Estimating glomerular filtration rate from serum creatinine and cystatin C.

BACKGROUND: Estimates of glomerular filtration rate (GFR) that are based on serum creatinine are routinely used; however, they are imprecise, potentially leading to the overdiagnosis of chronic kidney disease. Cystatin C is an alternative filtration marker for estimating GFR. METHODS: Using cross-sectional analyses, we developed estimating equations based on cystatin C alone and in combination with creatinine in diverse populations totaling 5352 participants from 13 studies. These equations were then validated in 1119 participants from 5 different studies in which GFR had been measured. Cystatin and creatinine assays were traceable to primary reference materials. RESULTS: Mean measured GFRs were 68 and 70 ml per minute per 1.73 m(2) of body-surface area in the development and validation data sets, respectively. In the validation data set, the creatinine-cystatin C equation performed better than equations that used creatinine or cystatin C alone. Bias was similar among the three equations, with a median difference between measured and estimated GFR of 3.9 ml per minute per 1.73 m(2) with the combined equation, as compared with 3.7 and 3.4 ml per minute per 1.73 m(2) with the creatinine equation and the cystatin C equation (P=0.07 and P=0.05), respectively. Precision was improved with the combined equation (interquartile range of the difference, 13.4 vs. 15.4 and 16.4 ml per minute per 1.73 m(2), respectively [P=0.001 and P<0.001]), and the results were more accurate (percentage of estimates that were >30% of measured GFR, 8.5 vs. 12.8 and 14.1, respectively [P<0.001 for both comparisons]). In participants whose estimated GFR based on creatinine was 45 to 74 ml per minute per 1.73 m(2), the combined equation improved the classification of measured GFR as either less than 60 ml per minute per 1.73 m(2) or greater than or equal to 60 ml per minute per 1.73 m(2) (net reclassification index, 19.4% [P<0.001]) and correctly reclassified 16.9% of those with an estimated GFR of 45 to 59 ml per minute per 1.73 m(2) as having a GFR of 60 ml or higher per minute per 1.73 m(2). CONCLUSIONS: The combined creatinine-cystatin C equation performed better than equations based on either of these markers alone and may be useful as a confirmatory test for chronic kidney disease. (Funded by the National Institute of Diabetes and Digestive and Kidney Diseases.).

Development and validation of GFR-estimating equations using diabetes, transplant and weight.

BACKGROUND: We have reported a new equation (CKD-EPI equation) that reduces bias and improves accuracy for GFR estimation compared to the MDRD study equation while using the same four basic predictor variables: creatinine, age, sex and race. Here, we describe the development and validation of this equation as well as other equations that incorporate diabetes, transplant and weight as additional predictor variables. METHODS: Linear regression was used to relate log-measured GFR (mGFR) to sex, race, diabetes, transplant, weight, various transformations of creatinine and age with and without interactions. Equations were developed in a pooled database of 10 studies [2/3 (N = 5504) for development and 1/3 (N = 2750) for internal validation], and final model selection occurred in 16 additional studies [external validation (N = 3896)]. RESULTS: The mean mGFR was 68, 67 and 68 ml/min/ 1.73 m(2) in the development, internal validation and external validation datasets, respectively. In external validation, an equation that included a linear age term and spline terms in creatinine to account for a reduction in the magnitude of the slope at low serum creatinine values exhibited the best performance (bias = 2.5, RMSE = 0.250) among models using the four basic predictor variables. Addition of terms for diabetes and transplant did not improve performance. Equations with weight showed a small improvement in the subgroup with BMI <20 kg/m(2). CONCLUSIONS: The CKD-EPI equation, based on creatinine, age, sex and race, has been validated and is more accurate than the MDRD study equation. The addition of weight, diabetes and transplant does not significantly improve equation performance.

Inflammation, hemostasis, and the risk of kidney function decline in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study.

