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1.
Sensors (Basel) ; 24(1)2023 Dec 23.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38202947

RESUMO

The efficient use of the photovoltaic power requires a good estimation of the PV generation. That is why the use of good techniques for forecast is necessary. In this research paper, Long Short-Term Memory, Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory and the Temporal convolutional network are studied in depth to forecast the photovoltaic power, voltage and efficiency of a 1320 Wp amorphous plant installed in the Technology Support Centre in the University Rey Juan Carlos, Madrid (Spain). The accuracy of these techniques are compared using experimental data along one year, applying 1 timestep or 15 min and 96 step times or 24 h, showing that TCN exhibits outstanding performance, compared with the two other techniques. For instance, it presents better results in all forecast variables and both forecast horizons, achieving an overall Mean Squared Error (MSE) of 0.0024 for 15 min forecasts and 0.0058 for 24 h forecasts. In addition, the sensitivity analyses for the TCN technique is performed and shows that the accuracy is reduced as the forecast horizon increases and that the 6 months of dataset is sufficient to obtain an adequate result with an MSE value of 0.0080 and a coefficient of determination of 0.90 in the worst scenarios (24 h of forecast).

2.
Environ Sci Technol ; 55(24): 16573-16580, 2021 12 21.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34842427

RESUMO

Two years of satellite observations were used to quantify methane emissions from coal mines in Queensland, the largest coal-producing state in Australia. The six analyzed surface and underground coal mines are estimated to emit 570 ± 98 Gg a-1 in 2018-2019. Together, they account for 7% of the national coal production while emitting 55 ± 10% of the reported methane emission from coal mining in Australia. Our results indicate that for two of the three locations, our satellite-based estimates are significantly higher than reported to the Australian government. Most remarkably, 40% of the quantified emission came from a single surface mine (Hail Creek) located in a methane-rich coal basin. Our findings call for increased monitoring and investment in methane recovery technologies for both surface and underground mines.


Assuntos
Minas de Carvão , Metano , Austrália , Carvão Mineral , Metano/análise
3.
Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci ; 379(2210): 20210106, 2021 Nov 15.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34565220

RESUMO

Surface observations have recorded large and incompletely understood changes to atmospheric methane (CH4) this century. However, their ability to reveal the responsible surface sources and sinks is limited by their geographical distribution, which is biased towards the northern midlatitudes. Data from Earth-orbiting satellites designed specifically to measure atmospheric CH4 have been available since 2009 with the launch of the Japanese Greenhouse gases Observing SATellite (GOSAT). We assess the added value of GOSAT to data collected by the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), which have been the lynchpin for knowledge about atmospheric CH4 since the 1980s. To achieve that we use the GEOS-Chem atmospheric chemistry transport model and an inverse method to infer a posteriori flux estimates from the NOAA and GOSAT data using common a priori emission inventories. We find the main benefit of GOSAT data is from its additional coverage over the tropics where we report large increases since the 2014/2016 El Niño, driven by biomass burning, biogenic emissions and energy production. We use data from the European TROPOspheric Monitoring Instrument to show how better spatial coverage and resolution measurements allow us to quantify previously unattainable diffuse sources of CH4, thereby opening up a new research frontier. This article is part of a discussion meeting issue 'Rising methane: is warming feeding warming? (part 1)'.

6.
Nat Commun ; 14(1): 4948, 2023 Aug 16.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37587101

RESUMO

Reducing methane emissions from fossil fuel exploitation (oil, gas, coal) is an important target for climate policy, but current national emission inventories submitted to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) are highly uncertain. Here we use 22 months (May 2018-Feb 2020) of satellite observations from the TROPOMI instrument to better quantify national emissions worldwide by inverse analysis at up to 50 km resolution. We find global emissions of 62.7 ± 11.5 (2σ) Tg a-1 for oil-gas and 32.7 ± 5.2 Tg a-1 for coal. Oil-gas emissions are 30% higher than the global total from UNFCCC reports, mainly due to under-reporting by the four largest emitters including the US, Russia, Venezuela, and Turkmenistan. Eight countries have methane emission intensities from the oil-gas sector exceeding 5% of their gas production (20% for Venezuela, Iraq, and Angola), and lowering these intensities to the global average level of 2.4% would reduce global oil-gas emissions by 11 Tg a-1 or 18%.

