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BACKGROUND AND AIMS: High-risk human papillomavirus (HR-HPV) infection-a well-established risk factor for cervical cancer-has associations with cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, its relationship with CVD mortality remains uncertain. This study examined the associations between HR-HPV infection and CVD mortality. METHODS: As part of a health examination, 163 250 CVD-free Korean women (mean age: 40.2 years) underwent HR-HPV screening and were tracked for up to 17 years (median: 8.6 years). National death records identified the CVD mortality cases. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for CVD mortality were estimated using Cox proportional hazard regression analyses. RESULTS: During 1 380 953 person-years of follow-up, 134 CVD deaths occurred, with a mortality rate of 9.1 per 105 person-years for HR-HPV(-) women and 14.9 per 105 person-years for HR-HPV(+) women. After adjustment for traditional CVD risk factors and confounders, the HRs (95% CI) for atherosclerotic CVD (ASCVD), ischaemic heart disease (IHD), and stroke mortality in women with HR-HPV infection compared with those without infection were 3.91 (1.85-8.26), 3.74 (1.53-9.14), and 5.86 (0.86-40.11), respectively. The association between HR-HPV infection and ASCVD mortality was stronger in women with obesity than in those without (P for interaction = .006), with corresponding HRs (95% CI) of 4.81 (1.55-14.93) for obese women and 2.86 (1.04-7.88) for non-obese women. CONCLUSIONS: In this cohort study of young and middle-aged Korean women, at low risks for CVD mortality, those with HR-HPV infection had higher death rates from CVD, specifically ASCVD and IHD, with a more pronounced trend in obese individuals.
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Aterosclerose , Doenças Cardiovasculares , Doença da Artéria Coronariana , Isquemia Miocárdica , Infecções por Papillomavirus , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Humanos , Feminino , Adulto , Estudos de Coortes , Infecções por Papillomavirus/complicações , Infecções por Papillomavirus/diagnóstico , Fatores de Risco , Obesidade/complicaçõesRESUMO
AIM: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a major cause of cancer-related death, with low survival rates worldwide. Fatty liver disease (FLD) significantly contributes to HCC. We studied the screening performance of different methods for identifying HCC in patients with FLD or with metabolic risk factors for FLD. METHODS: Korean adults (n = 340 825) without a prior HCC diagnosis were categorized into four groups: normal (G1), ≥2 metabolic risk factors (G2), FLD (G3), and viral liver disease or liver cirrhosis (G4). The National Cancer Registry data were used to identify HCC cases within 12 months. We assessed the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values of individual or combined screening methods. RESULTS: In 93 HCC cases, 71 were identified in G4, whereas 20 cases (21.5%) in G2 and G3 combined where ultrasound and Fibrosis-4 performed similarly to alpha-fetoprotein and ultrasound. In G2, Fibrosis-4 and ultrasound had the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (0.93 [0.87-0.99]), whereas in G3, the combined screening methods had the highest area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (0.98 [0.95-1.00]). The positive predictive value was lower in G2 and G3 than in G4, but was >5% when restricted to a high Fibrosis-4 score. CONCLUSIONS: More than 21% of HCC cases were observed in patients with diagnosed FLD or at risk of FLD with metabolic risk factors. Nevertheless, screening for HCC in individuals without cirrhosis or viral hepatitis yielded very low results, despite the potential value of the Fibrosis-4 score in identifying individuals at high risk of HCC.
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Glycated albumin (GA) reflects glycemic status for the past three weeks. GA level demonstrates a strong correlation with HbA1c level and is used as an adjunctive biomarker for diagnosis and monitoring of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). In this study, we validated the predictive performance of baseline GA for development of T2DM in healthy individuals in Korea. From August 2013 to September 2014, the medical records of 3,771 healthy Koreans were retrospectively reviewed. Each participant was categorized into tertiles based on initial GA level. During the follow-up period through May 2020, study participants were evaluated for T2DM using HbA1c, fasting glucose level, and a self-reported diagnosis history. Baseline GA level by tertile (T1 to T3) was 10.4 ± 0.8% (mean ± SD), 12.1 ± 0.3%, and 13.7 ± 0.9%, respectively. The median follow-up was 5.97 years, during which 4.9% (186 of 3,771) of the participants developed T2DM. After adjusting for confounding factors, the hazard ratio for the development of T2DM in the highest GA level group (T3) compared to the reference group (T1) was 2.46 (95% CI, 1.7 to 3.58, p < 0.001 for trend) with a Harrell's C index of 0.80 (95% CI, 0.76 to 0.83). Also, within highest group of baseline HbA1c and FG levels, higher GA levels were associated with an increased HRs for T2DM. In conclusion, Our study confirms that the risk of T2DM increases with baseline GA level. Additional follow-up of the cohort is warranted to investigate the correlations between GA and other clinical indicators including diabetic complications.
