Long-term second primary cancer risk in adolescent and young adult (15-39 years) cancer survivors: a population-based study in the Netherlands between 1989 and 2018.

BACKGROUND: Few studies have comprehensively investigated the long-term second cancer risk among adolescent and young adult (AYA, aged 15-39 years) cancer survivors. This study investigated the long-term second cancer risk by including the full range of first and second cancer combinations with at least 10 observations in the Netherlands between 1989 and 2018. MATERIALS AND METHODS: First and second primary cancer data of all 6-month AYA cancer survivors were obtained from the nationwide population-based Netherlands Cancer Registry. Excess cancer risk compared to the general population was assessed with standardized incidence ratio (SIR) and absolute excess risk (AER) statistics up to 25 years after diagnosis. Cumulative incidences were estimated, using death as a competing risk factor. Analyses were carried out with and without applying multiple cancer rules. RESULTS: The cohort included 99 502 AYA cancer survivors. Male survivors had a 2-fold higher risk of developing any cancer compared to the general population, whereas this was around 1.3-fold in females. AERs were 17.5 and 10.1 per 10 000 person-years for males and females. The long-term excess risk of cancer was significantly higher for most first and second primary cancer combinations, but comparable and lower risk estimates were also observed. Application of the multiple cancer rules resulted in a noticeable risk underestimation in melanoma, testicular, and breast cancer survivors. Risk outcomes remained similar in most cases otherwise. The cumulative incidence of second cancer overall increased over time up to 8.9% in males and 10.3% in females at 25 years' follow-up. Highest long-term cumulative incidences were observed among lymphoma survivors (13.3% males and 18.9% females). CONCLUSIONS: AYA cancer survivors have a higher cancer risk compared to the general population for most cancers up to 25 years after their initial cancer diagnosis. Additional studies that investigate risk factors for the specific cancer type combinations are needed to develop personalized follow-up strategies.

The increasing burden of testicular seminomas and non-seminomas in adolescents and young adults (AYAs): incidence, treatment, disease-specific survival and mortality trends in the Netherlands between 1989 and 2019.

BACKGROUND: Testicular cancer incidence among adolescents and young adults (AYAs, aged 18-39 years at diagnosis) is increasing worldwide and most patients will survive the initial disease. Still, detailed epidemiological information about testicular cancer among AYAs is scarce. This study aimed to provide a detailed overview of testicular cancer trends in incidence, treatment, long-term relative survival and mortality by histological subtype among AYAs diagnosed in the Netherlands between 1989 and 2019. MATERIALS AND METHODS: Data of all malignant testicular cancers (ICD-code C62) were extracted from the Netherlands Cancer Registry. Mortality data were retrieved from Statistics Netherlands. European age-standardized incidence and mortality rates with average annual percentage change statistics and relative survival estimates up to 20 years of follow-up were calculated. RESULTS: A total of 12 528 testicular cancers were diagnosed between 1989 and 2019. Comparing 1989-1999 to 2010-2019, the incidence increased from 4.4 to 11.4 for seminomas and from 5.7 to 11.1 per 100 000 person-years for non-seminomas. Rising trends were most prominent for localized disease. Radiotherapy use in localized testicular seminomas declined from 78% in 1989-1993 to 5% in 2015-2019. Meanwhile, there was a slight increase in chemotherapy use. Most AYAs with localized seminomas and non-seminomas received active surveillance only (>80%). Overall, relative survival estimates remained well above 90% even at 20 years of follow-up for both seminomas and non-seminomas. Mortality rates declined from 0.5 to 0.4 per 100 000 person-years between 1989-1999 and 2010-2019. CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of seminoma and non-seminoma testicular cancers significantly increased in AYAs in the Netherlands between 1989 and 2019. There was a shift towards less-aggressive treatment regimens without negative survival effects. Relative survival estimates remained well above 90% at 20 years of follow-up in most cases. Testicular cancer mortality was already low, but has improved further over time, which makes survivorship care an important issue for these young adults.

Trends of cutaneous melanoma in The Netherlands: increasing incidence rates among all Breslow thickness categories and rising mortality rates since 1989.

