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1.
Nat Commun ; 14(1): 5379, 2023 Sep 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37666800

RESUMO

Solar and wind resources are vital for the sustainable energy transition. Although renewable potentials have been widely assessed in existing literature, few studies have examined the statistical characteristics of the inherent renewable uncertainties arising from natural randomness, which is inevitable in stochastic-aware research and applications. Here we develop a rule-of-thumb statistical learning model for wind and solar power prediction and generate a year-long dataset of hourly prediction errors of 30 provinces in China. We reveal diversified spatiotemporal distribution patterns of prediction errors, indicating that over 60% of wind prediction errors and 50% of solar prediction errors arise from scenarios with high utilization rates. The first-order difference and peak ratio of generation series are two primary indicators explaining the uncertainty distribution. Additionally, we analyze the seasonal distributions of the provincial prediction errors that reveal a consistent law in China. Finally, policies including incentive improvements and interprovincial scheduling are suggested.

2.
RSC Adv ; 12(7): 4311-4321, 2022 Jan 28.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35425419

RESUMO

Heat-conductive silicone grease (HCSG), one of the most common composite thermal interface materials (TIMs) used in many advanced applications, is limited by its low thermal conductivity (TC). Different surface modification agents are required to improve the dispersion of TC additives and the interfacial compatibility with the silicone matrix. In this study, MQ silicone resin (MQ) was used to modify two kinds of self-made spherical boron nitrides (SBNs), with different particle sizes, using the sedimentation method. The amount of filler content allowed within the SBNs increased owing to the similar polarity of the MQ and the silicone matrix, and a HCSG with a TC of 1.22 W (m-1 K-1) and a thermal resistance (TR) of 0.49 °C W-1 was obtained, respectively. In addition, the TC pathway was formed more easily with the 15 µm SBNs than with the 5 µm SBNs. In order to verify its potential application in battery thermal management, the HCSG was assembled on the surface of the liquid-cooling plate in the 18 650-battery module, and it was found that the maximum temperature of the battery module could be maintained below 42 °C, and the temperature difference could be controlled within 5 °C. Thus, with these excellent performances, the MQ silicone resin reported here, with respect to the assembly methods, will provide insights into the thermal management and energy storage fields.

3.
Sci Rep ; 5: 9213, 2015 Mar 19.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-25790439

RESUMO

There is an increasingly hot debate on whether the replacement of conventional vehicles (CVs) by electric vehicles (EVs) should be delayed or accelerated since EVs require higher cost and cause more pollution than CVs in the manufacturing process. Here we reveal two hidden benefits of EVs for addressing climate change to support the imperative acceleration of replacing CVs with EVs. As EVs emit much less heat than CVs within the same mileage, the replacement can mitigate urban heat island effect (UHIE) to reduce the energy consumption of air conditioners, benefitting local and global climates. To demonstrate these effects brought by the replacement of CVs by EVs, we take Beijing, China, as an example. EVs emit only 19.8% of the total heat emitted by CVs per mile. The replacement of CVs by EVs in 2012 could have mitigated the summer heat island intensity (HII) by about 0.94°C, reduced the amount of electricity consumed daily by air conditioners in buildings by 14.44 million kilowatt-hours (kWh), and reduced daily CO2 emissions by 10,686 tonnes.

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