NSAIDs do not reduce severity among post-ERCP pancreatitis patients.

OBJECTIVE: Non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) are the most studied chemoprophylaxis for post-endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography pancreatitis (PEP). While previous systematic reviews have shown NSAIDs reduce PEP, their impact on moderate to severe PEP (MSPEP) is unclear. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to understand the impact of NSAIDs on MSPEP among patients who developed PEP. We later surveyed physicians' understanding of that impact. DESIGN: A systematic search for randomized trials using NSAIDs for PEP prevention was conducted. Pooled-prevalence and Odds-ratio of PEP, MSPEP were compared between treated vs. control groups. Analysis was performed using R software. Random-effects model was used for all variables. Physicians were surveyed via email before and after reviewing our results. RESULTS: 7688 patients in 25 trials were included. PEP was significantly reduced to 0.598 (95%CI, 0.47-0.76) in the NSAIDs group. Overall burden of MSPEP was reduced among all patients undergoing ERCP: OR 0.59 (95%CI, 0.42-0.83). However, NSAIDs didn't affect the proportion of MSPEP among those who developed PEP (p = 0.658). Rectal Indomethacin and diclofenac reduced PEP but not MSPEP. Efficacy didn't vary by risk, timing of administration, or bias-risk. Survey revealed a change in the impression of the effect of NSAIDs on MSPEP after reviewing our results. CONCLUSIONS: Rectal diclofenac or indomethacin before or after ERCP reduce the overall burden of MSPEP by reducing the pool of PEP from which it can arise. However, the proportion of MSPEP among patients who developed PEP is unaffected. Therefore, NSAIDs prevent initiation of PEP, but do not affect severity among those that develop PEP. Alternative modalities are needed to reduce MSPEP among patients who develop PEP.

Days Alive and Out of the Hospital After Heart Transplantation: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

OBJECTIVE: Evaluate days alive and out of the hospital (DAOH) as an outcome measure after orthotopic heart transplantation in patients with mechanical circulatory support (MCS) as a bridge to transplant compared to those patients without prior MCS. DESIGN: A retrospective observational study of adult patients who underwent cardiac transplantation between January 1, 2015, and January 1, 2020. The primary outcome was DAOH at 365 days (DAOH365) after an orthotopic heart transplant. A Poisson regression model was fitted to detect the association between independent variables and DAOH365. SETTING: An academic tertiary referral center. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 235 heart transplant patients were included-103 MCS as a bridge to transplant patients, and 132 direct orthotopic heart transplants without prior MCS. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The median DAOH365 for the entire cohort was 348 days (IQR 335.0-354.0). There was no difference in DAOH365 between the MCS patients and patients without MCS (347.0 days [IQR 336.0-353.0] v 348.0 days [IQR 334.0-354.0], p = 0.43). Multivariate analysis identified patients who underwent a transplant after the 2018 heart transplant allocation change, pretransplant pulmonary hypertension, and increased total ischemic time as predictors of reduced DAOH365. CONCLUSIONS: In this analysis of patients undergoing orthotopic heart transplantation, there was no significant difference in DAOH365 in patients with prior MCS as a bridge to transplant compared to those without MCS. Incorporating days alive and out of the hospital into the pre-transplant evaluation may improve understanding and conceptualization of the post-transplantation patient experience and aid in shared decision-making with clinicians.

Operating in an Opioid Crisis: A Temporal Analysis of Pain Medication Prescribing Practices in Plastic Surgery.

BACKGROUND: In response to the opioid epidemic, the United States declared a public health emergency in 2017. We evaluated pain medication prescribing practices among plastic and reconstructive surgeons, assessing pain medication prescription rates and opioid-related mortality both nationally and regionally within the United States. METHODS: A retrospective analysis of Medicare Part D prescriber data among plastic surgeons from 2013 through 2017 was conducted. Pain medications were categorized as opioid and nonopioid medications. Trends in surgeon prescribing habits were evaluated using the Cochrane-Armitage trend test. RESULTS: A total of 708,817 pain medication claims were identified: 612,123 claims (86%) were for opioid pain medications and 96,694 claims (14%) were for nonopioid pain medications. Total pain medication claims decreased from 44% of all medications in 2013 to 37% in 2017 (P < 0.001). Opioid medications decreased from 37% of total medication claims to 32% (P < 0.001). The overall opioid prescription rate fell from 1.53 claims per beneficiary in 2013 to 1.32 in 2017 (P < 0.001). Nonopioid pain medications decreased from 7% in 2013 to 6% in 2017 (P < 0.001); nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drug claims increased by 44%. The prescription rate of nonopioid medications decreased from 2.40 claims per beneficiary in 2013 to 2.32 in 2017 (P < 0.001). An overall increase in opioid-related mortality was observed. Trends in pain medication prescriptions varied significantly among US regions and divisions. CONCLUSIONS: Plastic surgeons are prescribing less opioids and relying more on nonopioid pain medications. Increased adoption of multimodal pain treatment approaches among surgeons is a likely explanation for this trend in face of the current opioid crisis.

