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1.
Liver Int ; 44(1): 83-92, 2024 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37735968

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) has been recently proposed as a modulator of angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2) receptor expression, with potential effects on COVID-19. AIM AND STUDY DESIGN: We retrospectively evaluated the clinical course and outcome of subjects taking UDCA admitted to the hospital for COVID-19 compared with matched infected subjects. Differences regarding the severity and outcome of the disease between treated and non-treated subjects were assessed. The Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and log-rank test were used to evaluate the effect of UDCA on all-cause intra-hospital mortality. RESULTS: Among 6444 subjects with confirmed COVID-19 admitted to the emergency department (ED) from 1 March 2020 to 31 December 2022, 109 subjects were taking UDCA. After matching 629 subjects were included in the study: 521 in the no UDCA group and 108 in the UDCA group. In our matched cohort, 144 subjects (22.9%) died, 118 (22.6%) in the no-UDCA group and 26 (24.1%) in the UDCA group. The Kaplan-Meier analysis showed no significant difference in survival between groups. In univariate regression analysis, the presence of pneumonia, National Early Warning Score (NEWS) score, and Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) were significant independent predictors of death. At multivariate Cox regression analysis, age, NEWS, pneumonia and CCI index were confirmed significant independent predictors of death. UDCA treatment was not a predictor of survival both in univariate and multivariate regressions. CONCLUSIONS: UDCA treatment does not appear to have significant effects on the outcome of COVID-19. Specially designed prospective studies are needed to evaluate efficacy in preventing infection and severe disease.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Ácido Ursodesoxicólico , Humanos , Ácido Ursodesoxicólico/uso terapêutico , Estudos Retrospectivos , Pontuação de Propensão , SARS-CoV-2
2.
Liver Int ; 44(1): 103-112, 2024 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37752798

RESUMO

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) and MELDNa are used worldwide to guide graft allocation in liver transplantation (LT). Evidence exists that females are penalized in the present allocation systems. Recently, new sex-adjusted scores have been proposed with improved performance respect to MELD and MELDNa. GEMA-Na, MELD 3.0, and sex-adjusted MELDNa were developed to improve the 90-day dropout prediction from the list. The present study aimed at evaluating the accuracy and calibration of these scores in an Italian setting. METHODS: The primary outcome of the present study was the dropout from the list up to 90 days because of death or clinical deterioration. We retrospectively analysed data from 855 adults enlisted for liver transplantation in the Lazio region (Italy) (2012-2018). Ninety-day prediction of GEMA-Na, MELD 3.0 and sex-adjusted MELDNa with respect to MELD and MELDNa was analysed. Brier score and Brier Skill score were used for accuracy, and the Greenwood-Nam-D'Agostino test was used to evaluate the calibration of the models. RESULTS: GEMA-Na (concordance = .82, 95% CI = .75-.89), MELD 3.0 (concordance = .81, 95% CI = .74-.87) and sex-adjusted MELDNa (concordance = .81, 95% CI = .74-.88) showed the best 90-day dropout prediction. GEMA-Na showed a higher increase in accuracy with respect to MELD (p = .03). No superiority was shown with respect to MELDNa. All the tested scores showed a good calibration of the models. Using GEMA-Na instead of MELD would potentially save one in nine dropouts and could save one dropout per 285 patients listed. CONCLUSIONS: Validation and reclassification of the sex-adjusted score GEMA-Na confirm its superiority in predicting short-term dropout also in an Italian setting when compared with MELD.


Assuntos
Doença Hepática Terminal , Transplante de Fígado , Adulto , Feminino , Humanos , Doença Hepática Terminal/cirurgia , Prognóstico , Estudos Retrospectivos , Índice de Gravidade de Doença , Listas de Espera , Equidade de Gênero
3.
Eur J Clin Invest ; 53(1): e13870, 2023 Jan.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-36075611

RESUMO

AIM: To evaluate the impact of antiplatelet therapy (APT)on the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and mortality following its treatment. METHODS: A systematic literature search was performed using PubMed and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials Databases. Two HCC clinical settings were explored: (i) incidence, and (ii) death after any HCC treatment. Odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (95%CI) were calculated to compare the pooled data between patients who received or did not receive APT. RESULTS: A total of 20 studies were identified, of whom 15 focused on HCC incidence, including 2,685,009 patients, and five on post-treatment death, including 3281 patients. APT was associated with an overall reduced risk of HCC incidence (OR: 0.63; 95%CI = 0.51-0.79; p < 0.001) as well as of post-treatment mortality (OR: 0.54; 95%CI = 0.35-0.83; p = 0.006). CONCLUSIONS: Current data suggest that APT correlated with higher HCC incidence and poor overall survival following tumour treatment.


