Circulating palmitoyl sphingomyelin levels predict the 10-year increased risk of cardiovascular disease death in Chinese adults: findings from the Da Qing Diabetes Study.

BACKGROUND: Higher levels of palmitoyl sphingomyelin (PSM, synonymous with sphingomyelin 16:0) are associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in people with diabetes. Whether circulating PSM levels can practically predict the long-term risk of CVD and all-cause death remains unclear. This study aimed to investigate whether circulating PSM is a real predictor of CVD death in Chinese adults with or without diabetes. METHODS: A total of 286 and 219 individuals with and without diabetes, respectively, from the original Da Qing Diabetes Study were enrolled. Blood samples collected in 2009 were used as a baseline to assess circulating PSM levels. The outcomes of CVD and all-cause death were followed up from 2009 to 2020, and 178 participants died, including 87 deaths due to CVD. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate HRs and their 95% CIs for the outcomes. RESULTS: Fractional polynomial regression analysis showed a linear association between baseline circulating PSM concentration (log-2 transformed) and the risk of all-cause and CVD death (p < 0.001), but not non-CVD death (p > 0.05), in all participants after adjustment for confounders. When the participants were stratified by PSM-tertile, the highest tertile, regardless of diabetes, had a higher incidence of CVD death (41.5 vs. 14.7 and 22.2 vs. 2.9 per 1000 person-years in patients with and without diabetes, respectively, all log-rank p < 0.01). Individuals with diabetes in the highest tertile group had a higher risk of CVD death than those in the lowest tertile (HR = 2.73; 95%CI, 1.20-6.22). CONCLUSIONS: Elevated PSM levels are significantly associated with a higher 10-year risk of CVD death, but not non-CVD death, in Chinese adults with diabetes. These findings suggest that PSM is a potentially useful long-term predictor of CVD death in individuals with diabetes.

Does high-normal blood pressure lead to excess cardiovascular disease events and deaths in Chinese people? A post-hoc analysis of the 30-year follow-up of the Da Qing IGT and Diabetes Study.

AIM: Whether systolic/diastolic blood pressure (SBP/DBP) values of 130-139/80-89 mmHg should be defined as hypertension has been debated for decades. We aimed to characterize the effect of high-normal BP on cardiovascular disease (CVD) events and deaths. METHODS: In total, 1726 individuals from the original Da Qing IGT and Diabetes Study were enrolled, and divided into the normal BP group (SBP <130 mmHg and DBP <80 mmHg), high-normal BP group (SBP 130-139 mmHg and/or DBP 80-89 mmHg) and hypertension group (SBP ≥140 mmHg and/or DBP ≥90 mmHg). CVD events and their components were assessed from 1986 to 2016. RESULTS: During the 30-year follow-up, the high-normal BP group was not at higher risk for CVD events [hazard ratio (HR) 1.05, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.84-1.30, p = .68], coronary heart disease (HR 1.12, 95% CI 0.77-1.63, p = .57), stroke (HR 1.05, 95% CI 0.82-1.34, p = .71), or CVD deaths (HR 1.15, 95% CI 0.82-1.60, p = .41) compared with the normal BP group, after adjusting for covariates. However, the hypertension group exhibited significantly increased cardiovascular risk (CVD events, HR 1.91, 95% CI 1.48-2.46, p < .0001; coronary heart disease, HR 1.73, 95% CI 1.12-2.67, p = .01; stroke, HR 1.90, 95% CI 1.43-2.52, p < .0001; CVD deaths, HR 2.07, 95% CI 1.43-3.01, p = .0001) than the normal BP group. Subgroup analyses showed that, regardless of the presence of diabetes, high-normal BP did not increase CVD events compared with normal BP. CONCLUSIONS: This post-hoc study provided no evidence that the high-normal BP increased cardiovascular risk in the Da Qing study population, suggesting that it was reasonable to continue to define hypertension at 140/90 mmHg in China.

Efficacy of 1-hour postload plasma glucose as a suitable measurement in predicting type 2 diabetes and diabetes-related complications: A post hoc analysis of the 30-year follow-up of the Da Qing IGT and Diabetes Study.