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Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2 , Hemoglobinas Glicadas , Albumina Sérica Glicada , Produtos Finais de Glicação Avançada , Albumina Sérica , Humanos , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/sangue , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/diagnóstico , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiologia , Produtos Finais de Glicação Avançada/sangue , República da Coreia/epidemiologia , Masculino , Feminino , Estudos Retrospectivos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Albumina Sérica/análise , Albumina Sérica/metabolismo , Adulto , Estudos Longitudinais , Hemoglobinas Glicadas/análise , Hemoglobinas Glicadas/metabolismo , Fatores de Risco , Glicemia/metabolismo , Glicemia/análise , Biomarcadores/sangue , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , IdosoRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has spread globally, leading to the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. Because a significant proportion of the COVID-19 confirmed cases were concentrated in the capital metropolitan area of South Korea, and a large proportion of the population in the area had been adequately vaccinated against COVID-19, we conducted a seroprevalence surveillance study focusing on the residents of the capital metropolitan area in South Korea. METHODS: We used a quota-sampling method to obtain blood samples from 1,000 individuals per round, equally stratified across seven age categories and sexes and regions, from five medical institutions located within the capital metropolitan area of South Korea. During five consecutive months (rounds) between January 2022 and May 2022, a total of 5,000 samples were analyzed for anti-spike (S) and anti-nucleocapsid (N) antibodies. RESULTS: High anti-S seropositivity was observed in all age groups, which corresponded to the vaccine coverage during the study period. Both the cumulative incidence based on polymerase chain reaction (PCR) and the estimated seroprevalence based on anti-N seropositivity increased in the fourth and fifth rounds, which corresponded to April 2022 and May 2022. Seroprevalence coincided with the cumulative incidence during the first three rounds, but exceeded from the fourth survey onwards when infection with omicron variants was increased rapidly in Korea. CONCLUSION: Seroprevalence confirmed the number of infection cases outside of PCR testing-based surveillance. Seroepidemiological surveillance can help us understand vaccine responses and detect hidden infections, thereby providing appropriate public health guidance for achieving population-level immunity.
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COVID-19 , Vacinas , Humanos , COVID-19/epidemiologia , SARS-CoV-2 , Estudos Soroepidemiológicos , Anticorpos Antivirais , República da Coreia/epidemiologiaRESUMO
BACKGROUND: Lung dysfunction and high apolipoprotein B/apolipoprotein A-I (apoB/apoA-I) ratio are both recognized risk factors for cardiovascular disease. However, few studies have examined the association between the apoB/ApoA-I ratio and lung function. Therefore, we investigated whether this ratio is associated with decreased lung function in a large healthy cohort. METHODS: We performed a cohort study on 68,418 healthy Koreans (34,797 males, mean age: 38.1 years) who underwent a health examination in 2019. ApoB/apoA-I ratio was categorized into quartiles. Spirometric values at the fifth percentile in our population were considered the lower limit of normal (LLN), which was used to define lung function impairment. Adjusted odds ratios (aORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs), using the lowest quartile as the reference, were estimated to determine lung function impairment. RESULTS: Mean apoB/apoA-I ratio was 0.67 ± 0.21. Subjects with the highest quartile of this ratio had the lowest predicted forced expiratory volume in one second (FEV1%) and forced vital capacity (FVC%) after controlling for covariates (P < 0.001). However, FEV1/FVC ratio was not significantly different among the four quartiles (P = 0.059). Compared with the lowest quartile (Q1, reference), the aORs (95% CI) for FEV1% < LLN across increasing quartiles (from Q2 to Q4) were 1.216 (1.094-1.351), 1.293 (1.156-1.448), and 1.481 (1.311-1.672) (P for trend < 0.001), respectively. Similarly, the aORs for FVC% < LLN compared with the reference were 1.212 (1.090-1.348), 1.283 (1.147-1.436), and 1.502 (1.331-1.695) with increasing quartiles (P for trend < 0.001). However, the aORs for FEV1/FVC < LLN were not significantly different among groups (P for trend = 0.273). CONCLUSION: High apoB/apoA-I ratio was associated with decreased lung function. However, longitudinal follow-up studies are required to validate our findings.
