Incidence of type 1 diabetes among children and adolescents during peace and war times in Yemen.

AIM: To calculate a 30-year incidence rates of type 1 diabetes (T1D) in Sana'a city, Yemen during peace and wartimes. METHODS: A total of 461 patients aged between 8 months and 18 years with newly diagnosed diabetes were registered between 1989 and 2018. We used a standardized protocol for counting cases over time. The annual incidence rates (cases/100,000/year) were calculated from the number of new reported cases for each year divided by the estimated number of person-years "at risk" resident in Sana'a city, Yemen according to age and sex of the participants of that year. RESULTS: The mean annual incidence rate of T1D in children aged 0-14 years was 1.83/100,000/year. With the use of 3-year time-periods, the mean annual incidence rate was (5/100,000/year) in the first time-period, fluctuated between 1.2 and 2.3 during subsequent seven time-periods, and declined to (0.5/100,000/year) during the conflict years. The age-specific mean annual incidence rates for age-groups 0-4, 5-9, 10-14, and 15-18 years were 0.83, 1.82, 3.14, and 2.31/100,000/year, respectively. CONCLUSION: The mean annual incidence rate of T1D in children and adolescents over the observation period in Sana'a city was low. In children aged 0-14 years in particular, the incidence declined to a very low rate during wartime. Interpretation is partly limited by lack of recent census data, and the possibility of death from nondiagnosis at onset.

USA endometrial cancer projections to 2030: should we be concerned?

AIM: As the incidence of endometrial cancer (EC) increased considerably since 2007, this study aimed to project the burden of EC to the year 2030. METHODS: Multivariate linear regression was used to project EC incidence by modeling trends in EC incidence from 1990 to 2013, while accounting for temporal changes in obesity, hysterectomy and smoking. RESULTS: The best-fitting model predicting EC rates included a time effect plus effects for hysterectomy (12-year lag), severe obesity (3-year lag) and smoking (9-year lag). The best-fitting model projected an increase to 42.13 EC cases per 100,000 by the year 2030, a 55% increase over 2010 EC rates. CONCLUSION: The projected increase of EC over next 16 years indicates the need for close monitoring of EC trends.

Incidence of type 1 and type 2 diabetes in youth in the U.S. Virgin Islands, 2001-2010.

OBJECTIVE: To report the annual incidence of type 1 and type 2 diabetes among youth and to describe characteristics of youth diagnosed with diabetes in the U.S. Virgin Islands (USVI). RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: All residents ≤19 years of age diagnosed with diabetes between January 2001 and December 2010 were identified from review of medical records of all hospitals and confirmed by physician query. RESULTS: A total of 82 eligible patients were identified and the registry ascertainment was estimated to be 98.7% complete. The overall age-adjusted annual incidence rates (per 100, 000) of type 1 and type 2 diabetes for the study period were 15.3 (95% CI: 11.3-20.1) and 9.6 (95% CI: 6.8-13.5), respectively. The incidence of type 1 diabetes increased significantly over the study period, with an epidemic-like threefold increase occurring from 2005 (8.7/100, 000) to 2006 (26.4/100, 000; p = 0.05). The incidence of type 1 diabetes was highest in the 10-19 age group in girls (25.6/100, 000), but no age difference was seen in boys, resulting from the lack of a pubertal peak in non-Hispanic Black boys. The incidence of type 2 diabetes rose significantly between 2001 (5.3/100, 000) and 2010 (12.5/100, 000; p = 0.03). CONCLUSIONS: The incidence of type 1 and type 2 diabetes in youth is increasing in the USVI, similar to global patterns. Further studies are needed to explore the missing pubertal rise in type 1 diabetes incidence in non-Hispanic Black boys and factors associated with the epidemic-like increases observed over the decade.

Building research capacity in developing countries: cost-effectiveness of an epidemiology course taught by traditional and video-teleconferencing methods in Pakistan.