7.
Sci Adv ; 8(32): eabn9683, 2022 Aug 12.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-35947659

RESUMO

As atmospheric methane concentrations increase at record pace, it is critical to identify individual emission sources with high potential for mitigation. Here, we leverage the synergy between satellite instruments with different spatiotemporal coverage and resolution to detect and quantify emissions from individual landfills. We use the global surveying Tropospheric Monitoring Instrument (TROPOMI) to identify large emission hot spots and then zoom in with high-resolution target-mode observations from the GHGSat instrument suite to identify the responsible facilities and characterize their emissions. Using this approach, we detect and analyze strongly emitting landfills (3 to 29 t hour-1) in Buenos Aires, Delhi, Lahore, and Mumbai. Using TROPOMI data in an inversion, we find that city-level emissions are 1.4 to 2.6 times larger than reported in commonly used emission inventories and that the landfills contribute 6 to 50% of those emissions. Our work demonstrates how complementary satellites enable global detection, identification, and monitoring of methane superemitters at the facility level.

8.
Sci Adv ; 6(17): eaaz5120, 2020 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32494644

RESUMO

Using new satellite observations and atmospheric inverse modeling, we report methane emissions from the Permian Basin, which is among the world's most prolific oil-producing regions and accounts for >30% of total U.S. oil production. Based on satellite measurements from May 2018 to March 2019, Permian methane emissions from oil and natural gas production are estimated to be 2.7 ± 0.5 Tg a-1, representing the largest methane flux ever reported from a U.S. oil/gas-producing region and are more than two times higher than bottom-up inventory-based estimates. This magnitude of emissions is 3.7% of the gross gas extracted in the Permian, i.e., ~60% higher than the national average leakage rate. The high methane leakage rate is likely contributed by extensive venting and flaring, resulting from insufficient infrastructure to process and transport natural gas. This work demonstrates a high-resolution satellite data-based atmospheric inversion framework, providing a robust top-down analytical tool for quantifying and evaluating subregional methane emissions.

9.
Rev. colomb. cardiol ; 26(6): 338-341, nov.-dic. 2019. tab
Artigo em Espanhol | LILACS, COLNAL | ID: biblio-1115590

RESUMO

Resumen Por su elevada especificidad y sensibilidad, y a raíz de la tercera definición universal de infarto estas isoformas cardiacas han sido aceptadas en el ámbito internacional como los biomarcadaores de elección en la práctica clínica para el diagnóstico de síndrome coronario agudo, preferibles a la determinación de las enzimas creatina quinasa y su isoforma MB. Se presenta el caso de un varón de ochenta años, quien, de manera persistente, tuvo valores elevados de troponinas, pese a evolución clínica no compatible con síndrome coronario agudo ni otras causas de elevación de este biomarcador.


Abstract Due to its elevated specificity and sensitivity, and on being the third universal definition of myocardial infarction, these cardiac isoforms have been accepted internationally as the biomarkers of choice in clinical practice for the diagnosis of acute coronary syndrome, and are preferable to the determinations of creatine kinase and its MB isoform. A case is presented on an eighty year-old man, who persistently had elevated Troponin values, despite a clinical course that was incompatible with an acute coronary syndrome or any other causes of elevation of this biomarker.


Assuntos
Humanos , Masculino , Idoso de 80 Anos ou mais , Biomarcadores , Angina Pectoris , Infarto do Miocárdio , Troponina , Sensibilidade e Especificidade , Anticorpos
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