Incomplete reversibility of estimated glomerular filtration rate decline following tenofovir disoproxil fumarate exposure.

BACKGROUND: Tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) has been linked to renal impairment, but the extent to which this impairment is reversible is unclear. We aimed to investigate the reversibility of renal decline during TDF therapy. METHODS: Cox proportional hazards models assessed factors associated with discontinuing TDF in those with an exposure duration of >6 months. In those who discontinued TDF therapy, linear piecewise regression models estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) slopes before initiation of, during, and after discontinuation of TDF therapy. Factors associated with not achieving eGFR recovery 6 months after discontinuing TDF were assessed using multivariable logistic regression. RESULTS: We observed declines in the eGFR during TDF exposure (mean slopes, -15.7 mL/minute/1.73 m(2)/year [95% confidence interval {CI}, -20.5 to -10.9] during the first 3 months and -3.1 mL/minute/1.73 m(2)/year [95% CI, -4.6 to -1.7] thereafter) and evidence of eGFR increases following discontinuation of TDF therapy (mean slopes, 12.5 mL/minute/1.73 m(2)/year [95% CI, 8.9-16.1] during the first 3 months and 0.8 mL/minute/1.73 m(2)/year [95% CI, .1-1.5] thereafter). Following TDF discontinuation, 38.6% of patients with a decline in the eGFR did not experience recovery. A higher eGFR at baseline, a lower eGFR after discontinuation of TDF therapy, and more-prolonged exposure to TDF were associated with an increased risk of incomplete recovery 6 months after discontinuation of TDF therapy. CONCLUSIONS: This study shows that a decline in the eGFR during TDF therapy was not fully reversible in one third of patients and suggests that prolonged TDF exposure at a low eGFR should be avoided.

Response to antiretroviral therapy (ART): comparing women with previous use of zidovudine monotherapy (ZDVm) in pregnancy with ART naïve women.

BACKGROUND: Short-term zidovudine monotherapy (ZDVm) remains an option for some pregnant HIV-positive women not requiring treatment for their own health but may affect treatment responses once antiretroviral therapy (ART) is subsequently started. METHODS: Data were obtained by linking two UK studies: the UK Collaborative HIV Cohort (UK CHIC) study and the National Study of HIV in Pregnancy and Childhood (NSHPC). Treatment responses were assessed for 2028 women initiating ART at least one year after HIV-diagnosis. Outcomes were compared using logistic regression, proportional hazards regression or linear regression. RESULTS: In adjusted analyses, ART-naïve (n = 1937) and ZDVm-experienced (n = 91) women had similar increases in CD4 count and a similar proportion achieving virological suppression; both groups had a low risk of AIDS. CONCLUSIONS: In this setting, antenatal ZDVm exposure did not adversely impact on outcomes once ART was initiated for the woman's health.

Does discordancy between the CD4 count and CD4 percentage in HIV-positive individuals influence outcomes on highly active antiretroviral therapy?

INTRODUCTION: The CD4 count and CD4 percentage (CD4%) are both strong predictors of clinical disease progression in human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). Although individuals may show discordancy between their CD4 count and CD4%, the clinical relevance of this is unclear. METHODS: Discordancy was defined where the CD4% was ≤10th percentile for a selected CD4 count range (referred to as low discordancy), within the central 80% range (concordant), or ≥90th percentile (high discordancy). Regression methods identified factors associated with low and high discordancy in untreated individuals and assessed the impact of discordancy on treatment responses to highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART). RESULTS: High discordancy was associated with female sex, low viral load, and white ethnicity; low discordancy was associated with black or nonwhite ethnicity, older age, and injection drug use. Clinical event rates were higher in individuals with high discordancy starting HAART, but there was no association with subsequent HIV progression by 6 months after starting HAART. CD4 count increases remained lower, by 20 cells/mm(3), in individuals with low discordancy, and higher, by 27 cells/mm(3), in those with high discordancy. CONCLUSIONS: Overall discrepancies between the CD4/CD4% are small, confirming the use of absolute CD4 counts as a monitoring tool.

Using two on-going HIV studies to obtain clinical data from before, during and after pregnancy for HIV-positive women.

