Proposal of a Multivariable Prediction Model for Graded Morbidity after Liver Resection for Colorectal Metastases.

BACKGROUND: Prognostic models to predict individual early postoperative morbidity after liver resection for colorectal liver metastases (CLM) are not available but could enable optimized preoperative patient selection and postoperative surveillance for patients at greater risk of complications. The aim of this study was to establish a prognostic model for the prediction of morbidity after liver resection graded according to Dindo. METHODS: N = 679 cases of primary liver resection for CLM were retrospectively analyzed using univariable and multivariable ordinal regression analyses. Receiver operating characteristics curve (ROC) analysis was utilised to assess the sensitivity and specificity of predictions and their potential usefulness as prognostic models. Internal validation of the score was performed using data derived from 129 patients. RESULTS: The final multivariable regression model revealed lower preoperative levels, a greater number of units of intraoperatively transfused packed red blood cells (pRBCs), longer duration of surgery, and larger metastases to independently influence postoperatively graded morbidity. ROC curve analysis demonstrated that the multivariable regression model is able to predict each individual grade of postoperative morbidity with high sensitivity and specificity. The areas under the receiver operating curves (AUROC) for all of these predictions of individual grades of morbidity were > 0.700, indicating potential usefulness as a predictive model. Moreover, a consistent concordance in Grades I, II, IV, and V according to the classification proposed by Dindo et al. was observed in the internal validation. CONCLUSION: This study proposes a prognostic model for the prediction of each grade of postoperative morbidity after liver resection for CLM with high sensitivity and specificity using pre- and intraoperatively available variables.

Consequences and predisposing factors of self-discharge against medical advice in plastic and hand surgery.

PURPOSE: Therapeutic success of surgical interventions is significantly affected by patients' adherence. Patient autonomy can lead to unreasonable behavior. We analyzed the consequences and predisposing factors of patient self-discharge in a plastic and hand surgery cohort. STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING: Data was collected retrospectively in a case-control study with n = 73 patients who had self-discharged in a 10-year time period and n = 130 controls (discharge by the surgeon). Data was collected through the hospital information systems and a particular questionnaire. Statistical analyses were performed via chi-squared test and logistic regression analyses. RESULTS: Patients who self-discharged against medical advice had a significantly higher complication rate (p = 0.045) and a higher number of revision operations (p < 0.001). They were more often dissatisfied with the primary inpatient treatment (p < 0.05). Secondly, they lived more often in shared households (p = 0.002; OR 5.387 (1.734-16.732)) or had to take care of their children at home (p = 0.006; OR 1.481 (1.280-1.741)). There was a significantly lower pain score (NAS) on time of self-discharge (p = 0.002) as well as 24 h after self-discharge (p < 0.001) in self-discharged patients. CONCLUSION: Self-discharge was associated with predisposing factors and poorer outcomes. Patient autonomy can lead to health-compromising behavior and patients should be counseled accordingly.

Superficial Temporal Recipient Vessels for Craniofacial Microvascular Free-Flaps.

The selection of recipient vessels for microvascular free-flaps is critical in craniofacial reconstruction. Especially the suitability of the superficial temporal vessels is questioned conflictingly in the literature. The aim of this study was to share our experience with microvascular craniofacial free-flap reconstruction and to evaluate a set of factors that are related to the recipient vessels and to determine how these factors influence flap survival. We conducted a retrospective analysis of 39 free-flaps for craniofacial reconstruction that were performed from 2006 until 2020 and evaluated the indication for microvascular reconstruction, recipient vessels, various factors related to the recipient vessels and complications. The most utilized recipient artery was the facial artery, selected in 20 patients followed by the superficial temporal artery selected in 12 patients. The most commonly used recipient vein was the facial vein used in 16 patients, followed by the superficial temporal vein selected in 10 patients and the external jugular vein in 6 patients. Total flap necrosis occurred in one patient. There was no statistically significant association between the selected recipient vessels and patient comorbidities, major and minor complications, revision of anastomosis or flap loss. The results of our study have demonstrated that the superficial temporal artery and vein show similar results when used for face and scalp reconstruction. Considering their technical and aesthetic advantages they may be the first choice recipient vessels in established free-flap treatment algorithms for craniofacial reconstruction.