Ethics Education in U.S. Allopathic Medical Schools: A National Survey of Medical School Deans and Ethics Course Directors.

AbstractPurpose: to characterize ethics course content, structure, resources, pedagogic methods, and opinions among academic administrators and course directors at U.S. medical schools. METHOD: An online questionnaire addressed to academic deans and ethics course directors identified by medical school websites was emailed to 157 Association of American Medical Colleges member medical schools in two successive waves in early 2022. Descriptive statistics were utilized to summarize responses. RESULTS: Representatives from 61 (39%) schools responded. Thirty-two (52%) respondents were course directors; 26 (43%) were deans of academic affairs, medical education, or curriculum; and 3 with other roles also completed the survey (5%). All 61 schools reported some form of formal ethics education during the first year of medical school, with most (n = 54, 89%) reporting a formal mandatory introductory course during preclinical education. Schools primarily utilized lecture and small-group teaching methods. Knowledge-based examinations, attendance, and participation were most commonly used for assessment. A large majority regarded ethics as equally or more important than other foundational courses, but fewer (n = 37, 60%) provided faculty training for teaching ethics. CONCLUSIONS: Despite a response rate of 39 percent, the authors conclude that medical schools include ethics in their curricula in small-group and lecture formats with heterogeneity regarding content taught. Preclinical curricular redesigns must innovate and implement best practices for ensuring sound delivery of ethics content in future curricula. Additional large-scale research is necessary to determine said best practices.

[Analysis of factors associated with proximal junctional kyphosis after surgery for Lenke type 5 adolescent idiopathic scoliosis].

Objective: To investigate the risk factors associated with the development of proximal junctional kyphosis (PJK) after posterior spinal fusion for in children with Lenke type 5 adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS). Methods: It was a retrospective case-control study that included medical records of 98 children with Lenke type 5 AIS who underwent posterior orthopedic surgery under general anesthesia at the Honghui Hospital Affiliated to Xi'an Jiaotong University from January 2013 to December 2018. There were 23 males and 75 females with a mean age of (14.5±2.2) years (10-18 years). Patients were divided into PJK and non-PJK groups according to whether the posterior junctional angle (PJA) was greater than 10° and increased for more than 10° from the preoperative period at the the last follow-up. Univariate analysis was used to analyze the correlation of general data of the children with occurrence of PJK after the operation. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to analyze the risk factors of postoperative PJK. Results: There were 35 cases in the PJK group and 63 cases in the non-PJK group. The PJK and non-PJK groups were followed up for (35.6±7.3) months and (36.4±7.5) months, respectively, and the difference was not statistically significant (P=0.637). There was no statistically significant difference between the two groups in general data such as gender, age, and body mass index (all P>0.05), while there were statistically significant differences between the two groups in upper instrumented vertebrea (UIV) location and junctional area posterior ligamentous complex (PLC) injury (all P<0.05). The results of univariate analysis showed that UIV location at T10-T12, junctional area PLC injury, preoperative coronal thoracic curve (TC), preoperative and final follow-up PJA, and preoperative and final follow-up pelvic incidence-lumbarlordosis (PI-LL) were correlated with postoperative PJK (OR=2.50, 5.37, 0.92, 1.12, 1.32, 1.06, 3.35, all P<0.05). Multifactorial logistic regression analysis showed that UIV located at T10-T12 (OR=2.346, 95%CI: 1.582-3.481, P=0.001), junctional area PLC injury (OR=5.112, 95%CI: 1.283-20.418, P=0.023) and last follow-up PI-LL (OR=1.826, 95%CI: 1.558-24.745, P=0.012) were risk factors for the occurrence of postoperative PJK in children with Lenke type 5 AIS. Conclusions: Postoperative UIV fixation to the thoracolumbar segment, PLC injury in the junctional area and excessive postoperative PI-LL in children with Lenke type 5 AIS may be the risk factors for the occurrence of PJK after the operation. It is suggested that avoidance of UIV selection to the thoracolumbar segment, intraoperative protection of the PLC located near the UIV and restoration of a good PI-LL relationship may reduce the incidence of PJK.