BACKGROUND: The UK Collaborative HIV Cohort (UK CHIC) is an observational study that collates data on HIV-positive adults accessing HIV clinical care at (currently) 13 large clinics in the UK but does not collect pregnancy specific data. The National Study of HIV in Pregnancy and Childhood (NSHPC) collates data on HIV-positive women receiving antenatal care from every maternity unit in the UK and Ireland. Both studies collate pseudonymised data and neither dataset contains unique patient identifiers. A methodology was developed to find and match records for women reported to both studies thereby obtaining clinical and treatment data on pregnant HIV-positive women not available from either dataset alone. RESULTS: Women in UK CHIC receiving HIV-clinical care in 1996-2009, were found in the NSHPC dataset by initially 'linking' records with identical date-of-birth, linked records were then accepted as a genuine 'match', if they had further matching fields including CD4 test date. In total, 2063 women were found in both datasets, representing 23.1% of HIV-positive women with a pregnancy in the UK (n = 8932). Clinical data was available in UK CHIC following most pregnancies (92.0%, 2471/2685 pregnancies starting before 2009). There was bias towards matching women with repeat pregnancies (35.9% (741/2063) of women found in both datasets had a repeat pregnancy compared to 21.9% (1502/6869) of women in NSHPC only) and matching women HIV diagnosed before their first reported pregnancy (54.8% (1131/2063) compared to 47.7% (3278/6869), respectively). CONCLUSIONS: Through the use of demographic data and clinical dates, records from two independent studies were successfully matched, providing data not available from either study alone.

HIV-associated central nervous system diseases in the recent combination antiretroviral therapy era.

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE: Data describing the incidence and survival of HIV-related central nervous system diseases (CNS-D) in recent years are sparse. METHODS: Between 1996 and 2007, adult subjects without previous CNS-D within a large UK cohort were included (n=30,954). CNS-D were HIV encephalopathy (HIVe), progressive multifocal leucoencephalopathy (PML), cerebral toxoplasmosis (TOXO) and cryptococcal meningitis (CRYP). Associations between demographic, clinical and laboratory parameters with incidence and survival of CNS-D were evaluated using Poisson regression analysis and Kaplan-Meier techniques. RESULTS: Six hundred and thirteen new CNS-D occurred in 574 subjects (HIVe:187, PML:113, TOXO:184, CRYP:129). Incidence of all CNS-D declined from 13.1 per 1000 PY in 1996/1997 to 1.0 per 1000 PY in 2006/2007 (P=0.0001). Current CD4+ cell count below 200 cells/ul and plasma HIV RNA above 100,000 copies/ml were independently associated with the development of CNS-D. Calendar year 1996/1997, older age, prior AIDS diagnosis and PML diagnosis were significantly associated with shorter survival. CONCLUSIONS: An ongoing decline in the incidence of CNS-D has been observed in very recent years. Mortality following such a diagnosis remains high.

Differences in HIV clinical outcomes amongst heterosexuals in the United Kingdom by ethnicity.

OBJECTIVE: We investigated differences in clinical outcomes in heterosexual participants, by ethnicity in the UK Collaborative HIV Cohort Study from 2000 to 2017. DESIGN: Cohort analysis. METHODS: Logistic/proportional hazard regression assessed ethnic group differences in CD4+ cell count at presentation, engagement-in-care, combination antiretroviral therapy (cART) initiation, viral suppression and rebound. RESULTS: Of 12 302 participants [median age: 37 (interquartile range: 31-44) years, 52.5% women, total follow-up: 85 846 person-years], 64.4% were black African, 19.1% white, 6.3% black Caribbean, 3.6% black other, 3.3% South Asian/other Asian and 3.4% other/mixed. CD4+ cell count at presentation amongst participants from non-white groups were lower than the white group. Participants were engaged-in-care for 79.6% of follow-up time; however, black and other/mixed groups were less likely to be engaged-in-care than the white group (adjusted odds ratios vs. white: black African: 0.70 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.63-0.79], black Caribbean: 0.74 (0.63-0.88), other/mixed: 0.78 (0.62-0.98), black other: 0.81 (0.64-1.02)). Of 8867 who started cART, 79.1% achieved viral suppression, with no differences by ethnicity in cART initiation or viral suppression. Viral rebound (22.2%) was more common in the black other [1.95 (1.37-2.77)], black African [1.85 (1.52-2.24)], black Caribbean [1.73 (1.28-2.33)], South Asian/other Asian [1.35 (0.90-2.03)] and other/mixed [1.09 (0.69-1.71)] groups than in white participants. CONCLUSION: Heterosexual people from black, Asian and minority ethnic (BAME) groups presented with lower CD4+ cell counts, spent less time engaged-in-care and were more likely to experience viral rebound than white people. Work to understand and address these differences is needed.