BACKGROUND: Inflammation and hemostasis may increase the risk of kidney function decline; however, data from prospective studies are sparse. STUDY DESIGN: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study, a prospective observational cohort. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: We used data from 14,854 middle-aged adults from 4 different US communities. PREDICTOR: Markers of inflammation and hemostasis were examined. OUTCOMES & MEASUREMENTS: The risk of kidney function decrease associated with these markers was studied. Glomerular filtration rate (GFR) was calculated from serum creatinine levels using the 4-variable Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) Study equation. Chronic kidney disease (CKD) was defined as: (1) a decrease in estimated GFR to less than 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 from greater than 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 at baseline, or (2) a hospitalization discharge or death coded for CKD. Serum creatinine was measured at baseline and the 3- and 9-year follow-up visits. Hazard ratios (HRs) of CKD associated with increased levels of inflammatory and hemostatic variables were estimated by using multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression. RESULTS: 1,787 cases of CKD developed between 1987 and 2004. After adjusting for demographics, smoking, blood pressure, diabetes, lipid levels, prior myocardial infarction, antihypertensive use, alcohol use, year of marker measurement, and baseline renal function using estimated GFR, the risk of incident CKD increased with increasing quartiles of white blood cell count (HR quartile 4 versus quartile 1, 1.30; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.12 to 1.50; P trend = 0.001), fibrinogen (HR, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.09 to 1.44; P < 0.001), von Willebrand factor (HR, 1.46; 95% CI, 1.26 to 1.68; P < 0.001), and factor VIIIc (HR, 1.39; 95% CI, 1.20 to 1.60; P < 0.001). A strong inverse association was found between serum albumin level and risk of CKD (HR, 0.63; 95% CI, 0.55 to 0.72; P < 0.001). No independent association was found with factor VIIc level. LIMITATIONS: Although we lacked a direct measure of kidney function, associations were robust to case definitions. CONCLUSIONS: Markers of inflammation and hemostasis are associated with greater risk of kidney function decrease. Findings suggest that inflammation and hemostasis are antecedent pathways for CKD.

Calibration of serum creatinine in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys (NHANES) 1988-1994, 1999-2004.

BACKGROUND: The calibration of serum creatinine values to standardized creatinine and the commutability of serum creatinine across surveys are essential to the correct use of National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) data for kidney function and for generating estimates of the burden of kidney disease in the United States. STUDY DESIGN: Calibration study of serum creatinine in NHANES III (1988-1994) and NHANES 1999-2000, 2001-2002, and 2003-2004 to directly compare creatinine measurements from the original surveys with standard creatinine measured using an assay traceable to known gold-standard methods. We also assessed predictors of differences between methods (potential interferences) in this general population. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: The NHANES are ongoing cross-sectional surveys of the civilian noninstitutionalized population of the United States. We selected random samples of approximately 200 stored specimens from persons aged 60 years or older from each survey (NHANES III, 1999-2000, 2001-2002, and 2003-2004). MEASUREMENTS: Stored serum specimens from the 4 NHANES surveys were analyzed for serum creatinine by using a Roche enzymatic assay implemented at the Cleveland Clinic Research Laboratory (CCRL). The Roche assay is traceable to gold-standard reference methods. The original NHANES serum creatinine values were obtained using the Jaffé method (kinetic alkaline picrate) implemented in several different laboratories. RESULTS: Overall agreement between the original NHANES values (Jaffé method) and CCRL measurements (Roche enzymatic) was high, but substantial biases were observed in NHANES III and 1999-2000. No bias was observed in NHANES 2001-2002 and 2003-2004. Final calibration equations to correct serum creatinine values in the relevant surveys are provided. Assay differences were independent of sex, race/ethnicity, and bilirubin and triglyceride levels, but weakly related to age and glucose concentration. LIMITATIONS: We were not able to examine drift in measurements over time within each survey or directly evaluate freeze-thaw effects. CONCLUSIONS: The magnitude of differences in serum creatinine measurements in NHANES III and 1999-2000 from standard creatinine would result in large differences in estimates of kidney function (10% to 20%). Thus, correction of original creatinine values in NHANES III and 1999-2000 is essential, but no correction is needed for NHANES 2001-2002 or 2003-2004.

Impact of creatinine calibration on performance of GFR estimating equations in a pooled individual patient database.

