Optimal control of pattern formations for an SIR reaction-diffusion epidemic model.

Patterns arising from the reaction-diffusion epidemic model provide insightful aspects into the transmission of infectious diseases. For a classic SIR reaction-diffusion epidemic model, we review its Turing pattern formations with different transmission rates. A quantitative indicator, "normal serious prevalent area (NSPA)", is introduced to characterize the relationship between patterns and the extent of the epidemic. The extent of epidemic is positively correlated to NSPA. To effectively reduce NSPA of patterns under the large transmission rates, taken removed (recovery or isolation) rate as a control parameter, we consider the mathematical formulation and numerical solution of an optimal control problem for the SIR reaction-diffusion model. Numerical experiments demonstrate the effectiveness of our method in terms of control effect, control precision and control cost.

Optimal control of the reaction-diffusion process on directed networks.

Reaction-diffusion processes organized in networks have attracted much interest in recent years due to their applications across a wide range of disciplines. As one type of most studied solutions of reaction-diffusion systems, patterns broadly exist and are observed from nature to human society. So far, the theory of pattern formation has made significant advances, among which a novel class of instability, presented as wave patterns, has been found in directed networks. Such wave patterns have been proved fruitful but significantly affected by the underlying network topology, and even small topological perturbations can destroy the patterns. Therefore, methods that can eliminate the influence of network topology changes on wave patterns are needed but remain uncharted. Here, we propose an optimal control framework to steer the system generating target wave patterns regardless of the topological disturbances. Taking the Brusselator model, a widely investigated reaction-diffusion model, as an example, numerical experiments demonstrate our framework's effectiveness and robustness. Moreover, our framework is generally applicable, with minor adjustments, to other systems that differential equations can depict.

Turing patterns in simplicial complexes.

The spontaneous emergence of patterns in nature, such as stripes and spots, can be mathematically explained by reaction-diffusion systems. These patterns are often referred as Turing patterns to honor the seminal work of Alan Turing in the early 1950s. With the coming of age of network science, and with its related departure from diffusive nearest-neighbor interactions to long-range links between nodes, additional layers of complexity behind pattern formation have been discovered, including irregular spatiotemporal patterns. Here we investigate the formation of Turing patterns in simplicial complexes, where links no longer connect just pairs of nodes but can connect three or more nodes. Such higher-order interactions are emerging as a new frontier in network science, in particular describing group interaction in various sociological and biological systems, so understanding pattern formation under these conditions is of the utmost importance. We show that a canonical reaction-diffusion system defined over a simplicial complex yields Turing patterns that fundamentally differ from patterns observed in traditional networks. For example, we observe a stable distribution of Turing patterns where the fraction of nodes with reactant concentrations above the equilibrium point is exponentially related to the average degree of 2-simplexes, and we uncover parameter regions where Turing patterns will emerge only under higher-order interactions, but not under pairwise interactions.

Epidemic Spreading in Metapopulation Networks Coupled With Awareness Propagation.

Understanding the feedback loop that links the spatiotemporal spread of infectious diseases and human behavior is an open problem. To study this problem, we develop a multiplex framework that couples epidemic spreading across subpopulations in a metapopulation network (i.e., physical layer) with the spreading of awareness about the epidemic in a communication network (i.e., virtual layer). We explicitly study the interactions between the mobility patterns across subpopulations and the awareness propagation among individuals. We analyze the coupled dynamics using microscopic Markov chains (MMCs) equations and validate the theoretical results via Monte Carlo (MC) simulations. We find that with the spreading of awareness, reducing human mobility becomes more effective in mitigating the large-scale epidemic. We also investigate the influence of varying topological features of the physical and virtual layers and the correlation between the connectivity and local population size per subpopulation. Overall the proposed modeling framework and findings contribute to the growing literature investigating the interplay between the spatiotemporal spread of epidemics and human behavior.

Optimal control of networked reaction-diffusion systems.

Patterns in nature are fascinating both aesthetically and scientifically. Alan Turing's celebrated reaction-diffusion model of pattern formation from the 1950s has been extended to an astounding diversity of applications: from cancer medicine, via nanoparticle fabrication, to computer architecture. Recently, several authors have studied pattern formation in underlying networks, but thus far, controlling a reaction-diffusion system in a network to obtain a particular pattern has remained elusive. We present a solution to this problem in the form of an analytical framework and numerical algorithm for optimal control of Turing patterns in networks. We demonstrate our method's effectiveness and discuss factors that affect its performance. We also pave the way for multidisciplinary applications of our framework beyond reaction-diffusion models.

Impacts of climate change on vegetation pattern: Mathematical modeling and data analysis.

Climate change has become increasingly severe, threatening ecosystem stability and, in particular, biodiversity. As a typical indicator of ecosystem evolution, vegetation growth is inevitably affected by climate change, and therefore has a great potential to provide valuable information for addressing such ecosystem problems. However, the impacts of climate change on vegetation growth, especially the spatial and temporal distribution of vegetation, are still lacking of comprehensive exposition. To this end, this review systematically reveals the influences of climate change on vegetation dynamics in both time and space by dynamical modeling the interactions of meteorological elements and vegetation growth. Moreover, we characterize the long-term evolution trend of vegetation growth under climate change in some typical regions based on data analysis. This work is expected to lay a necessary foundation for systematically revealing the coupling effect of climate change on the ecosystem.