AIM: To evaluate whether 1-hour plasma glucose (1hPG) can be a comparable measurement to 2-hour plasma glucose (2hPG) in identifying individuals at high risk of developing diabetes. METHODS: A total of 1026 non-diabetic subjects in the Da Qing IGT and Diabetes Study were included and classified according to baseline postload 1hPG. The participants were followed up and assessed at 6-, 20- and 30year follow-up for outcomes including diabetes, all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, cardiovascular disease (CVD) events, and microvascular disease. We then conducted a proportional hazards analysis in this post hoc study to determine the risks of developing type 2 diabetes and its complications in a '1hPG-normal' group (1hPG <8.6 mmol/L) and a '1hPG-high' group (≥8.6 mmol/L). The predictive values of 1hPG and 2hPG were evaluated using a time-dependent receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve. RESULTS: Compared with the 1hPG-normal group, the 1hPG-high group had increased risk of diabetes (hazard ratio [HR] 4.45, 95% CI 3.43-5.79), all-cause mortality (HR 1.46, 95% CI 1.07-2.01), CVD mortality (HR 1.84, 95% CI 1.16-2.95), CVD events (HR 1.39, 95% CI 1.03-1.86) and microvascular disease (HR 1.70, 95% CI: 1.03-2.79) after adjusting for confounders. 1hPG exhibited a higher area under the ROC curve (AUC) for predicting diabetes than 2hPG during the long-term follow-up (AUC [1hPG vs. 2hPG]: 10 years: 0.86 vs. 0.84, p = 0.08; 20 years: 0.88 vs. 0.87, p = 0.04; 30 years: 0.85 vs. 0.82, p = 0.009). CONCLUSIONS: Elevated 1hPG level (≥8.6 mmol/L) was associated with increased risk of developing type 2 diabetes and its long-term complications, and could be considered as a suitable measurement for identifying individuals at high risk of type 2 diabetes.

Influence of a diet and/or exercise intervention on long-term mortality and vascular complications in people with impaired glucose tolerance: Da Qing Diabetes Prevention Outcome study.

AIM: We aimed to investigate the long-term influence of a diet and/or exercise intervention on long-term mortality and cardiovascular disease (CVD) events. METHODS: The Da Qing Diabetes Prevention Study had 576 participants with impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) randomized to diet-only, exercise-only and diet-plus-exercise intervention group and control group. The participants underwent lifestyle interventions for 6 years. The subsequent Da Qing Diabetes Prevention Outcome Study was a prospective cohort study to follow-up the participants for up to 24 years after the end of 6-year intervention. In total, 540 participants completed the follow-up, while 36 subjects lost in follow-up. Cox proportional hazards analysis was applied to assess the influence of lifestyle interventions on targeted outcomes. RESULTS: Compared with controls, the diet-only intervention in people with IGT was significantly associated with a reduced risk of all-cause death [hazard ratio (HR) 0.77, 95% confidence interval (CI) (0.61-0.97)], CVD death [HR 0.67, 95% CI (0.46-0.97)] and CVD events [HR 0.72, 95% CI (0.54-0.96)]. The diet-plus-exercise intervention was significantly associated with a decreased risk of all-cause death [HR 0.64, 95% CI (0.48-0.84)], CVD death [HR 0.54, 95% CI (0.30-0.97)] and CVD events [HR 0.68, 95% CI (0.52-0.90)]. Unexpectedly, the exercise-only intervention was not significantly associated with the reduction of any of these outcomes, although there was a consistent trend towards reduction. CONCLUSIONS: A diet-only intervention and a diet-plus-exercise intervention in people with IGT were significantly associated with a reduced risk of all-cause death, CVD death and CVD events, while an exercise-only intervention was not. It suggests that diet-related interventions may have a potentially more reliable influence on long-term vascular complications and mortality.

Cancer and its predictors in Chinese adults with newly diagnosed diabetes and impaired glucose tolerance (IGT): a 30-year follow-up of the Da Qing IGT and Diabetes Study.

BACKGROUND: We aimed to explore if hyperglycaemia and hyperinsulinemia in the diabetes and prediabetes population were associated with increased risk of cancer occurence. METHODS: Overall, 1700 participants with different glycaemic statuses were screened from the 110,660 residents of Da-Qing, China, in 1985. They were followed up to 30 years to access cancer outcomes. RESULTS: Cancer was identified in 15.2% (259/1700) of the participants. The incidence of cancer in the normal glucose tolerance (NGT), impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) and diabetes groups was 6.06, 6.77, and 7.18 per 1000 person-years, respectively (P = 0.02). In the Fine-Gray model with all cause death as competing risk, compared with the NGT controls, both IGT and diabetes groups demonstrated significantly higher risk of cancer (for the IGT group, adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) = 1.77, 95% CI 1.38-2.27, P < 0.0001; for the diabetes, aHR = 3.34, 95% CI 2.64-4.22, P < 0.0001). Among the IGT participants, progress to diabetes (aHR = 2.28, 95%CI 1.24-4.20, P = 0.008) and insulin-area under the curve at baseline (for 1 SD increase, aHR = 1.39, P = 0.02) were also associated with the risk of cancer after adjustment of covariables. CONCLUSIONS: Hyperglycaemia in patients with diabetes, hyperinsulinemia, and progression to diabetes in people with IGT is significantly associated with the long-term increased risk of cancer occurrence.

