence of culprit lesions. We compared this model to the performance of a rule-based commercial proprietary software (Philips DXL ECG Algorithm). RESULTS: Our sample included 2400 patients (age 59 ± 16, 47% female, 41% Black, 10.7% culprit lesions). The area under the ROC curves of our random forest classifier was 0.85 ± 0.03 with sensitivity, specificity, and negative predictive value of 71.1%, 84.7%, and 96.1%. This outperformed the accuracy of the automated interpretation software of 37.2%, 95.6%, and 92.7%, respectively, and corresponded to a net reclassification improvement index of 23.6%. Metrics of ST80; Tpeak-Tend; spatial angle between QRS and T vectors; PCA ratio of STT waveform; T axis; and QRS waveform characteristics played a significant role in this incremental gain in performance. CONCLUSIONS: Novel computational features of the 12­lead ECG can be used to build clinically relevant machine learning-based classifiers to detect culprit lesions, which has important clinical implications.

Identifying the most important ECG predictors of reduced ejection fraction in patients with suspected acute coronary syndrome.

BACKGROUND: Non-invasive screening tools of cardiac function can play a significant role in the initial triage of patients with suspected acute coronary syndrome. Numerous ECG features have been previously linked with cardiac contractility in the general population. We sought to identify ECG features that are most predictive for real-time screening of reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) in the acute care setting. METHODS: We performed a secondary analysis of a prospective, observational cohort study of patients evaluated for suspected acute coronary syndrome. We included consecutive patients in whom an echocardiogram was performed during indexed encounter. We evaluated 554 automated 12-lead ECG features in multivariate linear regression for predicting LVEF. We then used regression trees to identify the most important predictive ECG features. RESULTS: Our final sample included 297 patients (aged 63 ± 15, 45% females). The mean LVEF was 57% ± 13 (IQR 50%-65%). In multivariate analysis, depolarization dispersion in the horizontal plane; global repolarization dispersion; and abnormal temporal indices in inferolateral leads were all independent predictors of LVEF (R2 = 0.452, F = 6.679, p < 0.001). Horizontal QRS axis deviation and prolonged ventricular activation time in left ventricular apex were the most important determinants of reduced LVEF, while global QRS duration was of less importance. CONCLUSIONS: Poor R wave progression in precordial leads with dominant QS pattern in V3 is the most predictive feature of reduced LVEF in suspected ACS. This feature constitutes a simple visual marker to aid clinicians in identifying those with impaired cardiac function.

The Association Between Patient Outcomes and the Initial Emergency Severity Index Triage Score in Patients With Suspected Acute Coronary Syndrome.

BACKGROUND: The Emergency Severity Index (ESI) is a widely used tool to triage patients in emergency departments. The ESI tool is used to assess all complaints and has significant limitation for accurately triaging patients with suspected acute coronary syndrome (ACS). OBJECTIVE: We evaluated the accuracy of ESI in predicting serious outcomes in suspected ACS and aimed to assess the incremental reclassification performance if ESI is supplemented with a clinically validated tool used to risk-stratify suspected ACS. METHODS: We used existing data from an observational cohort study of patients with chest pain. We extracted ESI scores documented by triage nurses during routine medical care. Two independent reviewers adjudicated the primary outcome, incidence of 30-day major adverse cardiac events. We compared ESI with the well-established modified HEAR/T (patient History, Electrocardiogram, Age, Risk factors, but without Troponin) score. RESULTS: Our sample included 750 patients (age, 59 ± 17 years; 43% female; 40% black). A total of 145 patients (19%) experienced major adverse cardiac event. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for ESI score for predicting major adverse cardiac event was 0.656, compared with 0.796 for the modified HEAR/T score. Using the modified HEAR/T score, 181 of the 391 false positives (46%) and 16 of the 19 false negatives (84%) assigned by ESI could be reclassified correctly. CONCLUSION: The ESI score is poorly associated with serious outcomes in patients with suspected ACS. Supplementing the ESI tool with input from other validated clinical tools can greatly improve the accuracy of triage in patients with suspected ACS.

Exploring the complex interactions of baseline patient factors to improve nursing triage of acute coronary syndrome.

