A machine learning model for predicting the lymph node metastasis of early gastric cancer not meeting the endoscopic curability criteria.

BACKGROUND: We developed a machine learning (ML) model to predict the risk of lymph node metastasis (LNM) in patients with early gastric cancer (EGC) who did not meet the existing Japanese endoscopic curability criteria and compared its performance with that of the most common clinical risk scoring system, the eCura system. METHODS: We used data from 4,042 consecutive patients with EGC from 21 institutions who underwent endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) and/or surgery between 2010 and 2021. All resected EGCs were histologically confirmed not to satisfy the current Japanese endoscopic curability criteria. Of all patients, 3,506 constituted the training cohort to develop the neural network-based ML model, and 536 constituted the validation cohort. The performance of our ML model, as measured by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), was compared with that of the eCura system in the validation cohort. RESULTS: LNM rates were 14% (503/3,506) and 7% (39/536) in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. The ML model identified patients with LNM with an AUC of 0.83 (95% confidence interval, 0.76-0.89) in the validation cohort, while the eCura system identified patients with LNM with an AUC of 0.77 (95% confidence interval, 0.70-0.85) (P = 0.006, DeLong's test). CONCLUSIONS: Our ML model performed better than the eCura system for predicting LNM risk in patients with EGC who did not meet the existing Japanese endoscopic curability criteria. We developed a neural network-based machine learning model that predicts the risk of lymph node metastasis in patients with early gastric cancer who did not meet the endoscopic curability criteria.

Endoscopic Features of Synchronous Multiple Early Gastric Cancers: Findings from a Nationwide Cohort.

INTRODUCTION: We investigated the factors associated with synchronous multiple early gastric cancers and determined their localization. METHODS: We analyzed 8,191 patients who underwent endoscopic submucosal dissection for early gastric cancers at 33 hospitals in Japan from November 2013 to October 2016. Background factors were compared between single-lesion (n = 7,221) and synchronous multi-lesion cases (n = 970) using univariate and multivariate analyses. We extracted cases with two synchronous lesions (n = 832) and evaluated their localization. RESULTS: Significant independent risk factors for synchronous multiple early gastric cancer were older age (≥75 years old) (odds ratio [OR] = 1.257), male sex (OR = 1.385), severe mucosal atrophy (OR = 1.400), tumor localization in the middle (OR = 1.362) or lower region (OR = 1.404), and submucosal invasion (OR = 1.528 [SM1], 1.488 [SM2]). Depressed macroscopic type (OR = 0.679) and pure undifferentiated histology OR = 0.334) were more common in single early gastric cancers. When one lesion was in the upper region, the other was more frequently located in the lesser curvature of the middle region. When one lesion was in the middle region, the other was more frequently located in the middle region or the lesser curvature of the lower region. When one lesion was in the lower region, the other was more frequently located in the lesser curvature of the middle region or the lower region. CONCLUSION: Factors associated with synchronous multiple early gastric cancer included older age, male sex, severe mucosal atrophy, tumor localization in the middle or lower region, and tumor submucosal invasion. Our findings provide useful information regarding specific areas that should be examined carefully when one lesion is detected.

Efficacy of prophylactic clip closure in reducing the risk of delayed bleeding after colorectal endoscopic submucosal dissection in patients on anticoagulant therapy: Multicenter prospective study.

OBJECTIVES: The high rate of delayed bleeding after colorectal endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) in patients undergoing anticoagulant therapy remains a problem. Whether prophylactic clip closure reduces the rate of delayed bleeding in these patients is unclear. This study aimed to evaluate the efficacy of prophylactic clip closure in patients receiving anticoagulants. METHODS: This multicenter prospective interventional trial was conducted at nine referral centers in Japan. Patients regularly taking anticoagulants, including warfarin potassium or direct oral anticoagulants, and undergoing ESD for colorectal neoplasms were enrolled. The discontinuation of anticoagulants was minimized according to recent guidelines. After the ESD, post-ESD ulcers were prophylactically closed using endoclips. The primary end-point was the incidence of delayed bleeding. The sample size was 45 lesions, and prophylactic clip closure was considered effective when the upper limit of the 90% confidence interval (CI) for delayed bleeding did not exceed 20%. RESULTS: Forty-five lesions were used, and three were excluded. Complete closure was achieved in 41/42 lesions (97.6%). The overall delayed bleeding rate was low, at 4.9% (2/41; 90% [CI] 0.8-14.5), which was significantly lower than that at the prespecified threshold of 20% (P = 0.007). The median closure procedure time was 17 min, and the median number of clips was nine. No massive delayed bleeding requiring transfusion, interventional radiology, or surgery was observed, and no thromboembolic events were observed. CONCLUSION: Prophylactic clip closure may reduce the risk of delayed bleeding following colorectal ESD in patients receiving anticoagulants. TRIAL REGISTRATION: UMIN Clinical Trial Registry (UMIN000036734).

