The effect of collisions on the rotational angular momentum of diatomic molecules studied using polarized light.

We report results of an experimental study of the changes in the alignment of the rotational angular momentum of diatomic molecules during elastic collisions. The experiment involved collisions of diatomic lithium molecules in the A1Σu + excited electronic state with noble gas atoms (helium and argon) in a thermal gas phase sample. Polarized light for excitation was combined with the detection of polarization-specific fluorescence in order to achieve magnetic sublevel state selectivity. We also report results for rotationally inelastic collisions of Li2 in the lowest lying rotational levels of the A1Σu +v=5 vibrational state with noble gas atoms.

SWOG S0800 (NCI CDR0000636131): addition of bevacizumab to neoadjuvant nab-paclitaxel with dose-dense doxorubicin and cyclophosphamide improves pathologic complete response (pCR) rates in inflammatory or locally advanced breast cancer.

SWOG S0800, a randomized open-label Phase II clinical trial, compared the combination of weekly nab-paclitaxel and bevacizumab followed by dose-dense doxorubicin and cyclophosphamide (AC) with nab-paclitaxel followed or preceded by AC as neoadjuvant treatment for HER2-negative locally advanced breast cancer (LABC) or inflammatory breast cancer (IBC). Patients were randomly allocated (2:1:1) to three neoadjuvant chemotherapy arms: (1) nab-paclitaxel with concurrent bevacizumab followed by AC; (2) nab-paclitaxel followed by AC; or (3) AC followed by nab-paclitaxel. The primary endpoint was pathologic complete response (pCR) with stratification by disease type (non-IBC LABC vs. IBC) and hormone receptor status (positive vs. negative). Overall survival (OS), event-free survival (EFS), and toxicity were secondary endpoints. Analyses were intent-to-treat comparing bevacizumab to the combined control arms. A total of 215 patients were accrued including 11 % with IBC and 32 % with triple-negative breast cancer (TNBC). The addition of bevacizumab significantly increased the pCR rate overall (36 vs. 21 %; p = 0.019) and in TNBC (59 vs. 29 %; p = 0.014), but not in hormone receptor-positive disease (24 vs. 18 %; p = 0.41). Sequence of administration of nab-paclitaxel and AC did not affect the pCR rate. While no significant differences in OS or EFS were seen, a trend favored the addition of bevacizumab for EFS (p = 0.06) in TNBC. Overall, Grade 3-4 adverse events did not differ substantially by treatment arm. The addition of bevacizumab to nab-paclitaxel prior to dose-dense AC neoadjuvant chemotherapy significantly improved the pCR rate compared to chemotherapy alone in patients with triple-negative LABC/IBC and was accompanied by a trend for improved EFS. This suggests reconsideration of the role of bevacizumab in high-risk triple-negative locally advanced breast cancer.

Germline genetic variants in ABCB1, ABCC1 and ALDH1A1, and risk of hematological and gastrointestinal toxicities in a SWOG Phase III trial S0221 for breast cancer.

Hematological and gastrointestinal toxicities are common among patients treated with cyclophosphamide and doxorubicin for breast cancer. To examine whether single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in key pharmacokinetic genes were associated with risk of hematological or gastrointestinal toxicity, we analyzed 78 SNPs in ABCB1, ABCC1 and ALDH1A1 in 882 breast cancer patients enrolled in the SWOG trial S0221 and treated with cyclophosphamide and doxorubicin. A two-SNP haplotype in ALDH1A1 was associated with an increased risk of grade 3 and 4 hematological toxicity (odds ratio=1.44, 95% confidence interval=1.16-1.78), which remained significant after correction for multiple comparisons. In addition, four SNPs in ABCC1 were associated with gastrointestinal toxicity. Our findings provide evidence that SNPs in pharmacokinetic genes may have an impact on the development of chemotherapy-related toxicities. This is a necessary first step toward building a clinical tool that will help assess risk of adverse outcomes before undergoing chemotherapy.