Associations of progression to diabetes and regression to normal glucose tolerance with development of cardiovascular and microvascular disease among people with impaired glucose tolerance: a secondary analysis of the 30 year Da Qing Diabetes Prevention Outcome Study.

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS: We aimed to determine associations of regression to normal glucose tolerance (NGT), maintaining impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) or progression to diabetes with subsequent risks of CVD and microvascular disease among Chinese adults with IGT. METHODS: We conducted an observational study among 540 participants in the Da Qing Diabetes Prevention Study, a 6 year lifestyle intervention trial in people with IGT, defined by 1985 WHO criteria as fasting plasma glucose <7.8 mmol/l and 2 h post-load plasma glucose ≥7.8 and <11.1 mmol/l. At the end of the trial, the groups that had regressed to NGT, remained with IGT or progressed to diabetes were identified. Participants were then followed for 24 years after completion of the trial, during which we compared the incidence and hazard ratios for CVD and microvascular disease in each group and estimated the differences in their median time to onset from parametric Weibull distribution models. RESULTS: At the end of the 6 year trial, 252 (46.7%) participants had developed diabetes, 114 (21.1%) had remained with IGT and 174 (32.2%) had regressed to NGT. Compared with those who developed diabetes during the trial, the median time to onset of diabetes was delayed by 14.86 years (95% CI 12.49, 17.25) in the NGT and 9.87 years (95% CI 8.12, 11.68) in the IGT groups. After completion of the trial, among those with diabetes, IGT and NGT, the 24 year cumulative incidence of CVD was 64.5%, 48.5% and 45.1%, respectively, and 36.8%, 21.7% and 16.5% for microvascular diseases. Compared with participants who had progressed to diabetes during the trial, those who regressed to NGT had a 37% (HR 0.63; 95% CI 0.47, 0.85) reduction in CVD incidence and a median delay of 7.45 years (95% CI 1.91, 12.99) in onset, and those who remained with IGT had a 34% (HR 0.66; 95% CI 0.47, 0.91) lower CVD incidence with a median delay in onset of 5.69 years (95% CI 1.0, 10.38). Participants with NGT had a 66% (HR 0.34; 95% CI 0.20, 0.56) lower incidence of microvascular diseases and a median delay in the onset of 18.66 years (95% CI 6.08, 31.24), and those remaining with IGT had a 52% (HR 0.48; 95% CI 0.29, 0.81) lower incidence with a median delay of 12.56 years (95% CI 2.49, 22.63). CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION: People with IGT who reverted to NGT or remained with IGT at the end of the 6 year trial subsequently had significantly lower incidences of CVD and microvascular disease than those who had developed diabetes.

Efficacy of lifestyle intervention in adults with impaired glucose tolerance with and without impaired fasting plasma glucose: A post hoc analysis of Da Qing Diabetes Prevention Outcome Study.

AIMS: The extent that pre-diabetic fasting plasma glucose (FPG) levels influence the effectiveness of lifestyle interventions in preventing type 2 diabetes (T2DM) is uncertain. We aimed to determine if the outcome of lifestyle intervention in people with impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) differs in those with normal or impaired FPG levels. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data were used from the Da Qing Diabetes Prevention Outcome Study, which was a 30-year follow-up of a 6-year randomized trial of lifestyle intervention in 576 people with IGT. We then conducted a post-hoc analysis to compare the efficacy of intervention to reduce the incidence of T2DM and its complications in those with baseline FPG <100 mg/dL and FPG ≥100 mg/dL. RESULTS: Lifestyle intervention reduced the cumulative incidence of T2DM by 37%-46% in those with baseline FPG <100 mg/dL and by 47%-51% in those with FPG ≥100 mg/dL. The FPG <100 mg/dL group had a lower cumulative incidence of diabetes and 6.41 years median delay in its onset compared with 2.21 years delay in the FPG ≥100 mg/dL group. In those with FPG <100 mg/dL intervention was associated with at least as great a reduction in cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality as in the FPG ≥100 mg/dL group. CONCLUSIONS: Lifestyle intervention reduced the incidence of T2DM in people with IGT regardless of baseline FPG levels, and in those with FPG <100 mg/dL led to a substantial delay in its onset. All persons with IGT, with normal or impaired FPG levels, may benefit from lifestyle intervention to delay its onset and mitigate the incidence of T2DM.