BACKGROUND: Building research capacity in developing countries using cost-effective methods has been recognized as an important pillar for the production of a sound evidence base for decision-making in policy and practice. We assessed the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of a research training course conducted using traditional methods as well as the video-teleconferencing (VTC) method in Pakistan. SUBJECTS AND METHODS: A 9-day epidemiology research training course was offered to physicians in Pakistan (92%) and Bangladesh (8%). The course was taught using (1) a traditional classroom face-to face (F2F) method at the Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan, and (2) the VTC method at two medical institutions within Pakistan. In total, 40 participants were selected for the F2F group and 46 for the VTC group. Outcome parameters were assessed pre- and post-course (short-term) as well as after 1 year (long-term). Costs of conducting the training by both methods were also identified using cost-effectiveness analysis. RESULTS: The total study sample included 56 participants (F2F n =38, VTC n=18) for the short-term and 49 participants for the long-term assessment. After the end of the course (Day 9), mean post-test 1 scores showed significant improvement in both groups: 15.08 ± 1.75 in F2F (p=0.001) versus 13.122 ± 1.87 in VTC (p=0.001). Mean scores 1 year after the course (post-test 2) were lower than mean post-test 1 scores in both groups (13.42 ± 2.61 in F2F versus 12.31 ± 2.08 in VTC) but were higher than the baseline pretest scores. The total incremental cost per score gained was higher for the VTC group for both short-term (VTC incremental cost was $166/score gained) and long-term (VTC incremental cost was $458/ score gained) course effectiveness. CONCLUSIONS: The use of e-technologies in developing countries proves to be an effective way of building capacity and reducing the problems of brain drain. This initial study provides a foundation from which larger studies may be developed.

Chinese disasters and just-in-time education.

Just-in-time ( JIT) Educational Strategy has been applied successfully to share scientific knowledge about disasters in several countries. This strategy was introduced to China in 2008 with the hopes to quickly disseminate accurate scientific data to the population, and it was applied during the Sichuan Earthquake and Influenza A (H1N1) outbreak. Implementation of this strategy likely educated between 10,000 and 20,000,000 people. The efforts demonstrated that an effective JIT strategy impacted millions of people in China after a disaster occurs as a disaster mitigation education method. This paper describes the Chinese JIT approach, and discusses methodologies for implementing JIT lectures in the context of China's medical and public health system.

Investigating socio-economic-demographic determinants of tobacco use in Rawalpindi, Pakistan.

BACKGROUND: To investigate the socio-economic and demographic determinants of tobacco use in Rawalpindi, Pakistan. METHODS: Cross sectional survey of households (population based) with 2018 respondent (1038 Rural; 980 Urban) was carried out in Rawalpindi (Pakistan) and included males and females 18-65 years of age. Main outcome measure was self reported daily tobacco use. RESULTS: Overall 16.5% of the study population (33% men and 4.7% women) used tobacco on a daily basis. Modes of tobacco use included cigarette smoking (68.5%), oral tobacco (13.5%), hukka (12%) and cigarette smoking plus oral tobacco (6%). Among those not using tobacco products, 56% were exposed to Environmental tobacco smoke. The adjusted odds ratio of tobacco use for rural residence compared to urban residence was 1.49 (95% CI 1.1 2.0, p value 0.01) and being male as compared to female 12.6 (8.8 18.0, p value 0.001). Illiteracy was significantly associated with tobacco use. Population attributable percentage of tobacco use increases steadily as the gap between no formal Education and level of education widens. CONCLUSION: There was a positive association between tobacco use and rural area of residence, male gender and low education levels. Low education could be a proxy for low awareness and consumer information on tobacco products. As Public health practitioners we should inform the general public especially the illiterate about the adverse health consequences of tobacco use. Counter advertisement for tobacco use, through mass media particularly radio and television, emphasizing the harmful effects of tobacco on human health is very much needed.

