Your browser doesn't support javascript.
loading
Mostrar: 20 | 50 | 100
Resultados 1 - 20 de 22
Filtrar
1.
Emerg Infect Dis ; 27(4): 1133-1140, 2021 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33754996

RESUMO

Campylobacteriosis is a disease of worldwide importance, but aspects of its transmission dynamics, particularly risk factors, are still poorly understood. We used data from a matched case-control study of 4,269 men who have sex with men (MSM) and 26,215 controls, combined with national surveillance data on Campylobacter spp., Salmonella spp., and Shigella spp., to calculate matched odds ratios (mORs) for infection among MSM and controls. MSM had higher odds of Campylobacter (mOR 14, 95% CI 10-21) and Shigella (mOR 74, 95% CI 27-203) infections, but not Salmonella (mOR 0.2, 95% CI 0-13), and were less likely than controls to have acquired Campylobacter infection abroad (χ2 = 21; p<0.001). Our results confirm that sexual contact is a risk factor for campylobacteriosis and also suggest explanations for unique features of Campylobacter epidemiology. These findings provide a baseline for updating infection risk guidelines to the general population.


Assuntos
Infecções por Campylobacter , Campylobacter , Minorias Sexuais e de Gênero , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Dinamarca , Homossexualidade Masculina , Humanos , Masculino , Fatores de Risco
2.
Microorganisms ; 12(3)2024 Mar 13.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38543624

RESUMO

The COVID-19 pandemic halted progress in global vaccine coverage and disrupted routine childhood vaccination practices worldwide. While there is ample evidence of the vaccination decline experienced during the pandemic, it is less clear how low-income countries were affected. We executed a systematic review to synthesize the current literature on the impacts of routine childhood vaccinations in low-income countries from 1 January 2020 to 8 February 2023. We collected data using an extraction form on Covidence and assessed the quality of studies included in the review using the Risk of Bias in Non-Randomized Studies of Interventions (ROBINS-I) tool. Effect estimates for changes in vaccination during the pandemic were reported and summarized. Factors that influenced changes were grouped into descriptive themes. Thirteen studies, encompassing 18 low-income countries and evaluating 15 vaccines at varying doses, were included in the final review. We found that routine childhood vaccinations during the COVID-19 pandemic varied considerably by vaccine type, location, and phase of the pandemic. Nine different themes were identified as factors that influenced changes in vaccination. Documenting past experiences and lessons learned is crucial for informing preparedness efforts in anticipation of future public health emergencies. Failure to effectively address these things in the next public health emergency could result in a recurrence of declining routine childhood vaccinations.

3.
Microorganisms ; 12(6)2024 May 30.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38930491

RESUMO

Infections with Shiga toxin-producing Escherichia coli (STEC) are increasing in Denmark and elsewhere. STEC is also the most frequent cause of haemolytic uraemic syndrome (HUS) in Danish children. Most cases are considered sporadic, while approximately one-third can be attributed to a known source of infection. Hence, we examined sources of sporadic STEC infection in Denmark. From January 2018 to December 2020, we conducted a prospective nationwide case-control study among Danish adults and children. Cases with confirmed positive STEC infection were notified infections within the national laboratory surveillance system. Control persons were randomly selected from the Danish Civil Registration System, individually matched in age in 5-year bands and sex. Participants were invited by an electronic letter to complete either an adult or child questionnaire online. Univariate and adjusted matched odds ratios were computed for adults and children using conditional logistic regression. The study recruited 1583 STEC cases and 6228 controls. A total of 658 cases (42%) and 2155 controls (35%) were included in the analysis. Depending on age, univariate analysis adjusted for socio-demographic determinants showed that the consumption of boiled beef (mOR = 2.2, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.6-3.1) and fried minced beef (mOR = 1.6, CI: 1.2-2.1), drinking raw (unpasteurized) milk (mOR = 11, CI 1.1-110), eating grilled food (mOR = 9.8, CI: 5.6-17) and having a household member using diapers (mOR = 2.1, CI: 1.4-3.2) were determinants of sporadic STEC infection. Further multivariate adjusted analysis resulted in the same determinants. This study confirms that beef is an overall important risk factor for STEC infection in Denmark. We also present evidence that a proportion of sporadic STEC infections in Denmark are determined by age-specific eating habits, environmental exposures and household structure, rather than being exclusively food-related. These findings are relevant for targeted public health actions and guidelines.