Remarkable response as a new indicator for endoscopic evaluation of local efficacy of non-surgical treatments for esophageal cancer.

In Japan, standard of care of the patients with resectable esophageal cancer is neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) followed by esophagectomy. Patients unfitted for surgery or with unresectable locally advanced esophageal cancer are generally indicated with definitive chemoradiotherapy (CRT). Local disease control is undoubtful important for the management of patients with esophageal cancer, therefore endoscopic evaluation of local efficacy after non-surgical treatments must be essential. The significant shrink of primary site after NAC has been reported as a good indicator of pathological good response as well as favorable survival outcome after esophagectomy. And patients who could achieve remarkable shrink to T1 level after CRT had favorable outcomes with salvage surgery and could be good candidates for salvage endoscopic treatments. Based on these data, "Japanese Classification of Esophageal Cancer, 12th edition" defined the new endoscopic criteria "remarkable response (RR)", that means significant volume reduction after treatment, with the subjective endoscopic evaluation are proposed. In addition, the finding of local recurrence (LR) at primary site after achieving a CR was also proposed in the latest edition of Japanese Classification of Esophageal Cancer. The findings of LR are also important for detecting candidates for salvage endoscopic treatments at an early timing during surveillance after CRT. The endoscopic evaluation would encourage us to make concrete decisions for further treatment indications, therefore physicians treating patients with esophageal cancer should be well-acquainted with each finding.

Association between perioperative management of antiplatelet agents and risk of post-endoscopic submucosal dissection bleeding in early gastric cancer: analysis of a nationwide multicenter study.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Data are lacking regarding post-endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) bleeding in patients with early gastric cancer (EGC) who take antiplatelet agents (APAs), particularly in those taking thienopyridine and cilostazol. We aimed to clarify the association between the status of APA medication and post-ESD bleeding risk. METHODS: This study is a secondary analysis using data from a recently conducted nationwide multicenter study in Japan. We retrospectively reviewed patients treated with APAs or on no antithrombotic therapy recruited from 33 institutions who underwent ESD for EGC between November 2013 and October 2016. The primary outcome of this study was the relationship between the rate of post-ESD bleeding and the status of each APA medication. RESULTS: A total of 9736 patients were included in the analysis. Among 665 aspirin users, the continuation group was significantly associated with post-ESD bleeding (odds ratio [OR], 2.79; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.77-4.37). Among 227 thienopyridine users, the aspirin or cilostazol replacement group was not significantly associated with post-ESD bleeding (OR, 1.85; 95% CI, .72-4.78). Among 158 cilostazol users, there was no significant association with post-ESD bleeding, irrespective of medication status. The rate of post-ESD bleeding was approximately 10% to 20% irrespective of the status of APA administration among dual-antiplatelet therapy users. No patients experienced thromboembolic events in this study. CONCLUSIONS: Replacement of thienopyridine with aspirin or cilostazol may be acceptable for minimizing both the risk of post-ESD bleeding and thromboembolism in patients with EGC. In patients on cilostazol monotherapy undergoing ESD, continuation of therapy may be acceptable.

A novel role for Helicobacter pylori cytotoxin-associated gene A in negative regulation of autophagy in human gastric cells.