Use of the Electronic Health Record During Clinical Encounters: An Experience Survey.

PURPOSE: Use of the electronic health record (EHR) during face-to-face clinical encounters affects communication, and prior research has been inconclusive regarding its effect. This survey study assessed health care practitioner use of EHR-specific communication skills and patient and practitioner experiences and attitudes regarding EHR use during clinical encounters. METHODS: For this US-based study, we distributed previously validated surveys to practitioners and adult patients (aged >18 years) at academic primary care practices from July 1, 2018 through August 31, 2018. The electronic practitioner survey was completed first; a paper survey was administered to patients after appointments. Descriptive statistics were calculated, and the Cochran-Armitage test was used to assess for associations between key variables. RESULTS: The practitioner response was 72.9% (43/59); patient response, 45.2% (452/1,000). Practitioners reported maintaining less eye contact (79.1%), listening less carefully (53.5%), focusing less on patients (65.1%), and visits feeling less personal (62.8%). However, patients reported that practitioners provided sufficient eye contact (96.8%) and listened carefully (97.0%); they disagreed that practitioners focused less on them (86.7%) or that visits felt less personal (87.2%). Patients thought EHR use was positive (91.7%); only one-third of practitioners (37.2%) thought that patients would agree with that statement. Practitioners reported stress, burnout, and a lack of sufficient time for EHR documentation. CONCLUSIONS: A discrepancy existed in this study between patient and practitioner experiences and attitudes about EHR use, which appeared to negatively affect the experience of health care practitioners but not patients. Organizations should adopt formal strategies to improve practitioner experiences with EHR use.

Study of synergistic disinfection by UVC and positive/negative air ions for aerosolized Escherichia coli, Salmonella typhimurium, and Staphylococcus epidermidis in ventilation duct flow.

The efficacy of the in-duct application of ultraviolet waveband C (UVC) emitting at 254 nm wavelength and air ions against aerosolized bacteria was studied in a full-scale 9-m long ventilation duct. Combined positive and negative ion polarities (bipolar ions) and combined UVC and ions were tested. The UVC was generated by a mercury-type UVC lamp and air ions were generated by positive and negative polarity ionizers. Escherichia coli (E. coli), Salmonella typhimurium (S. typhimurium), and Staphylococcus epidermidis (S. epidermidis)were tested at a concentration of 108 to 109 cells in 50 ml of sterilized distilled water. The case in which the positive ionizer was placed first, followed by the negative ionizer, demonstrated significantly higher disinfection efficiencies for E. coli (p = 0.007) and S. typhimurium (p < 0.001), but lower efficiency for S. epidermidis (p = 0.01) than the reversed sequence. The combination of UVC (3.71 J/m2 ) and air ions (1.13 × 1012  ions/m3 for positive ions and 8.00 × 1011  ions/m3 for negative ions) led to higher inactivation than individual disinfection agents operating under the same dose. A synergetic inactivation effect was observed for S. epidermidis under the combined UVC and positive ion case, while the combined UVC and negative ion case showed significant synergy effects for E. coli and S. typhimurium.

A comparison of naloxegol versus alvimopan at the time of cystectomy and urinary diversion.

