Chronic hepatitis B baseline viral load and on-treatment liver cancer risk: A multinational cohort study of HBeAg-positive patients.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: A single-nation study reported that pretreatment HBV viral load is associated with on-treatment risk of HCC in patients who are HBeAg-positive without cirrhosis and with chronic hepatitis B initiating antiviral treatment. We aimed to validate the association between baseline HBV viral load and on-treatment HCC risk in a larger, multinational cohort. APPROACH AND RESULTS: Using a multinational cohort from Korea, Hong Kong, and Taiwan involving 7545 adult patients with HBeAg-positive, without cirrhosis and with chronic hepatitis B who started entecavir or tenofovir treatment with baseline HBV viral load ≥5.00 log 10 IU/mL, HCC risk was estimated by baseline viral load. HBV viral load was analyzed as a categorical variable. During continuous antiviral treatment (median, 4.28 y), HCC developed in 200 patients (incidence rate, 0.61 per 100 person-years). Baseline HBV DNA level was independently associated with on-treatment HCC risk in a nonlinear pattern. HCC risk was lowest with the highest baseline viral load (≥8.00 log 10 IU/mL; incidence rate, 0.10 per 100 person-years), but increased sharply as baseline viral load decreased. The adjusted HCC risk was 8.05 times higher (95% CI, 3.34-19.35) with baseline viral load ≥6.00 and <7.00 log 10 IU/mL (incidence rate, 1.38 per 100 person-years) compared with high (≥8.00 log 10 IU/mL) baseline viral load ( p <0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In a multinational cohort of adult patients with HBeAg-positive without cirrhosis and with chronic hepatitis B, baseline HBV viral load was significantly associated with HCC risk despite antiviral treatment. Patients with the highest viral load who initiated treatment had the lowest long-term risk of HCC development.

Viral Load-Based Prediction of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Risk in Noncirrhotic Patients With Chronic Hepatitis B : A Multinational Study for the Development and External Validation of a New Prognostic Model.

BACKGROUND: A nonlinear association between serum hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA levels and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk has been suggested in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). OBJECTIVE: To develop and externally validate a prognostic model for HCC risk in noncirrhotic adult patients with CHB and no notable alanine aminotransferase (ALT) elevation. DESIGN: Multinational cohort study. SETTING: A community-based cohort in Taiwan (REVEAL-HBV [Risk Evaluation of Viral Load Elevation and Associated Liver Disease/Cancer-Hepatitis B Virus]; REACH-B [Risk Estimation for HCC in CHB] model cohort) and 8 hospital-based cohorts from Korea and Hong Kong (GAG-HCC [Guide with Age, Gender, HBV DNA-HCC] and CU-HCC [Chinese University-HCC] cohorts). PARTICIPANTS: Model development: 6949 patients with CHB from a Korean hospital-based cohort. External validation: 7429 patients with CHB combined from the Taiwanese cohort and 7 cohorts from Korea and Hong Kong. MEASUREMENTS: Incidence of HCC. RESULTS: Over median follow-up periods of 10.0 and 12.2 years, the derivation and validation cohorts identified 435 and 467 incident HCC cases, respectively. Baseline HBV DNA level was one of the strongest predictors of HCC development, demonstrating a nonlinear parabolic association in both cohorts, with moderate viral loads (around 6 log10 IU/mL) showing the highest HCC risk. Additional predictors included in the new model (Revised REACH-B) were age, sex, platelet count, ALT levels, and positive hepatitis B e antigen result. The model exhibited satisfactory discrimination and calibration, with c-statistics of 0.844 and 0.813 in the derivation and validation cohorts with multiple imputation, respectively. The model yielded a greater positive net benefit compared with other strategies in the 0% to 18% threshold. LIMITATION: Validation in cohorts of other races and receiving antiviral treatment was lacking. CONCLUSION: Our new prognostic model, based on the nonlinear association between HBV viral loads and HCC risk, provides a valuable tool for predicting and stratifying HCC risk in noncirrhotic patients with CHB who are not currently indicated for antiviral treatment. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: Korean government.

Non-linear association of baseline viral load with on-treatment hepatocellular carcinoma risk in chronic hepatitis B.