Assuntos
Carcinoma Hepatocelular , Neoplasias Hepáticas , Humanos , Carcinoma Hepatocelular/epidemiologia , Neoplasias Hepáticas/epidemiologia , Incidência
4.
Liver Int ; 41(7): 1629-1640, 2021 07.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-33793054

RESUMO

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Sarcopenia in liver transplantation (LT) cirrhotic candidates has been connected with higher dropouts and graft losses after transplant. The study aims to create an 'urgency' model combining sarcopenia and Model for End-stage Liver Disease Sodium (MELDNa) to predict the risk of dropout and identify an appropriate threshold of post-LT futility. METHODS: A total of 1087 adult cirrhotic patients were listed for a first LT during January 2012 to December 2018. The study population was split into a training (n = 855) and a validation set (n = 232). RESULTS: Using a competing-risk analysis of cause-specific hazards, we created the Sarco-Model2 . According to the model, one extra point of MELDNa was added for each 0.5 cm2 /m2 reduction of total psoas area (TPA) < 6.0 cm2 /m2 . At external validation, the Sarco-Model2 showed the best diagnostic ability for predicting the risk of 3-month dropout in patients with MELDNa < 20 (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.93; P = .003). Using the net reclassification improvement, 14.3% of dropped-out patients were correctly reclassified using the Sarco-Model2 . As for the futility threshold, transplanted patients with TPA < 6.0 cm2 /m2 and MELDNa 35-40 (n = 16/833, 1.9%) had the worse results (6-month graft loss = 25.5%). CONCLUSIONS: In sarcopenic patients with MELDNa < 20, the 'urgency' Sarco-Model2 should be used to prioritize the list, while MELDNa value should be preferred in patients with MELDNa ≥ 20. The Sarco-Model2 played a role in more than 30% of the cases in the investigated allocation scenario. In sarcopenic patients with a MELDNa value of 35-40, 'futile' transplantation should be considered.


Assuntos
Doença Hepática Terminal , Transplante de Fígado , Adulto , Doença Hepática Terminal/cirurgia , Humanos , Cirrose Hepática , Prognóstico , Índice de Gravidade de Doença , Listas de Espera
5.
BMC Gastroenterol ; 21(1): 317, 2021 Aug 06.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-34362307

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Still's disease is a rare systemic inflammatory disease with frequent but generally mild liver involvement. The most common cause of acute liver failure in western countries is drug-induced liver injury, while it has rarely been reported in subjects suffering from Still's disease. CASE PRESENTATION: We report a case of a young woman presenting with SD reactivation in pregnancy and acute liver failure after delivery with a possible triggering role of drug induced liver injury. CONCLUSIONS: The prompt recognition of Still's disease reactivation allowed early introduction of steroid therapy and resolution of the clinical picture. We discuss potential factors precipitating ALF in this case, and implications for the diagnosis and management of such patients.


Assuntos
Falência Hepática Aguda , Doença de Still de Início Tardio , Doença Crônica , Feminino , Humanos , Falência Hepática Aguda/etiologia , Gravidez , Recidiva
6.
Liver Transpl ; 26(4): 507-516, 2020 04.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31901209