Impact of premenopausal status at breast cancer diagnosis in women entered on the placebo-controlled NCIC CTG MA17 trial of extended adjuvant letrozole.

BACKGROUND: MA17 showed improved outcomes in postmenopausal women given extended letrozole (LET) after completing 5 years of adjuvant tamoxifen. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Exploratory subgroup analyses of disease-free survival (DFS), distant DFS (DDFS), overall survival (OS), toxic effects and quality of life (QOL) in MA17 were performed based on menopausal status at breast cancer diagnosis. RESULTS: At diagnosis, 877 women were premenopausal and 4289 were postmenopausal. Extended LET was significantly better than placebo (PLAC) in DFS for premenopausal [hazard ratio (HR) = 0.26, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.13-0.55; P = 0.0003] and postmenopausal women (HR = 0.67; 95% CI 0.51-0.89; P = 0.006), with greater DFS benefit in those premenopausal (interaction P = 0.03). In adjusted post-unblinding analysis, those who switched from PLAC to LET improved DDFS in premenopausal (HR = 0.15; 95% CI 0.03-0.79; P = 0.02) and postmenopausal women (HR = 0.45; 95% CI 0.22-0.94; P = 0.03). CONCLUSIONS: Extended LET after 5 years of tamoxifen was effective in pre- and postmenopausal women at diagnosis, and significantly better in those premenopausal. Women premenopausal at diagnosis should be considered for extended adjuvant therapy with LET if menopausal after completing tamoxifen.

Systematic development and feasibility testing of a multibehavioural digital prehabilitation intervention for patients approaching major surgery (iPREPWELL): A study protocol.

Improving outcomes for people undergoing major surgery, specifically reducing perioperative morbidity and mortality remains a global health challenge. Prehabilitation involves the active preparation of patients prior to surgery, including support to tackle risk behaviours that mediate and undermine physical and mental health and wellbeing. The majority of prehabilitation interventions are delivered in person, however many patients express a preference for remotely-delivered interventions that provide them with tailored support and the flexibility. Digital prehabilitation interventions offer scalability and have the potential to benefit perioperative healthcare systems, however there is a lack of robustly developed and evaluated digital programmes for use in routine clinical care. We aim to systematically develop and test the feasibility of an evidence and theory-informed multibehavioural digital prehabilitation intervention 'iPREPWELL' designed to prepare patients for major surgery. The intervention will be developed with reference to the Behaviour Change Wheel, COM-B model, and the Theoretical Domains Framework. Codesign methodology will be used to develop a patient intervention and accompanying training intervention for healthcare professionals. Training will be designed to enable healthcare professionals to promote, support and facilitate delivery of the intervention as part of routine clinical care. Patients preparing for major surgery and healthcare professionals involved with their clinical care from two UK National Health Service centres will be recruited to stage 1 (systematic development) and stage 2 (feasibility testing of the intervention). Participants recruited at stage 1 will be asked to complete a COM-B questionnaire and to take part in a qualitative interview study and co-design workshops. Participants recruited at stage 2 (up to twenty healthcare professionals and forty participants) will be asked to take part in a single group intervention study where the primary outcomes will include feasibility, acceptability, and fidelity of intervention delivery, receipt, and enactment. Healthcare professionals will be trained to promote and support use of the intervention by patients, and the training intervention will be evaluated qualitatively and quantitatively. The multifaceted and systematically developed intervention will be the first of its kind and will provide a foundation for further refinement prior to formal efficacy testing.

Host-selective toxins and their role in plant diseases.

Toxins with unusual characteristics are involved in some destructive diseases of plants. Certain parasitic fungi produce toxins of low molecular weight that selectively affect the host plant; nonhosts are tolerant. These toxins have diverse structures, including cyclic peptides and linear polyketols. Genetic and other data show that resistance to each fungus is based on tolerance to its toxin. The same fungal genes control toxin production and ability to cause disease. Little is known about toxic action, although one toxin selectively affects mitochondria. Plant cell membranes are affected; this may allow the fungus to colonize tissues. Resistant cells may lack toxin receptor sites.

