Epithelial ovarian cancer and the ability to conceive.

Relationships between ovarian cancer and ability to conceive were explored in a case-control study of 188 women with histologically confirmed epithelial ovarian cancer and 539 control women in the San Francisco Bay Area. Control women consisted of two groups: those hospitalized without cancer, matched to cases by age, race, and hospital of diagnosis (n = 280); and those selected from the general population by random digital dialing, matched to cases by age, race, and telephone prefix (n = 259). Ovarian cancer risk among nulliparous (but not parous) women was positively associated with a history of unsuccessful attempts to conceive, of physician-diagnosed infertility, and of doubts about ability to conceive. Among all women, risk increased with increasing years of unprotected intercourse (P value for trend = 0.02). Risk among women having 10 or more yr of unprotected intercourse was 1.8 relative to that among women having less than 2 such yr (P = 0.01). This association was independent of parity, oral contraceptive use, and estimated years of ovulation, each associated with ovarian cancer. Further, duration of unprotected intercourse combined multiplicatively with each of these latter characteristics in increasing ovarian cancer risk. For example, while cancer risk exhibited a 2-fold range from lowest to highest years of unprotected intercourse and a 4-fold range from lowest to highest years of ovulation, risk among women in the highest joint category of these characteristics was 8 times that of women in the lowest category. We believe that some abnormality of ovulation that reduces the likelihood of conception plays a role in epithelial ovarian cancer.

Outcome following acute myocardial infarction: are differences among physician specialties the result of quality of care or case mix?

BACKGROUND: Studies to determine whether care by cardiologists improves the survival of patients with acute myocardial infarction (MI) have produced conflicting results, and it is not known what accounts for differences in patient outcome by physician specialty. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate whether cardiologists provide more recommended therapies to elderly patients with acute MI and, if so, to determine whether variations in processes of care account for differences in patient outcome. DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study using medical chart data and administrative data files. SETTING: All nonfederal acute care hospitals in California. PATIENTS: A cohort of 7663 Medicare beneficiaries 65 years and older directly admitted to the hospital with a confirmed acute MI from April 1994 to July 1995 with complete data regarding potential contraindications to recommended therapies. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Percentage of "good" and "ideal" candidates for a given acute MI therapy who actually received that therapy, percentage who received exercise stress testing or coronary angiography, percentage who underwent revascularization, and 1-year mortality, stratified by specialty of the attending physician. RESULTS: During hospitalization, good candidates for aspirin were more likely to receive aspirin if they were treated by cardiologists (87%) than by medical subspecialists (73%; P<.001), general internists (84%; P = .003), or family practitioners (81%; P<.001). Cardiologists were also more likely to treat good candidates with thrombolytic therapy (51%) than were medical subspecialists (29%; P<.001), general internists (40%; P<.001), or family practitioners (27%; P<.001). Patients of cardiologists were 2- to 4-fold more likely to undergo a revascularization procedure. Despite these differences in utilization, we found similar 30-day mortality rates across physician specialties. However, 1-year mortality rates were greater for patients treated by medical subspecialists (odds ratio [OR], 1.9; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.6-2.3), general internists (OR, 1.4; 95% CI, 1.3-1.6), and family practitioners (OR, 1.7; 95% CI, 1.4-1.9) than for those treated by cardiologists. Adjusting for differences in patient and hospital characteristics markedly reduced the ORs for those treated by medical subspecialists (OR, 1.2; 95% CI, 0.9-1.4), general internists (OR, 1.1; 95% CI, 1.0-1.3), and family practitioners (OR, 1.3; 95% CI, 1.1-1.6), whereas further adjustment for medication use and revascularization procedures had little effect. CONCLUSIONS: Differences in the use of recommended therapies by physician specialty are generally small and do not explain differences in patient outcome. In comparison, differences among patients treated by physicians of various specialties (case mix) have a large impact on patient outcome and may account for the residual survival advantage of patients treated by cardiologists. With the exception of the in-hospital use of aspirin, recommended MI therapies are markedly underused, regardless of the specialty of the physician.

Epidemiology of exercise and coronary heart disease.

Several studies are reviewed that examine the role of exercise in men at work and in men at leisure activity and sports play. All show that adequate exercise reduces the risk of coronary heart disease. Many recent investigations have undertaken the study of the various mechanisms by which physical activity produces these effects.