RESUMO

Wilson's disease (WD) is a rare genetic disorder with protean manifestations. Even if liver transplantation (LT) could represent an effective therapeutic option for patients with end-stage liver disease, it has remained controversial in the presence of neuropsychiatric involvement. This study aimed to examine the frequency of adult LT for WD in Italy, focusing on the disease phenotype at the time of LT. A retrospective, observational, multicenter study was conducted across Italy exploring the frequency and characteristics of adults transplanted for WD between 2006 and 2016. A total of 29 adult WD patients underwent LT during the study period at 11 Italian LT centers (accounting for 0.4% of all LTs performed), and 27 of them were considered in this analysis (male/female, n = 9/18; age at LT, 29 years [19-60 years]; median Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score at LT, 27 [6-49]). Isolated hepatic phenotype was the indication for LT in 17 (63%) patients, whereas 2 (7%) patients underwent LT for neurological impairment on compensated liver disease. Overall 1- and 5-year patient survival was excellent (88% and 83%, respectively). Neuropsychiatric symptoms early after LT completely recovered in only a few patients. In conclusion, WD remains an uncommon, unusual indication for LT in Italy, displaying good post-LT graft and patient survival. Because isolated neuropsychiatric involvement represents a rare indication to LT, more data are needed to properly assess the value of LT for WD in this subset of patients.


Assuntos
Doença Hepática Terminal , Degeneração Hepatolenticular , Transplante de Fígado , Adulto , Doença Hepática Terminal/cirurgia , Feminino , Degeneração Hepatolenticular/cirurgia , Humanos , Itália/epidemiologia , Transplante de Fígado/efeitos adversos , Masculino , Estudos Retrospectivos , Índice de Gravidade de Doença , Resultado do Tratamento
7.
Nutr Metab Cardiovasc Dis ; 30(11): 2103-2110, 2020 10 30.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-32807638

RESUMO

BACKGROUND AND AIM: Increased intestinal permeability plays a key role in the pathogenesis of fat deposition in the liver. The aim of our study was to assess whether a single nucleotide polymorphism of protein tyrosine phosphatase non-receptor type 2 (PTPN2) (rs2542151 T→G), involved in intestinal permeability, may be associated with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). METHODS AND RESULTS: We recruited a prospective cohort of NAFLD subjects and matched controls. Clinical data, PTPN2 genotype and laboratory data were collected for each patient. Results were stratified according to liver histology and diabetes. We enrolled 566 cases and 377 controls. PTPN2 genotype distribution did not significantly differ between patients and controls. In the entire population, patients with PTPN2 rs2542151 T→G (dominant model) have a higher prevalence of diabetes; 345 patients (60.9%) underwent liver biopsy: 198 (57.4%) had steatohepatitis and 75 (21.7%) had advanced fibrosis. At multiple logistic regression analysis PTPN2 rs2542151 T→G was associated with T2DM (OR 2.14, 95% CI 1.04-4.40, P = 0.03). Patients who underwent liver biopsy, rs2542151 T→G of PTPN2 was independently associated with severe steatosis (OR 2.00, 95% CI 1.17-3.43, p = 0.01) and severe fibrosis (OR 2.23, 95% CI 1.06-4.72, P = 0.03). CONCLUSION: Our study shows that NAFLD patients with rs2542151 T→G of PTPN2 have a higher severity of fatty liver disease and a higher prevalence of T2DM. These results suggest that individual genetic susceptibility to intestinal permeability could play a role in liver disease progression.


Assuntos
Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/genética , Absorção Intestinal/genética , Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica/genética , Polimorfismo de Nucleotídeo Único , Proteína Tirosina Fosfatase não Receptora Tipo 2/genética , Adulto , Estudos de Casos e Controles , Estudos Transversais , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/diagnóstico , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/epidemiologia , Diabetes Mellitus Tipo 2/fisiopatologia , Feminino , Estudos de Associação Genética , Predisposição Genética para Doença , Humanos , Itália/epidemiologia , Cirrose Hepática/epidemiologia , Cirrose Hepática/genética , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica/diagnóstico , Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica/epidemiologia , Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica/fisiopatologia , Permeabilidade , Fenótipo , Prevalência , Estudos Prospectivos , Medição de Risco , Fatores de Risco , Índice de Gravidade de Doença
8.
BMC Gastroenterol ; 19(1): 112, 2019 Jun 27.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-31248359

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Acute anaemia in decompensated liver cirrhosis is commonly caused due to gastrointestinal bleeding; however, sometimes, detecting the site of blood loss is challenging. A patient on waitlist for orthotopic liver transplantation because of decompensated liver cirrhosis was admitted with acute anaemia and recurrence of ascites. Their abdomen CT showed migration of gallbladder stones in the pelvis while paracentesis documented hemoperitoneum. A diagnosis of gallbladder perforation was performed. CONCLUSION: Challenging choice of a "wait and see" strategy with conservative therapy, avoiding high-risk cholecystectomy, resulted in a successful liver transplant.