BACKGROUND: Autophagy plays an important role in carcinogenesis and tumor progression in many cancers, including gastric cancer. Cytotoxin-associated gene A (CagA) is a well-known virulent factor in Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori) infection that plays a critical role in gastric inflammation and gastric cancer development. However, its role in autophagy during these processes remains unclear. Therefore, we aimed to clarify the role of CagA in autophagy in CagA-related inflammation. METHODS: We evaluated the autophagic index of AGS cells infected with wild-type cagA-positive H. pylori (Hp-WT) and cagA-knockout H. pylori (Hp-ΔcagA) and rat gastric mucosal (RGM1) cells transfected with CagA genes. To identify the mechanisms underlying the down regulation of autophagy in AGS cells infected with H. pylori, we evaluated protein and mRNA expression levels of autophagy core proteins using western blotting and quantitative reverse transcription-polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR). To determine whether autophagy induced the expression of the pro-inflammatory mediator, cyclooxygenase-2 (COX-2), we evaluated COX-2 expression in AGS cells treated with an autophagy inducer and inhibitor and infected with H. pylori. In addition, we evaluated whether COX-2 protein expression in AGS cells influenced beclin-1 (BECN1) expression with si-RNA transfection when infected with H. pylori. RESULTS: Autophagic flux assay using chloroquine showed that autophagy in AGS cells was significantly suppressed after H. pylori infection. The autophagic index of AGS cells infected with Hp-WT was decreased significantly when compared with that in AGS cells infected with Hp-ΔcagA. The autophagic index of RGM1 cells transfected with CagA was lower, suggesting that CagA inhibits autophagy. In addition, BECN1 expression levels in AGS cells infected with Hp-WT were reduced compared to those in AGS cells infected with Hp-ΔcagA. Furthermore, COX-2 expression in AGS cells infected with H. pylori was controlled in an autophagy-dependent manner. When AGS cells were transfected with small interfering RNA specific for BECN1 and infected with Hp-WT and Hp-ΔcagA, COX-2 was upregulated significantly in cells infected with Hp-ΔcagA. CONCLUSIONS: In conclusion, the H. pylori CagA protein negatively regulated autophagy by downregulating BECN1. CagA-induced autophagy inhibition may be a causative factor in promoting pro-inflammatory mediator production in human gastric epithelial cells.

Endoscopic features and clinical course of colorectal carcinoma resected by cold snare polypectomy.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Cold snare polypectomy is commonly performed to remove small colorectal polyps. Accidental resection of carcinomas during this procedure has been reported. Herein, we aimed to clarify the clinicopathological features and clinical course of colorectal carcinomas resected by cold snare polypectomy. METHODS: This multicenter retrospective cohort study was conducted at 10 Japanese healthcare centers. Of the colorectal lesions resected by cold snare polypectomy between April 2016 and March 2020, lesions pathologically diagnosed as carcinoma were reviewed. Centralized histology (based on the Vienna classification) and endoscopic reviews were performed. The study endpoints were endoscopic features and clinical outcomes of cold snare polypectomy-resected colorectal carcinomas (Vienna category ≥4.2). RESULTS: We reviewed 74 of the 70 693 lesions resected by cold snare polypectomy. After a central pathological review, 68 lesions were diagnosed as carcinomas. The Japan Narrow-band imaging Expert Team (JNET) classification type 2B, lesion size ≥6 mm, and multinodular morphology were the significant endoscopic predictors of carcinoma resected by cold snare polypectomy. No adverse events related to the procedure occurred. Sixty-three lesions were diagnosed as carcinomas within the mucosal layer, and 34 were curative resections. Of the five carcinoma lesions with submucosal invasion, additional surgery revealed remnant cancer tissues in one lesion. No local or metastatic recurrence was observed during follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: Although most of the carcinomas resected by cold snare polypectomy were within the mucosal layer, few lesions invading the submucosa were identified. Careful pre-procedural endoscopic evaluation, especially focusing on the JNET classification and multinodular morphology, is recommended.

Diagnostic value of endoscopic ultrasonography for the depth of gastric cancer suspected of submucosal invasion: a multicenter prospective study.