Association of pregnancy with engagement in HIV care among women with HIV in the UK: a cohort study.

BACKGROUND: Women with HIV face challenges in engaging in HIV care post partum. We aimed to examine changes in engagement in HIV care through clinic attendance before, during, and after pregnancy, compared with matched women with HIV who had never had a recorded pregnancy. METHODS: In this cohort study, we describe changes in engagement in HIV care before, during, and after pregnancy among women with HIV from the UK Collaborative HIV Cohort (CHIC) study from 25 HIV clinics in the UK with a livebirth reported to the National Surveillance of HIV in Pregnancy and Childhood between Jan 1, 2000, and Dec 31, 2017. To investigate whether changes were specific to HIV, we compared these changes to those over equivalent periods among non-pregnant women with HIV in the UK CHIC study matched for ethnicity, year of conception, age, CD4 cell count, viral suppression, and antiretroviral therapy use. Analyses were via logistic regression using generalised estimated equations with an interaction between case-control status (pregnant women vs non-pregnant women) and pregnancy or pseudo pregnancy (for non-pregnant women) stage. FINDINGS: 1116 matched pairs of pregnant and non-pregnant women were included (median age 34 years [IQR 30-38], 80·1% Black African, 12·5% white). 69 330 person-months of follow-up were recorded, 25 412 in the before stage, 18 897 during, and 25 021 after pregnancy or pseudo pregnancy stages. Among pregnant women, the proportion of time engaged in care increased during pregnancy (8477 [90·5%] of 9371 person-months) and after pregnancy (10 501 [84·6%] of 12 407), compared with before pregnancy (9979 [78·5%] of 12 707). Among non-pregnant women in the control group, engagement in HIV care remained stable across the three equivalent stages (9688 [76·3%] of 12 705 person-months before pseudo pregnancy; 7463 [78·3%] of 9526 during pseudo pregnancy; and 9892 [78·4%] of 12 614 after pseudo pregnancy). The association of engagement in HIV care with pregnancy or pseudo pregnancy stage differed significantly by case-control status (pinteraction<0·0001); the odds of engagement in HIV care were higher during pregnancy (odds ratio [OR] 3·32, 95% CI 2·68-4·12) and after pregnancy (OR 1·49, 1·24-1·79) only among pregnant women, and not among non-pregnant women, when compared with the before pseudo pregnancy stage. INTERPRETATION: Women with HIV and a pregnancy resulting in a livebirth were more likely to engage in HIV care post partum when compared with before pregnancy. A detailed understanding of the reason for this finding could support interventions to maximise engagement in HIV care for all women with HIV. FUNDING: Medical Research Council and National Institute for Health Research.

Factors influencing lopinavir and atazanavir plasma concentration.