Hypertriglyceridaemia predicts subsequent long-term risk of cardiovascular events in Chinese adults: 23-year follow-up of the Daqing Diabetes Study.

BACKGROUND: Limited information is available on the long-term risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) associated with hypertriglyceridaemia (HTG) in the Chinese population. We estimated this risk over a 23-year period in participants recruited from among those included in the Da Qing Diabetes Study. METHODS: A total of 833 Chinese adults including 379 with normal glucose levels and 454 with hyperglycaemia were identified by their oral glucose tolerance in 1986 in Da Qing, China. CVD outcomes were monitored until 2009. Thirty-four percent (280/833) of the participants had HTG, which was defined as a fasting plasma triglyceride (TG) level ≥ 1.7 mmol/L, at the baseline time point. RESULTS: Over the 23-yearfollow-up period, 149 subjects in the HTG group and 190 subjects in the non-HTG group (NTG group) experienced their first CVD event, including fatal or nonfatal myocardial infarction (MI) and stroke. The age and sex-adjusted annual incidence of the first CVD event per 1000 person-years was 30.23 for the HTG group vs 18.68 for the NTG group. The corresponding rates for MI and stroke were 7.71 vs 3.89 and 19.55 vs 13.98, respectively. After adjusting for confounders, the HTG group had a 28% higher risk of the first CVD event than the NTG group. This association was significant among only the subjects with a serum cholesterol level > 5.7 mmol/L and those with diabetes or impaired glucose tolerance (IGT). CONCLUSION: HGT predicted a substantially higher subsequent long-term risk of the first CVD event in Chinese adults, especially in those with hypercholesterolaemia and hyperglycaemia.

[Effect of lifestyle interventions on reduction of cardiovascular disease events and its mortality in pre-diabetic patients:long-term follow-up of Da Qing Diabetes Prevention Study].

OBJECTIVE: To investigate if a six-year intensive lifestyle intervention in people with pre-diabetes lead to reduction of cardiovascular events and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality in subsequent 23 years. METHODS: Five hundreds and nineteen subjects with normal glucose tolerance (NGT) and 577 subjects with impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) in Da Qing city were recruited in the study in 1986. The IGT subjects randomly assigned to either the no-intervention group or one of three lifestyle intervention groups (diet, exercise, or diet plus exercise) to receive a 6-year lifestyle intervention. In 2009, the participants were followed up to assess the primary outcomes of cardiovascular events and CVD mortality by a questionnaire and medical records. RESULTS: Subjects in IGT no-intervention group had the highest incidences of cardiovascular events (44.44%) and CVD mortality (20.00%), while those in NGT group had the lowest incidences of cardiovascular events (29.59%) and CVD mortality (7.52%) after 23-year follow-up. The incidences of cardiovascular events and CVD mortality in IGT intervention subjects were 37.84% and 12.53%, respectively. The multivariable analyses showed that, after controlling of age, gender, BMI smoking, blood pressure and cardiovascular event at baseline, the CVD mortality and incidence of cardiovascular events in IGT no-intervention group was 1.89 (HR = 1.89, 95%CI 1.11-3.22, P = 0.02) and 1.38 (HR = 1.38, 95%CI 1.01-1.90, P = 0.04) times of those in NGT group. However, the CVD mortality and incidence of cardiovascular events were not different in the IGT intervention group compared with those in the NGT group (HR = 1.39, 95%CI 0.89-2.18, P = 0.15 and HR = 1.25, 95%CI 0.98-1.59, P = 0.07, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Subjects with IGT were at high risk for cardiovascular events and mortality. A six-year lifestyle intervention in this population can reduce both the incidence of cardiovascular event and CVD mortality.

Insulin resistance and its relationship with long-term exposure to ozone: Data based on a national population cohort.

The relationship of ozone (O3), particularly the long-term exposure, with impacting metabolic homeostasis in population was understudied and under-recognised. Here, we used data from ChinaHEART, a nationwide, population-based cohort study, combined with O3 and PM2.5 concentration data with high spatiotemporal resolution, to explore the independent association of exposure to O3 with the prevalence of insulin resistance (IR). Among the 271 540 participants included, the crude prevalence of IR was 39.1%, while the age and sex standardized prevalence stood at 33.0%. Higher IR prevalence was observed with each increase of 10.0 µg/m3 in long-term O3 exposure, yielding adjusted odds ratios (OR) of 1.084 (95% CI: 1.079-1.089) in the one-pollutant model and 1.073 (95% CI: 1.067-1.079) in the two-pollutant model. Notably, a significant additive interaction between O3 and PM2.5 on the prevalence of IR was observed (P for additive interaction < 0.001). Our main findings remained consistent and robust in the sensitivity analyses. Our study suggests long-term exposure to O3 was independently and positively associated with prevalence of IR. It emphasized the benefits of policy interventions to reduce O3 and PM2.5 exposure jointly, which could ultimately alleviate the health and economic burden related to DM.

