RESUMO
BACKGROUND: The aims of this study were to determine the predictive value of decision support analysis for the shock wave lithotripsy (SWL) success rate and to analyze the data obtained from patients who underwent SWL to assess the factors influencing the outcome by using machine learning methods. METHODS: We retrospectively reviewed the medical records of 358 patients who underwent SWL for urinary stone (kidney and upper-ureter stone) between 2015 and 2018 and evaluated the possible prognostic features, including patient population characteristics, urinary stone characteristics on a non-contrast, computed tomographic image. We performed 80% training set and 20% test set for the predictions of success and mainly used decision tree-based machine learning algorithms, such as random forest (RF), extreme gradient boosting trees (XGBoost), and light gradient boosting method (LightGBM). RESULTS: In machine learning analysis, the prediction accuracies for stone-free were 86.0, 87.5, and 87.9%, and those for one-session success were 78.0, 77.4, and 77.0% using RF, XGBoost, and LightGBM, respectively. In predictions for stone-free, LightGBM yielded the best accuracy and RF yielded the best one in those for one-session success among those methods. The sensitivity and specificity values for machine learning analytics are (0.74 to 0.78 and 0.92 to 0.93) for stone-free and (0.79 to 0.81 and 0.74 to 0.75) for one-session success, respectively. The area under curve (AUC) values for machine learning analytics are (0.84 to 0.85) for stone-free and (0.77 to 0.78) for one-session success and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs) are (0.730 to 0.933) and (0.673 to 0.866) in average of methods, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: We applied a selected machine learning analysis to predict the result after treatment of SWL for urinary stone. About 88% accurate machine learning based predictive model was evaluated. The importance of machine learning algorithm can give matched insights to domain knowledge on effective and influential factors for SWL success outcomes.
Assuntos
Cálculos Renais/terapia , Litotripsia , Aprendizado de Máquina , Cálculos Ureterais/terapia , Adulto , Idoso , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estudos Retrospectivos , Resultado do TratamentoRESUMO
BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Knowledge of the proper dry weight plays a critical role in the efficiency of dialysis and the survival of hemodialysis patients. Recently, bioimpedance spectroscopy(BIS) has been widely used for set dry weight in hemodialysis patients. However, BIS is often misrepresented in clinical healthy weight. In this study, we tried to predict the clinically proper dry weight (DWCP) using machine learning for patient's clinical information including BIS. We then analyze the factors that influence the prediction of the clinical dry weight. METHODS: As a retrospective, single center study, data of 1672 hemodialysis patients were reviewed. DWCP data were collected when the dry weight was measured using the BIS (DWBIS). The gap between the two (GapDW) was calculated and then grouped and analyzed based on gaps of 1 kg and 2 kg. RESULTS: Based on the gap between DWBIS and DWCP, 972, 303, and 384 patients were placed in groups with gaps of <1 kg, â§1kg and <2 kg, and â§2 kg, respectively. For less than 1 kg and 2 kg of GapDW, It can be seen that the average accuracies for the two groups are 83% and 72%, respectively, in usign XGBoost machine learning. As GapDW increases, it is more difficult to predict the target property. As GapDW increase, the mean values of hemoglobin, total protein, serum albumin, creatinine, phosphorus, potassium, and the fat tissue index tended to decrease. However, the height, total body water, extracellular water (ECW), and ECW to intracellular water ratio tended to increase. CONCLUSIONS: Machine learning made it slightly easier to predict DWCP based on DWBIS under limited conditions and gave better insights into predicting DWCP. Malnutrition-related factors and ECW were important in reflecting the differences between DWBIS and DWCP.
Assuntos
Água Corporal/metabolismo , Falência Renal Crônica/metabolismo , Aprendizado de Máquina , Diálise Renal , Tecido Adiposo/metabolismo , Tecido Adiposo/patologia , Idoso , Peso Corporal/fisiologia , Creatinina/sangue , Impedância Elétrica , Espaço Extracelular , Feminino , Hemoglobinas/metabolismo , Humanos , Falência Renal Crônica/sangue , Falência Renal Crônica/diagnóstico , Falência Renal Crônica/patologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Albumina Sérica/metabolismoRESUMO
Accurate dry weight (DW) estimation is important for hemodialysis patients. Although bioimpedance spectroscopy (BIS) is commonly used to measure DW, the BIS-based DW frequently differs from the clinical DW. We analyzed the characteristics of patients whose BIS-based DWs were over- and underestimated. In this retrospective cohort study, we evaluated 1555 patients undergoing maintenance hemodialysis in Chungnam National University Hospital. The gap (DWCP-BIS) was calculated by comparing the BIS and clinical DWs. We analyzed the clinical characteristics of patients with positive (n = 835) and negative (n = 720) gaps. Compared with other patients, the DWCP-BIS-positive group had higher extracellular water (ECW) level and extracellular/intracellular water index (E/I) and had lower weight, body mass index (BMI), lean tissue index (LTI), fat tissue index (FTI), fat mass (FAT), and adipose tissue mass (ATM). The DWCP-BIS-negative group exhibited elevated BMI, FTI, FAT, and ATM; however, it had lower height, ECW, and E/I. Linear regression analysis revealed that FAT significantly predicted DWCP accuracy. The clinical DW of patients with a low fat mass tended to be underestimated, while the clinical DW of patients with comparatively large fat reserves tended to be overestimated. These characteristics will aid in the reduction of BIS-based DW errors.