OBJECTIVE: The association between baseline pretreatment serum HBV DNA levels and on-treatment hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk remains controversial in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). We aimed to investigate the association between baseline HBV viral load and on-treatment HCC risk in CHB patients without cirrhosis. DESIGN: Using a multicentre historical cohort study including 4693 hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-negative and HBeAg-positive, adult CHB patients without cirrhosis who initiated antiviral treatment, HCC risk was estimated by baseline HBV viral load as a categorical variable. RESULTS: During a median of 7.6 years of antiviral treatment, 193 patients developed HCC (0.53 per 100 person- years). Baseline HBV DNA level was independently associated with on-treatment HCC risk in a non-linear, parabolic pattern. Patients with moderate baseline viral loads (5.00-7.99 log10 IU/mL) exhibited the highest HCC risk (HR, 2.60; p<0.001), followed by those with low viral loads (3.30-4.99 log10 IU/mL; HR, 1.66; p=0.11). Patients with high viral loads (≥8.00 log10 IU/mL) presented the lowest HCC risk. Particularly, patients with baseline HBV DNA levels 6.00-6.99 log10 IU/mL had the highest on-treatment HCC risk (HR, 3.36; p<0.001) compared with those with baseline HBV DNA levels≥8.00 log10 IU/mL. These findings were more prominent among HBeAg-positive patients, younger patients, or those with less advanced hepatic fibrosis. CONCLUSION: Patients with moderate baseline viral load, particularly around 6 log10 IU/mL, demonstrated the highest on-treatment HCC risk, despite long-term antiviral treatment. Early initiation of antiviral treatment, tailored to viral load, should be considered to minimise HCC risk in adult CHB patients without cirrhosis.

Phase Ib/IIa randomized study of heterologous ChAdOx1-HBV/MVA-HBV therapeutic vaccination (VTP-300) as monotherapy and combined with low-dose nivolumab in virally-suppressed patients with CHB.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The induction of effective CD8+ T cells is thought to play a critical role in the functional cure of chronic hepatitis B (CHB). Additionally, the use of checkpoint inhibitors is being evaluated to overcome T-cell dysfunction during CHB. METHODS: A chimpanzee adenoviral vector (ChAdOx1-HBV) and a Modified vaccinia Ankara boost (MVA-HBV) encoding the inactivated polymerase, core, and S region from a consensus genotype C HBV were studied. Fifty-five patients with virally suppressed CHB and HBsAg <4,000 IU/ml were enrolled. Group 1 received MVA-HBV intramuscularly on Day 0 and 28, Group 2 received ChAdOx1-HBV on Day 0 and MVA-HBV on Day 28 (VTP-300), Group 3 received VTP-300 + low-dose nivolumab (LDN) on Day 28, and Group 4 received VTP-300 plus LDN with both injections. RESULTS: VTP-300 alone and in combination with LDN was well tolerated with no treatment-related serious adverse events. Reductions of HBsAg were demonstrated in Group 2: 3 of 18 patients with starting HBsAg <50 IU/ml had durable log10 declines of >0.7 log10 at 2 months after the last dose. Group 3 (n = 18) had mean reductions in HBsAg of 0.76 log10 and 0.80 log10 (p <0.001) at 2 and 7 months after the last dose. Two patients developed persistent non-detectable HBsAg levels. CD4+ and CD8+ antigen-specific T-cell responses were generated and there was a correlation between IFN-γ ELISpot response and HBsAg decline in Group 2. CONCLUSIONS: VTP-300 induced CD4+ and CD8+ T cells and lowered HBsAg in a subset of patients with baseline values below 100 IU/ml. The addition of LDN resulted in significant reduction in surface antigen. VTP-300 is a promising immunotherapeutic that warrants further development alone or in combination therapies. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: The induction of potent, durable CD8+ T cells may be critical to achieving a functional cure in chronic HBV infection. A prime-boost immunotherapeutic consisting of an adenoviral-vector encoding hepatitis B antigens followed by a pox virus boost was shown to induce CD8+ T cells and to lower HBsAg, either alone or more impactfully when administered in conjunction with a checkpoint inhibitor, in patients with chronic hepatitis B. The use of immunotherapeutics in this setting warrants further evaluation. CLINTRIALS: NCT047789.

