Elevated remnant cholesterol increases the risk of peripheral artery disease, myocardial infarction, and ischaemic stroke: a cohort-based study.

AIMS: The atherogenic potential of cholesterol in triglyceride-rich lipoproteins, also called remnant cholesterol, is being increasingly acknowledged. Elevated remnant cholesterol is associated with increased risk of myocardial infarction and ischaemic stroke. We tested the hypothesis that elevated remnant cholesterol is also associated with increased risk of peripheral artery disease (PAD). METHODS AND RESULTS: We studied 106 937 individuals from the Copenhagen General Population Study recruited in 2003-15. During up to 15 years of follow-up, 1586 were diagnosed with PAD, 2570 with myocardial infarction, and 2762 with ischaemic stroke. We also studied 13 974 individuals from the Copenhagen City Heart Study recruited in 1976-78. During up to 43 years of follow-up, 1033 were diagnosed with PAD, 2236 with myocardial infarction, and 1976 with ischaemic stroke. Remnant cholesterol was calculated from a standard lipid profile. Diagnoses were from Danish nationwide health registries. In the Copenhagen General Population Study, elevated remnant cholesterol levels were associated with higher risk of PAD, up to a multivariable adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 4.8 (95% confidence interval 3.1-7.5) for individuals with levels ≥1.5 mmol/L (58 mg/dL) vs. <0.5 mmol/L (19 mg/dL). Corresponding results were 4.2 (2.9-6.1) for myocardial infarction and 1.8 (1.4-2.5) for ischaemic stroke. In the Copenhagen City Heart Study, corresponding HRs were 4.9 (2.9-8.5) for PAD, 2.6 (1.8-3.8) for myocardial infarction, and 2.1 (1.5-3.1) for ischaemic stroke. CONCLUSION: Elevated remnant cholesterol is associated with a five-fold increased risk of PAD in the general population, higher than for myocardial infarction and ischaemic stroke.

A screening method to spot biomarkers that may warn of serious events in a chronic disease - illustrated by cardiological CLARICOR trial data.

OBJECTIVES: To develop a crude screening method for detecting biomarkers which frequently exhibit a rise (or fall) in level prior to a serious event (e.g. a stroke) in patients with a chronic disease, signalling that the biomarker may have an alarm-raising or prognostic potential. The subsequent assessment of the marker's clinical utility requires costly, difficult longitudinal studies. Therefore, initial screening of candidate-biomarkers is desirable. METHODS: The method exploits a cohort of patients with biomarkers measured at entry and with recording of first serious event during follow-up. Copying those individual records onto a common timeline where a specific event occurs on the same day (Day 0) for all patients, the baseline biomarker level, when plotted against the patient's entry time on the revised timeline, will have a positive (negative) regression slope if biomarker levels generally rise (decline) the closer one gets to the event. As an example, we study 1,958 placebo-treated patients with stable coronary artery disease followed for nine years in the CLARICOR trial (NCT00121550), examining 11 newer biomarkers. RESULTS: Rising average serum levels of cardiac troponin T and of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide were seen prior to a fatal cardiovascular outcome. C-reactive protein rose prior to non-cardiovascular death. Glomerular filtration rate, seven lipoproteins, and nine newer cardiological biomarkers did not show convincing changes. CONCLUSIONS: For early detection of biomarkers with an alarm-raising potential in chronic diseases, we proposed the described easy procedure. Using only baseline biomarker values and clinical course of participants with coronary heart disease, we identified the same cardiovascular biomarkers as those previously found containing prognostic information using longitudinal or survival analysis.

Diastolic function assessed with speckle tracking over a decade and its prognostic value: The Copenhagen City Heart Study.