Target structure and echo spectral discrimination by echolocating bats.

Echolocating bats can use sonar to discriminate among targets which reflect echoes differing in spectral distribution of energy but not in overall intensity. They can detect differences smaller than 1 millimeter in fine target structure. Bats may be capable of classifying targets from echo spectral signatures and might thus be able to distinguish among flying insect prey by sonar.

Intent-to-treat analysis of the placebo-controlled trial of letrozole for extended adjuvant therapy in early breast cancer: NCIC CTG MA.17.

BACKGROUND: MA.17 evaluated letrozole or placebo after 5 years of tamoxifen and showed significant improvement in disease-free survival (DFS) for letrozole [hazard ratio (HR) 0.57, P = 0.00008]. The trial was unblinded and placebo patients were offered letrozole. PATIENTS AND METHODS: An intent-to-treat analysis of all outcomes, before and after unblinding, on the basis of the original randomization was carried out. RESULTS: In all, 5187 patients were randomly allocated to the study at baseline and, at unblinding, 1579 (66%) of 2383 placebo patients accepted letrozole. At median follow-up of 64 months (range 16-95), 399 recurrences or contralateral breast cancers (CLBCs) (164 letrozole and 235 placebo) occurred. Four-year DFS was 94.3% (letrozole) and 91.4% (placebo) [HR 0.68, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.55-0.83, P = 0.0001] and showed superiority for letrozole in both node-positive and -negative patients. Corresponding 4-year distant DFS was 96.3% and 94.9% (HR 0.80, 95% CI 0.62-1.03, P = 0.082). Four-year overall survival was 95.1% for both groups. The annual rate of CLBC was 0.28% for letrozole and 0.46% for placebo patients (HR 0.61, 95% CI 0.39-0.97, P = 0.033). CONCLUSIONS: Patients originally randomly assigned to receive letrozole within 3 months of stopping tamoxifen did better than placebo patients in DFS and CLBC, despite 66% of placebo patients taking letrozole after unblinding.

Impact of hemoglobin levels on outcomes of adjuvant chemotherapy in resected non-small cell lung cancer: the JBR.10 trial experience.

BACKGROUND: Cisplatin-induced anemia may correlate with adverse events, poor quality of life (QoL), decreased adjuvant chemotherapy (ACT) dose intensity, shorter relapse-free survival (RFS) or overall survival (OS). METHODS: The JBR.10 trial demonstrated significantly longer survival with adjuvant cisplatin and vinorelbine (n=242) compared to observation (n=240) in patients with resected NSCLC [Winton T, Livingston R, Johnson D, Rigas J, Johnston M, Butts C, et al. Vinorelbine plus cisplatin vs. observation in resected non-small-cell lung cancer. N Engl J Med 2005;352(25):2640-2]. This exploratory analysis evaluates the predictive value of baseline (in all patients) and during-treatment (in ACT arm only) hemoglobin (Hb) levels on OS and RFS when adjusted for prognostic factors. Baseline (in all patients) and during treatment (in ACT arm only) Hb levels were also correlated with adverse events, QoL, morbidity and ACT dose intensity. RESULTS: Baseline Hb did not predict RFS or OS. However, there was a trend to shorter OS (p=0.1) when baseline Hb was <120g/L. Lower baseline Hb predicted increased hospitalization (p=0.04) and worse QoL (SOB item, p=0.03) but had no impact on adverse events or dose intensity. There was a trend to longer RFS (p=0.08) in patients with lower nadir during-treatment Hb and to longer OS (p=0.06) and RFS (p=0.08) in patients with maximum during-treatment Hb drop >30% that was not maintained when ACT dose intensity was included in the model. Maximum during-treatment Hb drop >30% correlated with increased lethargy (p=0.003) and worse QoL (fatigue item, p=0.07). CONCLUSIONS: Lower baseline and during-treatment Hb levels seem associated with poorer QoL, fatigue and increased hospitalization. There is a trend for shorter OS in patients with lower baseline Hb levels.

