Utility of serum ß2-microglobulin for prediction of kidney outcome among patients with biopsy-proven diabetic nephropathy.

AIM: To examine whether serum ß2-microglobulin (ß2-MG) could improve the prediction performance for kidney failure with replacement therapy (KFRT) among patients with diabetic nephropathy (DN). METHODS: Patients with biopsy-proven DN at Nara Medical University Hospital were included. The exposure of interest was log-transformed serum ß2-MG levels measured at kidney biopsy. The outcome variable was KFRT. Multivariable Cox regression models and competing-risk regression models, with all-cause mortality as a competing event, were performed. Model fit by adding serum ß2-MG levels was calculated using the Akaike information criterion (AIC). The net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) indexes were used to evaluate the improvement of predictive performance for 5-year cumulative incidence of KFRT by serum ß2-MG levels. RESULTS: Among 408 patients, 99 developed KFRT during a median follow-up period of 6.7 years. A higher serum ß2-MG level (1-unit increase in log-transformed serum ß2-MG level) was associated with a higher incidence of KFRT, even after adjustments for previously known clinical and histological risk factors (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval {CI}]: 3.30 [1.57-6.94] and subdistribution hazard ratio [95% CI]: 3.07 [1.55-6.06]). The addition of log-transformed serum ß2-MG level reduced AIC and improved the prediction of KFRT (NRI and IDI: 0.32 [0.09-0.54] and 0.03 [0.01-0.56], respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with biopsy-proven DN, serum ß2-MG was an independent predictor of KFRT and improved prediction performance. In addition to serum creatinine, serum ß2-MG should probably be measured for DN.

Differential impact of glomerular and tubule-interstitial histological changes on kidney outcome between non-proteinuric and proteinuric diabetic nephropathy.

BACKGROUND: Studies on kidney function and histological findings in diabetic nephropathy (DN) with low urinary protein (UP) are few. We examined the differential impact of histological changes on kidney outcomes between non-proteinuric and proteinuric DN. METHODS: Patients diagnosed with DN by renal biopsy during 1981-2014 were divided into non-proteinuric (UP ≤ 0.5 g/day) and proteinuric (UP > 0.5 g/day) DN. The Cox proportional hazard model was used to examine the association of glomerular lesions (GLs) and interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy (IFTA) with end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) development after adjusting for relevant confounders. RESULTS: The non-proteinuric and proteinuric DN groups included 197 and 199 patients, respectively. During the 10.7-year median follow-up period, 16 and 83 patients developed ESKD in the non-proteinuric and proteinuric DN groups, respectively. In the multivariable Cox hazard model, hazard ratios (HRs) [95% confidence intervals (CIs)] of GL and IFTA for ESKD in proteinuric DN were 2.94 [1.67-5.36] and 3.82 [2.06-7.53], respectively. Meanwhile, HRs [95% CIs] of GL and IFTA in non-proteinuric DN were < 0.01 [0-2.48] and 4.98 [1.33-18.0], respectively. IFTA was consistently associated with higher incidences of ESKD regardless of proteinuria levels (P for interaction = 0.49). The prognostic impact of GLs on ESKD was significantly decreased as proteinuria levels decreased (P for interaction < 0.01). CONCLUSIONS: IFTA is consistently a useful predictor of kidney prognosis in both non-proteinuric and proteinuric DN, while GLs are a significant predictor of kidney prognosis only in proteinuric DN.

Trace proteinuria detected via dipstick test is associated with kidney function decline and new-onset overt proteinuria: the Japan Specific Health Checkups (J-SHC) Study.

