Identifying Factors Predicting Margin Status After Mastectomy.

INTRODUCTION: A positive margin after mastectomy increases the risk of breast cancer recurrence and the morbidity associated with re-excision or chest wall irradiation. This study aimed to identify factors that may predict margin status after mastectomy. METHODS: Women with Tis-T3 breast cancers who underwent mastectomy from 2014 to 2020 were retrospectively analyzed. Comparisons of clinicopathologic data were made between patients with negative margins (> 1 mm) and close (≤ 1 mm) or positive margins. RESULTS: Of 938 women who underwent mastectomy, negative margins were reported for 794 (85%) women, while 144 (15%) women experienced close (97/144, 10%) or positive (47/144, 5%) margins. Re-excision of margins was performed in 37 (26%) of those patients, and 9 (24%) had residual cancer after re-excision. On multivariate analysis, increasing age (odds ratio [OR] 0.97, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.96-0.99, p = 0.002), increased body mass index (BMI; OR 0.97, 95% CI 0.93-1.00, p = 0.049), and neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC; OR 0.44, 95% CI 0.25-0.79, p = 0.006) decreased the risk of close or positive margins. Tumors located in the lower inner quadrant (OR 3.83, 95% CI 1.90-7.72, p < 0.001), multifocal tumors (OR 1.78, 95% CI 1.19-2.66, p = 0.005), immediate reconstruction (OR 1.63, 95% CI 1.03-2.58, p = 0.039), and a preoperative tumor to breast volume ratio > 4.14 (OR 2.66, 95% CI 1.43-4.94, p = 0.002) significantly increased the risk of close or positive margins. CONCLUSIONS: Age, BMI, tumor location, multifocality, NAC, immediate reconstruction, and tumor to breast volume ratio independently predicted margin status after mastectomy. These data should be considered when counseling women considering mastectomy.

The impact of metronidazole on pain persistence after fertility-sparing endometriosis surgery: METROFERT randomized study.

BACKGROUND: Recent studies have shown that a disrupted microbiome is associated with endometriosis. Despite endometriosis affecting 1 in 10 reproductive-aged women, there is a lack of innovative and nonhormonal long-term effective treatments. Studies have reported an approximately 20% to 37.5% persistence of pain after fertility-sparing endometriosis surgery. Metronidazole has been shown to decrease inflammatory markers and the size of endometriosis lesions in animal studies. OBJECTIVE: To determine if modulating the microbiome with oral metronidazole for 14 days after fertility-sparing endometriosis surgery decreases pain persistence postoperatively. STUDY DESIGN: This was a randomized, multicenter, placebo-controlled, double-blind trial. Individuals 18 to 50 years old were prospectively randomized to placebo vs oral metronidazole for 14 days immediately after endometriosis fertility-sparing excision surgery. The primary outcome was binary, subjective pain persistence at 6 weeks postoperatively. Secondary outcomes included quality of life, sexual function, and endometriosis-associated pain scores according to the Endometriosis Health Profile-5, Female Sexual Function Index, and a visual analog scale. RESULTS: One hundred fifty-two participants were approached from October 2020 to October 2023 to enroll in the study. Sixty-four participants were excluded either because they did not meet inclusion or exclusion criteria or because they declined to participate. Eighty-eight participants were randomized in a 1:1 ratio to receive either the oral placebo or metronidazole after endometriosis excision surgery; 18.2% of participants were lost to follow-up or discontinued treatment and this was not significantly different between the 2 arms, yielding a final cohort of 72 participants. Baseline demographics of the 2 study groups were similar. There was no statistically significant improvement in the primary outcome of binary subjective pain persistence between the metronidazole group compared to placebo (84% vs 88%, P=.74) at 6 weeks postoperatively. Further, no significant differences between treatments were detected in the secondary outcomes. CONCLUSION: A postoperative 14-day regimen of oral metronidazole immediately after fertility-sparing endometriosis surgery was not associated with any significant differences between treatment groups in the persistence of endometriosis-related pain symptoms compared to placebo at 6 weeks.

A Bayesian nonparametric model for classification of longitudinal profiles.