BACKGROUND: Although the combination of conventional endoscopy (CE) and endoscopic ultrasonography (EUS) is useful for predicting the depth of early gastric cancer (EGC), the diagnostic value of EUS for submucosal (SM) invasive cancer has not been fully investigated. METHODS: We conducted a multicenter prospective study from May 2017 to January 2021 to evaluate the validity of a diagnostic strategy combining CE and EUS and to clarify the additional value of EUS for EGC suspected of SM invasion. In each case, the diagnosis was first made using CE, followed by EUS, and finally confirmed using a combination algorithm. RESULTS: A total of 180 patients with EGC were enrolled from 10 institutions, of which 175 were analyzed. The histopathological depths were M, SM1, SM2, and ≥ MP in 72, 16, 64, and 23 lesions, respectively. Treatment included 92 endoscopic submucosal dissection cases and 83 surgical cases. The overall diagnostic accuracy classified by M-SM1 or SM2-MP was 58.3% for CE, 75.7% for EUS, and 78.9% for the combination of CE and EUS; the latter two were significantly higher than that of CE alone (P < 0.001). The CE, EUS, and combination accuracy rates in 108 differentiated-type lesions were 51.9%, 77.4%, and 79.6%, respectively; the latter two were significantly higher than CE alone (P < 0.001). A significant additive effect of EUS was observed in CE-SM2 low-confidence lesions but not in CE-M-SM1 lesions or in CE-SM2 high-confidence lesions. Among the nine CE findings, irregular surface, submucosal tumor-like elevation, and non-extension signs were significant independent markers of pSM2-MP. Poorly delineated EUS lesions were misdiagnosed. CONCLUSIONS: EUS provides additional value for differentiated-type and CE-SM2 low-confidence EGCs in diagnosing invasion depth. CLINICAL REGISTRATION NUMBER: UMIN000025862.

Plasma trough concentration of imatinib and its effect on therapeutic efficacy and adverse events in Japanese patients with GIST.

BACKGROUND: Imatinib mesylate (IM) is the standard chemotherapy for patients with gastrointestinal stromal tumors (GISTs) and has a favorable safety profile. Pharmacokinetics (PK), such as plasma trough concentration (Cmin), varies among patients, requiring the need for therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) during IM administration. Despite some reports from overseas, the relationship between Cmin, adverse events (AEs), and treatment efficacy in Japanese patients with GIST has still been lacking. This study aimed to investigate the relationship between IM plasma concentration and AEs in Japanese patients with GISTs. METHODS: This retrospective study analyzed the data of 83 patients who underwent IM treatment for GISTs at our institution between May 2002 and September 2021. RESULTS: The IM Cmin was associated with any grade of AEs (with AEs vs. without AEs = 1294 (260-4075) vs. 857 (163-1886) ng/mL, P < 0.001), edema (with edema vs. without edema = 1278 (634-4075) vs. 1036 (163-4069) ng/mL, P = 0.017), and fatigue (with fatigue vs. without fatigue = 1373 (634-4069) vs. 1046 (163-4075) ng/mL, P = 0.044). Moreover, a Cmin ≥ 1283 ng/mL was a risk factor for severe AEs. The median progression-free survival (PFS) was 3.04 years in the lowest Cmin tertile (T1, < 917 ng/mL) compared with 5.90 years for T2 and T3 (P = 0.010). CONCLUSION: Edema and fatigue are potentially associated with IM plasma trough concentrations of ≥ 1283 ng/mL in Japanese patients with GISTs. Further, maintaining an IM plasma trough concentration above 917 ng/mL may improve PFS.

Exacerbation of non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drug-induced enteropathy in C-C chemokine receptor type 7-deficient mice.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) induce intestinal enteropathy and the pathophysiology is related to immune-mediated mechanisms. We aimed to investigate the role of C-C chemokine receptor type 7 (CCR7) which regulates immune cell migration in NSAID-induced enteropathy. METHODS: Injury of the small intestine was evaluated 24 h after the subcutaneous injection of indomethacin in CCR7-deficient (Ccr7-/- ) and wild-type (WT) mice. The cellular profile and cytokine production in intestinal cells were analyzed. Indomethacin-induced enteropathy was evaluated in mice adoptively transferred with CD103+ dendritic cells (DCs) from Ccr7-/- or WT mice. RESULTS: Indomethacin induced more severe intestinal injury in Ccr7-/- mice than in WT mice. The major inflammatory cytokines were not increased and the proportion of regulatory T cells following indomethacin injection was not decreased in Ccr7-/- mice compared with WT mice. The expression of interleukin (IL)-22 binding protein (IL-22BP), which inhibits IL-22 activity, was significantly higher in CD103+ DCs from Ccr7-/- mice than those from WT mice. Mice adoptively transferred with CD103+ DCs isolated from Ccr7-/- mice exhibited more severe intestinal injury following indomethacin injection compared with those adoptively transferred with CD103+ DCs of WT mice. Ccr7-/- mice injected with indomethacin showed a significant reduction in regenerating islet-derived 1 (Reg1) mRNA expression, which is regulated by IL-22, in intestinal epithelial cells. CONCLUSIONS: C-C chemokine receptor type 7 deficiency exacerbated NSAID-induced enteropathy in association with an altered phenotype of CD103+ DCs that produces IL-22BP. CCR7 contributes to protect the small intestine from NSAID-induced mucosal injury.