Emergency department (ED) nurses need to identify patients with potential acute coronary syndrome (ACS) rapidly because treatment delay could impact patient outcomes. Aims of this secondary analysis were to identify key patient factors that could be available at initial ED nurse triage that predict ACS. Consecutive patients with chest pain who called 9-1-1, received a 12-lead electrocardiogram in the prehospital setting, and were transported via emergency medical service were included in the study. A total of 750 patients were recruited. The sample had an average age of 59 years old, was 57% male, and 40% Black. One hundred and fifteen patients were diagnosed with ACS. Older age, non-Caucasian race, and faster respiratory rate were independent predictors of ACS. There was an interaction between heart rate by Type II diabetes receiving insulin in the context of ACS. Type II diabetics requiring insulin for better glycemic control manifested a faster heart rate. By identifying patient factors at ED nurse triage that could be predictive of ACS, accuracy rates of triage may improve, thus impacting patient outcomes.

Comparison of clinical risk scores for triaging high-risk chest pain patients at the emergency department.

BACKGROUND: Many of the clinical risk scores routinely used for chest pain assessment have not been validated in patients at high risk for acute coronary syndrome (ACS). We performed an independent comparison of HEART, TIMI, GRACE, FRISC, and PURSUIT scores for identifying chest pain due to ACS and for predicting 30-day death or re-infarction in patients arriving through Emergency Medical Services (EMS). METHODS AND RESULTS: We enrolled consecutive EMS patients evaluated for chest pain at three emergency departments. A reviewer blinded to outcome data retrospectively reviewed patient charts to compute each risk score. The primary outcome was ACS diagnosed during the primary admission, and the secondary outcome was death or re-infarction within 30-days of initial presentation. Our sample included 750 patients (aged 59 ±â€¯17 years, 42% female), of whom 115 (15.3%) had ACS and 33 (4.4%) had 30-day death or re-infarction. The c-statistics of HEART, TIMI, GRACE, FRISC, and PURSUIT for identifying ACS were 0.87, 0.86, 0.73, 0.84, and 0.79, respectively, and for predicting 30-day death or re-infarction were 0.70, 0.73, 0.72, 0.72, and 0.62, respectively. Sensitivity/negative predictive value of HEART ≥ 4 and TIMI ≥ 3 for ACS detection were 0.94/0.98 and 0.87/0.97, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: In chest pain patients admitted through EMS, HEART and TIMI outperform other scores for identifying chest pain due to ACS. Although both have similar negative predictive value, HEART has better sensitivity and lower rate of false negative results, thus it can be used preferentially over TIMI in the initial triage of this population.

Prevalence and Predictors of Delay in Seeking Emergency Care in Patients Who Call 9-1-1 for Chest Pain.

BACKGROUND: Delay in seeking medical treatment for suspected acute coronary syndrome can lead to negative patient outcomes. OBJECTIVE: Our aim was to evaluate the prevalence and predictors of delay in seeking care in high-risk chest pain patients with or without acute coronary syndrome (ACS). METHODS: This was a secondary analysis of an observational cohort study of patients transported by Emergency Medical Services for a chief complaint of chest pain. Important demographic and clinical characteristics were extracted from electronic health records. Two independent reviewers adjudicated the presence of ACS. Logistic regression was used to model the predictors of delay in seeking care. RESULTS: The final sample included 743 patients (99% non-Hispanic). Overall, 24% presented > 12 h from onset of symptoms. Among those with ACS (n = 115), 14% presented > 12 h after onset of symptoms. Race, smoking, diabetes, and related symptoms were associated with delayed seeking behavior. In multivariate analysis, non-Caucasian race (black or others) was the only independent predictor of > 12 h delay in seeking care (odds ratio 1.4; 95% confidence interval 1.0-1.9). CONCLUSIONS: One in four patients with chest pain, including 14% of those with ACS, wait more than 12 h before seeking care. Compared to non-blacks, black patients are 40% more likely to delay seeking care > 12 h.

Diurnal, weekly and seasonal variations of chest pain in patients transported by emergency medical services.