Across several medical fields, developing an approach for disease classification is an important challenge. The usual procedure is to fit a model for the longitudinal response in the healthy population, a different model for the longitudinal response in the diseased population, and then apply Bayes' theorem to obtain disease probabilities given the responses. Unfortunately, when substantial heterogeneity exists within each population, this type of Bayes classification may perform poorly. In this article, we develop a new approach by fitting a Bayesian nonparametric model for the joint outcome of disease status and longitudinal response, and then we perform classification through the clustering induced by the Dirichlet process. This approach is highly flexible and allows for multiple subpopulations of healthy, diseased, and possibly mixed membership. In addition, we introduce an Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling scheme that facilitates the assessment of the inference and prediction capabilities of our model. Finally, we demonstrate the method by predicting pregnancy outcomes using longitudinal profiles on the human chorionic gonadotropin beta subunit hormone levels in a sample of Chilean women being treated with assisted reproductive therapy.

Systemic adiponectin levels in colorectal cancer and adenoma: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Obesity is a well-established risk factor in the development of colorectal cancer; however, the mechanism mediating this relationship is not well understood. The adipokine, adiponectin, has an inverse relationship with obesity. Experimental studies have shown adiponectin to have dichotomous inflammatory and tumorigenic roles. Its role in the development of colorectal cancer, including the potential effect of its increase following bariatric surgery, is not yet clear. There are conflicting results from studies evaluating this relationship. This study sought to provide a systematic review and meta-analysis to examine the association between systemic adiponectin levels in patients with colorectal cancer and adenoma. METHODS: An electronic literature search was performed using PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science as well as gray literature. Articles were screened for inclusion criteria and assessed for quality using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. Pooled mean differences were calculated using a random effects model. Subgroup and meta-regression analyses were performed to identify potential sources of heterogeneity. RESULTS: Thirty-two observational studies comparing systemic adiponectin in colorectal cancer vs healthy controls were included. Colorectal cancer cases had lower systemic adiponectin levels (overall pooled mean difference = -1.05 µg/ml [95% CI: -1.99; -0.12] p = 0.03); however, significant heterogeneity was present (I2 = 95% p < 0.01). Subgroup and meta- regression analyses results could not identify a source of the significant heterogeneity across the studies. CONCLUSIONS: Studies suggest a trend towards lower systemic adiponectin levels in colorectal cancer patients, but the heterogeneity observed showed current evidence is not sufficient to definitively draw any conclusions. These data, however, suggest rising adiponectin is unlikely to account for the reported observation of increased CRC following bariatric surgery. Further studies with prospective age, race, and BMI-matched cohorts, and standardized adiponectin measurements may provide a better understanding of this relationship.

Proximity of percutaneous tibial nerve stimulation needle insertion to surrounding anatomic structures: a cadaveric study.

BACKGROUND: Percutaneous tibial nerve stimulation is a third-line treatment for overactive bladder and urgency urinary incontinence. During the procedure, a needle is inserted cephalad to the medial malleolus and posterior to the tibia. In recent years, permanent implants and leads have been developed for insertion into the medial ankle via a small incision. There are many important structures present in the medial compartment of the ankle, including the great saphenous vein, saphenous nerve, tibial nerve, posterior tibial vessels, and tendons of the posterior compartment leg muscles. OBJECTIVE: The primary objective of this study was to identify the proximity of the percutaneous tibial nerve stimulation needle placed per Food and Drug Administration-approved device instructions to nearby important anatomic structures. The secondary objectives were to identify the proximity of the tibial nerve to the needle site, identify clinically relevant ankle anatomic structures, and confirm the tibial nerve and posterior tibial vasculature by histologic analysis. STUDY DESIGN: Detailed medial ankle dissections were performed bilaterally on 10 female lightly embalmed anatomic donors (cadavers) obtained from the Willed Body Program at the University of Louisville. A pin was inserted at the percutaneous tibial nerve stimulation needle site, and the medial ankle was minimally dissected so the surrounding anatomic structures were visible but not disrupted. The shortest distance from the pin to the selected structures of the medial ankle region was measured. On completion of each dissection and set of measurements, tissue was harvested for histologic examination. The distances between the pin and each structure were assessed using means and standard deviations. A paired t test was used to assess the difference in the locations between the left and right ankles. Statistical analysis was performed on left-sided, right-sided, and combined measurements. An 80% prediction interval was found to represent the expected range of values for the measurement of a new cadaver or patient, and the 95% confidence interval of the mean was computed to characterize the average distance across all cadavers or patients. RESULTS: The medial ankle of 10 adult female lightly embalmed cadavers were examined bilaterally. Dissections were completed from October 2021 to July 2022. Of note, 80% prediction intervals for the tibial nerve, the posterior tibial artery or vein, and the flexor digitorum longus tendon had a lower range of 0.0 mm from the pin and extending to 12.1, 9.5, and 13.9 mm, respectively. Moreover, 2 of the structures were found to be asymmetrical between the right and left ankles. The great saphenous vein was further from the pin on the left (20.5 mm [standard deviation of 6.4 mm] on the left vs 18.1 mm [standard deviation of 5.3 mm] on the right; P=.04). The calcaneal (Achilles) tendon was further from the pin on the right side (13.2 mm [standard deviation of 6.8 mm] vs 7.9 mm [standard deviation of 6.7 mm]; P=.04). Tibial neurovascular structures were confirmed with microscopic analysis. CONCLUSION: The anatomic structures within the medial ankle lie unexpectedly close to the percutaneous tibial nerve stimulation needle site as noted per Food and Drug Administration-approved device instructions. There is a possibility that some medial ankle structures are not symmetrical. It is crucial that practitioners understand medial ankle anatomy when performing percutaneous tibial nerve stimulation or permanent device insertion.