BACKGROUND: The ratio of transmitral early filling velocity to early diastolic strain rate (E/e'sr) may be a more accurate measure of LV filling pressure then ratio of early filling pressure to early tissue velocity. The aim of the study was to investigate the impact of age, sex, obesity, smoking, hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, diabetes, physical activity level, socioeconomic, and psychosocial status on E/e'sr over a decade. Additionally, the predictive value of ΔE/e'sr on future major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) has never been explored. METHOD: The study included 623 participants from the general population, who participated in the 4th and 5th Copenhagen City Heart Study (CCHS4 and CCHS5). Examinations were median 10 years apart. MACE was the composite endpoint of heart failure, myocardial infarction, and all-cause death. RESULTS: Follow-up time was median 5.7 years, and 43 (7%) experienced MACE. Mean age was 51 ± 14 years, and 43% were male. Mean ΔE/e'sr was 2.1 ± 23.0 cm. After multivariable adjustment for demographic, clinical, and biochemistry variables, high age (stand. ß-coef. = .24, P < .001) and mean arterial blood pressure (MAP) (stand. ß-coef. = .17, P < .001) were significantly associated with an accelerated increase in E/e'sr In multivariable Cox regression, E/e'sr at CCHS5 and ΔE/e'sr were independent predictors of MACE (HR = 1.20, 95% CI [1.01; 1.42] per 10 cm increase for both). ΔE/e'sr did only provide incremental prognostic value to change in left atrial volume index of the conventional diastolic measurements. CONCLUSION: In the general population, age and MAP were predictors of an accelerated increase in E/e'sr over a decade. E/e'sr at CCHS5 and ΔE/e'sr were independent predictors of future MACE.

Progression in risk factors during 36 years of follow-up and prediction of carotid intima-media thickness in a large cohort of adults with and without diabetes.

Carotid intima-media thickness (IMT) can assess the cumulative effect of atherosclerotic risk factors and provides an independent predictor of future cardiovascular (CV) risk. The aim of this study was to investigate the progression of conventional risk factors in 933 long-term survivors from a Danish cohort with and without diabetes mellitus (DM) as predictors for attained carotid IMT during 35.6 (0.7) years of follow-up. Persons who participated in the first, the last and one of the intermediate rounds of the Copenhagen City Heart Study, and who had had an ultrasound-derived measure of the carotid IMT performed at the last examination were included in the analyses. The risk factors varied between persons with and without DM during the 36 years, but the difference in blood pressure disappeared in the fifth examination, where, in addition, total cholesterol was found to be lower in persons with DM. In this cohort there were no difference in attained carotid IMT between persons with and without DM at the last examination. The following risk factors were found to best predict carotid IMT: age, maximum systolic BP, average systolic BP, average BMI, minimum BMI, sex and years of smoking. The prediction of carotid IMT was clinically poor with a root mean-squared error of prediction (RMSEP) of 0.134 mm and a 95% prediction error probability interval of (-0.22; 0.30). Furthermore, the distribution of prediction errors was skewed to the right indicating that the prediction errors were larger among persons with high carotid IMT.

Increasing population height and risk of incident atrial fibrillation: the Copenhagen City Heart Study.

Aims: The incidence of atrial fibrillation (AF) has increased significantly over the last decades. Population height is changing in many countries. Height is an important risk factor for AF. The aim of the present study was to assess the role of changes in population height in the increased risk of AF. Methods and results: The Copenhagen City Heart Study comprises 18 852 randomly selected men and women aged 20-93 years, studied in four separate cross-sectional surveys in 1976-78, 1981-83, 1991-94, and 2001-03, including physical examination, electrocardiogram (ECG), and standard questionnaires. Hospitalization and mortality data were collected from public registers. Prevalent AF was determined from ECGs and incident AF from register diagnoses. During follow-up, age-standardized prevalence of AF increased significantly from 1.35% to 2.11% in men and from 0.67% to 1.07% in women (P < 0.001). Incident AF increased four-fold in both men and women [hazard ratio (HR) 4.16, 95% confidence interval (CI) 3.27-5.29; P < 0.001]. In multivariable Fine and Gray subdistribution hazards regression analyses, height was consistently an important risk factor for incident AF with HRs between 1.35 (95% CI 1.10-1.66; P = 0.004) and 1.65 (95% CI 1.40-1.93; P < 0.001). Population height increased with 3.3 cm for men and 2.1 cm for women, and population attributable risks for height was 20-30%. Conclusion: Height is a powerful risk factor for AF. Adult height is attained at age 20, while AF incidence occurs 50 years later. Given a causal relationship between height and AF incidence, increased population height in Denmark will contribute to an increase in AF occurrence for at least 25 more years.

Carotid intima media thickness and ankle brachial index are inversely associated in subjects with and without diabetes.