Public awareness and disaster risk reduction: just-in-time networks and learning.

Improving public awareness through education has been recognized widely as a basis for reducing the risk of disasters. Some of the first disaster just-in-time (JIT) education modules were built within 3-6 days after the south Asia tsunami, Hurricane Katrina, and the Bam, Pakistan, and Indonesia earthquakes through a Supercourse. Web monitoring showed that visitors represented a wide spectrum of disciplines and educational levels from 120 developed and developing countries. Building disaster networks using an educational strategy seizes the opportunity of increased public interest to teach and find national and global expertise in hazard and risk information. To be effective, an expert network and a template for the delivery of JIT education must be prepared before an event occurs, focusing on developing core materials that could be customized rapidly, and then be based on the information received from a recent disaster. The recyclable process of the materials would help to improve the quality of the teaching, and decrease the time required for preparation. The core materials can be prepared for disasters resulting from events such as earthquakes, hurricanes, tsunamis, floods, and bioterrorism.

Distribution and determinants of coronary artery disease in an urban Pakistani setting.

OBJECTIVE: We assessed the distribution of coronary artery disease (CAD) and its association with the major biological risk factors and behaviors among Pakistanis presenting at a tertiary care hospital in Karachi, Pakistan. METHOD: An epidemiologic cross-sectional study was conducted at the Aga Khan University Hospital (a teaching hospital) in Karachi, Pakistan. A total of 600 adult (> or =18 years of age) patients visiting family practice clinics for general check-up were included. The association of biological risk factors with CAD (smoking, obesity [body mass index (BMI)], hypertension, family history of ischemic heart diseases [IHD], sedentary lifestyle, diabetes mellitus, total cholesterol, low density lipoprotein [LDL] levels, high density lipoprotein [HDL] levels, and triglycerides) were assessed. RESULTS: On univariate analysis, age > or =40 years, early menopause, BMI > or =29.9 kg/m2, diabetes, high cholesterol, and positive family history of IHD were independently associated with CAD. We found age > or =40 years, diabetes, and positive family history of IHD strongly related with CAD on multivariate analysis. CONCLUSION: Looking at the strong association of major risk factors with CAD, the unique characteristics of Pakistanis must be studied in depth, with focus on high-risk groups.

Brain drain from developing countries: how can brain drain be converted into wisdom gain?

Brain drain is defined as the migration of health personnel in search of the better standard of living and quality of life, higher salaries, access to advanced technology and more stable political conditions in different places worldwide. This migration of health professionals for better opportunities, both within countries and across international borders, is of growing concern worldwide because of its impact on health systems in developing countries. Why do talented people leave their countries and go abroad? What are the consequences of such migrations especially on the educational sector? What policies can be adopted to stem such movements from developing countries to developed countries? This article seeks to raise questions, identify key issues and provide solutions which would enable immigrant health professionals to share their knowledge, skills and innovative capacities and thereby enhancing the economic development of their countries.

Changing prevalence of overweight children and adolescents at onset of insulin-treated diabetes.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to compare the prevalence of being overweight in black and white children and adolescents at onset of insulin-treated diabetes during two time periods: 1979-1989 (period I) and 1990-1998 (period II). RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: All black children <19 years of age diagnosed with diabetes and treated with insulin at onset admitted to the Children's Hospital of Pittsburgh between January 1979 and December 1998 were matched with white children by sex, age at onset, and year of diagnosis. Data were obtained from a review of medical records. Overweight was defined as BMI >or=85th percentile for age and sex. Islet cell autoantibodies were measured. RESULTS: The prevalence of being overweight increased from 12.6% (period I) to 36.8% (period II) (P = 0.0003); in whites from 2.9 to 16.6% (P = 0.04) and in blacks from 22 to 55% (P = 0.001); and in the age-group <11 years from 7.3 to 22.2% (P = 0.04) and age 11-18 years from 20 to 50% (P = 0.006). In children with at least one antibody, the prevalence of being overweight increased from 5.1 to 24.4% (P = 0.001). In the multivariate logistic regression, period of diagnosis (period II), race (black), age at onset (>or=11 years old), and absence of autoimmunity were associated with being overweight. CONCLUSIONS: At onset of the disease, the prevalence of being overweight has tripled from the 1980s to the 1990s, following the trend in the general population. Weight gain may be an accelerating factor for onset of insulin-treated diabetes and may have contributed to the increased incidence of diabetes in youth seen in some populations.

