Long-term reliability of the phospholamban (PLN) p.(Arg14del) risk model in predicting major ventricular arrhythmia: a landmark study.

AIMS: Recently, a genetic variant-specific prediction model for phospholamban (PLN) p.(Arg14del)-positive individuals was developed to predict individual major ventricular arrhythmia (VA) risk to support decision-making for primary prevention implantable cardioverter defibrillator (ICD) implantation. This model predicts major VA risk from baseline data, but iterative evaluation of major VA risk may be warranted considering that the risk factors for major VA are progressive. Our aim is to evaluate the diagnostic performance of the PLN p.(Arg14del) risk model at 3-year follow-up. METHODS AND RESULTS: We performed a landmark analysis 3 years after presentation and selected only patients with no prior major VA. Data were collected of 268 PLN p.(Arg14del)-positive subjects, aged 43.5 ± 16.3 years, 38.9% male. After the 3 years landmark, subjects had a mean follow-up of 4.0 years (± 3.5 years) and 28 (10%) subjects experienced major VA with an annual event rate of 2.6% [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.6-3.6], defined as sustained VA, appropriate ICD intervention, or (aborted) sudden cardiac death. The PLN p.(Arg14del) risk score yielded good discrimination in the 3 years landmark cohort with a C-statistic of 0.83 (95% CI 0.79-0.87) and calibration slope of 0.97. CONCLUSION: The PLN p.(Arg14del) risk model has sustained good model performance up to 3 years follow-up in PLN p.(Arg14del)-positive subjects with no history of major VA. It may therefore be used to support decision-making for primary prevention ICD implantation not merely at presentation but also up to at least 3 years of follow-up.

Role of TBX20 Truncating Variants in Dilated Cardiomyopathy and Left Ventricular Noncompaction.

BACKGROUND: Less than 40% of patients with dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM) have a pathogenic/likely pathogenic genetic variant identified. TBX20 has been linked to congenital heart defects; although an association with left ventricular noncompaction (LVNC) and DCM has been proposed, it is still considered a gene with limited evidence for these phenotypes. This study sought to investigate the association between the TBX20 truncating variant (TBX20tv) and DCM/LVNC. METHODS: TBX20 was sequenced by next-generation sequencing in 7463 unrelated probands with a diagnosis of DCM or LVNC, 22 773 probands of an internal comparison group (hypertrophic cardiomyopathy, channelopathies, or aortic diseases), and 124 098 external controls (individuals from the gnomAD database). Enrichment of TBX20tv in DCM/LVNC was calculated, cosegregation was determined in selected families, and clinical characteristics and outcomes were analyzed in carriers. RESULTS: TBX20tv was enriched in DCM/LVNC (24/7463; 0.32%) compared with internal (1/22 773; 0.004%) and external comparison groups (4/124 098; 0.003%), with odds ratios of 73.23 (95% CI, 9.90-541.45; P<0.0001) and 99.76 (95% CI, 34.60-287.62; P<0.0001), respectively. TBX20tv was cosegregated with DCM/LVNC phenotype in 21 families for a combined logarythm of the odds score of 4.53 (strong linkage). Among 57 individuals with TBX20tv (49.1% men; mean age, 35.9±20.8 years), 41 (71.9%) exhibited DCM/LVNC, of whom 14 (34.1%) had also congenital heart defects. After a median follow-up of 6.9 (95% CI, 25-75:3.6-14.5) years, 9.7% of patients with DCM/LVNC had end-stage heart failure events and 4.8% experienced malignant ventricular arrhythmias. CONCLUSIONS: TBX20tv is associated with DCM/LVNC; congenital heart defect is also present in around one-third of cases. TBX20tv-associated DCM/LVNC is characterized by a nonaggressive phenotype, with a low incidence of major cardiovascular events. TBX20 should be considered a definitive gene for DCM and LVNC and routinely included in genetic testing panels for these phenotypes.