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1.
Eur J Public Health ; 34(1): 163-169, 2024 Feb 05.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38031445

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: A measles epidemic affected the Nouvelle-Aquitaine region from November 2017 to May 2018 with clusters among Travellers. This indicates that measles vaccination rates among Travellers remain lower than in the general population. The objective of this study was to estimate the 'declarative vaccination' against measles, mumps and rubella (MMR) and to propose a conceptual framework to help identify determinants of MMR vaccination uptake among adult Travellers in Nouvelle-Aquitaine in 2019-20. METHODS: A cross-sectional study using random sampling was performed and included 612 adult Travellers from 1 November 2019 to 31 March 2020. A conceptual framework to model vaccination adherence was tested among this underserved population by using structural equation modelling. This model included five latent variables: health literacy, attitudes toward preventive measures, stigma, accessibility to care and perceived needs and five measured variables: information received on vaccination, perception of barriers, support for administrative documents, social support and housing conditions. RESULTS: Individuals who did not answer all the questions linked to the variables included in the model were excluded, thus 347 adults were included in the final sample. The declared vaccination rate against MMR was 74.0%, and 72.4% of the participants were favorable to vaccination. Vaccination adherence was significantly correlated with favorable attitudes toward preventive measures such as having a history of MMR vaccination and not having already refused a recommended vaccine and finally satisfactory information received on vaccination. DISCUSSION: To improve vaccination adherence, health authorities should lean on personal history with vaccination and on transmitting information on vaccination.


Assuntos
Sarampo , Caxumba , Adulto , Humanos , Lactente , Vacina contra Sarampo-Caxumba-Rubéola , Estudos Transversais , Populações Vulneráveis , Sarampo/prevenção & controle , Sarampo/epidemiologia , Vacinação , França
2.
BMC Infect Dis ; 23(1): 279, 2023 May 03.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37138208

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to describe the use of diagnostic testing for SARS-CoV-2 in France until December 2021, the characteristics of people infected, and places of contamination. METHODS: Data were collected from the national 2021 Health Barometer cross-sectional study, which was conducted between February and December 2021 and included French-speaking individuals aged 18-85 years old selected through randomly generated landline and mobile phone numbers. Participants were interviewed about COVID-19-like symptoms in the previous 12 months, diagnostic testing for SARS-CoV-2, positive diagnosis for SARS-CoV-2, and the place(s) of contamination. Determinants of diagnostic testing and of infection were studied using univariate and multivariate Poisson regressions. RESULTS: A total of 24,514 persons participated in the study. We estimated that 66.4% [65.0-67.7] of persons had been tested for SARS-CoV-2 the last time they experienced COVID-19-like symptoms, and that 9.8% [9.3-10.3] of the population in France - with or without symptoms - had been tested positive. Diagnostic testing was less frequent in men, unemployed persons, and people living alone; it was also less frequent during the first months of the pandemic. The estimated proportion of the population infected was higher in healthcare professionals (PRa: 1.5 [1.3-1.7]), those living in large cities ( > = 200 000 inhabitants, and Paris area) (1.4 [1.2-1.6]), and in households comprising > 3 persons (1.7 [1.5-2.0]). It was lower in retired persons (0.8 [0.6-0.97]) and those over 65 years old (0.6 [0.4-0.9]). Almost two-thirds (65.7%) of infected persons declared they knew where they were contaminated; 5.8% [4.5-7.4] reported being contaminated outdoors, 47.9% [44.8-51.0] in unventilated indoor environments, and 43.4% [40.3-46.6] in ventilated indoor environments. Specifically, 51.1% [48.0-54.2] declared they were contaminated at home or in a family of friend's house, 29.1% [26.4-31.9] at their workplace, 13.9% [11.9-16.1] in a healthcare structure, and 9.0% [7.4-10.8] in a public eating place (e.g., cafeteria, bar, restaurant). CONCLUSIONS: To limit viral spread, preventive actions should preferentially target persons tested least frequently and those at a higher risk of infection. They should also target contamination in households, healthcare structures, and public eating places. Importantly, contamination is most frequent in places where prevention measures are most difficult to implement.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , Masculino , Humanos , Adolescente , Adulto Jovem , Adulto , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , COVID-19/diagnóstico , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Estudos Transversais , Teste para COVID-19 , França/epidemiologia
3.
Eur J Pediatr ; 182(3): 1019-1028, 2023 Mar.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36542162