The surgical approach to Pyoderma gangrenosum: A retrospective monocenter study.

Pyoderma gangrenosum is a diagnosis of exclusion. It occurs rarely and is frequently misdiagnosed. It can result in severe tissue loss, particularly in surgical units with little experience. Nevertheless, surgical treatment might be necessary for reconstruction, once the progression of these wounds is controlled. We aimed to characterize medical findings in Pyoderma patients with extensive defects to assess the surgical procedures and their outcome. A retrospective study was conducted at our centre over an 18-year period. Inclusion criteria were the diagnosis of Pyoderma gangrenosum and at least one surgical intervention. Descriptive statistics were used to analyse the data. Sixteen patients were included. The mean size of the lesions was noted with 12 × 8 cm. Surgical procedures comprised debridements/necrectomies, allograft conditioning, negative pressure wound therapy, skin grafts, and microvascular free flaps. Seven patients were discharged with healed wounds, six with minor wound healing disturbances. Three patients succumbed to their underlying diseases. Drug-based therapy can stop the progress of Pyoderma, but severe tissue loss can be a persistent problem. According to our data, reconstructive-surgical treatments (debridement, autologous and allogenous skin transplantation and microvascular free flaps) act as an integral component of the therapy and can be safe options for selected patients. Furthermore, we provide an algorithm that we follow at our department in severe cases.

Expected Reduction of The Nipple-Areolar Complex Over Time After Treatment of Gynecomastia with Ultrasound-Assisted Liposuction Mastectomy Compared to Subcutaneous Mastectomy Alone.

BACKGROUND: The enlarged nipple-areola-complex (NAC) is a characterizing aspect of gynecomastia. OBJECTIVE: The purpose of this study was to multidimensionally quantify the reduction of the NAC after a subcutaneous mastectomy (SCM) with or without ultrasound-assisted liposuction (UAL). MATERIALS AND METHODS: A retrospective assessment of patients who underwent SCM +/- UAL due to gynecomastia over a period of 11 years was conducted. The NAC diameters were measured before and after surgery. In addition, a survey (including the BREAST-Q) regarding patient-oriented outcome was performed. RESULTS: The study cohort consisted of 55 men and resulting 105 NACs (SCM n=63, SCM+UAL n=42). It could be shown that the reduction of the NAC considering all parameters (horizontal and vertical diameter and the area) was significantly larger (p=<0.001) in the SCM+UAL compared to the SCM only cohort. The mean reduction of the area in the SCM cohort was 1.60cm2 (SD 1.48) or 23.37% (SD 9.78) after 5.82 years and in the SCM+UAL cohort 2.60cm2 (SD 1.60) or 35.85% (SD 6,86) after 7.43 years. As independent significant factors for reduction of the NAC, the resection weight and SCM+UAL combination were identified. There were no significant differences regarding the patients' satisfaction measured with the BODY-Q (p=0.222) and the ordinal scale (p=0.445) between the two cohorts. CONCLUSIONS: The SCM with UAL showed a larger reduction over time of the NAC compared to the SCM independent from the stage of gynecomastia. When planning the surgical treatment of gynecomastia, a technique and resection weight dependent reduction of the NAC over time must be considered. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE IV: This journal requires that authors assign a level of evidence to each article. For a full description of these Evidence-Based Medicine ratings, please refer to the Table of Contents or the online Instructions to Authors www.springer.com/00266 .

Multivisceral resection for adenocarcinoma of the pancreatic body and tail-a retrospective single-center analysis.