BACKGROUND: The protease inhibitors lopinavir and atazanavir are both recommended for treatment of HIV-infected patients. Considerable inter-individual variability in plasma concentration has been observed for both drugs. The aim of this study was to evaluate which demographic factors and concomitant drugs are associated with lopinavir and atazanavir plasma concentration. METHODS: Data from the Liverpool TDM (therapeutic drug monitoring) Registry were linked with the UK Collaborative HIV Cohort (CHIC) study. For each patient, the first measurement of lopinavir (twice daily) or atazanavir [once daily, ritonavir boosted (/r) or unboosted] plasma concentration was included. Linear regression was used to evaluate the association of dose, gender, age, weight, ethnicity and concomitant antiretroviral drugs or rifabutin with log-transformed drug concentration, adjusted for time since last intake. RESULTS: Data from 439 patients on lopinavir (69% 400 mg/r, 31% 533 mg/r; 3% concomitant rifabutin) and 313 on atazanavir (60% 300 mg/r, 32% 400 mg/r, 8% 400 mg) were included. Multivariable models revealed the following predictors for lopinavir concentration: weight (11% decrease per additional 10 kg; P = 0.001); dose (25% increase for 533 mg/r; P = 0.024); and rifabutin (116% increase; P < 0.001). For atazanavir the predictors were dose (compared with 300 mg/r: 40% increase for 400 mg/r, 67% decrease for 400 mg; overall P < 0.001) and efavirenz (32% decrease; P = 0.016) but not tenofovir (P = 0.54). CONCLUSIONS: This analysis confirms that efavirenz decreases atazanavir concentrations, and there was a negative association of weight and lopinavir concentrations. The strong impact of rifabutin on lopinavir concentration should be studied further.

Evaluation of Cancer 101: an educational program for native settings.

This community-based intervention study examines the impact of Cancer 101, a cancer education resource developed in collaboration with American Indians/Alaska Natives to improve cancer knowledge, action regarding cancer control in tribal settings, and survival rates for members of their communities. Pre/post-surveys used to assess knowledge, attitudes, perceived benefits and future activities at baseline, immediately post-training, and at 4-6 months. Participants demonstrated significant change in knowledge, attitude, and cancer control activities. Cancer 101 provides a critical pathway to increase knowledge and promote action to reduce the burden and improve survival of cancer within tribal communities.

Incidence of and risk factors for tuberculosis among people with HIV on antiretroviral therapy in the United Kingdom.

OBJECTIVE: The United Kingdom has a low tuberculosis incidence and earlier combination antiretroviral therapy (cART) is expected to have reduced incidence among people with HIV. Epidemiological patterns and risk factors for active tuberculosis were analysed over a 20-year period among people accessing HIV care at sites participating in the UK CHIC observational study. DESIGN: Cohort analysis. METHODS: Data were included for individuals over 15 years old attending for HIV care between 1996 and 2017 inclusive, with at least 3 months follow-up recorded. Incidence rates of new tuberculosis events were calculated and stratified by ethnicity (white/Black/other) as a proxy for tuberculosis exposure. Poisson regression models were used to determine the associations of calendar year, ethnicity and other potential risk factors after cART initiation. RESULTS: Fifty-eight thousand seven hundred and seventy-six participants (26.3% women; 54.5% white, 32.0% Black, 13.5% other/unknown ethnicity; median (interquartile range) age 34 (29-42) years) were followed for 546 617 person-years. Seven hundred and four were treated for active tuberculosis [rate 1.3; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.2-1.4/1000 person-years). Tuberculosis incidence decreased from 1.3 (1.2-1.5) to 0.6 (0.4-0.9)/1000 person-years from pre-2004 to 2011-2017. The decline among people of Black ethnicity was less steep than among those of white/other ethnicities, with incidence remaining high among Black participants in the latest period [2.1 (1.4-3.1)/1000 person-years]. Two hundred and eighty-three participants [191 (67%) Black African] had tuberculosis with viral load less than 50 copies/ml. CONCLUSION: Despite the known protective effect of cART against tuberculosis, a continuing disproportionately high incidence is seen among Black African people. Results support further interventions to prevent tuberculosis in this group.

CD4+:CD8+ T Cell Ratio Normalization and the Development of AIDS Events in People with HIV Starting Antiretroviral Therapy.