RESUMO

Incomplete vaccination in the pediatric population is a growing public health issue in high-income countries, but its determinants are poorly understood. Their identification is necessary to design target actions that can improve vaccination uptake. Our aim was to assess the determinants of incomplete vaccination in two-year-old children in France. Among the 18,329 children included in the 2011 ELFE French nationwide population-based birth cohort, we selected those for whom vaccination status was available at age two years. Incomplete vaccination was defined as ≥ 1 missing dose of recommended vaccines. Potential determinants of incomplete vaccination were identified by using logistic regression, taking into account attrition and missing data. Of the 5,740 (31.3%) children analyzed, 46.5% (95% confidence interval [CI] 44.7-48.0) were incompletely vaccinated. Factors independently associated with incomplete vaccination were having older siblings (adjusted odds ratio 1.18, 95% CI [1.03-1.34] and 1.28 [1.06-1.54] for one and ≥ 2 siblings, respectively, vs. 0), residing in an isolated area (1.92 [1.36-2.75] vs. an urban area), parents not following health recommendations or using alternative medicines (1.81 [1.41-2.34] and 1.23 [1.04-1.46], respectively, vs. parents confident in institutions and following heath recommendations), not being visited by a maternal and child protection service nurse during the child's first two months (1.19 [1.03-1.38] vs. ≥ 1 visit), and being followed by a general practitioner (2.87 [2.52-3.26] vs. a pediatrician). CONCLUSIONS: Incomplete vaccination was highly prevalent in the studied pediatric population and was associated with several socio-demographic, parental, and healthcare service characteristics. These findings may help in designing targeted corrective actions. WHAT IS KNOWN: • Incomplete vaccination in the pediatric population is a growing public health issue in high-income countries. • The partial understanding of the determinants of incomplete vaccination precludes the design of effective targeted corrective actions. WHAT IS NEW: • High prevalence of incomplete vaccination at age two years in France. • Incomplete vaccination was independently associated with several socio-demographic, parental, and healthcare service characteristics.


Assuntos
Coorte de Nascimento , Vacinação , Criança , Humanos , Pré-Escolar , Pais , Família , França
4.
BMC Public Health ; 22(1): 1049, 2022 05 25.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35614428

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: The burden of influenza morbidity and mortality in nursing homes (NH) is high. Vaccination of residents and professionals working in NH is the main prevention strategy. Despite recommendations, vaccination coverage among professionals is generally low. METHODS: We performed a nationwide cross-sectional survey of NH using a single-stage stratified random sampling design to estimate influenza vaccination coverage in NH healthcare workers (HCW) and non-medical professionals in France during the 2018-2019 season, and to identify measures likely to increase it. For each NH, a questionnaire was completed with aggregated data by one member of the management team. A multivariate analysis was performed using a negative binomial regression. RESULTS: Five-hundred and eighty nine NH filled in the study questionnaire (response rate: 49.5%). When considering all professionals (i.e., HCW and non-medical professionals), overall vaccination coverage was 30.6% (95%CI [28.2-33.0], range: 1.6-96.2). Overall influenza vaccination coverage in HCW was 31.9% [29.7-34.1]. It varied according to occupational category: 75.5% [69.3-81.7] for physicians, 42.9% [39.4-46.4] for nurses, 26.7% [24.5-29.0] for nursing assistants, and 34.0% [30.1-38.0] for other paramedical personnel. Vaccination coverage was higher i) in private nursing homes (RRa: 1.3, [1.1-1.5]), ii) in small nursing homes (0.9 [0.8-0.9]), iii) when vaccination was offered free of charge (1.4, [1.1-1.8]), iv) when vaccination promotion for professionals included individual (1.6 [1.1-2.1]) or collective (1.3 [1.1-1.5]) information sessions, videos or games (1.4 [1.2-1.6], v) when information on influenza vaccines was provided (1.2 [1.0-1.3], and finally, vi) when a vaccination point of contact-defined as an HCW who could provide reliable information on vaccination-was nominated within the nursing home (1.7 [1.3-2.2]). CONCLUSIONS: Urgent and innovative actions are required to increase coverage in HCW. Vaccination programmes should include free on-site vaccination and education campaigns, and particularly target nursing assistants. The results of this nationwide study provide keys for improving influenza vaccination coverage in HCW. Programmes should ensure that information on influenza vaccines is provided by a vaccination point of contact in NH using attractive media. Combining the different prevention measures proposed could increase coverage in NH nationwide by over 50%.