Carotid intima-media thickness (IMT) and ankle brachial index (ABI) are non-invasive indicators of generalised atherosclerosis. The aim was to determine the association between carotid IMT and ABI in subjects with and without diabetes mellitus (DM), and to analyse specific age change-points. We included 2744 subjects from the Copenhagen City Heart Study (mean age (SD) 56.6 (17.2) years, 56.8% women and body mass index (BMI) 25.4 (4.1) kg/m2). Carotid IMT and ABI measurements were performed during the fifth examination. Of the 2744 subjects, 125 subjects (4.6%) had DM. Average carotid IMT was 0.667 (0.145) mm and ABI was 1.06 (0.14). Subjects with DM were older, had higher BMI and systolic blood pressure (SBP) (all p < .001). Carotid IMT was higher in subjects with DM (0.754 (0.150) mm) compared to subjects without DM (0.662 (0.144) mm) (p < .001), whereas there was no difference in ABI between the two groups. ABI was inversely associated with carotid IMT (slope = -0.17 [-0.207; -0.137] (p < .001). The association remained significant after adjustment for risk factors both in subjects with DM (slope = -0.168 [-0.328; -0.007], p = .040), and in subjects without DM (slope = -0.100 [-0.148; -0.052], p < .001), with a stronger effect of carotid IMT on ABI among subjects with DM. Carotid IMT and ABI were inversely associated in subjects with DM and without DM, but with a stronger effect in subjects with DM. Age and ABI revealed a change-point with a stronger inverse association among subjects aged >60 years.

Left atrial passive emptying function is preserved in patients with permanent atrial fibrillation--a 320-slice multidetector computed tomography study.

OBJECTIVE: Left atrial (LA) mechanical function is thought to be virtually inexistent in patients with permanent atrial fibrillation (AF). Due to recent advances in multidetector computed tomography (MDCT) technology, it is now possible to acquire images of the entire heart in a single heartbeat. The objective of this study was to compare individual components of LA function assessed by MDCT in patients with permanent AF and patients in sinus rhythm (SR). METHODS: 320-slice MDCT was performed in 30 patients with permanent AF. Measurements of LA volumes during the cardiac cycle were compared to 30 patients in SR, who were matched with respect to age, sex, left ventricular ejection fraction and body surface area. RESULTS: LA volumes were significantly larger in patients with AF than SR patients at all times during the cardiac cycle (LA maximal volume; 82 vs. 55 ml/m(2), p < 0.0001, LA minimal volume; 71 vs. 30 ml/m(2), p < 0.0001). However, except for the absence of active LA emptying, the overall trend of the LA time-volume curve was similar in patients with AF and SR. CONCLUSION: Compared to SR patients, patients with permanent AF have significantly increased LA volumes throughout the cardiac cycle. Yet, a residual hemodynamic role of LA function may be maintained during permanent AF.

Right ventricular free wall and four-chamber longitudinal strain in relation to incident heart failure in the general population.

AIMS: Right ventricular free wall (RVFWLS) and four-chamber longitudinal strain (RV4CLS) are associated with adverse events in various patient populations including patients with heart failure (HF). We sought to investigate the prognostic value of RVFWLS and RV4CLS for the development of incident HF in participants from the general population. METHODS AND RESULTS: Participants from the 5th Copenhagen City Heart Study (2011-2015) without known chronic ischaemic heart disease or HF at baseline were included. RVFWLS and RV4CLS were obtained using two-dimensional speckle-tracking echocardiography from the right ventricular (RV)-focused apical four-chamber view. The primary endpoint was incident HF. Among 2740 participants (mean age 54 ± 17 years, 42% male), 43 (1.6%) developed HF during a median follow-up of 5.5 years (IQR 4.5-6.3). Both RVFWLS and RV4CLS were associated with an increased risk of incident HF during follow-up independent of age, sex, hypertension, diabetes, body mass index and tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE), (HR 1.06, 95%CI 1.00-1.11, P = 0.034, per 1% absolute decrease and HR 1.14, 95%CI 1.05-1.23, P = 0.001, per 1% absolute decrease, respectively). Left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) modified the association between RV4CLS and incident HF (P for interaction = 0.016) such that RV4CLS was only of prognostic importance among those with LVEF < 55% (HR 1.21, 95%CI 1.11-1.33, P < 0.001 vs. HR 0.94, 95%CI 0.80-1.10, P = 0.43 in patients with LVEF ≥ 55%). CONCLUSION: In participants from the general population, both RVFWLS and RV4CLS were associated with a greater risk of incident HF independent of important baseline characteristics and TAPSE, and LVEF modified the relationship between RV4CLS and incident HF.