We identify factors associated with the normalization of the CD4+:CD8+ T cell ratio among UK Collaborative HIV Cohort study participants, and describe the association of the CD4+ and CD8+ T cell counts and the CD4+:CD8+ T cell ratio, with the risk of new AIDS events among individuals who achieve a suppressed viral load. Participants initiating combination antiretroviral therapy (cART) after 2006 with a CD4+:CD8+ T cell ratio <1, and viral suppression within 6 months were included. Cox proportional hazard models were used to examine associations with ratio normalization (ratio ≥1). Poisson regression models were used to investigate factors associated with the development of AIDS after viral load suppression. A total of 13,178 participants [median age: 37 (interquartile range: 31-44)] were followed for 75,336 person-years. Of the 4,042 (32.9%) who experienced ratio normalization, individuals with a high CD4+ T cell count [>500 vs. ≤200 cells/mm3, adjusted hazard ratio (95% confidence interval): 7.93 (6.97-9.01)], low CD8+ T cell count [>1,150 vs. ≤500 cells/mm3: 0.18 (0.16-0.21)], and low CD4+:CD8+ T cell ratio [>0.8 vs. <0.2: 12.36 (10.41-14.68)] at cART initiation were more likely to experience ratio normalization. Four hundred and nineteen people developed a new AIDS event. Most recent CD4+ T cell count [>500 vs. ≤200 cells/mm3: adjusted rate ratio 0.24 (0.16-0.34)] and CD4+:CD8+ T cell ratio [>0.8 vs. <0.2: 0.33 (0.21-0.52)] were independently associated with a new AIDS event. One third of study participants experienced ratio normalization after starting cART. CD4+ T cell count and CD4+:CD8+ T cell ratio are both individually associated with ratio normalization and the development of new AIDS events after cART.

Associations of menopausal age with virological outcomes and engagement in care among women living with HIV in the UK.

Background: Women ageing with HIV undergo sex-specific changes. There is limited evidence available with regards to how the menopause impacts HIV outcomes.Objective: To investigate whether menopausal age is associated with engagement-in-care (EIC), viral load (VL) suppression and rebound among women living with HIV.Methods: Women were grouped by age (<40, 40-50, >50 years), corresponding to pre-, peri- and post-menopausal stages. EIC, HIV VL suppression (VL < 50 copies/mL) within 12 months of antiretroviral therapy initiation and VL rebound (two consecutive VL > 50 copies/mL) after VL suppression were compared across age groups using logistic/Cox proportional hazards regression. Associations were compared to those seen in heterosexual men.Results: Six thousand four hundred and fifty-five (6455) eligible women (median age 36 [interquartile range: 29-42], 64.4% black African, 19.1% white) contributed 44,226 person-years (PYRS) of follow-up; 29,846, 10,980 and 3,399 PYRS in those aged <40, 40-50 and >50, respectively. Women were engaged-in-care for 79.5% of follow-up time, 3,344 (78.0%) experienced VL suppression and 739 (22.1%) VL rebound. After adjustment, women aged >50 years had lower EIC than those aged <40. Women aged 40-50 were more likely to have VL suppression and were less likely to experience VL rebound than those aged <40 years. Trends in heterosexual men were similar for EIC but with no evidence of a higher VL suppression rate in those aged 40-50 years (pint. 0< .0001) and a stronger protective association between older age and VL rebound (pint. 0< .0001).Conclusion: Our findings warrant further research into the potential impact of the menopause to support women and clinicians through HIV care.

Effect of HIV-1 subtype on virologic and immunologic response to starting highly active antiretroviral therapy.

BACKGROUND: It has been proposed that subtype-related human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) variability may influence virologic and immunologic responses to highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART). Studies to date, however, have described treatment outcomes predominantly in persons with subtype B infection or compared subtype B with diverse non-B subtypes grouped together. METHODS: With use of data from the linked UK Collaborative Group on HIV Drug Resistance and the UK Collaborative HIV Cohort Study databases, time to viral load undetectability (viral load, <50 copies/mL), time to virologic rebound (viral load, >1000 copies/mL), and increases in the CD4 cell count were compared for a median of 39 months (interquartile range, 23-67 months) in drug-naive patients infected with subtype B (n=1550), subtype C (n=272), subtype A (n=66), circulating recombinant form AG (n=57), or subtype D (n=41) disease who started HAART. RESULTS: Overall, 1906 (90%) of 2116 patients achieved viral load undetectability within 12 months after they started HAART, of whom 335 (18%) subsequently experienced virologic rebound. In adjusted analyses, viral load suppression occurred more rapidly in patients infected with subtype C (hazard ratio, 1.16; 95% confidence interval, 1.01-1.33; P=.04) and subtype A (hazard ratio, 1.35; 95% confidence interval, 1.04-1.74; P=.02) relative to subtype B infection. The virologic rebound occurred marginally more rapidly in patients with subtype C infection (hazard ratio, 1.40; 95% confidence interval, 1.00-1.95; P=.05), but the hazard of virologic rebound was similar with other subtypes. Although persons with subtype B infection showed higher baseline CD4 cell counts and maintained the advantage throughout therapy, CD4 cell count recovery occurred at similar rates with all subtypes. CONCLUSIONS: Patients infected with prevalent non-B subtypes were as likely to achieve viral load suppression as persons infected with subtype B and showed comparable rates of CD4 cell count recovery. HAART achieves excellent outcomes regardless of the infecting subtype.