OBJECTIVES: Chest pain is among the leading causes for emergency medical services (EMS) activation. Acute myocardial infarction (MI) is not only one of the most critical aetiologies of chest pain, but also one of few conditions encountered by EMS that has been shown to follow a circadian pattern. Understanding the diurnal relationship between the inflow of chest pain patients and the likelihood of acute MI may inform prehospital and emergency department (ED) healthcare providers regarding the prediction, and hence prevention, of dire outcomes. METHODS: This was a secondary analysis of previously collected data from an observational prospective study that enrolled consecutive chest pain patients transported by a large metropolitan EMS system in the USA. We used the time of EMS call to determine the time-of-day of the indexed encounter. Two independent reviewers examined available medical data to determine our primary outcome, the presence of MI, and our secondary outcomes, infarct size and 30-day major adverse cardiac events (MACE). We estimated infarct size using peak troponin level. RESULTS: We enrolled 2065 patients (age 56±17, 53% males, 7.5% with MI). Chest pain encounters increased from 9:00 AM to 2:00 PM, with a peak at 1:00 PM and a nadir at 6:00 AM. Acute MI had a bimodal distribution with two peaks: 10 AM in ST-elevation MI, and 10 PM in non-ST-elevation MI. ST-elevation MI with afternoon onset was an independent predictor of infarct size. Acute MI with winter and early spring presentation was an independent predictor of 30-day MACE. CONCLUSIONS: EMS-attended chest pain calls follow a diurnal pattern, with the most vulnerable patients encountered during afternoons and winter/spring seasons. These data can inform prehospital and ED healthcare providers regarding the time of presentation where patients are more likely to have an underlying MI and subsequently worse outcomes.

Lack of Significant Coronary History and ECG Misinterpretation Are the Strongest Predictors of Undertriage in Prehospital Chest Pain.

INTRODUCTION: Appropriate prehospital (PH) triage of patients with chest pain can significantly improve outcomes in acute myocardial infarction (MI). We sought to explore how PH providers triage chest pain as high versus low risk and to evaluate the accuracy and predictors of their triage decision. METHODS: This was a prospective, observational cohort study that enrolled consecutive patients with chest pain transported by emergency medical services (EMS) to 3 tertiary care hospitals in the US. EMS triage decision (high risk versus low-risk) was defined based on the transmission of PH electrocardiogram (ECG) to a command center for medical consultation with or without catheter laboratory activation. Two independent reviewers examined in-hospital medical records to adjudicate the presence of acute MI and to audit the findings on the presenting ECG. RESULTS: We enrolled 2,065 patients (aged 56 ± 17, 53% male) of whom 768 (37%) were triaged as high risk. Those triaged as high risk were older, were more likely to be men or have significant cardiac history, and had a higher rate of acute MI events (14.2% versus 3.5%). The sensitivity and specificity for triaging MI events as high risk were 70% and 97%, respectively. A total of 46/155 (30%) MI events were misclassified as low risk. No previous coronary revascularization and ECG misinterpretation were strong independent predictors of such undertriage. CONCLUSIONS: PH providers have moderate sensitivity in triaging high-risk patients; 1 in 3 MI events are undertriaged. Emergency nurses need to pay special attention to patients with benign past histories during transition of care and should always reinterpret ECGs for subtle ischemic changes.

Machine Learning for the ECG Diagnosis and Risk Stratification of Occlusion Myocardial Infarction at First Medical Contact.

Patients with occlusion myocardial infarction (OMI) and no ST-elevation on presenting ECG are increasing in numbers. These patients have a poor prognosis and would benefit from immediate reperfusion therapy, but we currently have no accurate tools to identify them during initial triage. Herein, we report the first observational cohort study to develop machine learning models for the ECG diagnosis of OMI. Using 7,313 consecutive patients from multiple clinical sites, we derived and externally validated an intelligent model that outperformed practicing clinicians and other widely used commercial interpretation systems, significantly boosting both precision and sensitivity. Our derived OMI risk score provided superior rule-in and rule-out accuracy compared to routine care, and when combined with the clinical judgment of trained emergency personnel, this score helped correctly reclassify one in three patients with chest pain. ECG features driving our models were validated by clinical experts, providing plausible mechanistic links to myocardial injury.

Machine learning for ECG diagnosis and risk stratification of occlusion myocardial infarction.

Patients with occlusion myocardial infarction (OMI) and no ST-elevation on presenting electrocardiogram (ECG) are increasing in numbers. These patients have a poor prognosis and would benefit from immediate reperfusion therapy, but, currently, there are no accurate tools to identify them during initial triage. Here we report, to our knowledge, the first observational cohort study to develop machine learning models for the ECG diagnosis of OMI. Using 7,313 consecutive patients from multiple clinical sites, we derived and externally validated an intelligent model that outperformed practicing clinicians and other widely used commercial interpretation systems, substantially boosting both precision and sensitivity. Our derived OMI risk score provided enhanced rule-in and rule-out accuracy relevant to routine care, and, when combined with the clinical judgment of trained emergency personnel, it helped correctly reclassify one in three patients with chest pain. ECG features driving our models were validated by clinical experts, providing plausible mechanistic links to myocardial injury.