Tenofovir Is Associated With a Better Prognosis Than Entecavir for Hepatitis B Virus-Related Hepatocellular Carcinoma.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Whether tenofovir or entecavir has different effects on the prevention of hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in secondary and tertiary preventive settings is still a matter of debate. This study aimed to compare the long-term prognosis of HCC between tenofovir and entecavir in patients with chronic hepatitis B. METHODS: Chronic hepatitis B patients diagnosed with HCC between November 2008 and December 2018 and treated with either entecavir or tenofovir at a tertiary center in Korea were included. The effect of tenofovir compared with entecavir on the prognosis of HBV-related HCC was assessed using multivariable-adjusted Cox and propensity score (PS)-matched analyses. Various predefined subgroup analyses were conducted. RESULTS: During a median follow-up period of 3.0 years, the mortality rate for entecavir-treated patients (n = 3469) was 41.2%, while tenofovir-treated patients (n = 3056) had a mortality rate of 34.6%. Overall survival (OS) was better in the tenofovir group (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.79; P < .001), which were consistently observed in the PS-matched analysis. The magnitude of the risk difference in OS was more prominent 2 years after the diagnosis of HCC (aHR, 0.50; P < .001) than 2 years before (aHR, 0.88; P = .005), and it was more pronounced in patients with earlier HCC stages. In all subgroups, except for those with shorter life expectancy, such as those with compromised liver function, tenofovir was associated with better OS compared with entecavir. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with HBV-related HCC, those treated with tenofovir had a better prognosis than those treated with entecavir, particularly among those with prolonged survival.

Updated Reference Intervals for Alanine Aminotransferase in a Metabolically and Histologically Normal Population.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: This study aims to reevaluate upper reference limit (URL) for alanine aminotransferase (ALT) by considering the changing epidemiology of major liver diseases. We employed histological and metabolic parameters in Asian living liver donors. METHODS: We performed a retrospective analysis of 5455 potential living liver donors from 2005 to 2019. Participants were screened for hepatitis B, C, HIV, and alcohol use. Histologically and metabolically healthy participants were assessed using the Prati criteria (body mass index <23 kg/m2, triglyceride ≤200 mg/dL, fasting glucose ≤105 mg/dL, total cholesterol ≤220 mg/dL). The updated ALT-URL was determined as the 95th percentile among participants without hepatic steatosis and who met the Prati criteria. RESULTS: The median age was 30 years, with a male predominance (66.2%). Among 5455 participants, 3162 (58.0%) showed no hepatic steatosis, with 1553 (49.1%) meeting both the criteria for no steatosis and the Prati criteria for metabolic health. The updated URL for ALT in these participants was 34 U/L for males and 22 U/L for females, which was significantly lower than conventionally accepted values. Using this revised ALT-URL, 72.8% of males with ALT levels ≥34 U/L and 55.0% of females with ALT levels ≥22 U/L showed signs of steatosis, whereas 32.7% of males and 22.2% of females met the criteria for metabolic syndrome. CONCLUSIONS: Our study provided the newly established reference intervals for ALT levels in a metabolically and histologically verified Asian population. The proposed URL for ALT are 34 U/L and 22 U/L for males and females, respectively.

Baseline Viral Load and On-treatment Hepatocellular Carcinoma Risk in Chronic Hepatitis B: A Multinational Cohort Study.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk persists in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) despite antiviral therapy. The relationship between pre-treatment baseline hepatitis B virus (HBV) viral load and HCC risk during antiviral treatment remains uncertain. METHODS: This multinational cohort study aimed to investigate the association between baseline HBV viral load and on-treatment HCC risk in 20,826 noncirrhotic, hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-positive and HBeAg-negative patients with baseline HBV DNA levels ≥2000 IU/mL (3.30 log10 IU/mL) who initiated entecavir or tenofovir treatment. The primary outcome was on-treatment HCC incidence, stratified by baseline HBV viral load as a categorical variable. RESULTS: In total, 663 patients developed HCC over a median follow-up of 4.1 years, with an incidence rate of 0.81 per 100 person-years (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.75-0.87). Baseline HBV viral load was significantly associated with HCC risk in a non-linear parabolic pattern, independent of other factors. Patients with baseline viral load between 6.00 and 7.00 log10 IU/mL had the highest on-treatment HCC risk (adjusted hazard ratio, 4.28; 95% CI, 2.15-8.52; P < .0001) compared with those with baseline viral load ≥8.00 log10 IU/mL, who exhibited the lowest HCC risk. CONCLUSION: Baseline viral load showed a significant, non-linear, parabolic association with HCC risk during antiviral treatment in noncirrhotic patients with CHB. Early initiation of antiviral treatment based on HBV viral load may help prevent irreversible HCC risk accumulation in patients with CHB.

Treatment decisions based on HBV DNA.

The most common cause of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) worldwide is chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection (CHB). Long-term suppression of HBV replication by antiviral treatment reduces the risk of HCC and mortality. Nonetheless, only 2.2% of CHB patients globally received the treatment in 2019. Current international CHB guidelines recommend antiviral treatment only in subsets of patients with clear evidence of liver damage as evidenced by elevation of alanine aminotransferase (ALT). This review aims to provide existing evidence that the risk of HCC is significantly associated with serum levels of HBV DNA, and the association is non-linear parabolic, in both untreated and treated CHB patients, regardless of HBeAg status or ALT levels. Therefore, the decision for the antiviral treatment should be based on serum HBV DNA levels and age, rather than ALT levels or liver biopsy, to reduce or prevent the risk of HCC in CHB patients. The potential impact and cost-effectiveness data on early antiviral treatment initiation were also collated.