Demographic variations and time to initiation of adjunct treatment following surgical resection of anaplastic astrocytoma in the United States: a National Cancer Database analysis.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The aim of this study was to analyze the trends, demographic differences in the type and time to initiation (TTI) of adjunct treatment AT following surgery for anaplastic astrocytoma (AA). MATERIAL AND METHODS: The National Cancer Database (NCDB) was queried for patients diagnosed with AA from 2004 to 2016. Cox proportional hazards and modeling was used to determine factors influencing survival, including the impact of time to initiation (TTI) of adjuvant therapy. RESULTS: Overall, 5890 patients were identified from the database. The use of combined RT + CT temporally increased from 66.3% (2004-2007) to 79% (2014-2016), p < 0001. Patients more likely to receive no treatment following surgical resection included elderly (> 60 years old), hispanic patients, those with either no or government insurance, those living > 20 miles from the cancer facility, those treated at low volume centers (< 2 cases/year). AT was received following surgical resection within 0-4 weeks, 4.1-8 weeks, and > 8 weeks in 41%, 48%, and 3%, respectively. Compared to patients who received RT + CT, patients were likely to receive RT only as AT either at 4-8 weeks or > 8 weeks after the surgical procedure. Patients who received AT within 0-4 weeks had the 3-year OS of 46% compared to 56.7% for patients who received treatment at 4.1-8 weeks. CONCLUSION: We found significant variation in the type and timing of adjunct treatment following surgical resection of AA in the United States. A considerable number of patients (15%) received no AT following surgery.

A Bayesian hierarchical sparse factor model for estimating simultaneous covariance matrices for gestational outcomes in consecutive pregnancies.

Covariance estimation for multiple groups is a key feature for drawing inference from a heterogeneous population. One should seek to share information about common features in the dependence structures across the various groups. In this paper, we introduce a novel approach for estimating the covariance matrices for multiple groups using a hierarchical latent factor model that shrinks the factor loadings across groups toward a global value. Using a sparse spike and slab model on these loading coefficients allows for a sparse formulation of our model. Parameter estimation is accomplished through a Markov chain Monte Carlo scheme, and a model selection approach is used to select the number of factors to use. We validate our model through extensive simulation studies. Finally, we apply our methodology to the NICHD Consecutive Pregnancies Study to estimate the correlations between birth weights and gestational ages of three consecutive birth within four different subgroups (underweight, normal, overweight, and obese) of women.

[S156] Comparing outcomes of per-oral pyloromyotomy and robotic pyloroplasty for the treatment of gastroparesis.