Type of Alcohol and Blood Pressure: The Copenhagen General Population Study.

BACKGROUND: Most adults ingest alcoholic beverages. Alcohol shows strong and positive associations with blood pressure (BP). We hypothesized that intake of red wine, white wine, beer, and spirits and dessert wine show similar associations with BP in the general population. METHODS: We included 104,467 males and females aged 20-100 years in the analysis of the Danish general population. Alcohol use and type of alcohol were assessed by questionnaire. Blood pressure was measured by automated digital BP manometer. Multivariable linear regression models were used when analyzing the association between number of drinks per week and BP, stratified by sex and adjusted for relevant confounders. Each alcohol type (red wine, white wine, beer, and spirits and dessert wine) was analyzed in similar models including adjustment for other alcohol types. RESULTS: Most of the subjects (76,943 [73.7%]) drank more than 1 type of alcohol. However, 12,093 (12.6%) consumed red wine only, 4288 (4.5%) beer only, 1815 (1.9%) white wine only, and 926 (1.0%) spirits and dessert wine only. There was a dose-response association between total drinks per week and systolic and diastolic BP (SBP, DBP) (P < .001). The crude difference was 11 mmHg SBP and 7 mmHg DBP between high (>35 drinks per week) and low (1-2 drinks per week) alcohol intake. Overall, SBP was increased by 0.15-0.17 mmHG, and DBP was increased by 0.08-0.15 mmHg per weekly drink. After stratification for age and sex, effects were slightly higher among females and among individuals aged less than 60 years. CONCLUSION: Alcohol intake is associated with highly significant increased SPB and DBP. The effect is similar for red wine, white wine, beer, and spirits.

Normal age- and sex-based values of right ventricular free wall and four-chamber longitudinal strain by speckle-tracking echocardiography: from the Copenhagen City heart study.

AIM: To promote the implementation of right ventricular (RV) longitudinal strain in clinical practice, we sought to propose normal values for RV free wall (RVFWLS) and four-chamber longitudinal strain (RV4CLS) and investigate the association with clinical and echocardiographic parameters in participants from the general population. METHODS AND RESULTS: Participants from the 5th Copenhagen City Heart Study (2011-2015)-a prospective cohort study-with available RV longitudinal strain measurements were included. RVFWLS and RV4CLS were assessed using two-dimensional speckle-tracking echocardiography. In total, 2951 participants were included. Amongst 1297 participants without cardiovascular disease or risk factors (median age 44, 63% female), mean values of RVFWLS and RV4CLS were - 26.7% ± 5.2 (95% prediction interval (PI) - 36.9, - 16.5) and - 21.7% ± 3.4 (95%PI - 28.4, - 15.0), respectively. Women had significantly higher absolute values of RVFWLS and RV4CLS than men (mean - 27.5 ± 5.5 vs. - 25.4 ± 4.5, p < 0.001 and - 22.3 ± 3.5 vs. - 20.6 ± 3.0, p < 0.001, respectively). Absolute values of RVFWLS but not RV4CLS decreased significantly with increasing age in unadjusted linear regression. Tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion, RV s' and left ventricular global longitudinal strain were the most influential parameters associated with both RVFWLS and RV4CLS in multiple linear regression. Participants with cardiovascular disease (n = 1531) had a higher proportion of abnormal values of RVFWLS and RV4CLS compared to the healthy population (8% vs. 4%, p < 0.001 and 8% vs. 3%, p < 0.001, respectively). CONCLUSION: This study proposed normal age- and sex-based values of RVFWLS and RV4CLS in a healthy population sample and showed significant sex differences in both measurements across ages.

Normal values for left atrial strain, volume, and function derived from 3D echocardiography: the Copenhagen City Heart Study.