INTRODUCTION: The use of alvimopan at the time of cystectomy has been associated with improved perioperative outcomes. Naloxegol is a less costly alternative that has been used in some centers. This study aims to compare the perioperative outcomes of patients undergoing cystectomy with urinary diversion who receive the mu-opioid antagonist alvimopan versus naloxegol. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This was a retrospective review that included all patients who underwent cystectomy with urinary diversion at our institution between 2007-2020. Comparisons were made between patients who received perioperative alvimopan, naloxegol and no mu-opioid antagonist (controls). RESULTS: In 715 patients who underwent cystectomy, 335 received a perioperative mu-opioid antagonist, of whom 57 received naloxegol. Control patients, compared to naloxegol and alvimopan patients, experienced a significantly (p < 0.05) delayed return of bowel function (4.3 vs. 2.5 vs. 3.0 days) and longer hospital length of stay (7.9 vs. 7.5 vs. 6.5 days), respectively. The incidence of nasogastric tube use (14.2% vs. 12.5% vs. 6.5%) and postoperative ileus (21.6% vs. 21.1% vs. 13.3%) was also most common in the control group compared to the naloxegol and alvimopan cohorts, respectively. A multivariable analysis revealed that when comparing naloxegol and alvimopan, there was no difference in return of bowel function (OR 0.88, p = 0.17), incidence of postoperative ileus (OR 1.60, p = 0.44), or hospital readmission (OR 1.22, p = 0.63). CONCLUSIONS: Naloxegol expedites the return of bowel function to the same degree as alvimopan in cystectomy patients. Given the lower cost of naloxegol, this agent may be a preferable alternative to alvimopan.

Improved Constraints on Primordial Gravitational Waves using Planck, WMAP, and BICEP/Keck Observations through the 2018 Observing Season.

We present results from an analysis of all data taken by the BICEP2, Keck Array, and BICEP3 CMB polarization experiments up to and including the 2018 observing season. We add additional Keck Array observations at 220 GHz and BICEP3 observations at 95 GHz to the previous 95/150/220 GHz dataset. The Q/U maps now reach depths of 2.8, 2.8, and 8.8 µK_{CMB} arcmin at 95, 150, and 220 GHz, respectively, over an effective area of ≈600 square degrees at 95 GHz and ≈400 square degrees at 150 and 220 GHz. The 220 GHz maps now achieve a signal-to-noise ratio on polarized dust emission exceeding that of Planck at 353 GHz. We take auto- and cross-spectra between these maps and publicly available WMAP and Planck maps at frequencies from 23 to 353 GHz and evaluate the joint likelihood of the spectra versus a multicomponent model of lensed ΛCDM+r+dust+synchrotron+noise. The foreground model has seven parameters, and no longer requires a prior on the frequency spectral index of the dust emission taken from measurements on other regions of the sky. This model is an adequate description of the data at the current noise levels. The likelihood analysis yields the constraint r_{0.05}<0.036 at 95% confidence. Running maximum likelihood search on simulations we obtain unbiased results and find that σ(r)=0.009. These are the strongest constraints to date on primordial gravitational waves.

Concordance Between Registry and Administrative Data in the Determination of Comorbidity: A Multi-institutional Study.

OBJECTIVE: To characterize agreement between administrative and registry data in the determination of patient-level comorbidities. BACKGROUND: Previous research finds poor agreement between these 2 types of data in the determination of outcomes. We hypothesized that concordance between administrative and registry data would also be poor. METHODS: A cohort of inpatient operations (length of stay 1 day or greater) was obtained from a consortium of 8 hospitals. Within each hospital, National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) data were merged with intra-institutional inpatient administrative data. Twelve different comorbidities (diabetes, hypertension, congestive heart failure, hemodialysis-dependence, cancer diagnosis, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, ascites, sepsis, smoking, steroid, congestive heart failure, acute renal failure, and dyspnea) were analyzed in terms of agreement between administrative and NSQIP data. RESULTS: Forty-one thousand four hundred thirty-two inpatient surgical hospitalizations were analyzed in this study. Concordance (Cohen Kappa value) between the 2 data sources varied from 0.79 (diabetes) to 0.02 (dyspnea). Hospital variation in concordance (intersite variation) was quantified using a test of homogeneity. This test found significant intersite variation at a level of P < 0.001 for each of the comorbidities except for dialysis (P = 0.07) and acute renal failure (P = 0.19). These findings imply significant differences between hospitals in their generation of comorbidity data. CONCLUSION: This study finds significant differences in how administrative versus registry data assess patient-level comorbidity. These differences are of concern to patients, payers, and providers, each of which had a stake in the integrity of these data. Standardized definitions of comorbidity and periodic audits are necessary to ensure data accuracy and minimize bias.

Using evidence to direct quality improvement efforts: Defining the highest impact complications after complex cytoreductive surgery for ovarian cancer.