Tritiated thymidine labeling index and response in human breast cancer.

Tumor cell uptake of tritiated thymidine, expressed as the labeling index (Ll), was determined prior to treatment of 25 patients with disseminated breast carcinoma. All patients subsequently received combination chemotherapy with adriamycin, cyclophosphamide, and an antimetabolite (usually 5-fluorouracil), with or without vincristine. The Ll was significantly higher in responders to chemotherapy than in nonresponders (mean, 15 vs. 7.1; P less than 0.01). Other pretreatment variables examined did not show a significant association with likelihood of response. Measurements of the tumor cell Ll in patients with accessible tumor may be of benefit in selection of treatment; 0 of 9 patients with an Ll less than 9 had a response in our series in contrast to 11 of 16 patients with an Ll greater than 9 who had a response (P = 0.001).

Radiation Therapy Oncology Group (RTOG) 88-08 and Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) 4588: preliminary results of a phase III trial in regionally advanced, unresectable non-small-cell lung cancer.

BACKGROUND: Regionally advanced, surgically unresectable non-small-cell lung cancer represents a disease with an extremely poor prognosis. External-beam irradiation to the primary tumor and regional lymphatics is generally accepted as standard therapy. The use of more aggressive radiation regimens and the addition of cytotoxic chemotherapy to radiotherapy have yielded conflicting results. Recently, however, results from clinical trials using innovative irradiation delivery techniques or chemotherapy before irradiation have indicated that patients treated with protocols that incorporate these modifications may have higher survival rates than patients receiving standard radiation therapy. PURPOSE: On the basis of these results, the Radiation Therapy Oncology Group (RTOG)-Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) elected to conduct a phase III trial comparing the following regimens: 1) standard radiation therapy, 2) induction chemotherapy followed by standard radiation therapy, and 3) twice-daily radiation therapy. METHODS: Patients with surgically unresectable stage II, IIIA, or IIIB non-small-cell lung cancer were potential candidates. Staging was nonsurgical. Patients were required to have a Karnofsky performance status of 70 or more and weight loss less than 5% for 3 months prior to entry into the trial, to be older than 18 years of age, and to have no metastatic disease. Of the 490 patients registered in the trial, 452 were eligible. The disease in 95% of the patients was stage IIIA or IIIB. More than two thirds of the patients had a Karnofsky performance status of more than 80. Patients were randomly assigned to receive either 60 Gy of radiation therapy delivered at 2 Gy per fraction, 5 days a week, over a 6-week period (standard radiation therapy); induction chemotherapy consisting of cisplatin (100 mg/m2) on days 1 and 29 and 5 mg/m2 vinblastine per week for 5 consecutive weeks beginning on day 1 with cisplatin, followed by standard radiation therapy starting on day 50; or 69.6 Gy delivered at 1.2 Gy per fraction twice daily (hyperfractionated radiation therapy). RESULTS: Toxicity was acceptable, with four treatment-related deaths. Three patients subsequently died of chronic pulmonary complications. Compliance with protocol treatment was acceptable. One-year survival (%) and median survival (months) were as follows: standard radiation therapy--46%, 11.4 months; chemotherapy plus radiotherapy--60%, 13.8 months; and hyperfractionated radiation therapy--51%, 12.3 months. The chemotherapy plus radiotherapy arm was statistically superior to the other two treatment arms (logrank P = .03). CONCLUSIONS: In "good-risk" patients with surgically unresectable non-small-cell lung cancer, induction chemotherapy followed by irradiation was superior to hyperfractionated radiation therapy or standard radiation therapy alone, yielding a statistically significant short-term survival advantage.