BACKGROUND: Variation in performance of glomerular filtration rate (GFR) estimating equations is related to variation in calibration of the creatinine assay across clinical laboratories. STUDY DESIGN: Cross-sectional analysis. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: 6 research studies and 4 clinical populations including 5,504 participants who had GFR measured using urinary clearance of iothalamate. MEASUREMENTS: Standardized serum creatinine values obtained by means of calibration to the Cleveland Clinic Research Laboratory using frozen specimens, a calibration panel, and/or survey results from the College of American Pathologists. PREDICTOR: Noncalibrated serum creatinine assayed in research and clinical laboratories compared with standardized serum creatinine. OUTCOME: Difference between measured GFR versus GFR estimated from the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) Study and Cockcroft-Gault equations. RESULTS: For a noncalibrated serum creatinine value of 1 mg/dL (88.4 micromol/L), standardized serum creatinine value was 0.07 mg/dL (6.2 micromol/L) less than noncalibrated values. In the pooled data set, for the MDRD Study equation, calibration improved median percentage of difference between measured and estimated GFR from 9.0% (interquartile range [IQR], 28%) to 5.8% (IQR, 28%) and improved the percentage of estimates within 30% of measured GFR (P30) from 80% to 83%. The effect of calibration was greater at higher levels of GFR and varied across studies. For the Cockcroft-Gault equation, calibration worsened the median percentage of difference from -2.0% (IQR, 38%) to -11.4% (IQR, 39%), and the P30, from 74% to 69%. LIMITATIONS: College of American Pathologist samples were used for calibration of clinical populations; calibration factors do not account for drift over time in the serum creatinine assay; calibration cannot account for variation in assay performance among individuals. CONCLUSION: Calibration improves the performance of the MDRD Study equation. After calibration, larger errors remain for GFR estimates greater than 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 (>1 mL/s/1.73 m2).

Prevalence of chronic kidney disease in the United States.

CONTEXT: The prevalence and incidence of kidney failure treated by dialysis and transplantation in the United States have increased from 1988 to 2004. Whether there have been changes in the prevalence of earlier stages of chronic kidney disease (CKD) during this period is uncertain. OBJECTIVE: To update the estimated prevalence of CKD in the United States. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Cross-sectional analysis of the most recent National Health and Nutrition Examination Surveys (NHANES 1988-1994 and NHANES 1999-2004), a nationally representative sample of noninstitutionalized adults aged 20 years or older in 1988-1994 (n = 15,488) and 1999-2004 (n = 13,233). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Chronic kidney disease prevalence was determined based on persistent albuminuria and decreased estimated glomerular filtration rate (GFR). Persistence of microalbuminuria (>30 mg/g) was estimated from repeat visit data in NHANES 1988-1994. The GFR was estimated using the abbreviated Modification of Diet in Renal Disease Study equation reexpressed to standard serum creatinine. RESULTS: The prevalence of both albuminuria and decreased GFR increased from 1988-1994 to 1999-2004. The prevalence of CKD stages 1 to 4 increased from 10.0% (95% confidence interval [CI], 9.2%-10.9%) in 1988-1994 to 13.1% (95% CI, 12.0%-14.1%) in 1999-2004 with a prevalence ratio of 1.3 (95% CI, 1.2-1.4). The prevalence estimates of CKD stages in 1988-1994 and 1999-2004, respectively, were 1.7% (95% CI, 1.3%-2.2%) and 1.8% (95% CI, 1.4%-2.3%) for stage 1; 2.7% (95% CI, 2.2%-3.2%) and 3.2% (95% CI, 2.6%-3.9%) for stage 2; 5.4% (95% CI, 4.9%-6.0%) and 7.7% (95% CI, 7.0%-8.4%) for stage 3; and 0.21% (95% CI, 0.15%-0.27%) and 0.35% (0.25%-0.45%) for stage 4. A higher prevalence of diagnosed diabetes and hypertension and higher body mass index explained the entire increase in prevalence of albuminuria but only part of the increase in the prevalence of decreased GFR. Estimation of GFR from serum creatinine has limited precision and a change in mean serum creatinine accounted for some of the increased prevalence of CKD. CONCLUSIONS: The prevalence of CKD in the United States in 1999-2004 is higher than it was in 1988-1994. This increase is partly explained by the increasing prevalence of diabetes and hypertension and raises concerns about future increased incidence of kidney failure and other complications of CKD.

Apolipoprotein E and progression of chronic kidney disease.