AIMS: 3D echocardiographic (3DE) assessment of the left atrium (LA) is a new modality of potential clinical value. Age- and sex-based normative values are needed to benchmark these parameters for clinical use. METHODS AND RESULTS: Of 4466 participants in the 5th Copenhagen City Heart Study, a prospective longitudinal cohort study on the general population, 2082 participants underwent 3DE of the LA. Healthy participants were included to establish normative values for LA strain, volume, and function by 3DE. The effects of age and sex were also evaluated. After excluding participants with comorbidities, 979 healthy participants (median age 44 years, 39.6% males) remained. The median and limits of normality (2.5th and 97.5th percentiles) for functional and volumetric measures were as follows: LA reservoir strain (LASr) 30.8% (18.4-44.2%), LA conduit strain (LAScd) 19.1% (6.8-32.0%), LA contractile strain 11.7% (4.3-22.2%), total LA emptying fraction (LAEF) 61.4% (47.8-71.0%), passive LAEF 37.7% (17.4-53.9%), active LAEF 37.4% (22.2-52.5%), LA minimum volume index (LAVimin) 10.2 (5.9-18.5) mL/m2, and LA maximum volume index (LAVimax) 26.8 (16.5-40.1) mL/m2. All parameters changed significantly with increasing age (P value for all <0.001). Significant sex-specific differences were observed for all parameters except active LAEF and LAVimax. Sex significantly modified the association between age and LASr (P for interaction < 0.001), LAScd (P for interaction < 0.001), LAVimin (P for interaction = 0.037), and total LAEF (P for interaction = 0.034) such that these parameters deteriorated faster with age in females than males. CONCLUSION: We present age- and sex-specific reference material including limits of normality for LA strain, volume, and function by 3DE.

Association between myocardial work indices and cardiovascular events according to hypertension in the general population.

AIMS: Pressure-strain loop (PSL) analysis is a novel echocardiographic tool capable of assessing myocardial work non-invasively. In this study, we aim to evaluate the prognostic value of myocardial work indices in the general population. METHODS AND RESULTS: This was a prospective community-based cohort study (n = 4466). PSL analyses were performed to acquire global work index (GWI), global constructive work (GCW), global wasted work, and global work efficiency (GWE). The endpoint was a composite of heart failure or cardiovascular death (HF/CVD). Survival analysis was applied. A total of 3932 participants were included in this analysis (median age: 58 years, 43% men). Of these, 124 (3%) experienced the outcome during a median follow-up period of 3.5 years [interquartile range (IQR): 2.6-4.4 years]. Hypertension significantly modified the association between all work indices and outcome (P for interaction < 0.05), such that work indices posed a higher risk of outcome in non-hypertensive than in hypertensive participants. After adjusting for Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC)-HF risk variables, all work indices predicted outcome in non-hypertensive participants, but only GWI, GCW, and GWE predicted outcome in hypertensive participants [GWI: hazard ratio (HR) = 1.12 (1.07-1.16), per 100 mmHg% decrease; GCW: HR = 1.12 (1.08-1.17), per 100 mmHg% decrease; GWE: HR = 1.08 (1.04-1.12), per 1% decrease]. Only GWE significantly increased C-statistics when added to ARIC-HF risk variables in hypertensive participants (C-stat 0.865 vs. 0.877, P for increment = 0.003). CONCLUSION: Hypertension modifies the association between myocardial work indices and HF/CVD in the general population. All work indices are associated with outcome in normotensive participants. GWI, GCW, and GWE are independently associated with outcome in hypertension, but only GWE improves risk prediction.

Normal Values and Reference Ranges for the Ratio of Transmitral Early Filling Velocity to Early Diastolic Strain Rate: The Copenhagen City Heart Study.