Association between history of cancer and major adverse cardiovascular events in patients with chest pain presenting to the emergency department: a secondary analysis of a prospective cohort study.

OBJECTIVES: Cancer survivorship status among patients evaluated for chest pain at the emergency department (ED) warrants high degree of suspicion. However, it remains unclear whether cancer survivorship is associated with different risk of major adverse cardiac events (MACE) compared to those with no history of cancer. Furthermore, while HEART score is widely used in ED evaluation, it is unclear whether it can adequately triage chest pain events in cancer survivors. We sought to compare the rate of MACE in patients with a recent history of cancer in remission evaluated for acute chest pain at the ED to those with no history of cancer, and compare the performance of a common chest pain risk stratification score (HEART) between the two groups. METHODS: We performed a secondary analysis of a prospective observational cohort study of chest pain patients presenting to the EDs of three tertiary care hospitals in the USA. Cancer survivorship status, HEART scores, and the presence of MACE within 30 days of admission were retrospectively adjudicated from the charts. We defined patients with recent history of cancer in remission as those with a past history of cancer of less than 10 years, and currently cured or in remission. RESULTS: The sample included 750 patients (age: 59 ± 17; 42% females, 40% Black), while 69 patients (9.1%) had recent history of cancer in remission. A cancer in remission status was associated with a higher comorbidity burden, older age, and female sex. There was no difference in risk of MACE between those with a cancer in remission and their counterparts in both univariate [17.4 vs. 19.5%, odds ratio (OR) = 0.87 (95% confidence interval (CI), 0.45-1.66], P = 0.67] and multivariable analysis adjusting for demographics and comorbidities [OR = 0.62 (95% CI, 0.31-1.25), P = 0.18]. Patients with cancer in remission had higher HEART score (4.6 ± 1.8 vs. 3.9 ± 2.0, P = 0.006), and a higher proportion triaged as intermediate risk [68 vs. 56%, OR = 1.67 (95% CI, 1.00-2.84), P = 0.05]; however, no difference in the performance of HEART score existed between the groups (area under the curve = 0.86 vs. 0.84, P = 0.76). CONCLUSIONS: There was no difference in rate of MACE between those with recent history of cancer in remission compared to their counterparts. A higher proportion of patients with cancer in remission was triaged as intermediate risk by the HEART score, but we found no difference in the performance of the HEART score between the groups.

In Search of an Optimal Subset of ECG Features to Augment the Diagnosis of Acute Coronary Syndrome at the Emergency Department.

Background Classical ST-T waveform changes on standard 12-lead ECG have limited sensitivity in detecting acute coronary syndrome (ACS) in the emergency department. Numerous novel ECG features have been previously proposed to augment clinicians' decision during patient evaluation, yet their clinical utility remains unclear. Methods and Results This was an observational study of consecutive patients evaluated for suspected ACS (Cohort 1 n=745, age 59±17, 42% female, 15% ACS; Cohort 2 n=499, age 59±16, 49% female, 18% ACS). Out of 554 temporal-spatial ECG waveform features, we used domain knowledge to select a subset of 65 physiology-driven features that are mechanistically linked to myocardial ischemia and compared their performance to a subset of 229 data-driven features selected by multiple machine learning algorithms. We then used random forest to select a final subset of 73 most important ECG features that had both data- and physiology-driven basis to ACS prediction and compared their performance to clinical experts. On testing set, a regularized logistic regression classifier based on the 73 hybrid features yielded a stable model that outperformed clinical experts in predicting ACS, with 10% to 29% of cases reclassified correctly. Metrics of nondipolar electrical dispersion (ie, circumferential ischemia), ventricular activation time (ie, transmural conduction delays), QRS and T axes and angles (ie, global remodeling), and principal component analysis ratio of ECG waveforms (ie, regional heterogeneity) played an important role in the improved reclassification performance. Conclusions We identified a subset of novel ECG features predictive of ACS with a fully interpretable model highly adaptable to clinical decision support applications. Registration URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique Identifier: NCT04237688.