Hyperinsulinemia and plasma glucose level independently associated with all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in Chinese people without diabetes-A post-hoc analysis of the 30-year follow-up of Da Qing diabetes and IGT study.

AIMS: We aimed to characterize the effect of insulin resistance and plasma glucose on all-cause and cardiovascular disease (CVD) death. METHODS: A total of 462 individuals without diabetes in the original Da Qing Diabetes and IGT Study were enrolled in the present analysis, and further divided into G1 (low insulin low glucose), G2 (high insulin low glucose), G3 (low insulin high glucose) and G4 (high insulin high glucose) groups according to medians of glucose and insulin level at baseline. The all-cause and CVD death were assessed from 1986 to 2016. RESULTS: During the 30-year follow-up, compared with G1, G2, G3, and G4 groups were all at increased death risk after adjusting covariates. G2 and G3 were associated with similar risks in both all-cause (G2: HR 1.65, 95%CI 1.02-2.67; G3: HR 1.76, 95%CI 1.11-2.81) and CVD death (G2: HR 2.03, 95%CI 1.01-4.05; G3: HR 1.85, 95%CI 0.93-3.68). The highest risk was observed in G4 (all-cause death: HR 2.32, 95%CI 1.45-3.69; CVD death: HR 2.68, 95%CI 1.35-5.29). CONCLUSIONS: In this post-hoc study, participants with either high glucose or high insulin were related to increased risk of mortality, implying that strategies targeting eliminating both hyperglycemia and hyperinsulinemia may favor the long-term outcomes.

Development of models to predict 10-30-year cardiovascular disease risk using the Da Qing IGT and diabetes study.

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to develop cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk equations for Chinese patients with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes (T2D) to predict 10-, 20-, and 30-year of risk. METHODS: Risk equations for forecasting the occurrence of CVD were developed using data from 601 patients with newly diagnosed T2D from the Da Qing IGT and Diabetes Study with a 30-year follow-up. The data were randomly assigned to a training and test data set. In the training data set, Cox proportional hazard regression was used to develop risk equations to predict CVD. Calibration was assessed by the slope and intercept of the line between predicted and observed probabilities of outcomes by quintile of risk, and discrimination was examined using Harrell's C statistic in the test data set. Using the Sankey flow diagram to describe the change of CVD risk over time. RESULTS: Over the 30-year follow-up, corresponding to a 10,395 person-year follow-up time, 355 of 601 (59%) patients developed incident CVD; the incidence of CVD in the participants was 34.2 per 1,000 person-years. Age, sex, smoking status, 2-h plasma glucose level of oral glucose tolerance test, and systolic blood pressure were independent predictors. The C statistics of discrimination for the risk equations were 0.748 (95%CI, 0.710-0.782), 0.696 (95%CI, 0.655-0.704), and 0.687 (95%CI, 0.651-0.694) for 10-, 20-, and 30- year CVDs, respectively. The calibration statistics for the CVD risk equations of slope were 0.88 (P = 0.002), 0.89 (P = 0.027), and 0.94 (P = 0.039) for 10-, 20-, and 30-year CVDs, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The risk equations forecast the long-term risk of CVD in patients with newly diagnosed T2D using variables readily available in routine clinical practice. By identifying patients at high risk for long-term CVD, clinicians were able to take the required primary prevention measures.

Safety and effectiveness of metformin plus lifestyle intervention compared with lifestyle intervention alone in preventing progression to diabetes in a Chinese population with impaired glucose regulation: a multicentre, open-label, randomised controlled trial.