Improving the hepatitis C virus care cascade with the in-hospital Reflex tEsting ALarm-C (REAL-C) model.

BACKGROUND: The World Health Organization (WHO) has set targets to eliminate viral hepatitis, including hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, by 2030. We present the results of the in-hospital Reflex tEsting ALarm-C (REAL-C) model, which incorporates reflex HCV RNA testing and sending alerts to physicians. METHODS: We conducted a retrospective study analysing the data of 1730 patients who newly tested positive for anti-HCV between March 2020 and June 2023. Three distinct periods were defined: pre-REAL-C (n = 696), incomplete REAL-C (n = 515) and complete REAL-C model periods (n = 519). The primary outcome measure was the HCV RNA testing rate throughout the study period. Additionally, we assessed the referral rate to the gastroenterology department, linkage time for diagnosis and treatment and the treatment rate. RESULTS: The rate of HCV RNA testing increased significantly from 51.0% (pre-REAL-C) to 95.6% (complete REAL-C). This improvement was consistent across clinical departments, regardless of patients' comorbidities. Among patients with confirmed HCV infection, the gastroenterology referral rate increased from 57.1% to 81.1% after the REAL-C model. The treatment rate among treatment-eligible patients was 92.4% during the study period. The mean interval from anti-HCV positivity to HCV RNA testing decreased from 45.1 to 1.9 days. The mean interval from the detection of anti-HCV positivity to direct-acting antiviral treatment also decreased from 89.5 to 49.5 days with the REAL-C model. CONCLUSION: The REAL-C model, featuring reflex testing and physician alerts, effectively increased HCV RNA testing rates and streamlined care cascades. Our model facilitated progress towards achieving WHO's elimination goals for HCV infection.

Revisiting the steatosis-associated fibrosis estimator score in young Asian subjects with steatotic liver disease and consideration for population variability.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: The steatosis-associated fibrosis estimator (SAFE) score has been developed to distinguish clinically significant fibrosis in patients with steatotic liver disease (SLD). However, validation of its performance in Asian subjects is limited. This study aimed to evaluate the performance of the SAFE score in Asian subjects with biopsy-proven SLD and in different subgroups according to age, sex, and body mass index. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed 6383 living liver donors who underwent a liver biopsy between 2005 and 2023. Of these, 1551 subjects with biopsy-proven SLD were included. The performance of the SAFE score was evaluated using areas under the curve and compared with those of the nonalcoholic fatty liver disease fibrosis score (NFS) and fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4). RESULTS: The prevalence of clinically significant fibrosis in the cohort was 2.2%. The proportion of subjects with a "low-risk" SAFE score was the highest (91.0%), followed by those with "intermediate-risk" (7.8%) and "high-risk" (1.2%) scores. The prevalence of fibrosis in subjects with low-risk, intermediate-risk, and high-risk scores was 1.6%, 6.6%, and 21.1%, respectively. The SAFE outperformed FIB-4 and NFS (area under the curve: 0.70 vs 0.64 for both NFS and FIB-4). However, it showed low diagnostic accuracy and sensitivity (27%) at the low cutoff (SAFE < 0) in subjects aged 30-39 years (fibrosis: 1.2%), despite having a high negative predictive value (0.99). CONCLUSION: While the SAFE score demonstrates superior performance compared with other noninvasive tests in Asian subjects with SLD, its performance varies across age groups. In younger subjects, particularly, its performance may be more limited.