BACKGROUND: It has been debated that the epidemic of melanoma is largely due to overdiagnosis, since increases in incidence were mainly among thin melanomas and mortality rates remained stable. Our objective was to examine this controversy in The Netherlands. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Information on newly diagnosed melanoma patients was obtained from The Netherlands Cancer Registry. European Standardized Rates and estimated annual percentage change were calculated for the period 1989-2008. Cohort-based, period-based and multivariate survival analyses were carried out. RESULTS: The incidence rate of melanoma increased with 4.1% (95% confidence interval 3.6-4.5) annually. Incidence rates of both thin melanomas (≤ 1 mm) and thick melanomas (> 4 mm) increased since 1989. Mortality rates increased mainly in older patients (> 65 years). Ten-year relative survival of males improved significantly from 70% in 1989-1993 to 77% in 2004-2008 (P < 0.001) and for females the 10-year relative survival increased from 85% to 88% (P < 0.01). Recently diagnosed patients had a better prognosis even after adjusting for all known prognostic factors. CONCLUSION: Since incidence of melanomas among all Breslow thickness categories increased as well as the mortality rates, the melanoma epidemic in The Netherlands seems to be real and not only due to overdiagnosis.

Diverging trends in incidence and mortality, and improved survival of non-Hodgkin's lymphoma, in the Netherlands, 1989-2007.

BACKGROUND: We studied progress in the fight against non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (NHL) in the Netherlands by describing the changes in incidence, treatment, relative survival, and mortality during 1989-2007. PATIENTS AND METHODS: We included all adult patients with NHL [i.e. all mature B-, T-, and natural killer (NK) cell neoplasms, with the exception of plasma cell neoplasms], newly diagnosed in the period 1989-2007 and recorded in the Netherlands Cancer Registry (n=55 069). Regular mortality data were derived from Statistics Netherlands. Follow-up was completed up to 1 January 2009. Annual percentages of change in incidence, mortality, and relative survival were calculated. RESULTS: The incidence of indolent B-cell and T- and NK-cell neoplasms rose significantly (estimated annual percentage change=1.2% and 1.3%, respectively); incidence of aggressive B-cell neoplasms remained stable. Mortality due to NHL remained stable between 1989 and 2003, and has decreased since 2003. Five-year relative survival rates rose from 67% to 75%, and from 43% to 52%, respectively, for indolent and aggressive mature B-cell neoplasms, but 5-year survival remained stable at 48% for T- and NK-cell neoplasms. CONCLUSIONS: In the Netherlands, incidence of indolent mature B-cell and mature T- and NK-cell neoplasms has increased since 1989 but remained stable for aggressive neoplasms. Survival increased for all mature B-cell neoplasms, preceding a declining mortality and increased prevalence of NHL (17 597 on 1 January 2008).

Improved survival of colon cancer due to improved treatment and detection: a nationwide population-based study in The Netherlands 1989-2006.

BACKGROUND: We described changes in treatment of colon cancer over time and the impact on survival in The Netherlands in the period 1989-2006. PATIENTS AND METHODS: All 103,744 patients with invasive colon cancer during 1989-2006 in The Netherlands were included. Data were extracted from The Netherlands Cancer Registry. Trends in treatment over time were analysed and multivariable relative survival analysis was carried out. RESULTS: The administration of adjuvant chemotherapy in stage III patients <75 years increased from 19% in 1989-1993 to 79% in 2004-2006 and from 1% to 19% in stage III patients ≥75 years. Among stage IV patients, resection rates of the primary tumour decreased from 72% to 63%, while chemotherapy administration increased from 23% to 64% in those <75 years. Survival increased from 52% to 58% in males and from 55% to 58% among females. Stage III patients with adjuvant chemotherapy exhibited a relative excess risk of 0.4 (95% confidence interval 0.4-0.4) compared with those without. Among stage IV patients, resection of primary tumour, palliative chemotherapy, and metastasectomy were important prognostic factors. CONCLUSIONS: There were substantial improvements in management and survival of colon cancer from 1989 to 2006. Stage III disease patients with colon cancer experienced the largest improvement in survival, most likely related to the increased administration of adjuvant chemotherapy.

Neuroblastoma between 1990 and 2014 in the Netherlands: Increased incidence and improved survival of high-risk neuroblastoma.