CD4 counts and the risk of systemic non-Hodgkin's lymphoma in individuals with HIV in the UK.

Since the introduction of highly active antiretroviral therapy, there has been a decline in the incidence of non-Hodgkin's lymphoma among HIV-infected individuals. We described trends in the incidence of systemic non-Hodgkin's lymphoma in the UK CHIC Study from 1996-2006 and evaluated the association between immunosuppression and development of systemic non-Hodgkin's lymphoma: 286/23,155 (1.2%) individuals developed an AIDS-defining lymphoma (258 systemic). Younger age, receipt of highly active antiretroviral therapy and later calendar year were all independently associated with a reduced risk of systemic non-Hodgkin's lymphoma. A lower latest CD4 count was strongly associated with systemic non-Hodgkin's lymphoma, in patients who had (RR per log(2)(cells/mm(3)) higher: 0.62) and had not (0.70) received highly active antiretroviral therapy. Associations with other measures of immunosuppression, including nadir CD4 count, experience and duration of severe immunosuppression, were generally weaker. Earlier highly active anti-retroviral therapy initiation and wider access to HIV testing is advocated to reduce the risk of systemic non-Hodgkin's lymphoma.

Associations between baseline characteristics, CD4 cell count response and virological failure on first-line efavirenz + tenofovir + emtricitabine for HIV.

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to investigate associations between baseline characteristics and CD4 cell count response on first-line antiretroviral therapy and risk of virological failure (VF) with or without drug resistance. METHODS: We conducted an analysis of UK Collaborative HIV Cohort data linked to the UK HIV Drug Resistance Database. Inclusion criteria were viral sequence showing no resistance prior to initiation of first-line efavirenz + tenofovir disoproxil fumarate + emtricitabine and virological suppression within 6 months. Outcomes of VF (≥200 copies/mL) with or without drug resistance were assessed using a competing risks approach fitted jointly with a model for CD4 cell count recovery. Hazard ratios for each VF outcome were estimated for baseline CD4 cell count and viral load and characteristics of CD4 cell count response using latent variables on a standard normal scale. RESULTS: A total of 3640 people were included with 338 VF events; corresponding viral sequences were available in 134 with ≥1 resistance mutation in 36. VF with resistance was associated with lower baseline CD4 (0.30, 0.09-0.62), lower CD4 recovery (0.04, 0.00-0.17) and higher CD4 variability (4.40, 1.22-12.68). A different pattern of associations was observed for VF without resistance, but the strength of these results was less consistent across sensitivity analyses. Cumulative incidence of VF with resistance was estimated to be <2% at 3 years for baseline CD4 ≥350 cells/µL. CONCLUSION: Lower baseline CD4 cell count and suboptimal CD4 recovery are associated with VF with drug resistance. People with low CD4 cell count before ART or with suboptimal CD4 recovery on treatment should be a priority for regimens with high genetic barrier to resistance.