Local recurrence after endoscopic resection of sessile serrated lesions: A multicenter prospective study by the Osaka Gut Forum.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Sessile serrated lesions (SSLs) act as precursors to colorectal cancer, sometimes harbor carcinomas, and are sometimes incompletely resected. We aimed to evaluate local recurrence after endoscopic resection of SSL ≥10 mm. METHODS: This prospective, single-arm, observational study was performed at eight Japanese tertiary institutions. Colorectal lesions ≥10 mm were resected endoscopically, and the pathological diagnosis was either an SSL or hyperplastic polyp (HP). Follow-up colonoscopy was performed 1 year later, and the local recurrence was evaluated by biopsy. RESULTS: From October 2018 to September 2021, 104 cases with 123 lesions were registered. Among the pathologically diagnosed 105 SSLs and 18 HPs, 95 and 7 lesions were diagnosed as SSLs and HPs, respectively, by central pathological review. Among the 104 endoscopically diagnosed SSLs, 86 were diagnosed as SSLs, whereas among the 11 endoscopically diagnosed HPs, two were diagnosed as HPs by central pathological review (the rest were SSLs). Among the 95 patients with 113 lesions who underwent follow-up colonoscopy, resection scars were identified in 95 (84%) lesions. Three (3.1%; 95% confidence interval 0.6-8.7%) local recurrences were diagnosed pathologically among 98 pathologically diagnosed SSLs. Two (6%) local recurrences were diagnosed in patients with SSLs ≥20 mm. CONCLUSIONS: The local recurrence rate after endoscopic resection of SSLs ≥10 mm was 3.1%. Careful follow-up is recommended after endoscopic resection of large SSLs. Endoscopically diagnosed HPs ≥10 mm were sometimes pathologically diagnosed as SSL and should be considered for resection.

The degree of mucosal atrophy is associated with post-endoscopic submucosal dissection bleeding in early gastric cancer.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Despite the widespread use of endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) for early gastric cancer, post-ESD bleeding remains a significant problem. Intragastric pH plays an important role in intragastric bleeding. Because gastric acid secretion contributes to intragastric pH, both the presence or absence of Helicobacter pylori infection and the degree of gastric mucosal atrophy may affect bleeding. The present study aimed to clarify the relationship between post-ESD bleeding and the degree of gastric mucosal atrophy based on H. pylori infection status. METHODS: We included 8170 patients who underwent ESD for early gastric cancer at 33 hospitals in Japan from November 2013 to October 2016. We analyzed the risk factors contributing to post-ESD bleeding. RESULTS: There were 3935 H. pylori-positive patients and 4235 H. pylori-negative patients. A nonsevere degree of gastric mucosal atrophy was an independent risk factor for post-ESD bleeding in H. pylori-negative patients (odds ratio: 1.51, P = 0.007), but not in H. pylori-positive patients (odds ratio: 0.91, P = 0.600). Further, in H. pylori-negative, but not H. pylori-positive, patients, the rate of post-ESD bleeding increased in a stepwise manner for patients continuing antithrombotic drug use, patients who withdrew antithrombotic drug use, and antithrombotic drug nonusers. CONCLUSIONS: Nonsevere gastric mucosal atrophy was a risk factor for post-ESD bleeding in early gastric cancer in H. pylori-negative patients but not in H. pylori-positive patients.

Clinical and Histopathological Features of the Differentiated Type of Early Gastric Cancer with an Unclear Lateral Demarcation.