4.
Microorganisms ; 12(1)2023 Dec 27.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38257877

RESUMO

In the United States (US), tick-borne diseases (TBDs) have more than doubled in the past fifteen years and are a major contributor to the overall burden of vector-borne diseases. The most common TBDs in the US-Lyme disease, rickettsioses (including Rocky Mountain spotted fever), and anaplasmosis-have gradually shifted in recent years, resulting in increased morbidity and mortality. In this systematic review, we examined climate change and other environmental factors that have influenced the epidemiology of these TBDs in the US while highlighting the opportunities for a One Health approach to mitigating their impact. We searched Medline Plus, PUBMED, and Google Scholar for studies focused on these three TBDs in the US from January 2018 to August 2023. Data selection and extraction were completed using Covidence, and the risk of bias was assessed with the ROBINS-I tool. The review included 84 papers covering multiple states across the US. We found that climate, seasonality and temporality, and land use are important environmental factors that impact the epidemiology and patterns of TBDs. The emerging trends, influenced by environmental factors, emphasize the need for region-specific research to aid in the prediction and prevention of TBDs.

5.
J Emerg Manag ; 21(7): 307-313, 2023.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37154462

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Fear of COVID-19 may differ for individuals with compromised health and those with unhealthy behaviors, placing them at greater risk. Based on previous analysis of academic medical center faculty and staff, the authors predicted that workers who were smokers/previous smokers would express the greater fear of COVID-19 relative to nonsmokers. METHODS: The present study used the Fear of COVID-19 Scale to assess fear among nonsmokers (n = 1,489) and smokers/previous smokers (n = 272) from a larger population of academic medical center members (N = 1,761). This study assessed nonsmokers' and smokers/previous smokers' demographic and background variables on Fear of COVID-19 scores. RESULTS: In this academic community, smokers/previous smokers had higher fear of COVID-19 scores than did nonsmokers (p < 0.05). Smokers/previous smokers differed from nonsmokers on three Fear of COVID-19 scale items (most afraid of COVID-19, fear of losing life, and physiological fear of COVID-19). DISCUSSION/CONCLUSIONS: These results provide a better understanding of how fear of COVID-19 can differ based on one's smoking status. These findings inform public health smoking cessation efforts aimed at reducing morbidity and mortality, both in response and secondary to COVID-19 exposure.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Fumantes , Humanos , não Fumantes , Medo , Promoção da Saúde
6.
Microorganisms ; 11(9)2023 Aug 30.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37764037

RESUMO

During the COVID-19 pandemic, wastewater surveillance was widely used to monitor temporal and geographical infection trends. Using this as a foundation, a statewide program for routine wastewater monitoring of gastrointestinal pathogens was established in Oklahoma. The results from 18 months of surveillance showed that wastewater concentrations of Salmonella, Campylobacter, and norovirus exhibit similar seasonal patterns to those observed in reported human cases (F = 4-29, p < 0.05) and that wastewater can serve as an early warning tool for increases in cases, offering between one- and two-weeks lead time. Approximately one third of outbreak alerts in wastewater correlated in time with confirmed outbreaks of Salmonella or Campylobacter and our results further indicated that several outbreaks are likely to go undetected through the traditional surveillance approach currently in place. Better understanding of the true distribution and burden of gastrointestinal infections ultimately facilitates better disease prevention and control and reduces the overall socioeconomic and healthcare related impact of these pathogens. In this respect, wastewater represents a unique opportunity for monitoring infections in real-time, without the need for individual human testing. With increasing demands for sustainable and low-cost disease surveillance, the usefulness of wastewater as a long-term method for tracking infectious disease transmission is likely to become even more pronounced.

