Whole-brain analyses indicate the impairment of posterior integration and thalamo-frontotemporal broadcasting in disorders of consciousness.

The study of the brain's dynamical activity is opening a window to help the clinical assessment of patients with disorders of consciousness. For example, glucose uptake and the dysfunctional spread of naturalistic and synthetic stimuli has proven useful to characterize hampered consciousness. However, understanding of the mechanisms behind loss of consciousness following brain injury is still missing. Here, we study the propagation of endogenous and in-silico exogenous perturbations in patients with disorders of consciousness, based upon directed and causal interactions estimated from resting-state fMRI data, fitted to a linear model of activity propagation. We found that patients with disorders of consciousness suffer decreased capacity for neural propagation and responsiveness to events, and that this can be related to severe reduction of glucose metabolism as measured with [18 F]FDG-PET. In particular, we show that loss of consciousness is related to the malfunctioning of two neural circuits: the posterior cortical regions failing to convey information, in conjunction with reduced broadcasting of information from subcortical, temporal, parietal and frontal regions. These results shed light on the mechanisms behind disorders of consciousness, triangulating network function with basic measures of brain integrity and behavior.

Regional brain volumetry and brain function in severely brain-injured patients.

OBJECTIVE: The relationship between residual brain tissue in patients with disorders of consciousness (DOC) and the clinical condition is unclear. This observational study aimed to quantify gray (GM) and white matter (WM) atrophy in states of (altered) consciousness. METHODS: Structural T1-weighted magnetic resonance images were processed for 102 severely brain-injured and 52 healthy subjects. Regional brain volume was quantified for 158 (sub)cortical regions using Freesurfer. The relationship between regional brain volume and clinical characteristics of patients with DOC and conscious brain-injured patients was assessed using a linear mixed-effects model. Classification of patients with unresponsive wakefulness syndrome (UWS) and minimally conscious state (MCS) using regional volumetric information was performed and compared to classification using cerebral glucose uptake from fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography. For validation, the T1-based classifier was tested on independent datasets. RESULTS: Patients were characterized by smaller regional brain volumes than healthy subjects. Atrophy occurred faster in UWS compared to MCS (GM) and conscious (GM and WM) patients. Classification was successful (misclassification with leave-one-out cross-validation between 2% and 13%) and generalized to the independent data set with an area under the receiver operator curve of 79% (95% confidence interval [CI; 67-91.5]) for GM and 70% (95% CI [55.6-85.4]) for WM. INTERPRETATION: Brain volumetry at the single-subject level reveals that regions in the default mode network and subcortical gray matter regions, as well as white matter regions involved in long range connectivity, are most important to distinguish levels of consciousness. Our findings suggest that changes of brain structure provide information in addition to the assessment of functional neuroimaging and thus should be evaluated as well. Ann Neurol 2018;83:842-853.

Bayesian inference in an extended SEIR model with nonparametric disease transmission rate: an application to the Ebola epidemic in Sierra Leone.

The 2014 Ebola outbreak in Sierra Leone is analyzed using a susceptible-exposed-infectious-removed (SEIR) epidemic compartmental model. The discrete time-stochastic model for the epidemic evolution is coupled to a set of ordinary differential equations describing the dynamics of the expected proportions of subjects in each epidemic state. The unknown parameters are estimated in a Bayesian framework by combining data on the number of new (laboratory confirmed) Ebola cases reported by the Ministry of Health and prior distributions for the transition rates elicited using information collected by the WHO during the follow-up of specific Ebola cases. The time-varying disease transmission rate is modeled in a flexible way using penalized B-splines. Our framework represents a valuable stochastic tool for the study of an epidemic dynamic even when only irregularly observed and possibly aggregated data are available. Simulations and the analysis of the 2014 Sierra Leone Ebola data highlight the merits of the proposed methodology. In particular, the flexible modeling of the disease transmission rate makes the estimation of the effective reproduction number robust to the misspecification of the initial epidemic states and to underreporting of the infectious cases.

Inference in dynamic systems using B-splines and quasilinearized ODE penalties.

Nonlinear (systems of) ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are common tools in the analysis of complex one-dimensional dynamic systems. We propose a smoothing approach regularized by a quasilinearized ODE-based penalty. Within the quasilinearized spline-based framework, the estimation reduces to a conditionally linear problem for the optimization of the spline coefficients. Furthermore, standard ODE compliance parameter(s) selection criteria are applicable. We evaluate the performances of the proposed strategy through simulated and real data examples. Simulation studies suggest that the proposed procedure ensures more accurate estimates than standard nonlinear least squares approaches when the state (initial and/or boundary) conditions are not known.

Smooth deconvolution of low-field NMR signals.