OBJECTIVE: We sought to identify postoperative complications with the greatest impact on patient-centric outcomes to serve as high yield QI targets in ovarian cancer (OC) surgery. METHODS: Women undergoing complex CRS (defined as cytoreductive surgery with colon resection) for OC between January 1, 2012 and 12/31/2016 were identified from the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (NSQIP) database. We determined the population attributable fraction (PAF) to quantify the contribution of each major complication towards adverse outcomes. PAF represents the burden of adverse outcomes that could be eliminated if the corresponding complication was prevented. Organ space surgical site infection (SSI) was used as a surrogate for anastomotic leak (AL). RESULTS: A total of 1434 women met inclusion criteria. Any adverse clinical outcome (composite of death, reoperation, or end organ dysfunction) occurred in 9.1% of women, and AL was the largest contributor to adverse clinical outcomes [PAF = 33.4% (95%CI: 22.3%-45.6%)]. The rates of increased resource utilization were as follows; prolonged hospitalization in 23.7%, non-home discharge in 10.7% and unplanned readmission in 14.8% of women. AL was the largest contributor to prolonged hospitalizations [PAF = 75.7% (95%CI: 51.4%-90.0%)] and readmissions [PAF = 17.1% (95%CI: 11.5%-22.6%)]; while transfusion was the largest contributor to non-home discharge [PAF = 22.8% (95%CI: 0.7%-42.4%)]. By comparison, the impact of other complications, including those targeted by the Surgical Care Improvement Project (SCIP), such as incisional SSI, venous thromboembolism, myocardial infarction, and urinary infection, was small. CONCLUSIONS: Anastomotic leak is the largest contributor to adverse clinical outcomes and increased resource utilization after complex cytoreductive surgery. Quality improvement efforts to reduce AL and its impact should be of highest priority in OC surgery.

Longitudinal associations between metabolic score for visceral fat and hyperuricemia in non-obese adults.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: The assessment of visceral adiposity is of great significance for the prevention of hyperuricemia (HUA), especially in non-obese individuals. The metabolic score for visceral fat (METS-VF) is a newly proposed surrogate of visceral obesity. We aimed to evaluate the longitudinal associations of METS-VF with the risk of HUA in non-obese adults. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 16,058 non-obese adults without HUA were included for this retrospective cohort analyses. The crude incidence rate of HUA in non-obese women and men were 20.9 and 69.6 per 1000 person-years, respectively. The Cox proportional hazards model indicated that METS-VF was significantly associated with the risk of HUA in both genders. Whereas, METS-VF only had the highest HR in women, but not in men. CONCLUSIONS: METS-VF, a novel surrogate of visceral adiposity combined biochemical and anthropometric parameters, age, and gender, could be a useful tool for the hierarchical prevention and management of HUA among non-obese women.

Is There an Optimal Cutoff for Aspiration Fluid Volume in the Diagnosis of Periprosthetic Joint Infection?

BACKGROUND: The diagnosis of periprosthetic joint infection is often challenging in the setting of low aspiration volumes, or in the presence of infection with a slow-growing organism. We sought to determine if an optimal threshold of aspiration fluid volume exists when cultures from the preoperative aspiration are compared to intraoperative cultures. METHODS: All revision total hip and knee arthroplasty procedures over 5 years at our institution were reviewed. Cases were excluded if they underwent joint lavage during aspiration, had an antibiotic spacer in place, were suspected of adverse local tissue reaction to metal debris, did not have an accurate aspiration volume recorded, or if there were no aspiration or operative cultures available. Receiver operating characteristic curves were used to evaluate aspiration volume for identifying cases with identical aspiration and culture results. RESULTS: A total of 857 revision cases were reviewed, among which 294 met inclusion criteria. There were 45 cases (15.3%) with discordant aspiration and operative cultures. The mean aspiration volume for identical cases was significantly higher than for discordant cases (19.1 vs 10.2 mL, P = .02). The proportion of slow-growing organisms was significantly greater among discordant compared to identical operative cultures (52.4% for discordant cases vs 8.2% for identical cases, P < .001). The optimal cutoff value for predicting identical cultures was 3.5 mL for typical organisms and 12.5 mL for slow-growing organisms. CONCLUSION: Aspiration cultures are more likely to correlate with intraoperative cultures with higher aspiration volumes, and the optimal aspiration volume is higher for slow-growing organisms.