BACKGROUND: Adenocarcinoma of the pancreatic body and tail is associated with a dismal prognosis. As patients frequently present themselves with locally advanced tumors, extended surgery including multivisceral resection is often necessary in order to achieve tumor-free resection margins. The aim of this study was to identify prognostic factors for postoperative morbidity and mortality and to evaluate the influence of multivisceral resections on patient outcome. METHODS: This is a retrospective analysis of 94 patients undergoing resection of adenocarcinoma located in the pancreatic body and/or tail between April 1995 and December 2016 at our institution. Uni- and multivariable Cox regression analysis was conducted to identify independent prognostic factors for postoperative survival. RESULTS: Multivisceral resections, including partial resections of the liver, the large and small intestines, the stomach, the left kidney and adrenal gland, and major vessels, were carried out in 47 patients (50.0%). The median postoperative follow-up time was 12.90 (0.16-220.92) months. Median Kaplan-Meier survival after resection was 12.78 months with 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival rates of 53.2%, 15.8%, and 9.0%. Multivariable Cox regression identified coeliac trunk resection (p = 0.027), portal vein resection (p = 0.010), intraoperative blood transfusions (p = 0.005), and lymph node ratio in percentage (p = 0.001) as independent risk factors for survival. Although postoperative complications requiring surgical revision were observed more frequently after multivisceral resections (14.9 versus 2.1%; p = 0.029), postoperative survival was not significantly inferior when compared to patients undergoing standard distal or subtotal pancreatectomy (12.35 versus 13.87 months; p = 0.377). CONCLUSIONS: Our data indicates that multivisceral resection in cases of locally advanced pancreatic carcinoma of the body and/or tail is justified, as it is not associated with increased mortality and can even facilitate long-term survival, albeit with an increase in postoperative morbidity. Simultaneous resections of major vessels, however, should be considered carefully, as they are associated with inferior survival.

Hand injuries in sports - a retrospective analysis of 364 cases.

BACKGROUND: Hand injuries are common in sports and associated with high dropout rates and costs. Hence, efforts should strive for further risk prevention measures in order to increase safety in sports. This implies knowledge of sports injury risk profiles. So far, major surveillance programs exist mainly in Anglo-American countries, reflecting the specific concerns of sports in this part of the world. Data on sports injuries within Europe are scarce. As sports behaviour appears to vary demographically, we hypothesised that risk injury profiles differ as well. METHODS: To assess whether the described sports injuries of the hand are applicable to the German population, we performed a five-year retrospective, single-centre analysis of sports-related hand injuries, using data from the Enterprise Clinical Research Data Warehouse of the Hannover Medical School. RESULTS: Notable differences in comparison to other data were observed. Ball sports, cycling and equestrian sports caused most of the recorded hand injuries, which were predominantly fractures of the wrist and hand. Hand injuries in equestrian sports were associated with significantly higher operation and hospitalisation rates as well as a significantly longer inpatient treatment. CONCLUSION: Risk profiles for sports-related hand injuries appear to differ not only in terms of age- and sex, but also geographically. Nation- and Europe-wide hand trauma registries as well as a broad registry participation are necessary in order to accurately assess the risk patterns in Europe; henceforth reducing hand injuries and their sequelae.

Prediction of survival after left-sided pancreatic resection for adenocarcinoma: Introduction of a new prognostic score.

BACKGROUND: Due to the clinically unapparent course the entity of left-sided pancreatic adenocarcinoma is often diagnosed at advanced stages, resulting in small numbers of patients qualifying for pancreatectomy. This study strives to develop a prognostic model for survival after left-sided pancreatic resection. METHODS: A total of 54 patients were analyzed. Pre- and intra-operative predictive factors for 18-month mortality were identified with multivariable binary logistic regression analysis and compiled into a prognostic model. The applicability was evaluated by assessment of the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). The model was internally validated applying a randomized backwards bootstrapping analysis. RESULTS: The 18-month mortality rate was 74.1% (n = 40). Mean survival was 19.1 months. A prognostic model for 18-month mortality after left sided-pancreatectomy showed an AUROC >0.800: 18-month mortality risk in% = Exp(Y) / (1 + Exp(Y)) with y= -0.927 + (1.724, if CA 19-9 elevated, otherwise 0) + (1.212 × number of intra-operative transfused packed red blood cells) + (2.771, if prior abdominal surgery, otherwise 0) - (3.612, if gastric resection, otherwise 0) This model was internally validated in 40 randomized backwards bootstrapping steps with AUROCs ranging from 0.757 to 0.971. CONCLUSIONS: The 18-month mortality risk for patients after left-sided pancreatectomy for adenocarcinoma of the pancreatic body can be assessed with the number of intra-operatively transfused packed red blood cells, elevated CA 19-9 levels, additional gastric resection and prior abdominal surgeries in the patient's history.