7.
Am J Disaster Med ; 17(4): 313-319, 2022.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37551896

RESUMO

INTRODUCTION: Fear of COVID-19 may differ for individuals with compromised health and those with unhealthy behaviors, placing them at greater risk. Based on previous analysis of academic medical center faculty and staff, the authors predicted that workers who were smokers/previous smokers would express the greater fear of COVID-19 relative to nonsmokers. METHODS: The present study used the Fear of COVID-19 Scale to assess fear among nonsmokers (n = 1,489) and smokers/previous smokers (n = 272) from a larger population of academic medical center members (N = 1,761). This study assessed nonsmokers' and smokers/previous smokers' demographic and background variables on Fear of COVID-19 scores. RESULTS: In this academic community, smokers/previous smokers had higher fear of COVID-19 scores than did nonsmokers (p < 0.05). Smokers/previous smokers differed from nonsmokers on three Fear of COVID-19 scale items (most afraid of COVID-19, fear of losing life, and physiological fear of COVID-19). DISCUSSION/CONCLUSIONS: These results provide a better understanding of how fear of COVID-19 can differ based on one's smoking status. These findings inform public health smoking cessation efforts aimed at reducing morbidity and mortality, both in response and secondary to COVID-19 exposure.

8.
Am J Infect Control ; 50(7): 729-734, 2022 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35292299

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: To describe characteristics, hospitalization, and death for reported cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection in the Oklahoma City tri-county area. METHODS: We extracted notified cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection for our study area and used descriptive statistics and modeling to examine case characteristics and calculate the odds of hospitalization and death in relation to a range of explanatory variables. RESULTS: Between March 12th, 2020 and February 28th, 2021, 124,925 cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection were reported from the study region. Being male, White or Black/African American, aged 50 years or older, presenting with apnea, cough, and shortness of breath, and having diabetes was associated with increased odds of hospitalization. The odds of dying were significantly associated with being Black/African American, presenting with cough and fever, having kidney disease and diabetes and being aged 70 years or older. CONCLUSIONS: The first cohort analysis of SARS-CoV-2 positive individuals in the Oklahoma City tri-county area confirms comorbidities and age as important predictors of COVID-19 hospitalization or death. As a novel aspect, we show that early symptoms of breathing difficulties in particular are associated with hospitalization and death. Initial case assessment and SARS-CoV-2 guidelines should continue to focus on age, comorbidities, and early symptoms.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Comorbidade , Tosse , Dispneia , Feminino , Hospitalização , Humanos , Masculino , Oklahoma/epidemiologia , SARS-CoV-2
9.
Sci Total Environ ; 812: 151431, 2022 Mar 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34748841

RESUMO

SARS-CoV-2 was discovered among humans in late 2019 and rapidly spread across the world. Although the virus is transmitted by respiratory droplets, most infected persons also excrete viral particles in their feces. This fact prompted a range of studies assessing the usefulness of wastewater surveillance to determine levels of infection and transmission and produce early warnings of outbreaks in local communities, independently of human testing. In this study, we collected samples of wastewater from 13 locations across Oklahoma City, representing different population types, twice per week from November 2020 to end of March 2021. Wastewater samples were collected and analyzed for the presence and concentration of SARS-CoV-2 RNA using RT-qPCR. The concentration of SARS-CoV-2 in the wastewater showed notable peaks, preceding the number of reported COVID-19 cases by an average of one week (ranging between 4 and 10 days). The early warning lead-time for an outbreak or increase in cases was significantly higher in areas with larger Hispanic populations and lower in areas with a higher household income or higher proportion of persons aged 65 years or older. Using this relationship, we predicted the number of cases with an accuracy of 81-92% compared to reported cases. These results confirm the validity and timeliness of using wastewater surveillance for monitoring local disease transmission and highlight the importance of differences in population structures when interpreting surveillance outputs and planning preventive action.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Humanos , Oklahoma/epidemiologia , Grupos Populacionais , RNA Viral , SARS-CoV-2 , Águas Residuárias , Vigilância Epidemiológica Baseada em Águas Residuárias
10.
Methods Mol Biol ; 2182: 17-32, 2021.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32894483