Assuntos
Anemia/etiologia , Cálculos Biliares/complicações , Hemoperitônio/etiologia , Cirrose Hepática/complicações , Anemia/terapia , Ascite/etiologia , Tratamento Conservador , Cálculos Biliares/diagnóstico por imagem , Cálculos Biliares/terapia , Hemoperitônio/terapia , Humanos , Transplante de Fígado , Masculino , Pessoa de Meia-Idade , Listas de Espera
13.
Int J Mol Sci ; 17(8)2016 Jul 29.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-27483246

RESUMO

The prevalence of metabolic disorders, such as type 2 diabetes (T2D), obesity, and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), which are common risk factors for cardiovascular disease (CVD), has dramatically increased worldwide over the last decades. Although dietary habit is the main etiologic factor, there is an imperfect correlation between dietary habits and the development of metabolic disease. Recently, research has focused on the role of the microbiome in the development of these disorders. Indeed, gut microbiota is implicated in many metabolic functions and an altered gut microbiota is reported in metabolic disorders. Here we provide evidence linking gut microbiota and metabolic diseases, focusing on the pathogenetic mechanisms underlying this association.


Assuntos
Bactérias/metabolismo , Doenças Cardiovasculares/fisiopatologia , Microbioma Gastrointestinal , Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica/fisiopatologia , Doenças Cardiovasculares/microbiologia , Humanos , Hepatopatia Gordurosa não Alcoólica/microbiologia , Fatores de Risco
14.
Int J Surg ; 110(1): 431-440, 2024 Jan 01.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37800567

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Liver transplantation (LT) is the gold standard for end-stage liver disease, yet postoperative complications challenge patients and physicians. Indocyanine green (ICG) clearance, a quantitative dynamic test of liver function, is a rapid, reproducible, and reliable test of liver function. This study aimed to systematically review and summarize current literature analyzing the association between ICG tests and post-LT outcomes. METHODS: This systematic review was conducted according to PRISMA guidelines. MEDLINE and Cochrane Library, as main databases, and other sources were searched until August 2022 to identify articles reporting the prognostic value of postoperative ICG tests associated with outcomes of adult LT recipients.Risk of bias of included articles was assessed using Quality In Prognosis Studies tool. Methodological quality varied from low to high across risk of bias domains. RESULTS: Six studies conducted between 1994 and 2018 in Europe, America, and Asia were included. The study population ranged from 50 to 332 participants. ICG clearance on the first postoperative day was associated with early allograft dysfunction, graft loss, 1-month and 3-month patient survival probability, prolonged ICU, and hospital stay. The dichotomized ICG plasma disappearance rate (PDR) provided a strong association with medium-term and long-term outcomes: PDR less than 10%/min with 1-month mortality or re-transplantation (odds ratio: 7.89, 95% CI 3.59-17.34, P <0.001) and PDR less than 16.0%/min with 3-month patient survival probability (hazard ratio: 13.90, 95% CI 4.67-41.35, P <0.01). The preoperative model for end-stage liver disease and body mass index were independent prognostic factors for early allograft dysfunction, early complications, and prolonged ICU stay; post-LT prothrombin time and INR were independently associated with graft loss and bilirubin with a prolonged hospital stay. CONCLUSION: This review shows that ICG clearance tests are associated with graft function recovery, suggesting that a potential prognostic role of ICG test, as an aid in predicting the post-LT course, could be considered.