BACKGROUND: Microalbuminuria is associated with mortality, cardiovascular disease, and end-stage kidney disease. The association between trace proteinuria (detected via dipstick test) and kidney outcomes is unclear. METHODS: This nationwide longitudinal study used data from the Japan Specific Health Checkups Study conducted during 2008-2014. The frequency of trace proteinuria (detected via dipstick test) during first two visits was used as an exposure variable (TrUP 0/2, no trace proteinuria; TrUP 1/2, detected once; TrUP 2/2, detected twice), and kidney outcomes were evaluated. The association between the frequency of trace proteinuria and incidence of 1.5-fold increase in serum creatinine levels and overt proteinuria was analyzed using Cox regression analysis. Trajectories of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) were compared using a mixed-effect model. RESULTS: Among 306,317 participants, 3188 and 17,461 developed a 1.5-fold increase in serum creatinine levels and new-onset overt proteinuria, respectively, during the median follow-up period of 36.2 months. The adjusted hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) for 1.5-fold increase in serum creatinine level in the TrUP 1/2 and TrUP 2/2 groups, compared to TrUP 0/2 group, were 1.23 (1.07-1.42) and 1.39 (1.01-1.92), respectively, and the adjusted HR (95% CI) for overt proteinuria were 2.94 (2.83-3.06) and 5.14 (4.80-5.51), respectively. The eGFR decline rates in the TrUP 1/2 and TrUP 2/2 groups were higher than that in the TrUP 0/2 group (p for interaction < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Trace proteinuria (detected via dipstick test) was associated with subsequent kidney function decline and overt proteinuria in the general population.

Synergistic effect of proteinuria on dipstick hematuria-related decline in kidney function: The Japan Specific Health Checkups (J-SHC) Study.

BACKGROUND: The effect of isolated hematuria without proteinuria on kidney function decline, and the modification by the severity of proteinuria in general population are not fully elucidated. METHODS: Participants were included in the Japan Specific Health Checkups Study between 2008 and 2014. The exposure of interest was the frequency of dipstick hematuria during the observation. In each proteinuria frequency category (non-, occasional, persistent), hematuria-related decline in the eGFR rate was examined by analysis of covariance (ANCOVA). eGFR decline trajectories were also assessed using mixed-effects models. RESULTS: Among the 552,951 participants, 146,753 (26.5%) had hematuria, and 56,021 (10.1%) and 8,061 (1.5%) had occasional and persistent proteinuria, respectively. During the median follow-up of 3.0 years, annual change in eGFR decline in participants with hematuria was significantly faster than in those without hematuria (mean [95% confidence interval]: - 0.95 [- 0.98 to - 0.92] vs - 0.86 [- 0.87 to - 0.84] mL/min/1.73 m2/year; P < 0.001). In ANCOVA, the hematuria-related annual eGFR decline rate increased as proteinuria frequency categories increased (differences in annual eGFR decline rate between participants with and without hematuria: 0.08 [0.06 to 0.09] in participants with non-proteinuria category, 0.17 [0.15 to 0.18] in occasional proteinuria category, and 0.68 [0.65 to 0.71] mL/min/1.73 m2/year in persistent proteinuria category; P for interaction < 0.001). Similar results were obtained by the linear mixed-effect model. CONCLUSIONS: Proteinuria has a synergistic effect on dipstick hematuria-related decline in kidney function. Among the general population without proteinuria throughout the observational period, the "isolated hematuria"-related eGFR decline was statistically significant but the difference was small.

The association of 5-year therapeutic responsiveness with long-term renal outcome in IgA nephropathy.

BACKGROUND: Immunoglobulin A nephropathy (IgAN) is the most common type of primary glomerulonephritis. Since most patients have a relatively benign renal prognosis, long-term follow-up is required. During such a long course of disease, relapse of IgAN is occasionally observed after upper respiratory tract infection or without any trigger. However, little is known about the impact of relapse on long-term renal outcomes. METHODS: In this retrospective cohort study of biopsy-proven primary IgAN, we analyzed the association of 5-year therapeutic responsiveness (relapse) with the subsequent development of end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) using a 5-year landmark analysis (Cox model) and explored predictors of relapse from histological and clinical data at baseline. RESULTS: Among 563 patients from the exploratory cohort, most relapses (13.7%) occurred within 5 years after treatment. Using 5-year landmark analysis, among 470 patients, 79 developed ESKD during a median follow-up period of 155 months. Even after adjustment for clinicopathological relevant confounders, hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) in the relapse and non-responder groups compared with the remission group were 2.86 (1.41-5.79) and 2.74 (1.48-5.11), respectively. Among 250 patients who achieved remission within 5 years, proteinuria, eGFR, mesangial hypercellularity, endocapillary hypercellularity, segmental sclerosis, and crescent, but not interstitial fibrosis/tubular atrophy, were independent predictors of 5-year relapse in multivariable logistic regression analysis, CONCLUSIONS: Both relapsers and non-responders had similarly strong association with ESKD in patients with IgAN. We also confirmed the predictors of relapse 5 years after renal biopsy, which may guide the treatment strategies for patients with IgAN who occasionally relapse after remission.