Ventilation after pancreaticoduodenectomy increases perioperative mortality: Identification of risk factors and their relevance in Germany that do not apply in England.

BACKGROUND: Pre-operative risk factors for post-operative ventilation and their influence on survival after pancreaticoduodenectomy for malignancy are unknown. METHODS: Totally 391 patients operated in Hannover, Germany were investigated with multivariable logistic regression and Cox regression modeling to identify independent risk factors for post-operative ventilation ≥6 h, patient survival and 90-day mortality. And 84 patients operated in Birmingham, United Kingdom were analyzed to assess the external relevance of findings. RESULTS: Longer operations, history of thrombosis, intra-operative blood transfusion, lower estimated glomerular filtration rates (eGFR) and higher values of the age at operation divided by the Horovitz Quotient independently increased the risk of post-operative ventilation ≥ 6 h in German patients (n = 108; 27.6%) (P<0.050). Blood transfusion and lower pre-operative eGFR levels increased the risk of early death in German patients significantly and independently of established prognostic factors. A history of thrombosis and lower eGFR levels were also independent significant risk factors for 90-day mortality in German patients but not in English patients. None of the English patients received post-operative ventilation. Significantly more German patients were >75 years, had a history of thrombosis, received blood transfusions, and had significantly worse lung function parameters. pT4 tumors were detected in 18 German patients (4.6%), but not in the English patients. CONCLUSIONS: Identified risk factors for post-operative ventilation are clinically relevant in Germany but not in England and may be used to lower mortality risk. The German and the English cohorts displayed significant differences in the approach to patient selection and early post-operative extubation.

Statistical approach to quality assessment in liver transplantation.

PURPOSE: This study investigated the utility of retrospective two one-sided cumulative sum (CUSUM) charts combined with multivariable regression analysis in liver transplantation for transplant center benchmarking. METHODS: One thousand seven hundred and forty-nine consecutive adult primary liver transplants (January 1, 1983 to December 31, 2012) were analyzed retrospectively with two one-sided CUSUM chart analysis of 90-day mortality. RESULTS: Three eras and two subseries in latest era 3 were identified due to graphically delineated relevant shifts in mean 90-day mortality. Delineation of eras 1, 2, and 3 coincided with relevant changes in allocation policies. CUSUM analysis detected a resurgence of higher mean 90-day mortality in era 3 after results had improved continuously over 25 years. In era 3, two subseries were identified with improving mean 90-day mortality rates from 15.4% in subseries 1 to 8.9% in the following subseries 2. The quantitative influence of independent risk factors on 90-day mortality differed markedly between all identified eras and subseries as assessed with multivariable regression analysis deployed on era-specific subcohorts. CONCLUSION: The assessed methodology is able to identify meaningful center-specific eras and subseries of liver transplantation with striking alterations of the significance and weight of outcome drivers for post-transplant 90-day mortality over time. This warrants the introduction of prospective risk-adjusted two one-sided CUSUM chart analysis into quality management in liver transplantation in Germany with the goal to obtain alarm signals as early as possible.

Development and validation of a prognostic model for kidney function 1 year after combined pancreas and kidney transplantation using pre-transplant donor and recipient variables.