RESUMO

An outbreak is defined as the occurrence of disease cases in excess of normal expectancy within a particular area and a given time. Foodborne outbreaks caused by gastrointestinal bacteria such as Salmonella Typhimurium are among the most commonly reported and most extensively investigated. The classic outbreak investigation follows a series of well-defined steps which lead to a faster confirmation of the source and hopefully preventing of further cases. These steps are ideally undertaken using a One Health cross-sectorial collaboration approach involving partners from public health, food safety, and the veterinary and environmental sectors. In order to firmly identify the source of the outbreak, descriptive epidemiology is often combined with more robust evidence from analytical epidemiology such as a case-control study. A case-control study assesses whether a specific exposure is associated with illness, firstly by identifying cases (persons known to have been ill) and controls (persons who have not been ill, used as a reference group), and then retrospectively through interviews determining specific exposures for all persons. This information ultimately leads to the calculation of an odds ratio (see Note 3) which indicates the strength of the association between specific exposures and the outcome (illness or no illness). A well-conducted case-control study may substantiate or form core evidence as to the vehicle of a foodborne outbreak and is often a very important investigation tool, particularly in situations where microbiological proof cannot be obtained.


Assuntos
Infecções por Salmonella/epidemiologia , Infecções por Salmonella/microbiologia , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Estudos Transversais , Surtos de Doenças , Doenças Transmitidas por Alimentos/epidemiologia , Doenças Transmitidas por Alimentos/microbiologia , Humanos , Saúde Única , Saúde Pública/métodos , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco , Salmonella typhimurium/patogenicidade
11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34567579

RESUMO

SARS-CoV-2 RNA detection in wastewater is being rapidly developed and adopted as a public health monitoring tool worldwide. With wastewater surveillance programs being implemented across many different scales and by many different stakeholders, it is critical that data collected and shared are accompanied by an appropriate minimal amount of metainformation to enable meaningful interpretation and use of this new information source and intercomparison across datasets. While some databases are being developed for specific surveillance programs locally, regionally, nationally, and internationally, common globally-adopted data standards have not yet been established within the research community. Establishing such standards will require national and international consensus on what metainformation should accompany SARS-CoV-2 wastewater measurements. To establish a recommendation on minimum information to accompany reporting of SARS-CoV-2 occurrence in wastewater for the research community, the United States National Science Foundation (NSF) Research Coordination Network on Wastewater Surveillance for SARS-CoV-2 hosted a workshop in February 2021 with participants from academia, government agencies, private companies, wastewater utilities, public health laboratories, and research institutes. This report presents the primary two outcomes of the workshop: (i) a recommendation on the set of minimum meta-information that is needed to confidently interpret wastewater SARS-CoV-2 data, and (ii) insights from workshop discussions on how to improve standardization of data reporting.

12.
Support Care Cancer ; 18(5): 553-60, 2010 May.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-19579037

RESUMO

PURPOSE: In this study, we identified the social and psychological characteristics of Danish cancer patients that determine use of the internet for support. MATERIALS AND METHODS: We invited 230 cancer patients taking part in a public rehabilitation program to participate in an internet module comprising training in the retrieval of cancer-related information from the internet and self-support groups. Persons who were motivated to join the internet groups (N = 100; 47%) were compared with persons who chose not to participate (N = 111) on the basis of self-reported baseline questionnaire data. Nineteen persons either did not return the questionnaire or had missing values in confounding variables. RESULTS: Cancer patients who were motivated to participate in internet support groups belong to higher socioeconomic groups (based on household income and employment) compared to non-participants. We observed no difference between the two groups in quality of life or psychological well-being, while coping to some extent seemed related to participation in internet support groups. CONCLUSION: This study adds to the discussion on social inequality in internet use by cancer patients, showing that patients who are not inclined to use internet-based interventions are characterized by social position and employ more passive coping strategies.