Errors in reported dietary intakes. I. Short-term recall.

Measures for quantifying reproducibility and between-subject variability of nutrient intake data are applied to intakes reported in two interviews (1-3 months apart) by 44 male and 17 female healthy white subjects aged 45-75 years. Intakes were assessed by three methods: a dietary history that included consumption frequency and serving size for 71 food items (dietary history method); a combination of individual consumption frequencies with sex-specific mean serving sizes (frequency method); an extrapolation from frequencies and serving sizes of all foods reported for a "typical day" in the specified time period (typical day method). Intake variation within subjects, between subjects, and between methods was assessed by analysis of variance for each sex and for each of the nutrients: total calories, protein, fat, vitamin A, and protein and fat as percentage of total calories. Dietary history-assessed intakes exceeded those assessed by the other two methods. The dietary history versus frequency excess was greater than the dietary history versus typical day excess for calories, fat, and protein, while the reverse was true for vitamin A and fat as percentage of total calories. The typical day method was unreliable for vitamin A because it occasionally produced extremely high, unreproducible intakes. The intraclass correlation coefficient was used to measure a method's ability to distinguish interpersonal variation from within-person error. The frequency method produced less within-person error than did the dietary history method for all nutrients. For absolute intakes, the frequency method produced less interpersonal variation than did the dietary history method, while for relative intakes, the reverse was true. Females reported intakes with less within-person error than did males, and the interpersonal spread of their intakes was smaller. Consequences of these findings for the power and sensitivity of studies on the role of dietary factors in the etiology of chronic disease are explored.

Errors in reported dietary intakes. II. Long-term recall.

Inconsistent results among case-control studies of diet and cancer may reflect discrepancies between dietary reports based on current habits and actual intakes from the time of cancer initiation in the distant past. To examine the validity of reported past and current diet as measures of past diet, the authors queried 873 men and women in three northern California communities about their diet 11 years earlier in 1972 and about their current diet in 1983. They used the same dietary history questionnaire that had been administered to the subjects in 1972. Retrospectively recalled and currently reported nutrient intakes and measures of body size were compared with original reports obtained in 1972. Mean values of recalled nutrient intakes agreed with mean values of intakes reported in 1972. The agreement held for each sex, community, and nutrient examined. By contrast, mean values of current intakes were smaller than those reported in 1972. Correlation coefficients showed closer agreement between recalled and original intakes than between current and original intakes. Nevertheless, recalled intakes correlated more closely with current intakes than with original ones. Analysis of variance was used to partition the variation in recalled and original intakes into components due to interpersonal variation in true intakes, errors in recall, and residual reporting error. Interpersonal variation accounted for only 20-40% of the variation in dietary intakes, with most of the balance due to reporting error. For comparison, interpersonal variation accounted for 70-85% of the variance of recalled and original reports of body size. These results suggest that inconsistencies among case-control studies of diet may be due to large random measurement errors in individual dietary intakes. The apparent validity and reproducibility of mean dietary measures, averaged over large populations, suggests the need for new designs for studies of diet and disease.

Physical activity and hypertension: an epidemiological view.

We examined patterns of physical activity and other characteristics that might deter hypertension or delay all-cause mortality among university alumni, 1962-1985. Collegiate sports play did not alter hypertension incidence, nor did contemporary walking, stair-climbing, or light sports play among 5463 University of Pennsylvania alumni, 739 of whom developed hypertension. But vigorous sports play reduced hypertension incidence; and overweight, gain in weight, history of parental hypertension, or any combination of these, increased it. Among 819 hypertensive Pennsylvania alumni (138 died during follow-up), vigorous sports play had minimal influence on mortality; but freedom from overweight and cigarette smoking deferred death. Among 16,936 Harvard College alumni, of whom 2614 died during follow-up, lack of vigorous sports play, or presence of hypertension, cigarette smoking, and overweight increased risk of premature mortality, heightened by any combination of these adverse characteristics. Overall, we found an inverse relationship between vigorous sports participation and hypertension risk but a direct relationship between risk and weight-for-height, weight gain, or parental hypertension. With regard to all-cause mortality, cigarette smoking and hypertension were most hazardous for the individual; smoking and lack of vigorous recreational play were most hazardous for the alumnus population as a whole.