BACKGROUND: Gastroparesis is characterized by delayed gastric emptying without a significant obstructive pathology and is estimated to effect more than 5 million adults in the United States. Therapies for this condition are divided into two categories: gastric electrical stimulation or pyloric therapies to facilitate gastric emptying. Pyloric procedures include pyloroplasty, a well-documented procedure, and per-oral endoscopic myotomy (POP), a relatively novel endoscopic procedure that disrupts the pyloric muscles endoscopically. There is a paucity of literature comparing the two procedures. The aim of this study is to compare the outcomes of these two techniques. METHODS: Under an IRB protocol, data were collected prospectively from September 2018 through April 2021 at our institution for patients undergoing POP (n = 63 patients) or robotic pyloroplasty (RP) (n = 48). Preoperative and postoperative data including sex, race, age, BMI, and Gastroparesis Cardinal Symptom Index (GCSI) score were analyzed using univariate and multivariate analysis. RESULTS: There was no significant difference in sex, age, and BMI for both cohorts, but patients with RP were more likely to have private insurance, pre-op reflux, and PPI (p < .05 for all). Patients who underwent POP had significantly shorter operative time compared to RP (median 27 min vs 90, p < 0.001). The average change between preoperative and postoperative GCSI scores was significantly decreased for both interventions (POP mean = 8.2, RP 16.8, p < 0.001 both). However, comparing both data, RP has significantly better improvement in postoperative GCSI score than POP in both univariate (p < 0.001) and multivariate analysis (p = 0.030). This was reflected in the individual symptoms with nausea (p < 0.001), ability to finish meal (p = 0.037), abdomen visibly larger (p = 0.037) and bloating (p = 0.022) all showing improvement in both groups, but with RP having a more significant decrease in the scoring of these symptoms than POP. There was no significant difference in the number of postoperative complications (POP 19% vs RP 13%, p = 0.440). CONCLUSION: Even though both interventions are significantly associated with improvement of symptoms in patients with gastroparesis, our data demonstrates that robotic pyloroplasty has a superior response in comparison to per-oral endoscopic myotomy for the management of these symptoms. Per-oral pyloromyotomy has a similar complication rate to robotic pyloroplasty with a shorter operative time.

General anesthesia versus regional anesthesia in patients undergoing obliterative vaginal procedures for pelvic organ prolapse.

INTRODUCTION AND HYPOTHESIS: The objective was to compare outcomes in patients receiving general versus regional anesthesia when undergoing obliterative vaginal surgery for pelvic organ prolapse. METHODS: Obliterative vaginal procedures performed from 2010 to 2020 were identified in the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database using Current Procedural Terminology codes. Surgeries were categorized into general anesthesia (GA) or regional anesthesia (RA). Rates of reoperation, readmission, operative time, and length of stay were determined. A composite adverse outcome was calculated including any of the following: nonserious or serious adverse events, 30-day readmission, or reoperation. Propensity score-weighted analysis of perioperative outcomes was performed. RESULTS: The cohort included 6,951 patients, of whom 6,537 (94%) underwent obliterative vaginal surgery under GA and 414 (6%) received RA. When comparing outcomes under the propensity score-weighted analysis, operative times were shorter (median 96 vs 104 min, p<0.01) in the RA group versus GA. There were no significant differences between composite adverse outcomes (10% vs 12%, p=0.06), or readmission (5% vs 5%, p=0.83) and reoperation rates (1% vs 2%, p=0.12) between the RA and GA groups. Length of stay was shorter in patients receiving GA than in those receiving RA, especially when undergoing concomitant hysterectomy (67% discharged within 1 day in GA vs 45% in RA, p<0.01). CONCLUSIONS: Composite adverse outcomes, reoperation rates, and readmission rates were similar in patients who received RA for obliterative vaginal procedures compared with GA. Operative times were shorter in patients receiving RA than in those receiving GA, and length of stay was shorter in patients receiving GA than in those receiving RA.

A meta-analysis and systematic review of the comparison of laparoscopic ablation to percutaneous ablation for hepatic malignancies.