CONTEXT: Apolipoprotein E (APOE) genetic variation has been implicated in diabetic nephropathy with the epsilon2 allele increasing and the epsilon4 allele decreasing risk. APOE allelic associations with chronic kidney disease beyond diabetic nephropathy are unknown, with no studies reported in high-risk African American populations. OBJECTIVE: To quantify the risk of chronic kidney disease progression associated with APOE in a population-based study including white, African American, diabetic, and nondiabetic individuals. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: Prospective follow-up (through January 1, 2003) of Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study participants, including 3859 African American and 10,661 white adults aged 45 to 64 years without severe renal dysfunction at baseline in 1987-1989, sampled from 4 US communities. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: Incident chronic kidney disease progression, defined as hospitalization or death with kidney disease or increase in serum creatinine level of 0.4 mg/dL (35 micromol/L) or more above baseline, examined by APOE genotypes and alleles. RESULTS: During median follow-up of 14 years, chronic kidney disease progression developed in 1060 individuals (incidence per 1000 person-years: 5.5 overall; 8.8 in African Americans and 4.4 in whites). Adjusting for major chronic kidney disease risk factors, epsilon2 moderately increased and epsilon4 decreased risk of disease progression (likelihood ratio test, P = .03). Further adjustment for low- and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol and triglycerides did not attenuate relative risks (RRs) (epsilon2: 1.08 [95% CI, 0.93-1.25] and epsilon4: 0.85 [95% CI, 0.75-0.95] compared with epsilon3; likelihood ratio test, P = .008). Epsilon4 decreased risk of end-stage renal disease (RR, 0.60 [95% CI, 0.43-0.84]). Epsilon2 was associated with a decline in renal function (RR, 1.25 [95% CI, 1.02-1.53]), though not with events, such as hospitalizations or end-stage renal disease. Risks were similar stratified by race, sex, diabetes, and hypertension (all P values for interaction >.05). Excess risk of chronic kidney disease in African Americans was not explained by APOE alleles. CONCLUSIONS: APOE variation predicts chronic kidney disease progression, independent of diabetes, race, lipid, and nonlipid risk factors. Our study suggests that nonlipid-mediated pathways, such as cellular mechanisms of kidney remodeling, may be involved in the association of APOE alleles and progression of chronic kidney disease.

Changes in quality of life during hemodialysis and peritoneal dialysis treatment: generic and disease specific measures.

Despite more than 20 yr of use, relative differences in health-related quality of life (HRQOL) between hemodialysis (HD) and peritoneal dialysis (PD) are not clearly known. The objective of this study was to compare self-reported HRQOL and overall health status for HD and PD patients at the initiation of dialysis therapy and 1 yr later. A prospective cohort of incident ESRD patients was enrolled between October 1995 and June 1998 at 81 outpatient dialysis units in 19 states and included 698 HD and 230 PD patients who completed a baseline CHOICE Health Experience Questionnaire. The main outcome measured was change in qualify-of-life scores from start of dialysis to 1 yr on dialysis and overall health status. Of 928 patients who completed the baseline questionnaire, 585 also completed the 12-mo questionnaire; 101 had died, 55 had received a kidney transplant, and 88 had moved to a new dialysis clinic. PD patients were slightly younger, were more likely to be white, were well-educated, were employed, were married, had less comorbidity, and had higher hematocrit. Unadjusted baseline scores showed better HRQOL for PD patients in both generic and ESRD domains (bodily pain, travel, diet restrictions, and dialysis access [P < 0.05]). At 1 yr, SF-36 scores improved, whereas some ESRD domains improved and others deteriorated. HD patients had greater improvements in two SF-36 domains (physical functioning and general health perception) than PD patients, but results were mixed for ESRD domains (PD is better for finances, HD is better for sleep and overall quality of life). HD and PD patients did not differ in change in overall health status. HD and PD are associated with similar HRQOL outcomes at 1 yr. Generic HRQOL in two domains improved more for HD patients. However, for ESRD-specific HRQOL, results were not consistent; some domains were better for PD patients whereas others were better for HD patients. In advising patients about modality choices, trade-offs should be discussed and individual preferences for specific aspects of HRQOL should be elicited.