Evidence for heterogeneous pathogenesis of insulin-treated diabetes in black and white children.

OBJECTIVE: We have previously reported differences in the prevalence of beta-cell autoantibodies (AAs) in black and white children with insulin-treated diabetes, suggesting that the disease pathogenesis may be more heterogeneous among racial groups than previously thought. To further explore this issue, we compared clinical, biochemical, and autoimmune characteristics at disease diagnosis and follow-up treatment in an expanded number of black and white children with and without the presence of AAs. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: The study cohort of 130 black children and adolescents, aged <19 years, diagnosed with diabetes and treated with insulin at time of diagnosis (January 1979 to December 1998) were matched with an equal number of white children by age at onset, sex, and year of diagnosis. RESULTS: The black children had a higher prevalence of obesity (43 vs. 11%) and acanthosis nigricans (21 vs. 1%) than white children and a lower prevalence of AAs. Compared with black children who had AAs, those with no AAs were older and had a higher prevalence of obesity, acanthosis nigricans, and parental diabetes. However, one of four of the black children with AAs was obese and/or had acanthosis nigricans. Among white children, the absence of AAs was not associated with any differences in terms of obesity or acanthosis nigricans compared with those with AAs. Similar to their black counterparts, white children without antibodies were older and had a higher prevalence of parental diabetes. Although treatment with an insulin sensitizer was used, insulin therapy was rarely discontinued on follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: These pediatric subjects, irrespective of autoimmunity, often showed characteristics associated with type 2 diabetes. These characteristics were more frequently displayed in black than in white children. Our data suggest that childhood diabetes may constitute a spectrum of pathogenic mechanisms that may overlap, including those typically associated with both type 1 and type 2 diabetes. This finding could have therapeutic implications.

Glucose control in Rwandan youth with type 1 diabetes following establishment of systematic, HbA1c based, care and education.

AIMS: To assess change in glycemic control concurrent with increased clinic visits, HbA1c testing, and education. Rates of complications were also examined. METHODS: A 1-2 year follow-up of 214 members of the Rwanda Life for a Child program (aged <26 years) with a first HbA1c between June 2009 and November 2010 was conducted. Data were analyzed for the entire cohort and by age (<18 years, ≥18 years). Trajectory analysis was performed to identify trends in HbA1c. RESULTS: Mean overall HbA1c decreased significantly from baseline (11.2 ± 2.7%; 99 ± 30 mmol/mol) to one- (10.2 ± 2.6%; 88 ± 28 mmol/mol) and two- (9.8 ± 26%; 84 ± 25 mmol/mol) year follow up visits. The prevalence of microalbuminuria did not significantly change (21.0%, 18.8%, and 19.6%), nor did nephropathy (4.7%, 7.8%, and 5.4%). However, rates of hypertension (31.8%, 44.9%, and 40.3%) were higher than expected. Five HbA1c groups were identified by trajectory analysis, and those with the worst control monitored their glucose significantly fewer times per week. CONCLUSIONS: The establishment of regular care, HbA1c testing, and increased education is associated with significant improvements in glycemic control in youth with type 1 diabetes (T1D) in sub-Saharan Africa, but the high prevalence of hypertension is of concern.

Longitudinal study of the number and choice of leisure time physical activities from mid to late adolescence: implications for school curricula and community recreation programs.