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Apolipoproteína A-I , Pneumopatias , Adulto , Humanos , Masculino , Apolipoproteínas B , Estudos de Coortes , Volume Expiratório Forçado , Pulmão/patologia , Espirometria , Capacidade Vital , Pneumopatias/sangue , Pneumopatias/diagnósticoRESUMO
RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Microscopic hematuria is an uncertain risk factor for chronic kidney disease (CKD). We investigated the association between persistent or single episodes of microscopic hematuria and the development of incident CKD, overall and separately among men and women. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: A total of 232,220 Korean adults without CKD at baseline who underwent repeated regular health examinations at Kangbuk Samsung Health Study formed the study cohort. EXPOSURE: Microscopic hematuria was defined by≥5 red blood cells per high-power field. Participants were categorized into 1 of 4 groups according to the presence of hematuria at 2 consecutive examinations: (1) no hematuria at both examinations (reference group); (2) hematuria followed by no hematuria (regressed hematuria group); (3) no hematuria followed by hematuria (developed hematuria group); and (4) hematuria at both examinations (persistent hematuria group). OUTCOME: CKD was defined as an estimated glomerular filtration rate<60mL/min/1.73m2 or proteinuria (1+or more on dipstick examination). ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Semiparametric proportional hazards models were used to estimate hazard ratios. RESULTS: During a 4.8-year median follow-up period, 2,392 participants developed CKD. Multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios for incident CKD, comparing the regressed, developed, and persistent hematuria groups to the no-hematuria group were 1.85 (95% CI, 1.35-2.53), 3.18 (95% CI, 2.54-3.98), and 5.23 (95% CI, 4.15-6.59), respectively. The association between persistent hematuria and incident CKD was stronger in men than women (P for interaction<0.001), although a statistically significant association was observed in both sexes. LIMITATIONS: Lack of albuminuria and inability to consider specific glomerular diseases. CONCLUSIONS: Men and women with microscopic hematuria, especially persistent hematuria, may be at increased risk of CKD.
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Insuficiência Renal Crônica , Masculino , Adulto , Humanos , Feminino , Estudos de Coortes , Estudos Retrospectivos , Insuficiência Renal Crônica/epidemiologia , Taxa de Filtração Glomerular , Fatores de RiscoRESUMO
The growing prevalence of in vitro fertilization-embryo transfer procedures has resulted in an increased incidence of recurrent implantation failure (RIF), necessitating focused research in this area. STAT3, a key factor in maternal endometrial remodeling and stromal proliferation, is crucial for successful embryo implantation. While the relationship between STAT3 and RIF has been studied, the impact of single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in miRNAs, well-characterized gene expression modulators, on STAT3 in RIF cases remains uncharacterized. Here, we investigated 161 RIF patients and 268 healthy control subjects in the Korean population, analyzing the statistical association between miRNA genetic variants and RIF risk. We aimed to determine whether SNPs in specific miRNAs, namely miR-218-2 rs11134527 G>A, miR-34a rs2666433 G>A, miR-34a rs6577555 C>A, and miR-130a rs731384 G>A, were significantly associated with RIF risk. We identified a significant association between miR-34a rs6577555 C>A and RIF prevalence (implantation failure [IF] ≥ 2: adjusted odds ratio [AOR] = 2.264, 95% CI = 1.007-5.092, p = 0.048). These findings suggest that miR-34a rs6577555 C>A may contribute to an increased susceptibility to RIF. However, further investigations are necessary to elucidate the precise mechanisms underlying the role of miR-34a rs6577555 C>A in RIF. This study sheds light on the genetic and molecular factors underlying RIF, offering new avenues for research and potential advancements in the diagnosis and treatment of this complex condition.
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MicroRNAs , Humanos , Feminino , MicroRNAs/genética , MicroRNAs/metabolismo , Implantação do Embrião/genética , Polimorfismo de Nucleotídeo Único , Transdução de Sinais/genética , República da Coreia/epidemiologia , Endométrio/metabolismo , Fator de Transcrição STAT3/genética , Fator de Transcrição STAT3/metabolismoRESUMO
Preconditioning peripheral nerve injury enhances the intrinsic growth capacity of DRGs sensory axons by inducing transcriptional upregulation of the regeneration-associated genes (RAGs). However, it is still unclear how preconditioning injury leads to the orchestrated induction of many RAGs. The present study identified Myc proto-oncogene as a transcriptional hub gene to regulate the expression of a distinct subset of RAGs in DRGs following the preconditioning injury. We demonstrated that c-MYC bound to the promoters of certain RAGs, such as Jun, Atf3, and Sprr1a, and that Myc upregulation following SNI preceded that of the RAGs bound by c-MYC. Marked DNA methylation of the Myc exon 3 sequences was implicated in the early transcriptional activation and accompanied by open histone marks. Myc deletion led to a decrease in the injury-induced expression of a distinct subset of RAGs, which were highly overlapped with the list of RAGs that were upregulated by Myc overexpression. Following dorsal hemisection spinal cord injury in female rats, Myc overexpression in DRGs significantly prevented the retraction of the sensory axons in a manner dependent on its downstream RAG, June Our results suggest that Myc plays a critical role in axon regeneration via its transcriptional activity to regulate the expression of a spectrum of downstream RAGs and subsequent effector molecules. Identification of more upstream hub transcription factors and the epigenetic mechanisms specific for individual hub transcription factors would advance our understanding of how the preconditioning injury induces orchestrated upregulation of RAGs.