BACKGROUND: Impaired glucose regulation (defined as either impaired glucose tolerance or impaired fasting glucose) is an important risk factor for the development of diabetes. We aimed to evaluate the safety and effectiveness of metformin plus lifestyle intervention compared with lifestyle intervention alone in preventing diabetes in Chinese participants with impaired glucose regulation. METHODS: We did a multicentre, open-label, randomised controlled trial at 43 endocrinology departments in general hospitals across China. Eligible participants were individuals with impaired glucose regulation (ie, impaired glucose tolerance or impaired fasting glucose, or both), men or women aged 18-70 years with a BMI of 21-32 kg/m2. Eligible participants were randomly assigned (1:1) via a computer-generated randomisation to receive either standard lifestyle intervention alone or metformin (850 mg orally once per day for the first 2 weeks and titrated to 1700 mg orally per day [850 mg twice per day]) plus lifestyle intervention. Block randomisation was used with a block size of four, stratified by glucose status (impaired fasting glucose or impaired glucose tolerance), hypertension, and use of any anti-hypertensive medication. Lifestyle intervention advice was given by investigators at all participating sites. The primary endpoint was the incidence of newly diagnosed diabetes at the end of the 2-year follow-up. Analysis was done using the full analysis set and per-protocol set. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, number NCT03441750, and is completed. FINDINGS: Between April, 2017, and June, 2019, 3881 individuals were assessed for eligibility, of which 1678 (43·2%) participants were randomly assigned to either the metformin plus lifestyle intervention group (n=831) or the lifestyle intervention alone group (n=847) and received the allocated intervention at least once. During a median follow-up of 2·03 years, the incidence rate of diabetes was 17·27 (95% CI 15·19-19·56) per 100 person-years in the metformin plus lifestyle intervention group and 19·83 (17·67-22·18) per 100 person-years in the lifestyle intervention alone group. The metformin plus lifestyle intervention group showed a 17% lower risk of developing diabetes than the lifestyle intervention alone group (HR 0·83 [95% CI 0·70-0·99]; log-rank p=0·043). A higher proportion of participants in the metformin plus lifestyle intervention group reported adverse events than in the lifestyle intervention alone group, primarily due to more gastrointestinal adverse events. The percentage of participants reporting a serious adverse event was similar in both groups. INTERPRETATION: Metformin plus lifestyle intervention further reduced the risk of developing diabetes than lifestyle intervention alone in Chinese people with impaired glucose regulation, showing additional benefits of combined intervention in preventing progression to diabetes without new safety concerns. FUNDING: Merck Serono China, an affiliate of Merck KGaA, Darmstadt, Germany. TRANSLATION: For the Chinese translation of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

Circulating levels of GDF-15 for predicting cardiovascular and cancer morbidity and mortality in type 2 diabetes: Findings from Da Qing IGT and Diabetes Study.

AIM: To investigate the relationship between circulating growth differentiation factor (GDF-15) levels and the risk of cardiovascular disease and cancer in people with diabetes. METHODS: Totally, 510 participants with type 2 diabetes were enrolled from the long-term follow-up of the Da Qing Impaired Glucose Tolerance (IGT) and Diabetes Study (2006-2009). Plasma GDF-15 levels were assessed. Outcomes of cardiovascular events, cancer, and related death were followed up until 2016. RESULTS: Over a 7.5-year follow-up period, 143 (28.0%) of the participants died, and 155 and 56 experienced cardiovascular events and cancer respectively. Multivariable Cox analysis showed that higher circulating GDF-15 levels were significantly associated with the increased risk of cardiovascular and cancer death. The HRs after adjustment of traditional confounders were 1.90 (95%CI 1.31-2.74) and 2.50 (95%CI 1.34-4.67) respectively for an increase in one unit of loge transformed GDF-15 (pg/ml). The cause-specific hazard model analysis further confirmed the results after adjusting the same confounders. In addition, the higher GDF-15 levels were also significantly associated with the increased risk of cardiovascular events (HR=1.35, 95%CI: 1.04-1.76) and cancer (HR=1.62, 95%CI 1.06-2.47). CONCLUSIONS: Elevated circulating levels of GDF-15 predicted a significant increase in the dual risk of cancer and cardiovascular diseases in Chinese people with type 2 diabetes. Thus, it may be a potential predictor of these outcomes in people with diabetes.

Circulating Palmitoyl Sphingomyelin Is Associated With Cardiovascular Disease in Individuals With Type 2 Diabetes: Findings From the China Da Qing Diabetes Study.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the association of potential cardiovascular disease (CVD) biomarkers in patients with type 2 diabetes. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We enrolled 120 participants (aged 61.5-69.5 years) with type 2 diabetes and 60 (aged 62.5-73.5 years) with normal glucose tolerance in the discovery group from the original Da Qing Diabetes Study. Their diabetes status was confirmed in 1986; then, the participants were followed over 23 years to collect CVD outcome data. Untargeted and targeted metabolomics analyses based on ultra-high-performance liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry were used to identify potential markers. Multivariable regression analysis was used to evaluate the association between metabolites and CVD outcomes. An independent group of 335 patients (aged 67.0-77.0 years) with diabetes was used for biomarker validation. RESULTS: In the discovery group, untargeted metabolomics analysis found 16 lipids and fatty acids metabolites associated with CVD risk in patients with diabetes, with palmitoyl sphingomyelin (PSM) having the strongest association. Plasma PSM concentrations were significantly higher in cases of diabetes with CVD than without (41.68 ± 10.47 vs. 9.69 ± 1.47 µg/mL; P < 0.0001). The odds ratio (OR) of CVD for 1 µg/mL PSM change was 1.19 (95% CI 1.13-1.25) after adjustment of clinical confounders. The validation study confirmed that PSM was significantly associated with increased CVD risk in diabetes (OR 1.22 [95% CI 1.16-1.30]). CONCLUSIONS: Changes in lipid and fatty acid content were significantly associated with CVD risk in the Chinese population with diabetes. PSM is a potential biomarker of increased CVD risk in diabetes.