BACKGROUND: Low resolution nuclear magnetic resonance (LR-NMR) is a common technique to identify the constituents of complex materials (such as food and biological samples). The output of LR-NMR experiments is a relaxation signal which can be modelled as a type of convolution of an unknown density of relaxation times with decaying exponential functions, plus random Gaussian noise. The challenge is to estimate that density, a severely ill-posed problem. A complication is that non-negativity constraints need to be imposed in order to obtain valid results. SIGNIFICANCE AND NOVELTY: We present a smooth deconvolution model for solution of the inverse estimation problem in LR-NMR relaxometry experiments. We model the logarithm of the relaxation time density as a smooth function using (adaptive) P-splines while matching the expected residual magnetisations with the observed ones. The roughness penalty removes the singularity of the deconvolution problem, and the estimated density is positive by design (since we model its logarithm). The model is non-linear, but it can be linearized easily. The penalty has to be tuned for each given sample. We describe an efficient EM-type algorithm to optimize the smoothing parameter(s). RESULTS: We analyze a set of food samples (potato tubers). The relaxation spectra extracted using our method are similar to the ones described in the previous experiments but present sharper peaks. Using penalized signal regression we are able to accurately predict dry matter content of the samples using the estimated spectra as covariates.

Cerebral electrometabolic coupling in disordered and normal states of consciousness.

We assess cerebral integrity with cortical and subcortical FDG-PET and cortical electroencephalography (EEG) within the mesocircuit model framework in patients with disorders of consciousness (DoCs). The mesocircuit hypothesis proposes that subcortical activation facilitates cortical function. We find that the metabolic balance of subcortical mesocircuit areas is informative for diagnosis and is associated with four EEG-based power spectral density patterns, cortical metabolism, and α power in healthy controls and patients with a DoC. Last, regional electrometabolic coupling at the cortical level can be identified in the θ and α ranges, showing positive and negative relations with glucose uptake, respectively. This relation is inverted in patients with a DoC, potentially related to altered orchestration of neural activity, and may underlie suboptimal excitability states in patients with a DoC. By understanding the neurobiological basis of the pathophysiology underlying DoCs, we foresee translational value for diagnosis and treatment of patients with a DoC.

Behavioral and electrophysiological effects of network-based frontoparietal tDCS in patients with severe brain injury: A randomized controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Transcranial direct current stimulation (tDCS) may promote the recovery of severely brain-injured patients with disorders of consciousness (DOC). Prior tDCS studies targeted single brain regions rather than brain networks critical for consciousness recovery. OBJECTIVE: Investigate the behavioral and electrophysiological effects of multifocal tDCS applied over the frontoparietal external awareness network in patients with chronic acquired DOC. METHODS: Forty-six patients were included in this randomized double-blind sham-controlled crossover trial (median [interquartile range]: 46 [35 - 59] years old; 12 [5 - 47] months post injury; 17 unresponsive wakefulness syndrome, 23 minimally conscious state (MCS) and 6 emerged from the MCS). Multifocal tDCS was applied for 20 min using 4 anodes and 4 cathodes with 1 mA per electrode. Coma Recovery Scale-Revised (CRS-R) assessment and 10 min of resting state electroencephalogram (EEG) recordings were acquired before and after the active and sham sessions. RESULTS: At the group level, there was no tDCS behavioral treatment effect. However, following active tDCS, the EEG complexity significantly increased in low frequency bands (1-8 Hz). CRS-R total score improvement was associated with decreased baseline complexity in those bands. At the individual level, after active tDCS, new behaviors consistent with conscious awareness emerged in 5 patients. Conversely, 3 patients lost behaviors consistent with conscious awareness. CONCLUSION: The behavioral effect of multifocal frontoparietal tDCS varies across patients with DOC. Electrophysiological changes were observed in low frequency bands but not translated into behavioral changes at the group level.

Modelling the potential of focal screening and treatment as elimination strategy for Plasmodium falciparum malaria in the Peruvian Amazon Region.

BACKGROUND: Focal screening and treatment (FSAT) of malaria infections has recently been introduced in Peru to overcome the inherent limitations of passive case detection (PCD) and further decrease the malaria burden. Here, we used a relatively straightforward mathematical model to assess the potential of FSAT as elimination strategy for Plasmodium falciparum malaria in the Peruvian Amazon Region. METHODS: A baseline model was developed to simulate a scenario with seasonal malaria transmission and the effect of PCD and treatment of symptomatic infections on the P. falciparum malaria transmission in a low endemic area of the Peruvian Amazon. The model was then adjusted to simulate intervention scenarios for predicting the long term additional impact of FSAT on P. falciparum malaria prevalence and incidence. Model parameterization was done using data from a cohort study in a rural Amazonian community as well as published transmission parameters from previous studies in similar areas. The effect of FSAT timing and frequency, using either microscopy or a supposed field PCR, was assessed on both predicted incidence and prevalence rates. RESULTS: The intervention model indicated that the addition of FSAT to PCD significantly reduced the predicted P. falciparum incidence and prevalence. The strongest reduction was observed when three consecutive FSAT were implemented at the beginning of the low transmission season, and if malaria diagnosis was done with PCR. Repeated interventions for consecutive years (10 years with microscopy or 5 years with PCR), would allow reaching near to zero incidence and prevalence rates. CONCLUSIONS: The addition of FSAT interventions to PCD may enable to reach P. falciparum elimination levels in low endemic areas of the Amazon Region, yet the progression rates to those levels may vary substantially according to the operational criteria used for the intervention.