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Regulação da Expressão Gênica/genética , Regulação da Expressão Gênica/fisiologia , Regeneração Nervosa/genética , Regeneração Nervosa/fisiologia , Traumatismos dos Nervos Periféricos/genética , Traumatismos dos Nervos Periféricos/fisiopatologia , Proteínas Proto-Oncogênicas c-myc/genética , Proteínas Proto-Oncogênicas c-myc/fisiologia , Animais , Axônios/fisiologia , Metilação de DNA , Epigênese Genética/genética , Feminino , Gânglios Espinais/citologia , Gânglios Espinais/fisiologia , Neuritos , Células PC12 , Ratos , Ratos Sprague-Dawley , Células Receptoras Sensoriais/fisiologiaRESUMO
Peatlands at high latitudes have accumulated >400 Pg carbon (C) because saturated soil and cold temperatures suppress C decomposition. This substantial amount of C in Arctic and Boreal peatlands is potentially subject to increased decomposition if the water table (WT) decreases due to climate change, including permafrost thaw-related drying. Here, we optimize a version of the Organizing Carbon and Hydrology In Dynamic Ecosystems model (ORCHIDEE-PCH4) using site-specific observations to investigate changes in CO2 and CH4 fluxes as well as C stock responses to an experimentally manipulated decrease of WT at six northern peatlands. The unmanipulated control peatlands, with the WT <20 cm on average (seasonal max up to 45 cm) below the surface, currently act as C sinks in most years (58 ± 34 g C m-2 year-1 ; including 6 ± 7 g C-CH4 m-2 year-1 emission). We found, however, that lowering the WT by 10 cm reduced the CO2 sink by 13 ± 15 g C m-2 year-1 and decreased CH4 emission by 4 ± 4 g CH4 m-2 year-1 , thus accumulating less C over 100 years (0.2 ± 0.2 kg C m-2 ). Yet, the reduced emission of CH4 , which has a larger greenhouse warming potential, resulted in a net decrease in greenhouse gas balance by 310 ± 360 g CO2-eq m-2 year-1 . Peatlands with the initial WT close to the soil surface were more vulnerable to C loss: Non-permafrost peatlands lost >2 kg C m-2 over 100 years when WT is lowered by 50 cm, while permafrost peatlands temporally switched from C sinks to sources. These results highlight that reductions in C storage capacity in response to drying of northern peatlands are offset in part by reduced CH4 emissions, thus slightly reducing the positive carbon climate feedbacks of peatlands under a warmer and drier future climate scenario.
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Gases de Efeito Estufa , Água Subterrânea , Carbono , Dióxido de Carbono/análise , Sequestro de Carbono , Ecossistema , Gases de Efeito Estufa/análise , Metano/análise , SoloRESUMO
In Arctic soils, warming accelerates decomposition of organic matter and increases emission of greenhouse gases (GHGs), contributing to a positive feedback to climate change. Although microorganisms play a key role in the processes between decomposition of organic matter and GHGs emission, the effects of warming on temporal responses of microbial activity are still elusive. In this study, treatments of warming and precipitation were conducted from 2012 to 2018 in Cambridge Bay, Canada. Soils of organic and mineral layers were collected monthly from June to September in 2018 and analyzed for extracellular enzyme activities and bacterial community structures. The activity of hydrolases was the highest in June and decreased thereafter over summer in both organic and mineral layers. Bacterial community structures changed gradually over summer, and the responses were distinct depending on soil layers and environmental factors; water content and soil temperature affected the shift of bacterial community structures in both layers, whereas bacterial abundance, dissolved organic carbon, and inorganic nitrogen did so in the organic layer only. The activity of hydrolases and bacterial community structures did not differ significantly among treatments but among months. Our results demonstrate that temporal variations may control extracellular enzyme activities and microbial community structure rather than the small effect of warming over a long period in high Arctic soil. Although the effects of the treatments on microbial activity were minor, our study provides insight that microbial activity may increase due to an increase in carbon availability, if the growing season is prolonged in the Arctic.