Assuntos
Doença Hepática Terminal , Transplante de Fígado , Adulto , Humanos , Verde de Indocianina , Transplante de Fígado/efeitos adversos , Doença Hepática Terminal/etiologia , Índice de Gravidade de Doença , Prognóstico , Corantes
15.
World J Transplant ; 14(2): 92376, 2024 Jun 18.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38947971

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Few studies have evaluated the frequency of and the reasons behind the refusal of listing liver transplantation candidates. AIM: To assess the ineligibility rate for liver transplantation and its motivations. METHODS: A single-center retrospective study was conducted on adult patients which entailed a formal multidisciplinary assessment for liver transplantation eligibility. The predictors for listing were evaluated using multivariable logistic regression. RESULTS: In our center, 314 patients underwent multidisciplinary work-up before liver transplantation enlisting over a three-year period. The most frequent reasons for transplant evaluation were decompensated cirrhosis (51.6%) and hepatocellular carcinoma (35.7%). The non-listing rate was 53.8% and the transplant rate was 34.4% for the whole cohort. Two hundred and five motivations for ineligibility were collected. The most common contraindications were psychological (9.3%), cardiovascular (6.8%), and surgical (5.9%). Inappropriate or premature referral accounted for 76 (37.1%) cases. On multivariable analysis, a referral from another hospital (OR: 2.113; 95%CI: 1.259-3.548) served as an independent predictor of non-listing. CONCLUSION: A non-listing decision occurred in half of our cohort and was based on an inappropriate or premature referral in one case out of three. The referral from another hospital was taken as a strong predictor of non-listing.

16.
Transplant Rev (Orlando) ; 38(2): 100838, 2024 Apr.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38417399

RESUMO

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Echocardiographic findings may provide valuable information about the cardiac conditions in cirrhotic patients waiting for liver transplantation (LT). However, data on the ability of the different echocardiographic parameters to predict post-transplant risk of mortality are scarce and heterogeneous. This systematic review evaluates the role of different echocardiographic features as predictors of post-LT mortality. A meta-analysis was also performed according to the observed results. METHODS: A systematic review was conducted according to PRISMA guidelines. Medline (PubMed) database was searched through February 2023 for relevant published original articles reporting the prognostic value of echocardiographic findings associated with outcomes of adult LT recipients. The risk of bias in included articles was assessed using ROBINS-E tool. Methodological quality varied from low to high across the risk of bias domains. RESULTS: Twenty-three studies were identified after the selection process; ten were enrollable for the meta-analyses. According to the results observed, the E/A ratio fashioned as a continuous value (HR = 0.43, 95%CI = 0.25-0.76; P = 0.003), and tricuspid regurgitation (HR = 2.36, 95%CI = 1.05-5.31; P = 0.04) were relevant predicting variables for post-LT death. Other echocardiographic findings failed to merge with statistical relevance. CONCLUSION: Tricuspid regurgitation and left ventricular diastolic dysfunction play a role in the prediction of post-LT death. More studies are needed to clarify further the impact of these echocardiographic features in the transplantation setting.


Assuntos
Cardiopatias , Transplante de Fígado , Insuficiência da Valva Tricúspide , Adulto , Humanos , Transplante de Fígado/efeitos adversos , Ecocardiografia , Prognóstico
17.
Dig Liver Dis ; 2024 Jan 16.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38233315

RESUMO

BACKGROUND: Primary sclerosing cholangitis is a cholestatic disease with a low prevalence in Italy. Indications for liver transplantation and the time of listing are not stated. AIM: We performed a national survey to investigate the listing criteria, comorbidities, and outcomes. METHODS: In April 2022, we surveyed liver transplantation in primary sclerosing cholangitis nationwide for the last 15 years. RESULTS: From 2007 to 2021, 445 patients were included on waiting lists, and 411 had undergone liver transplants. The median age at transplantation was 46 years (males 63.9%); 262 patients (59%) presented an inflammatory bowel disease. Transplants increased over the years, from 1.8 % in 2007 to 3.0 % in 2021. Cholangitis (51%) and hepatic decompensation (45%) were the main indications for listing. The disease recurred in 81 patients (20%). Patient survival after the first transplant was 94 %, 86% and 84% at one, five, and ten years. Twenty-four died in the first year (50% surgical complications, 25% infections); 33 between one to five years (36% recurrence, 21% cholangiocarcinoma recurrence) and nine after five years (56% de novo cancer, 44% recurrence). CONCLUSIONS: Primary sclerosing cholangitis has been an increasing indication for transplantation in Italy. Cholangitis and decompensation were the main indications for listing. Recurrence and cancer were the leading causes of death.