PURPOSE: The widening gap between demand and supply of organs for transplantation provides extraordinary challenges for ethical donor organ allocation rules. The transplant community is forced to define favorable recipient/donor combinations for simultaneous kidney-pancreas transplantation. The aim of this study is the development of a prognostic model for the prediction of kidney function 1 year after simultaneous pancreas and kidney transplantation using pre-transplant donor and recipient variables with subsequent internal and external validation. METHODS: Included were patients with end-stage renal failure due to diabetic nephropathy. Multivariable logistic regression modeling was applied for prognostic model design with retrospective data from Hannover Medical School, Germany (01.01.2000-31.12.2011) followed by prospective internal validation (01 Jan. 2012-31 Dec. 2015). Retrospective data from another German transplant center in Kiel was retrieved for external model validation via the initially derived logit link function. RESULTS: The developed prognostic model is able to predict kidney graft function 1 year after transplantation ≥ KDIGO stage III with high areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve in the development cohort (0.943) as well as the internal (0.807) and external validation cohorts (0.784). CONCLUSION: The proposed validated model is a valuable tool to optimize present allocation rules with the goal to prevent transplant futility. It might be used to support donor organ acceptance decisions for individual recipients.

Hangzhou criteria are more accurate than Milan criteria in predicting long-term survival after liver transplantation for HCC in Germany.

BACKGROUND: Milan criteria are used for patient selection in liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Hangzhou criteria have been shown in China to enable access to liver transplantation for more patients when compared to Milan criteria without negative effects on long-term survival. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the Hangzhou criteria in a German cohort. METHODS: One hundred fifty-nine patients transplanted for HCC between 1975 and 2010 were investigated. Patients were categorized into four groups depending on the fulfillment of Milan and Hangzhou criteria. General and tumor baseline characteristics were compared. Overall and tumor-free survival rates were investigated with the Kaplan-Meier analysis. RESULTS: One-, 3-, 5-, and 10-year survival rates for patients fulfilling Milan criteria (n = 68) were 89.7, 83.7, 75.8, and 62.1%, respectively, versus 89.8, 82.2, 75.2, and 62.6% for patients fulfilling Hangzhou criteria (n = 109) (p = 0.833). When comparing patients exceeding Milan or Hangzhou criteria, survival rates were 75.3, 53.2, 48.1, and 41.1% versus 63.3, 31.4, 26.9, and 22.1%, respectively (p = 0.019). The comparison of tumor-free survival rates in patients fulfilling Milan or Hangzhou criteria was statistically not significant (p = 0.785), whereas the comparison of the groups exceeding the criteria showed significantly worse survival for patients outside Hangzhou criteria (p = 0.007). The proportion of patients fulfilling Hangzhou criteria (68.6%) was significantly larger as compared to the proportion fulfilling Milan criteria (42.8%) (p < 0.001). CONCLUSION: Hangzhou criteria are more accurate in predicting long-term survival after liver transplantation for HCC in Germany. Deployment of the Hangzhou criteria for patient selection could enlarge the pool of transplantable patients.

Prognostic factors for long-term survival after adult liver transplantation.

PURPOSE: Prognostic factors for survival ≥ 15 years and life years lost after liver transplantation are largely unknown. METHODS: One thousand six hundred thirty primary adult liver transplants between 1983 and 2014 were analyzed. Risk factors for survival were identified with multivariable Cox regression and subsequently tested for their relevance as prognostic factors for observed 15-year survival using multivariable logistic regression and c statistics. The difference of life expectancy between a matched national reference population and survival in patients with post-transplant survival ≥ 15 years was calculated. RESULTS: Survival of ≥ 15 years was observed in 361 patients (22%). Sixty-nine adults died after more than 15 years losing a median of 15 years of life expectancy. One of those patients lived longer while 292 patients still have the chance to survive longer than their normal life expectancy. The indication primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) and later eras of transplantation were identified as significant independent protective factors while recipient age > 36.8 years, graft loss due to initial non-function or thrombosis, the indications hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), hepatitis-C-virus-related cirrhosis (HCV-cirrhosis) and all other indications, donor age > 53 years, the number of surgical complications, and operative durations > 4.5 h were identified as significant independent risk factors limiting survival. All of these factors except the duration of operation had also a significant independent influence on observed 15-year survival (AUROC = 0.739). CONCLUSIONS: Recipients can exceptionally live longer than their normal life expectancy. Older recipients and patients with the indications HCC, HCV-cirrhosis, or other indications except PSC, should be transplanted with younger donor organs.