Assuntos
Internet , Motivação , Neoplasias/psicologia , Grupos de Autoajuda/estatística & dados numéricos , Adulto , Idoso , Dinamarca , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Neoplasias/reabilitação , Classe Social , Inquéritos e Questionários
13.
Children (Basel) ; 7(5)2020 May 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32403236

RESUMO

Objective: Pathogenic airway bacteria colonizing the neonatal airway increase the risk of childhood asthma, but little is known about the determinants of the establishment and dynamics of the airway microbiota in early life. We studied associations between perinatal risk factors and bacterial richness of the commensal milieu in the neonatal respiratory tract. Methods: Three hundred and twenty-eight children from the Copenhagen Prospective Studies on Asthma in the Childhood2000 (COPSAC2000) at-risk birth cohort were included in this study. The bacterial richness in each of the nasopharynxes of the 1-month old, asymptomatic neonates was analyzed by use of a culture-independent technique (T-RFLP). Information on perinatal risk factors included predisposition to asthma, allergy and eczema; social status of family; maternal exposures during pregnancy; mode of delivery; and postnatal exposures. The risk factor analysis was done by conventional statistics and partial least square discriminant analysis (PLSDA). Results: The nasopharyngeal bacterial community at 1-month displayed an average of 35 (IQR: 14-55, range 1-161) phylogenetically different bacteria groups. Season of birth was associated with nasopharyngeal bacterial richness at 1-month of age with a higher bacterial richness (p = 0.003) and more abundant specific bacterial profiles representing Gram-negative alpha-proteobacteria and Gram-positive Bacilli in the nasopharynx of summer-born children. Conclusion: Early postnatal bacterial colonization of the upper airways is significantly affected by birth season, emphasizing a future focus on the seasonality aspect in modelling the impact of early dynamic changes in airway bacterial communities in relation to later disease development.

14.
Sci Rep ; 10(1): 13874, 2020 08 17.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32807810

RESUMO

Global climate change is predicted to alter precipitation and temperature patterns across the world, affecting a range of infectious diseases and particularly foodborne infections such as Campylobacter. In this study, we used national surveillance data to analyse the relationship between climate and campylobacteriosis in Denmark, Finland, Norway and Sweden and estimate the impact of climate changes on future disease patterns. We show that Campylobacter incidences are linked to increases in temperature and especially precipitation in the week before illness, suggesting a non-food transmission route. These four countries may experience a doubling of Campylobacter cases by the end of the 2080s, corresponding to around 6,000 excess cases per year caused only by climate changes. Considering the strong worldwide burden of campylobacteriosis, it is important to assess local and regional impacts of climate change in order to initiate timely public health management and adaptation strategies.


Assuntos
Infecções por Campylobacter/epidemiologia , Infecções por Campylobacter/etiologia , Mudança Climática , Doenças Transmitidas por Alimentos/epidemiologia , Infecções por Campylobacter/prevenção & controle , Análise de Dados , Monitoramento Epidemiológico , Europa (Continente)/epidemiologia , Feminino , Doenças Transmitidas por Alimentos/etiologia , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Temperatura , Estados Unidos , United States Public Health Service
15.
Clin Epidemiol ; 10: 1695-1707, 2018.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30538574

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Each year more than 4,000 cases of campylobacteriosis are reported in Denmark, making it the most common bacterial gastrointestinal infection. Here we describe a case-control study to identify sources of infection with a focus on environmental factors. METHODS: From January to December 2016, we conducted a prospective case-control study among Danish persons aged 1-30 years. Participants were invited by letter to complete an online questionnaire. Crude and adjusted ORs were calculated and final parsimonious multivariate models developed using logistic regression. RESULTS: The study recruited 1366 cases and 4,418 controls, of whom 65% and 66%, respectively, completed the questionnaire. A multivariate model for domestically acquired cases showed, among others, increased risk of infection with bathing in fresh water (OR=5.1), contact to beach sand (OR=1.8), owning a pet dog with diarrhea (OR=4.6), and eating minced beef (OR=2.6) or chicken (OR=2.5). The model for children highlighted similar risk factors but also included bathing in a paddling pool (OR=13.6) and eating fresh strawberries (OR=5.3). A separate analysis for persons reporting foreign travel showed increased infection risk when traveling to Asia, Africa, or Turkey and that eating from street kitchens and having contact to water during traveling were also risk factors. CONCLUSION: Environmental factors and animal contact account for a sizeable proportion of domestic Campylobacter infections in the age group studied. The study also re-confirmed handling/consumption of chicken as an important risk factor while highlighting minced beef as a potential new risk factor. Overall, these results contribute to a better understanding of the transmission dynamics of Campylobacter and will be used to improve national guidelines for prevention of infection.