Evaluation of RNAi therapeutics VIR-2218 and ALN-HBV for chronic hepatitis B: Results from randomized clinical trials.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Current therapy for chronic hepatitis B virus (cHBV) infection involves lifelong treatment. New treatments that enable HBV functional cure would represent a clinically meaningful advance. ALN-HBV and VIR-2218 are investigational RNA interference therapeutics that target all major HBV transcripts. METHODS: We report on: i) the safety of single doses of VIR-2218 (modified from ALN-HBV by enhanced stabilization chemistry plus technology to reduce off-target, seed-mediated binding while maintaining on-target antiviral activity) and ALN-HBV in humanized mice; ii) a cross-study comparison of the safety of single doses of VIR-2218 and ALN-HBV in healthy human volunteers (n = 24 and n = 49, respectively); and iii) the antiviral activity of two doses of 20, 50, 100, 200 mg of VIR-2218 (total n = 24) vs. placebo (n = 8), given 4 weeks apart, in participants with cHBV infection. RESULTS: In humanized mice, alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels were markedly lower following administration of VIR-2218 compared with ALN-HBV. In healthy volunteers, post-treatment ALT elevations occurred in 28% of participants receiving ALN-HBV compared with none in those receiving VIR-2218. In participants with cHBV infection, VIR-2218 was associated with dose-dependent reductions in hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg). The greatest mean reduction of HBsAg at Week 20 in participants receiving 200 mg was 1.65 log IU/ml. The HBsAg reduction was maintained at 0.87 log IU/ml at Week 48. No participants had serum HBsAg loss or hepatitis B surface antibody seroconversion. CONCLUSIONS: VIR-2218 demonstrated an encouraging hepatic safety profile in preclinical and clinical studies as well as dose-dependent HBsAg reductions in patients with cHBV infection. These data support future studies with VIR-2218 as part of combination regimens with a goal of HBV functional cure. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov identifiers: NCT02826018 and NCT03672188. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: A significant unmet need exists for therapies for chronic HBV (cHBV) infection that achieve functional cure. We report clinical and non-clinical data on two investigational small-interfering RNAs that target HBx, ALN-HBV and VIR-2218, demonstrating that incorporation of enhanced stabilization chemistry plus technology in VIR-2218 reduces its propensity to cause ALT elevations relative to its parent compound, ALN-HBV. We also show that VIR-2218 reduces hepatitis B surface antigen levels in a dose-dependent manner in participants with cHBV infection. These studies support the continued development of VIR-2218 as part of therapeutic regimens for cHBV infection, with the goal of a functional cure, and are important for HBV researchers and physicians.

Hepatocellular carcinoma risk in patients with chronic hepatitis B receiving tenofovir- vs. entecavir-based regimens: Individual patient data meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: The comparative risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) receiving tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) vs. entecavir (ETV) remains controversial. In this individual patient data (IPD) meta-analysis, we aimed to compare HCC risk between the two drugs and identify subgroups who may benefit more from one treatment than the other. METHODS: Published meta-analyses, electronic databases and congress proceedings were searched to identify eligible studies through January 2021. We compared HCC risk between the two drugs using a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model with anonymised IPD from treatment-naïve patients with CHB receiving TDF or ETV for ≥1 year. Treatment effect consistency was explored in propensity score matching (PSM), weighting (PSW) and subgroup analyses for age, sex, hepatitis B e-antigen (HBeAg) positivity, cirrhosis and diabetes status. RESULTS: We included 11 studies from Korea, Taiwan and Hong Kong involving 42,939 patients receiving TDF (n = 6,979) or ETV (n = 35,960) monotherapy. Patients receiving TDF had significantly lower HCC risk (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0.77; 95% CI 0.61-0.98; p = 0.03). Lower HCC risk with TDF was consistently observed in PSM (HR 0.73; 95% CI 0.59-0.88; p <0.01) and PSW (HR 0.83; 95% CI 0.67-1.03; p = 0.10) analyses and in all subgroups, with statistical significance in the ≥50 years of age (HR 0.76; 95% CI 0.58-1.00; p <0.05), male (HR 0.74; 95% CI 0.58-0.96; p = 0.02), HBeAg-positive (HR 0.69; 95% CI 0.49-0.97; p = 0.03) and non-diabetic (HR 0.79; 95% CI 0.63-1.00; p <0.05) subgroups. CONCLUSION: TDF was associated with significantly lower HCC risk than ETV in patients with CHB, particularly those with HBeAg positivity. Longer follow-up may be needed to better define incidence differences between the treatments in various subgroups. IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: Previous aggregate data meta-analyses have reported inconsistent conclusions on the relative effectiveness of tenofovir disoproxil fumarate and entecavir in reducing hepatocellular carcinoma risk in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). This individual patient data meta-analysis on 11 studies involving 42,939 patients from Korea, Taiwan and Hong Kong suggested that tenofovir disoproxil fumarate-treated patients have a significantly lower hepatocellular carcinoma risk than entecavir-treated patients, which was observed in all subgroups of clinical interest and by different analytical methodologies. These findings should be taken into account by healthcare providers when determining the optimal course of treatment for patients with CHB and may be considered in ensuring that treatment guidelines for CHB remain pertinent.

Detecting Early Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Patients With Chronic Hepatitis B Using Longitudinal α-Fetoprotein Screening.