Low-dose external beam radiotherapy for greater trochanteric pain syndrome : Target volume definition and treatment outcome.

PURPOSE: Low-dose external beam radiotherapy (ED-EBRT) is frequently used in the therapy of refractory greater trochanteric pain syndrome (GTPS). As studies reporting treatment results are scarce, we retrospectively analyzed our own patient collectives. PATIENTS AND METHODS: In all, 60 patients (74 hips) received LD-EBRT (6 × 0.5 Gy in 29 hips, 6 × 1 Gy in 45). The endpoint was the patient's reported subjective response to treatment. The influence of different patient and treatment characteristics on treatment outcome was investigated. RESULTS: At the end of LD-EBRT, 69% reported partial remission, 4% complete remission, no change 28%. A total of 3 months later (n = 52 hips), the results were 37, 33, and 30% and 18 months after LD-EBRT (n = 47) 21, 51, and 28%. In univariate analysis "inclusion of the total femoral head into the PTV" and "night pain before LD-EBRT" were correlated with symptom remission at the end of LD-EBRT, while "initial increase in pain during LD-EBRT" was significantly associated with treatment failure. In multivariable modeling "initial increase in pain" was identified as a risk factor for treatment failure (p = 0.007; odds ratio [OR] 0.209; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.048-0.957), while "night pain" was an independent factor for remission (p = 0.038; OR 3.484; 95% CI 1.004-12.6). Three months after LD-EBRT "night pain" and "inclusion of the complete femoral neck circumference into the PTV" were predictive for remission. CONCLUSION: LD-EBRT represents a useful treatment option for patients suffering from GTPS. Three months after therapy two-thirds of the patients reported a partial or complete symptom remission. Especially patients who suffered from nocturnal pain seemed to benefit. Treatment appeared to be more effective when the entire circumference of the femoral neck was encompassed.

Decreased superficial surgical site infections, shortened hospital stay, and improved quality of life due to incisional negative pressure wound therapy after reversal of double loop ileostomy.

This single-center prospective, controlled observational study investigates the impact of incisional negative pressure wound therapy on wound healing processes and its potency to prevent superficial surgical site infections (SSSI) after reversal of a double loop ileostomy. Furthermore, this study gains insight in socioeconomic aspects, like duration of hospital stay and, for the first time, patient's quality of life during the incisional negative pressure wound treatment. To address this question, an interventional group of 24 patients treated with incisional negative pressure wound therapy (Prevena incisional wound management system, KCI, Germany) and a respective control cohort of 25 patients treated with a standard sterile dressing were observed for 30 days in the postoperative course. Postoperative incisional negative pressure wound therapy resulted in statistically significant decreasing duration of hospital stay (6 days vs. 9 days, p = 0.019) and lower rates of SSSIs (12.5% vs. 20.0%, p = 0.478) in accordance with a not statistically significant decreased necessity of postoperative antibiotic therapy (12.5% vs. 36%, p = 0.051). To survey subjective items of well-being and quality of life, all patients were asked to answer a questionnaire. Patients of both groups noticed increasing quality of life after reversal of their ileostomy. However, patients treated with an incisional negative pressure wound therapy had a superior improvement of a variety of subjective items, resulting in an overall much better satisfaction with the course of wound healing. Our findings suggest, that incisional negative pressure wound therapy seems to be a reasonable therapeutic option to reduce incidence of SSSIs and to have a beneficial impact to patient's quality of life, as well as, socio-economic aspects.

The Glasgow Prognostic Score and its variants predict mortality in living donor but not in deceased donor liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma: A double-center validation study.