Assuntos
Vacinas contra Influenza , Influenza Humana , Estudos Transversais , França , Pessoal de Saúde , Humanos , Vacinas contra Influenza/uso terapêutico , Influenza Humana/prevenção & controle , Casas de Saúde , Estações do Ano , Vacinação , Cobertura Vacinal
5.
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A ; 116(5): 1802-1807, 2019 01 29.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-30642967

RESUMO

Infections caused by Streptococcus pneumoniae-including invasive pneumococcal diseases (IPDs)-remain a significant public health concern worldwide. The marked winter seasonality of IPDs is a striking, but still enigmatic aspect of pneumococcal epidemiology in nontropical climates. Here we confronted age-structured dynamic models of carriage transmission and disease with detailed IPD incidence data to test a range of hypotheses about the components and the mechanisms of pneumococcal seasonality. We find that seasonal variations in climate, influenza-like illnesses, and interindividual contacts jointly explain IPD seasonality. We show that both the carriage acquisition rate and the invasion rate vary seasonally, acting in concert to generate the marked seasonality typical of IPDs. We also find evidence that influenza-like illnesses increase the invasion rate in an age-specific manner, with a more pronounced effect in the elderly than in other demographics. Finally, we quantify the potential impact of seasonally timed interventions, a type of control measures that exploit pneumococcal seasonality to help reduce IPDs. Our findings shed light on the epidemiology of pneumococcus and may have notable implications for the control of pneumococcal infections.


Assuntos
Infecções Pneumocócicas/epidemiologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Feminino , Humanos , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Estações do Ano , Streptococcus pneumoniae , Adulto Jovem
6.
Euro Surveill ; 27(1)2022 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34991778

RESUMO

Europe has experienced a large COVID-19 wave caused by the Delta variant in winter 2021/22. Using mathematical models applied to Metropolitan France, we find that boosters administered to ≥ 65, ≥ 50 or ≥ 18 year-olds may reduce the hospitalisation peak by 25%, 36% and 43% respectively, with a delay of 5 months between second and third dose. A 10% reduction in transmission rates might further reduce it by 41%, indicating that even small increases in protective behaviours may be critical to mitigate the wave.


Assuntos
Vacinas contra COVID-19/administração & dosagem , COVID-19 , Imunização Secundária , COVID-19/prevenção & controle , França/epidemiologia , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2 , Estações do Ano , Vacinação
7.
Euro Surveill ; 27(17)2022 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35485270

RESUMO

IntroductionIn France, three complementary surveillance networks involving hospitals and paediatrician practices currently allow pertussis surveillance among infants (<1 year old) and children (1-12 years old). Data on incidences among adolescents (13-17 years old) and adults (≥ 18 years) are scarce. In 2017, a sentinel surveillance system called Sentinelles network, was implemented among general practitioners (GPs).AimThe purpose of Sentinelles network is to assess pertussis incidence, monitor the cases' age distribution and evaluate the impact of the country's vaccination policy. We present the results from the first 4 years of this surveillance.MethodsGPs of the French Sentinelles network reported weekly numbers of epidemiologically or laboratory-confirmed cases and their characteristics.ResultsA total of 132 cases were reported over 2017-2020. Estimated national incidence rates per 100,000 inhabitants were 17 (95% confidence interval (CI): 12-22) in 2017, 10 (95% CI: 6-14) in 2018, 15 (95% CI: 10-20) in 2019 and three (95% CI: 1-5) in 2020. The incidence rate was significantly lower in 2020 than in 2017-2019. Women were significantly more affected than men (83/132; 63% of women, p = 0.004); 66% (87/132) of cases were aged 15 years or over (median age: 31.5 years; range: 2 months-87 years). Among 37 vaccinated cases with data, 33 had received the recommended number of doses for their age.ConclusionsThese results concur with incidences reported in other European countries, and with studies showing that the incidences of several respiratory diseases decreased in 2020 during the COVID-19 pandemic. The results also suggest a shift of morbidity towards older age groups, and a rapid waning of immunity after vaccination, justifying to continue this surveillance.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Clínicos Gerais , Coqueluche , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Feminino , França/epidemiologia , Humanos , Lactente , Masculino , Pandemias , Coqueluche/diagnóstico , Coqueluche/epidemiologia , Coqueluche/prevenção & controle
8.
Euro Surveill ; 27(25)2022 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35748301

