RESUMO
We consider the problem of modeling gestational diabetes in a clinical study and develop a domain expert-guided probabilistic model that is both interpretable and explainable. Specifically, we construct a probabilistic model based on causal independence (Noisy-Or) from a carefully chosen set of features. We validate the efficacy of the model on the clinical study and demonstrate the importance of the features and the causal independence model.
Assuntos
Diabetes Gestacional , Gravidez , Feminino , Humanos , Biologia Computacional , Modelos Estatísticos , CausalidadeRESUMO
Qualitative influence statements are often provided a priori to guide learning; we answer a challenging reverse task and automatically extract them from a learned probabilistic model. We apply our Qualitative Knowledge Extraction method toward early prediction of gestational diabetes on clinical study data. Our empirical results demonstrate that the extracted rules are both interpretable and valid.