Phylogeography of Bellamya (Mollusca: Gastropoda: Viviparidae) snails on different continents: contrasting patterns of diversification in China and East Africa.

BACKGROUND: Species diversity is determined by both local environmental conditions that control differentiation and extinction and the outcome of large-scale processes that affect migration. The latter primarily comprises climatic change and dynamic landscape alteration. In the past few million years, both Southeast Asia and Eastern Africa experienced drastic climatic and geological oscillations: in Southeast Asia, especially in China, the Tibetan Plateau significantly rose up, and the flow of the Yangtze River was reversed. In East Africa, lakes and rivers experienced frequent range expansions and regressions due to the African mega-droughts. To test how such climatic and geological histories of both regions relate to their respective regional species and genetic diversity, a large scale comparative phylogeographic study is essential. Bellamya, a species rich freshwater snail genus that is widely distributed across China and East Africa, represents a suitable model system to address this question. We sequenced mitochondrial and nuclear DNA for members of the genus from China and used published sequences from Africa and some other locations in Asia to investigate their phylogeny and distribution of genetic diversity. RESULTS: Our phylogenetic analysis revealed two monophyletic groups, one in China and one in East Africa. Within the Chinese group, Bellamya species show little genetic differentiation. In contrast, we observe fairly deep divergence among the East African lakes with almost every lake possessing its unique clade. Our results show that strong divergence does not necessarily depend on intrinsic characteristics of a species, but rather is related to the landscape dynamics of a region. CONCLUSION: Our phylogenetic results suggest that the Bellamya in China and East Africa are independent phylogenetic clades with different evolutionary trajectories. The different climate and geological histories likely contributed to the diverging evolutionary patterns. Repeated range expansions and regressions of lakes likely contributed to the great divergence of Bellamya in East Africa, while reversal of the river courses and intermingling of different lineages had an opposite effect on Bellamya diversification in China.

Single-dose perioperative mitomycin-C versus thiotepa for low-grade noninvasive bladder cancer.

INTRODUCTION: Mitomycin-C (MMC) and thiotepa are intravesical agents effective in reducing the recurrence of low-grade noninvasive bladder cancer when instilled perioperatively. No studies have compared these agents as a single-dose perioperative instillation. This study tests whether there is a difference in recurrence-free survival in patients with low-grade noninvasive bladder cancer who received intravesical MMC versus thiotepa. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A retrospective review was performed of patients who underwent cystoscopic excision of a bladder mass identified as a small, low-grade, treatment-naïve, noninvasive, wild-type urothelial carcinoma of the bladder and who received either intravesical thiotepa (30 mg/15 cc) or MMC (40 mg/20 cc) between January 1, 2002, and January 1, 2016. Data were collected for demographic characteristics, comorbid conditions, operative information, surveillance, and recurrence. The primary outcome was disease-free survival. Cohorts were compared via the doubly robust estimation approach, which used logistic regression to model the probability of recurrence. RESULTS: Of 154 total patients, 84 received intravesical MMC; 70, thiotepa. No statistical differences were shown between groups for age, sex, race, body mass index, smoking status, or baseline comorbid conditions; mass size, tumor multifocality, or tumor grade; and unadjusted recurrence rates (MMC, 36.0%; thiotepa, 46.0%; p = .33) at similar median follow up (MMC, 20.4; thiotepa, 22.8 months; p = .46). The robust logistic regression analysis yielded no differences in recurrence rates between MMC and thiotepa (OR, 0.65 [95% CI, 0.33-1.31]; p = .23). No episodes of myelosuppression or frozen pelvis were identified. CONCLUSIONS: As single-dose perioperative agents, both thiotepa and MMC were associated with similar recurrence-free survival rates.

Evidence of Pent-Up Demand for Total Hip and Total Knee Arthroplasty at Age 65.