BACKGROUND: The optimal access for thermal ablation of the liver has not been evaluated in the literature for the laparoscopic versus percutaneous techniques. The aim of this manuscript was to determine the optimal ablation technique and patient selection for hepatic malignancies by comparing the efficacy and recurrence-free survival of laparoscopic and percutaneous thermal ablation. METHODS: A detailed literature search was made in PubMed, Web of Science, Google scholar, and EMBASE for related research publications. The data were extracted and assessed by two reviewers independently. Analysis of pooled data was performed, and Odds Ratio (OR) or Hazard Ratio (HR) with corresponding confidence intervals (CIs) was calculated and summarized respectively. RESULTS: A total of 10 articles were included with 1916 ablation patients. Laparoscopic ablation success (Median 100%) was found to be higher than percutaneous ablation success (median 89.4%) (p = ns). There was a higher percentage of both local and non-local hepatic recurrence in the patients treated with percutaneous ablation versus laparoscopic ablation. Meta-analysis indicated no difference in the adjusted hazard rate of recurrence by procedure type (p = 0.94). Laparoscopic ablation had a higher percentage of complications compared to percutaneous ablation (median lap 14.5% vs. perc 3.3%). CONCLUSIONS: While laparoscopic and percutaneous ablation are both effective interventions for hepatic malignancies, laparoscopic ablation was found to have improved ablation success and less local and non-local hepatic recurrence compared to percutaneous ablation.

Video Playback as an Educational Tool for Improving Resident Laparoscopic Performance: A Randomized Controlled Trial.

STUDY OBJECTIVE: In this single-masked randomized controlled study, we evaluate whether watching video recordings of oneself performing Fundamentals of Laparoscopic Skills (FLS) exercises results in an improvement on the 30-point Global Operative Assessment of Laparoscopic Skills (GOALS) assessment among Obstetrics and Gynecology (Ob/Gyn) residents. DESIGN: Twenty-three Ob/Gyn residents in the 2020-2021 academic year completed the FLS exercises while being timed, video recorded, and receiving real-time feedback from an Ob/Gyn faculty member. Baseline GOALS assessment was completed by participants and faculty. After the intervention, all participants then repeated the FLS exercises while being timed and were again scored using the GOALS assessment. Each participant completed the study in a single session. In addition, all participants completed a pre- and post-test survey. SETTING: University of Louisville Laparoscopic Skills Labortaory. PARTICIPANTS: University of Louisville Ob/Gyn residents in the 2020-2021 academic year. INTERVENTION: Twelve participants were randomized to the intervention and were allowed to watch their video recording in addition to receiving verbal feedback whereas the remaining 11 received verbal feedback only. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: There were significant improvements in faculty (p <.01) and self-reported GOALS scores (p <.01) when comparing both the intervention and control group with baseline scores. The intervention group improved by 3.2 points more than that of the control group based on masked faculty evaluation (95% confidence interval, 1.4-5.0 points; p <.01). The difference was not significant in resident self-scores. Overall time improved for all participants (15:54 ± 0.21 minutes before and 13:13 ± 0.14 minutes after), but this difference was not significant between the 2 groups. Higher postgraduate year (PGY) residents reported significantly more comfort performing laparoscopic tasks, earned higher GOALS score (faculty and self-scores), and completed the first set of exercises in less time. A significant interaction between PGY and intervention was detected with improvement in GOALS score most strongly associated with PGY4 residents (p <.01). CONCLUSION: Although all learners objectively benefit from watching recordings of themselves performing surgical tasks, advanced learners may benefit the most when video recordings are used as an educational tool.

Radiosurgery fractionation and post-treatment hemorrhage development for intact melanoma brain metastases.

PURPOSE: To assess, for intact melanoma brain metastases (MBM), whether single-fraction stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) versus fractionated stereotactic radiotherapy (fSRT) is associated with a differential risk of post-treatment lesion hemorrhage (HA) development. METHODS: A single institution retrospective database review identified consecutive patients with previously unresected MBM treated with robotic SRS/fSRT between 2013 and 2021. The presence of lesion HA was determined by multi-disciplinary imaging review. Dosimetric variables were reported as biologically effective doses using an α/ß ratio of 2.5 (BED2.5). Statistical analysis was performed using mixed effect logistic regression for post-treatment HA and Cox frailty modeling for local control (LC). RESULTS: The cohort included 48 patients with 226 intact MBM treated with SRS/fSRT. Of lesions without prior HA, 63 of 133 lesions (47.4%) receiving SRS demonstrated evidence of post-treatment HA versus 2 of 24 lesions (8.3%) treated with fSRT (p = 0.01). A larger maximum BED2.5 was observed in lesions developing HA compared to no HA (238.3 Gy vs. 211.4 Gy; p = 0.022). 12-month LC was 65.7% (95% CI 37.2-87.3%) and 77.5% (95% CI 58.5-91.2%) for lesions demonstrating pre-treatment and post-treatment HA, respectively, with no local failure events observed within 12 months for non-hemorrhagic lesions (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: We found an increased incidence of post-treatment HA for intact MBM receiving a larger maximum BED2.5, which was significantly higher for single fraction treatments within our cohort. The presence of lesion HA, either pre- or post-treatment, was indicative of inferior LC. Further investigations of optimal dose and fractionation schedules for treatment of MBM in the era of immunotherapy are warranted.