RESUMO

BackgroundInterventions to mitigate the COVID-19 pandemic may impact other respiratory diseases.AimsWe aimed to study the course of pertussis in France over an 8-year period including the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic and its association with COVID-19 mitigation strategies, using multiple nationwide data sources and regression models.MethodsWe analysed the number of French pertussis cases between 2013 and 2020, using PCR test results from nationwide outpatient laboratories (Source 1) and a network of the paediatric wards from 41 hospitals (Source 2). We also used reports of a national primary care paediatric network (Source 3). We conducted a quasi-experimental interrupted time series analysis, relying on negative binomial regression models. The models accounted for seasonality, long-term cycles and secular trend, and included a binary variable for the first national lockdown (start 16 March 2020).ResultsWe identified 19,039 pertussis cases from these data sources. Pertussis cases decreased significantly following the implementation of mitigation measures, with adjusted incidence rate ratios of 0.10 (95% CI: 0.04-0.26) and 0.22 (95% CI: 0.07-0.66) for Source 1 and Source 2, respectively. The association was confirmed in Source 3 with a median of, respectively, one (IQR: 0-2) and 0 cases (IQR: 0-0) per month before and after lockdown (p = 0.0048).ConclusionsThe strong reduction in outpatient and hospitalised pertussis cases suggests an impact of COVID-19 mitigation measures on pertussis epidemiology. Pertussis vaccination recommendations should be followed carefully, and disease monitoring should be continued to detect any resurgence after relaxation of mitigation measures.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Coqueluche , COVID-19/epidemiologia , Criança , Controle de Doenças Transmissíveis , França/epidemiologia , Humanos , Armazenamento e Recuperação da Informação , Pandemias , Coqueluche/epidemiologia , Coqueluche/prevenção & controle
9.
Eur J Clin Microbiol Infect Dis ; 40(6): 1263-1269, 2021 Jun.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33474677

RESUMO

Influenza viruses cause seasonal epidemics whose intensity varies according to the circulating virus type and subtype. We aim to estimate influenza-like illness (ILI) incidence attributable to influenza viruses in France from October 2014 to May 2019. Physicians participating in the French Sentinelles network reported the number of patients with ILI seen in consultation and performed nasopharyngeal swabs in a sample of these patients. The swabs were tested by RT-PCR for the presence of influenza viruses. These clinical and virological data were combined to estimate ILI incidence attributable to influenza viruses by subtypes and age groups. Influenza incidence rates over seasons ranged from 1.9 (95% CI, 1.9; 2.0) to 3.4% (95% CI, 3.2; 3.6) of the population. Each season, more than half of ILI cases were attributable to influenza. Children under 15 years were the most affected, with influenza incidence rates ranging from 3.0 (95% CI, 2.8;3.3) to 5.7% (95% CI, 5.3;6.1). Co-circulation of several (sub)types of influenza viruses was observed each year, except in 2016/2017 where A(H3N2) viruses accounted for 98.0% of the influenza cases. Weekly ILI incidences attributable to each influenza virus (sub)type were mostly synchronized with ILI incidence, except in 2014/2015 and 2017/2018, where incidence attributable to type B viruses peaked few weeks later. The burden of medically attended influenza among patients with ILI is significant in France, varying considerably across years and age groups. These results show the importance of influenza surveillance in primary care combining clinical and virological data.