Physical activity and incidence of hypertension in college alumni.

In a study population of 14,998 Harvard male alumni, 681 hypertensives were first diagnosed during a 6-10-year follow-up beginning 16-50 years after college entrance. The study comprised 105,662 man-years of observation of these men who had entered college in 1916-1950, and who were followed from 1962 or 1966 to 1972. Presence or absence of a background of collegiate sports did not influence risk of hypertension in this study population, nor did stair-climbing, walking, or light sports play by alumni. But, alumni who did not engage in vigorous sports play were at 35% greater risk of hypertension than those who did, and this relationship held at all ages, 35-74 years. Higher levels of body mass index, weight gain since college, history of parental hypertension, and lack of strenuous exercise independently predicted increased risk of hypertension in alumni. Men 20% or more over ideal weight-for-height were at 78% greater risk than lighter men. Those who had gained 25+ lbs (c. 11.5+ kg) since entering college were at 60% greater risk than those who had gained less. Alumni with a hypertensive parent were at 83% higher risk than men without such parentage. Contemporary vigorous exercise was inversely related to hypertension risk, but chiefly among alumni overweight-for-height. In the clinical sense, attributable risk estimates ranged from 30% to nearly 50% for the alumni characteristics of overweight, weight gain, parental hypertension, and lack of vigorous exercise. In the community sense, attributable risk of these same characteristics ranged 13-26%. To sum up, vigorous exercise is associated with lower hypertension incidence, and, without necessarily altering body weight-for-height, avoids or reduces fat and promotes muscle; obesity, rather than excess weight-for-height, is associated with higher hypertension incidence; hence, vigorous exercise is appropriate for use as an intervention regimen in the prevention of hypertension.

Energy expenditure, cigarette smoking, and blood pressure level as related to death from specific diseases.

In a 22-year followup of 3686 San Francisco longshoremen, the roles of physical activity, cigarette smoking habit, and systolic blood pressure level were evaluated independently in relation to risk of death from a broad range of diseases. Smoking pattern and blood pressure status were established in 1951 and job activity was assessed annually during the followup period. Lower levels of energy expenditure predicted increased risk of fatal heart attack and perhaps of stroke. Heavy cigarette smoking predicted increased risk of death from heart attack, cancer, chronic obstructive respiratory disease, and pneumonia. Higher levels of systolic blood pressure were associated with death from all cardiovascular diseases, diabetes mellitus, and cirrhosis. Tacit to these findings: sedentary living takes its toll largely through heart disease and stroke; the toxicity of cigarette smoking is associated with a broader range of diseases, including heart attack, cancer, and respiratory disease; and higher level of blood pressure related to an even broader range of cardiovascular disease than either of the other characteristics studied.

The association of changes in physical-activity level and other lifestyle characteristics with mortality among men.

BACKGROUND: Recent trends toward increasing physical exercise, stopping cigarette smoking, and avoiding obesity may increase longevity. We analyzed changes in the lifestyles of Harvard College alumni and the associations of these changes with mortality. METHODS: Men who were 45 to 84 years of age in 1977 and who had reported no life-threatening disease on questionnaires completed in 1962 or 1966 and again in 1977 were classified according to changes in lifestyle characteristics between the first and second questionnaires. We analyzed changes in their level of physical activity, cigarette smoking, blood pressure, and body weight, and the relation of these factors to mortality between 1977 and 1985. RESULTS: Of the 10,269 men, 476 died during this period (which totaled 90,650 man-years of observation). Beginning moderately vigorous sports activity (at an intensity of 4.5 or more metabolic equivalents) was associated with a 23 percent lower risk of death (95 percent confidence interval, 4 to 42 percent; P = 0.015) than not taking up moderately vigorous sports. Quitting cigarette smoking was associated with a 41 percent lower risk (95 percent confidence interval, 20 to 57 percent; P = 0.001) than continuing smoking, but with a 23 percent higher risk than constant nonsmoking. Men with recently diagnosed hypertension had a lower risk of death than those with long-term hypertension (relative risk, 0.75; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.55 to 1.02; P = 0.057), as did men with consistently normal blood pressure (relative risk, 0.52; 95 percent confidence interval, 0.40 to 0.68; P < 0.001). Maintenance of lean body mass was associated with a lower mortality rate than long-term, recent, or previous obesity. The associations between changes in lifestyle and mortality were independent and were largely undiminished by age. Our findings on death from coronary heart disease mirrored those on death from all causes. CONCLUSIONS: Beginning moderately vigorous sports activity, quitting cigarette smoking, maintaining normal blood pressure, and avoiding obesity were separately associated with lower rates of death from all causes and from coronary heart disease among middle-aged and older men.