Association of initial prednisolone dose with remission, relapse, and infectious complications in adult-onset minimal change disease.

BACKGROUND: A dose of 0.5-1 mg/kg/day of prednisolone (PSL) is administered for the initial treatment of minimal change disease (MCD). However, little is known about the optimal PSL dose for the initial treatment of MCD. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective multicenter cohort study of treatment-naive adult patients with MCD diagnosed by renal biopsy from 1981 to 2015 in whom PSL monotherapy was performed as the initial treatment. The exposure of interest was an initial median PSL dose of < 0.63 mg/kg/day (Group L) compared to ≥ 0.63 mg/kg/day (Group H). Cumulative remission and relapse after remission were compared between these groups using Cox regression adjusted for baseline characteristics. RESULTS: Ninety-one patients met the inclusion criteria. During a median follow-up of 2.98 years, 87 (95.6%) patients achieved complete remission, and 47.1% relapsed after remission. There was no significant difference in the remission rate between the groups at 4 weeks of follow-up (66.7 vs. 82.6%). The median time to remission in Group L was comparable to that in Group H (17.0 vs. 14.0 days). A multivariable Cox hazard model revealed that the initial PSL dose was not a significant predictor of remission. The cumulative steroid doses at 6 months, 1 year, and 2 years after treatment initiation were significantly lower in Group L than in Group H. CONCLUSION: The initial PSL dose was not associated with time to remission, remission rate, time to relapse, or relapse rate. Therefore, a low initial steroid dose may be sufficient to achieve remission.

Association of pulse pressure with incident end-stage kidney disease according to histopathological kidney findings in patients with diabetic nephropathy.

Diabetic patients as well as the elderly are known to have high pulse pressure (PP), but there are few studies on how microangiopathy and macroangiopathy are involved in its mechanism. In this study, we examined the association between PP and atherosclerotic lesions by vessel size in kidney biopsy tissue and examined how PP is associated with kidney prognosis. This retrospective observational study included 408 patients with biopsy-proven diabetic nephropathy at Nara Medical University Hospital. Exposure of interest was PP measured at kidney biopsy. Outcome variable was kidney failure with replacement therapy (KFRT). Cox proportional hazards and competing risk regression models with all-cause mortality as a competing event were used to examine these associations. A total of 408 patients were divided into tertiles based on PP (mmHg): Tertile 1 (reference), <51; Tertile 2, 51-64; and Tertile 3, >64. Among the 408 patients, 99 developed KFRT during a median follow-up period of 6.7 years. Higher PP was independently associated with higher incidences of KFRT (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval] for Tertile 3 vs. Tertile 1; 2.07 [1.05-4.09]. In histological lesions, PP was strongly associated with glomerular lesions, tubulointerstitial lesions, and arteriolar hyalinosis (all ps for trend <0.001), but not with intimal thickening (p for trend = 0.714). PP was significantly associated with diabetic glomerular/tubulointerstitial lesions and arteriolar hyalinosis but not with intimal thickening at the time of kidney biopsy and was also significantly associated with subsequent KFRT in patients with diabetic nephropathy.

Serum High-Density Lipoprotein Cholesterol Levels and the Risk of Kidney Function Decline: The Japan Specific Health Checkups (J­SHC) Study.