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Gases de Efeito Estufa , Microbiota , Regiões Árticas , Hidrolases , Solo/química , Microbiologia do SoloRESUMO
BACKGROUND & AIMS: Although coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) is characterized by fever and respiratory symptoms, some patients have no or mild symptoms. Severe acute respiratory syndrome-coronavirus (SARS-CoV-2) has been detected in feces of patients. We investigated gastrointestinal symptoms and shedding of virus into feces of patients with asymptomatic or mild COVID-19. METHODS: We collected data from 46 patients (median age, 26 y; 46% men) with asymptomatic or mild COVID-19 (without fever and pneumonia) and prolonged respiratory shedding of SARS-CoV-2, quarantined from April 4, 2020, through April 24, 2020, in Korea. Respiratory specimens included upper respiratory specimens (nasopharyngeal and oropharyngeal swabs) and lower respiratory specimens (sputum), and were collected twice per week. The median interval between COVID-19 diagnosis to the start of fecal sample collection was 37 days (range, 29-41 d); 213 stool specimens were collected from 46 patients. We used real-time reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction to detect SARS-CoV-2 in the respiratory and fecal specimens. RESULTS: Gastrointestinal manifestations were observed in 16 of the 46 patients (35%); diarrhea was the most common (15%), followed by abdominal pain (11%), dyspepsia (11%), and nausea (2%). Virus RNA was detected in feces from 2 patients without gastrointestinal symptoms (4%). Mean cycle threshold values from the time of quarantine to the time of fecal collection tended to be lower in patients with virus detected in fecal samples than in patients without virus in fecal samples (29.91 vs 33.67 in the first week, 29.47 vs 35.71 in the fifth week, respectively). Shedding of virus into feces persisted until day 50 after diagnosis; fecal samples began to test negative before or at approximately the time that respiratory specimens also began to test negative. CONCLUSIONS: In an analysis of fecal and respiratory specimens from patients with COVID-19 in quarantine in Korea, we found that the gastrointestinal tract could be a route of transmission of SARS-CoV-2 even in patients with asymptomatic or mild disease, with no gastrointestinal symptoms. The viral load of the respiratory specimens appears be related to shedding of the virus into feces in this group of patients.
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COVID-19 , Fezes/virologia , SARS-CoV-2 , Adulto , Infecções Assintomáticas , COVID-19/diagnóstico , Teste para COVID-19 , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , RNA Viral , República da Coreia , SARS-CoV-2/isolamento & purificação , Eliminação de Partículas ViraisRESUMO
INTRODUCTION: Dietary carbohydrate restriction or ketogenic diets are known to be beneficial in preventing liver fat accumulation. However, the effect of ketonemia on the risk of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in nondiabetic population is largely unknown. We investigated the association between fasting ketonuria and the risk of incident NAFLD in healthy adults. METHODS: A cohort of 153,076 nondiabetic Koreans with no hepatic steatosis and low probability of fibrosis at baseline was followed for a median of 4.1 years. The outcome was incident hepatic steatosis with or without liver fibrosis, and it was assessed by liver ultrasound and noninvasive fibrosis indices, including fibrosis-4 and the NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS). Parametric proportional hazard models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for outcome according to ketonuria status. RESULTS: Within 677,702.1 person-years of follow-up, 31,079 subjects developed hepatic steatosis. Compared with no ketonuria (reference), fasting ketonuria was significantly associated with a decreased risk of incident hepatic steatosis, with multivariable-adjusted HRs (95% confidence interval) of 0.81 (0.78-0.84). The corresponding HRs for incident hepatic steatosis with intermediate-to-high NFS were 0.79 (0.69-0.90). Similar associations were observed replacing NFS with fibrosis-4. In addition, the presence of persistent ketonuria at both baseline and subsequent visit was associated with the greatest decrease in the adjusted HR for incident NAFLD. DISCUSSION: Ketonuria was associated with a reduced risk of developing incident hepatic steatosis with and without intermediate-to-high probability of advanced fibrosis in a large cohort of nondiabetic healthy individuals. The role of hyperketonemia in the prevention of NAFLD requires further exploration.