BACKGROUND: Physical activity (PA) declines during adolescence. There has been little research describing this decline or examining participation and nonparticipation in specific activities. OBJECTIVE: To describe the pattern of change in the number of physical activities, the time spent on specific activities, and the stability of participation and nonparticipation in specific activities during adolescence. DESIGN AND SETTING: A population-based 4-year longitudinal study of adolescents recruited from a single suburban school district near Pittsburgh, Pa. PARTICIPANTS: A total of 782 adolescents, aged 12 to 15 years at baseline. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Physical activity was measured annually via questionnaire. Outcome measures include hours per week of PA, number of reported activities, and participation (yes or no) in specific activities. RESULTS: Physical activity declined during the 4 years by 26%. The decline in PA was primarily due to a decrease in the number of reported activities. Adolescents who continued to report an activity during the 4 years of the study maintained or increased the time spent on that specific activity. Female adolescents were more likely to report individual activities, while male adolescents were more likely to report team activities. The probability of maintaining participation in a specific activity during the 4 years was low to moderate, 0.02 to 0.47 for female adolescents and 0.04 to 0.71 for male adolescents. The probability of not participating in a specific activity during the 4 years was extremely high and consistent for male and female adolescents, 0.70 to 1.00. CONCLUSIONS: The decline in PA during adolescence is primarily due to a decrease in the number of activities in which the adolescent is participating, and there is only a moderate probability that an adolescent will continue to participate in an activity during the 4-year period from junior to senior high. Future efforts should be directed at identifying factors associated with initiating and maintaining participation in specific activities.

Infant diet and type 1 diabetes in China.

Infant milk and food introduction may be linked to type 1 diabetes risk in high incidence populations. Dietary data through age 12 months was collected for 247 type 1 diabetic cases and 443 controls in China, a low incidence population, to determine if milk and solid food intake differed. Age range at introduction to milk and formulas was similar in cases and controls but solid food introduction more often occurred before age 3 months in cases. Logistic regression analyses showed soy milk formula consumption at 4-6 (OR = 2.0; 95% CI: 1.1-3.4) and 7-12 months of age (OR = 1.5; 95% CI: 1.0-2.1) was associated with a twofold higher risk of type 1 diabetes, while steamed bread consumption (4-6 months, OR = 0.44; 95% CI: 0.28-0.68; 7-12 months, OR = 0.48; 95% CI: 0.34-0.69) and higher SES (4-6 months, OR = 0.55; 95% CI: 0.39-0.78; 7-12 months, OR = 0.57; 95% CI: 0.40-0.83) were negatively associated. Drinking cow's milk at 7-12 months (OR = 0.60; 95% CI: 0.43-0.85) was negatively associated with type 1 diabetes while consuming vegetables at 4-6 months (OR = 1.5; 95% CI: 1.0-2.2) was positively associated. Results suggest that infant milk and solid food intake are associated with type 1 diabetes in China. Prospective studies may determine how these dietary factors impact disease etiology, particularly for at-risk-populations.

Acculturation and psychosocial stress show differential relationships to insulin resistance (HOMA) and body fat distribution in two groups of blacks living in the US Virgin Islands.

The objective of this study was to determine whether acculturation and psychosocial stress exert differential effects on body fat distribution and insulin resistance among native-born African Americans and African-Caribbean immigrants living in the US Virgin Islands (USVI). Data collected from a non-diabetic sample of 183 USVI-born African Americans and 296 African-Caribbean immigrants age > 20 on the island of St. Croix, USVI were studied. Information on demographic characteristics, acculturation and psychosocial stress was collected by questionnaire. Anthropometric measurements were taken, and serum glucose and insulin were measured from fasting blood samples. Insulin resistance was estimated by the homeostasis model assessment (HOMA) method. The results showed that in multivariate regression analyses, controlling for age, education, gender, BMI, waist circumference, family history of diabetes, smoking and alcohol consumption, acculturation was independently related to logarithm of HOMA (InHOMA) scores among USVI-born African Americans, but not among African-Caribbean immigrants. In contrast, among USVI-born African Americans psychosocial stress was not significantly related to InHOMA, while among African-Caribbean immigrants psychosocial stress was independently related to InHOMA in models that included BMI, but not in those which included waist circumference. This study suggests that acculturation and psychosocial stress may have a differential effect on body fat distribution and insulin resistance among native-born and immigrant blacks living in the US Virgin Islands.