AIMS: Both low and high serum levels of high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) were reported to be associated with adverse kidney outcomes. However, this association has not been well investigated in the general Japanese population. METHODS: This nationwide longitudinal study used data from the Japan Specific Health Checkups Study conducted between 2008-2014. The association between serum HDL-C levels and 40% decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was analyzed using Cox regression analysis. Trajectories of eGFR were compared using mixed-effects model. RESULTS: Among 768,495 participants, 6,249 developed 40% decline in eGFR during the median follow-up period of 34.6 (interquartile range: 14.8-48.4) months. Using serum HDL-C levels of 40-59 mg/dL as a reference, the adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) for the kidney outcome of serum HDL-C levels of ＜40, 60-79 and ≥ 80 mg/dL were 1.26 (1.14-1.39), 0.91 (0.86-0.96), and 0.86 (0.78-0.93), respectively. Restricted cubic spline analysis showed that HDL-C levels of less than approximately 60 mg/dL were associated with an increased risk of kidney outcomes. Subgroup analysis showed that baseline eGFR and proteinuria modified the effects of serum HDL-C levels on kidney outcomes. The mixed-effects model showed that the lower category of HDL-C level was associated with a higher eGFR decline rate (p for interaction ＜0.001). CONCLUSIONS: Low HDL-C levels were associated with kidney function decline; however, high HDL-C levels were not associated with adverse kidney outcomes in the general Japanese population.

Association of triglycerides to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio with incident cardiovascular disease but not end-stage kidney disease among patients with biopsy-proven diabetic nephropathy.

Increased triglycerides (TG) and decreased high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) are dyslipidemias characteristic of diabetes. Here, we aimed to examine associations of TG/HDL-C ratio with cardiovascular disease (CVD) and kidney dysfunction among patients with diabetic nephropathy. This retrospective observational study consists of patients with biopsy-proven diabetic nephropathy at Nara Medical University Hospital. Exposure of interest was TG/HDL-C ratio measured at kidney biopsy. Outcome variables were kidney histological findings, incident CVD and end-stage kidney disease (ESKD). Multivariable logistic regression models and Cox proportional hazard models were used to examined these associations. A total of 353 subjects were divided into quartiles based on TG/HDL-C ratio: Quartile 1 (reference), <1.96; Quartile 2, 1.96-3.10; Quartile 3, 3.11-4.55; and Quartile 4, ≥4.56. TG/HDL-C ratio was not a predictor of any histological findings in fully adjusted models. During median follow-up periods of 6.2 and 7.3 years, 152 and 90 subjects developed CVD and ESKD, respectively. Higher TG/HDL-C ratio was independently associated with higher incidences of CVD even after adjustments for potential confounders (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval] for Quartile 3 vs. reference; 1.73 [1.08-2.79] and Quartile 4 vs. reference; 1.86 [1.10-3.17]). Although there was a weak association between TG/HDL-C ratio and ESKD in the univariable model, the association was not significant in fully adjusted models. In conclusion, among patients with biopsy-proven diabetic nephropathy, higher TG/HDL-C ratio was independently associated with higher incidences of CVD but not with kidney outcomes, suggesting different impact of TG/HDL-C ratio on cardiorenal outcomes.

Height loss is associated with decreased kidney function: The Japan Specific Health Checkups (J-SHC) Study.

AIM: Height loss that occurs with aging is a common phenomenon associated with musculoskeletal abnormalities, such as osteoporosis and sarcopenia. Notably, such height loss is also associated with poor outcomes, including cardiovascular disease and mortality. In this study, we investigated the relationship between height loss and kidney outcome. METHODS: This longitudinal study includes data from the Japan Specific Health Checkups Study from 2008 to 2014. Height loss was estimated using the first three visits (visits 1-3), and kidney outcomes were evaluated using data from the following visits (visit 3 to the last visit). The annual height change for each participant was estimated using mixed-effects model, and participants were divided into five groups according to the quintile of the rate. The association between height change and the incidence of 1.5-fold increase in serum creatinine level from baseline was analyzed using Cox regression analysis. The decline rates of estimated glomerular filtration rate among the groups were compared using a mixed-effects model. RESULTS: In total, 187 682 participants were included in the analyses. The median rate of height change was -0.11 cm/year. The adjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) for 1.5-fold increase in serum creatinine level in participants with the steepest category of height decline (Q1; Quintile 1) was 1.45 (1.26-1.67) compared with the reference (Q4; Quintile 4). The decline of the estimated glomerular filtration rate in Q1 (-1.25 mL/min/1.73 m2 /year) was significantly higher than that of the reference: Q4 (-0.92 mL/min/1.73 m2 /year) (P for interaction <0.001). CONCLUSION: Height loss is associated with a rapid decline in kidney function. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2023; 23: 282-288.