Long-term influence of type 2 diabetes and metabolic syndrome on all-cause and cardiovascular death, and microvascular and macrovascular complications in Chinese adults - A 30-year follow-up of the Da Qing diabetes study.

AIMS: To examine the long-term influence of metabolic syndrome (MetS) on death and vascular complications. METHODS: Altogether, 1419 individuals with different levels of glycemia and MetS were recruited for this study. The participants were followed up for 30 years to assess outcomes. RESULTS: Compared with the non_MetS, individuals with impaired glucose tolerance (IGT) plus MetS had a higher incidence (per 1000 person-years) of all-cause death (20.98 vs 11.70, hazard ratio [HR] = 1.84), macrovascular events (29.25 vs 15.94, HR = 1.36), and microvascular complications (10.66 vs 3.57, HR = 1.96). The incidence of these outcomes was even higher in participants with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) plus MetS. The T2DM without MetS shared a comparable risk profile of the outcomes with the T2DM plus MetS group (HRs were 3.45 vs 3.15, 2.21 vs 2.65, and 6.91 vs 7.41, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: The degree of hyperglycemia in MetS is associated with the severity of death and both micro- and macrovascular complications. T2DM was associated with a comparable risk for all outcomes as T2DM plus MetS. The findings highlight the need of early prevention of diabetes in individuals with IGT plus MetS, while the justification to redefine a subgroup of patients with T2DM as having MetS remains to be clarified.

Prediction of 10-year mortality using hs-CRP in Chinese people with hyperglycemia: Findings from the Da Qing diabetes prevention outcomes study.

AIMS: To examine whether high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) can predict all-cause death in Chinese adults with hyperglycemia. METHODS: All the 237 diabetes and 49 prediabetes recruited in the study were evolved from the participants with impaired glucose tolerance in the original Da Qing Diabetes Study. Blood hs-CRP level was measured at 2006. Ten-year outcome of death was traced from 2006 to 2016. Cox model was used to analyse the association between hs-CRP level and the risk of all-cause death occurred over the subsequent 10 years. RESULTS: During the follow-up, death occurred in 36 (37.9%) subjects in the highest hs-CRP tertile group (hs-CRP > 2.16 mg/L) and 19 (20.0%) in the lowest hs-CRP tertile group (hs-CRP < 0.82 mg/L, p < 0.05). The corresponding incidence of all-cause death (per 1,000 person-years) was 44.7 (95% CI 30.1-59.3) and 21.6 (95% CI 11.9-31.3) in the two groups respectively (p < 0.0001). The highest hs-CRP tertile was associated with the increased risk of all-cause death significantly (hazard ratio 1.88, 95% CI 1.07-3.32) after controlling for traditional risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: Serum hs-CRP was predictive of 10-year all-cause death in Chinese adults with hyperglycemia, suggesting the impact of low-grade inflammation on mortality deserves more attention.

The long-term effect of lifestyle interventions to prevent diabetes in the China Da Qing Diabetes Prevention Study: a 20-year follow-up study.

BACKGROUND: Intensive lifestyle interventions can reduce the incidence of type 2 diabetes in people with impaired glucose tolerance, but how long these benefits extend beyond the period of active intervention, and whether such interventions reduce the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) and mortality, is unclear. We aimed to assess whether intensive lifestyle interventions have a long-term effect on the risk of diabetes, diabetes-related macrovascular and microvascular complications, and mortality. METHODS: In 1986, 577 adults with impaired glucose tolerance from 33 clinics in China were randomly assigned to either the control group or to one of three lifestyle intervention groups (diet, exercise, or diet plus exercise). Active intervention took place over 6 years until 1992. In 2006, study participants were followed-up to assess the long-term effect of the interventions. The primary outcomes were diabetes incidence, CVD incidence and mortality, and all-cause mortality. FINDINGS: Compared with control participants, those in the combined lifestyle intervention groups had a 51% lower incidence of diabetes (hazard rate ratio [HRR] 0.49; 95% CI 0.33-0.73) during the active intervention period and a 43% lower incidence (0.57; 0.41-0.81) over the 20 year period, controlled for age and clustering by clinic. The average annual incidence of diabetes was 7% for intervention participants versus 11% in control participants, with 20-year cumulative incidence of 80% in the intervention groups and 93% in the control group. Participants in the intervention group spent an average of 3.6 fewer years with diabetes than those in the control group. There was no significant difference between the intervention and control groups in the rate of first CVD events (HRR 0.98; 95% CI 0.71-1.37), CVD mortality (0.83; 0.48-1.40), and all-cause mortality (0.96; 0.65-1.41), but our study had limited statistical power to detect differences for these outcomes. INTERPRETATION: Group-based lifestyle interventions over 6 years can prevent or delay diabetes for up to 14 years after the active intervention. However, whether lifestyle intervention also leads to reduced CVD and mortality remains unclear.