AIM: This study aimed to evaluate whether the Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS) and its variants are able to predict mortality in live donor and deceased donor liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma. METHODS: Data of 29 live donor and 319 deceased donor transplantations from two German transplant centers was analyzed. The GPS, modified GPS, hepatic GPS, and Abe score were investigated. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was carried out to calculate the sensitivity, specificity, and overall model correctness of the investigated scores as a predictive model. Study end-points were 1-year, 3-year, and long-term mortality. RESULTS: A 1-year mortality of 19.1% (n = 61), 3-year mortality of 26.3% (n = 84), and overall mortality of 37.3% (n = 119) was observed. All investigated scores failed to predict outcome in deceased donor liver transplantation (areas under ROC curves <0.700), whereas GPS, hepatic GPS, modified GPS, and the Abe score reached areas under ROC curves >0.700 for the prediction of 1-year mortality in live donor transplantation. The GPS and Abe score were also able to predict 3-year mortality. None of the investigated scores was a reliable predictor of long-term mortality. CONCLUSION: Systemic inflammation-based scores have great prognostic potential in live donor transplantation. Abe score could be successfully externally validated in the current study for the first time. In deceased donor transplantation, none of the analyzed scores was able to allow reliable prediction for the investigated study end-points.

Identifying independent risk factors for graft loss after primary liver transplantation.

PURPOSE: The aim of the study is the identification of independent risk factors for re-transplantation after primary liver transplantation beyond the occurrence of hepatic artery thrombosis. METHODS: Eight hundred thirty-four adult patients undergoing primary liver transplantation were analyzed. A propensity score was developed using multivariable binary logistic regression with hepatic artery thrombosis as the dependent variable. The logit link function of the propensity score was included into multivariable Cox regression analysis for graft survival to adjust the study population. RESULTS: Graft loss was observed in 134 patients (16.1%). Independent significant risk factors for graft loss were recipient platelet count (p = 0.040; HR: 1.002; 95%-CI: 1.000-1.003), preoperative portal vein thrombosis (p = 0.032; HR: 1.797; 95%-CI: 1.054-2.925), donor age (p < 0.001; HR: 1.026; 95%-CI: 1.012-1.040), percentage of macrovesicular steatosis of the graft (p = 0.011; HR: 1.037; 95%-CI: 1.009-1.061), early complications leading to revision surgery (p < 0.001; HR: 2.734; 95%-CI: 1.897-3.956), duration of the transplant procedure (p < 0.001; HR: 1.005; 95%-CI: 1.003-1.007) as well as transplantation of a split liver graft (p = 0.003; HR: 2.637; 95%-CI: 1.420-4.728). The logit of the propensity score did not reach statistical significance in the final multivariable Cox regression model (p = 0.111) indicating good adjustment for the occurrence of hepatic artery thrombosis. CONCLUSION: Liver transplant programs might benefit from regular donor organ biopsies to assess the amount of macrovesicular steatosis. An elevated recipient platelet count can promote reperfusion injury leading to graft loss. A liver graft from an elderly donor should not be split or be transplanted in a recipient with detected portal vein thrombosis.

Ultrasound-based scores as predictors for nodular hyperplasia in patients with secondary hyperparathyroidism: a prospective validation study.

PURPOSE: Former studies evaluated echostructural and vascular patterns in ultrasound of the parathyroid gland to identify nodular hyperplasia in patients with secondary hyperparathyroidism due to chronic kidney disease. This prospective study aims to externally validate suggested ultrasound classifications. METHODS: Parathyroid glands of 27 patients with secondary hyperparathyroidism undergoing parathyroidectomy were prospectively analyzed. Ultrasound including Doppler imaging was performed 1 day prior to surgery. Ultrasound data were available for 70 parathyroid glands. Echostructural and vascular scores according to previous studies were applied calculating the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). Overall correctness, sensitivity, and specificity of the investigated scores were assessed with the Youden index method. RESULTS: The Doppler score introduced by Vulpio and colleagues based on characteristic blood flow patterns in parathyroid glands showed an AUROC of 0.749 for the prediction of nodular hyperplasia with an overall correctness of 72.8%. Other ultrasound classifications based on blood flow patterns, as well as echostructure of the parathyroid gland displayed AUROCs of <0.700, thus, lacking sufficient capability as a prognostic model. Overall correctness of prediction varied from 53.8 to 55.9%. CONCLUSIONS: The Vulpio Doppler score for the prediction of nodular hyperplasia in patients with secondary hyperparathyroidism was externally validated for the first time. Other ultrasound scores fail as prognostic models in this study population. Doppler sonography of the parathyroid gland has prognostic capability to identify nodular hyperplasia as surrogate marker for patients with secondary hyperparathyroidism indicating the need for ablative or surgical treatment when failing conservative therapy.