Assuntos
Influenza Humana/epidemiologia , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Feminino , França/epidemiologia , Humanos , Lactente , Influenza Humana/virologia , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Orthomyxoviridae/classificação , Orthomyxoviridae/genética , Orthomyxoviridae/isolamento & purificação , Orthomyxoviridae/fisiologia , Atenção Primária à Saúde/estatística & dados numéricos , Estações do Ano , Adulto Jovem
10.
Euro Surveill ; 26(15)2021 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33860748

RESUMO

Following the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 variant, social distancing was strengthened in France in January 2021. Using a two-strain mathematical model calibrated on genomic surveillance, we estimated that curfew measures allowed hospitalisations to plateau by decreasing transmission of the historical strains while B.1.1.7 continued to grow. School holidays appear to have further slowed down progression in February. Without progressively strengthened social distancing, a rapid surge of hospitalisations is expected, despite the foreseen increase in vaccination rhythm.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , SARS-CoV-2 , França/epidemiologia , Humanos , Instituições Acadêmicas
11.
Euro Surveill ; 26(50)2021 Dec.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34915971

RESUMO

BackgroundIn France, human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination has been recommended in 2016 for men who have sex with men (MSM) up to age 26 years.AimWe aimed to estimate HPV vaccine coverage in 18-28 year-old MSM and identify uptake determinants.MethodsWe collected data on socio-demographic characteristics, sexual behaviour, sexually transmitted diseases (STI) screening and vaccination uptake using a voluntary cross-sectional online survey conducted in 2019 targeting MSM. We calculated coverage of at least one dose of HPV vaccine and prevalence ratios (PR) of determinants with 95% confidence intervals (CI) using Poisson regression.ResultsOf 9,469 respondents (age range: 18-28 years), 15% (95% CI: 14-16) reported being vaccinated for HPV. Coverage was significantly higher among MSM < 24 years (PR: 1.25; 95% CI: 1.13-1.39), with education level below university degree (PR: 1.12; 95% CI: 1.08-1.32), living in rural areas (PR: 1.21; 95% CI: 1.08-1.36), attending sex parties (PR: 1.12; 95% CI: 1.03-1.33), using HIV-related biomedical prevention methods (PR: 1.31; 95% CI: 1.12-1.54), with STI diagnosis (PR: 1.22; 95% CI: 1.08-1.38) and with hepatitis A or B vaccination (PR: 4.56; 95% CI: 3.63-5.81 vs PR: 3.35; 95% CI: 2.53-4.44).ConclusionsThe HPV vaccination uptake among MSM in France was not satisfactory. It was higher among MSM benefitting from other vaccinations and biomedical preventive methods against HIV, suggesting a synergistic effect of the national preventive sexual health recommendations for MSM. Further efforts to improve HPV vaccination coverage targeting MSM are warranted.


Assuntos
Alphapapillomavirus , Infecções por Papillomavirus , Vacinas contra Papillomavirus , Minorias Sexuais e de Gênero , Adolescente , Adulto , Estudos Transversais , França/epidemiologia , Homossexualidade Masculina , Humanos , Masculino , Infecções por Papillomavirus/epidemiologia , Infecções por Papillomavirus/prevenção & controle , Aceitação pelo Paciente de Cuidados de Saúde , Comportamento Sexual , Vacinação , Cobertura Vacinal , Adulto Jovem
12.
Euro Surveill ; 26(26)2021 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34212840

RESUMO

Thrombosis with thrombocytopenia (TTS) has been identified as a rare adverse event following COVID-19 vaccination with Vaxzevria. We modelled the benefits and risks of Vaxzevria distribution from May to September 2021 in metropolitan France where other vaccines are available, considering French hospitalisation data and European data on TTS. Across different scenarios, benefits of Vaxzevria distribution in people 55 years and older exceeded the risk of death from COVID-19. In young adults, risks were at least of similar magnitude as benefits.