PURPOSE: Long-term trends in neuroblastoma incidence and survival in unscreened populations are unknown. We explored trends in incidence, stage at diagnosis, treatment and survival of neuroblastoma in the Netherlands from 1990 to 2014. METHODS: The Netherlands Cancer Registry provided data on all patients aged <18 years diagnosed with a neuroblastoma. Trends in incidence and stage were evaluated by calculating the average annual percentage change (AAPC). Univariate and multivariable survival analyses were performed for stage 4 disease to test whether changes in treatment are associated with survival. RESULTS: Of the 593 newly diagnosed neuroblastoma cases, 45% was <18 months of age at diagnosis and 52% had stage 4 disease. The age-standardized incidence rate for stage 4 disease increased at all ages from 3.2 to 5.3 per million children per year (AAPC + 2.9%, p < .01). This increase was solely for patients ≥18 months old (3.0-5.4; AAPC +3.3%, p = .01). Five-year OS of all patients increased from 44 ± 5% to 61 ± 4% from 1990 to 2014 (p < .01) and from 19 ± 6% to 44 ± 6% (p < .01) for patients with stage 4 disease. Multivariable analysis revealed that high-dose chemotherapy followed by autologous stem cell rescue and anti-GD2-based immunotherapy were associated with this survival increase (HR 0.46, p < .01 and HR 0.37, p < .01, respectively). CONCLUSION: Incidence of stage 4 neuroblastoma increased exclusively in patients aged ≥18 months since 1990, whereas the incidence of other stages remained stable. The 5-year OS of stage 4 patients improved, mostly due to the introduction of high-dose chemotherapy followed by stem cell rescue and immunotherapy.

Centralization of esophageal cancer surgery: does it improve clinical outcome?

BACKGROUND: The volume-outcome relationship for complex surgical procedures has been extensively studied. Most studies are based on administrative data and use in-hospital mortality as the sole outcome measure. It is still unknown if concentration of these procedures leads to improvement of clinical outcome. The aim of our study was to audit the process and effect of centralizing oesophageal resections for cancer by using detailed clinical data. METHODS: From January 1990 until December 2004, 555 esophagectomies for cancer were performed in 11 hospitals in the region of the Comprehensive Cancer Center West (CCCW); 342 patients were operated on before and 213 patients after the introduction of a centralization project. In this project patients were referred to the hospitals which showed superior outcomes in a regional audit. In this audit patient, tumor, and operative details as well as clinical outcome were compared between hospitals. The outcome of both cohorts, patients operated on before and after the start of the project, were evaluated. RESULTS: Despite the more severe comorbidity of the patient group, outcome improved after centralizing esophageal resections. Along with a reduction in postoperative morbidity and length of stay, mortality fell from 12% to 4% and survival improved significantly (P = 0.001). The hospitals with the highest procedural volume showed the biggest improvement in outcome. CONCLUSION: Volume is an important determinant of quality of care in esophageal cancer surgery. Referral of patients with esophageal cancer to surgical units with adequate experience and superior outcomes (outcome-based referral) improves quality of care.

Improved survival for children and young adolescents with acute myeloid leukemia: a Dutch study on incidence, survival and mortality.

Variation in survival of pediatric acute myeloid leukemia (pAML) over time and between Western European countries exists. The aim of the current study is to assess the progress made for the Dutch pAML population (0-17 years) during 1990-2015, based on trends in incidence, survival and mortality. Data from the population-based Netherlands Cancer Registry were merged with leukemia-related characteristics and treatment specifics from the Dutch Childhood Leukemia Study Group (Dutch Childhood Oncology Group (DCOG) from 2002 onwards). Mortality data (1980-2016) were obtained from the cause of death registry of Statistics Netherlands. Trend analyses were performed over time and by treatment protocol. Between 1990 and 2015, a total of 635 children aged 0-17 years were diagnosed with AML for an average of 25 patients (range 18-36) per year. There was a slight increase in the incidence at age 1-4 years (average annual percentage change (AAPC) of +2.2% per year (95% CI 0.8-3.5, p < 0.01)). Overall, the 5-year survival significantly improved over the past 26 years and nearly doubled from 40% in the early 1990s to 74% in 2010-2015. Multivariable analysis showed a 49% reduction in risk of death for pAML patients treated according to the latest DB-AML 01 protocol (p = 0.03). The continuing decrease of mortality (AAPC -2.8% per year (95% CI -4.1 to -1.5)) supports the conclusion of true progress against pAML in the Netherlands.

[The beginning of the end of the lung cancer epidemic among Dutch women]. / Longkanker bij Nederlandse vrouwen: het einde in zicht.