Modified minimally invasive extensor carpi radialis longus tenodesis for scapholunate dissociation: a prospective observational study.

BACKGROUND: Scapholunate dissociation is the most common form of carpal instability. However, there is no gold standard for operative treatment. In this prospective observational study on 54 patients, a modified minimally invasive dynamic extensor carpi radialis longus tenodesis is described, which is characterized by a smaller approach and application of a cannulated screw and washer for tendon fixation. METHODS: Quick-Disabilities of Arm, Shoulder and Hand (DASH)-questionnaire results, post-operative satisfaction, range of motion and grip strength are analyzed. RESULTS: A median Quick-DASH of 54.6 was observed pre-operatively which significantly improved to a median of 28.4 after the procedure (p < 0.001). Median follow-up was 24 months. Of 46 completely followed-up patients, 31 patients (67.4%) reported that they were satisfied with the outcome. Thirty-seven patients (80.4%) would recommend the procedure to a friend. Thirty-five patients (76.1%) reported some kind of complaint in the operated hand during follow-up. There was no association of severity of symptoms and co-morbidities with the outcome. Neither palmar flexion, nor dorsal extension was significantly different between the operated and non-operated wrist. The operated wrists were observed to have less grip strength than non-operated wrists. CONCLUSIONS: The presented method seems to be as successful as other techniques described in literature. It is less invasive, thus more patient friendly without harming feasibility of future salvage options. However, post-operative complaint rate was quite high.

The new liver allocation score for transplantation is validated and improved transplant survival benefit in Germany but not in the United Kingdom.

Prognostic models for the prediction of 90-day mortality after transplantation with pretransplant donor and recipient variables are needed to calculate transplant benefit. Transplants in adult recipients in Germany (Hannover, n = 770; Kiel, n = 234) and the United Kingdom (Birmingham, n = 829) were used for prognostic model design and validation in separate training and validation cohorts. The survival benefit of transplantation was estimated by subtracting the observed posttransplant 90-day mortality from the expected 90-day mortality without transplantation determined by the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score. A prognostic model called the liver allocation score (LivAS) was derived using a randomized sample from Hannover using pretransplant donor and recipient variables. This model could be validated in the German training and validation cohorts (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUROC] > 0.70) but not in the English cohort (AUROC, 0.58). Although 90-day mortality rates after transplantation were 13.7% in Hannover, 12.1% in Kiel, and 8.3% in Birmingham, the calculated 90-day survival benefits of transplantation were 6.8% in Hannover, 7.8% in Kiel, and 2.8% in Birmingham. Deployment of the LivAS for limiting allocation to donor and recipient combinations with likely 90-day survival as indicated by pretransplant LivAS values below the cutoff value would have increased the survival benefit to 12.9% in the German cohorts, whereas this would have decreased the benefit in England to 1.3%. The English and German cohorts revealed significant differences in 21 of 28 pretransplant variables. In conclusion, the LivAS could be validated in Germany and may improve German allocation policies leading to greater survival benefits, whereas validation failed in England due to profound differences in the selection criteria for liver transplantation. This study suggests the need for national prognostic models. Even though the German centers had higher rates of 90-day mortality, estimated survival benefits were greater. Liver Transplantation 22 743-756 2016 AASLD.