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Jejum , Cetose/complicações , Cirrose Hepática/complicações , Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica/complicações , Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica/epidemiologia , Adulto , Estudos de Coortes , Feminino , Humanos , Masculino , Medição de RiscoRESUMO
Permafrost thaw induces soil hydrological changes which in turn affects carbon cycle processes in the Arctic terrestrial ecosystems. However, hydrological impacts of thawing permafrost on microbial processes and greenhouse gas (GHG) dynamics are poorly understood. This study examined changes in microbial communities using gene and genome-centric metagenomics on an Arctic floodplain subject to decadal drainage, and linked them to CO2 and CH4 flux and soil chemistry. Decadal drainage led to significant changes in the abundance, taxonomy, and functional potential of microbial communities, and these modifications well explained the changes in CO2 and CH4 fluxes between ecosystem and atmosphere-increased fungal abundances potentially increased net CO2 emission rates and highly reduced CH4 emissions in drained sites corroborated the marked decrease in the abundance of methanogens and methanotrophs. Interestingly, various microbial taxa disproportionately responded to drainage: Methanoregula, one of the key players in methanogenesis under saturated conditions, almost disappeared, and also Methylococcales methanotrophs were markedly reduced in response to drainage. Seven novel methanogen population genomes were recovered, and the metabolic reconstruction of highly correlated population genomes revealed novel syntrophic relationships between methanogenic archaea and syntrophic partners. These results provide a mechanistic view of microbial processes regulating GHG dynamics in the terrestrial carbon cycle, and disproportionate microbial responses to long-term drainage provide key information for understanding the effects of warming-induced soil drying on microbial processes in Arctic wetland ecosystems.
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Microbiota , Pergelissolo , Ciclo do Carbono , Dióxido de Carbono/análise , Metano , SoloRESUMO
The regional variability in tundra and boreal carbon dioxide (CO2 ) fluxes can be high, complicating efforts to quantify sink-source patterns across the entire region. Statistical models are increasingly used to predict (i.e., upscale) CO2 fluxes across large spatial domains, but the reliability of different modeling techniques, each with different specifications and assumptions, has not been assessed in detail. Here, we compile eddy covariance and chamber measurements of annual and growing season CO2 fluxes of gross primary productivity (GPP), ecosystem respiration (ER), and net ecosystem exchange (NEE) during 1990-2015 from 148 terrestrial high-latitude (i.e., tundra and boreal) sites to analyze the spatial patterns and drivers of CO2 fluxes and test the accuracy and uncertainty of different statistical models. CO2 fluxes were upscaled at relatively high spatial resolution (1 km2 ) across the high-latitude region using five commonly used statistical models and their ensemble, that is, the median of all five models, using climatic, vegetation, and soil predictors. We found the performance of machine learning and ensemble predictions to outperform traditional regression methods. We also found the predictive performance of NEE-focused models to be low, relative to models predicting GPP and ER. Our data compilation and ensemble predictions showed that CO2 sink strength was larger in the boreal biome (observed and predicted average annual NEE -46 and -29 g C m-2 yr-1 , respectively) compared to tundra (average annual NEE +10 and -2 g C m-2 yr-1 ). This pattern was associated with large spatial variability, reflecting local heterogeneity in soil organic carbon stocks, climate, and vegetation productivity. The terrestrial ecosystem CO2 budget, estimated using the annual NEE ensemble prediction, suggests the high-latitude region was on average an annual CO2 sink during 1990-2015, although uncertainty remains high.
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Dióxido de Carbono , Ecossistema , Carbono , Dióxido de Carbono/análise , Reprodutibilidade dos Testes , Estações do Ano , Solo , Tundra , IncertezaRESUMO
RATIONALE: Until now, no cohort studies have evaluated the relationship between high-risk human papillomavirus (HPV) infection and new-onset cardiovascular diseases (CVD). OBJECTIVE: We investigated an association between high-risk HPV infection and the development of CVD. METHODS AND RESULTS: We conducted a cohort study of 63 411 women aged 30 or older without CVD at baseline who underwent a high-risk HPV test and were followed annually or biennially from 2011 to 2016. CVD was ascertained through the linkage to the Health Insurance and Review Agency database. A Cox-proportional hazards regression model was used to estimate adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% CIs of incident CVD. The prevalence of high-risk HPV infection was 7.6%. During 261 598.9 person-years of follow-up, 1122 cases of new-onset CVD were identified (incidence rate of 4.3 per 103 person-years). High-risk HPV infection was significantly associated with incident CVD. After adjustment for possible confounders, and high sensitivity C-reactive protein, a significant association between high-risk HPV infection and incident CVD was still observed, with a corresponding HR (95% CI) of 1.25 (1.03-1.52). This association was stronger among individuals with obesity and those with metabolic syndrome. Multivariable-adjusted HR (95% CI) for incident CVD comparing high-risk HPV-positive- to high-risk HPV-negative participants was 1.10 (0.87-1.39) in the nonobese, whereas corresponding HR (95% CI) was 1.73 (1.19-2.51) in those with obesity ( P for interaction by obesity=0.02). Similarly, multivariable-adjusted HR (95% CI) for incident CVD comparing high-risk HPV-positive- to high-risk HPV-negative participants was 1.09 (0.87-1.36) in those without metabolic syndrome and 1.99 (1.28-3.08) in those with MetS ( P for interaction=0.05). CONCLUSION: In this large cohort, high-risk HPV infection was significantly associated with an increased risk of developing CVD, especially in obese individuals and those with MetS, indicating that high-risk HPV might affect CVD risk with possible effect modification by obesity and MetS.