BACKGROUND & AIMS: This study aimed to evaluate the parametric empirical Bayes (PEB) longitudinal α-fetoprotein (AFP) screening algorithm performance in patients with hepatitis B compared with AFP surveillance with a fixed threshold. METHODS: The serum AFP of 588 patients was measured. Patients were screened at least once every 6 months with AFP and ultrasound or computed tomography/magnetic resonance imaging. Age, aspartate aminotransferase level, alanine aminotransferase level, platelet count, total bilirubin, prothrombin time, and hepatitis B virus DNA level were adjusted in the PEB algorithm. All variables were abstracted at the time of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) diagnosis for cases or last follow-up for controls and at months -6, -12, -18, -24, -30, -36, -42, -48, and -54, up to month -60. RESULTS: Overall, 62 (10.5%) HCC cases developed during a median follow-up of 52.7 months. Moreover, 55 (88.7%) cases were detected at Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer stage 0 or A. The area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve of the patient-level true positive rate against the screening-level false positive rate was significantly higher in the PEB algorithm than that in AFP alone (area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve: 0.94 vs 0.86; P < .0005). At 80% specificity, the PEB algorithm significantly improved the patient-level true positive rate within 2 years prior to HCC diagnosis compared with AFP alone (80.6% vs 67.7%, respectively; P = .0485; adjusted P = .1663). The PEB algorithm more effectively enabled first positive screening. CONCLUSIONS: The longitudinal assessment of AFP by the PEB algorithm improved HCC screening performance compared to AFP alone in patients with hepatitis B. This algorithm may improve HCC screening without additional cost or inconvenience to patients.

Low Level of Hepatitis B Viremia Compared With Undetectable Viremia Increases the Risk of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Patients With Untreated Compensated Cirrhosis.

INTRODUCTION: The initiation of antiviral treatment in patients with chronic hepatitis B with compensated cirrhosis and low-level viremia (LLV; HBV DNA 15-2,000 IU/mL) remains controversial. We sought to compare the long-term outcomes of these untreated patients according to their viremic status. METHODS: Six hundred twenty-seven untreated patients with chronic hepatitis B with compensated cirrhosis were analyzed retrospectively. The risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and liver-related clinical events, including hepatic decompensation, were compared between patients with LLV and undetectable HBV DNA. Patients who received antiviral treatment were censored during treatment initiation. RESULTS: The mean age of the patients was 54.7 years, 64.4% of whom were male. During the study period, 59 patients developed HCC (20 and 39 in the undetectable and LLV groups, respectively) with an annual incidence of 2.44/100 person-years. Multivariable analysis revealed that the LLV group was associated with a significantly higher risk of HCC (adjusted hazard ratio: 2.36, P = 0.002) than the undetectable group. In the 204 propensity score-matched cohort, the LLV group had a 2.16-fold greater risk of HCC than the undetectable group ( P = 0.014). Liver-related clinical events occurred in 121 patients with an annual incidence of 5.25/100 person-years. Despite not reaching statistical significance, the LLV group tended to have a higher risk of liver-related events in the propensity score-matched cohort (hazard ratio: 1.14, P = 0.50). DISCUSSION: Compared with patients with undetectable HBV DNA, those with compensated cirrhosis and LLV had a significantly higher risk of HCC. Antiviral treatment should be advised for these patients.

Liver Cirrhosis Increases the Risk of Herpes Zoster: A Nationwide Population-Based Cohort Study.

INTRODUCTION: Limited data are available regarding the association between liver cirrhosis (LC) and the risk of herpes zoster (HZ). This study aimed to determine the risk of HZ in patients with LC. METHODS: HZ was defined as the presence of the International Classification of Diseases-10th revision code for HZ and concomitant prescription of antiviral medication. The incidence rates and standardized incidence ratios (SIRs) of HZ in patients with LC were analyzed using data from the Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service in Korea claims database from 2009 to 2019. RESULTS: A total of 504,986 Korean patients with LC were included. The mean age was 52.4 years, and 60.8% were men. Chronic hepatitis B was the most common cause of LC. The incidence rates for HZ and HZ-related hospitalization were 21.6 of 1,000 and 1.81 of 1,000 person-years, respectively. The SIRs for HZ and HZ-related hospitalization were 1.09 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.08-1.09) and 1.48 (95% CI: 1.44-1.52), respectively, which were significantly higher than those in the general population. Patients with LC aged 20-29, 30-39, and 40-49 years had SIRs for HZ of 1.41 (95% CI: 1.33-1.48), 1.16 (1.13-1.19), and 1.17 (1.13-1.19), respectively. In multivariable analysis, woman (adjusted hazard ratio [AHR]: 1.48), steroid (AHR: 1.20), immunosuppressant use (AHR: 1.26), and combined comorbidities were associated with an increased risk of HZ among patients with LC. DISCUSSION: Patients with LC, particularly those who are not currently recommended for HZ vaccination, were at an increased risk of HZ and HZ-related hospitalization compared with the general Korean population.