In vitro effects on DNA synthesis as a predictor of biological effect from chemotherapy.

Cell suspensions of tumor or normal bone marrow were incubated in vitro with control media (supplemented Ham's F-10 medium or autologous, pretreatment plasma) and with autologous, posttreatment plasma containing chemotherapeutic agents or their metabolites (treated plasma). Drug-specific perturbation of tumor cell DNA synthesis, as measured by the thymidine labeling index, occurred in treated plasma in 9 of 9 courses where antitumor effect was seen compared to 2 of 8 in which chemotherapy failed. Similar effects on myelocyte labeling index in normal marrow were observed in 14 of 20 courses associated with leukopenia and in 0 of 3 in which there was none. The labeling index was affected in 23 of 29 courses with associated biological effect (79%) versus 2 of 11 courses without biological effect (p = 0.0007). Measurement of changes in labeling index upon exposure to drug-containing plasma may become a useful guide to the choice of antineoplastic chemotherapy.

Epidermal growth factor stimulation of human breast cancer cells in culture.

Epidermal growth factor (EGF), a polypeptide found in human and animal blood and secretions, has been found to stimulate a variety of tissues in vitro including normal and malignant rodent mammary epithelium and human breast epithelial cells and fibroadenoma. We have studied the influence of EGF on malignant human breast tissue with a model system comprising human breast carcinoma cells growing in tissue culture. EGF stimulated growth of MCF-7 cells in serum-free medium. After 7 days in culture, a 2-fold increase in cell number and DNA content and a 3-fold increase in total protein were observed in cells incubated with EGF (10 ng/ml). As little as 0.01 ng/ml of EGF stimulated growth; 10 ng/ml was maximal. EGF effects on growth were noted for cells plated at a high as well as sparse (cloning) density. EGF also stimulated the rates of thymidine, uridine, and leucine incorporation into macromolecules in a dose- and time-dependent fashion. Stimulation of uridine and leucine incorporation was evident by 3 hr, whereas EGF stimulation of thymidine incorporation was delayed until 12 to 18 hr. EGF increased the proportion of cells active in DNA synthesis by nearly 2-fold. The combination of optimal concentrations of insulin (also a growth factor for these cells) and EGF did not stimulate growth above that seen with either hormone alone, suggesting a common step in their mechanism of action. The EGF effect was not dependent on the presence of serum and was not enhanced by dexamethasone as reported for other types of cells. EGF had no effect on another human breast cancer cell line, the MDA-231. These studies suggest that growth of some human breast cancers may be influenced by EGF.

A rapid in vitro labeling index method for predicting response of human solid tumors to chemotherapy.

A rapid autoradiographic technique for measuring the [3H]thymidine-labeling index of human solid tumors has been adapted to assess the effect of anticancer drugs in vitro. The drugs tested were present unchanged or as metabolites in serum obtained from patients immediately post-treatment. In 15 patients, the drugs tested in vitro were also given in vivo. Tumor-labeling index fell significantly in 5 of 6 patients who were later found to have objective clinical response. Tumor-labeling index did not change significantly in 8 patients and rose significantly in 1 of 9 patients who lacked clinical response. If confirmed, this in vitro test may prove to be a useful method of predicting responsiveness of human solid cancers to chemotherapeutic agents.

Estrogen receptor as an independent prognostic factor for early recurrence in breast cancer.

The usefulness of estrogen receptor measurements in primary breast tumors in the prediction of early recurrence was examined in a series of 145 patients. The absence of estrogen receptor in such tumors was associated with early recurrence independent of other known prognostic factors such as axillary lymph node status and tumor size.

Topoisomerase II inhibition and altered kinetics of formation and repair of nitrosourea and cisplatin-induced DNA interstrand cross-links and cytotoxicity in human glioblastoma cells.