16.
Infect Dis (Lond) ; 48(11-12): 808-12, 2016.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27385460

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Tetracyclines are used as acne treatment in adolescents worldwide. A large increase in the consumption of antimicrobial agents in Danish primary health care was recently linked to high levels of tetracycline use in adolescents. METHODS: Here we closely examine how demographic factors influenced tetracycline use from 2005 to 2014 using consumption data from primary health care expressed as defined daily doses (DDDs) per 1000 inhabitants per day (DID) and number of persons treated per 1000 inhabitants. RESULTS: From 2005 to 2013, tetracycline consumption increased by 54% followed by a decrease of 14% in 2014. Increases were especially pronounced in persons aged 15-39 years where nearly 9000 additional persons were treated with tetracyclines. CONCLUSIONS: This study shows a long-lasting high consumption of tetracyclines in young Danes with a notable recent decrease breaking the otherwise worrying trend. To obtain a further decrease, focus on public awareness and suitable acne treatment guidelines are highly important.


Assuntos
Acne Vulgar/tratamento farmacológico , Antibacterianos/uso terapêutico , Uso de Medicamentos , Tetraciclinas/uso terapêutico , Adolescente , Adulto , Dinamarca , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Adulto Jovem
17.
Eur J Cancer ; 41(2): 216-24, 2005 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-15661545

RESUMO

The global increase in the number of newly diagnosed cancers has led in most affected countries to increased numbers of cancer survivors, who have specific needs for physical and psychosocial rehabilitation. In spite of recent progress, little is known about the specific rehabilitation measures that could increase the quality of life for cancer survivors. We reviewed published interventions that focussed on changing known risk factors for cancer recurrence and improving physical well-being; those we selected were exercise, smoking, alcohol consumption, diet and the use of sun screens. The published trials varied in the quality of the methods used, often had inadequate sample sizes and showed difficulty in validating outcomes. We conclude that there is still insufficient evidence to assess the importance of these behavioural risk factors in the rehabilitation of cancer patients. Future interventions should be designed to assess the separate effects of dietary changes, exercise and psychosocial interventions.


Assuntos
Comportamentos Relacionados com a Saúde , Neoplasias/reabilitação , Consumo de Bebidas Alcoólicas , Dieta , Exercício Físico/fisiologia , Humanos , Abandono do Hábito de Fumar , Protetores Solares/uso terapêutico , Sobreviventes
18.
J Med Entomol ; 39(4): 621-30, 2002 Jul.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-12144293

RESUMO

Although malaria was officially declared eradicated from Europe in 1975, its former vectors, mainly members of the Anopheles maculipennis (Meigen) complex, are still distributed throughout the continent. The present situation of Anophelism without malaria indicates that current socio-economic and environmental conditions maintain the basic case reproduction number, Ro, below 1. Recently, it has been speculated that predicted climate changes may increase anopheline abundance and biting rates (as well as reduce the Plasmodium parasite extrinsic incubation period), allowing the reemergence of malaria transmission in Europe. As a preliminary step toward predicting future scenarios, we have constructed models to test whether the current distribution of the five former European malaria vectors [An. atroparvus (Van Thiel),An. labranchiae (Falleroni), An. messeae (Swellengrebel & De Buck), An. sacharovi (Favr) and An. superpictus (Grassi)] can be explained by environmental parameters, including climate. Multivariate logistic regression models using climate surfaces derived from interpolation of meteorological station data (resolution 0.5 x 0.5 degrees) and remotely sensed land cover (resolution 1 x 1 km) were fitted to 1,833 reported observations of the presence and absence of each species across Europe. These relatively crude statistical models predicted presence and absence with a sensitivity of 74-85.7% and specificity of 73.4-98.1% (with climate a significantly better predictor than land cover type). A geographically independent validation of the models gave a sensitivity of 72.9-88.5% and a specificity of 72.7-99.6%. This allowed us to generate risk maps for each species across Europe. Assuming that high risk equates with the potential for high abundance, these models should permit the development of risk maps for European mosquitoes under future climate scenarios. These techniques would be equally useful for estimating the risk of reemergence in other nonendemic areas such as the United States and Australia, as well as changes to risk within endemic areas.