BACKGROUND: Despite efforts to curtail the economic burden of total joint arthroplasty (TJA), utilization of these successful procedures continues to increase. Previous studies have provided evidence for pent-up demand (delaying necessary medical care until financially feasible) in health care as insurance status changes. We sought to determine whether evidence exists for pent-up demand in the TJA population when patients become eligible for Medicare enrollment. METHODS: The 2014 Nationwide Readmission Database was used to determine the incidence of TJA. The observed increase in incidence from age 64 to 65 was compared to the expected increase. Pent-up demand was calculated by subtracting the expected from the observed difference in frequency of TJA, and excess cost was determined by multiplying this value by the median cost of a primary TJA. The Medicare Expenditure Panel Survey Household Component was used to compare out-of-pocket (OOP) costs, access to care, and insurance coverage among patients aged 60-64 (group 1) and 66-70 (group 2). RESULTS: The expected and observed increases in TJA procedures from age 64 to 65 were 595 and 5211, respectively, resulting in pent-up demand of 4616 joint arthroplasties (1273 THA and 3343 TKA), and an excess cost of $55 million (range, $33 million-$70 million). Mean total OOP expenses for patients in group 1 were significantly greater ($1578.39) than patients in group 2 ($1143.63, P < .001). Despite spending more money OOP, the proportion of patients who were unable to obtain necessary medical care was significantly higher in group 1 than group 2 (4.9% vs 2.4%, P < .0001). This discrepancy was most prominent among patients with public insurance (10.6% vs 2.5%, P < .0001). CONCLUSION: The findings of this study suggest that patients with hip and knee osteoarthritis likely delay elective TJA until they are eligible for Medicare enrollment, resulting in significant additional financial burden to the public health system. As the population ages, it will become increasingly important for stakeholders and policy-makers to be aware of this pent-up demand for TJA procedures. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE: Therapeutic level IV.

Infectious Surgical Complications are Not Dichotomous: Characterizing Discordance Between Administrative Data and Registry Data.

OBJECTIVE: To characterize reasons for discordance between administrative data and registry data in the determination of postoperative infectious complications. BACKGROUND: Data regarding the occurrence of postoperative surgical complications are identified through either administrative or registry data. Rates of complications vary significantly between these two types of data; the reasons for this are not well-understood. METHODS: The occurrence of 30-day inpatient infectious complications (pneumonia, sepsis, surgical site infection, and urinary tract infection) was compared between the NSQIP and administrative mechanisms at 4 academic hospitals between 2012 and 2014. In each situation where the NSQIP and administrative data were discordant regarding the occurrence of a specific complication, a 2-clinician chart abstraction was performed to characterize the reasons for discordance as (i) administrative coding error, (ii) NSQIP coding error, (iii) "question of criteria", where the discordance was the result of differences in criteria, or (iv) "dually incorrect", where both data sources coded the complication incorrectly. RESULTS: The cohort included 19,163 patients undergoing surgery in 4 different academic hospitals. Rates of infectious complications varied up to 5-fold between the two data sources. A total of 717 discordant complications were identified. Of these, the greatest portion (43%) was due to "question of criteria," followed by administrative coding error (37%), NSQIP error (15%), and dually incorrect (5%). CONCLUSIONS: With a goal of improving existing mechanisms for measuring surgical quality, definitions for the occurrence of a postoperative complication need to be developed and applied consistently. Progress toward this goal will enable patients and payers to better take advantage of recent advances in healthcare data transparency.

Constraints on Primordial Gravitational Waves Using Planck, WMAP, and New BICEP2/Keck Observations through the 2015 Season.

We present results from an analysis of all data taken by the bicep2/Keck CMB polarization experiments up to and including the 2015 observing season. This includes the first Keck Array observations at 220 GHz and additional observations at 95 and 150 GHz. The Q and U maps reach depths of 5.2, 2.9, and 26 µK_{CMB} arcmin at 95, 150, and 220 GHz, respectively, over an effective area of ≈400 square degrees. The 220 GHz maps achieve a signal to noise on polarized dust emission approximately equal to that of Planck at 353 GHz. We take auto and cross spectra between these maps and publicly available WMAP and Planck maps at frequencies from 23 to 353 GHz. We evaluate the joint likelihood of the spectra versus a multicomponent model of lensed-ΛCDM+r+dust+synchrotron+noise. The foreground model has seven parameters, and we impose priors on some of these using external information from Planck and WMAP derived from larger regions of sky. The model is shown to be an adequate description of the data at the current noise levels. The likelihood analysis yields the constraint r_{0.05}<0.07 at 95% confidence, which tightens to r_{0.05}<0.06 in conjunction with Planck temperature measurements and other data. The lensing signal is detected at 8.8σ significance. Running a maximum likelihood search on simulations we obtain unbiased results and find that σ(r)=0.020. These are the strongest constraints to date on primordial gravitational waves.