By altering the accessibility of DNA sequences for alkylation or platination, and/or for subsequent repair, topoisomerase II can potentially affect the level of DNA interstrand cross-links induced in cells by bifunctional agents. In this study, we investigated the extent to which inhibition of topoisomerase II activity in a human glioblastoma multiforme cell line alters the kinetics of both the formation and the repair of total genomic DNA interstrand cross-links, as well as the sensitivity of the tumor cells to cis-diamminedichloroplatinum II (cis-DDP) and 1,3-bis(2-chloroethyl)-1-nitrosourea (BCNU). Cells were incubated with and without 200 microM novobiocin, a known topoisomerase II inhibitor, for 24 h, followed by exposure to 50 microM BCNU and 25 microM cis-DDP. DNA interstrand cross-linking was determined at various time points over 72 h, using a modified ethidium bromide-DNA binding assay. Sensitivity of the cells to cis-DDP and BCNU was also determined with and without novobiocin pretreatment with 200 microM novobiocin. This concentration of novobiocin showed no significant direct cytotoxicity, although it inhibited topoisomerase II activity in tumor cell nuclear extracts by 73%. A significant decrease in the rate of repair of both cis-DDP and BCNU induced DNA interstrand cross-links, with a corresponding decrease in the clonogenic survival of the cells, was observed following novobiocin exposure. Although the peak cross-link indices of novobiocin-treated cells relative to controls were not significantly increased, residual DNA cross-linking in the cells after 72 h was increased by 1.4-fold for BCNU and 3-fold for cells treated with cis-DDP, thus, indicating a greater effect of topoisomerase II on cross-link repair than on cross-link formation. These data suggest that inhibition of topoisomerase II may provide a potentially effective clinical strategy for sensitizing human brain tumors, and possibly other tumors as well, to DNA cross-linking anticancer agents.

Existent T-cell and antibody immunity to HER-2/neu protein in patients with breast cancer.

The HER-2/neu protooncogene is amplified and overexpressed in 20-40% of invasive breast cancers. HER-2/neu protein overexpression is associated with aggressive disease and is an independent predictor of poor prognosis in several subsets of patients. The protein may also be related to cancer formation, with overexpression being detectable in 50-60% of ductal carcinomas in situ. It has been suggested that it might be possible to develop specific T-cell therapy directed against proteins involved in malignant transformation. One question is whether normal proteins that are overexpressed are appropriate targets for therapeutic immune attack. This report demonstrates that some patients with HER-2/neu-positive breast cancers have both existent CD4+ helper/inducer T-cell immunity and antibody-mediated immunity to HER-2/neu protein. Initial studies performed on 20 premenopausal breast cancer patients identified antibodies to HER-2/neu in 11 individuals. Similar antibody responses have been found in some normal individuals. The patient with the greatest antibody response was studied in detail. In addition to a humoral immune response this patient had evidence of a significant proliferative T-cell response to the HER-2/neu protein and peptides. Similar T-cell responses have been detected in additional patients. It has been assumed that patients would be immunologically tolerant to HER-2/neu as a self-protein and that immunity might be difficult to generate. If immunity could be generated, the result might be destructive autoimmunity. The current data support the notion that HER-2/neu-specific immunity might be used in therapy without destroying normal tissue but also raises questions as to the role of existent immunity in immune surveillance and cancer progression.

Serial labeling index determination as a predictor of response in human solid tumors.

A rapid method for determining labeling indices in solid tumor specimens, tumor-induced effusions, and tumor-bearing bone marrows was utilized in 116 patients. Of these, 48 patients were studied pre- and postchemotherapy. The magnitude of a significant change in labeling index (LI percent) was determined statistically. Of the 48 patients studied serially, 42 were studied 17 days or less following completion of their chemotherapy. In 26 patients without a significant change in tumor LI percent, there was no subsequent clinical response to chemotherapy. Three additional patients in this group are inevaluable at present. In 11 patients, there was a significant fall in tumor LI percent following chemotherapy. Seven of these had a 50 percent or greater regression of demonstrable disease, one patient had definite tumor effect but the effect was not a partial response and three patients were not evaluable for clinical response. In two patients there was a significant increase in tumor LI percent and the patients had rapid tumor progression and death. Predictions derived from serial study of the LI percent by this method correlate significantly with subsequent behavior of the tumors tested following chemotherapy and may prove clinically useful in making decisions about when or whether to change therapy.