Stereotactic radiosurgery for melanoma brain metastases: dose-size response relationship in the era of immunotherapy.

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE(S): To determine, for intact melanoma brain metastases (MBM) treated with single-fraction stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS), whether planning parameter peripheral dose per lesion diameter (PDLDm, Gy/mm) and lesion control (LC) differs with versus without immunotherapy (IO). MATERIALS/METHODS: We performed a retrospective analysis of patients with intact MBM treated with SRS from 2008 to 2019. Cox-frailty models were constructed to include confounders selected by penalized Cox regression models with a LASSO selector. Interaction effect testing was used to determine whether a significant effect between IO and PDLDm could be demonstrated with respect to LC. RESULTS: The study cohort comprised 67 patients with 244 MBMs treated with SRS (30 patients with 122 lesions treated with both SRS and IO) were included. The logarithm of PDLDm was selected as a predictor of LC (HR 0.307, 95% CI 0.098-0.441), adjusting for IO receipt (HR 0.363, 95% CI 0.108-1.224). Interaction effect testing demonstrated a differential effect of PDLDm by IO receipt, with respect to LC (p = 0.048). Twelve-month LC rates for a 7.5 mm lesion receiving SRS (18 Gy) with IO versus without IO were 87.8% (95% CI 69.0-98.3%) versus 79.8% (95% CI 55.1-93.8%) respectively. CONCLUSION: PDLDm predicted LC in patients with small MBMs treated with single-fraction SRS. We found a differential effect of dose per lesion size and LC by immunotherapy receipt. Future studies are needed to determine whether lower doses of single-fraction SRS afford similarly effective LC for patients with small MBMs receiving immunotherapy.

Analyzing dental fluorosis data using a novel Bayesian model for clustered longitudinal ordinal outcomes with an inflated category.

We propose a Bayesian hurdle mixed-effects model to analyze longitudinal ordinal data under a complex multilevel structure. This research was motivated by the dataset gathered from the Iowa Fluoride Study (IFS) in order to establish the relationships between fluorosis status and potential risk/protective factors. Dental fluorosis is characterized by spots on tooth enamel and is due to ingestion of excessive fluoride intake during enamel formation. Observations are collected from multiple surface zones on each tooth and on all available teeth of children from the studied cohort, which are longitudinally observed at ages 9, 13, and 17. The data not only exhibit a complex hierarchical structure, but also have a large proportion of zero values that are likely to follow different statistical patterns from non-zero categories. Therefore, we develop a hurdle model to consider the zero category separately, while a proportional odds model is used for the positive categories. The estimated parameters are obtained from a Gibbs sampler implemented by the OpenBUGS software. Our model is compared with two popular methods for ordinal data: the proportional odds model and the partial proportional odds model. We perform a comprehensive analysis of the IFS data and evaluate the accuracy and effectiveness of our methodology through simulation studies. Our discoveries provide novel insights to statisticians and dental practitioners about the associations between patient and clinical characteristics and dental fluorosis.

Immune Status in Merkel Cell Carcinoma: Relationships With Clinical Factors and Independent Prognostic Value.