18.
World J Gastroenterol ; 29(19): 2905-2915, 2023 May 21.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37274800

RESUMO

Liver cirrhosis is commonly associated with nutritional alterations, reported in 20% of patients with compensated disease and over 60% of patients with decompensated cirrhosis. Nutritional disturbances are associated with a worse prognosis and increased risk of complication. Serum levels of branched-chain amino acids (BCAAs) are decreased in patients with liver cirrhosis. The imbalance of amino acids levels has been suggested to be associated with the development of complications, such as hepatic encephalopathy and sarcopenia, and to affect the clinical presentation and prognosis of these patients. Several studies investigated the efficacy of BCAAs supplementation as a therapeutic option in liver cirrhosis, but uncertainties remain about the real efficacy, the best route of administration, and dosage.


Assuntos
Encefalopatia Hepática , Sarcopenia , Humanos , Encefalopatia Hepática/tratamento farmacológico , Encefalopatia Hepática/etiologia , Aminoácidos de Cadeia Ramificada/uso terapêutico , Sarcopenia/etiologia , Cirrose Hepática , Prognóstico
19.
Cancers (Basel) ; 15(23)2023 Nov 26.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-38067299

RESUMO

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a growing indication for liver transplantation (LT). Careful candidate selection is a prerequisite to keep post-LT recurrence rates within acceptable percentages. In the pre-LT period, various types of locoregional treatments and/or systemic therapies can be used for bridging or downstaging purposes. In this context, one of the factors limiting the possibility of treatment is the degree of functional liver impairment. In the LT subject, no widely accepted indications are available to guide treatment of disease recurrence and heterogeneity exists between transplant centers. Improved liver function post LT makes multiple therapeutic strategies theoretically feasible, but patient management is complicated by the need to adjust immunosuppressive therapy and to assess potential toxicities and drug-drug interactions. Finally, there is controversy and uncertainty about the use of recently introduced immunotherapeutic drugs, mainly due to the risk of organ rejection. In this paper, we will review the most recent available literature on the management of post-transplant HCC recurrence, discussing evidence and controversies.

20.
Intern Emerg Med ; 18(5): 1415-1427, 2023 08.
Artigo em Inglês | MEDLINE | ID: mdl-37491564

RESUMO

Increased values of the FIB-4 index appear to be associated with poor clinical outcomes in COVID-19 patients. This study aimed to develop and validate predictive mortality models, using data upon admission of hospitalized patients in four COVID-19 waves between March 2020 and January 2022. A single-center cohort study was performed on consecutive adult patients with Covid-19 admitted at the Fondazione Policlinico Gemelli IRCCS (Rome, Italy). Artificial intelligence and big data processing were used to retrieve data. Patients and clinical characteristics of patients with available FIB-4 data derived from the Gemelli Generator Real World Data (G2 RWD) were used to develop predictive mortality models during the four waves of the COVID-19 pandemic. A logistic regression model was applied to the training and test set (75%:25%). The model's performance was assessed by receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. A total of 4936 patients were included. Hypertension (38.4%), cancer (12.15%) and diabetes (16.3%) were the most common comorbidities. 23.9% of patients were admitted to ICU, and 12.6% had mechanical ventilation. During the study period, 762 patients (15.4%) died. We developed a multivariable logistic regression model on patient data from all waves, which showed that the FIB-4 score > 2.53 was associated with increased mortality risk (OR = 4.53, 95% CI 2.83-7.25; p ≤ 0.001). These data may be useful in the risk stratification at the admission of hospitalized patients with COVID-19.


Assuntos
COVID-19 , Adulto , Humanos , SARS-CoV-2 , RNA Viral , Mortalidade Hospitalar , Estudos de Coortes , Pandemias , Inteligência Artificial , Estudos Retrospectivos
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