Survival determinants in extensive-stage non-small-cell lung cancer: the Southwest Oncology Group experience.

We analyzed the 2,531-patient Southwest Oncology Group extensive-stage non-small-cell lung cancer (ENSCLC) data base from 1974 to 1988 to (1) assess the interactions of host- or tumor-related prognostic factors and therapy using Cox modeling and recursive partitioning and amalgamation (RPA) to determine whether each independently predicts outcome, and (2) use RPA to define prognostic subsets with different survival potentials. Good performance status (PS), female sex, and age greater than or equal to 70 years were significant independent predictors in a Cox model applied to the entire population. In a second Cox model for patients with good PS enrolled on recent studies, hemoglobin level greater than or equal to 11.0 g/dL, normal lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), normal calcium, and a single metastatic site were significant favorable factors. The use of cisplatin was an additional independent predictor of improved outcome in both Cox models after adjustments for year of accrual and all prognostic variables. The favorable effect of cisplatin was observed in each of six RPA-derived subgroups from the entire population. A second RPA of 904 patients from recent trials (nearly all received cisplatin-based therapy) resulted in three distinct prognostic subsets based on PS, age, hemoglobin, and LDH; greater than or equal to 1-year survivals were 27%, 16%, and 6% (P less than .0001). The best survival occurred for patients with a good PS who had a hemoglobin level greater than or equal to 11 g/dL and who were older than 47 years. This analysis suggests that although several factors were independent variables in the Cox models, three important prognostic subgroups were easily defined through RPA. Together with other analyses, our results suggest the need to modify the stage IV category in NSCLC.

Determinants of improved outcome in small-cell lung cancer: an analysis of the 2,580-patient Southwest Oncology Group data base.

We analyzed the 2,580-patient Southwest Oncology Group (SWOG) small-cell lung cancer data base from 1976 to 1988 in order to (1) determine the prognostic value of favorable demographic and tumor-related factors and therapy programs using Cox multivariate analyses in limited- and extensive-stage disease (LD, ED), and (2) define patient subgroups with significantly different survivals using recursive partitioning and amalgamation (RPA) analysis to refine the current two-stage system. Cox multivariate models were applied to 1,363 patients in six LD trials: good performance status, female sex, age less than 70 years, white race, and normal lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) were significant favorable independent predictors. Concurrent chemoradiotherapy was also a strong independent predictor of survival. For 1,217 patients in four ED trials, a normal LDH, treatment with an intensive multidrug regimen, and a single metastatic lesion were favorable independent variables in the Cox model. RPA analysis of 1,137 patients in recent LD and ED trials resulted in a regression tree in which the most important prognostic split was LD versus ED. Normal or abnormal LDH, absence or presence of a pleural effusion, and age less than 70 or greater than or equal to 70 years were important in LD, but only LDH was significant in ED. The terminal nodes of the regression tree were amalgamated to form four distinct prognostic subgroups with median survivals of 19.0, 12.5, 10.5, and 6.3 months (P less than .0001). The best survival occurred for younger patients with "true" LD: no effusion and normal LDH. The two intermediate patient subgroups had either LD or ED but still lived significantly longer than those patients with true ED (elevated LDH). This analysis suggests that although several factors were independent prognostic variables in LD in the Cox models, a smaller number of variables can be used to form important prognostic subgroups through RPA. The LDH emerged as a highly significant factor, but performance status and sex did not. A refinement of the current staging system should be made if our results can be confirmed with a combined-group data base analysis.