Long-term Treatment With Tenofovir Alafenamide for Chronic Hepatitis B Results in High Rates of Viral Suppression and Favorable Renal and Bone Safety.

OBJECTIVES: Results from two Phase 3 studies, through 2 years, in chronic hepatitis B infection (CHB) showed tenofovir alafenamide (TAF) had similar efficacy to tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) with superior renal and bone safety. Here, we report updated results through 5 years. METHODS: Patients with HBeAg-negative or -positive CHB with or without compensated cirrhosis were randomized (2:1) to TAF 25 mg or TDF 300 mg once daily in double-blind (DB) fashion for up to 3 years, followed by open-label (OL) TAF up to 8 years. Efficacy (antiviral, biochemical, serologic), resistance (deep sequencing of polymerase/reverse transcriptase and phenotyping), and safety, including renal and bone parameters, were evaluated by pooled analyses. RESULTS: Of 1298 randomized and treated patients, 866 receiving TAF (DB and OL) and 432 receiving TDF with rollover to OL TAF at year 2 (n = 180; TDF→TAF3y) or year 3 (n = 202; TDF→TAF2y) were included. Fifty (4%) TDF patients who discontinued during DB were excluded. At year 5, 85%, 83%, and 90% achieved HBV DNA < 29 IU/mL (missing = failure) in the TAF, TDF→TAF3y, and TDF→TAF2y groups, respectively; no patient developed TAF or TDF resistance. Median eGFR (by Cockcroft-Gault) declined < 2.5 mL/min, and mean declines of < 1% in hip and spine bone mineral density were seen at year 5 in the TAF group; patients in the TDF→TAF groups had improvements in these parameters at year 5 after switching to OL TAF. CONCLUSIONS: Long-term TAF treatment resulted in high rates of viral suppression, no resistance, and favorable renal and bone safety.

Personalized Antiviral Drug Selection in Patients With Chronic Hepatitis B Using a Machine Learning Model: A Multinational Study.

INTRODUCTION: Tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) is reportedly superior or at least comparable to entecavir (ETV) for the prevention of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis B; however, it has distinct long-term renal and bone toxicities. This study aimed to develop and validate a machine learning model (designated as Prediction of Liver cancer using Artificial intelligence-driven model for Network-antiviral Selection for hepatitis B [PLAN-S]) to predict an individualized risk of HCC during ETV or TDF therapy. METHODS: This multinational study included 13,970 patients with chronic hepatitis B. The derivation (n = 6,790), Korean validation (n = 4,543), and Hong Kong-Taiwan validation cohorts (n = 2,637) were established. Patients were classified as the TDF-superior group when a PLAN-S-predicted HCC risk under ETV treatment is greater than under TDF treatment, and the others were defined as the TDF-nonsuperior group. RESULTS: The PLAN-S model was derived using 8 variables and generated a c-index between 0.67 and 0.78 for each cohort. The TDF-superior group included a higher proportion of male patients and patients with cirrhosis than the TDF-nonsuperior group. In the derivation, Korean validation, and Hong Kong-Taiwan validation cohorts, 65.3%, 63.5%, and 76.4% of patients were classified as the TDF-superior group, respectively. In the TDF-superior group of each cohort, TDF was associated with a significantly lower risk of HCC than ETV (hazard ratio = 0.60-0.73, all P < 0.05). In the TDF-nonsuperior group, however, there was no significant difference between the 2 drugs (hazard ratio = 1.16-1.29, all P > 0.1). DISCUSSION: Considering the individual HCC risk predicted by PLAN-S and the potential TDF-related toxicities, TDF and ETV treatment may be recommended for the TDF-superior and TDF-nonsuperior groups, respectively.

Safety, pharmacokinetics and antiviral activity of ABI-H2158, a hepatitis B virus core inhibitor: A randomized, placebo-controlled phase 1 study.