Association between chronic kidney disease and new-onset dyslipidemia: The Japan Specific Health Checkups (J-SHC) study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Dyslipidemias are common among patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) and are a major risk factor for cardiovascular disease. This study aimed to investigate the association between early-stage CKD and new-onset dyslipidemia for each lipid profile. METHODS: This nationwide longitudinal study included data from the Japan Specific Health Checkups (J-SHC) Study. New-onset dyslipidemia was indicated by hypertriglyceridemia (High-TG; ≥150 mg/dL), hyper-LDL cholesterolemia (High-LDL-C; ≥140 mg/dL), or hypo-HDL chelesterolemia (Low-HDL-C; <40 mg/dL) levels according to the guideline of Japan Atherosclerosis Society, or High-TG/HDL-C ratio (≥3.5) which was a good predictor of atherosclerosis. The incidence of new-onset dyslipidemia was compared between participants with and without CKD. Survival curves were used to analyze the incidence of each dyslipidemia. RESULTS: Of 289,462 participants with a median follow-up period of 3 years, the incidence of High-TG, High-LDL-C, Low-HDL-C, and High-TG/HDL-C ratios were 64.4/1000 person-years, 83.1/1000 person-years, 14.5/1000 person-years, and 39.6/1000 person-years, respectively. The adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) for High-TG, High-LDL-C, Low-HDL-C, and High-TG/HDL-C ratio were 1.09 (1.05-1.13), 0.99 (0.95-1.04), 1.12 (1.05-1.18), and 1.14 (1.09-1.18), respectively, in CKD participants as compared to non-CKD participants. Decreased eGFR and presence of proteinuria were independently associated with higher risks for new-onset of High-TG, Low-HDL-C, and High-TG/HDL-C ratios. CONCLUSIONS: CKD was associated with a higher risk of new-onset High-TG, Low-HDL-C, and High-TG/HDL-C ratios, but not High-LDL-C, in the general population. These CKD-specific lipid abnormalities may explain the residual risk for CKD-related cardiovascular disease.

Impact of self-reported walking habit on slower decline in renal function among the general population in a longitudinal study: the Japan Specific Health Checkups (J-SHC) Study.

BACKGROUND: Association between physical activity and decline in renal function among the general population is not fully understood. METHODS: This is a longitudinal study on subjects who participated in the Japanese nationwide Specific Health Checkup program between 2008 and 2014. The exposure of interest was baseline self-reported walking habit. The outcomes were annual change and incidence of 30% decline in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). Changes in eGFR were compared using a linear mixed-effects model. Cox proportional hazard models were used to examine the association between self-reported walking habit and 30% decline in eGFR. RESULTS: Among 332,166 subjects, 168,574 reported walking habit at baseline. The annual changes in eGFR [95% confidence interval (CI)] among subjects with and without baseline self-reported walking habit were - 0.17 (- 0.19 to - 0.16) and - 0.26 (- 0.27 to - 0.24) mL/min/1.73 m2/year, respectively (P for interaction between time and baseline self-reported walking habit, < 0.001). During a median follow-up of 3.3 years, 9166 of 314,489 subjects exhibited 30% decline in eGFR. The incidence of 30% decline in eGFR was significantly lower among subjects with self-reported walking habit after adjustment for potential confounders including time-varying blood pressure, body mass index, lipid profile, and hemoglobin A1c, with hazard ratio (95% CI) of 0.93 (0.89-0.97). Sensitivity analysis restricted to subjects with unchanged self-reported walking habit from baseline or analysis with time-varying self-reported walking habit yielded similar results. CONCLUSIONS: Self-reported walking habit was associated with significantly slower decline in eGFR. This association appeared to be independent of its effects on metabolic improvement.