Assuntos
Vacinas contra COVID-19 , COVID-19 , França/epidemiologia , Humanos , Medição de Risco , SARS-CoV-2 , Adulto Jovem
13.
Euro Surveill ; 26(4)2021 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33509338

RESUMO

IntroductionPERTINENT is a pilot active surveillance system of infants hospitalised with pertussis in six European Union/European Economic Area countries (37 hospitals, seven sites).AimThis observational study aimed to estimate annual pertussis incidence per site from 2016 to 2018 and respective trends between 2017 and 2018. Pertussis cases were described, including their severity.MethodsWe developed a generic protocol and laboratory guidelines to harmonise practices across sites. Cases were hospitalised infants testing positive for Bordetella pertussis by PCR or culture. Sites collected demographic, clinical, laboratory data, vaccination status, and risk/protective factors. We estimated sites' annual incidences by dividing case numbers by the catchment populations.ResultsFrom December 2015 to December 2018, we identified 469 cases (247 males; 53%). The median age, birthweight and gestational age were 2.5 months (range: 0-11.6; interquartile range (IQR): 2.5), 3,280 g (range: 700-4,925; IQR: 720) and 39 weeks (range: 25-42; IQR: 2), respectively. Thirty cases (6%) had atypical presentation either with cough or cyanosis only or with absence of pertussis-like symptoms. Of 330 cases with information, 83 (25%) were admitted to intensive care units including five deceased infants too young to be vaccinated. Incidence rate ratios between 2018 and 2017 were 1.43 in Czech Republic (p = 0.468), 0.25 in Catalonia (p = 0.002), 0.71 in France (p = 0.034), 0.14 in Ireland (p = 0.002), 0.63 in Italy (p = 0.053), 0.21 in Navarra (p = 0.148) and zero in Norway.ConclusionsIncidence appeared to decrease between 2017 and 2018 in all but one site. Enhanced surveillance of hospitalised pertussis in Europe is essential to monitor pertussis epidemiology and disease burden.


Assuntos
Coqueluche , Idoso , Bordetella pertussis , República Tcheca , Europa (Continente) , União Europeia , França , Hospitalização , Hospitais , Humanos , Incidência , Lactente , Recém-Nascido , Irlanda , Itália , Masculino , Noruega , Vacina contra Coqueluche , Vacinação , Coqueluche/diagnóstico , Coqueluche/epidemiologia , Coqueluche/prevenção & controle
14.
Euro Surveill ; 26(47)2021 11.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34823641

RESUMO

Since December 2019, over 1.5 million SARS-CoV-2-related fatalities have been recorded in the World Health Organization European Region - 90.2% in people ≥ 60 years. We calculated lives saved in this age group by COVID-19 vaccination in 33 countries from December 2020 to November 2021, using weekly reported deaths and vaccination coverage. We estimated that vaccination averted 469,186 deaths (51% of 911,302 expected deaths; sensitivity range: 129,851-733,744; 23-62%). Impact by country ranged 6-93%, largest when implementation was early.


Assuntos
Vacinas contra COVID-19 , COVID-19 , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2 , Vacinação , Organização Mundial da Saúde
15.
Euro Surveill ; 26(22)2021 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34085634

RESUMO

BackgroundGiven its high economic and societal cost, policymakers might be reluctant to implement a large-scale lockdown in case of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) epidemic rebound. They may consider it as a last resort option if alternative control measures fail to reduce transmission.AimWe developed a modelling framework to ascertain the use of lockdown to ensure intensive care unit (ICU) capacity does not exceed a peak target defined by policymakers.MethodsWe used a deterministic compartmental model describing transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) and the trajectories of COVID-19 patients in healthcare settings, accounting for age-specific mixing patterns and an increasing probability of severe outcomes with age. The framework is illustrated in the context of metropolitan France.ResultsThe daily incidence of ICU admissions and the number of occupied ICU beds are the most robust indicators to decide when a lockdown should be triggered. When the doubling time of hospitalisations estimated before lockdown is between 8 and 20 days, lockdown should be enforced when ICU admissions reach 3.0-3.7 and 7.8-9.5 per million for peak targets of 62 and 154 ICU beds per million (4,000 and 10,000 beds for metropolitan France), respectively. When implemented earlier, the lockdown duration required to get back below a desired level is also shorter.ConclusionsWe provide simple indicators and triggers to decide if and when a last-resort lockdown should be implemented to avoid saturation of ICU. These metrics can support the planning and real-time management of successive COVID-19 pandemic waves.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Pandemias , Controle de Doenças Transmissíveis , França/epidemiologia , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2
16.
Clin Infect Dis ; 71(15): 825-832, 2020 07 28.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32277759