Treatment for chronic hepatitis B virus infection (cHBV) is mostly indefinite, with new finite-duration therapies needed. We report safety, pharmacokinetics and antiviral activity of the investigational HBV core inhibitor ABI-H2158. This Phase 1a/b study (NCT03714152) had three parts: Part A, participants received a single ascending oral dose of ABI-H2158 (5-500 mg) or placebo; Part B, participants received multiple doses of ABI-H2158 300 mg once (QD) or twice (BID) daily or placebo, for 10 days; Part C, cHBV patients received ABI-H2158 (100, 300, or 500 mg QD or 300 mg BID) or placebo, for 14 days. Ninety-three participants enrolled. In Parts A/B, there were no serious adverse events (SAEs) or deaths, and all treatment-emergent AEs (TEAEs) were Grade 1. In Part C, two patients had Grade 3 TEAEs unrelated to ABI-H2158; there were no deaths, SAEs or Grade 4 TEAEs. In Part A, median time to maximum ABI-H2158 plasma concentration (Tmax ) and mean terminal elimination half-life (t½ ) were 1-4 and 9.8-20.7 h, and area under the plasma concentration-time curve increased dose proportionally. In Part B, Day 10 Tmax was 2 h, mean t½ was 15.5-18.4 h, and exposure accumulated 1.7- to 3.1-fold. In Part C, Day 14 Tmax was 1 h, exposure accumulated 1.4- to 1.8-fold, and ABI-H2158 was associated with >2 log10 declines in HBV nucleic acids. In conclusion, ABI-H2158 in cHBV patients following 14 days of dosing was well tolerated and demonstrated potent antiviral activity. Safety and pharmacokinetics supported future QD dosing.

A model for predicting poor survival in patients with cirrhosis undergoing portosystemic shunt embolization.

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Portosystemic shunt embolization (PSSE) is a promising treatment for hepatic encephalopathy (HEP) and gastric varix (GV) in cirrhotic patients with a spontaneous portosystemic shunt. However, PSSE may worsen portal hypertension causing hepatorenal syndrome, liver failure, and mortality. This study aimed to develop and validate a prognostic model that helps identify patients with a risk of poor short-term survival after PSSE. METHODS: We included 188 patients who underwent PSSE for recurrent HEP or GV at a tertiary center in Korea. To develop a prediction model for 6-month survival after PSSE, Cox proportional-hazard model was used. The developed model was validated in a separate cohort of 184 patients from two other tertiary centers. RESULTS: In multivariable analysis, the 1-year overall survival after PSSE was significantly associated with baseline levels of serum albumin, total bilirubin, and international normalized ratio (INR). We therefore developed the albumin-bilirubin-INR (ABI) score by assigning 1 point each for albumin < 3.0 g/dL, total bilirubin ≥ 1.5 mg/dL, and INR ≥ 1.5. Time-dependent areas under the curve of the ABI score for predicting 3-month and 6-month survival were 0.85 and 0.85 in the development cohort and 0.83 and 0.78 in the validation cohort, indicating good discrimination performance. The ABI score showed a better discrimination and calibration performance than the model for end-stage liver disease and the Child-Pugh scores, especially in high-risk patients. CONCLUSIONS: The ABI score is a simple prognostic model that helps decide whether to proceed with PSSE for the prevention of HEP or GV bleeding in patients with spontaneous portosystemic shunt.

Comparison of Fucose-Specific Lectins to Improve Quantitative AFP-L3 Assay for Diagnosing Hepatocellular Carcinoma Using Mass Spectrometry.

Glycoproteins have many important biological functions. In particular, aberrant glycosylation has been observed in various cancers, such as liver cancer. A well-known glycoprotein biomarker is α-fetoprotein (AFP), a surveillance biomarker for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) that contains a glycosylation site at asparagine 251. The low diagnostic sensitivity of AFP led researchers to focus on AFP-L3, which has the same sequence as conventional AFP but contains a fucosylated glycan. AFP-L3 has high affinity for Lens culinaris agglutinin (LCA) lectin, prompting many groups to use it for detecting AFP-L3. However, a few studies have identified more effective lectins for fractionating AFP-L3. In this study, we compared the amounts of enriched AFP-L3 with five fucose-specific lectins─LCA, Lotus tetragonolobus lectin (LTL), Ulex europaeus agglutinin I (UEA I), Aleuria aurantia lectin (AAL), and Aspergillus oryzae lectin (AOL)─to identify better lectins and improve HCC diagnostic assays using mass spectrometry (MS). Our results indicate that LTL was the most effective lectin for capturing AFP-L3 species, yielding approximately 3-fold more AFP-L3 than LCA from the same pool of HCC serum samples. Thus, we recommend the use of LTL for AFP-L3 assays, given its potential to improve the diagnostic sensitivity in patients having limited results by conventional LCA assay. The MS data have been deposited to the PeptideAtlas (PASS01752).