Premature death and risk of cardiovascular disease in young-onset diabetes: a 23-year follow-up of the Da Qing Diabetes Study.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to investigate premature mortality and the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in Chinese adults with diabetes diagnosed before the age of 45 years. METHODS: A total of 519 participants with normal glucose tolerance (NGT) and 630 with newly diagnosed diabetes mellitus (DM) were recruited in 1986 in the Da Qing Diabetes Study. In 2009, the participants were followed up to assess mortality and CVD events. The subjects were stratified into four subgroups according to age and diabetes status: age <45 years with NGT (NGT<45y), age <45 years with DM (DM<45y), age ≥45 years with NGT (NGT≥45y), and age ≥45 years with DM (DM≥45y). The risk of death and CVD events in patients with young-onset DM and elder subjects with NGT were compared to show the extent of premature death and CVD in the DM participants. RESULTS: During the 23-year follow-up, 26 (10.40%) participants in NGT<45y, 72 (34.12%) in DM<45y, 74 (30.58%) in NGT≥45y, and 266 (68.73%) in DM≥45y died, including 13 (5.20%), 36 (17.06%), 24 (9.92%), and 128 (33.07%) death attributed to CVD. The corresponding rates of CVD events were 56 (22.40%), 90 (42.65%), 89 (36.78), and 213 (55.04%). It also showed that the risk of all-cause death (HR 1.23, 95% CI 0.88-1.71) or CVD events (HR 1.25, 95% CI 0.93-1.69) did not differ significantly between the DM<45y and NGT≥45y groups after adjusting for sex, smoking, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, total cholesterol and previous history of CVD. Of note, participants in the DM<45y group had an higher risk of CVD mortality compared with that in the NGT≥45y group (HR 1.76, 95% CI 1.04-2.98), although the mean age in the former group was 12 years lesser than that in the latter group (39.01 ± 5.00 vs 51.45 ± 5.14). CONCLUSIONS: Young-onset diabetes is a risk factor for the premature death and cardiovascular disease. Early prevention and intensive treatment are warrented in patients with young-onset diabetes.

Higher blood pressure predicts diabetes and enhances long-term risk of cardiovascular disease events in individuals with impaired glucose tolerance: Twenty-three-year follow-up of the Daqing diabetes prevention study.

BACKGROUND: Hypertension is more prevalent in subjects with impaired glucose tolerance (IGT), but whether higher blood pressure per se or the mild hyperglycemia in combination with the hypertension enhanced the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) remains unclear. METHODS: Five hundred and sixty-eight participants with IGT in the original Daqing diabetes prevention study, 297 with hypertension (HBP) and 271 without hypertension (NBP), were enrolled in 1986 and the intervention phase lasted for 6 years. In 2009, they were followed up to assess the outcomes of cardiovascular events (including stroke and myocardial infarction) and incidence of diabetes. RESULTS: Over 23 years, the incidence of diabetes was 93.9/1000 person-years in HBP and 72.2/1000 person-years in the NBP group, with an age- and sex-adjusted hazard ratio of 1.26 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.04-1.54, P = 0.02). The yearly incidence of CVD events was 27.7/1000 person-years and 16.6/1000 person-years, indicating a 35% higher risk in HBP than in the NBP group (95% CI, 1.01-1.81; P = 0.04). Cox proportional hazard analysis showed that a 10-mm Hg increase of the baseline systolic blood pressure was associated with 9% increased risk of the development of diabetes (P = 0.02), together with a 7% higher risk of the CVD events (P = 0.02). CONCLUSIONS: Hypertension predicted diabetes and enhances long-term risk of CVD events in patients with IGT. An individualized strategy that targets hypertension as well as hyperglycemia is needed for diabetes and its cardiovascular complications.