BACKGROUND: The ratio of transmitral early filling velocity to early diastolic strain rate (E/e'sr) has recently emerged as a measure of left ventricular filling pressure. Reference values are needed for this new parameter for it to be used clinically. METHODS: Healthy participants from a prospective general population study, the Fifth Copenhagen City Heart Study, were assessed to establish reference values for E/e'sr derived from two-dimensional speckle-tracking echocardiography. The prevalence of abnormal E/e'sr was assessed in participants with cardiovascular risk factors or specific diseases. RESULTS: The population comprised 1,623 healthy participants (median age, 45; interquartile range, 32-56; 61% female). The upper reference limit for E/e'sr in the population was 79.6 cm. Following multivariable adjustment, male participants exhibited significantly higher E/e'sr than female participants (upper reference limit for male participants, 83.7 cm; for female participants, 76.5 cm). For both sexes, E/e'sr increased in a curvilinear fashion with age such that the largest increases in E/e'sr were observed in participants >45 years. In the entire CCHS5 population with E/e'sr available (n = 3,902), increasing age, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, male sex, estimated glomerular filtration rate, and diabetes were associated with E/e'sr (all P < .05). Total cholesterol was associated with a less steep increase in E/e'sr. Abnormal E/e'sr was seldomly observed in participants with normal diastolic function but became more frequent in participants with increasing grades of diastolic dysfunction (normal, mild, moderate, severe [abnormal E/e'sr for each grade: 4.4% vs 20.0% vs 16.2% vs 55.6%, respectively]). CONCLUSION: The E/e'sr differs between sexes and is age dependent such that E/e'sr increases with advancing age. Therefore, we established sex- and age-stratified reference values for E/e'sr.

Age- and sex-based normal reference ranges of the cardiac time intervals: the Copenhagen City Heart Study.

BACKGROUND: Color tissue Doppler imaging (TDI) M-mode can be used to measure the cardiac time intervals including the isovolumic contraction time (IVCT), the left ventricular ejection time (LVET), the isovolumic relaxation time (IVRT), and the combination of all the cardiac time intervals in the myocardial performance index (MPI) defined as [(IVCT + IVRT)/LVET]. The aim of this study was to establish normal age- and sex-based reference ranges for the cardiac time intervals. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 1969 participants free of cardiovascular diseases and risk factors from the general population with limited age range underwent an echocardiographic examination including TDI. The median age was 46 years (25th-75th percentile: 33-58 years), and 61.5% were females. In the entire study population, the IVCT was observed to be 40 ± 10 ms [95% prediction interval (PI) 20-59 ms], the LVET 292 ± 23 ms (95% PI 248-336 ms), the IVRT 96 ± 19 ms (95% PI 59-134 ms) and MPI 0.47 ± 0.09 (95% PI 0.29-0.65). All the cardiac time intervals differed significantly between females and males. With increasing age, the IVCT increased in females, but not in males. The LVET did not change with age in both sexes, while the IVRT increased in both sexes with increasing age. Furthermore, we developed regression equations relating the heart rate to the cardiac time intervals and age- and sex-based normal reference ranges corrected for heart rate. CONCLUSION: In this study, we established normal age- and sex-based reference ranges for the cardiac time intervals. These normal reference ranges differed significantly with sex.

Impact of echocardiographic analyses of valvular event timing on myocardial work indices.

AIMS: Valvular event timing is an integral part of echocardiographic pressure-strain loop (PSL) analyses. The impact that different event timing modalities may have on myocardial work indices is unknown. METHODS AND RESULTS: A methodological study was performed on 200 subjects, including 50 healthy subjects, 50 with aortic valve sclerosis, 50 with atrial fibrillation, and 50 with reduced left ventricular ejection fraction. Valvular event timing was estimated by visual assessment, spectral Doppler, and colour tissue Doppler imaging (TDI) M-mode. These valvular event timings were added to the same PSL analyses sequentially to acquire myocardial work indices, including global work index (GWI). For the 200 participants, the median age was 72 years, 50% were men, and mean blood pressure was 143/80 mmHg. Valvular event timings differed between all three modalities and so did all myocardial work indices. Compared with visual assessment, spectral Doppler resulted in a significantly higher GWI (mean difference: 114 ± 93 mmHg%, P < 0.001), and so did TDI (mean difference: 83 ± 90 mmHg%, P < 0.001). A higher GWI by spectral Doppler than by TDI was also observed (mean difference: 30 ± 53 mmHg%, P < 0.001). In the healthy subgroup, a systematic bias was observed for spectral Doppler compared with visual assessment (mean difference: 160 ± 77 mmHg%, P < 0.001), and a similar trend was noted for TDI vs. visual assessment (mean difference: 124 ± 74 mmHg%, P < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Myocardial work indices differ depending on the event timing modality used, with visual assessment yielding lower GWI values compared with Doppler-based methods. Serial PSL analyses should apply the same event timing method.