INTRODUCTION: Magnifying endoscopy with narrow-band imaging (M-NBI) is useful for determining lateral demarcation of early gastric cancers; however, this is sometimes difficult. Features related to an unclear lateral demarcation remain unknown. We evaluated the clinical and histopathological features of early gastric cancers with unclear lateral demarcation on M-NBI. METHODS: This single-center, retrospective, cohort study analyzed early gastric cancer treated by endoscopic submucosal dissection between January 2013 and August 2015. We evaluated the clinicopathological and immunohistochemical features using anti-p53, anti-Ki-67, anti-MUC5AC, anti-MUC6, anti-MUC2, and anti-CD10 antibody staining. We compared the lateral demarcation between the demarcation clear (DC) and the demarcation unclear (DU) lesions by using M-NBI. RESULTS: A total of 224 differentiated adenocarcinomas (DU group: 18 lesions; DC group: 206 lesions) were analyzed. A history of successful Helicobacter pylori eradication was significantly more frequent in the DU group (p = 0.001). We examined the tissues of 72 lesions (DU group: 18 lesions, DC group: 54 lesions [randomly selected]) immunohistochemically. The nonneoplastic superficial epithelium was observed more frequently in the DU group as compared to in the DC group (p = 0.006). Additionally, compared to the DC group, the DU group showed a significantly higher expression of the gastric phenotype markers (p = 0.023) and had lower p53 scores (p < 0.001) and Ki-67 labeling indexes (p = 0.029). Multivariate analysis revealed the nonneoplastic superficial epithelium and a low p53 score as the significant independent variables associated with an unclear lateral demarcation on M-NBI. CONCLUSIONS: The nonneoplastic superficial epithelium and a low p53 score were associated with difficulties in determining the lateral demarcation in early gastric cancers on M-NBI.

Bleeding following Endoscopic Submucosal Dissection for Early Gastric Cancer in Surgically Altered Stomach.

INTRODUCTION: Few studies have focused on bleeding following endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) in surgically altered stomach. We aimed to reveal the bleeding risk in surgically altered stomach following ESD for early gastric cancer (EGC). METHODS: We enrolled patients with ESD for EGC at 33 institutions between 2013 and 2016. In study 1, we evaluated bleeding risk following ESD in surgically altered stomach, compared with whole stomach. In study 2, we evaluated factors associated with bleeding following ESD in patients with surgically altered stomach. RESULTS: Of 11,452 patients, 445 patients had surgically altered stomach with the bleeding rate following ESD of 4.9%. In study 1, the bleeding risk in surgically altered stomach was not significant (odds ratio [OR], 1.37; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.87-2.17) in the multivariate logistic regression analysis. No significant results were obtained when the surgically altered stomach was subdivided into various types. In study 2, the multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that independent risk factors for bleeding following ESD were ischemic heart disease (OR, 7.52; 95% CI, 2.00-28.25) and P2Y12 receptor antagonist (OR, 4.81; 95% CI, 1.21-19.14). DISCUSSION/CONCLUSION: In this nationwide study, we found that the bleeding risk of surgically altered stomach following ESD for EGC did not significantly differ from that of whole stomach. The risk factors for ESD in patients with surgically altered stomach were ischemic heart disease and P2Y12 receptor antagonist.

Influence of hospital volume on bleeding after endoscopic submucosal dissection for early gastric cancer in Japan: a multicenter propensity score-matched analysis.

BACKGROUND: Information on whether there is a relationship between hospital volume and bleeding after endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) for early gastric cancer (EGC) is limited. This study aimed to compare the bleeding rates after ESD for EGC according to the hospital volume. METHODS: Patients who underwent ESD for EGC at 33 institutions in Japan between November 2013 and October 2016 were included in this multicenter retrospective study. Hospital volume was categorized into three groups, based on the average annual number of ESD procedures: low- and medium-volume group (LMVG), high-volume group (HVG), and very high-volume group (VHVG). The bleeding rate after ESD for EGC was compared between the three hospital volume groups after propensity score matching. RESULTS: A total of 10,320 patients, including 2797 patients in the LMVG, 4646 patients in the HVG, and 2877 patients in the VHVG, were identified. Propensity score matching yielded 2002 patients in each hospital volume group, with an improved balance of confounding variables between the three groups. The bleeding rates in the LMVG, HVG, and VHVG were 4.3%, 3.7%, and 4.9%, respectively, and no significant difference was noted between the three groups. CONCLUSIONS: The bleeding rate after ESD for EGC did not differ between hospitals in Japan. The finding indicated that ESD for EGC is equally feasible across Japanese hospitals of different volumes regarding bleeding after ESD.