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: On 7 February 2020, French Health authorities were informed of a confirmed case of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) in an Englishman infected in Singapore who had recently stayed in a chalet in the French Alps. We conducted an investigation to identify secondary cases and interrupt transmission. METHODS: We defined as a confirmed case a person linked to the chalet with a positive reverse-transcription polymerase chain reaction sample for SARS-CoV-2. RESULTS: The index case stayed 4 days in the chalet with 10 English tourists and a family of 5 French residents; SARS-CoV-2 was detected in 5 individuals in France, 6 in England (including the index case), and 1 in Spain (overall attack rate in the chalet: 75%). One pediatric case, with picornavirus and influenza A coinfection, visited 3 different schools while symptomatic. One case was asymptomatic, with similar viral load as that of a symptomatic case. Seven days after the first cases were diagnosed, 1 tertiary case was detected in a symptomatic patient with from the chalet a positive endotracheal aspirate; all previous and concurrent nasopharyngeal specimens were negative. Additionally, 172 contacts were monitored; all contacts tested for SARS-CoV-2 (N = 73) were negative. CONCLUSIONS: The occurrence in this cluster of 1 asymptomatic case with similar viral load as a symptomatic patient suggests transmission potential of asymptomatic individuals. The fact that an infected child did not transmit the disease despite close interactions within schools suggests potential different transmission dynamics in children. Finally, the dissociation between upper and lower respiratory tract results underscores the need for close monitoring of the clinical evolution of suspected cases of coronavirus disease 2019.


Assuntos
Betacoronavirus/isolamento & purificação , Infecções por Coronavirus/virologia , Pneumonia Viral/virologia , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , COVID-19 , Análise por Conglomerados , Feminino , França , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Pandemias , Estudos Retrospectivos , SARS-CoV-2 , Testes Sorológicos/métodos
17.
BMC Public Health ; 20(1): 1382, 2020 Sep 10.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32912190

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: In December 2016, three cases of serogroup B invasive meningococcal disease, including two children from the same middle school (11 to 15 years old pupils), occurred in the department (administrative district) Côtes-d'Armor (Brittany, France). They were infected by a rare strain (B:P1.7-2,4:F5-9:cc162), covered by the 4CMenB vaccine (Bexsero®). Four months later, two cases due to the same strain occurred in a high school in the same area (15 to 19 years old students). In accordance with French recommendations, vaccination was proposed to students of both schools and to all individuals aged 11-19 years living or studying in the hyperendemic area. We describe these vaccination campaigns, from the alert to the impact evaluation. METHODS: The target population included 8884 people: 579 in the middle school, 2007 in the high school and 6298 in the community. In both schools, vaccination sessions were organized directly on site. In the community, teenagers were vaccinated by general practitioners. The vaccination campaign took place from May to October 2017. An active pharmacovigilance follow-up was set up to document adverse effects of the vaccine. RESULTS: Considering the whole target population, the vaccination coverage was estimated at 43% for 1 dose and 34% for 2 doses. Higher vaccination coverage was observed in the schools (79% in the middle school and 42% in the high school for 2 doses) than in the community (27% for 2 doses). The reported adverse effects were consistent with the safety profile of the vaccine and no severe adverse effect was reported. CONCLUSIONS: This vaccination campaign was the third one implemented with Bexsero® in France and constitutes a reproducible approach for future targeted vaccination campaigns. No additional cases of the same strain have occurred since the end of the campaigns in the area.