Height Explains Sex Difference in Atrial Fibrillation Risk: Copenhagen General Population Study.

OBJECTIVE: To test the hypothesis that the increased risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) in men compared with women is explained by height. METHODS: From the Copenhagen General Population Study, we included 106,207 individuals (47,153 men and 59,054 women) from 20 to 100 years of age, without a prior diagnosis of AF, examined between November 25, 2003, and April 28, 2015. The main outcome was AF incidence from national hospital registers until April 2018. The association of risk factors with AF incidence was assessed by cause-specific Cox proportional hazards regression and Fine-Gray subdistribution hazards regression analysis. RESULTS: During a maximum of 14.4 years of follow-up (median, 8.9 years), incident AF was observed in 3449 men and 2772 women with 845 (95% CI, 815 to 875) and 514 (95% CI, 494 to 535) events per 100,000 person-years, respectively. The age-adjusted hazard of incident AF was 63% (95% CI, 55% to 72%) higher in men compared with women. Risk factors for AF were generally similar in men and women, except men were taller than women (179 cm vs 166 cm, respectively; P<.001). When controlling for height, the difference in hazard of incident AF between sexes disappeared. For population attributable risk of AF, height was the most important risk factor investigated and explained 21% and 19% of the risk of incident AF in men and women, respectively. CONCLUSION: A 63% higher risk of incident AF in men compared with women is explained by differences in height.

Changes in cardiac time intervals over a decade and the risk of incident heart failure: The Copenhagen City Heart Study.

BACKGROUND: The cardiac time intervals include the isovolumic contraction time (IVCT), the left ventricular ejection time (LVET), the isovolumic relaxation time (IVRT) and the combination of all the cardiac time intervals in the myocardial performance index (MPI) (defined as [(IVCT+IVRT)/LVET)]. Whether the cardiac time intervals change over time and which clinical factors that accelerate these changes is not well-established. Additionally, whether these changes are associated with subsequent heart failure (HF), remains unknown. METHODS: We investigated participants from the general population (n = 1064) who had an echocardiographic examination including color tissue Doppler imaging performed in both the 4th and 5th Copenhagen City Heart Study. The examinations were performed 10.5 years apart. RESULTS: The IVCT, LVET, IVRT and MPI increased significantly over time. None of the investigated clinical factors were associated with increase in IVCT. Systolic blood pressure (standardized ß= - 0.09) and male sex (standardized ß= - 0.08) were associated with an accelerated decrease in LVET. Age (standardized ß=0.26), male sex (standardized ß=0.06), diastolic blood pressure (standardized ß=0.08), and smoking (standardized ß=0.08) were associated with an increase in IVRT, while HbA1c (standardized ß= - 0.06) was associated with a decrease in IVRT. Increasing IVRT over a decade was associated with an increased risk of subsequent HF in participants aged <65 years (per 10 ms increase: HR 1.33; 95%CI (1.02-1.72), p = 0.034). CONCLUSION: The cardiac time increased significantly over time. Several clinical factors accelerated these changes. An increase in IVRT was associated with an increased risk of subsequent HF in participants aged <65 years.

Left atrial late gadolinium enhancement in patients with ischaemic stroke.

AIMS: To evaluate the extent of left atrial (LA) fibrosis in patients with a recent stroke without atrial fibrillation and controls without established cardiovascular disease. METHODS AND RESULTS: This prospectively designed study used cardiac magnetic resonance to detect LA late gadolinium enhancement as a proxy for LA fibrosis. Between 2019 and 2021, we consecutively included 100 patients free of atrial fibrillation with recent ischaemic stroke (<30 days) and 50 age- and sex-matched controls. LA fibrosis assessment was achieved in 78 patients and 45 controls. Blinded to the cardiac magnetic resonance results, strokes were adjudicated according to modified Trial of Org 10172 in Acute Stroke Treatment classification as undetermined aetiology (n = 42) or as attributable to large- or small-vessel disease (n = 36). Patients with stroke had a larger extent of LA fibrosis [6.9%, interquartile range (IQR) 3.6-15.4%] than matched controls (4.2%, IQR 2.3-7.5%; P = 0.007). No differences in LA fibrosis were observed between patients with stroke of undetermined aetiology and those with large- or small-vessel disease (6.6%, IQR 3.8-16.0% vs. 6.9%, IQR 3.4-14.6%; P = 0.73). CONCLUSION: LA fibrosis was more extensive in patients with stroke than in age- and sex-matched controls. A similar extent of LA fibrosis was observed in patients with stroke of undetermined aetiology and stroke classified as attributable to large- or small-vessel disease. Our findings suggest that LA structural abnormality is more frequent in patients with stroke than in controls independent of aetiological classification.