Geriatric nutritional risk index as a prognostic indicator in elderly patients with early colorectal cancer undergoing endoscopic submucosal dissection.

OBJECTIVES: Data on the long-term outcomes of endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) performed in elderly patients with early colorectal cancer (CRC) are limited. We analyzed the prognosis of elderly CRC patients, not only from the viewpoint of treatment curability but also from the patients' baseline physical condition assessed by several indexes. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of 729 patients aged ≥75 years who underwent ESD for Tis/T1 CRC in 16 institutions was conducted. The patients were classified into three groups based on curability: curative ESD (Group A, n = 582), non-curative ESD with additional surgery (Group B, n = 60), and non-curative ESD without additional surgery (Group C, n = 87). Overall survival (OS) was compared among the groups, and factors associated with reduced OS were investigated. RESULTS: The median follow-up periods in Groups A, B, and C were 41, 49, and 46 months, respectively (P = 0.62), during which 92 patients died. Two patients (0.3%) in Group A, none (0%) in Group B, and three (3.4%) in Group C died of CRC. Three-year OS rates in Groups A, B, and C were 93.9%, 96.1%, and 90.1%, respectively, without a significant difference (P = 0.07). Multivariate analysis indicated low (<96.3) geriatric nutritional risk index (GNRI) as the sole independent predictor for reduced OS (hazard ratio 3.37; 95% confidence interval 2.18-5.22; P < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: Low GNRI, but not the curability attained by ESD, was independently associated with reduced OS in patients with early CRC aged ≥75 years.

Antithrombotics increase bleeding after endoscopic submucosal dissection for gastric cancer: Nationwide propensity score analysis.

OBJECTIVES: Post-operative bleeding is the most common adverse event in endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) for early gastric cancer (EGC). Patients taking antithrombotic agents has increased. We evaluated the influence of antithrombotic agents on delayed bleeding in ESD for EGC. METHODS: This was a post hoc analysis of nationwide, multicenter, retrospective cohort study in Japan. Altogether, 11,452 patients who underwent ESD for EGC in 33 institutions between November 2013 and October 2016 were enrolled. The primary outcome was the incidence of delayed bleeding in patients with or without antithrombotic agents. The secondary outcome was the incidence of delayed bleeding in those who took each antithrombotic agent and the cessation status of its use compared with each matched pair of patients. We used propensity matching and inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) analyses. RESULTS: There were 1353 matched pairs of patients. The incidence of delayed bleeding was 2.8% and 10.7% in those without and with antithrombotic agents, respectively (odds ratio [OR] 4.15, 95% confidence interval [CI] 2.88-5.99; P < 0.001). The IPTW analysis showed similar results (OR 4.21, 95% CI 3.48-5.08; P < 0.001). Antiplatelets, anticoagulants, and their combination increased such incidence. Heparin bridging therapy had high OR (8.80), and the continuation (OR 3.46) and cessation (OR 2.95) of antithrombotic agent use had similar risk. CONCLUSIONS: Antithrombotic agents increased the incidence of delayed bleeding in patients who underwent ESD for EGC. Continuing antithrombotics may be more appropriate than heparin bridging therapy.

Prediction model of bleeding after endoscopic submucosal dissection for early gastric cancer: BEST-J score.

OBJECTIVE: Bleeding after endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) for early gastric cancer (EGC) is a frequent adverse event after ESD. We aimed to develop and externally validate a clinically useful prediction model (BEST-J score: Bleeding after ESD Trend from Japan) for bleeding after ESD for EGC. DESIGN: This retrospective study enrolled patients who underwent ESD for EGC. Patients in the derivation cohort (n=8291) were recruited from 25 institutions, and patients in the external validation cohort (n=2029) were recruited from eight institutions in other areas. In the derivation cohort, weighted points were assigned to predictors of bleeding determined in the multivariate logistic regression analysis and a prediction model was established. External validation of the model was conducted to analyse discrimination and calibration. RESULTS: A prediction model comprised 10 variables (warfarin, direct oral anticoagulant, chronic kidney disease with haemodialysis, P2Y12 receptor antagonist, aspirin, cilostazol, tumour size >30 mm, lower-third in tumour location, presence of multiple tumours and interruption of each kind of antithrombotic agents). The rates of bleeding after ESD at low-risk (0 to 1 points), intermediate-risk (2 points), high-risk (3 to 4 points) and very high-risk (≥5 points) were 2.8%, 6.1%, 11.4% and 29.7%, respectively. In the external validation cohort, the model showed moderately good discrimination, with a c-statistic of 0.70 (95% CI, 0.64 to 0.76), and good calibration (calibration-in-the-large, 0.05; calibration slope, 1.01). CONCLUSIONS: In this nationwide multicentre study, we derived and externally validated a prediction model for bleeding after ESD. This model may be a good clinical decision-making support tool for ESD in patients with EGC.