Factors influencing efavirenz and nevirapine plasma concentration: effect of ethnicity, weight and co-medication.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to examine factors influencing plasma concentration of efavirenz and nevirapine. METHODS: Data from the Liverpool Therapeutic Drug Monitoring (TDM) registry were linked with the UK Collaborative HIV Cohort (CHIC) Study. For each patient, the first measurement of efavirenz (600 or 800 mg/day) or nevirapine (400 mg/day) plasma concentration was included. Linear regression was used to evaluate the association of dose, gender, age, weight, ethnicity and concomitant antiretroviral drugs or rifampicin with log-transformed drug concentration, adjusted for time since last intake. RESULTS: Data from 339 patients on efavirenz (34% black, 17% rifampicin) and 179 on nevirapine (27% black, 6% rifampicin) were included. Multivariable models revealed the following predictors for efavirenz concentration: black ethnicity (59% higher; P<0.001), weight (10% lower per additional 10 kg; P=0.002), 800 mg/day (52% higher; P=0.027), rifampicin (35% lower; P=0.039), and zidovudine (25% lower; P=0.010). Notably, without adjustment for other factors, patients on rifampicin had 48% higher efavirenz concentration, as these patients were mostly black and on 800 mg/day. For nevirapine the predictors were black ethnicity (39% higher; P=0.002), rifampicin (40% lower; P=0.002), protease inhibitor (28% higher; P=0.008) and tenofovir (22% higher; P=0.024). CONCLUSIONS: We observed clear associations between ethnicity and concentrations of nevirapine and efavirenz. Our analyses confirm that concomitant rifampicin substantially decreases concentration of both efavirenz and nevirapine; however, for efavirenz this effect was more than counterbalanced by the effect of ethnicity and increased efavirenz dose. There was also an additional impact of weight, which should be considered when determining optimal dosage. Other associations from our analysis (between tenofovir or protease inhibitor and nevirapine, and zidovudine and efavirenz), require confirmation in formal pharmacokinetic studies.

Risk of extensive virological failure to the three original antiretroviral drug classes over long-term follow-up from the start of therapy in patients with HIV infection: an observational cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The long-term durability of viral-load suppression provided by the three original antiretroviral drugs is not well characterised. We estimated the proportion of patients who had extensive triple-class failure during long-term follow-up and examined characteristics associated with an increased rate of failure. METHODS: 7916 patients who started antiretroviral therapy with three or more drugs were followed up from the time that therapy started until the last viral-load measure. Extensive triple-class virological failure was defined by failure of three subclasses of nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors, a non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor, and a ritonavir-boosted protease inhibitor. FINDINGS: 167 patients developed extensive triple-class failure during 27 441 person-years of follow-up. The Kaplan-Meier estimate for the cumulative risk of extensive triple-class failure was 9.2% by 10 years (95% CI 5.0-13.4). There was evidence that this rate has decreased over time (adjusted hazard ratio 0.86 [0.77-0.96] per year more recent; p=0.006). Of the 167 patients with extensive triple-class failure, 101 (60%) subsequently had at least one viral load less than 50 copies per mL. The risk of death by 5 years from the time of extensive triple-class failure was 10.6% (2.4-18.8, nine deaths). INTERPRETATION: We have shown that extensive virological failure of the three main classes of drugs occurs slowly in routine clinical practice. This finding has implications for the planning of treatment programmes in developing countries, where additional drugs outside these classes are unlikely to be available for some time.

A continuum of HIV care describing mortality and loss to follow-up: a longitudinal cohort study.