All-cause mortality in a population-based type 1 diabetes cohort in the U.S. Virgin Islands.

OBJECTIVE: Type 1 diabetes remains a significant source of premature mortality; however, its burden has not been assessed in the U.S. Virgin Islands (USVI). As such, the objective of this study was to estimate type 1 diabetes mortality in a population-based registry sample in the USVI. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS: We report overall and 20-year mortality in the USVI Childhood (<19 years old) Diabetes Registry Cohort diagnosed 1979-2005. Recent data for non-Hispanic blacks from the Allegheny County, PA population-based type 1 diabetes registry were used to compare mortality in the USVI to the contiguous U.S. RESULTS: As of December 31, 2010, the vital status of 94 of 103 total cases was confirmed (91.3%) with mean diabetes duration 16.8 ± 7.0 years. No deaths were observed in the 2000-2005 cohort. The overall mortality rates for those diagnosed 1979-1989 and 1990-1999 were 1852 and 782 per 100,000 person-years, respectively. Overall cumulative survival for USVI was 98% (95% CI: 97-99) at 10 years, 92% (95% CI: 89-95) at 15 years and 73% (95% CI: 66-80) at 20 years. The overall SMR for non-Hispanic blacks in the USVI was 5.8 (95% CI: 2.7-8.8). Overall mortality and cumulative survival for non-Hispanic blacks did not differ between the USVI and Allegheny County, PA. CONCLUSIONS: This study, as the first type 1 diabetes mortality follow-up in the USVI, confirmed previous findings of poor disease outcomes in racial/ethnic minorities with type 1 diabetes.

New directions in building a scientific social network: Experiences in the Supercourse project and application to Central Asia.

INTRODUCTION: Networking leaders in the field of public health and medicine is very important for improving health locally and globally, especially in times of disaster. METHODS: Fishing can best be defined as using an internet search engine to find the name and email address of the person or organization that is being sought. RESULTS: With over 500 hours of work, the group compiled a list of nearly 2,000 email addresses of Ministers of Health, deans of the 1,800 medical schools and schools of public health, and heads of medical and public health societies.

Nurse educators establishing new venues in global nursing education.

Nurses represent the largest number of health care workers worldwide, but they are currently underutilized for global health practices. This may be due to the fact that global health programs are not incorporated in nursing education in many countries. The World Health organization (WHO) recognized the importance of building capacity and having well-prepared nurses who are able to exchange knowledge and expertise worldwide, but did not offer practical solutions. A nursing Super course recognizes the gap between what WHO advocates for and what needs to be done in nursing education to achieve well prepared nurses. A solution suggested is to develop well-structured contents that are applicable and can be shared among nursing programs worldwide. A nursing Supercourse is proposed to provide lectures prepared by expert nursing educators and researchers in global health. The nursing Supercourse has emerged from the parent Supercourse that is a virtual library of lectures developed by world experts in public health and medicine. It represents a global library of over 4,300 public health and medical lectures and a network of over 56,000 public health professionals in 174 countries of the world. These lectures are written in different languages, prepared in easy format, and can be accessed through the internet. In other words does not require the usage of any advanced technology. The Supercourse educational technology has been used successfully in Epidemiology education focusing on multiple topics in public health such as non- communicable disease prevention (NCD), chronic diseases, disaster preparedness, environmental health, and others. Training of nursing students in global health while there are attending nursing programs needs to be a part of the national and international health efforts for disease prevention and health promotion.