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Doenças Cardiovasculares/epidemiologia , Infecções por Papillomavirus/epidemiologia , Adulto , Doenças Cardiovasculares/diagnóstico , Doenças Cardiovasculares/virologia , Bases de Dados Factuais , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Síndrome Metabólica/epidemiologia , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Obesidade/epidemiologia , Infecções por Papillomavirus/diagnóstico , Infecções por Papillomavirus/virologia , Prevalência , República da Coreia/epidemiologia , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , Fatores Sexuais , Fatores de TempoRESUMO
OBJECTIVES: The role of smoking in the development of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) remains controversial. We assessed the risk of incident NAFLD according to smoking status and urinary cotinine levels. METHODS: We performed a cohort study of 199,468 Korean adults without NAFLD at baseline who were followed annually or biennially for a median of 4.1 years. The presence of fatty liver was determined using ultrasound. NAFLD severity was assessed using NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS), a non-invasive fibrosis marker. RESULTS: During 1,070,991 person-years of follow-up, 45,409 participants developed NAFLD. Self-reported current smoking, pack-years, and urinary cotinine level were significantly associated with increased risk for NAFLD. For men, the multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (aHR) (95% confidence intervals (CI)) for incident NAFLD comparing 10-19.9, and ≥20 pack-years to 0 pack-years were 1.25 (1.21- 1.29), and 1.36 (1.30-1.42), respectively; for women, aHR (95% CI) for NAFLD comparing 5-9.9, and ≥10 pack-years to 0 pack-years were 1.25 (1.04-1.50), and 1.46 (1.17-1.81), respectively. Smoking pack-years were also associated with increased risk for NAFLD plus intermediate or high fibrosis score. For men, the aHR (95% CI) for NAFLD plus intermediate or high NFS comparing ≥20 pack-years to 0 pack-years was 1.29 (1.18-1.42); for women, the aHR (95% CI) comparing ≥10 pack-years to 0 pack-years was 1.75 (1.12-2.73). CONCLUSIONS: In a large cohort of young and middle-aged men and women, current smoking, pack-years, and urinary cotinine levels were positively associated with the risk of incident NAFLD, suggesting that smoking contributes to the development of NAFLD.
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Fumar Cigarros/epidemiologia , Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica/epidemiologia , Adulto , Fumar Cigarros/urina , Estudos de Coortes , Cotinina/urina , Feminino , Humanos , Incidência , Masculino , Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica/diagnóstico por imagem , Modelos de Riscos Proporcionais , República da Coreia/epidemiologia , Fatores de Risco , Fatores de Tempo , UltrassonografiaRESUMO
The sustainability of the vast Arctic permafrost carbon pool under climate change is of paramount importance for global climate trajectories. Accurate climate change forecasts, therefore, depend on a reliable representation of mechanisms governing Arctic carbon cycle processes, but this task is complicated by the complex interaction of multiple controls on Arctic ecosystem changes, linked through both positive and negative feedbacks. As a primary example, predicted Arctic warming can be substantially influenced by shifts in hydrologic regimes, linked to, for example, altered precipitation patterns or changes in topography following permafrost degradation. This study presents observational evidence how severe drainage, a scenario that may affect large Arctic areas with ice-rich permafrost soils under future climate change, affects biogeochemical and biogeophysical processes within an Arctic floodplain. Our in situ data demonstrate reduced carbon losses and transfer of sensible heat to the atmosphere, and effects linked to drainage-induced long-term shifts in vegetation communities and soil thermal regimes largely counterbalanced the immediate drainage impact. Moreover, higher surface albedo in combination with low thermal conductivity cooled the permafrost soils. Accordingly, long-term drainage effects linked to warming-induced permafrost degradation hold the potential to alleviate positive feedbacks between permafrost carbon and Arctic warming, and to slow down permafrost degradation. Self-stabilizing effects associated with ecosystem disturbance such as these drainage impacts are a key factor for predicting future feedbacks between Arctic permafrost and climate change, and, thus, neglect of these mechanisms will exaggerate the impacts of Arctic change on future global climate projections.