OBJECTIVE: To describe and interpret recent changes in lung cancer mortality and incidence, and changes in smoking prevalence among young and middle-aged women in The Netherlands. DESIGN: Secondary data analysis. METHOD: Mortality data were collected from Statistics Netherlands (CBS; 1960-2006), data on the incidence were obtained from The Netherlands Cancer Registry (NCR; 1989-2003), and data on smoking prevalence were collected from the Dutch Foundation on Smoking and Health (STIVORO; 1988-2007). Mortality and incidence rates were calculated for four age groups (20-44, 45-49, 50-54 and 55-59 years). Changes in trends in mortality and smoking prevalence were examined using joinpoint regression and birth cohort analysis. RESULTS: Since the 1960s, lung cancer mortality and incidence has increased dramatically among women in The Netherlands. In the mid-1990s, lung cancer mortality and incidence rates in young women (aged < 50 years) surpassed those in men. Mortality rates in young women (aged 20-49 years) increased 4-6% annually. However, these rates started to stabilise since 1999. Among women born after 1950, mortality rates and smoking prevalence have decreased. CONCLUSION: An end to the lung cancer epidemic in women in The Netherlands is in sight. The first indications are the recent reduction in mortality and incidence among young women, particularly in women born after 1950. In the future, this reduction is expected to translate into a stabilisation or modest decrease in total lung cancer mortality and incidence.

Site of childhood cancer care in the Netherlands.

BACKGROUND: Due to the complexity of diagnosis and treatment, care for children and young adolescents with cancer preferably occurs in specialised paediatric oncology centres with potentially better cure rates and minimal late effects. This study assessed where children with cancer in the Netherlands were treated since 2004. METHODS: All patients aged under 18 diagnosed with cancer between 2004 and 2013 were selected from the Netherlands Cancer Registry (NCR) and linked with the Dutch Childhood Oncology Group (DCOG) database. Associations between patient and tumour characteristics and site of care were tested statistically with logistic regression analyses. RESULTS: This population-based study of 6021 children diagnosed with cancer showed that 82% of them were treated in a paediatric oncology centre. Ninety-four percent of the patients under 10 years of age, 85% of the patients aged 10-14 and 48% of the patients aged 15-17 were treated in a paediatric oncology centre. All International Classification of Childhood Cancers (ICCC), 3rd edition, ICCC-3 categories, except embryonal tumours, were associated with a higher risk of treatment outside a paediatric oncology centre compared to leukaemia. Multivariable analyses by ICCC-3 category revealed that specific tumour types such as chronic myelogenous leukaemia (CML), embryonal carcinomas, bone tumours other type than osteosarcoma, non-rhabdomyosarcomas, thyroid carcinomas, melanomas and skin carcinomas as well as lower-staged tumours were associated with treatment outside a paediatric oncology centre. CONCLUSION: The site of childhood cancer care in the Netherlands depends on the age of the cancer patient, type of tumour and stage at diagnosis. Collaboration between paediatric oncology centre(s), other academic units is needed to ensure most up-to-date paediatric cancer care for childhood cancer patients at the short and long term.

Increased incidence and improved survival in endometrioid endometrial cancer diagnosed since 1989 in The Netherlands: a population based study.

OBJECTIVES: To measure progress against endometrioid endometrial carcinoma (EEC) in the Netherlands by analyzing trends in incidence, survival and mortality simultaneously. STUDY DESIGN: Descriptive study of incidence, survival and mortality rates of women with EEC in the Netherlands. Rates were age-standardized to the European standard population. Population-based data were extracted from the nationwide Dutch Cancer Registry (NCR) between 1989 and 2009. Mortality data since 1989 came from Statistics Netherlands. European age standardized incidence rates were calculated according to age, histology and stage. Five year relative survival estimates were calculated in four periods. Optimal progress against cancer is defined as decreasing incidence and/or improving survival accompanied by declining mortality. RESULTS: 80% of the 32,332 patients newly diagnosed with a corpus uteri malignancy had an EEC. The incidence of EEC rose significantly from 11/100,000 to 15/100,000, being most pronounced in women with FIGO stage IB and in the group with grade 1&2 tumours (P<0.05). Coinciding with the increased incidence, 5-year relative survival increased, especially for patients aged 60-74 years, in women with FIGO stage I, and in histology group grade 1&2, being 87%, 94% and 93%, respectively, during 2005-2009. CONCLUSION: The incidence of EEC (being 80% of corpus uteri cancer) increased markedly between 1989 and 2009, especially in women of 60-74 years. Five-year survival for patients with EEC increased from 83 to 85%. Progress against EEC has been less than was assumed previously, because mortality proportionally decreased only slightly, and because of the increasing incidence although survival improved.