A Novel Non-Invasive Assessment of Cardiac Hemodynamics in Patients With Heart Failure and Atrial Fibrillation.

BACKGROUND: Heart failure (HF) and atrial fibrillation (AF) often coexist. The hemodynamic alterations induced by AF in patients with HF are well studied; however we lack reliable and non-invasive means to study these hemodynamic alterations in ambulatory patients. We sought to evaluate the clinical utility of impedance cardiography (ICG) as a novel and non-invasive tool to evaluate cardiac hemodynamics in ambulatory patients with HF and AF. METHODS: This was a single-center observational study. A convenient sample of ambulatory patients with chronic HF underwent non-invasive electrocardiogram (ECG) and hemodynamic monitoring using BioZ Dx impedance cardiographer. Hemodynamics were automatically computed and ECG data were interpreted by an independent reviewer. RESULTS: A total of 32 patients (62 ± 14 years of age; 66% male; ejection fraction 33±13%) were enrolled. There were no baseline demographic or clinical differences between those with AF (28%) and those without AF (72%). However, patients with AF exhibited lower stroke volume (60 ± 7 vs. 89 ± 29, P = 0.008), left ventricular work (33 ± 9 vs. 45 ± 13, P = 0.016), cardiac contractility (30 ± 8 vs. 40 ± 13, P = 0.037), and arterial elasticity (13 ± 5 vs. 21 ± 5, P = 0.012), as well as higher cardiac afterload (203 ± 57 vs. 151 ± 49, P = 0.015). CONCLUSIONS: Using non-invasive ICG, we have shown that it is feasible to characterize hemodynamics in ambulatory HF patients. We show that AF compromises left ventricular function in patients with HF and is associated with excess afterload and reduced arterial elasticity.

Machine learning-based prediction of acute coronary syndrome using only the pre-hospital 12-lead electrocardiogram.

Prompt identification of acute coronary syndrome is a challenge in clinical practice. The 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) is readily available during initial patient evaluation, but current rule-based interpretation approaches lack sufficient accuracy. Here we report machine learning-based methods for the prediction of underlying acute myocardial ischemia in patients with chest pain. Using 554 temporal-spatial features of the 12-lead ECG, we train and test multiple classifiers on two independent prospective patient cohorts (n = 1244). While maintaining higher negative predictive value, our final fusion model achieves 52% gain in sensitivity compared to commercial interpretation software and 37% gain in sensitivity compared to experienced clinicians. Such an ultra-early, ECG-based clinical decision support tool, when combined with the judgment of trained emergency personnel, would help to improve clinical outcomes and reduce unnecessary costs in patients with chest pain.

Nonspecific electrocardiographic abnormalities are associated with increased length of stay and adverse cardiac outcomes in prehospital chest pain.

BACKGROUND: Nonspecific ST-T repolarization (NST) abnormalities alter the ST-segment for reasons often unrelated to acute myocardial ischemia, which could contribute to misdiagnosis or inappropriate treatment. We sought to define the prevalence of NST patterns in patients with chest pain and evaluate how such patterns correlate with the eventual etiology of chest pain and course of hospitalization. METHODS: This was a prospective observational study that included consecutive prehospital chest pain patients from three tertiary care hospitals in the U.S. Two independent reviewers blinded from clinical data audited the prehospital 12-lead ECG for the presence or absence of NST patterns (i.e., right or left bundle branch block, left ventricular hypertrophy with strain pattern, ventricular pacing, ventricular rhythm, or coarse atrial fibrillation). The primary outcome was 30-day major adverse cardiac events (MACE) defined as cardiac arrest, acute heart failure, post-discharge infarction, or all-cause death. RESULTS: The final sample included 750 patients (age 59 ± 17, 58% males). A total of 40 patients (5.3%) experienced 30-MACE and 131 (17.5%) had NST patterns. The presence of NST patterns was an independent multivariate predictor of 30-day MACE (9.9% vs. 4.4%, OR = 2.2 [95% CI = 1.1-4.5]. Patients with NST patterns had increased median length of stay (1.0 [IQR 0.5-3] vs. 2.0 [IQR 1-4] days, p < 0.05) independent of the etiology of chest pain. CONCLUSIONS: One in six prehospital ECGs of patients with chest pain has NST patterns. This pattern is associated with increased length of stay and adverse cardiac outcomes, suggesting the need of preventive measures and close follow up in such patients.