Link between myocardial deformation phenotyping using longitudinal and circumferential strain and risk of incident heart failure and cardiovascular death.

AIMS: Left ventricular (LV) systolic deformation is altered early in the ventricular disease process despite normal LV ejection fraction (LVEF). These alterations seem to be characterized by decreased global longitudinal strain (GLS) and augmented global circumferential strain (GCS). This study aimed to investigate the link between myocardial deformation phenotyping using longitudinal and circumferential strain and risk of incident heart failure (HF) and cardiovascular death (CD). METHODS AND RESULTS: The study sample was based on the prospective cohort study the 5th Copenhagen City Heart Study (2011-15). All participants were examined with echocardiography following a pre-defined protocol. A total of 2874 participants were included. Mean age was 53±18 years and 60% were female. During a median follow-up of 3.5 years, a total of 73 developed HF/CD. A U-shaped relationship between GCS and HF/CD was observed. LVEF significantly modified the association between GCS and HF/CD (P for interaction <0.001). The optimal transition point for the effect modification was LVEF < 50%. In multivariable Cox regressions, increasing GCS was significantly associated with HF/CD in participants with LVEF ≥ 50% (hazard ratio [HR]=1.12 [95% confidence interval (CI): 1.02; 1.23] per 1% increase), while decreasing GCS was associated with a higher risk of HF/CD in individuals with LVEF < 50% [HR=1.18 (95% CI: 1.05; 1.31) per 1% decrease]. CONCLUSIONS: The prognostic utility of GCS is modified by LVEF. In participants with normal LVEF, higher GCS was associated with increased risk of HF/CD, while the opposite was observed in participants with abnormal LVEF. This observation adds important information to our understanding of the pathophysiological evolution of myocardial deformation in cardiac disease progression.

Even Mild Mitral Regurgitation is Associated with Incident Atrial Fibrillation in the General Population.

BACKGROUND: Mitral regurgitation (MR) can be difficult to quantify. We sought to investigate whether the MR jet area to left atrial (LA) area ratio (MR/LA-ratio) method for quantifying MRs can be used to predict incident AF in the general population. METHODS: The study included 4,466 participants from the 5th Copenhagen City Heart Study, a prospective general population study, who underwent transthoracic echocardiography. MR jet area was measured and indexed to LA area. The endpoint was incident AF. RESULTS: MR was quantified in 4,042 participants (mean age: 57 years, 43% men). Of these, 198 (4.9%) developed AF during a median follow-up period of 5.3 years (IQR: 4.4-6.1 years). MR was present in 1,938 participants (48%) including 1593 (39%) trace/mild MRs (MR/LA-ratio ≤ 20% and ≤4 cm2). In unadjusted analysis, MR/LA-ratio was associated with incident AF (HR: 1.06 (1.00-1.13), p = 0.042 per 5% increase) but not after adjusting for CHARGE-AF score. However, the association was modified by age (p for interaction = 0.034), such that MR/LA-ratio was associated with AF only in participants ≤73 years. In these participants, MR/LA-ratio was independently associated with AF after adjusting for CHARGE-AF score (HR: 1.14 (1.06-1.24), p = 0.001, per 5% increase). This finding persisted when restricting the analysis to participants without moderate or severe MR and normal LA size (HR: 1.35 (1.09-1.68), p = 0.005, per 5% increase). CONCLUSION: Mitral regurgitation, including even trace regurgitations quantified by MR/LA-ratio is independently associated with incident AF in individuals ≤73 years of age.