Assuntos
Pergelissolo , Regiões Árticas , Mudança Climática , Ecossistema , SoloRESUMO
Warming temperatures are likely to accelerate permafrost thaw in the Arctic, potentially leading to the release of old carbon previously stored in deep frozen soil layers. Deeper thaw depths in combination with geomorphological changes due to the loss of ice structures in permafrost, may modify soil water distribution, creating wetter or drier soil conditions. Previous studies revealed higher ecosystem respiration rates under drier conditions, and this study investigated the cause of the increased ecosystem respiration rates using radiocarbon signatures of respired CO2 from two drying manipulation experiments: one in moist and the other in wet tundra. We demonstrate that higher contributions of CO2 from shallow soil layers (0-15 cm; modern soil carbon) drive the increased ecosystem respiration rates, while contributions from deeper soil (below 15 cm from surface and down to the permafrost table; old soil carbon) decreased. These changes can be attributed to more aerobic conditions in shallow soil layers, but also the soil temperature increases in shallow layers but decreases in deep layers, due to the altered thermal properties of organic soils. Decreased abundance of aerenchymatous plant species following drainage in wet tundra reduced old carbon release but increased aboveground plant biomass elevated contributions of autotrophic respiration to ecosystem respiration. The results of this study suggest that drier soils following drainage may accelerate decomposition of modern soil carbon in shallow layers but slow down decomposition of old soil carbon in deep layers, which may offset some of the old soil carbon loss from thawing permafrost.
RESUMO
GOALS AND BACKGROUND: This study aimed to compare differences in the fecal microbiota according to the risk of advanced colorectal neoplasia (ACN) based on a risk-score model in a large Korean cohort. STUDY: Stool samples were collected from 1122 health screening recipients: 404 enrolled in the average risk (AR) group, 514 in the moderate risk (MR) group, and 204 in the high risk (HR) group, in accordance with their risk of ACN. The fecal microbiota was characterized using pyrosequencing of the V3-V4 region of the 16S rRNA genes. RESULTS: The overall microbial diversity was significantly reduced with an increased risk of ACN [false discovery rate (FDR), P<0.001], and the composition was significantly different between the risk groups (Bonferroni corrected, P<0.05). On taxonomic comparison, 6 of 11 phyla and 39 of 88 genera were significantly different among the risk groups (all FDR P<0.05). These included under-representation of Bacteroides, Ruminococcus, and Bifidobacterium, and over-representation of Prevotella and Fusobacterium with an increased risk of ACN. In particular, we observed that the unknown genus of Ruminococcaceae were relatively abundant (16.2%) in the AR group and significantly depleted with an increased risk of ACN (13.5% in the HR group; FDR P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS: These findings support the hypothesis that the fecal microbiota is different according to the risk of ACN. An unknown genus of Ruminococcaceae, as novel potential butyrate producers, might have a possible role in colorectal tumorigenesis in the Korean population.
Assuntos
Neoplasias Colorretais/microbiologia , Fezes/microbiologia , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Estudos de Coortes , Neoplasias Colorretais/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Colorretais/prevenção & controle , Feminino , Microbioma Gastrointestinal/genética , Humanos , Masculino , Programas de Rastreamento , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , RNA Ribossômico 16S/genética , República da Coreia/epidemiologia , Risco , Adulto JovemRESUMO
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE: Reduced lung function and high lipoprotein (a) (Lp(a)) levels are both recognized risk factors for cardiovascular disease. Few studies have investigated the association between serum Lp(a) and lung function in the general population. We evaluated the association between reduced lung function and high Lp(a) levels in healthy individuals without known medical disease diagnoses. METHODS: We performed a cross-sectional study on 64 082 Korean health screening examinees (33 049 males, 38 ± 7 years) who underwent a health examination in 2015. RESULTS: The median Lp(a) level was 12 (6-25)mg/dL. The prevalence of high Lp(a) (defined as >30 mg/dL) was 19.5%. Subjects with a high Lp(a) had both lower values of measured forced expiratory volume in 1 s (FEV1 ) and forced vital capacity (FVC; L) than those with a low Lp(a) (P < 0.001). However, FEV1 /FVC ratio was not significantly different between groups (P = 0.112). Comparison of the second, third and fourth measured FVC (L) quartiles with that of the lowest quartile (1Q) group (reference) on regression analysis revealed adjusted odd ratios (OR) for a high Lp(a) of 0.928 (95% CI: 0.876-0.982), 0.860 (0.808-0.916) and 0.895 (0.839-0.954), respectively (P for trend < 0.001). In addition, adjusted OR for high Lp(a) compared with reference was 0.894 (0.844-0.947), 0.857 (0.806-0.912) and 0.882 (0.8727-0.940) across the measured FEV1 (L) quartiles in increasing order (P for trend < 0.001). CONCLUSION: High Lp(a) levels were associated with reduced lung function in this cross-sectional population study. Longitudinal follow-up studies will be required to validate our findings.