Chronic lymphocytic leukaemia in the Netherlands: trends in incidence, treatment and survival, 1989-2008.

We present trends in incidence, early treatment and survival of Chronic Lymphocytic Leukaemia (CLL) between 1989 and 2008, based on population-based data from the Netherlands Cancer Registry. Incidence rates were stable at 5.1 per 100,000 person-years for males, but increased from 2.3 to 2.5 for females, especially for females aged 50-64 years (from 3.6 to 4.3). Patients were less likely to receive chemotherapy within six months, i.e. from 29% to 24% among males and from 25% to 21% among females. Five-year relative survival increased from 61% in 1989-1993 to 70% 2004-2008 for males, and from 71% to 76% for females. The relative excess risk of dying decreased in time to 0.7 (males) and 0.9 (females) in 2004-2008, reference 1989-1993, and increased with age to 2.9 (males) and 1.8 (females) in patients aged 75-94 years, reference 30-64 years. The increasing incidence among females aged 50-64 coincided with the introduction of mass screening for breast cancer, which resulted in a large group of women under increased surveillance and possibly led to increased detection of CLL. The increase in survival might be underestimated due to possible decreased or delayed registration of indolent cases and the retroactive effect of the introduction of new therapies.

Prostate cancer: trends in incidence, survival and mortality in the Netherlands, 1989-2006.

BACKGROUND: Prostate cancer occurrence and stage distribution changed dramatically during the end of the 20th century. This study aimed to quantify and explain trends in incidence, stage distribution, survival and mortality in the Netherlands between 1989 and 2006. METHODS: Population-based data from the nationwide Netherlands Cancer Registry and Causes of Death Registry were used. Annual incidence and mortality rates were calculated and age-adjusted to the European Standard Population. Trends in rates were evaluated by age, clinical stage and differentiation grade. RESULTS: 120,965 men were newly diagnosed with prostate cancer between 1989 and 2006. Age-adjusted incidence rates increased from 63 to 104 per 100,000 person-years in this period. Two periods of increasing incidence rates could be distinguished with increases predominantly in cT2-tumours between 1989 and 1995 and predominantly in cT1c-tumours since 2001. cT4/N+/M+-tumour incidence rates decreased from 23 in 1993 to 18 in 2006. The trend towards earlier detection was accompanied by a lower mean age at diagnosis (from 74 in 1989 to 70 in 2006), increased frequency of treatment with curative intent and improved 5-year relative survival. Mortality rates decreased from 34 in 1996 to 26 in 2007. CONCLUSIONS: The increase of prostate cancer incidence in the early 1990s was probably caused by increased prostate cancer awareness combined with diagnostic improvements (transrectal ultrasound, (thin) needle biopsies), but not PSA testing. The subsequent peak since 2001 is probably attributable to PSA testing. The decline in prostate cancer mortality from 1996 onwards may be the consequence of increased detection of cT2-tumours between 1989 and 1995. Unfortunately, data on the use of PSA tests and other prostate cancer diagnostics to support these conclusions are lacking.

Marked improvements in survival of patients with rectal cancer in the Netherlands following changes in therapy, 1989-2006.

BACKGROUND: Since the 1990s, treatment of patients with rectal cancer has changed in the Netherlands. Aim of this study was to describe these changes in treatment over time and to evaluate their effects on survival. METHODS: All patients in the Netherlands Cancer Registry with invasive primary rectal cancer diagnosed during the period 1989-2006 were selected. The Cochran-Armitage trend test was used to analyse trends in treatment over time. Multivariate relative survival analyses were performed to estimate relative excess risk (RER) of dying. RESULTS: In total, 40,888 patients were diagnosed with rectal cancer during the period 1989-2006. The proportion of patients with stages II and III disease receiving preoperative radiotherapy increased from 1% in the period 1989-1992 to 68% in the period 2004-2006 for younger patients (<75 years) and from 1% to 51% for older patients (>or=75 years), whereas the use of postoperative radiotherapy decreased. Administration of chemotherapy to patients with stage IV disease increased over time from 21% to 66% for patients younger than 75 years. Both males and females exhibited an increase in five-year relative survival from 53% to 60%. The highest increase in survival was found for patients with stage III disease. In the multivariate analyses survival improved over time for patients with stages II-IV disease. After adjustment for treatment variables, this improvement remained significant for patients with stages III and IV disease. CONCLUSIONS: The changes in therapy for rectal cancer have led to a markedly increased survival. Patients with stage III disease experienced the greatest improvement in survival.