Vascular endothelial growth factor-A is an Immunohistochemical biomarker for the efficacy of bevacizumab-containing chemotherapy for duodenal and jejunal adenocarcinoma.

BACKGROUND: The efficacy and safety of bevacizumab-containing chemotherapy for patients with metastatic duodenal and jejunal adenocarcinoma (mDJA) are unclear. The present study aimed to evaluate the efficacy of bevacizumab and to explore immunohistochemical markers that can predict the efficacy of bevacizumab for patients with mDJA. METHODS: This multicentre study included patients with histologically confirmed small bowel adenocarcinoma who received palliative chemotherapy from 2008 to 2017 at 15 hospitals. Immunostaining was performed for vascular endothelial growth factor-A (VEGF-A), TP53, Ki67, ß-catenin, CD10, MUC2, MUC5AC, MUC6, and mismatch repair proteins. RESULTS: A total of 74 patients were enrolled, including 65 patients with mDJA and 9 with metastatic ileal adenocarcinoma. Patients with mDJA who received platinum-based chemotherapy with bevacizumab as first-line treatment tended to have a longer progression-free survival and overall survival than those treated without bevacizumab (P = 0.075 and 0.077, respectively). Multivariate analysis extracted high VEGF-A expression as a factor prolonging progression-free survival (hazard ratio: 0.52, 95% confidence interval: 0.30-0.91). In mDJA patients with high VEGF-A expression, those who received platinum-based chemotherapy with bevacizumab as a first-line treatment had significantly longer progression-free survival and tended to have longer overall survival than those treated without bevacizumab (P = 0.025 and P = 0.056, respectively), whereas no differences were observed in mDJA patients with low VEGF-A expression. CONCLUSION: Immunohistochemical expression of VEGF-A is a potentially useful biomarker for predicting the efficacy of bevacizumab-containing chemotherapy for patients with mDJA.

Prophylactic clipping not effective in preventing post-polypectomy bleeding for < 20-mm colon polyps: A multicenter, open-label, randomized controlled trial.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Prophylactic clipping (PC) after polypectomy has the potential to prevent post-polypectomy bleeding (PPB). We aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of PC in preventing PPB for < 20-mm polyps. METHODS: This multicenter, open-label, randomized controlled trial conducted from December 2013 to June 2017 at 10 institutions randomly assigned 1080 patients with < 20-mm colon polyps to the non-PC and PC groups. Allocation factors were institution, antiplatelet drug use, and polyp number. The primary endpoint was differences in PPB rates between the groups. The severity of PPB and post-procedural abdominal symptoms were also investigated. These endpoints in intention-to-treat and per-protocol (PP) analyses were evaluated. RESULTS: We investigated 1039 patients with 2960 lesions. There was no significant difference between the groups in characteristics including age, sex, hypertension, diabetes, hyperlipidemia, antiplatelet drug use, and lesion characteristics such as type and size. Excluding the clip used in the non-PC group, intraoperative bleeding, and deviation of protocol, 903 patients were investigated in PP analysis. There was no significant difference in the PPB rate between the non-PC and PC groups (2.7% vs 2.3%, P = 0.6973 [intention-to-treat analysis]; 3.0 vs 2.4%, P = 0.7353 [PP analysis]). Severe PPB (≥ grade 3) was similar between the groups. Total procedure time was significantly shorter in the non-PC group than in the PC group (31 vs 36 min, P = 0.0002). Post-procedural abdominal fullness was less common in the non-PC group than in the PC group (20.8% vs 25.6%, P = 0.0833). CONCLUSION: Prophylactic clipping is not effective in preventing PBB for < 20-mm colon polyps (UMIN000012163).