BACKGROUND: Immunosuppression (IS) currently is not considered in staging for Merkel cell carcinoma (MCC). An analysis of the National Cancer Database (NCDB) was performed to investigate immune status as an independent predictor of overall survival (OS) for patients with MCC and to describe the relationship between immune status and other prognostic factors. METHODS: The NCDB was queried for patients with a diagnosis of MCC from 2010 to 2016 who had known immune status. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used to define factors associated with OS. Secondary models were constructed to assess the association between IS etiology and OS. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to characterize relationships between immune status and other factors. RESULTS: The 3-year OS was lower for the patients with IS (44.6%) than for the immunocompetent (IC) patients (68.7%; p < 0.0001). Immunosuppression was associated with increased adjusted mortality hazard (hazard ratio [HR], 2.36, 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.03-2.75). The etiology of IS was associated with OS (p = 0.0015), and patients with solid-organ transplantation had the lowest 3-year OS (32.7%). Immunosuppression was associated with increased odds of greater nodal burden (odds ratio [OR], 1.70; 95% CI, 1.37-2.11) and lymphovascular invasion (OR, 1.58; 95% CI, 1.23-2.03). CONCLUSIONS: Immune status was independently prognostic for the OS of patients with localized MCC. The etiology of IS may be associated with differential survival outcomes. Multiple adverse prognostic factors were associated with increased likelihood of IS. Immune status, and potentially the etiology of IS, may be useful prognostic factors to consider for future MCC staging systems.

Patterns of care and outcomes of radiotherapy or hormone therapy in patients with medically inoperable endometrial adenocarcinoma.

OBJECTIVE: The optimal treatment for medically inoperable endometrioid endometrial adenocarcinoma is unknown. The goal of this study was to evaluate the patterns of care and efficacy of radiotherapy (RT) or hormone therapy (HT) in the treatment of these patients. METHODS: We performed a query of the National Cancer Database (NCDB) of patients with medically inoperable endometrioid adenocarcinoma of the endometrium diagnosed between 2004 and 2016 and treated with either RT or HT. A multivariate Cox regression model and propensity weighted analyses were used to evaluate overall survival after controlling for confounding variables. A multinomial logistic regression model was used to assess predictors of RT or HT use. RESULTS: A total of 1036 patients were included in this cohort, and 73% (n = 759) were treated with RT alone. Patients who received definitive HT compared to RT were more likely to be older, diagnosed in the earlier years of this analysis, treated at lower-case volume centers, diagnosed with high-grade disease, or located outside of metropolitan areas. On multivariate analysis, treatment with HT alone versus RT alone was associated with significantly worse overall survival in the multivariate Cox model but not on propensity score weighted analysis. Interaction effect testing revealed that older patients and those treated at lower-volume centers had improved survival with RT compared to HT. CONCLUSIONS: We identified factors associated with the receipt of RT or HT in medically inoperable endometrial cancer patients. Treatment with RT correlated with improved survival compared to HT in older patients and those treated at lower-volume centers.

A longitudinal Bayesian mixed effects model with hurdle Conway-Maxwell-Poisson distribution.

Dental caries (i.e., cavities) is one of the most common chronic childhood diseases and may continue to progress throughout a person's lifetime. The Iowa Fluoride Study (IFS) was designed to investigate the effects of various fluoride, dietary and nondietary factors on the progression of dental caries among a cohort of Iowa school children. We develop a mixed effects model to perform a comprehensive analysis of the longitudinal clustered data of IFS at ages 5, 9, 13, and 17. We combine a Bayesian hurdle framework with the Conway-Maxwell-Poisson regression model, which can account for both excessive zeros and various levels of dispersion. A hierarchical shrinkage prior distribution is used to share the temporal information for predictors in the fixed-effects model. The dependence among teeth of each individual child is modeled through a sparse covariance structure of the random effects across time. Moreover, we obtain the parameter estimates and credible intervals from a Gibbs sampler. Simulation studies are conducted to assess the accuracy and effectiveness of our statistical methodology. The results of this article provide novel tools to statistical practitioners and offer fresh insights to dental researchers on effects of various risk and protective factors on caries progression.

Role of adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with FIGO stage IB grade 3 endometrial endometrioid adenocarcinoma treated with surgery and post-operative radiotherapy.