Assuntos
Anopheles , Insetos Vetores , Animais , Europa (Continente) , Malária , Temperatura
19.
PLoS One ; 8(11): e78371, 2013.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-24244306

RESUMO

Recent years have seen an increase in the frequency of extreme rainfall and subsequent flooding across the world. Climate change models predict that such flooding will become more common, triggering sewer overflows, potentially with increased risks to human health. In August 2010, a triathlon sports competition was held in Copenhagen, Denmark, shortly after an extreme rainfall. The authors took advantage of this event to investigate disease risks in two comparable cohorts of physically fit, long distance swimmers competing in the sea next to a large urban area. An established model of bacterial concentration in the water was used to examine the level of pollution in a spatio-temporal manner. Symptoms and exposures among athletes were examined with a questionnaire using a retrospective cohort design and the questionnaire investigation was repeated after a triathlon competition held in non-polluted seawater in 2011. Diagnostic information was collected from microbiological laboratories. The results showed that the 3.8 kilometer open water swimming competition coincided with the peak of post-flooding bacterial contamination in 2010, with average concentrations of 1.5x10(4) E. coli per 100 ml water. The attack rate of disease among 838 swimmers in 2010 was 42% compared to 8% among 931 swimmers in the 2011 competition (relative risk (RR) 5.0; 95% CI: 4.0-6.39). In 2010, illness was associated with having unintentionally swallowed contaminated water (RR 2.5; 95% CI: 1.8-3.4); and the risk increased with the number of mouthfuls of water swallowed. Confirmed aetiologies of infection included Campylobacter, Giardia lamblia and diarrhoeagenic E. coli. The study demonstrated a considerable risk of illness from water intake when swimming in contaminated seawater in 2010, and a small but measureable risk from non-polluted water in 2011. This suggests a significant risk of disease in people ingesting small amounts of flood water following extreme rainfall in urban areas.


Assuntos
Atletas , Gastroenteropatias/epidemiologia , Gastroenteropatias/microbiologia , Chuva , Natação , Microbiologia da Água , Poluição da Água/efeitos adversos , Adulto , Dinamarca/epidemiologia , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Estudos Retrospectivos , Fatores de Risco
20.
Diagn Microbiol Infect Dis ; 74(2): 113-8, 2012 Oct.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-22795964

RESUMO

Campylobacteriosis is the most common cause of bacterial foodborne illness in the European Union and the United States. Infection with Campylobacter spp. is frequently associated with different sequelae including neuropathies and reactive arthritis. Diagnosis is mainly by bacterial culturing which is time consuming, expensive, and not well suited for diagnosing sequelae or identifying infections from stool samples with nonviable bacteria. Serologic assays, in particular ELISAs, are well suited for this purpose, but, at present, there is no international consensus on antibody assays for human campylobacteriosis. In an extensive literature review, 19 studies validating such assays were identified of which 13 were more than 10 years old. We conclude that the best validated of these assays are developed and used in-house for research purposes rather than for routine diagnostics. Considering the burden of disease and potential long-term severity of Campylobacter infections, developing a standardized, commercially available antibody assay could be of great benefit for diagnostic and surveillance purposes worldwide.


Assuntos
Anticorpos Antibacterianos/sangue , Técnicas Bacteriológicas/métodos , Infecções por Campylobacter/diagnóstico , Infecções por Campylobacter/imunologia , Campylobacter/imunologia , Ensaio de Imunoadsorção Enzimática/métodos , Humanos
SELEÇÃO DE REFERÊNCIAS
DETALHE DA PESQUISA