BACKGROUND: The cross-sectional HIV care continuum is widely used to assess the success of HIV care programmes among populations of people with HIV and the potential for ongoing transmission. We aimed to investigate whether a longitudinal continuum, which incorporates loss to follow-up and mortality, might provide further insights about the performance of care programmes. METHODS: In this longitudinal cohort study, we included individuals who entered the UK Collaborative HIV Cohort (CHIC) study between Jan 1, 2000, and Dec 31, 2004, and were linked to the national HIV cohort database (HIV and AIDS Reporting System). For each month during a 10 year follow up period, we classified individuals into one of ten distinct categories according to engagement in care, antiretroviral therapy (ART) use, viral suppression, loss to cohort follow-up and loss to care, and mortality, and assessed the proportion of person-months of follow-up spent in each stage of the continuum. 5 year longitudinal continuums were also constructed for three separate cohorts (baseline years of entry 2000-03, 2004-07, and 2008-09) to compare changes over time. FINDINGS: We included 12 811 people contributing 1 537 320 person-months in our analysis. During 10 years of follow-up, individuals spent 811 057 (52·8%) of 1 537 320 person-months on ART. Of the 811 057 person-months spent on ART, individuals had a viral load of 200 copies per mL or less for 607 185 (74·9%) person-months. 10 years after cohort entry, 3612 (28·1%) of 12 811 individuals were lost to follow-up, 954 (26·4%) of whom had transferred to a non-CHIC UK clinic for care. By 10 years, 759 (5·9%) of 12 811 participants who entered the cohort had died. Loss to follow-up decreased and the proportion of person-months that individuals spent virally suppressed increased over calendar time. INTERPRETATION: Loss to follow-up in HIV care programmes was high and rates of viral suppression were lower than previously reported. Complementary information provided by a longitudinal continuum might highlight areas for intervention along the HIV care pathway, however, transfers outside the cohort must be accounted for. FUNDING: Medical Research Council, UK.

The association between detected drug resistance mutations and CD4+ T-cell decline in HIV-positive individuals maintained on a failing treatment regimen.

BACKGROUND: To analyse the effect of drug resistance mutations (DRM) on CD4+ T-cell (CD4) trends in HIV-positive people maintained on virologically failing antiretroviral therapy (ART). METHODS: Individuals from two large cohorts experiencing virological failure (VF) while maintained on ART with ≥1 CD4 count and ≥1 resistance test were included. CD4 slopes were estimated using linear mixed models. Principal component analysis (PCA) was used to assess the effect of clusters of mutations, defined using extracted component based scores from the PCA, on CD4 decline. RESULTS: 5,357 individuals contributing 7,661 VF episodes were included: any DRM were detected in 88.8% of episodes. After adjustment, CD4 counts declined less steeply during episodes where DRM were detected compared to episodes with no DRM (difference =28 cells/mm3/year, 95% CI =18, 39; P<0.001). Among individuals with at least one DRM, we found evidence that any nucleoside/nucleotide reverse transcriptase inhibitor (NRTI) resistance, the reverse transcriptase (RT) mutations M184V, D67N and T215Y as well as the protease mutations V82A and I54V were associated with reduced CD4 declines. The detection of any non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor resistance, the RT mutations V179D and L74V were associated with steeper CD4 declines. The presence of some mutation patterns similar to the clusters identified by the PCA also affected the CD4 decline. CONCLUSIONS: Detection of resistance and of certain DRM during VF of ART has a small but significant favourable effect on CD4 decline.

Increased duration of viral suppression is associated with lower viral rebound rates in patients with previous treatment failures.

OBJECTIVE: We investigated whether the rate of viral rebound decreases with increasing duration of viral suppression and, if so, whether rebound rates in patients previously failing antiretroviral regimens ultimately decline to levels as low as those seen in patients who have never experienced virological failure. METHODS: All patients from the UK CHIC Study (n = 21 256) who achieved a viral load (VL) of < or = 50 copies/ml while receiving HAART were followed until viral rebound (two consecutive VL > 400 copies/ml). Patients could re-enter the analysis if they experienced a subsequent VL < or = 50 copies/ml. Rebound rates were calculated according to the number of regimens previously failed and duration of viral suppression. RESULTS: Of 12 648 patients on HAART 10 237 (80.9%) achieved a VL < or = 50 copies/ml. During 26 494 person-years (PY) of follow-up, 1853 (18.1%) patients experienced at least one viral rebound 'event', with 2460 events in total [rebound rate, 9.3 (range, 8.9-9.7)/100 PY). Within the first year of viral suppression, the rate of viral rebound was 8.3 (7.5-9.1)/100 PY in patients who had not previously failed treatment, increasing to 32.7 (27.6-37.8)/100 PY in patients who had failed more than four regimens. Irrespective of previous treatment failure, rebound rates in those who remained suppressed for > 4 years were similar to those in patients who had at no time experienced treatment failure. CONCLUSION: After around 4 years of viral suppression rebound rates in individuals with multiple prior treatment failures approach those of individuals with no prior treatment failure.