BACKGROUND: The optimal treatment of patients with FIGO stage IB grade 3 endometrial endometrioid adenocarcinoma remains unknown. OBJECTIVE: To compare overall survival following treatment with a hysterectomy and adjuvant radiotherapy with or without chemotherapy in this group of patients. METHODS: Patients diagnosed between January 2004 and January 2016 with FIGO stage IB grade 3 endometrial endometrioid adenocarcinoma treated with hysterectomy and postoperative radiotherapy with or without adjuvant concurrent chemotherapy were identified in the National Cancer Database. Overall survival was assessed with Kaplan-Meier curves. A Cox model was constructed to evaluate survival after controlling for confounding variables. A logistic regression model was used to reveal predictors of chemotherapy use. RESULTS: A total of 2173 patients were included. The receipt of chemotherapy was associated with an increased 5-year overall survival from 67.6% to 75.6% (p=0.0313). This association trended toward statistical significance on multivariate analysis (adjusted HR (aHR) 0.80; 95% CI 0.63 to 1.01; p=0.0653). Other factors associated with improved survival were undergoing a lymphadenectomy, absence of lymphovascular space invasion, younger age, smaller tumor size, non-black race, and absence of comorbidities. Patients who underwent brachytherapy, had lymphovascular space invasion, were younger, were diagnosed in the more recent years, and were treated in higher volume centers were more likely to receive adjuvant chemotherapy. CONCLUSION: Adjuvant chemotherapy and radiation therapy were associated with an increase in survival in patients with FIGO stage IB grade 3 endometrial endometrioid adenocarcinoma compared with those treated with adjuvant radiotherapy alone.

Trends in Incidence and Mortality Rates of Uterine Cancer in Kentucky.

OBJECTIVES: The objective of this analysis was to gauge how the incidence and mortality of uterine cancer in Kentucky have changed from 1995 through 2017. An assessment of the trends in incidence and mortality across different geographic areas and between different races was also performed. METHODS: Age-adjusted annual incidence and mortality rates for uterine cancer were obtained from the Kentucky Cancer Registry. A meta-regression framework was used to assess changes in incidence and mortality rates during the time frame and to determine differences in these rates between rural versus urban counties, Appalachian versus non-Appalachian counties, and Black versus White women. RESULTS: The incidence of uterine cancer has significantly increased throughout the state of Kentucky since 1995. Uterine cancer incidence was 10% and 22% higher in rural and Appalachian counties, respectively, compared with urban and non-Appalachian counties (P < 0.0001) from 1995 through 2017. In contrast, urban and non-Appalachian women had higher or equivalent age-adjusted mortality from uterine cancer, compared with rural and Appalachian women, respectively. The incidence of uterine cancer was significantly higher in White women compared with Black women from 1995 through 2006, but since 2007, there has been no significant difference in uterine cancer incidence based on race. Black women had higher age-adjusted mortality than White women throughout the entire time period examined. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of uterine cancer is higher in rural and Appalachian Kentucky, without a corresponding geographic trend in mortality. Uterine cancer mortality is significantly higher in Black women.

Comparative analyses of attitude, knowledge, and recollection of preoperative counseling regarding pelvic mesh among women with or without a mesh-related complication.

PURPOSE: Our objective was to compare the recollection of preoperative counseling regarding mesh for pelvic organ prolapse (POP) and/or stress urinary incontinence (SUI) among women with or without a mesh-related complication (MRC). We hypothesized that the patients who had MRC would better recollect counseling regarding complications associated with mesh. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective cohort study among women who had prior implantation of synthetic, non-absorbable mesh for POP and/or SUI at least 3 months prior who presented with or without a MRC. The primary outcome was the proportion of women who recalled being counseled preoperatively about the risk of mesh exposure. RESULTS: Ninety-six women were included in the final analysis (50 MRC; 46 no MRC). MRC women presented further in time from the index surgery [median 69 months [IQR 26-115] vs 12 months (IQR 6-64), p < 0.01]. After adjustment for time since surgery and age, MRC women were significantly less likely to recall being counseled about the possibility of any MRC [19/50 (38%) vs 32/44 (73%), aOR 0.29, 95% CI 0.11-0.79, p = 0.01]. They were also less likely to report they would undergo the same surgery again 5-point Likert scale [median 3 (IQR 1-4) vs 5 (IQR 3-5), 5-point Likert scale, p < 0.01], less satisfied with their mesh surgery [median 1 (IQR 1-3) vs 5 (IQR 3-5), 5-point Likert scale, p < 0.01] and recommended improved preoperative counseling [27/50 (54%) vs 6/46 (13%), p < 0.01]. CONCLUSION: Women who experienced MRC were less likely to recall being counseled about the possibility of MRC and report more unmet needs regarding perioperative counseling than women without MRC.