Assuntos
Infecções Meningocócicas , Vacinas Meningocócicas , Neisseria meningitidis Sorogrupo B , Adolescente , Adulto , Criança , França/epidemiologia , Humanos , Programas de Imunização , Lactente , Infecções Meningocócicas/epidemiologia , Infecções Meningocócicas/prevenção & controle , Vacinação , Adulto Jovem
18.
Euro Surveill ; 25(4)2020 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32019670

RESUMO

BackgroundSurveillance of tuberculosis (TB) treatment outcome, for which reporting has been mandatory in France since 2007, is a key component of TB control.AimWe aimed to present surveillance data for non-multidrug-resistant (MDR) cases reported between 2008 and 2014, and identify factors associated with potentially unfavourable treatment outcome.MethodsPatients were classified according to their treatment outcome 12 months after beginning treatment. Poisson regression with a robust error variance was used to investigate factors associated with potentially unfavourable treatment outcome. Missing data were handled using multiple imputation.ResultsA total of 22,526 cases were analysed for treatment outcome. Information available on treatment outcome increased between 2008 (60%) and 2014 (71%) (p < 0.001). During this period, 74.1% of cases completed treatment, increasing from 73.0% in 2008 to 76.9% in 2014 (p < 0.001). This proportion was 74.0% in culture-positive pulmonary cases. Overall, 19.8% of cases had a potentially unfavourable outcome, including lost-to-follow-up, transferred out, still on treatment, death related to TB and interrupted treatment. Potentially unfavourable outcome was significantly associated with TB severity, residing in congregate settings, homelessness, being a smear-positive pulmonary case, being born abroad and residing in France for < 2 years, history of previous anti-TB treatment and age > 85 years.ConclusionMonitoring of treatment outcome is improving over time. The increase in treatment completion over time suggests improved case management. However, treatment outcome monitoring needs to be strengthened in cases belonging to population groups where the percentage of unfavourable outcome is the highest and in cases where surveillance data shows poorer documented follow-up.


Assuntos
Antituberculosos/uso terapêutico , Notificação de Doenças/estatística & dados numéricos , Vigilância da População/métodos , Tuberculose/tratamento farmacológico , Adolescente , Adulto , Idoso , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Criança , Pré-Escolar , França/epidemiologia , Humanos , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Resultado do Tratamento , Tuberculose/epidemiologia
19.
Euro Surveill ; 25(22)2020 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32524957

RESUMO

End of April 2020, French clinicians observed an increase in cases presenting with paediatric inflammatory multisystem syndrome (PIMS). Nationwide surveillance was set up and demonstrated temporospatial association with the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) epidemic for 156 reported cases as at 17 May: 108 were classified as confirmed (n = 79), probable (n = 16) or possible (n = 13) post-COVID-19 PIMS cases. A continuum of clinical features from Kawasaki-like disease to myocarditis was observed, requiring intensive care in 67% of cases.


Assuntos
Infecções por Coronavirus/diagnóstico , Coronavirus/isolamento & purificação , Pneumonia Viral/diagnóstico , Síndrome de Resposta Inflamatória Sistêmica/epidemiologia , Betacoronavirus , COVID-19 , Criança , Pré-Escolar , Infecções por Coronavirus/complicações , Infecções por Coronavirus/imunologia , Surtos de Doenças , Feminino , França/epidemiologia , Humanos , Masculino , Pandemias , Pneumonia Viral/complicações , Pneumonia Viral/imunologia , SARS-CoV-2 , Síndrome de Resposta Inflamatória Sistêmica/etiologia
20.
Euro Surveill ; 25(50)2020 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33334399

RESUMO

In France, measures including curfew and lockdown were implemented to control the COVID-19 pandemic second wave in 2020. This study descriptively assesses their possible effects, also relative to their timing. A considerable decrease in incidence of COVID-19 cases and hospital admissions was observed 7 to 10 days after mitigation measures were put in place, occurring earlier in metropolitan areas which had implemented these first. This temporal coincidence suggests the measures' positive impact, consistent with international experiences.


Assuntos
COVID-19/prevenção & controle , Controle de Doenças Transmissíveis/métodos , Pandemias , Distanciamento Físico , Quarentena , SARS-CoV-2 , População Urbana/estatística & dados numéricos , COVID-19/diagnóstico , COVID-19/epidemiologia , COVID-19/transmissão , Cidades , Controle de Doenças Transmissíveis/estatística & dados numéricos , França/epidemiologia , Hospitalização , Humanos , Incidência , Quarentena/legislação & jurisprudência , Fatores de Tempo
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