Personal and environmental characteristics related to epithelial ovarian cancer. II. Exposures to talcum powder, tobacco, alcohol, and coffee.

Vaginal exposures to talc and other particulates may play an etiologic role in epithelial ovarian cancer. Surgical sterilization may protect against ovarian cancer by blocking entry of such particulates into the peritoneal cavity. The authors assessed histories of talcum powder use, tubal sterilization, and hysterectomy with ovarian conservation in 188 women in the San Francisco Bay Area with epithelial ovarian cancers diagnosed in 1983-1985 and in 539 control women. To investigate the roles of blood-borne environmental exposures on ovarian cancer risk, they assessed lifetime consumption of coffee, tobacco, and alcohol in these women. Of the 539 controls, 280 were hospitalized women without overt cancer, and 259 were chosen from the general population by random digit telephone dialing. Ninety-seven (52%) of the cancer patients habitually used talcum powder on the perineum, compared with 247 (46%) of the controls. Adjusted for parity, the relative risk (RR) = 1.40, p = 0.06. There were no statistically significant trends with increasing frequency or duration of talc use, and patients did not differ from controls in use of talc on sanitary pads and/or contraceptive diaphragms. Fewer ovarian cancer patients (7%) than controls (13%) reported prior fallopian tube ligation (RR, adjusted for parity, = 0.56, p = 0.06), and fewer patients (20%) than controls (28%) reported prior hysterectomy (RR = 0.66, p = 0.05). The protective effect of hysterectomy was confined to those who underwent this surgery 10 or more years prior to interview and to those who had not undergone prior tubal sterilization. Consumption of cigarettes and alcohol did not differ between cases and controls. By contrast, 11 (6%) cases never regularly consumed coffee, compared with 31 (11%) hospital controls and 26 (10%) population controls (RR, adjusted for smoking, = 2.2, p = 0.03, for the comparison using all controls). Overall, ovarian cancer risk among women who had drunk coffee for more than 40 years was 3.4 times that of women who had never regularly consumed coffee (p less than 0.01). However, the data exhibited no clear trends in risk with increasing consumption. Although risk ratios relating duration of coffee drinking to ovarian cancer were unaffected by adjustment for several characteristics, further study is needed to exclude potential confounding by other unmeasured characteristics.

Personal and environmental characteristics related to epithelial ovarian cancer. I. Reproductive and menstrual events and oral contraceptive use.

In two case-control studies conducted in the six-county San Francisco Bay Area, 111 women diagnosed with epithelial ovarian carcinoma in 1974-1977 and 188 women diagnosed in 1983-1985 were interviewed concerning their menstrual, sexual, and reproductive histories. For comparison, interviews were conducted with 752 control women admitted to the same hospitals within six months of the cases; for cases diagnosed in the later period, interviews were also conducted with an additional 259 population-based controls selected by random digit dialing. Controls were matched to cases by age and race. Qualitative and quantitative findings were similar for the two studies. In the combined data, cases were more likely than their matched controls to have been nulliparous, to have undergone menarche at an early age, and to have refrained from using oral contraceptives. Menopause occurred slightly later for cases than for controls, but the differences were not statistically significant. Neither age at first term pregnancy (20 or more weeks gestation) nor number of term pregnancies was predictive of ovarian cancer risk. The protection afforded by oral contraceptive use was independent of parity, and it increased with increasing duration of use. There were no trends in risk with time since last oral contraceptive use or with time since first use, after adjustment for duration of use. These observations suggest that oral contraceptive use decreases risk for ovarian cancer, rather than merely indicates fertility, which may itself decrease risk of developing the disease. The authors combined reproductive characteristics and oral contraceptive use to estimate a woman's total duration of ovulation, which was positively associated with ovarian cancer risk (p less than 0.001 for trend). These observations support the concept that the greater the duration of ovulation or accompanying endocrinologic phenomena, the greater a woman's risk for ovarian cancer.